2022 United States Senate election in Missouri

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For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.
2022 United States Senate election in Missouri
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Roy Blunt
Republican



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The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri will be held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. Senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri. On March 8, 2021, incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection to a third term in office.[1][2]

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • John Brinkmann, insurance agency owner and financial consultant[3]
  • Eric Greitens, former Governor of Missouri (2017–2018) and retired Navy SEAL[4]
  • Jeremy Gundel, farmer[5][better source needed]
  • Vicky Hartzler, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 4th congressional district (2011–present) and former state representative (1995–2001)[6]
  • Billy Long, auctioneer and U.S. Representative from Missouri's 7th congressional district (2011–present)[7]
  • Mark McCloskey, attorney and 2020 Republican National Convention speaker known for his involvement in the St. Louis gun-toting controversy[8]
  • Deshon Porter, host of The Big D Zone[3]
  • Dave Schatz, president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate (2019–present), state senator (2015–present), and former state representative (2011–2015)[9]
  • Eric S. Schmitt, Missouri Attorney General (2019–present), former Missouri State Treasurer (2017–2019), and former state senator (2009–2017)[10]
Republican candidates[a]
  • Former governor
    Eric Greitens
    from
    St. Louis
  • U.S. Representative
    Vicky Hartzler
    from
    Harrisonville
  • U.S. Representative
    Billy Long
    from
    Springfield
  • Attorney General
    Eric S. Schmitt
    from
    Glendale

Publicly expressed interest[]

Potential[]

  • John Brunner, businessman, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012, and candidate for Governor of Missouri in 2016[12]
  • Carl Edwards, former NASCAR driver[11]

Withdrew[]

  • Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2011–present), former U.S. Representative from Missouri's 7th congressional district (1997–2011), and former Secretary of State of Missouri (1985–1993)[13][14]
  • Dan McQueen, former mayor of Corpus Christi, Texas (2016–2017), U.S. Navy officer (1978–1994), and engineer[15][3]

Declined[]

  • Jay Ashcroft, Secretary of State of Missouri (2017–present)[16]
  • Scott Fitzpatrick, State Treasurer of Missouri (2019–present) and former state representative (2013–2019) (running for state auditor)[12][17]
  • Timothy A. Garrison, former U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Missouri (2018–2021)[18]
  • Blaine Luetkemeyer, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 3rd congressional district (2013–present) and Missouri's 9th congressional district (2009–2013)[19]
  • Mike Kehoe, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2018–present), former majority leader of the Missouri Senate (2015–2018), and former state senator (2011–2018)[20] (running for governor)[21]
  • Peter Kinder, former Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2005–2017), former president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate (2001–2005), and former state senator (1993–2005)[22]
  • Mike Parson, Governor of Missouri (2018–present), former Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2017–2018), former state senator (2011–2017), and former state representative (2005–2011)[23]
  • Kathy Swan, former state representative (2012–2021)[22]
  • Ann Wagner, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 2nd congressional district (2013–present) and former U.S. Ambassador to Luxembourg (2005–2009) (running for re-election)[24][25]
  • Rik Combs, Retired USAF Officer, businessman, and 2020 MIssouri Gubernatorial Candidate.

Endorsements[]

Eric Greitens
Federal officials
  • Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2017)[26]
  • Joseph diGenova, U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia (1983–1988), attorney to President Donald Trump[27]
  • Sebastian Gorka, Deputy Assistant to the President (2017)[27]
  • Ryan Zinke, U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2017–2019), U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district (2015–2017), member of the Montana Senate (2009–2013)[27]
Local officials
  • Rudy Giuliani, Mayor of New York City (1994–2001), U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York (1983–1989), U.S. Associate Attorney General (1981–1983)[28]
  • Bernard Kerik, Minister of the Interior of Iraq (2003), New York City Police Commissioner (2000–2001), Commissioner of the New York City Department of Correction (1998–2000)[29]
Individuals
  • Kimberly Guilfoyle, television news personality[30]
  • Dennis Prager, radio host, founder of PragerU[29]
  • Victoria Toensing, attorney to President Donald Trump[27]
Vicky Hartzler
Federal officials
Organizations
Eric Schmitt
Federal officials
  • Matthew Whitaker, former acting U.S. Attorney General (2018-2019), former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa (2004-2009), nominee for Iowa State Treasurer in 2002, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[34]
Individuals
  • Dana Loesch, radio and TV host[35]
Organizations

Polling[]

Graphical summary[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Eric
Greitens 		Vicky
Hartzler 		Billy
Long 		Mark
McCloskey 		Dave
Schatz 		Eric
Schmitt 		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] December 1–2, 2021 744 (LV) ± 3.4% 27% 16% 7% 4% 3% 24% 19%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] October 20–21, 2021 806 (LV) ± 3.2% 27% 19% 8% 4% – 25% 17%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[B] October 3–5, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 36% 10% – – – 17% –
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] September 8–9, 2021 847 (LV) ± 3.2% 27% 17% 8% 5% – 28% 15%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] June 9–10, 2021 1,011 (LV) ± 3.0% 34% 14% – 7% – 25% 20%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] March 24–25, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% 40% – – – – 39% 21%
36% – 14% – – 30% 20%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Roy
Blunt 		John
Brunner 		Eric
Greitens 		Vicky
Hartzler 		Billy
Long 		Eric
Schmitt 		Jason
Smith 		Ann
Wagner 		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] March 24–25, 2021 1,041 (LV) ± 3.0% – 2% 31% 8% 6% 18% 9% 12% 14%
– 10% 38% – – 30% – – 22%
– – 36% – – 29% 16% – 19%
– – 38% – – 26% – 18% 18%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[B] March 23–25, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% – – 48% – – 11% 7% 9% 26%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] December 2–3, 2020 840 (LV) ± 3.4% 43% – 32% – – – – – 25%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

Democratic candidates[a]
  • Tech executive
    Tim Shepard
    from
    Excelsior Springs

Publicly expressed interest[]

  • Quinton Lucas, mayor of Kansas City (2019–present)[42]
  • Brian Williams, state senator (2019–present)[43]

Potential[]

Declined[]

  • Cori Bush, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 1st congressional district (2021–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[44]
  • Nicole Galloway, State Auditor of Missouri (2015–present) and nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020 (endorsed Sifton)[45][46]
  • Jason Kander, former Secretary of State of Missouri (2013–2017), former state representative (2009–2013), nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016, and candidate for mayor of Kansas City in 2019[40]
  • Claire McCaskill, former U.S. Senator from Missouri (2007–2019), former State Auditor of Missouri (1999–2007), former Jackson County prosecutor (1993–1998), and former state representative (1983–1988)[40]
  • Jay Nixon, former Governor of Missouri (2009–2017), former Missouri Attorney General (1993–2009), former state senator (1987–1993), and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1988 and 1998[47]
  • Clint Zweifel, former State Treasurer of Missouri (2009–2017)[43]

Endorsements[]

Lucas Kunce
Organizations
  • Progressive Change Campaign Committee[48]
  • VoteVets[49]
Scott Sifton
Statewide officials
  • Nicole Galloway, State Auditor of Missouri (2015–present) and nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020[46]
State Senators
  • Doug Beck, state senator (2021–present) and former state representative (2017–2021)[50]
  • Gina Walsh, former minority leader of the Missouri Senate (2016–2017), former state senator (2013–2021), and former state representative (2003–2011)[46]

Other parties and independents[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Nicholas Strauss (Independent)[3]

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[51] Solid R November 9, 2021
Inside Elections[52] Solid R October 8, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] Likely R November 3, 2021

Polling[]

Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Eric
Greitens (R) 		Lucas
Kunce (D) 		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[C] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 34% 26% 40%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[B] October 3–4, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 40% 13%
Eric Greitens vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Eric
Greitens (R) 		Scott
Sifton (D) 		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[C] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 39% 26% 35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[B] October 3–4, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 40% 14%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] April 7–8, 2021 936 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 42% 9%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] February 17–18, 2021 954 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 41% 10%
Vicky Hartzler vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Vicky
Hartzler (R) 		Lucas
Kunce (D) 		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[C] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 23% 16% 61%
Vicky Hartzler vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Vicky
Hartzler (R) 		Scott
Sifton (D) 		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[C] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 22% 17% 61%
Billy Long vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Billy
Long (R) 		Lucas
Kunce (D) 		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[C] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 16% 17% 67%
Billy Long vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Billy
Long (R) 		Scott
Sifton (D) 		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[C] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 13% 12% 75%
Eric Schmitt vs. Lucas Kunce
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Eric
Schmitt (R) 		Lucas
Kunce (D) 		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[C] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 28% 23% 49%
Eric Schmitt vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Eric
Schmitt (R) 		Scott
Sifton (D) 		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[C] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 23% 18% 60%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] April 7–8, 2021 936 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 39% 10%
Hypothetical polling
Eric Greitens vs. Jay Nixon
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Eric
Greitens (R) 		Jay
Nixon (D) 		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] July 14–15, 2021 922 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 44% 8%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] April 7–8, 2021 936 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 44% 8%
Eric Greitens vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Eric
Greitens (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[D] November 16–18, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 36% 15%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[B] October 3–4, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 41% 12%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
co/efficient (R)[C] December 16–17, 2021 1,210 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 35% –
Eric Schmitt vs. Jay Nixon
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Eric
Schmitt (R) 		Jay
Nixon (D) 		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] April 7–8, 2021 936 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 42% 8%
Roy Blunt vs. Scott Sifton
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Roy
Blunt (R) 		Scott
Sifton (D) 		Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[A] February 17–18, 2021 954 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 40% 10%
Roy Blunt vs. Jason Kander
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Roy
Blunt (R) 		Jason
Kander (D) 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[E] January 10–12, 2021 571 (LV) ± 4.1% 45% 44% 12%

Notes[]

  1. ^ a b The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Non-partisan poll conducted for the local non-partisan tipsheet Missouri Scout
  2. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Eric Greitens's campaign
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll conducted for Missouri First Action, which supports Greitens
  4. ^ Poll conducted for Team PAC, which supports Greitens
  5. ^ Poll conducted for MoveOn

References[]

  1. ^ a b Drebes, Dave (November 5, 2020). "Drebes: A look ahead at the race for Missouri's U.S. Senate seat in 2022". St. Louis Business Journal. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
  2. ^ Ballentine, Summer; Salter, Jim (March 8, 2021). "GOP Sen. Roy Blunt of Missouri won't seek reelection in 2022". Associated Press. Retrieved March 9, 2021.
  3. ^ a b c d "Congressional candidate Dan McQueen visits Saline County". The Marshall Democrat-News. June 16, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
  4. ^ Held, Kevin S. (March 22, 2021). "Eric Greitens announces Senate bid for Blunt's seat". KTV (FOX 2). Retrieved March 22, 2021.
  5. ^ Barmeier, Elizabeth (December 14, 2021). "Who is running for U.S. Senate in Missouri". fox4kc.com. WDAF-TV. Retrieved December 23, 2021.
  6. ^ "GOP Rep. Vicky Hartzler launches Missouri Senate bid". The Hill. June 10, 2021.
  7. ^ Bowman, Bridget (August 3, 2021). "GOP Rep. Billy Long joins Missouri Senate race". Roll Call. Retrieved August 3, 2021.
  8. ^ "Mark McCloskey announces candidacy for US Senate". FOX 2. May 18, 2021. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
  9. ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (November 16, 2021). "Dave Schatz jumps into US Senate race". The Missouri Times. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
  10. ^ "Eric Schmitt joins Missouri race for U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Roy Blunt • Missouri Independent". Missouri Independent. March 24, 2021. Retrieved March 24, 2021.
  11. ^ a b Suntrup, Jack (March 8, 2021). "Sen. Roy Blunt says he won't run next year, potentially clearing way crowded GOP primary". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
  12. ^ a b Hancock, Jason (March 8, 2021). "Roy Blunt is out. So who's in? A list of possible Missouri GOP senate candidates • Missouri Independent". Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
  13. ^ Becket, Stefan (March 8, 2021). "GOP Senator Roy Blunt won't run for reelection in 2022". CBS News. Retrieved March 8, 2021 – via MSN.
  14. ^ "Missouri state lawmaker to challenge US Sen. Roy Blunt". AP NEWS. April 20, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
  15. ^ Lowry, Bryan (May 3, 2021). "He was mayor of a Texas city for 37 days. Now he wants to be Missouri's next senator". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
  16. ^ Axelrod, Tal (March 10, 2021). "Ashcroft declines run to replace Blunt in Missouri". The Hill. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
  17. ^ "Missouri Treasurer Scott Fitzpatrick On 2022 Effort To Expand His Office's Investment Options". St. Louis Public Radio. Retrieved July 15, 2021.
  18. ^ Huguelet, Austin (March 25, 2021). "Springfield native, former US Attorney Tim Garrison says he won't run for Senate". The Springfield News-Leader. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
  19. ^ Rogger, John (June 13, 2021). "Representative Luetkemeyer Will Not Run For Open Senate Seat". KRMS. Retrieved June 15, 2021.
  20. ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (March 22, 2021). "Kehoe announces 2024 gubernatorial run, forgoing US Senate bid". The Missouri Times. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
  21. ^ "Missouri Lt. Gov. Mike Kehoe won't pursue Senate but will run for governor in 2024".
  22. ^ a b Long, Jeff (March 10, 2021). "After Roy Blunt: Local politicians react to senator's retirement". The Southeast Missourian. Retrieved March 23, 2021.
  23. ^ Erickson, Kurt (March 11, 2021). "Gov. Parson won't seek Blunt's seat in U.S. Senate". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
  24. ^ Gerber, Cameron (April 26, 2021). "Wagner on possible US Senate run: 'We're taking a look at it'". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 12, 2021.
  25. ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (August 3, 2021). "Ann Wagner running for re-election to Missouri's 2nd congressional district". The Missouri Times. Retrieved August 3, 2021.
  26. ^ Cameron Gerber (September 16, 2021). "Greitens endorsed by Michael Flynn". TheMissouriTimes.
  27. ^ a b c d Tyler Olson (March 29, 2021). "Ex-Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens back in arena as pro-Trump Senate candidate, aims to replace retiring Blunt". FoxNews.
  28. ^ Grace Segers (March 24, 2021). "2 staunch Trump allies launch Senate bids in Missouri and Alabama". CBS.
  29. ^ a b Lowry, Bryan; Kuang, Jeanne (April 26, 2021). "Mar-a-Lago primary: Missouri Republicans seek Trump's favor with open Senate seat". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved June 12, 2021.
  30. ^ Gabby Orr; Alex Rodgers. "Kimberly Guilfoyle joins Eric Greitens' US Senate campaign in Missouri". CNN.
  31. ^ "Hartzler snags Michele Bachmann endorsement". September 23, 2021.
  32. ^ SCHALLHORN, KAITLYN (September 1, 2021). "Hartzler endorsed by Penny Nance of Concerned Women for America". The Missouri Times. Retrieved September 3, 2021.
  33. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (July 21, 2021). "Conservative PAC supporting female candidates endorses Hartzler in Missouri Senate GOP primary". Fox News. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
  34. ^ Cameron Gerber (October 25, 2021). "Schmitt nabs endorsement from former acting US attorney general". TheMissouriTimes.
  35. ^ a b Gerber, Cameron (December 2, 2021). "Schmitt nabs Dana Loesch endorsement". The Missouri Times. Archived from the original on December 3, 2021. Retrieved December 3, 2021.
  36. ^ a b Suntrup, Jack (May 4, 2021). "St Louis startup owner and real estate broker joins list of Democrats running for US Senate". St. Louis Post Dispatch. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
  37. ^ Robillard, Kevin (March 9, 2021). "Marine Veteran Launches Missouri Senate Bid After Roy Blunt Retirement". HuffPost. Retrieved March 9, 2021.
  38. ^ Sharkey, Dennis (June 30, 2021). "Platte City resident files for U.S. Senate seat". The Platte County Citizen. Archived from the original on July 8, 2021. Retrieved July 8, 2021.
  39. ^ Newton, Ken (July 18, 2020). "Candidates line up to try to unseat congressman". News-Press Now. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
  40. ^ a b c d Hancock, Jason (March 11, 2021). "Jay Nixon comeback? Democrats lining up for shot at open Missouri Senate seat". Missouri Independent. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  41. ^ Ballentine, Summer (February 8, 2021). "Missouri state lawmaker to challenge US Sen. Roy Blunt". Associated Press. Retrieved February 10, 2021.
  42. ^ Wilson, Reid (May 12, 2021). "Kansas City's Democratic mayor eyes Senate run". The Hill. Retrieved May 12, 2021.
  43. ^ a b "Missouri Democrats see a winnable Senate seat but no obvious front-runner". NBC News. Retrieved May 6, 2021.
  44. ^ Fandos, Nicholas (March 8, 2021). "Roy Blunt of Missouri, No. 4 Senate Republican, Plans to Retire". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
  45. ^ "Auditor Galloway, Missouri's Lone Democratic Statewide Officeholder, Won't Seek Reelection In 2022". St. Louis Public Radio. June 4, 2021. Retrieved June 4, 2021.
  46. ^ a b c "Former Missouri Sen. Scott Sifton announces campaign for U.S. Senate". KMOV. February 8, 2021. Retrieved February 11, 2021.
  47. ^ Suntrup, Jack. "Former Missouri Gov. Jay Nixon says he isn't running for U.S. Senate next year". STLtoday.com. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
  48. ^ Axelrod, Tal (March 9, 2021). "Democratic Marine veteran jumps into Missouri Senate race after Blunt retirement". TheHill. Retrieved March 10, 2021.
  49. ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (September 7, 2021). "VoteVets backs Lucas Kunce in Missouri Senate race". TheMissouriTimes. Retrieved September 11, 2021.
  50. ^ Jack Suntrup (February 8, 2021). "South County Democrat Scott Sifton launches bid for U.S. Senate in 2022". STL Today.
  51. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  52. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  53. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 1, 2021.

External links[]

Official campaign websites
Retrieved from ""