Meteorological history of Hurricane Katrina

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Hurricane Katrina
Category 5 major hurricane (SSHWS/NWS)
Katrina 2005 track.png
Track of Hurricane Katrina
FormedAugust 23, 2005
DissipatedAugust 31, 2005
(Extratropical after August 30)
Highest winds1-minute sustained: 175 mph (280 km/h)
Lowest pressure902 mbar (hPa); 26.64 inHg
Areas affectedBahamas, South Florida, Cuba, Louisiana (especially Greater New Orleans), Mississippi, Alabama, Florida Panhandle, most of eastern North America
Part of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season

Hurricane Katrina was an extremely destructive Category 5 hurricane that affected the majority of the Gulf Coast. Its damaging trek began on August 23, 2005, when it originated as Tropical Depression Twelve near the Bahamas. The next day, the tropical depression strengthened to a tropical storm, and was named Katrina; it proceeded to make landfall on the southern tip of the U.S. state of Florida as a minimal hurricane.

In passing across Florida, Katrina did not attain any more strength but did manage to maintain hurricane status. After passing over Florida, the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico allowed it to rapidly intensify to the sixth-strongest Atlantic hurricane in recorded history. Afterward, Katrina made landfall as a Category 3 storm near Buras-Triumph, Louisiana, and once more near the Mississippi/Louisiana border. Katrina progressed northward through the central United States and finally dissipated near the Great Lakes on August 31, when it was absorbed by a cold front.

Formation[]

Tropical Storm Katrina shortly after formation on August 24 over The Bahamas.

On August 8, 2005, a tropical wave moved off the coast of Africa and started to move westward across the Atlantic Ocean, before it started to show signs of convective organization on August 11.[1] Over the next couple of days, the system developed further, before it was classified as Tropical Depression Ten by the United States National Hurricane Centre during August 13, while it was located about 1715 km (1065 mi) to the east of the Bahamas.[1] However, conditions surrounding the depression quickly became unfavorable, as a sharp and deep upper-level trough of low pressure developed to the west of the system over the Western Atlantic Ocean and the Bahamas.[2][3] This upper-level trough caused the system to become sheared, with its low-level circulation center displaced from its deep atmospheric convection.[4] As a result, the depression degenerated into a non-convective remnant low and advisories from the NHC were discontinued during August 14.[2][5]

Over the next few days, the depression's remnant low-level circulation center continued to weaken, as it moved westward and eventually dissipated on August 21, in the vicinity of Cuba.[3] However, the system's mid-level center had split from the low-level center, which lagged behind and passed to the north of the Leeward Islands during August 18, before it merged with a westward-moving tropical wave that had left Africa on August 11, during August 19.[3] This produced a large area of disturbed weather to the north of Puerto Rico, which slowly moved north-westward over the next few days to the north of Hispaniola.[3] During August 22, the system started to consolidate just to the east of the Turks and Caicos Islands, while the upper-level trough started to weaken as it moved westwards towards Florida which caused the vertical wind shear to relax.[3] During the following day, a reconnaissance aircraft from the United States Air Force flew into the area of disturbed weather, where it found a broad but well-defined low-level wind field.[6] As a result, the NHC announced that a tropical depression had formed near or over Long Island in the Bahamas and that they would initiate advisories on the system at 21:00 UTC (17:00 EDT) on August 23.[2][7] However, there was some internal debate as to if this system was a continuation of Tropical Depression Ten or a brand new tropical depression.[2] After they had reviewed satellite imagery and rawinsonde data from the previous week or so, the NHC decided to treat the system as a new tropical depression and labelled it as Tropical Depression Twelve.[6]

After being designated as Tropical Depression 12, the system moved north-westwards through the western Bahamas, towards a weakness in the subtropical ridge of high pressure near Bermuda.[3][2] During August 24, NHC reported that the depression had become a tropical storm and named it Katrina, as atmospheric convection increased within its eastern semi-circle.[3][2] During that day, as Katrina developed an inner core and evolved into a deeper tropical cyclone, it came under the influence of a strengthening mid-upper level ridge of high pressure over the northern Gulf of Mexico and the southern United States.[3] This caused Katrina to turn more westwards and start moving towards Southern Florida.

First Landfall[]

Initially, Katrina moved northwestward straight through The Bahamas within a weakness in the lower tropospheric subtropical ridge. However, as the storm strengthened, developed an inner core, and became a deeper cyclone, it began to turn westward because of a strengthening middle to upper tropospheric ridge over the northern Gulf of Mexico and Southern United States. Katrina then turned just south of due west as it approached South Florida. A burst of convection allowed Katrina to become the fifth hurricane of the 2005 season on August 25, only two hours before it made landfall around 6:30 p.m. EST (2230 UTC) between Hallandale Beach and Aventura, Florida. Katrina struck the peninsula with 80-mile-per-hour (130-kilometre-per-hour) winds, and had a well-defined eye on NEXRAD weather radar, which remained intact throughout its passage over Florida. Parts of the Florida Keys experienced tropical storm winds throughout August 26, with the Dry Tortugas briefly experiencing hurricane-force winds.[3]

Gulf of Mexico[]

Hurricane Katrina near peak intensity in the Gulf of Mexico on August 28.

The initial United States National Hurricane Center forecasts predicted that Katrina would begin turning northward after landfall, eventually to hit the Florida Panhandle approximately three to four days later.[8] Katrina, however, continued a westerly and west-southwesterly track, which eventually shifted the forecast track westward to New Orleans.[9]

Hurricane Katrina's path over the Gulf of Mexico's exceptionally warm Loop Current.

Immediately after the storm entered the Gulf of Mexico, the low wind shear, good upper-level outflow, and the warm sea surface temperatures of the Gulf Loop Current caused Katrina to intensify rapidly. On August 27, the storm was upgraded to Category 3 intensity,[10] becoming the third major hurricane of the season. An eyewall replacement cycle disrupted the intensification of maximum winds for about 18 hours, but almost doubled the radius of the storm.[3] A second period of rapid intensification started by 7:00 p.m. CDT on August 27, and by 12:40 a.m. CDT on August 28, Katrina was upgraded to a Category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 145 mph (233 km/h).[11] It became a Category 5 (the first in the Gulf of Mexico since Hurricane Allen 25 years prior) storm by 7:00 a.m. CDT,[12] twelve hours after the beginning of the second round of rapid intensification, and reached its peak intensity at 1:00 p.m. CDT with maximum sustained winds of 175 mph (282 km/h), gusts of 215 mph (346 km/h) and a central pressure of 902 millibars.[13]

By the afternoon of August 28, the storm was large enough that some areas of the Gulf Coast were already experiencing tropical storm-force winds. The center of Katrina was about 180 statute miles (290 km) from the mouth of the Mississippi River, but tropical storm-force winds extended 230 miles (370 km) from the center of the storm, and hurricane-force winds extended about 105 miles (170 km) away.[14] Overnight on August 29, and into the morning of the next day, Katrina quickly weakened (in terms of maximum sustained winds) as it began to enter another eyewall replacement cycle. The inner eyewall deteriorated before an outer eyewall had fully formed, playing an important role in the weakening. In 18 hours, the hurricane's maximum sustained winds decreased from 170 mph (270 km/h) to 125 mph (201 km/h).[3] However, storm surge remained high at landfall because large waves greater than 30 feet (9.1 metres) in height were generated beforehand (with a buoy recording a 55-foot (17-metre) wave at sea), when Katrina was at Categories 4 and 5 on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale. The waves then combined with the storm surge of the large Category 3 hurricane.[3]

Second and third landfalls[]

Satellite imagery of Hurricane Katrina making landfall.

Katrina made its second landfall at 6:10 a.m. CDT on August 29 as a Category 3 hurricane with sustained winds of 125 miles per hour (201 km/h) near Buras-Triumph, Louisiana. Because Katrina had just weakened from Category 4 and due to the shape of the coastline, sustained Category 4 winds likely existed on land while the eye was over water. At landfall, hurricane-force winds extended 120 miles (190 kilometres) from the center, the storm's pressure was 920 millibars (27 inches of mercury), and its forward speed was 15 mph (24 km/h). As it made its way up the eastern Louisiana coastline, most communities in Plaquemines, St. Bernard Parish, and Slidell in St. Tammany Parish were severely damaged by storm surge and the strong winds of the eyewall, which also grazed eastern New Orleans, causing in excess of $1 billion worth of damage to the city (see Effect of Hurricane Katrina on New Orleans).

Radar image of Hurricane Katrina making its second and third landfalls.

Original estimates indicated that Katrina had made this landfall as a Category 4 hurricane, with 135-mile-per-hour (217-kilometre-per-hour) winds;[15] however, as indicated above, the storm weakened just before landfall to Category 3 intensity. The reasons for this weakening are not completely understood; while the eyewall replacement cycle played a part, slightly increasing shear, dropping sea-surface temperatures, dry air on the western semicircle of the storm, and interaction with the continental landmass also may have played a role in weakening the cyclone.[3] This follows the trend of previous strong cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico: most cyclones with minimum central pressures of 973 millibars (28.7 inHg) or less have weakened over the 12 hours before making landfall in the Gulf Coast of the United States.[3]

Hurricane Katrina following its third landfall, but still at hurricane strength, over southern Mississippi

A few hours later, after weakening slightly, Katrina made its third landfall near the Louisiana–Mississippi border with 125-mile-per-hour (201-kilometre-per-hour) sustained winds and 928-millibar (27.4 inHg) pressure, still at Category 3 intensity. Its minimum pressure at its second landfall was 920 mbar (27 inHg), making Katrina the fourth-strongest hurricane on record to make landfall on the United States, behind Hurricane Michael's 919-millibar (27.138 inHg) reading, Hurricane Camille's 900-millibar (27 inHg) reading in 1969, and the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane's 892-millibar (26.3 inHg) record.[3]

Because the storm was so large, highly destructive eyewall winds and the strong northeastern quadrant of the storm pushed record storm surges onshore, smashing the entire Mississippi Gulf Coast, including towns in Mississippi such as Waveland, Bay St. Louis, Pass Christian, Long Beach, Gulfport, Biloxi, Ocean Springs, Gautier and Pascagoula, and, in Alabama, Bayou La Batre. The surges peaked at 28 feet (8.5 m) in Bay St. Louis, Mississippi, and at 13 ft (4.0 m) as far away as Mobile, Alabama, which saw its highest storm surge since 1917.[3] Storm surge was particularly high due to the hydrology of the region, the hurricane's extreme size, and the fact that it weakened only shortly before landfall. As Katrina moved inland diagonally over Mississippi, high winds cut a swath of damage that affected almost the entire state.[3]

Demise[]

Katrina maintained hurricane strength well into Mississippi, but weakened thereafter, losing hurricane strength more than 150 miles (240 km) inland, near Meridian, Mississippi. It was downgraded to a tropical depression near Clarksville, Tennessee and broke in half.[16] One half continued to race northward, affecting the Central United States along its path, and was last distinguishable in the eastern Great Lakes region on August 31. On August 31, Katrina merged with a frontal boundary and became a powerful extratropical low, causing 1.97–6.69 inches (50–170 mm) of rain in 12 hours, as well as gale-force wind gusts from 31 to 61 mph (50 to 98 km/h) in southeastern Quebec and northern New Brunswick. In the region of Saguenay and Côte-Nord, rain caused breakdowns and failure in roads. The Côte-Nord region was isolated from the rest of Quebec for at least 1 week. The other half of Katrina broke off in the eastern part of the Appalachians, primarily leading to a significant tornado outbreak in the area from central Georgia to central Pennsylvania, killing two people and causing millions of dollars in additional damage. [3]

At 11:00 p.m. EDT on August 31, the center of the remnant low of what was Katrina had been completely absorbed by a frontal boundary in southeastern Canada, with no discernible circulation.[17][18]

See also[]

References[]

  1. ^ a b Beven, John L (January 17, 2006). Tropical Depression Ten: August 13 – 14, 2005 (PDF) (Abbreviated Tropical Cyclone Report). United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  2. ^ a b c d e f Padgett, Gary (December 3, 2005). "Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Summary: August 2005". Archived from the original on April 14, 2021. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Knabb, Richard D; Rhome, Jamie R; Brown, Daniel P (December 20, 2005). Hurricane Katrina: August 23 – 30, 2005 (PDF) (Tropical Cyclone Report). United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  4. ^ Knabb, Richard D (August 14, 2005). Tropical Depression Ten, Discussion No. 1, August 14, 2005 15z (Report). United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  5. ^ Pasch, Richard (August 14, 2005). Tropical Depression Ten, Discussion Number 4, August 14, 2005 21z (Report). United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  6. ^ a b Stewart, Stacy (August 23, 2005). Tropical Depression Twelve, Discussion Number 1, August 23, 2005 21z (Report). United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  7. ^ Stewart, Stacy (August 23, 2005). Special Tropical Disturbance Statement, August 23, 2005 18z (Report). United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  8. ^ Stewart, Stacy (August 24, 2005). "Tropical Storm Katrina Discussion No. 5, 5:00 p.m. EDT". United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2006-09-16.
  9. ^ Stewart, Stacy (August 26, 2005). "Hurricane Katrina Discussion No. 14, 5:00 p.m. EDT". United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2006-09-16.
  10. ^ Knabb, Richard (August 27, 2005). "Hurricane Katrina Advisory No. 16, 5:00 a.m. EDT". United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2006-09-16.
  11. ^ Knabb, Richard (August 28, 2005). "Hurricane Katrina Advisory No. 20, 1:00 a.m. CDT". United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2006-09-16.
  12. ^ Knabb, Richard; Richard Pasch (August 28, 2005). "Hurricane Katrina Special Advisory No. 20, 7:00 a.m. CDT". United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2006-09-16.
  13. ^ Pasch, Richard (August 28, 2005). "Hurricane Katrina Intermediate Advisory No. 23a, 1:00 p.m. CDT". United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2006-09-16.
  14. ^ Pasch, Richard (August 28, 2005). "Hurricane Katrina Advisory No. 24, 4:00 p.m. CDT". United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2006-09-16.
  15. ^ Pasch, Richard (August 29, 2005). "Hurricane Katrina Intermediate Advisory No. 26b, 8:00 a.m. CDT". United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2006-09-16.
  16. ^ Avila, Lixion (August 30, 2005). "Tropical Depression Katrina Advisory No. 31, 10 a.m. CDT". United States National Hurricane Center. Retrieved 2006-09-16.
  17. ^ "Public Advisory 37 for the Remnants of Katrina, 11 p.m. EDT". Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. August 31, 2005. Archived from the original on September 22, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2006.
  18. ^ "Post-Tropical Storm Katrina Information Statement, 08:00 a.m. EDT". Canadian Hurricane Centre. August 31, 2005. Archived from the original on 2006-07-16. Retrieved 2006-09-19.
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