2022 Andalusian regional election

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2022 Andalusian regional election
← 2018 Late 2022
(Tentatively scheduled for 27 November)[1][2]
All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia
55 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Juan Espadas 2020 (cropped).jpg Juan Manuel Moreno 2022 (cropped).jpg Juan Marín 2021 (cropped).jpg
Leader Juan Espadas Juan Manuel Moreno Juan Marín
Party PSOE–A PP Cs
Leader since 17 June 2021 1 March 2014 6 February 2015
Leader's seat Seville Málaga Seville
Last election 33 seats, 27.9% 26 seats, 20.7% 21 seats, 18.3%
Current seats 33 26 21
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg22 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg29 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg34
  Macarena Olona 2021 (cropped).jpg Teresa Rodríguez 2018 (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader Macarena Olona Teresa Rodríguez Inmaculada Nieto[a]
Party Vox Adelante Andalucía UPporA
Leader since TBD 26 June 2021 28 October 2020
Leader's seat Granada Málaga Cádiz
Last election 12 seats, 11.0% 12 seats (AA)[b] 5 seats (AA)[b]
Current seats 11 11 6
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg44 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg48 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg53
AndalusiaProvinceMapParliamentBlank.png
Constituency results map for the Parliament of Andalusia
Incumbent President

Juan Manuel Moreno
PP



The 2022 Andalusian regional election will be held during the year 2022, to elect the 12th Parliament of the autonomous community of Andalusia. All 109 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.

The 2018 election resulted in the first majority for right-of-centre parties in Andalusia in 36 years, paving the way for an alternative government to the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) despite the party remaining the most voted political force in the region. As a result, Juan Manuel Moreno of the People's Party (PP) unseated PSOE's Susana Díaz as regional president, forming a coalition with Citizens (Cs), with confidence and supply from the far-right Vox party. A number of disagreements saw Vox withdraw its support from the PP–Cs government in May 2021 and reject its proposed 2022 budget in November. Concurrently, Susana Díaz was replaced as regional PSOE leader by Seville mayor Juan Espadas in June 2021.

Overview[]

Electoral system[]

The Parliament of Andalusia is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Andalusia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution of 1978 and the regional Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[3]

Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Andalusia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Andalusians abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[4] The 109 members of the Parliament of Andalusia are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville, with each being allocated an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the number of seats in each province does not exceed two times that of any other).[3][5]

The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[6]

Election date[]

The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (BOJA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August. The previous election was held on 2 December 2018, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 2 December 2022. The election decree must be published in the BOJA no later than 8 November 2022, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 1 January 2023.[3][5][7]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[3][8]

In the aftermath of the May 2021 border crisis between Morocco and Spain, Vox announced it would end its confidence and supply arrangement with the PP–Cs coalition government after it became known that the authorities had agreed to take custody of 13 unaccompanied minors from Ceuta.[9] This made the prospect of a snap election likelier, coupled with speculation about an earlier election date following the gains achieved by the PP in the 2021 Madrilenian regional election at the expense of Cs.[10] The Andalusian government initially responded by indicating a tentative date for the next election of Sunday, 27 November 2022, in order to dispel any rumours about the instability of the governing coalition.[11]

In November 2021, and amid concerns that parliamentary negotiations would fail to deliver the 2022 budget due to opposition from both the PSOE–A and Vox, it was suggested that a snap election would be called for either 27 February or 6 March, coinciding with the festivities of Andalusia Day.[12] Together with speculation on an early election in Castile and León to be held in the spring of 2022,[13] it was initially suggested that the two elections could be held simultaneously.[14] However, on 30 November 2021, several days after his budget for 2022 was voted down by the parliament, President Juan Manuel Moreno said that an early election would be held but that his will was to set the election date for either June or October 2022,[15] which meant that a Castilian-Leonese snap election, widely expected to be called before 10 March and finally called for 13 February, would be held sooner.[16] On 19 January, Juan Manuel Moreno announced that he would make up his mind about a snap election "throughout February", with an early dissolution that month bringing the regional election date to either April or May.[17][18] However, following the PP and Vox's results in the Castilian-Leonese election and the rising prospects of a coalition government between the two in that region, members of Moreno's government acknowledged that a snap election before late in the year would now be unlikely,[19] with the originally scheduled date of 27 November returning to the spotlight as one of the likeliest election dates.[1][2][20]

Parliamentary composition[]

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the present time.[21]

Current parliamentary composition[22]
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE–A 33 33
Andalusian People's Parliamentary Group PP 26 26
Citizens Parliamentary Group Cs 21 21
Vox Parliamentary Group in Andalusia Vox 11 11
United We Can for Andalusia
Parliamentary Group 		IULV–CA 6 6
Non-Inscrits Adelante Andalucía 11[c] 12
FE–JONS 1[d]

Parties and candidates[]

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[5][7]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PSOE–A
List
 Juan Espadas 2020 (cropped).jpg Juan Espadas Social democracy 27.94% 33 ☒N [28]
PP
List
 Juan Manuel Moreno 2022 (cropped).jpg Juan Manuel Moreno Conservatism
Christian democracy 		20.75% 26 checkY [29]
[30]
Cs
List
 Juan Marín 2021 (cropped).jpg Juan Marín Liberalism 18.28% 21 checkY [31]
UPporA
List
 Portrait placeholder.svg Inmaculada Nieto[a] Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism 		16.19%[e] 17 ☒N [32]
[33]
[34]
Adelante
Andalucía
List
  • Anti-capitalists (Anticapitalistas)
  • Andalusian Spring (Primavera Andaluza)
  • Andalusian Left (IzA)
  • Defend Andalusia (Defender Andalucía)
Teresa Rodríguez 2018 (cropped).jpg Teresa Rodríguez Andalusian nationalism
Left-wing populism
Anti-capitalism 		☒N [23]
[35]
[36]
Vox
List
 Macarena Olona 2021 (cropped).jpg Macarena Olona Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism 		10.96% 12 ☒N [37]
[38]
AL
List
 Portrait placeholder.svg TBD Green politics
Social democracy
Andalusian nationalism 		1.03%[f] 0 ☒N [39]
España
Vaciada
List
  • Raise Jaén (Levanta Jaén)
  • Jaén Deserves More (Jaén Merece Más)
  • Granada for the Train (Granada por el Tren)
Portrait placeholder.svg TBD Localism
Ruralism 		New party ☒N [40]
[41]

In September 2021, citizen collectives of the so-called "Empty Spain" (Spanish: España Vacía or España Vaciada), a coined term to refer to Spain's rural and largely unpopulated interior provinces,[42] agreed to look forward for formulas to contest the next elections in Spain, inspired by the success of the Teruel Existe candidacy (Spanish for "Teruel Exists") in the November 2019 Spanish general election.[43] One such platform, Levanta Jaén (English: Raise Jaén), announced the next month its intention to contest the next Andalusian regional election.[40]

In light of the party's negative outlook in recent opinion polls, Citizens (Cs) did not rule out to establish an electoral alliance with the People's Party (PP) to ease the prospects for a renewal of their coalition government, with such possibility being suggested by both the national and regional leaders of the party, Inés Arrimadas and Juan Marín, on 4 December 2021.[44][45] The PP's national leadership rejected this possibility in the following days,[46] which contrasted with the regional branch of the party being willing to study a merger between the two parties ahead of a regional election.[47]

On 2 February, it was revealed that Podemos, United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia, Adelante Andalucía and Andaluces Levantaos had started talks to probe a prospective electoral alliance of all various parties to the left-wing of the PSOE, in which each would retain a degree of autonomy in parliament, in order to prevent a severe vote dispersion that would deprive them of many seats.[48]

Opinion polls[]

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary[]

Local regression trend line of poll results from 2 December 2018 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates[]

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are also displayed below (or in place of) the voting estimates in a smaller font; 55 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSOE–A PP Cs Logo Adelante Andalucía.svg Vox PACMA AxSí UPporA Andaluces Levantaos 2021 icon.svg Adelante Andalucía Isotipo, 2021.svg PP+Cs logo 2020 (2).png EV Lead
PP[p 1] 18 Mar 2022 ? ? ?
30/31 		?
35/36 		?
0/1 		– ?
22/23 		– [g] – – – – – ?
Deimos/VozPópuli[p 2] 20–24 Feb 2022 1,500 ? 27.8
32/35 		32.5
38/41 		3.6
0/3 		– 20.0
23/24 		– [g] 8.6
8/11 		1.1
0 		3.5
1/2 		– – 4.7
Social Data/Grupo Viva[p 3] 14–18 Feb 2022 2,400 ? 24.3
28/34 		38.0
48/53 		4.1
1/4 		– 16.7
17/22 		– [g] 7.2
4/8 		2.1
0/1 		5.1
1/5 		– – 13.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 4] 1 Jan–14 Feb 2022 1,472 ? 28.8
37 		29.9
38 		5.0
3 		– 18.2
21 		– [g] 7.7
6 		1.6
0 		6.0
3 		– 1.8
1 		1.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 5] 15 Nov–14 Jan 2022 1,843 ? 28.9
36 		30.6
40 		5.0
3 		– 17.6
21 		– [g] 7.6
5 		1.5
0 		6.1
3 		– 1.9
1 		1.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 6][p 7] 14 Dec–10 Jan 2022 3,404 ? 26.7
32/33 		36.9
48/49 		6.1
3/4 		– 13.6
13/15 		– [g] 8.3
7/8 		1.6
0 		4.4
2 		– – 10.2
CENTRA/CEA[p 8] 24 Nov–13 Dec 2021 3,600 60.9 25.1
31/33 		35.1
44/46 		5.5
4/5 		– 10.9
12/13 		– [g] 10.7
11/12 		2.6
1 		4.4
2/3 		– – 10.0
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 9][p 10][p 11] 3–6 Dec 2021 1,200 ? 26.9
32 		[h] [h] – 16.0
19 		– [g] 6.9
5 		1.3
0 		6.2
3 		39.6
50 		– 12.7
? 26.2
33 		36.4
47 		4.9
3 		– 15.0
18 		– [g] 6.8
5 		1.1
0 		6.0
3 		– – 10.2
NC Report/La Razón[p 12][p 13] 2–12 Nov 2021 1,000 ? 27.2
32/34 		34.9
44/46 		5.1
2/3 		– 14.7
15/17 		– – 11.2
10/12 		– 3.4
1/2 		– – 7.7
CENTRA/CEA[p 14] 18–30 Sep 2021 3,600 61.2 23.1
24/27 		38.3
47/51 		8.3
7 		– 12.8
13/15 		– – 11.0
12/14 		– 2.9
0/1 		– – 15.2
NC Report/La Razón[p 15] 2–5 Aug 2021 1,000 58.6 28.1
33/35 		33.9
40/42 		4.9
2/4 		– 14.5
15/17 		– – 11.7
11/12 		– 3.2
1/2 		– – 5.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 16] 18 May–29 Jun 2021 1,703 ? 27.6
36 		36.1
46 		4.5
1 		– 14.7
18 		– – 8.1
6 		– 5.1
2 		– – 8.5
CENTRA/CEA[p 17] 15–24 Jun 2021 3,600 60.2 23.3
28/29 		37.9
48/52 		8.7
7/8 		– 11.4
12/13 		– – 9.2
9/10 		– 3.6
0/2 		– – 14.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 18][p 19] 7–9 Jun 2021 1,000 ? 26.1
31 		36.7
43 		4.2
4 		– 14.8
17 		– – 7.6
8 		– 5.5
6 		– – 10.6
Social Data/Grupo Viva[p 20] 20 May–3 Jun 2021 1,924 ? 25.8
30/38 		38.1
46/54 		3.4
1/5 		– 15.5
16/24 		– 0.6
0 		6.4
5/13 		– 5.1
2/8 		– – 12.3
NC Report/La Razón[p 21][p 22] 26–30 May 2021 900 59.0 30.3
38/39 		31.8
39/41 		5.1
2/4 		– 15.1
16/17 		– – 12.6
10/11 		– 2.7
0 		– – 1.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 23] 14 May 2021 2,125 ? 28.5
34 		35.3
44 		5.2
3 		– 14.2
16 		– – 9.5
10 		– 5.5
2 		– – 6.8
NC Report/La Razón[p 24] 11–14 May 2021 900 58.6 30.7
39 		30.2
39 		6.8
3 		– 14.1
15 		– – 13.7
13 		– 2.5
0 		– – 0.5
Invest Group/CEA[49] 18–25 Mar 2021 3,600 50.1 23.5
26/29 		31.2
40/43 		8.1
7 		– 18.1
20/21 		– – 10.6
10/12 		– 3.5
0/2 		– – 7.7
GAD3/Secuoya[p 25][p 26] 5–18 Mar 2021 3,000 ? 27.1
32/33 		37.6
48/53 		5.6
2/4 		– 14.1
15/18 		1.4
0 		– 7.7
4/5 		– 3.9
1 		– – 10.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 27] 26 Feb 2021 1,500 ? 29.6
35 		29.3
36 		10.9
11 		– 13.5
15 		– – 10.6
11 		– 4.7
1 		– – 0.3
Deimos Estadística[p 28][p 29] 15–24 Feb 2021 1,500 ? 32.3
38/40 		28.5
33/34 		7.0
5/7 		– 15.7
18/19 		– – 8.8
8/10 		– 3.3
2/3 		– – 3.8
Dataestudios/ABC[p 30] 7–13 Jan 2021 ? ? 25.2
29/31 		26.3
33/36 		10.4
10/12 		– 15.9
17/20 		– – 10.9
12/14 		– 4.2
1/3 		– – 1.1
Celeste-Tel/PSOE[p 31][p 32] 30 Nov–14 Dec 2020 1,000 ? 31.4
40 		25.3
32 		13.2
13 		– 11.9
12 		– – 11.8
12 		– 2.4
0 		– – 6.1
Invest Group/CEA[p 33] 23 Nov–3 Dec 2020 3,600 48.0 23.5
27/30 		26.6
35/38 		12.2
13/15 		– 15.7
16/19 		– – 10.3
10/12 		– 4.8
1/3 		– – 3.1
NC Report/La Razón[p 34][p 35] 2 Dec 2020 900 ? 28.9
37/38 		25.9
31/32 		12.7
13/14 		– 12.0
12/13 		– – 11.3
11/12 		– 4.8
2/4 		– – 3.0
Hamalgama Métrica/OKDiario[p 36] 30 Nov–1 Dec 2020 800 ? 28.3
37 		25.5
31 		11.5
12 		– 13.2
14 		– – 12.5
14 		– 3.0
1 		– – 2.8
Dialoga Consultores[p 37] 23–27 Nov 2020 1,500 ? 25.6
29/32 		28.1
36/39 		11.8
9/13 		– 12.5
16/19 		– – 9.8
7/10 		– 6.1
4/7 		– – 2.5
SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva[p 38][p 39] 16–26 Nov 2020 ? ? 26.9
31/33 		28.7
34/37 		10.6
11/14 		– 14.1
13/16 		– – 5.6
3/6 		– 9.8
8/11 		– – 1.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 40] 30 Sep–13 Nov 2020 7,230 ? 30.4
38 		31.1
38 		11.6
11 		– 11.1
11 		– – 10.8
11 		– 4.1
0 		– – 0.7
Invest Group/CEA[p 41] 15–25 Sep 2020 3,600 51.8 26.4
29/32 		30.2
39/42 		11.9
13/14 		– 13.3
14/15 		– – 10.8
10/13 		– 4.2
0/2 		– – 3.8
Celeste-Tel/PSOE[p 42][p 43] 26 Jun–4 Jul 2020 1,000 ? 31.1
40 		26.0
31 		11.2
10 		– 10.9
11 		– – 16.6
17 		– – – – 5.1
Invest Group/CEA[p 44] 18 Jun–1 Jul 2020 3,600 58.0 30.4
35/37 		30.8
36/37 		11.2
12/13 		– 10.1
11/12 		– – 9.4
9/11 		– 4.0
2/3 		– – 0.4
SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva[p 45][p 46] 8–15 May 2020 1,000 ? 25.1
28/31 		26.8
28/32 		13.1
13/16 		– 14.7
15/18 		– – 15.8
16/19 		– – – – 1.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 47][p 48] 1 Apr–15 May 2020 ? ? 28.0
36 		33.1
44 		10.3
11 		– 9.7
9 		– – 8.4
7 		– 4.7
2 		– – 5.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 49] 23–27 Feb 2020 1,100 ? 25.5
32 		24.7
31 		8.1
8 		– 19.7
23 		– 0.6
0 		14.4
15 		– 4.0
0 		– – 0.8
GAD3/ABC[p 50][p 51] 17–21 Feb 2020 802 ? 28.6
33/36 		26.5
32/33 		9.3
8/10 		15.8
16/17 		14.7
16/17 		– – – – – – – 2.1
SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva[p 52][p 53] 5–18 Feb 2020 1,310 ? 25.7
29/31 		26.4
29/32 		9.6
9/13 		17.1
17/21 		15.4
16/19 		– – – – – – – 0.7
Celeste-Tel/PSOE[p 54][p 55] 20–30 Jan 2020 2,600 61.1 31.6
40 		25.1
30 		12.2
11 		17.0
17 		10.7
11 		– – – – – – – 6.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 56] 9 Jan 2020 ? ? 24.8
29 		24.0
29 		7.3
6 		17.9
18 		21.0
27 		– 0.6
0 		– – – – – 0.8
Nexo/CEA[p 57] 25 Nov–12 Dec 2019 2,627 57.0 27.8 24.5 10.5 15.6 16.2 1.4 – – – – – – 3.3
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 N/A 65.9 33.4
(42) 		20.5
(24) 		8.1
(7) 		– 20.4
(23) 		1.1
(0) 		0.3
(0) 		13.1
(13) 		1.3
(0) 		– – – 12.9
Celeste-Tel/PSOE[p 58] 15–25 Jul 2019 2,600 60.8 33.6
42 		24.6
30 		14.0
13 		16.1
17 		8.2
7 		– – – – – – – 9.0
Asé–Psiké/CEA[p 59] 10–26 Jun 2019 2,567 60.2 30.5 24.8 17.8 14.0 8.1 1.2 – – – – – – 5.7
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 N/A 58.4 40.5
(54) 		22.3
(27) 		13.0
(12) 		– 7.6
(8) 		1.4
(0) 		0.5
(0) 		11.6
(12) 		– – – – 18.2
April 2019 general election 28 Apr 2019 N/A 70.8 34.2
(42) 		17.2
(19) 		17.7
(20) 		– 13.4
(13) 		1.4
(0) 		0.2
(0) 		14.3
(15) 		– – – – 16.5
2018 regional election 2 Dec 2018 N/A 56.6 27.9
33 		20.7
26 		18.3
21 		16.2
17 		11.0
12 		1.9
0 		0.6
0 		– – – – – 7.2

Voting preferences[]

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory likelihood[]

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President[]

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Andalusia.

Notes[]

  1. ^ a b Teresa Rodríguez was the parliamentary leader of Adelante Andalucía until 28 October 2020, when she was expelled from the group together with seven other deputies. Inmaculada Nieto has been the parliamentary spokesperson of the group since 18 June 2019, with no new leader having been appointed following Rodríguez's expulsion.
  2. ^ a b Within the Adelante Andalucía alliance in the 2018 election.
  3. ^ Teresa Rodríguez, Ángela Aguilera, José Ignacio García, Luz Marina Dorado, María Vanessa García, María Gracia González, Ignacio Molina, Diego Crespo, Ana Villaverde, María Isabel Mora and María del Carmen García, former Podemos legislators.[23][24][25]
  4. ^ Luz Belinda Rodríguez, former Vox legislator.[26][27]
  5. ^ Results for Adelante Andalucía in the 2018 election.
  6. ^ Results for AxSí (0.61%) and Equo–Iniciativa (0.42%) in the 2018 election.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i Within Andaluces Levantaos.
  8. ^ a b Within PP+Cs.

References[]

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Alarma en el PP ante el peor sondeo interno en Andalucía desde que Moreno gobierna". The Objective (in Spanish). 18 March 2022.
  2. ^ "El PP de Moreno retrocede tras la crisis nacional y se vería obligado a gobernar con un Vox que dobla escaños". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 28 February 2022.
  3. ^ "Juanma Moreno afianza su liderazgo y podría aspirar a gobernar en solitario". Andalucía Información (in Spanish). 24 February 2022.
  4. ^ "AndPanel (15F): empate técnico entre PSOE y PP. Subida de Vox y avance de la izquierda". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 February 2022.
  5. ^ "AndPanel (19E): la absoluta de Moreno pasa por un Vox que superaría los 20 escaños". Electomanía (in Spanish). 19 January 2022.
  6. ^ "Juanma Moreno se acerca a la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía pero aún depende de la abstención de Vox". El Mundo (in Spanish). 17 January 2022.
  7. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta SigmaDos 17/01/2022: ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA 4,4% (2), PODEMOS-IU 8,3% (7/8), ANDALUCES LEVANTAOS 1,6%, PSOE 26,7% (32/33), Cs 6,1% (3/4), PP 36,9% (48/49), VOX 13,6% (13/15)". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 January 2022.
  8. ^ a b c "Barómetro Andaluz. Diciembre 2021". CEA (in Spanish). 20 December 2021.
  9. ^ "PP y Cs, a 5 escaños de la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía: sacarían lo mismo juntos que separados". El Español (in Spanish). 9 December 2021.
  10. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta SocioMétrica 09/12/2021: ADELANTE 6,0% (3), PODEMOS-IU 6,8% (5), ANDALUCES LEVANTAOS 1,1% (0), PSOE 26,2% (33), Cs 4,9% (3), PP 36,4% (47), VOX 15,0% (18)". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 December 2021.
  11. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta SocioMétrica 09/12/2021: ADELANTE 6,2% (3), PODEMOS-IU 6,9% (5), ANDALUCES LEVANTAOS 1,3% (0), PSOE 26,9% (32), PP-Cs 39,6% (50), VOX 16,0% (19)". Electograph (in Spanish). 9 December 2021.
  12. ^ "El PP crece medio millón de votos en Andalucía, pero necesitará a Vox". La Razón (in Spanish). 15 November 2021.
  13. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta NC Report 15/11/2021: ADELANTE 3,4% (1/2), PODEMOS-IU 11,2% (10/12), PSOE 27,2% (32/34), Cs 5,1% (2/3), PP 34,9% (44/46), VOX 14,7% (15/17)". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 November 2021.
  14. ^ a b c d "Barómetro Andaluz. Septiembre 2021". CEA (in Spanish). 18 October 2021.
  15. ^ "El nuevo PSOE andaluz pierde hasta cinco escaños en apenas dos meses". La Razón (in Spanish). 9 August 2021.
  16. ^ "EP Andalucía (30J): sube el PP, solo Marín conservaría su escaño en Cs". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 June 2021.
  17. ^ a b c d "Barómetro Andaluz. Junio 2021". CEA (in Spanish). 12 July 2021.
  18. ^ "El PP replica en Andalucía la amplia mayoría de Madrid: absorbe a Ciudadanos y arrasa a un PSOE hundido". El Mundo (in Spanish). 11 June 2021.
  19. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta SigmaDos 11/06/2021: ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA 5,5% (6), UNIDAS PODEMOS 7,6% (8), PSOE 26,1% (31), Cs 4,2% (4), PP 36,7% (43), VOX 14,8% (17)". Electograph (in Spanish). 11 June 2021.
  20. ^ "El PP consolida el cambio de ciclo en Andalucía al rozar la mayoría absoluta". Andalucía Información (in Spanish). 8 June 2021.
  21. ^ "Andalucía: Juanma Moreno ganaría las elecciones y tendría mayoría absoluta con Vox". La Razón (in Spanish). 31 May 2021.
  22. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta NC Report 31/05/2021: ANSR 2,7%, PODEMOS-IU 12,6% (10/11), PSOE 30,3% (38/39), Cs 5,1% (2/4), PP 31,8% (39/41), VOX 15,1% (16/17)". Electograph (in Spanish). 31 May 2021.
  23. ^ "AndPanel (14M): sorpasso en votos de Andalucía No Se Rinde a Ciudadanos. El PP necesitaría a Vox para la absoluta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 May 2021.
  24. ^ "Mayoría absoluta para PP, Vox y Ciudadanos en Andalucía". La Razón (in Spanish). 16 May 2021.
  25. ^ "BARÓMETRO ELECTORAL DE GAD3 EN ANDALUCÍA". GAD3 (in Spanish). 25 March 2021.
  26. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta GAD3 25/03/2021: ANDALUCÍA NO SE RINDE 3,9% (1), UNIDAS PODEMOS 7,7% (4/5), PSOE 27,1% (32/33), Cs 5,6% (2/4), PP 37,6% (48/53), VOX 14,1% (15/18)". Electograph (in Spanish). 25 March 2021.
  27. ^ "AndPanel (26F): empate entre PSOE y PP y entre UP y Cs. Vox sube y sería decisivo". Electomanía (in Spanish). 26 February 2021.
  28. ^ "El PSOE volvería a ganar en Andalucía, pero el PP podría gobernar, con Vox como socio clave". Diario Córdoba (in Spanish). 27 February 2021.
  29. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta Deimos Estadística 27/02/2021: ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA 3,3% (2/3), UNIDAS PODEMOS 8,8% (8/10), PSOE 32,3% (38/40), Cs 7,0% (5/7), PP 28,5% (33/34), VOX 15,7% (18/19)". Electograph (in Spanish). 27 February 2021.
  30. ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones en Andalucía pero necesitaría a Vox y Ciudadanos para gobernar". ABC (in Spanish). 12 December 2020.
  31. ^ "El PSOE ganaría las elecciones andaluzas con 40 diputados, según una encuesta de Celeste-Tel". El Plural (in Spanish). 17 January 2021.
  32. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta Celeste-Tel (interna PSOE) 17/01/2021: ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA 2,4%, UNIDAS PODEMOS 11,8% (12), PSOE 31,4% (40), Cs 13,2% (13), PP 25,3% (32), VOX 11,9% (12)". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 January 2021.
  33. ^ a b c "Barómetro Andaluz. Diciembre 2020". CEA (in Spanish). 12 December 2020.
  34. ^ "El Gobierno del cambio se reeditaría en Andalucía". La Razón (in Spanish). 2 December 2020.
  35. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta NC Report 02/12/2020: ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA 4,8% (2/4), UNIDAS PODEMOS 11,3% (11/12), PSOE 28,9% (37/38), Cs 12,7% (13/14), PP 25,9% (31/32), VOX 12% (12/13)". Electograph (in Spanish). 2 December 2020.
  36. ^ "La derecha volvería a gobernar en Andalucía dos años después de las autonómicas". OKDiario (in Spanish). 2 December 2020.
  37. ^ "PP-A ganaría con 2,5 puntos y 7 diputados sobre el PSOE-A y volvería a sumar mayoría con Vox y Cs, según un sondeo". Europa Press (in Spanish). 29 November 2020.
  38. ^ "El PP afianza su liderazgo en un año marcado por la crisis del Covid". Andalucía Información (in Spanish). 1 December 2020.
  39. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta SW Demoscopia 02/12/2020: ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA 9,8% (8/11), UNIDAS PODEMOS 5,6% (3/6), PSOE 26,9% (31/33), Cs 10,6% (11/14), PP 28,7% (34/37), VOX 14,1% (13/16)". Electograph (in Spanish). 1 December 2020.
  40. ^ "EP Autonómico (15N): Teresa Rodríguez, sin escaño, sería 'expulsada' del Parlamento andaluz. Vox saca partido de la bronca en Adelante Andalucía". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 November 2020.
  41. ^ a b "Barómetro Andaluz. Septiembre 2020". CEA (in Spanish). 7 October 2020.
  42. ^ "El PSOE andaluz recupera vigor y sumaría con la izquierda ante un PP reforzado". Diario de Sevilla (in Spanish). 20 July 2020.
  43. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta Celeste-Tel 20/07/2020: ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA 16,6% (17), PSOE 31,1% (40), Cs 11,2% (10), PP 26,0% (31), VOX 10,9% (11)". Electograph (in Spanish). 20 July 2020.
  44. ^ a b "Barómetro Andaluz. Junio 2020". CEA (in Spanish). 20 July 2020.
  45. ^ "PP aguanta el pulso a PSOE en Andalucía con el tripartito consolidado". Andalucía Información (in Spanish). 21 May 2020.
  46. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta SW Demoscopia 21/05/2020: ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA 15,8% (16/19), PSOE 25,1% (28/31), Cs 13,2% (13/16), PP 26,8% (28/32), VOX 14,7% (15/18)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 May 2020.
  47. ^ "EP (17My): Andalucía – el PP de Juanma Moreno se coloca primero". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
  48. ^ "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
  49. ^ "AndPanel (28F): la derecha seguiría gobernando en Andalucía con el PP rozando la primera fuerza". Electomanía (in Spanish). 10 January 2020.
  50. ^ a b "PP, Vox y Ciudadanos consolidan la ventaja como mayoría de Gobierno en Andalucía". ABC (in Spanish). 28 February 2020.
  51. ^ "Sondeo de GAD3 para ABC Sevilla por el Día de Andalucía (28 feb)". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 February 2020.
  52. ^ "PP y Cs seguirían al frente de la Junta con el apoyo de Vox". Andalucía Información (in Spanish). 25 February 2020.
  53. ^ "ANDALUCÍA. Encuesta SW Demoscopia 25/02/2020: ADELANTE ANDALUCÍA 17,1% (17/21), PSOE 25,7% (29/31), Cs 9,6% (9/13), PP 26,4% (29/32), VOX 15,4% (16/19)". Electograph (in Spanish). 25 February 2020.
  54. ^ "El PSOE-A ganaría las autonómicas con 40 escaños y PP-A, Cs y Vox no sumarían mayoría absoluta, según un sondeo socialista". La Razón (in Spanish). 21 February 2020.
  55. ^ "PSOE y Adelante Andalucía arrebatarían la mayoría absoluta a las tres derechas, según el sondeo encargado por los socialistas". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 21 February 2020.
  56. ^ "AndalûhPanel (10e): PP, PSOE y Vox se disputan la victoria casi empatados. La derecha se consolida". Electomanía (in Spanish). 10 January 2020.
  57. ^ a b "Barómetro Andaluz. Diciembre 2019". CEA (in Spanish). 14 January 2020.
  58. ^ "Un sondeo encargado por el PSOE revela que el 51,6% de andaluces censura el pacto de las tres derechas para gobernar su región". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 1 August 2019.
  59. ^ a b "Barómetro Andaluz. Junio 2019". CEA (in Spanish). 27 July 2019.
  60. ^ "PP-A ganaría las elecciones andaluzas con una ventaja de 14 puntos sobre PSOE-A, según encuesta de Publicaciones del Sur". Europa Press (in Spanish). 24 February 2022.
  61. ^ "Casi el triple de andaluces prefieren a Juanma Moreno que a Juan Espadas como presidente". El Español (in Spanish). 9 December 2021.
Other
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  2. ^ a b Lucio, Lourdes (15 February 2022). "El Gobierno de Andalucía se distancia de Vox y reafirma su voluntad de mantener la coalición de PP con Cs". El País (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 16 February 2022.
  3. ^ a b c d "Ley Orgánica 2/2007, de 19 de marzo, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía para Andalucía". Organic Law No. 2 of 19 March 2007. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 September 2017.
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