Opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the lead-up to the 2022 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have been conducting regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders. Key polling companies include YouGov, Essential Media Communications, Roy Morgan Research and Newspoll.

Ipsos polls used to be published in The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and the Australian Financial Review,[1][2] but – following a shock result of the 2019 Australian federal election, when the Coalition won the election against all of the opinion polls' predictions – the Nine Entertainment group decided to discontinue its relationship with Ipsos.[3] Since then, as of 2022, the newspapers have not reported any political polling, but continue to report the results of other Ipsos polls.[4]

Graphical summary[]

Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.

Voting intention[]

2022[]

Date Brand Interview mode Sample size Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND L/NP ALP UND
17-20 March 2022 Essential[5] Online 1091 37% 37% 9% 3% 2% 4% 7% 44% 48% 7%
14–20 March 2022 Roy Morgan[6] Telephone/online 1418 31% 37.5% 12% 3% 1% 15.5% 42% 58%
3–13 March 2022 Roy Morgan[7] Telephone/online 1947 33.5% 37% 11.5% 3% 1% 14%[a] 44% 56%
9–12 March 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[8] Online 1520 35% 41% 8% 3% 3% 10% 45% 55%
2–6 March 2022 Essential[9] Online 1093 36% 35% 10% 3% 3% 4% 7% 44% 49% 7%
24 February – 3 March 2022 Roy Morgan[10] Telephone/online 1141 34% 37.5% 11.5% 3.5% 1% 12.5%[b] 43.5% 56.5%
23–26 February 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[11] Online 1525 35% 41% 9% 3% 4% 8% 45% 55%
14–23 February 2022 Roy Morgan[12] Telephone/online 2261 32.5% 37.5% 12.5% 3.5% 1.5% 12.5%[c] 43.5% 56.5%
15–20 February 2022 Resolve Strategic[13] Online 1604 33% 35% 10% 3% 4% 15%
17–20 February 2022 Essential[14] Online 1089 35% 38% 9% 5% 3% 4% 6% 45% 49% 6%
31 January – 13 February 2022 Roy Morgan[15] Telephone/online 2796 33% 38.5% 11.5% 4% 1.5% 11.5% 43% 57%
9–12 February 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[16] Online 1526 34% 41% 8% 3% 14% 45% 55%
2–6 February 2022 Essential[17] Online 1069 37% 35% 9% 4% 2% 5% 8% 46% 47% 8%
27–30 January 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[18] Online 1523 34% 41% 11% 3% 11% 44% 56%
17–30 January 2022 Roy Morgan[19] Telephone/online 2783 33% 37.5% 11.5% 3.5% 2% 12.5% 43.5% 56.5%
20–23 January 2022 Essential[20] Online 1062 36% 37% 8% 3% 9% 8% 43% 50% 8%
4–16 January 2022 Roy Morgan[21] Telephone/online 2791 34.5% 37% 12% 3% 0.5% 13% 44% 56%
11–15 January 2022 Resolve Strategic[22] Online 1607 34% 35% 11% 3% 17%

2019–2021[]

Date Brand Interview mode Sample size Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP OTH UND L/NP ALP UND
8–13 December 2021 Essential[23] Online 1095 36% 36% 9% 4% 6% 8% 45% 47% 8%
11–12 December,
18–19 December 2021
Roy Morgan[24][25] Telephone/online 34.5% 37% 11.5% 4% 13% 44.5% 55.5%
1–5 December 2021 Essential[26] Online 1094 38% 35% 10% 3% 7% 8% 45% 48% 8%
27–28 November,
4–5 December 2021
Roy Morgan[27] Telephone/online 2805 34.5% 36% 12.5% 3.5% 13.5%[d] 43.5% 56.5%
1–4 December 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[28] Online 1518 36% 38% 10% 3% 13% 47% 53%
17–21 November 2021 Essential[29][30] Online 1095 36% 37% 10% 4% 7% 7% 45% 48% 7%
17–21 November 2021 Resolve Strategic[31] Online 1781 39% 32% 11% 3% 14%
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 Roy Morgan[32] Telephone/online 2795 35.5% 35.5% 12% 3.5% 13.5% 44.5% 55.5%
10–13 November 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[33] Online 1524 37% 38% 11% 2% 12% 47% 53%
3–7 November 2021 Essential[29][30] Online 1089 35% 37% 9% 3% 6% 10% 44% 46% 10%
30–31 October,
6–7 November 2021
Roy Morgan[34] Telephone/online 2723 36.5% 35% 11.5% 3% 14% 46.5% 53.5%
20–24 October 2021 Essential[35] Online 1781 37% 36% 10% 3% 8% 6% 44% 49% 6%
20–24 October 2021 Resolve Strategic[36][37] Online ~1600 37% 34% 11% 3% 14%
16–17, 23–24 October 2021 Roy Morgan[38] Telephone/online 2778 36.5% 35% 13.5% 3.5% 11.5% 46% 54%
20–23 October 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[39] Online 1515[40] 35% 38% 11% 3% 13% 46% 54%
6–10 October 2021 Essential[35] Online 1097 36% 34% 9% 4% 8% 9% 45% 46% 9%
2–3, 9–10 October 2021 Roy Morgan[41] Telephone/online 2794 37.5% 36% 11.5% 3% 12% 47% 53%
29 September – 2 October 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[42] Online 1545 37% 37% 11% 2% 13% 47% 53%
22–26 September 2021 Essential[35] Online 1094 38% 36% 9% 3% 6% 6% 46% 48% 6%
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 Roy Morgan[43] Telephone/online 2752 36% 36% 12.5% 3.5% 12% 46% 54%
15–19 September 2021 Resolve Strategic[44] Online 1606 39% 31% 10% 4% 16%
15–18 September 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[45] Online 2144 37% 38% 10% 3% 12% 47% 53%
8–12 September 2021 Essential[35] Online 1100 38% 34% 8% 4% 8% 8% 46% 46% 8%
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 Roy Morgan[46] Telephone/online 2735 39.5% 35% 13% 3% 10% 47.5% 52.5%
25–29 August 2021 Essential[35] Online 1100 38% 36% 10% 4% 6% 7% 45% 48% 7%
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 Roy Morgan[47] Telephone/online 2735 37.5% 38.5% 11.5% 3% 9.5% 45.5% 54.5%
25–28 August 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[48] Online 1528 36% 40% 10% 3% 11% 46% 54%
17–21 August 2021 Resolve Strategic[49] Online 1607 40% 32% 12% 2% 14%
16 August 2021 Essential[35] Online 37% 36% 9% 3% 6% 8% 45% 47% 8%
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 Roy Morgan[50] Telephone/online 2747 37.5% 37.5% 12.5% 3.5% 9% 46% 54%
4–7 August 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[51] Online 1527 39% 39% 11% 3% 8% 47% 53%
2 August 2021 Essential[35] Online 38% 35% 9% 4% 6% 8% 45% 47% 8%
24–25 July,
31 July – 1 August 2021
Roy Morgan[52] Telephone/online 2709 37% 37% 12.5% 3% 10.5% 46.5% 53.5%
19 July 2021 Essential[53] Online 37% 36% 10% 4% 6% 8% 45% 47% 8%
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 Roy Morgan[54] Telephone/online 2737 39% 37% 11.5% 3% 9.5% 47.5% 52.5%
13–17 July 2021 Resolve Strategic[55] Online 1607 38% 35% 12% 4% 12%
14–17 July 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[56] Online 1506 39% 39% 10% 3% 9% 47% 53%
5 July 2021 Essential[53] Online 37% 36% 8% 4% 5% 8% 44% 48% 8%
23–26 June 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[57] Online 1513 41% 37% 11% 3% 8% 49% 51%
22 June 2021 Barnaby Joyce replaces Michael McCormack as National Party leader and Deputy Prime Minister
21 June 2021 Essential[53] Online 38% 36% 10% 4% 5% 7% 45% 47% 7%
12–13, 19–20 June 2021 Roy Morgan[58] Telephone/online 2782 41.5% 34.5% 12% 3.5% 8.5% 49.5% 50.5%
13 June 2021 Resolve Strategic[59] Online 1600 40% 36% 10% 3% 12%
7 June 2021 Essential[53] Online 38% 35% 10% 4% 7% 7% 44% 48% 7%
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 Roy Morgan[60] Telephone/online 2817 40% 35.5% 11.5% 3% 10% 49% 51%
2–5 June 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[61] Online 1516 41% 36% 11% 3% 9% 50% 50%
24 May 2021 Essential[53] Online 37% 35% 10% 3% 6% 8% 44% 48% 8%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[62] Online 1622 39% 35% 12% 2% 13%
12–15 May 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[63] Online 1506 41% 36% 12% 2% 9% 49% 51%
10 May 2021 Essential[53] Online 38% 36% 9% 3% 6% 8% 44% 48% 8%
26 April 2021 Essential[53] Online 39% 34% 10% 4% 6% 7% 46% 46% 7%
21–24 April 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[64] Online 1514 41% 38% 10% 3% 8% 49% 51%
16 April 2021 Resolve Strategic[65] CATI/online 2000 38% 33% 12% 6% 11%
12 April 2021 Essential[53] Online 37% 36% 10% 3% 7% 7% 45% 48% 7%
29 March 2021 Essential[53] Online 39% 36% 8% 3% 7% 7% 46% 47% 7%
24–27 March 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[66] Online 1517 40% 38% 11% 2% 9% 48% 52%
15 March 2021 Essential[53] Online 38% 34% 9% 3% 8% 7% 47% 47% 7%
6–7, 13–14 March 2021 Roy Morgan[67] Telephone/online 2747 41% 34.5% 12.5% 2.5% 9.5% 49.5% 50.5%
10–13 March 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[68] Online 1521 39% 39% 10% 3% 9% 48% 52%
1 March 2021 Essential[53] Online 37% 34% 9% 4% 8% 7% 45% 48% 7%
17–20 February 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[69] Online 1504 42% 37% 10% 3% 8% 50% 50%
15 February 2021 Essential[53] Online 39% 35% 8% 4% 7% 6% 47% 47% 6%
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 Roy Morgan[70] Telephone/online 2786 40% 34.5% 13% 3.5% 9% 49.5% 50.5%
27 January – 1 February 2021 Essential[71][72] Online 1092 37% 35% 10% 3% 7% 8% 44% 47% 8%
27–30 January 2021 Newspoll-YouGov[73] Online 1512 42% 36% 10% 3% 9% 50% 50%
18 January 2021 Essential[71] Online 40% 33% 10% 3% 7% 7% 48% 45% 7%
14 December 2020 Essential[71] Online 37% 35% 8% 4% 7% 9% 45% 46% 9%
30 November 2020 Essential[71] Online 41% 33% 8% 4% 6% 8% 49% 43% 8%
25–28 November 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[74] Online 1511 43% 36% 11% 2% 8% 51% 49%
16 November 2020 Essential[71] Online 38% 35% 9% 4% 6% 7% 45% 47% 7%
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 Roy Morgan[75] Telephone/online 2824 42% 34% 12% 4% 8% 50.5% 49.5%
4–7 November 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[76] Online 1510 43% 35% 11% 3% 8% 51% 49%
2 November 2020 Essential[71] Online 39% 35% 9% 3% 5% 9% 44% 46% 9%
14–19 October 2020 Essential[77] Online 39% 35% 9% 3% 7% 8% 48% 45% 8%
12 October 2020 Essential[77] Online 40% 33% 9% 3% 5% 9% 47% 44% 9%
8–10 October 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[78] Online 1527 44% 34% 11% 3% 8% 52% 48%
5 October 2020 Essential[77] Online 39% 34% 9% 5% 6% 7% 47% 46% 7%
21 September 2020 Essential[77] Online 41% 31% 10% 4% 5% 9% 49% 42% 8%
16–19 September 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[79] Online 2068 43% 34% 12% 3% 8% 51% 49%
7 September 2020 Essential[77] Online 38% 32% 10% 3% 9% 8% 45% 47% 8%
26–29 August 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[80] Online 1507 41% 36% 11% 3% 9% 50% 50%
24 August 2020 Essential[77] Online 39% 35% 9% 4% 6% 7% 47% 45% 7%
10 August 2020 Essential[77] Online 38% 34% 9% 4% 5% 10% 46% 44% 10%
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 Roy Morgan[81] Telephone/online 2841 46% 32.5% 11% 3% 7.5% 54% 46%
5–8 August 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[82] Online 1509 43% 33% 11% 4% 9% 52% 48%
23–26 July 2020 Essential[83] Online 1058 38% 35% 9% 4% 6% 8% 45% 47% 8%
11–12, 18–19 July 2020 Roy Morgan[84] Telephone/online 2589 43.5% 33.5% 11% 2.5% 9.5% 51.5% 48.5%
15–18 July 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[85] Online 1850 44% 34% 10% 4% 8% 53% 47%
13 July 2020 Essential[83] Online 1054 37% 34% 10% 4% 6% 9% 45% 46% 9%
29 June 2020 Essential[83] Online 1079 39% 33% 9% 4% 6% 8% 47% 45% 8%
24–27 June 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[86] Online 1521 42% 35% 11% 3% 9% 51% 49%
22 June 2020 Essential[83] Online 1079 39% 33% 10% 5% 6% 7% 48% 46% 7%
13–14, 20–21 June 2020 Roy Morgan[87] Telephone/online 2593 42.5% 34.5% 10.5% 4% 8.5% 50.5% 49.5%
15 June 2020 Essential[83] Online 1087 38% 35% 9% 5% 7% 7% 47% 47% 7%
8 June 2020 Essential[83] Online 1073 40% 33% 9% 4% 6% 8% 47% 45% 8%
3–6 June 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[88] Online 1512 42% 34% 12% 4% 8% 51% 49%
13–16 May 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[89] Online 1504 43% 35% 10% 3% 9% 51% 49%
18–19, 25–26 April 2020 Roy Morgan[90] Telephone/online 2806 43.5% 33% 11.5% 3% 9% 51.5% 48.5%
22–25 April 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[91] Online 1519 41% 36% 12% 4% 7% 50% 50%
1–3 April 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[92] Online 1508 42% 34% 13% 5% 6% 51% 49%
11–14 March 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[93] Online 1501 40% 36% 12% 4% 8% 49% 51%
27 February 2020 COVID-19 pandemic declared a national emergency
19–22 February 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[94] Online 1513 38% 34% 13% 4% 11% 49% 51%
20 January – 3 February 2020 ANU[95] CATI/online 3249 34.8% 33.4% 14.7% 10.5%
4 February 2020 Adam Bandt replaces Richard Di Natale as Greens leader
29 January – 1 February 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[96] Online 1510 38% 35% 13% 4% 10% 48% 52%
8–11 January 2020 Newspoll-YouGov[97] Online 1505 40% 36% 12% 4% 8% 49% 51%
4–8 December 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[98] Online 1503 42% 33% 11% 5% 9% 52% 48%
21–23 November 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[99] Online[100] 1519 41% 33% 12% 5% 9% 51% 49%
7–10 November 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[101] IVR/online 1682 40% 35% 12% 7% 6% 50% 50%
17–20 October 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[102] IVR/online 1634 42% 33% 13% 6% 6% 51% 49%
26–29 September 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[103] IVR/online 1658 42% 33% 13% 6% 6% 51% 49%
5–7 September 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[104] IVR/online 1661 43% 35% 12% 5% 5% 51% 49%
15–18 August 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[105] IVR/online 1623 42% 34% 11% 4% 9% 51% 49%
25–28 July 2019 Newspoll-YouGov[106] IVR/online 1601 44% 33% 11% 3% 9% 53% 47%
30 May 2019 Anthony Albanese replaces Bill Shorten as Labor leader
18 May 2019 election 41.44% 33.34% 10.4% 3.08% 11.74% N/A 51.53% 48.47% N/A

Polling for individual seats[]

Electorate opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election

Preferred prime minister[]

Preferred prime minister.
Satisfaction rating for prime minister Scott Morrison
Satisfaction rating for opposition leader Anthony Albanese
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each rating are shown as solid lines.
Date Brand Firm Interview mode Sample size Preferred Prime Minister Morrison Albanese
Morrison Albanese Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't Know
9–12 March 2022 Newspoll[8] Yougov Online 1520 42% 42% 16% 41% 55% 4% 44% 42% 14%
23–26 February 2022 Newspoll[11] Yougov Online 1525 42% 40% 18% 43% 55% 2% 44% 43% 13%
17–20 February

2022

Essential[14] Essential Online 1089 40% 35% 25% 44% 49% 7% 43% 40% 17%
9–12 February 2022 Newspoll[16] Yougov Online 1526 43% 38% 19% 40% 56% 4% 40% 46% 14%
27–30 January 2022 Newspoll[18] Yougov Online 1523 43% 41% 16% 39% 58% 3% 43% 43% 14%
20–23 January

2022

Essential[14] Essential Online 1001 42% 35% 23% 46% 46% 8% 39% 39% 22%
11–15 January 2022 Resolve Political Monitor[107] Resolve Strategic Online 1607 38% 31% 31% 41% 50% 9% 34% 41% 28%
1–4 December 2021 Newspoll[28] YouGov Online 45% 36% 19% 44% 52% 4% 39% 45% 16%
10–13 November 2021 Newspoll[33] YouGov Online 46% 38% 16% 44% 52% 4% 37% 48% 15%
20–23 October 2021 Newspoll[39] YouGov Online 48% 34% 18% 46% 50% 4% 37% 46% 17%
29 September – 2 October 2021 Newspoll[42] YouGov Online 1545 47% 34% 19% 48% 49% 3% 37% 47% 16%
15–18 September 2021 Newspoll[45] YouGov Online 47% 35% 18% 46% 50% 4% 37% 48% 15%
25–28 August 2021 Newspoll[48] YouGov Online 1528 50% 34% 16% 49% 47% 4% 40% 47% 13%
4–7 August 2021 Newspoll[51] YouGov Online 1527 49% 36% 15% 47% 49% 4% 38% 46% 16%
13–17 July 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[55] Resolve Strategic CATI/online 1600 45% 24% 31% 45% 46% 9% 30% 46% 24%
14–17 July 2021 Newspoll[56] YouGov Online 1506 51% 33% 16% 51% 45% 4% 38% 46% 16%
6 July 2021 Essential[108] Essential Online 1099 46% 28% 26% 51% 40% 9% 41% 35% 24%
23–26 June 2021 Newspoll[57] YouGov Online 1513 53% 33% 14% 55% 41% 4% 40% 45% 15%
13 June 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[59] Resolve Strategic CATI/online 1600 46% 23% 31% 48% 41% 11% 31% 44% 25%
8 June 2021 Essential[109] Essential Online 1104 48% 28% 24% 57% 36% 8% 39% 36% 24%
2–5 June 2021 Newspoll[61] YouGov Online 1516 53% 32% 15% 54% 43% 3% 38% 47% 15%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[110] Resolve Strategic CATI/online 1622 48% 25% 27% n/a% n/a% n/a% n/a% n/a% n/a%
12–15 May 2021 Newspoll[111] YouGov Online 1506 55% 30% 15% 58% 38% 4% 39% 46% 15%
21–24 April 2021 Newspoll[64] YouGov Online 1514 56% 30% 14% 59% 37% 4% 40% 43% 17%
16 April 2021 Resolve Political Monitor[112] Resolve Strategic CATI/online 2000 47% 25% 28% n/a% n/a% n/a% n/a% n/a% n/a%
12 April 2021 Essential[113] Essential Online 1368 47% 28% 25% 54% 37% 9% 39% 34% 27%
24–27 March 2021 Newspoll[66] YouGov Online 1517 52% 32% 16% 55% 40% 5% 42% 40% 18%
16, 30 March 2021 Essential[114][115] Essential Online 1100 52% 26% 22% 57% 35% 8% 41% 32% 27%
10–13 March 2021 Newspoll[68] YouGov Online 1521 56% 30% 14% 62% 34% 4% 42% 41% 17%
17–20 February 2021 Newspoll[69] YouGov Online 1504 61% 26% 13% 64% 32% 4% 38% 45% 17%
27–30 January 2021 Newspoll[73] YouGov Online 1512 57% 29% 14% 63% 33% 4% 41% 43% 16%
15 December 2020 Essential[116] Essential Online 1071 50% 24% 26% 62% 28% 10% 43% 29% 28%
25–28 November 2020 Newspoll[74] YouGov Online 1511 60% 28% 12% 66% 30% 4% 44% 41% 15%
4–6 November 2020 Newspoll[76] YouGov Online 1510 58% 29% 13% 64% 31% 5% 43% 39% 18%
8–10 October 2020 Newspoll[78] YouGov Online 1527 57% 28% 15% 65% 31% 4% 39% 43% 18%
16–19 September 2020 Newspoll[79] YouGov Online 2068 59% 27% 14% 65% 31% 4% 39% 40% 21%
26–29 August 2020 Newspoll[80] YouGov Online 1507 58% 29% 13% 64% 32% 4% 43% 41% 16%
6–9 August 2020 Essential[117] Essential Online 1010 52% 22% 26% 66% 23% 11% 44% 30% 26%
5–8 August 2020 Newspoll[82] YouGov Online 1509 60% 25% 15% 68% 29% 3% 41% 38% 15%
15–18 July 2020 Newspoll[85] YouGov Online 1850 59% 26% 15% 68% 27% 5% 41% 40% 19%
9–12 July 2020 Essential[118] Essential Online 1054 50% 27% 23% 63% 27% 10% 44% 28% 28%
24–27 June 2020 Newspoll[86] YouGov Online 1521 58% 26% 16% 68% 27% 5% 42% 40% 18%
3–6 June 2020 Newspoll[88] YouGov Online 1512 56% 26% 18% 66% 29% 5% 41% 38% 21%
2 June 2020 Essential[119] Essential Online 1059 53% 23% 24% 65% 26% 9% 43% 30% 27%
13–16 May 2020 Newspoll[89] YouGov Online 1504 56% 29% 15% 66% 30% 4% 44% 37% 19%
5 May 2020 Essential[120] Essential Online 1093 50% 25% 25% 64% 27% 9% 42% 27% 31%
22–25 April 2020 Newspoll[121] YouGov Online 1508 56% 28% 16% 68% 28% 4% 45% 34% 21%
2–5 April 2020 Essential[122] Essential Online 1069 46% 27% 27% 59% 31% 10% 44% 29% 27%
1–3 April 2020 Newspoll[123] YouGov Online 1508 53% 29% 18% 61% 35% 4% 45% 36% 19%
11–14 March 2020 Newspoll[124] YouGov Online 1501 42% 38% 20% 41% 53% 6% 40% 40% 20%
11 March 2020 Essential[125] Essential Online 1096 40% 35% 25% 41% 49% 10% 41% 33% 26%
19–22 February 2020 Newspoll[126] YouGov Online 1513 40% 41% 19% 38% 58% 4% 39% 44% 17%
11 February 2020 Essential[127] Essential Online 1056 36% 36% 28% 39% 52% 9% 41% 31% 28%
29 January – 1 February 2020 Newspoll[128] YouGov Online 1510 38% 43% 19% 37% 59% 4% 43% 40% 17%
7–11 January 2020 Essential[129] Essential Online 1081 36% 39% 25% 40% 52% 8% 43% 30% 27%
8–11 January 2020 Newspoll[97] YouGov Online 1505 39% 43% 18% 37% 59% 4% 46% 37% 17%
5–8 December 2019 Essential[130] Essential Online 1035 n/a n/a n/a 45% 43% 12% 39% 28% 33%
8 December 2019 Newspoll[98] YouGov Online 48% 34% 18% 45% 48% 7% 40% 41% 19%
23 November 2019 Newspoll[99] YouGov Online 46% 35% 19% 43% 52% 5% 38% 45% 17%
12 November 2019 Essential[131] YouGov Online 44% 28% 29% 45% 41% 14% 37% 34% 29%
10 November 2019 Newspoll[101] YouGov IVR/online 46% 32% 22% 46% 43% 11% 42% 37% 21%
20 October 2019 Newspoll[102] YouGov IVR/online 47% 32% 21% 47% 45% 8% 37% 44% 19%
15 October 2019 Essential[132] Essential Online 43% 28% 29% 47% 38% 15% 40% 29% 31%
29 September 2019 Newspoll[103] YouGov IVR/online 50% 31% 19% 47% 43% 10% 39% 40% 21%
17 September 2019 Essential[133] Essential Online 46% 25% 29% 49% 36% 15% 36% 31% 33%
5–7 September 2019 Newspoll[104] YouGov IVR/online 48% 28% 24% 49% 39% 12% 35% 40% 25%
1 September 2019 YouGov[134] YouGov Online 46% 23% 31% n/a% n/a% n/a% n/a% n/a% n/a%
22 August 2019 Essential[135] Essential Online 44% 28% 28% 48% 37% 15% 38% 29% 33%
15–18 August 2019 Newspoll[136] YouGov IVR/online 48% 30% 22% 48% 42% 10% 41% 34% 25%
25–28 July 2019 Newspoll[137] YouGov IVR/online 48% 31% 21% 51% 36% 13% 39% 36% 25%
17–21 July 2019 Essential[138] Essential Online 44% 26% 30% 48% 34% 18% 39% 24% 37%
19–23 June 2019 Essential[139] Essential Online 43% 25% 32% 48% 36% 16% 35% 25% 40%

Sub-national polling[]

Some pollsters provided breakdowns of their polls by state, whilst others only poll a specific state. These results are listed by state below.

New South Wales[]

Date Firm Sample size Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
14-20 March 2022 Roy Morgan[140] - - - - - - 42.5% 57.5%
14-23 February 2022 Roy Morgan[141] - - - - - - 43.5% 56.5%
18 February 2022 Roy Morgan[142] 41% 59%
12 February 2022 NSW by-elections in Monaro, Bega, Strathfield & Willoughby
4–16 January 2022 Roy Morgan[21] 42% 58%
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 Roy Morgan[27] 44.5% 55.5%
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 Roy Morgan[32] 44.5% 55.5%
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 Roy Morgan[43] 46.5% 53.5%
5 October 2021 Gladys Berejiklian resigns as Premier of New South Wales
14 July – 18 September 2021 Newspoll 2057 39% 38% 11% 1% 11% 48% 52%
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 Roy Morgan[46] 46% 54%
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 Roy Morgan[47] 47% 53%
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 Roy Morgan 48% 52%
24–25 July, 31 July – 1 August 2021 Roy Morgan[52] 49% 51%
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 Resolve Strategic[55] 38% 33% 12% 1% 16%
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 Roy Morgan 49.5% 50.5%
21 April – 26 June 2021 Newspoll 1861 42% 37% 11% 1% 9% 50% 50%
13 June 2021 Resolve Strategic[143] 46% 32% 10% 1% 11%
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 Roy Morgan 49.5% 50.5%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[110] 39% 36% 12% 1% 12%
16 April 2021 Resolve Strategic[112] 41% 29% 12% 7% 11%
27 January – 27 March 2021 Newspoll[144] 1779 42% 36% 11% 1% 10% 50% 50%
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 Roy Morgan[145] 2786 54% 46%
26 August – 28 November 2020 Newspoll[146] 2304 44% 36% 11% 1% 8% 51% 49%
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 Roy Morgan[75] 2824 53.5% 46.5%
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 Roy Morgan[81] 2841 56.5% 43.5%
3 June – 8 August 2020 Newspoll[147] 457–2034 42% 37% 11% 1% 9% 49% 51%
11/12, 18/19 July 2020 Roy Morgan[84] 2589 52.5% 47.5%
11 March – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[148] 472–1905 42% 36% 11% 2% 9% 50% 50%
7–8 December 2019 Newspoll[149] 930–1472 42% 35% 10% 2% 12% 51% 49%
18 May 2019 election 42.54% 34.56% 8.71% 1.31% 12.88% 51.78% 48.22%

Victoria[]

Date Firm Sample size Primary vote 2pp vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
14-20 March 2022 Roy Morgan[140] - - - - - - 36% 64%
14-23 February 2022 Roy Morgan[141] - - - - - - 40% 60%
18 February 2022 Roy Morgan[142] 42.5% 57.5%
4–16 January 2022 Roy Morgan[21] 41% 59%
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 Roy Morgan[27] 41.5% 58.5%
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 Roy Morgan[34] 42% 58%
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 Roy Morgan[34] 45% 55%
July – September 2021 Resolve Strategic[150] 37% 35% 11% 1% 15%
1819, 2526 September 2021 Roy Morgan[43] 44% 56%
14 July – 18 September 2021 Newspoll 1731 35% 42% 12% 0% 11% 42% 58%
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 Roy Morgan[46] 43% 57%
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 Roy Morgan[47] 40.5% 59.5%
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 Roy Morgan 40% 60%
24–25 July, 31 July – 1 August 2021 Roy Morgan[52] 40.5% 59.5%
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 Resolve Strategic[55] 34% 40% 11% 0% 13%
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 Roy Morgan 43.5% 56.5%
21 April – 26 June 2021 Newspoll 1536 40% 37% 13% 1% 9% 47% 53%
13 June 2021 Resolve Strategic[143] 37% 37% 10% 1% 15%
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 Roy Morgan 46.5% 53.5%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[110] 41% 34% 12% 0% 13%
16 April 2021 Resolve Strategic[112] 33% 34% 12% 6% 14%
27 January – 27 March 2021 Newspoll[151] 1506 40% 39% 10% 1% 10% 47% 53%
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 Roy Morgan[145] 2786 45% 55%
26 August – 28 November 2020 Newspoll[146] 2160 39% 39% 14% 0% 8% 45% 55%
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 Roy Morgan[75] 2824 46.5% 53.5%
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 Roy Morgan[81] 2841 48% 52%
3 June – 8 August 2020 Newspoll[147] 457–2034 37% 40% 14% 1% 8% 44% 56%
1112, 18–19 July 2020 Roy Morgan[84] 2589 46.5% 53.5%
11 March – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[148] 472–1905 39% 40% 13% 1% 7% 45% 55%
7–8 December 2019 Newspoll[149] 930–1472 40% 38% 12% 1% 11% 47% 53%
18 May 2019 election 38.58% 36.86% 11.89% 0.95% 11.72% 46.86% 53.14%

Queensland[]

Date Firm Sample size Primary vote 2pp vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
14-20 March 2022 Roy Morgan - - - - - - 54.5% 45.5%
14-23 February 2022 Roy Morgan - - - - - - 50% 50%
18 February 2022 Roy Morgan[142] 48.5% 51.5%
4–16 January 2022 Roy Morgan[21] 51.5% 48.5%
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 Roy Morgan[27] 45.5% 54.5%
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 Roy Morgan[34] 48.5% 51.5%
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 Roy Morgan[34] 53% 47%
July – September 2021 Resolve Strategic[150] 42% 28% 10% 11% 9%
1819, 2526 September 2021 Roy Morgan[43] 52.5% 47.5%
14 July – 18 September 2021 Newspoll 1536 42% 33% 9% 8% 8% 55% 45%
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 Roy Morgan[46] 54% 46%
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 Roy Morgan[47] 53.5% 46.5%
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 Roy Morgan 52% 48%
24–25 July, 31 July – 1 August 2021 Roy Morgan[52] 52% 48%
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 Resolve Strategic[55] 43% 26% 9% 15% 6%
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 Roy Morgan 51.5% 48.5%
21 April – 26 June 2021 Newspoll 1249 42% 33% 11% 7% 7% 53% 47%
13 June 2021 Resolve Strategic[143] 38% 35% 10% 7% 10%
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 Roy Morgan 53% 47%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[110] 41% 30% 12% 7% 11% ��
16 April 2021 Resolve Strategic[112] 38% 30% 11% 8% 11%
27 January – 27 March 2021 Newspoll[151] 1276 42% 35% 10% 8% 5% 53% 47%
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 Roy Morgan[145] 2786 52% 48%
26 August – 28 November 2020 Newspoll[146] 1879 45% 29% 12% 9% 5% 57% 43%
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 Roy Morgan[75] 2824 54.5% 45.5%
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 Roy Morgan[81] 2841 60% 40%
3 June – 8 August 2020 Newspoll[147] 457–2034 46% 27% 10% 11% 6% 59% 41%
1112, 1819 July 2020 Roy Morgan[84] 2589 58% 42%
11 March – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[148] 472–1905 42% 28% 13% 11% 6% 56% 44%
7–8 December 2019 Newspoll[149] 930–1472 40% 29% 12% 13% 6% 55% 45%
1 September 2019 YouGov Galaxy 40% 29% 12% 13% 6% 55% 45%
18 May 2019 election 43.70% 26.68% 10.32% 8.86% 10.44% 58.44% 41.56%

Western Australia[]

Date Firm Sample size Primary vote 2pp vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
14-20 March 2022 Roy Morgan[140] - - - - - - 41% 59%
14-23 February 2022 Roy Morgan[141] - - - - - - 48% 52%
18 February 2022 Roy Morgan[142] 46.5% 53.5%
4–16 January 2022 Roy Morgan[21] 49% 51%
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 Roy Morgan[27] 49.5% 50.5%
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 Roy Morgan[32] 46.5% 53.5%
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 Roy Morgan[34] 46.5% 53.5%
1819, 2526 September 2021 Roy Morgan[43] 45.5% 54.5%
14 July – 18 September 2021 Newspoll 602 37% 42% 10% 5% 6% 46% 54%
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 Roy Morgan[46] 53% 47%
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 Roy Morgan[47] 49% 51%
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 Roy Morgan 45.5% 54.5%
24–25 July, 31 July1 August 2021 Roy Morgan[52] 51.5% 48.5%
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 Resolve Strategic[55] 33% 39% 21% 2% 6%
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 Roy Morgan 47.5% 52.5%
21 April – 26 June 2021 Newspoll 625 39% 41% 10% 5% 5% 47% 53%
13 June 2021 Resolve Strategic[143] 33% 40% 15% 4% 8%
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 Roy Morgan 51% 49%
12–16 May 2021 Resolve Strategic[110] 44% 38% 11% 3% 3%
16 April 2021 Resolve Strategic[112] 42% 40% 13% 5% 1%
27 January – 27 March 2021 Newspoll[151] 628 40% 42% 10% 4% 4% 47% 53%
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 Roy Morgan[145] 2786 49.5% 50.5%
26 August – 28 November 2020 Newspoll[146] 779 43% 32% 13% 7% 5% 53% 47%
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 Roy Morgan[75] 2824 51% 49%
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 Roy Morgan[81] 2841 53.5% 46.5%
3 June – 8 August 2020 Newspoll[147] 457–2034 45% 31% 13% 8% 3% 54% 46%
1112, 1819 July 2020 Roy Morgan[84] 2589 53.5% 46.5%
11 March – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[148] 472–1905 44% 31% 12% 9% 4% 55% 45%
18 May 2019 election 43.79% 29.80% 11.62% 5.31% 9.48% 55.55% 44.45%

South Australia[]

Date Firm Sample size Primary vote 2pp vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
14-20 March 2022 Roy Morgan[140] - - - - - - 39.5% 60.5%
Peter Malinauskas wins the 2022 South Australia State Election
14-23 February 2022 Roy Morgan[141] - - - - - - 41.5% 59.5%
18 February 2022 Roy Morgan[142] 40.5% 59.5%
4–16 January 2022 Roy Morgan[21] 39.5% 60.5%
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 Roy Morgan[27] 35.5% 64.5%
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 Roy Morgan[32] 44.5% 55.5%
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 Roy Morgan[34] 42.5% 57.5%
1819, 2526 September 2021 Roy Morgan[43] 41.5% 58.5%
14 July – 18 September 2021 Newspoll 472 40% 38% 11% 1% 10% 47% 53%
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 Roy Morgan[46] 48.5% 51.5%
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 Roy Morgan[47] 42.5% 57.5%
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 Roy Morgan 45.5% 54.5%
24–25 July, 31 July – 1 August 2021 Roy Morgan[52] 44.5% 55.5%
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 Roy Morgan 49% 51%
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 Roy Morgan 50.5% 49.5%
21 April – 26 June 2021 Newspoll 473 37% 39% 10% 2% 12% 46% 54%
27 January – 27 March 2021 Newspoll[151] 517 38% 41% 10% 0% 11% 45% 55%
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 Roy Morgan[145] 2786 50.5% 49.5%
26 August – 28 November 2020 Newspoll[146] 600 44% 36% 10% 1% 9% 51% 49%
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 Roy Morgan[75] 2824 48% 52%
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 Roy Morgan[81] 2841 57.5% 42.5%
3 June – 8 August 2020 Newspoll[147] 457–2034 43% 36% 10% 0% 11% 50% 50%
1112, 819 July 2020 Roy Morgan[84] 2589 53% 47%
11 March – 16 May 2020 Newspoll[148] 472–1905 40% 37% 12% 0% 11% 47% 53%
18 May 2019 election 40.57% 35.38% 9.61% 0.84% 13.60% 49.29% 50.71%

Tasmania[]

Date Firm Sample size Primary vote 2pp vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
14-20 March 2022 Roy Morgan[140] - - - - - - 40% 60%
14-23 February 2022 Roy Morgan[141] - - - - - - 25% 75%
18 February 2022 Roy Morgan[142] 35% 65%
4–16 January 2022 Roy Morgan[21] 39.5% 60.5%
27–28 December, 4–5 December 2021 Roy Morgan[27] 48.5% 51.5%
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 Roy Morgan[32] 47% 53%
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 Roy Morgan[34] 42.5% 57.5%
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 Roy Morgan[43] 48% 52%
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 Roy Morgan[46] 44.5% 55.5%
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 Roy Morgan[47] 36.5% 63.5%
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 Roy Morgan 43% 57%
24–25 July, 31 July − 1 August 2021 Roy Morgan[52] 46% 54%
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 Roy Morgan 42% 58%
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 2824 52% 48%
1112, 1819 July 2020 Roy Morgan[84] 2589 42% 58%
18 May 2019 election 34.60% 33.61% 10.12% 2.79% 18.88% 44.04% 55.96%

Government approval rating[]

Individual polls[]

Date Firm Right
direction
Wrong
direction
Can't
say
GCR[152] Lead
14-20 March 2022 Roy Morgan[140] 33.5% 50.5% 16% 83 -17%
14-23 February 2022 Roy Morgan[141] 35% 47% 18% 88 -12%
18 February 2022 Roy Morgan[142] 35% 48.5% 16.5% 86.5 -13.5%
4–16 January 2022 Roy Morgan[21] 34% 51% 15% 83 -17%
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 Roy Morgan[27] 38% 46.5% 15.5% 91.5 -8.5%
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 Roy Morgan[41] 39.5% 46% 14.5% 93.5 -6.5%
2–3, 9–10 October 2021 Roy Morgan[41] 40% 45% 15% 95 -5%
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 Roy Morgan[43] 40% 44% 16% 96 -4%
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 Roy Morgan[46] 40% 45.5% 14.5% 94.5 -5.5%
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 Roy Morgan 53.5% 30% 16.5% 123.5 +23.5%
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 Roy Morgan 48% 34% 18% 114 +14%
11–12, 18–19 July 2020 Roy Morgan[84] 49% 34.5% 16.5% 114.5 +14.5%
13–14, 23–24 June 2020 Roy Morgan[84] 53.5% 29.5% 17% 124 +24%
16–17, 23–24 May 2020 Roy Morgan 54.5% 29.5% 16% 125 +25%
18–19, 25–26 April 2020 Roy Morgan[90] 51.5% 27.5% 21% 124 +24%
29 February – 1 March, 7–8 March 2020 Roy Morgan[90] 37% 47% 16% 90 –10%
22–23, 29–30 June 2019 Roy Morgan[153] 43.5% 39% 17.5% 104.5 +4.5%

See also[]

Notes[]

  1. ^ 10.5% Independents, 3.5% Other
  2. ^ 9% Independents, 3.5% Other
  3. ^ 8.5% Independents, 4% Other
  4. ^ 1% UAP, 12.5% Independents/Other

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