Opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election
2022 Australian federal election |
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In the lead-up to the 2022 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have been conducting regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders. Key polling companies include YouGov, Essential Media Communications, Roy Morgan Research and Newspoll.
Ipsos polls used to be published in The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and the Australian Financial Review,[1][2] but – following a shock result of the 2019 Australian federal election, when the Coalition won the election against all of the opinion polls' predictions – the Nine Entertainment group decided to discontinue its relationship with Ipsos.[3] Since then, as of 2022, the newspapers have not reported any political polling, but continue to report the results of other Ipsos polls.[4]
Graphical summary[]
Voting intention[]
2022[]
Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | L/NP | ALP | UND | ||||
17-20 March 2022 | Essential[5] | Online | 1091 | 37% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 44% | 48% | 7% |
14–20 March 2022 | Roy Morgan[6] | Telephone/online | 1418 | 31% | 37.5% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 15.5% | – | 42% | 58% | – |
3–13 March 2022 | Roy Morgan[7] | Telephone/online | 1947 | 33.5% | 37% | 11.5% | 3% | 1% | 14%[a] | – | 44% | 56% | – |
9–12 March 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[8] | Online | 1520 | 35% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 10% | – | 45% | 55% | – |
2–6 March 2022 | Essential[9] | Online | 1093 | 36% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
24 February – 3 March 2022 | Roy Morgan[10] | Telephone/online | 1141 | 34% | 37.5% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 1% | 12.5%[b] | – | 43.5% | 56.5% | – |
23–26 February 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[11] | Online | 1525 | 35% | 41% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 8% | – | 45% | 55% | – |
14–23 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[12] | Telephone/online | 2261 | 32.5% | 37.5% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 12.5%[c] | – | 43.5% | 56.5% | – |
15–20 February 2022 | Resolve Strategic[13] | Online | 1604 | 33% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 15% | – | – | – | – |
17–20 February 2022 | Essential[14] | Online | 1089 | 35% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
31 January – 13 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[15] | Telephone/online | 2796 | 33% | 38.5% | 11.5% | 4% | 1.5% | 11.5% | – | 43% | 57% | – |
9–12 February 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[16] | Online | 1526 | 34% | 41% | 8% | 3% | – | 14% | – | 45% | 55% | – |
2–6 February 2022 | Essential[17] | Online | 1069 | 37% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 46% | 47% | 8% |
27–30 January 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[18] | Online | 1523 | 34% | 41% | 11% | 3% | – | 11% | – | 44% | 56% | – |
17–30 January 2022 | Roy Morgan[19] | Telephone/online | 2783 | 33% | 37.5% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 2% | 12.5% | – | 43.5% | 56.5% | – |
20–23 January 2022 | Essential[20] | Online | 1062 | 36% | 37% | 8% | 3% | – | 9% | 8% | 43% | 50% | 8% |
4–16 January 2022 | Roy Morgan[21] | Telephone/online | 2791 | 34.5% | 37% | 12% | 3% | 0.5% | 13% | – | 44% | 56% | – |
11–15 January 2022 | Resolve Strategic[22] | Online | 1607 | 34% | 35% | 11% | 3% | – | 17% | – | – | – | – |
2019–2021[]
Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | UND | L/NP | ALP | UND | ||||
8–13 December 2021 | Essential[23] | Online | 1095 | 36% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
11–12 December, 18–19 December 2021 |
Roy Morgan[24][25] | Telephone/online | – | 34.5% | 37% | 11.5% | 4% | 13% | – | 44.5% | 55.5% | – |
1–5 December 2021 | Essential[26] | Online | 1094 | 38% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 45% | 48% | 8% |
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 |
Roy Morgan[27] | Telephone/online | 2805 | 34.5% | 36% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 13.5%[d] | – | 43.5% | 56.5% | – |
1–4 December 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[28] | Online | 1518 | 36% | 38% | 10% | 3% | 13% | – | 47% | 53% | – |
17–21 November 2021 | Essential[29][30] | Online | 1095 | 36% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
17–21 November 2021 | Resolve Strategic[31] | Online | 1781 | 39% | 32% | 11% | 3% | 14% | – | – | – | – |
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[32] | Telephone/online | 2795 | 35.5% | 35.5% | 12% | 3.5% | 13.5% | – | 44.5% | 55.5% | – |
10–13 November 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[33] | Online | 1524 | 37% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 12% | – | 47% | 53% | – |
3–7 November 2021 | Essential[29][30] | Online | 1089 | 35% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 |
Roy Morgan[34] | Telephone/online | 2723 | 36.5% | 35% | 11.5% | 3% | 14% | – | 46.5% | 53.5% | – |
20–24 October 2021 | Essential[35] | Online | 1781 | 37% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 44% | 49% | 6% |
20–24 October 2021 | Resolve Strategic[36][37] | Online | ~1600 | 37% | 34% | 11% | 3% | 14% | – | – | – | – |
16–17, 23–24 October 2021 | Roy Morgan[38] | Telephone/online | 2778 | 36.5% | 35% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 11.5% | – | 46% | 54% | – |
20–23 October 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[39] | Online | 1515[40] | 35% | 38% | 11% | 3% | 13% | – | 46% | 54% | – |
6–10 October 2021 | Essential[35] | Online | 1097 | 36% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
2–3, 9–10 October 2021 | Roy Morgan[41] | Telephone/online | 2794 | 37.5% | 36% | 11.5% | 3% | 12% | – | 47% | 53% | – |
29 September – 2 October 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[42] | Online | 1545 | 37% | 37% | 11% | 2% | 13% | – | 47% | 53% | – |
22–26 September 2021 | Essential[35] | Online | 1094 | 38% | 36% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[43] | Telephone/online | 2752 | 36% | 36% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 12% | – | 46% | 54% | – |
15–19 September 2021 | Resolve Strategic[44] | Online | 1606 | 39% | 31% | 10% | 4% | 16% | – | – | – | – |
15–18 September 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[45] | Online | 2144 | 37% | 38% | 10% | 3% | 12% | – | 47% | 53% | – |
8–12 September 2021 | Essential[35] | Online | 1100 | 38% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[46] | Telephone/online | 2735 | 39.5% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 10% | – | 47.5% | 52.5% | – |
25–29 August 2021 | Essential[35] | Online | 1100 | 38% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[47] | Telephone/online | 2735 | 37.5% | 38.5% | 11.5% | 3% | 9.5% | – | 45.5% | 54.5% | – |
25–28 August 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[48] | Online | 1528 | 36% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 11% | – | 46% | 54% | – |
17–21 August 2021 | Resolve Strategic[49] | Online | 1607 | 40% | 32% | 12% | 2% | 14% | – | – | – | – |
16 August 2021 | Essential[35] | Online | – | 37% | 36% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[50] | Telephone/online | 2747 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 9% | – | 46% | 54% | – |
4–7 August 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[51] | Online | 1527 | 39% | 39% | 11% | 3% | 8% | – | 47% | 53% | – |
2 August 2021 | Essential[35] | Online | – | 38% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
24–25 July, 31 July – 1 August 2021 |
Roy Morgan[52] | Telephone/online | 2709 | 37% | 37% | 12.5% | 3% | 10.5% | – | 46.5% | 53.5% | – |
19 July 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 37% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 | Roy Morgan[54] | Telephone/online | 2737 | 39% | 37% | 11.5% | 3% | 9.5% | – | 47.5% | 52.5% | – |
13–17 July 2021 | Resolve Strategic[55] | Online | 1607 | 38% | 35% | 12% | 4% | 12% | – | – | – | – |
14–17 July 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[56] | Online | 1506 | 39% | 39% | 10% | 3% | 9% | – | 47% | 53% | – |
5 July 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 37% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
23–26 June 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[57] | Online | 1513 | 41% | 37% | 11% | 3% | 8% | – | 49% | 51% | – |
22 June 2021 | Barnaby Joyce replaces Michael McCormack as National Party leader and Deputy Prime Minister | |||||||||||
21 June 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 38% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 45% | 47% | 7% |
12–13, 19–20 June 2021 | Roy Morgan[58] | Telephone/online | 2782 | 41.5% | 34.5% | 12% | 3.5% | 8.5% | – | 49.5% | 50.5% | – |
13 June 2021 | Resolve Strategic[59] | Online | 1600 | 40% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 12% | – | – | – | – |
7 June 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 38% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 44% | 48% | 7% |
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 | Roy Morgan[60] | Telephone/online | 2817 | 40% | 35.5% | 11.5% | 3% | 10% | – | 49% | 51% | – |
2–5 June 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[61] | Online | 1516 | 41% | 36% | 11% | 3% | 9% | – | 50% | 50% | – |
24 May 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 37% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Strategic[62] | Online | 1622 | 39% | 35% | 12% | 2% | 13% | – | – | – | – |
12–15 May 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[63] | Online | 1506 | 41% | 36% | 12% | 2% | 9% | – | 49% | 51% | – |
10 May 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 38% | 36% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
26 April 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 39% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 46% | 46% | 7% |
21–24 April 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[64] | Online | 1514 | 41% | 38% | 10% | 3% | 8% | – | 49% | 51% | – |
16 April 2021 | Resolve Strategic[65] | CATI/online | 2000 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 11% | – | – | – | – |
12 April 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 37% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
29 March 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 39% | 36% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
24–27 March 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[66] | Online | 1517 | 40% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 9% | – | 48% | 52% | – |
15 March 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 38% | 34% | 9% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 47% | 47% | 7% |
6–7, 13–14 March 2021 | Roy Morgan[67] | Telephone/online | 2747 | 41% | 34.5% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 9.5% | – | 49.5% | 50.5% | – |
10–13 March 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[68] | Online | 1521 | 39% | 39% | 10% | 3% | 9% | – | 48% | 52% | – |
1 March 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 37% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
17–20 February 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[69] | Online | 1504 | 42% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 8% | – | 50% | 50% | – |
15 February 2021 | Essential[53] | Online | – | 39% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 | Roy Morgan[70] | Telephone/online | 2786 | 40% | 34.5% | 13% | 3.5% | 9% | – | 49.5% | 50.5% | – |
27 January – 1 February 2021 | Essential[71][72] | Online | 1092 | 37% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 44% | 47% | 8% |
27–30 January 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[73] | Online | 1512 | 42% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 9% | – | 50% | 50% | – |
18 January 2021 | Essential[71] | Online | – | 40% | 33% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
14 December 2020 | Essential[71] | Online | – | 37% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
30 November 2020 | Essential[71] | Online | – | 41% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
25–28 November 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[74] | Online | 1511 | 43% | 36% | 11% | 2% | 8% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
16 November 2020 | Essential[71] | Online | – | 38% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 45% | 47% | 7% |
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 | Roy Morgan[75] | Telephone/online | 2824 | 42% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 8% | – | 50.5% | 49.5% | – |
4–7 November 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[76] | Online | 1510 | 43% | 35% | 11% | 3% | 8% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
2 November 2020 | Essential[71] | Online | – | 39% | 35% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 44% | 46% | 9% |
14–19 October 2020 | Essential[77] | Online | – | 39% | 35% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 48% | 45% | 8% |
12 October 2020 | Essential[77] | Online | – | 40% | 33% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
8–10 October 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[78] | Online | 1527 | 44% | 34% | 11% | 3% | 8% | – | 52% | 48% | – |
5 October 2020 | Essential[77] | Online | – | 39% | 34% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
21 September 2020 | Essential[77] | Online | – | 41% | 31% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 49% | 42% | 8% |
16–19 September 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[79] | Online | 2068 | 43% | 34% | 12% | 3% | 8% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
7 September 2020 | Essential[77] | Online | – | 38% | 32% | 10% | 3% | 9% | 8% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
26–29 August 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[80] | Online | 1507 | 41% | 36% | 11% | 3% | 9% | – | 50% | 50% | – |
24 August 2020 | Essential[77] | Online | – | 39% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 47% | 45% | 7% |
10 August 2020 | Essential[77] | Online | – | 38% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 | Roy Morgan[81] | Telephone/online | 2841 | 46% | 32.5% | 11% | 3% | 7.5% | – | 54% | 46% | – |
5–8 August 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[82] | Online | 1509 | 43% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 9% | – | 52% | 48% | – |
23–26 July 2020 | Essential[83] | Online | 1058 | 38% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
11–12, 18–19 July 2020 | Roy Morgan[84] | Telephone/online | 2589 | 43.5% | 33.5% | 11% | 2.5% | 9.5% | – | 51.5% | 48.5% | – |
15–18 July 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[85] | Online | 1850 | 44% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 8% | – | 53% | 47% | – |
13 July 2020 | Essential[83] | Online | 1054 | 37% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
29 June 2020 | Essential[83] | Online | 1079 | 39% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
24–27 June 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[86] | Online | 1521 | 42% | 35% | 11% | 3% | 9% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
22 June 2020 | Essential[83] | Online | 1079 | 39% | 33% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 48% | 46% | 7% |
13–14, 20–21 June 2020 | Roy Morgan[87] | Telephone/online | 2593 | 42.5% | 34.5% | 10.5% | 4% | 8.5% | – | 50.5% | 49.5% | – |
15 June 2020 | Essential[83] | Online | 1087 | 38% | 35% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 47% | 47% | 7% |
8 June 2020 | Essential[83] | Online | 1073 | 40% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
3–6 June 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[88] | Online | 1512 | 42% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 8% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
13–16 May 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[89] | Online | 1504 | 43% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 9% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
18–19, 25–26 April 2020 | Roy Morgan[90] | Telephone/online | 2806 | 43.5% | 33% | 11.5% | 3% | 9% | – | 51.5% | 48.5% | – |
22–25 April 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[91] | Online | 1519 | 41% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 7% | – | 50% | 50% | – |
1–3 April 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[92] | Online | 1508 | 42% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 6% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
11–14 March 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[93] | Online | 1501 | 40% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 8% | – | 49% | 51% | – |
27 February 2020 | COVID-19 pandemic declared a national emergency | |||||||||||
19–22 February 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[94] | Online | 1513 | 38% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 11% | – | 49% | 51% | – |
20 January – 3 February 2020 | ANU[95] | CATI/online | 3249 | 34.8% | 33.4% | 14.7% | – | 10.5% | – | – | – | – |
4 February 2020 | Adam Bandt replaces Richard Di Natale as Greens leader | |||||||||||
29 January – 1 February 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[96] | Online | 1510 | 38% | 35% | 13% | 4% | 10% | – | 48% | 52% | – |
8–11 January 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[97] | Online | 1505 | 40% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 8% | – | 49% | 51% | – |
4–8 December 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[98] | Online | 1503 | 42% | 33% | 11% | 5% | 9% | – | 52% | 48% | – |
21–23 November 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[99] | Online[100] | 1519 | 41% | 33% | 12% | 5% | 9% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
7–10 November 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[101] | IVR/online | 1682 | 40% | 35% | 12% | 7% | 6% | – | 50% | 50% | – |
17–20 October 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[102] | IVR/online | 1634 | 42% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 6% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
26–29 September 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[103] | IVR/online | 1658 | 42% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 6% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
5–7 September 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[104] | IVR/online | 1661 | 43% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 5% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
15–18 August 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[105] | IVR/online | 1623 | 42% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 9% | – | 51% | 49% | – |
25–28 July 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[106] | IVR/online | 1601 | 44% | 33% | 11% | 3% | 9% | – | 53% | 47% | – |
30 May 2019 | Anthony Albanese replaces Bill Shorten as Labor leader | |||||||||||
18 May 2019 election | 41.44% | 33.34% | 10.4% | 3.08% | 11.74% | N/A | 51.53% | 48.47% | N/A |
Polling for individual seats[]
Electorate opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election
Preferred prime minister[]
Date | Brand | Firm | Interview mode | Sample size | Preferred Prime Minister | Morrison | Albanese | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morrison | Albanese | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | |||||
9–12 March 2022 | Newspoll[8] | Yougov | Online | 1520 | 42% | 42% | 16% | 41% | 55% | 4% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
23–26 February 2022 | Newspoll[11] | Yougov | Online | 1525 | 42% | 40% | 18% | 43% | 55% | 2% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
17–20 February
2022 |
Essential[14] | Essential | Online | 1089 | 40% | 35% | 25% | 44% | 49% | 7% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
9–12 February 2022 | Newspoll[16] | Yougov | Online | 1526 | 43% | 38% | 19% | 40% | 56% | 4% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
27–30 January 2022 | Newspoll[18] | Yougov | Online | 1523 | 43% | 41% | 16% | 39% | 58% | 3% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
20–23 January
2022 |
Essential[14] | Essential | Online | 1001 | 42% | 35% | 23% | 46% | 46% | 8% | 39% | 39% | 22% |
11–15 January 2022 | Resolve Political Monitor[107] | Resolve Strategic | Online | 1607 | 38% | 31% | 31% | 41% | 50% | 9% | 34% | 41% | 28% |
1–4 December 2021 | Newspoll[28] | YouGov | Online | – | 45% | 36% | 19% | 44% | 52% | 4% | 39% | 45% | 16% |
10–13 November 2021 | Newspoll[33] | YouGov | Online | – | 46% | 38% | 16% | 44% | 52% | 4% | 37% | 48% | 15% |
20–23 October 2021 | Newspoll[39] | YouGov | Online | – | 48% | 34% | 18% | 46% | 50% | 4% | 37% | 46% | 17% |
29 September – 2 October 2021 | Newspoll[42] | YouGov | Online | 1545 | 47% | 34% | 19% | 48% | 49% | 3% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
15–18 September 2021 | Newspoll[45] | YouGov | Online | – | 47% | 35% | 18% | 46% | 50% | 4% | 37% | 48% | 15% |
25–28 August 2021 | Newspoll[48] | YouGov | Online | 1528 | 50% | 34% | 16% | 49% | 47% | 4% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
4–7 August 2021 | Newspoll[51] | YouGov | Online | 1527 | 49% | 36% | 15% | 47% | 49% | 4% | 38% | 46% | 16% |
13–17 July 2021 | Resolve Political Monitor[55] | Resolve Strategic | CATI/online | 1600 | 45% | 24% | 31% | 45% | 46% | 9% | 30% | 46% | 24% |
14–17 July 2021 | Newspoll[56] | YouGov | Online | 1506 | 51% | 33% | 16% | 51% | 45% | 4% | 38% | 46% | 16% |
6 July 2021 | Essential[108] | Essential | Online | 1099 | 46% | 28% | 26% | 51% | 40% | 9% | 41% | 35% | 24% |
23–26 June 2021 | Newspoll[57] | YouGov | Online | 1513 | 53% | 33% | 14% | 55% | 41% | 4% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
13 June 2021 | Resolve Political Monitor[59] | Resolve Strategic | CATI/online | 1600 | 46% | 23% | 31% | 48% | 41% | 11% | 31% | 44% | 25% |
8 June 2021 | Essential[109] | Essential | Online | 1104 | 48% | 28% | 24% | 57% | 36% | 8% | 39% | 36% | 24% |
2–5 June 2021 | Newspoll[61] | YouGov | Online | 1516 | 53% | 32% | 15% | 54% | 43% | 3% | 38% | 47% | 15% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Political Monitor[110] | Resolve Strategic | CATI/online | 1622 | 48% | 25% | 27% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% |
12–15 May 2021 | Newspoll[111] | YouGov | Online | 1506 | 55% | 30% | 15% | 58% | 38% | 4% | 39% | 46% | 15% |
21–24 April 2021 | Newspoll[64] | YouGov | Online | 1514 | 56% | 30% | 14% | 59% | 37% | 4% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
16 April 2021 | Resolve Political Monitor[112] | Resolve Strategic | CATI/online | 2000 | 47% | 25% | 28% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% |
12 April 2021 | Essential[113] | Essential | Online | 1368 | 47% | 28% | 25% | 54% | 37% | 9% | 39% | 34% | 27% |
24–27 March 2021 | Newspoll[66] | YouGov | Online | 1517 | 52% | 32% | 16% | 55% | 40% | 5% | 42% | 40% | 18% |
16, 30 March 2021 | Essential[114][115] | Essential | Online | 1100 | 52% | 26% | 22% | 57% | 35% | 8% | 41% | 32% | 27% |
10–13 March 2021 | Newspoll[68] | YouGov | Online | 1521 | 56% | 30% | 14% | 62% | 34% | 4% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
17–20 February 2021 | Newspoll[69] | YouGov | Online | 1504 | 61% | 26% | 13% | 64% | 32% | 4% | 38% | 45% | 17% |
27–30 January 2021 | Newspoll[73] | YouGov | Online | 1512 | 57% | 29% | 14% | 63% | 33% | 4% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
15 December 2020 | Essential[116] | Essential | Online | 1071 | 50% | 24% | 26% | 62% | 28% | 10% | 43% | 29% | 28% |
25–28 November 2020 | Newspoll[74] | YouGov | Online | 1511 | 60% | 28% | 12% | 66% | 30% | 4% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
4–6 November 2020 | Newspoll[76] | YouGov | Online | 1510 | 58% | 29% | 13% | 64% | 31% | 5% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
8–10 October 2020 | Newspoll[78] | YouGov | Online | 1527 | 57% | 28% | 15% | 65% | 31% | 4% | 39% | 43% | 18% |
16–19 September 2020 | Newspoll[79] | YouGov | Online | 2068 | 59% | 27% | 14% | 65% | 31% | 4% | 39% | 40% | 21% |
26–29 August 2020 | Newspoll[80] | YouGov | Online | 1507 | 58% | 29% | 13% | 64% | 32% | 4% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
6–9 August 2020 | Essential[117] | Essential | Online | 1010 | 52% | 22% | 26% | 66% | 23% | 11% | 44% | 30% | 26% |
5–8 August 2020 | Newspoll[82] | YouGov | Online | 1509 | 60% | 25% | 15% | 68% | 29% | 3% | 41% | 38% | 15% |
15–18 July 2020 | Newspoll[85] | YouGov | Online | 1850 | 59% | 26% | 15% | 68% | 27% | 5% | 41% | 40% | 19% |
9–12 July 2020 | Essential[118] | Essential | Online | 1054 | 50% | 27% | 23% | 63% | 27% | 10% | 44% | 28% | 28% |
24–27 June 2020 | Newspoll[86] | YouGov | Online | 1521 | 58% | 26% | 16% | 68% | 27% | 5% | 42% | 40% | 18% |
3–6 June 2020 | Newspoll[88] | YouGov | Online | 1512 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 66% | 29% | 5% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
2 June 2020 | Essential[119] | Essential | Online | 1059 | 53% | 23% | 24% | 65% | 26% | 9% | 43% | 30% | 27% |
13–16 May 2020 | Newspoll[89] | YouGov | Online | 1504 | 56% | 29% | 15% | 66% | 30% | 4% | 44% | 37% | 19% |
5 May 2020 | Essential[120] | Essential | Online | 1093 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 64% | 27% | 9% | 42% | 27% | 31% |
22–25 April 2020 | Newspoll[121] | YouGov | Online | 1508 | 56% | 28% | 16% | 68% | 28% | 4% | 45% | 34% | 21% |
2–5 April 2020 | Essential[122] | Essential | Online | 1069 | 46% | 27% | 27% | 59% | 31% | 10% | 44% | 29% | 27% |
1–3 April 2020 | Newspoll[123] | YouGov | Online | 1508 | 53% | 29% | 18% | 61% | 35% | 4% | 45% | 36% | 19% |
11–14 March 2020 | Newspoll[124] | YouGov | Online | 1501 | 42% | 38% | 20% | 41% | 53% | 6% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
11 March 2020 | Essential[125] | Essential | Online | 1096 | 40% | 35% | 25% | 41% | 49% | 10% | 41% | 33% | 26% |
19–22 February 2020 | Newspoll[126] | YouGov | Online | 1513 | 40% | 41% | 19% | 38% | 58% | 4% | 39% | 44% | 17% |
11 February 2020 | Essential[127] | Essential | Online | 1056 | 36% | 36% | 28% | 39% | 52% | 9% | 41% | 31% | 28% |
29 January – 1 February 2020 | Newspoll[128] | YouGov | Online | 1510 | 38% | 43% | 19% | 37% | 59% | 4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
7–11 January 2020 | Essential[129] | Essential | Online | 1081 | 36% | 39% | 25% | 40% | 52% | 8% | 43% | 30% | 27% |
8–11 January 2020 | Newspoll[97] | YouGov | Online | 1505 | 39% | 43% | 18% | 37% | 59% | 4% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
5–8 December 2019 | Essential[130] | Essential | Online | 1035 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 45% | 43% | 12% | 39% | 28% | 33% |
8 December 2019 | Newspoll[98] | YouGov | Online | 48% | 34% | 18% | 45% | 48% | 7% | 40% | 41% | 19% | |
23 November 2019 | Newspoll[99] | YouGov | Online | 46% | 35% | 19% | 43% | 52% | 5% | 38% | 45% | 17% | |
12 November 2019 | Essential[131] | YouGov | Online | 44% | 28% | 29% | 45% | 41% | 14% | 37% | 34% | 29% | |
10 November 2019 | Newspoll[101] | YouGov | IVR/online | 46% | 32% | 22% | 46% | 43% | 11% | 42% | 37% | 21% | |
20 October 2019 | Newspoll[102] | YouGov | IVR/online | 47% | 32% | 21% | 47% | 45% | 8% | 37% | 44% | 19% | |
15 October 2019 | Essential[132] | Essential | Online | 43% | 28% | 29% | 47% | 38% | 15% | 40% | 29% | 31% | |
29 September 2019 | Newspoll[103] | YouGov | IVR/online | 50% | 31% | 19% | 47% | 43% | 10% | 39% | 40% | 21% | |
17 September 2019 | Essential[133] | Essential | Online | 46% | 25% | 29% | 49% | 36% | 15% | 36% | 31% | 33% | |
5–7 September 2019 | Newspoll[104] | YouGov | IVR/online | 48% | 28% | 24% | 49% | 39% | 12% | 35% | 40% | 25% | |
1 September 2019 | YouGov[134] | YouGov | Online | 46% | 23% | 31% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% | n/a% | |
22 August 2019 | Essential[135] | Essential | Online | 44% | 28% | 28% | 48% | 37% | 15% | 38% | 29% | 33% | |
15–18 August 2019 | Newspoll[136] | YouGov | IVR/online | 48% | 30% | 22% | 48% | 42% | 10% | 41% | 34% | 25% | |
25–28 July 2019 | Newspoll[137] | YouGov | IVR/online | 48% | 31% | 21% | 51% | 36% | 13% | 39% | 36% | 25% | |
17–21 July 2019 | Essential[138] | Essential | Online | 44% | 26% | 30% | 48% | 34% | 18% | 39% | 24% | 37% | |
19–23 June 2019 | Essential[139] | Essential | Online | 43% | 25% | 32% | 48% | 36% | 16% | 35% | 25% | 40% |
Sub-national polling[]
Some pollsters provided breakdowns of their polls by state, whilst others only poll a specific state. These results are listed by state below.
New South Wales[]
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | L/NP | ALP | ||||||
14-20 March 2022 | Roy Morgan[140] | - | - | - | - | - | - | 42.5% | 57.5% | |||
14-23 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[141] | - | - | - | - | - | - | 43.5% | 56.5% | |||
18 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[142] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | 59% | |||
12 February 2022 | NSW by-elections in Monaro, Bega, Strathfield & Willoughby | |||||||||||
4–16 January 2022 | Roy Morgan[21] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 58% | |||
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 | Roy Morgan[27] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44.5% | 55.5% | |||
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[32] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44.5% | 55.5% | |||
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[43] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 46.5% | 53.5% | |||
5 October 2021 | Gladys Berejiklian resigns as Premier of New South Wales | |||||||||||
14 July – 18 September 2021 | Newspoll | 2057 | 39% | 38% | 11% | 1% | 11% | 48% | 52% | |||
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[46] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | 54% | |||
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[47] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | 53% | |||
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | 52% | |||
24–25 July, 31 July – 1 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[52] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | 51% | |||
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 | Resolve Strategic[55] | – | 38% | 33% | 12% | 1% | 16% | – | – | |||
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 49.5% | 50.5% | |||
21 April – 26 June 2021 | Newspoll | 1861 | 42% | 37% | 11% | 1% | 9% | 50% | 50% | |||
13 June 2021 | Resolve Strategic[143] | – | 46% | 32% | 10% | 1% | 11% | – | – | |||
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 49.5% | 50.5% | |||
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Strategic[110] | – | 39% | 36% | 12% | 1% | 12% | – | – | |||
16 April 2021 | Resolve Strategic[112] | – | 41% | 29% | 12% | 7% | 11% | – | – | |||
27 January – 27 March 2021 | Newspoll[144] | 1779 | 42% | 36% | 11% | 1% | 10% | 50% | 50% | |||
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 | Roy Morgan[145] | 2786 | – | – | – | – | – | 54% | 46% | |||
26 August – 28 November 2020 | Newspoll[146] | 2304 | 44% | 36% | 11% | 1% | 8% | 51% | 49% | |||
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 | Roy Morgan[75] | 2824 | – | – | – | – | – | 53.5% | 46.5% | |||
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 | Roy Morgan[81] | 2841 | – | – | – | – | – | 56.5% | 43.5% | |||
3 June – 8 August 2020 | Newspoll[147] | 457–2034 | 42% | 37% | 11% | 1% | 9% | 49% | 51% | |||
11/12, 18/19 July 2020 | Roy Morgan[84] | 2589 | – | – | – | – | – | 52.5% | 47.5% | |||
11 March – 16 May 2020 | Newspoll[148] | 472–1905 | 42% | 36% | 11% | 2% | 9% | 50% | 50% | |||
7–8 December 2019 | Newspoll[149] | 930–1472 | 42% | 35% | 10% | 2% | 12% | 51% | 49% | |||
18 May 2019 election | 42.54% | 34.56% | 8.71% | 1.31% | 12.88% | 51.78% | 48.22% |
Victoria[]
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||
14-20 March 2022 | Roy Morgan[140] | - | - | - | - | - | - | 36% | 64% |
14-23 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[141] | - | - | - | - | - | - | 40% | 60% |
18 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[142] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42.5% | 57.5% |
4–16 January 2022 | Roy Morgan[21] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | 59% |
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 | Roy Morgan[27] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 41.5% | 58.5% |
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[34] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 58% |
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[34] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | 55% |
July – September 2021 | Resolve Strategic[150] | – | 37% | 35% | 11% | 1% | 15% | – | – |
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[43] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 56% |
14 July – 18 September 2021 | Newspoll | 1731 | 35% | 42% | 12% | 0% | 11% | 42% | 58% |
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[46] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 57% |
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[47] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 40.5% | 59.5% |
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | 60% |
24–25 July, 31 July – 1 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[52] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 40.5% | 59.5% |
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 | Resolve Strategic[55] | – | 34% | 40% | 11% | 0% | 13% | – | – |
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43.5% | 56.5% |
21 April – 26 June 2021 | Newspoll | 1536 | 40% | 37% | 13% | 1% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
13 June 2021 | Resolve Strategic[143] | – | 37% | 37% | 10% | 1% | 15% | – | – |
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 46.5% | 53.5% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Strategic[110] | – | 41% | 34% | 12% | 0% | 13% | – | – |
16 April 2021 | Resolve Strategic[112] | – | 33% | 34% | 12% | 6% | 14% | – | – |
27 January – 27 March 2021 | Newspoll[151] | 1506 | 40% | 39% | 10% | 1% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 | Roy Morgan[145] | 2786 | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | 55% |
26 August – 28 November 2020 | Newspoll[146] | 2160 | 39% | 39% | 14% | 0% | 8% | 45% | 55% |
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 | Roy Morgan[75] | 2824 | – | – | – | – | – | 46.5% | 53.5% |
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 | Roy Morgan[81] | 2841 | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | 52% |
3 June – 8 August 2020 | Newspoll[147] | 457–2034 | 37% | 40% | 14% | 1% | 8% | 44% | 56% |
11–12, 18–19 July 2020 | Roy Morgan[84] | 2589 | – | – | – | – | – | 46.5% | 53.5% |
11 March – 16 May 2020 | Newspoll[148] | 472–1905 | 39% | 40% | 13% | 1% | 7% | 45% | 55% |
7–8 December 2019 | Newspoll[149] | 930–1472 | 40% | 38% | 12% | 1% | 11% | 47% | 53% |
18 May 2019 election | 38.58% | 36.86% | 11.89% | 0.95% | 11.72% | 46.86% | 53.14% |
Queensland[]
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||
14-20 March 2022 | Roy Morgan | - | - | - | - | - | - | 54.5% | 45.5% |
14-23 February 2022 | Roy Morgan | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% |
18 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[142] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48.5% | 51.5% |
4–16 January 2022 | Roy Morgan[21] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 51.5% | 48.5% |
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 | Roy Morgan[27] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45.5% | 54.5% |
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[34] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48.5% | 51.5% |
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[34] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | 47% |
July – September 2021 | Resolve Strategic[150] | – | 42% | 28% | 10% | 11% | 9% | – | – |
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[43] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 52.5% | 47.5% |
14 July – 18 September 2021 | Newspoll | 1536 | 42% | 33% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 55% | 45% |
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[46] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 54% | 46% |
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[47] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 53.5% | 46.5% |
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | 48% |
24–25 July, 31 July – 1 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[52] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | 48% |
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 | Resolve Strategic[55] | – | 43% | 26% | 9% | 15% | 6% | – | – |
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 51.5% | 48.5% |
21 April – 26 June 2021 | Newspoll | 1249 | 42% | 33% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 53% | 47% |
13 June 2021 | Resolve Strategic[143] | – | 38% | 35% | 10% | 7% | 10% | – | – |
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | 47% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Strategic[110] | – | 41% | 30% | 12% | 7% | 11% | �� | – |
16 April 2021 | Resolve Strategic[112] | – | 38% | 30% | 11% | 8% | 11% | – | – |
27 January – 27 March 2021 | Newspoll[151] | 1276 | 42% | 35% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 53% | 47% |
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 | Roy Morgan[145] | 2786 | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | 48% |
26 August – 28 November 2020 | Newspoll[146] | 1879 | 45% | 29% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 57% | 43% |
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 | Roy Morgan[75] | 2824 | – | – | – | – | – | 54.5% | 45.5% |
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 | Roy Morgan[81] | 2841 | – | – | – | – | – | 60% | 40% |
3 June – 8 August 2020 | Newspoll[147] | 457–2034 | 46% | 27% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 59% | 41% |
11–12, 18–19 July 2020 | Roy Morgan[84] | 2589 | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | 42% |
11 March – 16 May 2020 | Newspoll[148] | 472–1905 | 42% | 28% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 56% | 44% |
7–8 December 2019 | Newspoll[149] | 930–1472 | 40% | 29% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 55% | 45% |
1 September 2019 | YouGov Galaxy | 40% | 29% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 55% | 45% | |
18 May 2019 election | 43.70% | 26.68% | 10.32% | 8.86% | 10.44% | 58.44% | 41.56% |
Western Australia[]
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||
14-20 March 2022 | Roy Morgan[140] | - | - | - | - | - | - | 41% | 59% |
14-23 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[141] | - | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% |
18 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[142] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 46.5% | 53.5% |
4–16 January 2022 | Roy Morgan[21] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | 51% |
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 | Roy Morgan[27] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 49.5% | 50.5% |
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[32] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 46.5% | 53.5% |
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[34] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 46.5% | 53.5% |
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[43] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45.5% | 54.5% |
14 July – 18 September 2021 | Newspoll | 602 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 46% | 54% |
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[46] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | 47% |
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[47] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | 51% |
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45.5% | 54.5% |
24–25 July, 31 July–1 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[52] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 51.5% | 48.5% |
10–11, 17–18 July 2021 | Resolve Strategic[55] | – | 33% | 39% | 21% | 2% | 6% | – | – |
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47.5% | 52.5% |
21 April – 26 June 2021 | Newspoll | 625 | 39% | 41% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 47% | 53% |
13 June 2021 | Resolve Strategic[143] | – | 33% | 40% | 15% | 4% | 8% | – | – |
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 51% | 49% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Strategic[110] | – | 44% | 38% | 11% | 3% | 3% | – | – |
16 April 2021 | Resolve Strategic[112] | – | 42% | 40% | 13% | 5% | 1% | – | – |
27 January – 27 March 2021 | Newspoll[151] | 628 | 40% | 42% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 47% | 53% |
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 | Roy Morgan[145] | 2786 | – | – | – | – | – | 49.5% | 50.5% |
26 August – 28 November 2020 | Newspoll[146] | 779 | 43% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 53% | 47% |
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 | Roy Morgan[75] | 2824 | – | – | – | – | – | 51% | 49% |
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 | Roy Morgan[81] | 2841 | – | – | – | – | – | 53.5% | 46.5% |
3 June – 8 August 2020 | Newspoll[147] | 457–2034 | 45% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 54% | 46% |
11–12, 18–19 July 2020 | Roy Morgan[84] | 2589 | – | – | – | – | – | 53.5% | 46.5% |
11 March – 16 May 2020 | Newspoll[148] | 472–1905 | 44% | 31% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 55% | 45% |
18 May 2019 election | 43.79% | 29.80% | 11.62% | 5.31% | 9.48% | 55.55% | 44.45% |
South Australia[]
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||
14-20 March 2022 | Roy Morgan[140] | - | - | - | - | - | - | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Peter Malinauskas wins the 2022 South Australia State Election | |||||||||
14-23 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[141] | - | - | - | - | - | - | 41.5% | 59.5% |
18 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[142] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 40.5% | 59.5% |
4–16 January 2022 | Roy Morgan[21] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 39.5% | 60.5% |
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 | Roy Morgan[27] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 35.5% | 64.5% |
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[32] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44.5% | 55.5% |
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[34] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42.5% | 57.5% |
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[43] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 41.5% | 58.5% |
14 July – 18 September 2021 | Newspoll | 472 | 40% | 38% | 11% | 1% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[46] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48.5% | 51.5% |
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[47] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42.5% | 57.5% |
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45.5% | 54.5% |
24–25 July, 31 July – 1 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[52] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44.5% | 55.5% |
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 49% | 51% |
29–30 May, 5–6 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 50.5% | 49.5% |
21 April – 26 June 2021 | Newspoll | 473 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 12% | 46% | 54% |
27 January – 27 March 2021 | Newspoll[151] | 517 | 38% | 41% | 10% | 0% | 11% | 45% | 55% |
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 | Roy Morgan[145] | 2786 | – | – | – | – | – | 50.5% | 49.5% |
26 August – 28 November 2020 | Newspoll[146] | 600 | 44% | 36% | 10% | 1% | 9% | 51% | 49% |
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 | Roy Morgan[75] | 2824 | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | 52% |
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 | Roy Morgan[81] | 2841 | – | – | – | – | – | 57.5% | 42.5% |
3 June – 8 August 2020 | Newspoll[147] | 457–2034 | 43% | 36% | 10% | 0% | 11% | 50% | 50% |
11–12, 8–19 July 2020 | Roy Morgan[84] | 2589 | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | 47% |
11 March – 16 May 2020 | Newspoll[148] | 472–1905 | 40% | 37% | 12% | 0% | 11% | 47% | 53% |
18 May 2019 election | 40.57% | 35.38% | 9.61% | 0.84% | 13.60% | 49.29% | 50.71% |
Tasmania[]
Date | Firm | Sample size | Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||
14-20 March 2022 | Roy Morgan[140] | - | - | - | - | - | - | 40% | 60% |
14-23 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[141] | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | 75% |
18 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[142] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | 65% |
4–16 January 2022 | Roy Morgan[21] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 39.5% | 60.5% |
27–28 December, 4–5 December 2021 | Roy Morgan[27] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48.5% | 51.5% |
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[32] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | 53% |
30–31 October, 6–7 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[34] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42.5% | 57.5% |
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[43] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | 52% |
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[46] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44.5% | 55.5% |
21–22, 28–29 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[47] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 36.5% | 63.5% |
7–8, 14–15 August 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 57% |
24–25 July, 31 July − 1 August 2021 | Roy Morgan[52] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | 54% |
10–11, 17–18 June 2021 | Roy Morgan | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 58% |
14–15, 21–22 November 2020 | 2824 | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | 48% | |
11–12, 18–19 July 2020 | Roy Morgan[84] | 2589 | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 58% |
18 May 2019 election | 34.60% | 33.61% | 10.12% | 2.79% | 18.88% | 44.04% | 55.96% |
Government approval rating[]
Individual polls[]
Date | Firm | Right direction |
Wrong direction |
Can't say |
GCR[152] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14-20 March 2022 | Roy Morgan[140] | 33.5% | 50.5% | 16% | 83 | -17% |
14-23 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[141] | 35% | 47% | 18% | 88 | -12% |
18 February 2022 | Roy Morgan[142] | 35% | 48.5% | 16.5% | 86.5 | -13.5% |
4–16 January 2022 | Roy Morgan[21] | 34% | 51% | 15% | 83 | -17% |
27–28 November, 4–5 December 2021 | Roy Morgan[27] | 38% | 46.5% | 15.5% | 91.5 | -8.5% |
13–14, 20–21 November 2021 | Roy Morgan[41] | 39.5% | 46% | 14.5% | 93.5 | -6.5% |
2–3, 9–10 October 2021 | Roy Morgan[41] | 40% | 45% | 15% | 95 | -5% |
18–19, 25–26 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[43] | 40% | 44% | 16% | 96 | -4% |
4–5, 11–12 September 2021 | Roy Morgan[46] | 40% | 45.5% | 14.5% | 94.5 | -5.5% |
6–7, 13–14 February 2021 | Roy Morgan | 53.5% | 30% | 16.5% | 123.5 | +23.5% |
8–9, 15–16 August 2020 | Roy Morgan | 48% | 34% | 18% | 114 | +14% |
11–12, 18–19 July 2020 | Roy Morgan[84] | 49% | 34.5% | 16.5% | 114.5 | +14.5% |
13–14, 23–24 June 2020 | Roy Morgan[84] | 53.5% | 29.5% | 17% | 124 | +24% |
16–17, 23–24 May 2020 | Roy Morgan | 54.5% | 29.5% | 16% | 125 | +25% |
18–19, 25–26 April 2020 | Roy Morgan[90] | 51.5% | 27.5% | 21% | 124 | +24% |
29 February – 1 March, 7–8 March 2020 | Roy Morgan[90] | 37% | 47% | 16% | 90 | –10% |
22–23, 29–30 June 2019 | Roy Morgan[153] | 43.5% | 39% | 17.5% | 104.5 | +4.5% |
See also[]
Notes[]
References[]
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{{cite web}}
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{{cite web}}
: Missing or empty|url=
(help) - ^ "Essential Report 28 June 2019" (PDF). Essential Vision and The Guardian. 19–23 June 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on 4 July 2019. Retrieved 4 July 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f "The ALP increases its lead over the L-NP as petrol prices spike well above $2 per litre: ALP 58% cf. L-NP 42%". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 22 March 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f "ALP (56.5%) held a commanding two-party preferred lead over the L-NP (43.5%) BEFORE Russia invaded Ukraine". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 22 March 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g Levine, Michelle (22 February 2022). "ALP (57%) increases lead over the L-NP (43%) in mid-February as return of Parliament fails to provide a boost".
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: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ a b c d Crowe, David (15 June 2021). "Vaccine rollout stumbles lead to slight drop in support for Coalition". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 15 June 2021.
- ^ "Newspoll: Coalition in election peril after hit in resources states". The Australian. Archived from the original on 15 November 2021. Retrieved 5 April 2021.
- ^ a b c d e "ALP (50.5%) gains lead over L-NP (49.5%) on the back of strength in Victoria, Queensland & WA". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 19 February 2021.
- ^ a b c d e "Bloke blues: Anthony Albanese fails to sway men, blue-collar workers". The Australian. Archived from the original on 15 November 2021. Retrieved 26 December 2020.
- ^ a b c d e "Newspoll DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWN" (PDF). The Australian.
- ^ a b c d e "Subscribe to The Australian | Newspaper home delivery, website, iPad, iPhone & Android apps". theaustralian.com.au. Archived from the original on 15 November 2021. Retrieved 28 May 2020.
- ^ a b c Benson, Simon (25 December 2019). "Labor fails to win back the middle and males Newspoll finds". Archived from the original on 15 November 2021. Retrieved 28 December 2019.
- ^ a b Crowe, David (6 October 2021). "Voters in NSW and Victoria cut support for Scott Morrison's Coalition". The Sydney Morning Herald. Archived from the original on 7 October 2021. Retrieved 7 October 2021.
- ^ a b c d "Newspoll: Coalition in election peril after hit in resources states". The Australian.
- ^ GCR is known as the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating which is 100 plus the difference between the percentage of people who say the country is "going in the right direction" and the percentage who say the country is "going in seriously the wrong direction".
- ^ "Government Confidence jumps after L-NP win Election". Roy Morgan. Archived from the original on 21 February 2020. Retrieved 2 May 2020.
- Opinion polling in Australia
- Opinion polling for future elections
- 2022 Australian federal election