2022 South Australian state election
![]() | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 47 seats in the South Australian House of Assembly 24 seats are needed for a majority 11 (of the 22) seats in the South Australian Legislative Council | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The 2022 South Australian state election will elect members to the 55th Parliament of South Australia on 19 March 2022. All seats in the House of Assembly or lower house, whose current members were elected at the 2018 election, and half the seats in the Legislative Council or upper house, last filled at the 2014 election, will become vacant.
Like federal elections, South Australia has compulsory voting, uses full-preference instant-runoff voting for single-member electorates in the lower house and optional preference single transferable voting in the proportionally represented upper house. The election will be conducted by the Electoral Commission of South Australia (ECSA), an independent body answerable to Parliament.
Background[]
House of Assembly[]
In the House of Assembly at the 2018 election, the Liberal opposition formed a two-seat majority government with 25 of 47 seats, after retaining three of the four redistributed notionally Liberal seats won by Labor at the 2014 election (Colton, Elder and Newland) and winning the newly-created notionally ultra marginal Labor seat of King. The former 16-year four-term Labor government went in to opposition with 19 seats. The crossbench was represented by 3 independents: Frances Bedford, Troy Bell and Geoff Brock. Despite the change of government, there was actually a statewide two-party-preferred swing away from the Liberals toward Labor.[1][2][3][4]
Government loses its majority (2021)[]
The Liberal Party's already slender majority was further reduced when in February 2020, Sam Duluk, the member for Waite, had his Liberal membership suspended due to his personal conduct at a 2019 Christmas party which led to him being charged with assault by police.[5][6] Duluk was found not guilty in the Adelaide Magistrates Court in August 2021, though he remained on the crossbench as an independent.[7]
In February 2021, Fraser Ellis, the Liberal member for Narungga, was charged by the Independent Commissioner Against Corruption (ICAC) with 23 counts of deception, relating to 78 fraudulent claims over the alleged misuse of a travel allowance totalling more than $18,000. ICAC's charge led to Ellis resigning from the Liberal Party and moving to the crossbench as an independent, which officially transitioned the Liberals into a minority government.[8] Later that year Dan Cregan, the Liberal member for Kavel, resigned from the party to sit as an independent, citing the government's failure to manage population growth in the Adelaide Hills.[9] Several days after his departure from the party, Cregan was elected as Speaker of the House of Assembly, via a ballot in which the government's preferred candidate, lacked sufficient support in the Assembly.[10]
Though in minority, the government cannot fall unless it loses a vote on confidence or supply. Ellis stated that he would continue to support the Marshall government on such matters.[11]
Legislative Council[]
In the Legislative Council at the 2018 election, the 11 of 22 seats up for election were 4 Liberal, 4 Labor, 1 Green, 1 Conservative and 1 Dignity. The final outcome was 4 Liberal, 4 Labor, 2 SA Best and 1 Green.[3][12][13] Conservative MLC Dennis Hood, who had been elected as a Family First MLC in 2014, defected to the Liberals nine days after the 2018 state election.[14][15] The 22 seat upper house composition is therefore 9 Liberal on the government benches, 8 Labor on the opposition benches, and 5 to minor parties on the crossbench, consisting of 2 SA Best, 2 Green, and 1 Advance SA.[3] The government therefore requires at least three additional non-government members to form a majority and carry votes on the floor.[16]
Pendulum[]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/ae/SA-metro-2018.png/220px-SA-metro-2018.png)
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4e/SA-outermetro-2018.png/220px-SA-outermetro-2018.png)
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a8/SA-state-2018.png/220px-SA-state-2018.png)
|
|
Members of the South Australian Legislative Council, 2018–2022 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal (8) | Labor (8) | SA-BEST (2) | Green (2) | Advance SA (1) | Independent (1) |
elected 2018: |
elected 2018: |
elected 2018: |
elected 2018: | ||
elected 2014: |
elected 2014: |
elected 2014: |
elected 2014: |
elected 2014: |
Retiring MPs[]
Liberal[]
- Stephan Knoll MHA (Schubert) – announced 1 December 2020[17]
- Peter Treloar MHA (Flinders) – announced 1 December 2020[18]
- Rob Lucas MLC – announced 20 March 2018[19]
Labor[]
- Jon Gee MHA (Taylor) – announced 27 January 2021[20]
- Russell Wortley MLC – announced 7 September 2020[21]
Date[]
The last state election was held on 17 March 2018 to elect members for the House of Assembly and half of the members in the Legislative Council. In South Australia, section 28 of the Constitution Act 1934, as amended in 2001, directs that parliaments have fixed four-year terms, and elections must be held on the third Saturday in March every four years unless this date falls the day after Good Friday, occurs within the same month as a Commonwealth election, or the conduct of the election could be adversely affected by a state disaster. Section 28 also states that the Governor may also dissolve the Assembly and call an election for an earlier date if the Government has lost the confidence of the Assembly or a bill of special importance has been rejected by the Legislative Council. Section 41 states that both the Council and the Assembly may also be dissolved simultaneously if a deadlock occurs between them.[22] This means that barring unforeseen events, the election will be held on 19 March 2022.
The Electoral (Miscellaneous) Amendment Act 2013 introduced set dates for writs for general elections in South Australia. The writ sets the dates for the close of the electoral roll and the close of nominations for an election. The Electoral Act 1985 requires that, for a general election, the writ be issued 28 days before the date fixed for polling (S47(2a)) and the electoral roll be closed at 12 noon, 6 days after the issue of the writ (S48(3(a)(i). The close of nominations will be at 12 noon 3 days after the close of rolls (Electoral Act 1985 S48(4)(a) and S4(1)).
Polling[]
![]() | This section needs to be updated.(December 2021) |
Graphical summary[]
Primary vote |
---|
Two-party-preferred |
Date | Firm | Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LIB | ALP | BST | GRN | OTH | LIB | ALP | ||
15–29 July 2021 | Dynata[23] | 38% | 34% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 51% | 49% |
24 Feb – 1 Mar 2021 | YouGov[24] | 43% | 36% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 51% | 49% |
10–16 Sep 2020 | YouGov[25] | 46% | 35% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 53% | 47% |
6–11 Mar 2020 | YouGov[26] | 39% | 38% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 47% | 53% |
12–14 Mar 2019 | YouGov–Galaxy[27] | 42% | 37% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 52% | 48% |
17 Mar 2018 election | 38% | 32.8% | 14.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 51.9% | 48.1% |
Date | Firm | Better Premier | Marshall | Malinauskas | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marshall | Malinauskas | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | |||
24 Feb – 1 Mar 2021 | YouGov[24] | 50% | 30% | 60% | – | 46% | – | |
10–16 Sep 2020 | YouGov[25] | 54% | 26% | 68% | 16% | 44% | 22% | |
6–11 Mar 2020 | YouGov[26] | 38% | 36% | 37% | 41% | 44% | 26% | |
12–14 Mar 2019 | YouGov–Galaxy[27] | 46% | 26% | |||||
Marshall | Weatherill | Marshall | Weatherill | |||||
17 Mar 2018 election | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
27 Feb–1 Mar 2018 | Newspoll | 31% | 38% | 28% | 54% | 33% | 54% | |
13–15 Mar 2018 | Newspoll | 33% | 38% | 30% | 50% | 33% | 53% | |
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. |
See also[]
- Candidates of the 2022 South Australian state election
- Members of the South Australian House of Assembly, 2018–2022
- Members of the South Australian Legislative Council, 2018–2022
- 2018 South Australian state election
References[]
- ^ Antony Green. "2018 SA election results". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
- ^ "House of Assembly State Summary". Electoral Commission of South Australia. Government of South Australia. March 2018. Archived from the original on 24 March 2018. Retrieved 17 March 2018.
- ^ a b c Antony Green (2018-04-04). "Final Results of the 2018 South Australian Election". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
- ^ "Notional two-party preferred results". ECSA. Archived from the original on 4 April 2018. Retrieved 4 April 2018.
- ^ Richardson, Tom (2020-02-14). "Duluk takes leave from parliament and party after police confirm assault report". InDaily. Retrieved 2020-02-17.
- ^ Dillon, Meagan (9 December 2020). "Parliamentary privilege claim to keep investigator's documents out of MP Sam Duluk's assault case". ABC News. Retrieved 10 December 2020.
- ^ "Ex-Liberal MP Sam Duluk found not guilty of assaulting Connie Bonaros at 2019 Christmas party". ABC News. 24 August 2021. Retrieved 25 August 2021.
- ^ "Liberal MP's shock 2am resignation while facing Icac charges plunges SA into minority government". The Guardian. 19 February 2021.
- ^ Starick, Paul (8 October 2021). "Premier Steven Marshall hit by shock defection of Liberal MP Dan Cregan to crossbench". The Advertiser. Retrieved 9 October 2021.
- ^ "SA government rocked as Liberal defector Dan Cregan seizes speakership in late-night parliament sitting". ABC News. 13 October 2021. Retrieved 13 October 2021.
- ^ "Marshall lurches into minority government as MP faces criminal charges". In Daily. 19 February 2021.
With a Liberal Speaker and Duluk’s move to the crossbench, its majority in the House of Assembly had already effectively disappeared, while Ellis’s departure officially plunges it into a minority government of 23 seats. However, this is unlikely to have much practical effect, given Ellis and Duluk – both hailing from the party’s Right faction – are unlikely to oppose the Government line on key divisions and Ellis has guaranteed his support on confidence and supply.
- ^ "2018 Legislative Council election results: ECSA 23 April 2018". Archived from the original on 24 April 2018. Retrieved 24 April 2018.
- ^ William Bowe (2018-03-18). "Third time lucky". Pollbludger.net. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
- ^ "Dennis Hood dumps Cory Bernardi's Australian Conservatives to join SA Liberals". Abc.net.au. 2018-03-26. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
- ^ ""We didn't realise the power of Family First": Fallen Conservative rues botched re-branding". Indaily.com.au. 2018-03-20. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
- ^ ""They're dickheads": Darley kills off power-sharing deal with X-colleagues". Indaily.com.au. 2018-04-23. Retrieved 2018-06-11.
- ^ Isabel, Dayman (1 December 2020). "Former South Australian transport minister Stephan Knoll to quit at 2022 election". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 2 December 2020.
- ^ "Member for Flinders Peter Treloar decides to not seek re-nomination". Port Lincoln Times. 1 December 2020. Retrieved 2 December 2020.
- ^ "'I'll only serve one term,' says new SA Treasurer". SBS News. 20 March 2018.
- ^ Dornin, Tim (27 January 2021). "SA Labor MP Jon Gee to call it quits". The West Australian. AAP. Retrieved 28 January 2021.
- ^ Richardson, Tom (7 September 2020). "Labor's election push: Wortley bows out, Federal MP 'considering state switch". InDaily.
- ^ "Australian elections timetable". Australian Parliamentary Library. Retrieved 5 February 2013.
- ^ Richardson, Tom (7 September 2021). "REVEALED: New polling points to a tight state election". InDaily.
- ^ a b "Sunday Mail-YouGov poll: Premier Steven Marshall's Liberals lead eroded by Peter Malinauskas's Labor". www.adelaidenow.com.au. Retrieved 2021-03-06.
- ^ a b "Advertiser-YouGov poll: Premier Steven Marshall surges as preferred leader and Libs take the lead, as SA crushes the COVID curve". www.adelaidenow.com.au. Retrieved 2020-09-20.
- ^ a b "Advertiser YouGov Poll: Marshall Government at risk of being ousted after one term as Labor surges two years before election". www.adelaidenow.com.au. 2020-03-13. Retrieved 2020-03-13.
- ^ a b "First Published poll of the state voting intention in South Australia". adelaidenow.com.au. 16 March 2019. Retrieved 16 March 2019.
- 2022 elections in Australia
- 2020s in South Australia
- Elections in South Australia