2024 Queensland state election
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All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland 47 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2024 Queensland state election is scheduled to be held on 26 October 2024 to elect all members to the Legislative Assembly of Queensland pursuant to the Constitution (Fixed Term Parliament) Amendment Act 2015 act. As a result of the 2016 Queensland term length referendum, the term of the parliament will run for four years.[1][2]
Electoral system[]
Queensland has compulsory voting and uses full-preference instant-runoff voting for single-member electorates. The election will be conducted by the Electoral Commission of Queensland (ECQ). The party or coalition that wins the majority of seats (at least 47) will form the government. If no majority emerges then the party or coalition that wins a plurality of seats will form government.
The party or coalition that wins the second highest number of seats forms the opposition, with the remaining parties and independents candidates being allocated to the cross bench.
The Queensland Parliament is the only unicameral state parliament in Australia, composed of the Legislative Assembly. The upper house, the Queensland Legislative Council was abolished in 1922.
Key dates[]
The election will be for all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly. Pursuant to Constitution (Fixed Term Parliament) Amendment Act 2015 Queensland has fixed terms, with all elections following this election held every 4 years on the last Saturday of October. The Governor may call an election earlier than scheduled if the Government does not maintain confidence, or the annual appropriation bill fails to pass.
Electoral pendulum[]
Government seats | |||
Marginal | |||
Bundaberg | Tom Smith | ALP | 0.01 |
Nicklin | Robert Skelton | ALP | 0.1 |
Hervey Bay | Adrian Tantari | ALP | 2.0 |
Caloundra | Jason Hunt | ALP | 2.5 |
Barron River | Craig Crawford | ALP | 3.1 |
Townsville | Scott Stewart | ALP | 3.1 |
Thuringowa | Aaron Harper | ALP | 3.2 |
Redlands | Kim Richards | ALP | 3.9 |
Mundingburra | Les Walker | ALP | 3.9 |
Aspley | Bart Mellish | ALP | 5.2 |
Pumicestone | Ali King | ALP | 5.3 |
Cairns | Michael Healy | ALP | 5.6 |
Keppel | Brittany Lauga | ALP | 5.6 |
Fairly safe | |||
Redcliffe | Yvette D'Ath | ALP | 6.1 |
Cook | Cynthia Lui | ALP | 6.3 |
Mackay | Julieanne Gilbert | ALP | 6.7 |
Pine Rivers | Nikki Boyd | ALP | 6.7 |
Mansfield | Corrine McMillan | ALP | 6.8 |
Gaven | Meaghan Scanlon | ALP | 7.8 |
Springwood | Mick de Brenni | ALP | 8.3 |
Rockhampton | Barry O'Rourke | ALP | 8.6 |
Macalister | Melissa McMahon | ALP | 9.5 |
Capalaba | Don Brown | ALP | 9.9 |
Safe | |||
Cooper | Jonty Bush | ALP | 10.5 |
Ferny Grove | Mark Furner | ALP | 11.0 |
McConnel | Grace Grace | ALP | 11.1 |
Murrumba | Steven Miles | ALP | 11.3 |
Bulimba | Di Farmer | ALP | 11.4 |
Maryborough | Bruce Saunders | ALP | 11.9 |
Stafford | Jimmy Sullivan | ALP | 11.9 |
Mulgrave | Curtis Pitt | ALP | 12.2 |
Mount Ommaney | Jess Pugh | ALP | 12.6 |
Bancroft | Chris Whiting | ALP | 12.8 |
Kurwongbah | Shane King | ALP | 13.1 |
Greenslopes | Joe Kelly | ALP | 13.2 |
Logan | Linus Power | ALP | 13.4 |
Lytton | Joan Pease | ALP | 13.4 |
Miller | Mark Bailey | ALP | 13.8 |
Ipswich West | Jim Madden | ALP | 14.3 |
Toohey | Peter Russo | ALP | 14.4 |
Stretton | Duncan Pegg | ALP | 14.8 |
Nudgee | Leanne Linard | ALP | 15.1 |
Waterford | Shannon Fentiman | ALP | 16.0 |
Ipswich | Jennifer Howard | ALP | 16.5 |
Morayfield | Mark Ryan | ALP | 16.7 |
Jordan | Charis Mullen | ALP | 17.1 |
Sandgate | Stirling Hinchliffe | ALP | 17.3 |
Algester | Leeanne Enoch | ALP | 17.8 |
Bundamba | Lance McCallum | ALP v ONP | 20.7 |
Gladstone | Glenn Butcher | ALP | 23.5 |
Woodridge | Cameron Dick | ALP | 26.2 |
Inala | Annastacia Palaszczuk | ALP | 28.2 |
Non-government seats | |||
Marginal | |||
Currumbin | Laura Gerber | LNP | 0.5 |
Coomera | Michael Crandon | LNP | 1.1 |
Burleigh | Michael Hart | LNP | 1.2 |
Chatsworth | Steve Minnikin | LNP | 1.3 |
Glass House | Andrew Powell | LNP | 1.6 |
Clayfield | Tim Nicholls | LNP | 1.6 |
Everton | Tim Mander | LNP | 2.2 |
Whitsunday | Amanda Camm | LNP | 3.3 |
Theodore | Mark Boothman | LNP | 3.3 |
Moggill | Christian Rowan | LNP | 3.6 |
Ninderry | Dan Purdie | LNP | 4.1 |
Mermaid Beach | Ray Stevens | LNP | 4.4 |
Oodgeroo | Mark Robinson | LNP | 4.5 |
Buderim | Brent Mickelberg | LNP | 5.3 |
Southport | Rob Molhoek | LNP | 5.4 |
Fairly safe | |||
Burdekin | Dale Last | LNP | 7.0 |
Toowoomba North | Trevor Watts | LNP | 7.3 |
Gympie | Tony Perrett | LNP | 8.5 |
Maroochydore | Fiona Simpson | LNP | 9.1 |
Kawana | Jarrod Bleijie | LNP | 9.3 |
Safe | |||
Bonney | Sam O'Connor | LNP | 10.1 |
Mudgeeraba | Ros Bates | LNP | 10.1 |
Toowoomba South | David Janetzki | LNP | 10.2 |
Burnett | Stephen Bennett | LNP | 10.8 |
Scenic Rim | Jon Krause | LNP | 11.4 |
Lockyer | Jim McDonald | LNP | 11.5 |
Nanango | Deb Frecklington | LNP | 12.2 |
Southern Downs | James Lister | LNP | 14.1 |
Callide | Colin Boyce | LNP | 15.8 |
Surfers Paradise | John-Paul Langbroek | LNP | 16.2 |
Broadwater | David Crisafulli | LNP | 16.6 |
Gregory | Lachlan Millar | LNP | 17.2 |
Condamine | Pat Weir | LNP | 19.2 |
Warrego | Ann Leahy | LNP | 23.1 |
Crossbench seats | |||
South Brisbane | Amy MacMahon | GRN v ALP | 5.3 |
Maiwar | Michael Berkman | GRN v LNP | 6.3 |
Mirani | Stephen Andrew | ONP v ALP | 9.0 |
Hinchinbrook | Nick Dametto | KAP v LNP | 14.8 |
Noosa | Sandy Bolton | IND v LNP | 15.8 |
Hill | Shane Knuth | KAP v ALP | 22.5 |
Traeger | Robbie Katter | KAP v ALP | 24.7 |
Opinion Polling[]
Graphical Summary[]
Date | Firm | Primary vote | 2pp vote | ||||||
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ALP | LNP | Green | ON | KAP | Other | ALP | LNP | ||
18-23 Feb 2022 | YouGov[3] | 39% | 38% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 52% | 48% |
References[]
- ^ The Queensland Electoral System Queensland Parliament
- ^ Queensland referendum: Vote on four-year parliamentary terms passes ABC News 5 April 2016
- ^ "LNP closing the gap on Labor's lead in the polls, Annastacia Palaszczuk viewed less favourably". The Courier Mail. 25 February 2022.
- Elections in Queensland
- October 2024 events in Australia
- 2024 elections in Australia
- 2020s in Queensland