Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian general election
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/1c/Elei%C3%A7%C3%B5es_%2815263106629%29.jpg/220px-Elei%C3%A7%C3%B5es_%2815263106629%29.jpg)
Since the previous elections in 2018, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the 2022 Brazilian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include parties whose candidates frequently poll above 3% of the vote as well as the incumbent President of Brazil, Jair Bolsonaro.
The first round of the 2022 elections is scheduled for 2 October.[1] If no candidate reaches a majority of the votes, a second round will be held on 30 October.[1] The Superior Electoral Court estimates that Brazil will have 148 million voters for the next elections, placing the country as the second largest democracy in the Western Hemisphere, and one of the largest in the world.[2]
Presidential election[]
Candidate performance[]
First round[]
The first round is scheduled to take place on 2 October 2022.[1]
2022[]
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Moro PODE |
Gomes PDT |
Doria PSDB |
Others [a] |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XP/Ipespe | 24–25 Jan | 1,000 | 24% | 44% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 12% | 20% |
Futura/Modalmais | 17–21 Jan | 2,000 | 33.2% | 39.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% | – | 8.2% | 6.3% |
PoderData | 16–18 Jan | 3,000 | 28% | 42% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 14% |
Exame/Ideia | 9–13 Jan | 1,500 | 24% | 41% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 11% | 17% |
XP/Ipespe | 10–12 Jan | 1,000 | 24% | 44% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 20% |
Quaest/Genial | 6–9 Jan | 2,000 | 23% | 45% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 22% |
2021[]
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Moro PODE |
Gomes PDT |
Doria PSDB |
Mandetta UNION |
Pacheco PSD |
Tebet MDB |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PoderData | 19–21 Dec | 3,000 | 30% | 40% | 7% | 4% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 3% | 11% | 10% |
Ipespe | 14–16 Dec | 1,000 | 24% | 44% | 9% | 7% | 3% | – | 1% | – | 1% | 12% | 20% |
23% | 43% | 9% | 7% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 2% | 9% | 20% | |||
Datafolha | 13–16 Dec | 3,666 | 22% | 48% | 9% | 7% | 4% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 26% |
Ipec | 9–13 Dec | 2,002 | 22% | 49% | 8% | 5% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 27% |
21% | 48% | 6% | 5% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 3% | 14% | 27% | |||
Exame/Ideia | 6–9 Dec | 1,200 | 27% | 37% | 10% | 6% | 4% | – | 1% | – | 2% | 10% | 10% |
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Moro PODE |
Gomes PDT |
Doria PSDB |
Leite PSDB |
Mandetta UNION |
Pacheco PSD |
Others [b] |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MDB confirms the candidacy of senator Simone Tebet.[4] | |||||||||||||
Quaest/Genial | 2–5 Dec | 2,037 | 23% | 46% | 10% | 5% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 1% | 11% | 23% |
President Bolsonaro joins the Liberal Party.[5] | |||||||||||||
Atlas Político | 27–29 Nov | 4,401 | 31.5% | 42.8% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | – | – | 0.9% | 0.1% | 3.2% | 11.3% |
Governor of São Paulo João Doria wins the PSDB presidential primary.[6] | |||||||||||||
Ipespe | 22–24 Nov | 1,000 | 25% | 42% | 11% | 9% | 2% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 17% |
24% | 42% | 11% | 9% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 1% | 8% | 18% | |||
PoderData | 22–24 Nov | 2,500 | 29% | 34% | 8% | 7% | 5% | – | 3% | – | 4% | 9% | 5% |
27% | 36% | 8% | 9% | – | 5% | 2% | – | 3% | 8% | 9% | |||
Futura/ModalMais | 16–20 Nov | 2,000 | 30.8% | 37% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 1.9% | – | – | – | 2.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 16–19 Nov | 2,020 | 29.2% | 34.9% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | – | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% |
29.8% | 35.1% | 11% | 6.1% | – | 1.6% | – | 0.6% | 1.2% | 13.6% | 5.3% | |||
Ponteio Política | 16–18 Nov | 1,000 | – | 37% | 18% | 11% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 31% | 19% |
24% | 37% | 11% | 8% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 17% | 13% | |||
Exame/Ideia | 9–11 Nov | 1,200 | 25% | 35% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 20% | 10% |
Quaest/Genial | 3–6 Nov | 2,063 | 21% | 48% | 8% | 6% | 2% | – | – | 1% | – | 14% | 27% |
21% | 47% | 8% | 7% | – | 1% | – | 1% | – | 14% | 26% | |||
Vox Populi | 30 Oct–4 Nov | 2,000 | 21% | 44% | 3% | 4% | 1% | – | 1% | – | 3% | 22% | 23% |
21% | 45% | 3% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | – | 3% | 21% | 24% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 25–28 Oct | 1,000 | 28% | 42% | – | 11% | 4% | – | 3% | 2% | – | 10% | 14% |
25% | 41% | 8% | 9% | – | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 16% | |||
PoderData | 25–27 Oct | 2,500 | 28% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 4% | – | 4% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 7% |
30% | 34% | 7% | 7% | – | 3% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 4% | |||
PSD confirms the candidacy of senator Rodrigo Pacheco.[7] | |||||||||||||
Former Judge and Justice Minister Moro confirms candidacy.[8] | |||||||||||||
Quaest/Genial | 30 Sept–3 Oct | 2,048 | 24% | 43% | – | 10% | – | – | – | – | 11% | 12% | 19% |
24% | 44% | 10% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 20% | |||
26% | 45% | – | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 19% | |||
PoderData | 27–29 Sept | 2,500 | 30% | 40% | – | 5% | 3% | – | 3% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 10% |
28% | 43% | – | 5% | – | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 15% | |||
Ipespe | 22–24 Sept | 1,000 | 28% | 43% | – | 11% | 5% | – | 4% | 2% | – | 7% | 15% |
25% | 42% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 17% | |||
Ipec | 16–20 Sept | 2,002 | 23% | 48% | – | 8% | 3% | – | 3% | – | – | 14% | 25% |
22% | 45% | 5% | 6% | 2% | – | 3% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 23% | |||
Datatempo | 9–15 Sept | 2,025 | 22% | 36% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 2% | – | – | – | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14% |
Datafolha | 13–15 Sept | 3,667 | 26% | 44% | – | 9% | 4% | – | 3% | – | – | 12% | 18% |
25% | 42% | – | 12% | – | 4% | 2% | – | – | 13% | 17% | |||
25% | 44% | – | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 19% | |||
24% | 42% | – | 10% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 7% | 12% | 18% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas | 1–5 Sept | 2,012 | 30.9% | 35.5% | – | 9.7% | 7.4% | – | – | – | – | 16.5% | 4.6% |
PoderData | 30 Aug–1 Sept | 2,500 | 28% | 37% | – | 8% | 4% | – | 5% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 9% |
Quaest/Genial | 26–29 Aug | 2,000 | 26% | 47% | – | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | 13% | 21% |
XP/Ipespe | 11–14 Aug | 1,000 | 24% | 40% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 4% | – | – | 9% | 16% |
28% | 37% | – | 11% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 5% | 13% | 9% | |||
PoderData | 2–4 Aug | 2,500 | 25% | 39% | – | 8% | 6% | – | 4% | – | 7% | 11% | 14% |
Quaest/Genial | 29 July–1 Aug | 1,500 | 29% | 46% | – | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 17% |
27% | 44% | – | 10% | – | – | – | – | 10% | 10% | 17% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas | 24–28 July | 2,010 | 32.7% | 33.7% | – | 6.8% | 3.9% | – | 1.8% | 0.8% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 1% |
Datafolha | 7–8 July | 2,074 | 25% | 46% | – | 8% | 5% | – | 4% | – | – | 12% | 21% |
XP/Ipespe | 5–7 July | 1,000 | 26% | 38% | 9% | 10% | 2% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 13% | 12% |
27% | 35% | – | 11% | – | 4% | 5% | – | 6% | 13% | 8% |
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Dino PCdoB |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Amoêdo NOVO |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Exame/Ideia | 22–24 June | 1,200 | 31% | 39% | – | – | 14% | – | 8% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 8% |
Instituto Ipec | 17–21 June | 2,002 | 23% | 49% | – | – | 7% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 3% | 13% | 26% |
Huck gives up on candidacy.[9] | |||||||||||||||
Instituto Mapa | 18–20 May | 2,000 | 26.8% | 36.8% | – | – | 5.0% | – | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 13.5% | 10% |
Vox Populi | 12–16 May | 2,000 | 24% | 43% | – | – | 5% | – | 2% | 2% | – | 8% | – | 14% | 19% |
Datafolha | 11–12 May | 2,071 | 23% | 41% | – | – | 6% | – | 3% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 2%[c] | 13% | 18% |
Exame/Ideia | 19–22 Apr | 1,200 | 32% | 33% | – | – | 9% | – | 4% | 3% | – | 6% | 5%[d] | 9% | 1% |
PoderData | 12–14 Apr | 3,500 | 31% | 34% | – | – | 6% | – | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 2%[e] | 9% | 3% |
XP/Ipespe | 29–31 Mar | 1,000 | 28% | 29% | – | – | 9% | 3% | 3% | – | 9% | 5% | 3%[f] | 12% | 1% |
PoderData | 15–17 Mar | 3,500 | 30% | 34% | – | – | 5% | – | 3% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2%[g] | 13% | 4% |
Revista Fórum/Offerwise | 11–15 Mar | 1,000 | 30.7% | 31.2% | – | – | 7.4% | – | 6.4% | – | – | – | – | 24.3% | 0.5% |
29.2% | 27.1% | – | 0.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | – | 14.6% | 2.1% | |||
31.2% | – | 13.3% | – | 7.7% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 2.0% | – | 6.8% | – | 28.8% | 17.9% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 9–11 Mar | 1,000 | 27% | 25% | – | – | 9% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 2%[h] | 13% | 2% |
28% | – | 11% | – | 11% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 3%[i] | 17% | 17% | |||
Exame/Ideia | 10–11 Mar | 1,000 | 33% | 18% | – | – | 9% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 15% |
Atlas | 8–10 Mar | 3,721 | 32.7% | 27.4% | – | 0.7% | 7.5% | 0.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
32.3% | – | 15.7% | 1.3% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 16.6% | |||
CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data | 8–9 Mar | 1,200 | 31% | 21% | – | – | 9% | – | 4% | 2% | 10% | 7% | – | 15% | 10% |
Lula's corruption charges annulled; political rights restored.[10] | |||||||||||||||
Paraná Pesquisas | 28 Feb−1 Mar | 2,080 | 37.6% | − | 14.3% | − | 13% | − | 6.9% | 3.9% | − | − | 2.7% | 21.5% | 23.3% |
32.2% | 18% | − | − | 8.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3% | 11.6% | − | 1.4% | 16.3% | 14.2% | |||
32.9% | − | 10.8% | − | 10.3% | 3.2% | − | 3% | 12% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 17.2% | 20.4% | |||
33.9% | − | 11.8% | − | 10.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 12.3% | − | − | 18.6% | 21.6% | |||
31.9% | − | 10.5% | − | 10% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 11.5% | 8% | − | 16.8% | 20.5% | |||
Exame/ideia | 24−28 Jan | 1,200 | 36% | 17% | − | − | 11% | 8% | 6% | − | − | − | − | 22% | 19% |
33% | 15% | − | − | 10% | 5% | − | − | − | 10% | − | 26% | 18% | |||
32% | 17% | − | 3% | 10% | 5% | 3% | − | 7% | 8% | 1% | 15% | 15% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas | 22−26 Jan | 2,002 | 30.5% | − | 9.5% | − | 10.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 12% | 8.1% | − | 17.4% | 18.5% |
31% | 17.3% | − | − | 9.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 12.1% | − | − | 15.8% | 13.7% | |||
33.7% | − | 11.7% | 1% | 12.1% | − | 6.7% | 3.1% | − | 9.4% | 3.8% | 19.1% | 21.6% | |||
Atlas | 20−24 Jan | 3,073 | 34.4% | − | 13.4% | − | 11.6% | − | 4.3% | − | 11.6% | − | 4.8% | 19.9% | 21% |
34.5% | 22.3% | − | 1.4% | 8.8% | − | 3.6% | − | 11.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 11−14 Jan | 1,000 | 28% | − | 11% | − | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 12% | 7% | - | 18% | 16% |
2018 general election | 7 Oct | − | 46.03% | − | 29.28% | − | 12.47% | 0.58% | 4.76% | 2.50% | − | − | 3.38% | − | 16.75% |
2020[]
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Dino PCdoB |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Amoêdo NOVO |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PoderData | 21−23 Dec | 2,500 | 36% | − | 13% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 1% | 12% | 23% |
XP/Ipespe | 7−9 Dec | 1,000 | 29% | − | 12% | − | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 19% | 17% |
Exame/Ideia | 30 Nov−3 Dec | 1,200 | 28% | 16% | − | 1% | 7% | − | 4% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 24% | 12% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 28 Nov−1 Dec | 2,036 | 33.3% | − | 8.8% | − | 10% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 11.8% | 7.8% | − | 16% | 21.5% |
32.9% | 17.8% | − | − | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 11.9% | − | − | 15.2% | 15.1% | |||
35.8% | − | 11.5% | 1.2% | 12.1% | − | 4.8% | 3.5% | − | 9.5% | 2.7% | 19.1% | 23.7% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 18−20 Nov | 1.000 | 29% | − | 13% | − | 8% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 19% | 16% |
XP/Ipespe | 8−11 Oct | 1,000 | 31% | − | 14% | − | 10% | − | 3% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 20% | 17% |
Exame/Ideia | 5−8 Oct | 1,200 | 30% | 18% | − | 1% | 9% | − | 4% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 12% |
PoderData | 14−16 Sep | 2,500 | 35% | − | 10% | 4% | 7% | − | 5% | − | 13% | − | 7% | 19% | 22% |
35% | 21% | − | 3% | 3% | − | 4% | − | 11% | − | 5% | 18% | 14% | |||
Exame/Ideia | 24−31 Aug | 1,235 | 31% | 17% | - | 1% | 6% | − | 3% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 14% |
Revista Fórum/Offerwise | 21−24 Aug | 1,000 | 41.7% | − | 14.8% | 1.2% | 7.7% | − | 3.7% | 2.3% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 1.6% | − | 26.9% |
PoderData | 3−5 Aug | 2,500 | 38% | − | 14% | 3% | 6% | − | 4% | − | 10% | − | 5% | 20% | 24% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 18−21 Jul | 2,030 | 29% | − | 13.4% | − | 9.9% | − | 4.0% | 3.4% | 17.1% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 14.9% | 11.9% |
27.5% | 21.9% | − | − | 8.3% | − | 3.8% | 3.4% | 16.8% | − | 1.6% | 14.1% | 5.6% | |||
30.7% | − | 14.5% | 1.6% | 10.7% | − | 4.6% | 4% | − | 8.3% | 6.6% | 18.9% | 16.2% | |||
Quaest | 14−17 Jun | 1,000 | 22% | − | 13% | − | 12% | − | 2% | − | 19% | 5% | 3% | 23% | 3% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 27–29 Apr | 2,006 | 27% | − | 14.1% | − | 10.3% | − | 3.7% | 4% | 18.1% | 6% | 2.2% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
26.3% | 23.1% | − | − | 8.1% | − | 3.8% | 4% | 17.5% | − | 1.9% | 13% | 3.2% | |||
29.1% | − | 15.4% | 1.4% | 11.1% | − | 4.4% | 4.5% | − | 8.1% | 7.9% | 18.1% | 13.7% | |||
Veja/FSB | 7–10 Feb | 2,000 | 37% | − | 13% | − | 11% | − | 3% | 5% | − | 12% | − | 21% | 24% |
31% | 28% | − | − | 8% | − | 4% | 5% | − | 11% | − | 12% | 3% | |||
28% | − | 15% | − | 9% | − | 3% | 4% | 17% | 13% | − | 12% | 11% | |||
− | − | 14% | − | 12% | − | 4% | 5% | 31% | 16% | − | 19% | 5% | |||
− | 28% | − | − | 9% | − | 3% | 5% | 33% | 10% | − | 13% | 5% | |||
Atlas Político | 7–9 Feb | 2,000 | 41% | − | − | 13% | − | − | 2.5% | − | − | 14% | − | 27% | 27% |
32% | 28% | − | 3% | − | − | 0.6% | − | 20% | 14% | − | 9% | 4% | |||
CNT/MDA | 15–18 Jan | 2,002 | 29.1% | 17% | 2.3% | − | 3.5% | − | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 40.7% | 12.2% |
2018 general election | 7 Oct | − | 46.03% | − | 29.28% | − | 12.47% | 0.58% | 4.76% | 2.50% | − | − | 3.38% | − | 16.75% |
2019[]
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Gomes PDT |
Doria PSDB |
Amoêdo NOVO |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Veja/FSB | 11 Nov–2 Dec | 2,000 | 33% | − | 15% | 11% | 3% | 5% | − | 12% | − | 22% | 18% |
32% | 29% | − | 9% | 4% | 5% | − | 9% | − | 12% | 3% | |||
28% | − | 16% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 15% | 13% | − | 12% | 12% | |||
− | − | 16% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 32% | 15% | − | 17% | 16% | |||
− | 29% | − | 9% | 4% | 5% | 32% | 10% | − | 11% | 3% | |||
Veja/FSB | 11–14 Oct | 2,000 | 34% | − | 17% | 9% | 3% | 5% | − | 11% | − | 21% | 18% |
24% | − | 14% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 17% | 15% | − | 13% | 7% | |||
− | − | 16% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 30% | 16% | − | 17% | 14% | |||
Veja/FSB | 16–18 Aug | 2,000 | 35% | − | 17% | 11% | 3% | 5% | − | 11% | − | 18% | 18% |
− | − | 18% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 27% | 13% | − | 19% | 9% | |||
2018 general election | 7 Oct | − | 46.03% | − | 29.28% | 12.47% | 4.76% | 2.50% | − | − | 4.96% | − | 16.75% |
Second round[]
Scheduled to take place, if necessary, on 30 October 2022.[1]
2022[]
Bolsonaro vs. Lula[]
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XP/Ipespe | 24–25 Jan | 1,000 | 30% | 54% | 16% | 24% |
Futura/Modalmais | 17–21 Jan | 2,000 | 37.8% | 50.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% |
PoderData | 16–18 Jan | 3,000 | 32% | 54% | 14% | 22% |
Exame/Ideia | 9–13 Jan | 1,500 | 33% | 49% | 18% | 16% |
XP/Ipespe | 10–12 Jan | 1,000 | 31% | 56% | 13% | 25% |
Quaest/Genial | 6–9 Jan | 2,000 | 30% | 54% | 16% | 24% |
2021[]
Bolsonaro vs. Lula[]
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro PL |
Lula PT |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PoderData | 19–21 Dec | 3,000 | 34% | 54% | 12% | 20% |
Ipespe | 14–16 Dec | 1,000 | 31% | 53% | 16% | 22% |
Ipespe | 22–24 Nov | 1,000 | 32% | 52% | 16% | 20% |
PoderData | 22–24 Nov | 2,500 | 31% | 54% | 15% | 23% |
Paraná Pesquisas | 16–19 Nov | 2,020 | 35.6% | 42.5% | 21.9% | 6.9% |
Ponteio Política | 16–18 Nov | 1,000 | 32% | 50% | 18% | 18% |
Exame/Ideia | 9–11 Nov | 1,200 | 31% | 48% | 21% | 17% |
Quaest/Genial | 3–6 Nov | 2,063 | 27% | 57% | 13% | 30% |
XP/Ipespe | 25–28 Oct | 1,000 | 32% | 50% | 18% | 18% |
PoderData | 25–27 Oct | 2,500 | 37% | 52% | 11% | 15% |
PoderData | 27–29 Sept | 2,500 | 33% | 56% | 11% | 23% |
Datatempo | 9–15 Sept | 2,025 | 30.1% | 53.1% | 16.8% | 23% |
Datafolha | 13–15 Sept | 3,667 | 31% | 56% | 14% | 25% |
PoderData | 30 Aug–1 Sept | 2,500 | 30% | 55% | 15% | 25% |
Quaest/Genial | 26–29 Aug | 2,000 | 30% | 55% | 15% | 25% |
XP/Ipespe | 11–14 Aug | 1,000 | 32% | 51% | 17% | 19% |
PoderData | 2–4 Aug | 2,500 | 32% | 52% | 16% | 20% |
XP/Ipespe | 5–7 July | 1,000 | 35% | 49% | 17% | 14% |
Other[]
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Datafolha | 7–8 July | 2,074 | 31% | 58% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 11% | 27% |
− | 56% | − | − | − | 22% | − | − | − | 21% | 34% | |||
Vox Populi | 12–16 May | 2,000 | 28% | 55% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 17% | 27% |
– | 52% | − | 19% | − | − | − | − | − | 29% | 33% | |||
− | 56% | − | − | − | 14% | − | − | − | 30% | 42% | |||
Datafolha | 11–12 May | 2,071 | 32% | 55% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 13% | 23% |
– | 53% | − | − | − | − | 33% | − | − | 14% | 20% | |||
− | 57% | − | − | − | − | − | 21% | − | 22% | 36% | |||
36% | − | − | 48% | − | − | − | − | − | 17% | 12% | |||
39% | − | − | − | − | 40% | − | − | − | 22% | 1% | |||
Exame/Ideia | 19–22 Apr | 1,200 | 38% | 40% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 23% | 2% |
PoderData | 12–14 Apr | 3,500 | |||||||||||
34% | 52% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 14% | 18% | |||
35% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 48% | − | 17% | 13% | |||
38% | − | − | − | − | 37% | − | − | − | 25% | 1% | |||
38% | − | − | − | − | − | 37% | − | − | 25% | 1% | |||
38% | − | − | 38% | − | − | − | − | − | 24% | Tie | |||
XP/Ipespe | 29–31 Mar | 1,000 | |||||||||||
38% | 41% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 20% | 4% | |||
30% | − | − | − | − | − | 30% | − | − | 40% | Tie | |||
38% | − | − | 38% | − | − | − | − | − | 33% | Tie | |||
35% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 32% | − | 33% | 3% | |||
38% | − | − | − | 30% | − | − | − | − | 32% | 8% | |||
37% | − | − | − | − | 30% | − | − | − | 33% | 7% | |||
– | 41% | − | − | − | − | 36% | − | − | 23% | 5% | |||
PoderData | 15–17 Mar | 3,500 | 36% | 41% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 23% | 5% |
34% | − | − | 39% | − | − | − | − | − | 27% | 5% | |||
37% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 40% | − | 23% | 3% | |||
41% | − | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | 28% | 10% | |||
38% | − | − | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | 31% | 7% | |||
Revista Fórum/Offerwise | 11–15 Mar | 1,000 | 33.8% | 38.0% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 28.3% | 4.2% |
− | 33.6% | − | 16.7% | − | − | − | − | − | 49.6% | 16.9% | |||
− | 36.9% | − | − | − | 13.4% | − | − | − | 49.8% | 23.5% | |||
− | 35.4% | − | − | − | − | − | 17.4% | − | 47.2% | 18.0% | |||
− | 35.7% | − | − | − | − | 24.5% | − | − | 39.8% | 11.2% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 9–11 Mar | 1,000 | 41% | 40% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 19% | 1% |
40% | – | 36% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 24% | 4% | |||
31% | − | − | − | − | − | 34% | − | – | 35% | 3% | |||
37% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 32% | − | 30% | 5% | |||
39% | − | − | 37% | − | − | − | − | − | 25% | 2% | |||
40% | − | − | − | 30% | − | − | − | − | 30% | 10% | |||
39% | − | − | − | − | 29% | − | − | − | 32% | 10% | |||
− | − | 30% | − | − | − | 40% | − | − | 30% | 10% | |||
Exame/Ideia | 10–11 Mar | 1,000 | 44% | 37% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 19% | 7% |
45% | − | − | 34% | − | − | − | − | − | 21% | 11% | |||
47% | − | − | − | − | 26% | − | − | − | 26% | 21% | |||
46% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 37% | − | 17% | 9% | |||
Atlas | – | 3,721 | 36.9% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 46.6%[j] | 16.5% | 9.7% |
37.5% | − | − | 44.7% | − | − | − | − | − | 17.8% | 7.2% | |||
38.8% | 44.9% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 16.3% | 6.1% | |||
39.4% | – | 43.0% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 17.6% | 3.6% | |||
39.8% | − | − | − | − | 39.3% | − | − | − | 20.9% | 0.5% | |||
37.1% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 26.8% | 1.0% | |||
34.3% | − | − | − | − | − | 33.1% | − | − | 32.6% | 1.2% | |||
37.3% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 32.5% | − | 30.2% | 4.8% | |||
CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data | 8–9 Mar | 1,200 | 43% | 39% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 18% | 4% |
43% | – | – | 36% | − | − | − | − | − | 21% | 7% | |||
41% | − | − | − | − | − | 38% | − | − | 21% | 3% | |||
46% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 31% | − | 23% | 15% | |||
Exame/Ideia | 24−28 Jan | 1,200 | 45% | 28% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 26% | 17% |
41% | − | − | 34% | − | − | − | − | − | 26% | 7% | |||
45% | − | − | − | − | 30% | − | − | − | 24% | 15% | |||
41% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 38% | − | 21% | 3% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas | 22−26 Jan | 2,002 | 42.4% | 35.7% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 21.9% | 6.7% |
39.1% | − | − | − | − | − | 37.6% | − | − | 23.3% | 1.5% | |||
43.7% | − | − | 34.3% | − | − | − | − | − | 22.1% | 9.4% | |||
44.9% | − | − | − | − | 29.4% | − | − | − | 25.8% | 15.5% | |||
42.7% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 33.2% | − | 24.1% | 9.5% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 11−14 Jan | 1,000 | 38% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 34% | − | 28% | 4% |
33% | − | − | − | − | − | 36% | − | − | 31% | 3% | |||
40% | − | − | 37% | − | − | − | − | − | 23% | 3% | |||
44% | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | − | 25% | 13% | |||
42% | − | 37% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 5% | |||
- | − | 30% | − | − | − | 43% | − | − | 28% | 13% |
2020[]
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Gomes PDT |
Boulos PSOL |
Doria PSDB |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PoderData | 21−23 Dec | 2,500 | 44% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 38% | − | 18% | 6% |
43% | − | − | − | − | − | 36% | − | − | 21% | 7% | |||
44% | − | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | − | 21% | 9% | |||
46% | − | − | − | 34% | − | − | − | − | 20% | 12% | |||
48% | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 17% | 13% | |||
46% | − | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | 23% | 15% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 7−9 Dec | 1,000 | 36% | − | − | − | − | − | 34% | − | − | 30% | 2% |
45% | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 21% | 10% | |||
40% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 33% | − | 27% | 7% | |||
43% | − | − | 36% | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 7% | |||
47% | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | − | 22% | 16% | |||
− | − | 27% | − | − | − | 46% | − | − | 28% | 19% | |||
Exame/Ideia | 30 Nov−3 Dec | 1,200 | 37% | 32% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 31% | 5% |
44% | − | − | − | − | − | 29% | − | − | 27% | 15% | |||
38% | − | − | − | − | 22% | − | − | − | 40% | 16% | |||
37% | − | − | 36% | − | − | − | − | − | 27% | 1% | |||
36% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 32% | − | 32% | 4% | |||
Paraná Pesquisas | 28 Nov−1 Dec | 2,036 | 47% | 33.4% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 19.7% | 13.6% |
44.9% | − | − | − | − | − | 34.7% | − | − | 20.5% | 10.2% | |||
48.5% | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | − | − | 20.6% | 17.5% | |||
51.1% | − | − | − | − | 23.8% | − | − | − | 25.1% | 27.3% | |||
48.6% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 29.7% | − | 21.7% | 18.9% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 18−20 Nov | 1.000 | 33% | − | − | − | − | − | 38% | − | − | 28% | 5% |
43% | − | 37% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 20% | 6% | |||
− | − | 25% | − | − | − | 46% | − | − | 29% | 21% | |||
40% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 33% | − | 27% | 7% | |||
42% | − | − | 39% | − | − | − | − | − | 19% | 3% | |||
45% | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | − | − | 24% | 14% | |||
XP/Ipespe | 8-11 Oct | 1,000 | 42% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 30%[k] | 28% | 12% |
43% | − | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 8% | |||
42% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 28% | − | 30% | 14% | |||
43% | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 8% | |||
35% | − | − | − | − | − | 36% | − | − | 29% | 1% | |||
− | − | 26% | − | − | − | 43% | − | − | 31% | 17% | |||
Exame/Ideia | 5-8 Oct | 1,200 | 43% | 33% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 25% | 10% |
42% | − | − | − | − | 21% | − | − | − | 38% | 21% | |||
41% | − | − | − | − | − | 35% | − | − | 25% | 6% | |||
PoderData | 14-16 Sep | 2,500 | 45% | − | − | − | − | 32% | − | − | − | 23% | 13% |
48% | − | − | 33% | − | − | − | − | − | 19% | 15% | |||
40% | − | − | − | − | − | 37% | − | − | 23% | 3% | |||
45% | − | 38% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 17% | 7% | |||
41% | 41% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 18% | Tie | |||
Exame/Ideia | 24-31 Aug | 1,235 | 42% | 31% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 27% | 11% |
41% | − | − | − | − | 17% | − | − | − | 42% | 24% | |||
38% | − | − | − | − | − | 31% | − | − | 31% | 7% | |||
PoderData | 3-5 Aug | 2,500 | 44% | − | − | − | − | 30% | − | − | − | 26% | 14% |
42% | − | 34% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 24% | 8% | |||
41% | − | − | − | − | − | 41% | − | − | 18% | Tie | |||
Paraná Pesquisas | 18-21 Jul | 2,030 | 46.6% | − | 32% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 21.4% | 14.6% |
44.7% | − | − | − | − | − | 35% | − | − | 20.2% | 9.7% | |||
45.6% | 36.4% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 18% | 9.2% | |||
48.1% | − | − | 31.1% | − | − | − | − | − | 20.9% | 17% | |||
51.7% | − | − | − | − | 23% | − | − | − | 25.4% | 28.7% | |||
50.8% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 27.6% | − | 21.6% | 23.2% | |||
Veja/FSB | 7–10 Feb | 2,000 | 51% | − | 33% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 16% | 18% |
50% | − | − | − | − | 25% | − | − | − | 26% | 25% | |||
45% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 37% | − | 17% | 8% | |||
48% | 40% | − | − | − | − | − | − | − | 11% | 8% | |||
37% | − | − | − | − | − | 39% | − | − | 25% | 2% | |||
− | − | 30% | − | − | − | 53% | − | − | 17% | 23% | |||
− | 40% | − | − | − | − | 49% | − | − | 12% | 9% | |||
− | − | 30% | − | − | − | − | 37% | − | 34% | 7% | |||
− | − | − | − | − | − | 51% | 32% | − | 16% | 19% | |||
2018 general election | 28 Oct | − | 55.13% | − | 44.87% | − | − | − | − | − | − | 10.26% |
2019[]
Pollster/client(s) | Fieldwork date(s) |
Sample size |
Bolsonaro Indep. |
Lula PT |
Haddad PT |
Doria PSDB |
Moro PODE |
Huck Indep. |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quaest | 26-27 Dec | 1,000 | 46% | 32% | − | − | − | − | − | 22% | 14% |
Veja/FSB | 11 Nov–2 Dec | 2,000 | 45% | 40% | − | − | − | − | − | 16% | 5% |
47% | − | 32% | − | − | − | − | 21% | 15% | |||
45% | − | − | 26% | − | − | − | 28% | 19% | |||
44% | − | − | − | − | 36% | − | 19% | 8% | |||
36% | − | − | − | 36% | − | − | 28% | Tie | |||
− | − | 29% | − | 52% | − | − | 18% | 23% | |||
− | 39% | − | − | 48% | − | − | 12% | 9% | |||
− | − | − | − | 50% | 31% | − | 18% | 19% | |||
− | − | 29% | − | − | 39% | − | 33% | 10% | |||
Veja/FSB | 11–14 Oct | 2,000 | 47% | − | 34% | − | − | − | − | 20% | 13% |
46% | − | − | 26% | − | − | − | 29% | 20% | |||
46% | 38% | − | − | − | − | − | 17% | 8% | |||
43% | − | − | − | − | 39% | − | 19% | 7% | |||
Veja/FSB | 16–18 Aug | 2,000 | 48% | − | 35% | − | − | − | − | 18% | 13% |
45% | − | − | 29% | − | − | − | 23% | 16% | |||
− | − | 37% | 33% | − | − | − | 31% | 4% | |||
2018 general election | 28 Oct | − | 55.13% | − | 44.87% | − | − | − | − | − | 10.26% |
See also[]
Notes[]
- ^ This column presents the sum of candidates who do not reach 3% frequently.
- ^ TV presenter José Luiz Datena withdrew candidacy in November 2021, to run for a Senate seat. Polls with his name are now added to the column "Others".[3]
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%; Danilo Gentili with 2%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 46.6%
- ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 30%
References[]
- ^ a b c d "Brasil terá eleições livres em 2022 e com instituições funcionando, diz Barroso". G1. 4 October 2021.
- ^ "Censo da democracia: Brasil tem 147,9 milhões de eleitores aptos a votar nas Eleições 2020". TSE. 8 March 2021. Retrieved 17 August 2021.
- ^ "Datena decide se filiar ao PSD e vai disputar o Senado". Metropoles. 2 November 2021.
- ^ "MDB oficializa pré-candidatura de Simone Tebet à Presidência da República". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2021-12-09.
- ^ "Bolsonaro se filia ao PL e diz querer compor bancadas para "fazer melhor para o Brasil"". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2021-12-06.
- ^ "Doria vence prévias do PSDB para disputa da Presidência em 2022". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2021-12-06.
- ^ Fernandes, Augusto (23 October 2021). "Kassab confirma Pacheco candidato do PSD à Presidência em 2022". R7 (in Portuguese). Retrieved 23 October 2021.
- ^ Megale, Bela (22 October 2021). "Moro bate martelo sobre eleições e Podemos marca evento de filiação do ex-juiz". O Globo (in Portuguese). Retrieved 22 October 2021.
- ^ "Huck descarta candidatura à Presidência em 2022 e confirma ida para o lugar de Faustão na Globo". Folha de São Paulo. 8 March 2021. Retrieved 16 June 2021.
- ^ "Judge opens door for Lula da Silva to run in Brazil in 2022". Al Jazeera English. 8 March 2021. Retrieved 9 March 2021.
- Opinion polling for future elections
- 2022 in Brazil
- Opinion polling in Brazil