Opinion polling for the next Polish parliamentary election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the run up to the next Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 13 October 2019, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held not later than November 2023.

Graphical summary[]

Polish Opinion Polling for the 2023 Election.png

Poll results[]

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Parties are denoted with en dashes if no indication is given of their level in polls.

2022[]

Polling firm/
Link
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
United
Right
Agreement Civic
Coalition
The Left Polish
Coalition
Kukiz'15 Confederation Poland
2050
Others /
Don't know
Lead
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 21–24 Jan 1,075 35 1 28 8 3 2 10 11 2 7
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Jan TBA 32.3 27.2 7.0 6.5 6.8 11.2 9.0 5.1
Kantar / KO 17–18 Jan 1,000 29 1 26 5 4 1 9 15 9 3
Research Partner 14–17 Jan 1,053 31.7 0.3 23.9 8.0 2.0 0.9 9.0 11.1 13.1 7.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 14–17 Jan 1,063 34 0 27 10 3 2 11 12 1 7
IBRiS / Onet 13 Jan 1,100 30.1 20.2 7.3 6.0 8.6 12.1 15.7 9.9
Pollster / SE.pl 12–13 Jan 1,044 32.81 0.30 24.50 7.06 6.44 1.25 10.11 17.08 0.45 8.31
CBOS 3–13 Jan 1,135 29.4 1 17.8 3 3 1 5.2 11.8 27 11.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 7–10 Jan 1,071 36 1 24 9 2 2 10 14 2 12
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–7 Jan 1,000 33.0 25.1 8.2 7.6 8.0 11.0 7.2 7.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 31 Dec–2 Jan 1,069 38 1 24 7 2 2 12 13 1 14

2021[]

Polling firm/
Link
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
United
Right
Agreement Civic
Coalition
The Left Polish
Coalition
Kukiz'15 Confederation Poland
2050
Others /
Don't know
Lead
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 29–30 Dec 1,029 35.9 24.2 8.4 6.8 9.0 13.5 2.2 11.7
IPSOS / OKO.press 28–30 Dec 1,018 33 1 26 6 5 10 13 7 7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–20 Dec 1,052 36 2 25 8 3 2 11 13 0 11
IBRiS / "Rz.pl" 17–18 Dec 1,100 30.8 24.1 7.8 5.9 6.3 10.1 15.0 6.7
United Surveys / WP.pl 17 Dec 1,000 32.1 24.9 8.1 6.5 5.1 9.2 14.0[a] 7.2
Research Partner 10–13 Dec 1,033 35.3 0.2 22.4 7.6 1.4 1.8 8.2 11.8 11.3 12.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10–13 Dec 1,076 38 1 24 7 2 1 11 14 2 14
Pollster / SE.pl 11–12 Dec 1,046 36.38 0.19 25.81 6.18 4.38 1.35 10.70 14.55 0.46 10.57
Kantar / TVN 10–12 Dec 1,000 31 1 24 6 6 2 7 14 8 7
Kantar / Polityka 8–12 Dec 27 1 21 10 5 2 7 17 9 6
CBOS 29 Nov–12 Dec 1,063 31.2 14.5 5.1 3 1 7.0 14.0 25 16.7
Kantar Public 3–8 Dec 975 28 1 26 7 3 1 8 11 15 2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 3–6 Dec 1,073 38 2 24 9 2 2 9 13 1 14
United Surveys / WP.pl 3 Dec 1,000 32.1 23.7 7.8 5.7 6.7 10.6 13.4 8.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 26–29 Nov 1,054 38 1 25 9 2 1 10 12 2 13
Research Partner 26–29 Nov 1,030 37.1 0.6 20.6 6.9 3.2 1.1 8.4 10.6 11.5 16.5
IBRiS / Onet 26–27 Nov 1,100 32.0 22.1 7.0 6.4 7.1 11.8 13.7 9.9
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Nov 1,021 35.3 23.8 7.7 7.1 8.6 15.8 1.7 11.5
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 23 Nov 1,100 30.2 21.8 7.6 5.1 9.3 13.0 13.0 8.4
Pollster / SE.pl 22–23 Nov 1,016 37.53 0.68 24.30 8.04 4.46 0.97 8.00 15.74 0.28 13.23
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 19–22 Nov 1,079 39 1 25 8 1 1 10 13 2 14
IBRiS / "Rz" 19–20 Nov 1,100 30.2 21.2 8.4 4.6 6.1 13.2 16.3 9.0
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 18–19 Nov 1,000 31.0 22.1 7.0 5.8 6.5 12.3 15.2 8.9
United Surveys / WP.pl 18–19 Nov 1,000 30.6 21.7 7.7 5.1 5.8 13.3 15.8 8.9
Kantar Public / "GW" 16–18 Nov 1,002 30 0 24 8 4 2 9 14 10 6
Kantar Public 12–17 Nov 968 29 1 24 7 4 2 5 10 11 5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12–15 Nov 1,069 41 1 23 7 1 2 11 13 1 18
CBOS 4–14 Nov 1,100 29.3 17.9 4.9 2 1 5.5 12.0 27 11.4
Research Partner 5–9 Nov 1,038 33.8 0.6 23.8 7.6 2.2 1.1 9.4 10.8 10.7 10.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 5–8 Nov 1,082 37 1 24 9 1 2 10 14 2 13
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 5–6 Nov 1,016 37.6 24.6 9.1 5.7 8.2 12.8 2.0 13.0
United Surveys / WP.pl 5 Nov 1,000 32.6 21.6 7.2 4.6 5.9 16.5 11.7 11.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 29 Oct–2 Nov 1,059 39 1 25 8 2 2 9 12 2 14
CBOS 18–28 Oct 1,157 28.4 17.2 4.7 3 7.6 12.2 26 11.2
Pollster / SE.pl 27–28 Oct 1,078 36.58 0.60 25.80 8.56 4.41 1.29 8.77 13.80 0.19 10.78
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 22–25 Oct 1,067 39 0 26 8 2 2 10 12 1 13
Research Partner 22–25 Oct 1,223 35.0 0.7 23.3 7.0 3.0 1.5 7.7 11.3 10.3 11.7
IBRiS / "Rz.pl" 22–23 Oct 1,100 35.8 24.5 9.4 4.6 5.1 13.5 7.1 11.3
United Surveys / WP.pl 22 Oct 1,000 37.1 23.3 8.0 6.2 6.1 12.0 7.3 13.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 15–18 Oct 1,096 39 2 26 7 2 2 8 13 1 13
CBOS 4–14 Oct 1,161 34.6 1 15.3 4.1 2 0 5.7 11.5 26 19.3
Kantar / TVN 12–13 Oct 1,000 32 1 26 6 4 0 9 15 7 6
Kantar Public 8–13 Oct 968 32 1 25 7 3 2 6 10 14 7
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 11 Oct 1,000 35.4 27.1 6.7 4.6 6.8 9.5 9.9 8.3
Research Partner 8–11 Oct 1,031 36.2 1.0 21.0 6.7 1.6 0.7 9.4 11.5 11.8 15.2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 8–11 Oct 1,068 40 2 26 7 2 2 7 12 2 14
United Surveys / WP.pl 8 Oct 1,000 35.4 25.9 7.9 5.8 6.7 9.8 8.5 9.5
7 Oct Constitutional Tribunal's landmark decision on the primacy of European Union law, sparking protests[1][2]
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 6 Oct 1,100 34.3 0.0 21.6 8.0 5.4 8.4 10.5 11.7 12.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 1–4 Oct 1,090 37 1 25 7 1 2 11 14 2 12
30 Sep State of emergency extended for another 60 days[3]
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24–27 Sep 1,059 38 1 26 8 2 1 9 14 1 12
Research Partner 24–27 Sep 1,036 35.2 0.7 22.4 7.4 2.0 1.1 8.6 11.1 11.4 12.8
IBRiS / "Rz.pl" 24–25 Sep 1,100 34.1 0.0 23.4 7.1 5.0 5.9 12.0 12.5 10.7
United Surveys / WP.pl 24 Sep 1,000 35.6 23.0 6.4 5.3 7.1 11.6 11.0 12.6
IPSOS / "GW", OKO.press 20–23 Sep 1,000 35 0 24 7 4 9 15 7 11
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–20 Sep 1,050 37 2 24 7 2 2 12 13 1 13
CBOS 6–16 Sep 1,218 33.5 1 16.0 4.4 1 1 5.3 11.8 26 17.5
Pollster / SE.pl 13–14 Sep 1,048 39.5 0.71 24.54 7.56 4.66 1.08 7.35 14.32 0.28 14.96
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10–13 Sep 1,063 37 2 27 7 2 2 9 12 2 10
36 2 29[b] 6 2 2 10 12 1 8
Pollster / Salon24.pl 11–12 Sep 1,027 38.87 0.64 25.68 7.84 3.85 0.71 8.21 13.86 0.34 13.19
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 10–11 Sep 1,016 40.2 1.1 24.1 9.0 3.9 1.5 8.8 10.9 0.5[c] 16.1
Kantar / TVN 9–11 Sep 1,002 30 0 24 5 3 1 8 14 15 6
United Surveys / WP.pl 10 Sep 1,000 36.4 22.3 6.8 5.2 8.8 9.2 11.3 14.1
Kantar Public 3–8 Sep 979 32 1 25 6 3 1 4 12 16 7
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7 Sep 1,100 36.5 0.3 23.0 8.5 2.9 7.6 11.3 9.9 13.5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 3–6 Sep 1,051 37 1 26 8 3 1 7 16 1 11
Research Partner 3–6 Sep 1,077 30.5 0.4 22.0 7.2 0.8 1.6 8.5 17.9 11.2 8.5
IBRiS / Onet 3–4 Sep 1,100 36.6 23.1 8.0 4.4 8.0 11.5 8.4 13.5
Pollster / Wiadomości TVP 2–3 Sep 1,047 36.72 25.98 7.53 8.77 14.78 6.22 10.74
IBSP / Stan Polityki 1–3 Sep 1,000 34.61 24.09 7.73 2.65 9.69 15.82 5.41[d] 10.52
2 Sep State of emergency declared in Poland; covering 183 localities in Podlaskie and Lublin voivodeships[4]
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 27–30 Aug 1,065 35 1 25 9 3 2 8 17 0 10
IBRiS / "Rz" 27–28 Aug 1,100 35.3 25.7 9.3 4.0 6.4 10.1 9.2 9.6
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 27 Aug 1,000 37.1 25.0 9.0 4.5 8.1 8.4 7.9 12.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 27 Aug 1,000 36.3 25.5 8 4.4 8 10.6 6.4 10.8
Pollster / Wiadomości TVP 26–27 Aug 1,036 37 24 7 10 16 6 13
CBOS 16–26 Aug 1,167 34 <0.5 18 5 3 1 5 11 23 16
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 24 Aug 1,100 35.5 0.0 24.3 7.8 4.2 7.4 11.7 9.1 11.2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20–23 Aug 1,057 33 1 26 8 2 2 9 17 2 7
Pollster / TVP Info 15–16 Aug 1,044 34 0.8 26 8 4 1 8 18 0.2 8
Research Partner 13–16 Aug 1,039 30.6 22.2 6.9 2.0 1.3 7.2 17.0 12.8 8.4
27.4 0.6 22.7 5.8 1.8 0.4 5.9 14.5 21.0[e] 4.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 13–16 Aug 1,052 33 2 26 7 2 2 9 18 1 7
Kantar 13 Aug 800 26 26 10 3 0 7 17 7 Tie
Early August Beginning of the Belarus-Poland border crisis
11 August Agreement leaves United Right. The ruling coalition loses majority in Sejm[5]
Kantar 6–11 Aug 981 35 22 7 4 2 6 9 15 13
10 August Dismissal of Deputy Prime Minister Jarosław Gowin and several deputy ministers[6]
Nationwide protests against Lex TVN, a controversial media law reform[7]
ewybory.eu 1 Jul–10 Aug 10,088 31.38 29.72 14.10 5.29 10.65 7.83 1.03 1.66
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6–9 Aug 1,083 34 26 8 2 4 8 17 1 8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 30 Jul–2 Aug 1,064 34 23 7 3 3 8 21 1 11
Research Partner 30 Jul–2 Aug 1,040 30.8 22.0 6.8 1.7 2.7 6.9 15.4 13.6 8.8
Pollster / SE.pl 30 Jul–2 Aug 1,049 34.48 25.78 8.27 3.07 2.15 9.68 16.29 0.28 8.70
IBRiS / "Rz" 31 Jul–1 Aug 1,094 33.6 27.3 9.1 5.0 5.0 11.1 9.0 6.3
United Surveys / WP.pl 30 Jul 1,000 34.2 27.6 6.9 5.0 5.9 10.0 10.4 6.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 23–26 Jul 1,063 36 24 7 2 2 9 19 1 12
35 27[f] 7 2 3 6 19 1 8
IBRiS / Onet 24–25 Jul 1,100 33.6 26.2 7.1 5.0 5.4 10.9 11.8 7.4
IBSP 21–23 Jul 1,001 34.85 26.24 6.38 2.32 7.37 19.76 3.08[g] 8.61
Research Partner 16–19 Jul 1,051 30.2 24.1 7.5 1.8 1.7 5.9 17.4 11.4 6.1
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 16–19 Jul 1,049 34 25 8 2 2 9 19 1 9
Kantar 9–14 Jul 969 30 23 5 4 2 5 15 16 7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 9–12 Jul 1,062 34 24 9 4 1 7 20 1 10
Kantar / TVN 9–11 Jul 1,000 29 24 7 3 1 7 15 14[h] 5
CBOS 1–11 Jul 1,166 36 16 5 3 1 5 13 21 20
Pollster / SE.pl 6–7 Jul 1,049 35.25 24.30 6.45 4.30 2.60 7.67 18.75 0.68 10.95
United Surveys / WP.pl 5–7 Jul 1,000 35.2 21.3 7.8 5.1 5.6 16.5 8.5 13.9
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 6 Jul 1,100 34.0 20.0 8.2 5.3 7.0 15.5 10.0 14.0
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 29.5[i] 1.2 18.9 8.2 5.3 7.8 15.3 15.0[j] 10.6
Research Partner 2–5 Jul 1,041 30.6 18.6 6.4 1.9 3 8.2 19.1 12.1[k] 11.5
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 5 Jul 1,000 33.0 18.6 7.8 6.0 7.0 16.6 11.0 14.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 2–5 Jul 1,057 33 21 9 2 2 8 24 1 9
Opinia24 / RMF FM 2–5 Jul 1,000 29 23 8 4 1 10 17 8 6
3 Jul Borys Budka resignation as PO leader; Donald Tusk acting leader
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 30 Jun 1,100 33.5 16.9 9.5 6.6 8.4 17.1 8.2 16.4
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 30.3[i] 1.4 16.8 10.1 5.1 8.2 17.4 12.1[l] 12.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25–28 Jun 1,082 34 17 10 3 2 10 23 1 11
Pollster / SE.pl 26–27 Jun 1,088 35.79 20.96 6.32 4.84 7.99 23.04 1.06 12.75
34.31[i] 0.46 21.12 6.42 5.18 7.30 23.88 1.79[m] 10.43
IBRiS / Onet 25–26 Jun 1,100 33.5 16.1 8.3 5.4 9.3 17.9 9.5 15.6
Kantar / TVN 24–25 Jun 1,001 30 19 6 4 1 8 21 11 9
Research Partner 18–21 Jun 1,048 31.2 17.4 7.0 3.1 2.0 6.1 22.5 10.8[n] 8.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 18–21 Jun 1,060 33 19 9 4 2 7 25 1 8
32 25[o] 8 3 3 6 22 1 7
20 Jun The Republicans party is officially founded and joins United Right[8]
IBRiS / "Rz" 19–20 Jun 1,100 34.7 13.0 9.1 5.1 10.3 20.2 7.7 14.5
United Surveys / WP.pl 19 Jun 1,000 34.2 14.7 10.4 5.3 7.1 19.0 9.3 15.2
CBOS 7–17 Jun 1,218 35.6 11.3 5.3 2 2 5.5 16.1 22 19.5
Kantar 11–16 Jun 986 30 20 7 4 2 6 14 17 10
14 Jun Kukiz signs a confidence-and-supply agreement with PiS' Kaczynski[9]
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 11–14 Jun 1,068 35 17 10 3 2 7 25 1 10
11 Jun Wiosna's general assembly votes to dissolve itself and merge with SLD into New Left[10]
IBRiS / ZET 11 Jun 1,000 32.4 13.0 7.6 4.7 8.1 19.8 14.4 12.6
Research Partner 4–7 Jun 1,106 31.1 16.0 6.8 2.7 2.3 6.1 24.8 9.9 6.3
Pollster / SE.pl 5–6 Jun 1,047 36.18 18.44 7.01 4.92 9.70 23.02 0.73 13.16
35.29[i] 0.54 17.79 6.52 5.65 9.70 22.99 2.06[p] 12.30
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 4–6 Jun 1,067 34 16 8 3 3 9 26 1 8
United Surveys / WP.pl 4 Jun 1,000 34.4 14.0 8.1 4.7 7.6 23.0 8.2 11.4
IBRiS / Onet 31 May 1,100 34.9 14.1 8.4 5.0 4.4 20.2 12.9 14.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 28–31 May 1,057 35 15 9 3 3 7 27 1 8
IBRiS / Interia 28 May 1,100 40.3 15.9 9.4 4.4 7.3 22.9 -[q] 17.4
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 25 May 1,000 33.7 13.0 8.0 4.3 8.2 22.7 9.9 11.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 21–24 May 1,088 34 17 9 2 3 10 24 1 10
IBRiS / "Rz" 21–22 May 1,100 33.6 14.6 10.4 4.9 6.9 18.6 11.0 15.0
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 May 1,000 34.8 13.2 9.1 5.3 5.7 22.1 9.8 12.7
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 20–21 May 1,022 38.4 14.6 10.8 4.7 1.9 7.1 22.2 0.3 16.2
Pollster / SE.pl 19–20 May 1,013 38.10 19.20 7.26 4.95 8.72 20.90 0.87 17.20
36.14[i] 0.72 18.84 6.93 5.84 8.60 21.03 2.62[r] 15.11
PGB Opinium 18–20 May 1,011 31.7 14.7 8.1 3.5 0.7 8.7 23.4 9.2 8.3
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 19 May 1,100 34.4 14.2 9.5 5.2 6.9 20.4 9.4 14.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 14–17 May 1,064 33 16 9 3 3 12 23 1 10
Research Partner 14–17 May 1,098 30.9 16.6 6.4 1.7 2.0 7.7 20.5 14.2 10.4
UCE RESEARCH / WP 15–16 May 1,122 35.66 17.34 5.60 3 6.43 9.74 20.53 1.7 15.13
CBOS 6–16 May 1,163 32.8 11.0 5.5 2 1 6.1 17.1 19 15.7
IBSP 13–14 May 1,001 30.80 15.05 9.98 2.40 11.54 27.68 2.61[s] 3.12
Kantar 7–12 May 984 33 21 6 3 2 5 17 13 12
Kantar 11 May 1,100 32 19 10 4 4 11 21 0 11
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 11 May 1,000 33.5[i] 12.1 9.6 4.3 8.6 21.9 9.9 11.6
34.0 15.7[t] 9.1 6.4[u] 6.9 19.6 8.4 14.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 7–10 May 1,073 34 18 7 2 2 10 25 2 9
IBRiS / Onet 8–9 May 1,100 35.1 14.7 9.1 5.6 5.8 19.9 9.8 15.2
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 5 May 1,100 33.9 15.3 10.7 4.5 9.0 18.9 7.7 15.0
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 30.1[i] 1.7 15.8 10.1 4.4 10.3 17.9 10.4[v] 12.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 4 May 1,000 35.4 15.1 10.4 5.1 5.7 20.4 7.9 15.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 30 Apr–4 May 1,070 34 16 10 2 3 10 23 2 11
Research Partner 30 Apr–3 May 1,127 27.9 17.2 7.2 1.5 1.6 7.7 23.6 13 4.3
Kantar / TVN 27–28 Apr 1,001 30 21 9 3 2 7 20 8 9
Kantar / TVN 25[i] 2 21 8 3 3 7 21 12[w] 4
IPSOS / OKO.press 26–28 Apr 1,000 33 18 9 2 11 22 5 11
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 23–26 Apr 1,067 32 20 10 2 3 8 24 1 8
IBRiS / Onet 24–25 Apr 1,100 33.1 16.1 10.0 4.4 7.7 17.1 11.6 16.0
Pollster / SE.pl 20 Apr 1,066 35.77 17.34 10.08 5.14 8.64 21.91 1.12 13.86
33.89[i] 0.95 16.86 9.66 5.58 8.89 21.38 3.74[x] 12.51
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 20 Apr 1,100 32.6 16.4 11.5 4.9 8.2 15.7 10.7 16.2
30.1[i] 1.6 17.3 10.6 4.4 7.3 15.5 14.8[y] 12.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 16–19 Apr 1,072 34 16 10 2 3 8 26 1 8
Research Partner 16–19 Apr 1,115 29.4 17.0 9.2 2.4 2.3 8.4 21.1 10.3 8.3
CBOS 8–18 Apr 1,131 32.0 14.2 5.1 1.3 1.2 4.9 15.6 20.9 16.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 16 Apr 1,000 32.2 17.0 7.7 4.9 7.0 17.3 14.0 14.9
30.3[i] 1.4 16.6 8.2 5.0 5.7 17.0 17.3[z] 13.3
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 15–16 Apr 1,029 35.9 18.1 10.7 5.2 2.1 6.8 20.9 0.3 15.0
Kantar 9–14 Apr 980 31 22 9 3 2 6 16 11 9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 9–12 Apr 1,069 33 18 10 2 3 9 24 1 9
IBRiS / "Rz" 9–10 Apr 1,100 31.0 15.2 8.1 5.1 7.2 19.1 14.3 11.9
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 9 Apr 1,000 33.3 17.9 8.9 4.9 4.8 19.0 11.2 14.3
30.2[i] 1.8 16.2 10.3 5.0 4.7 16.7 17[aa] 13.5
IBSP 7–9 Apr 1,000 30.36 20.32 10.81 2.00 8.77 25.05 2.69[ab] 5.31
Research Partner 2–6 Apr 1,129 27.1 17.5 7.3 2.3 2.8 7.6 23.8 11.6 3.3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 2–5 Apr 1,074 34 24 14 3 3 8 14 10
30 20 13 2 3 8 22 2 8
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 25–30 Mar 1,000 26.1[i] 1.6 15.9 8.2 5.1 1.2 6.1 17.8 19.6[ac] 8.3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 26–29 Mar 1,094 32 22 13 3 4 11 15 10
28 17 12 5 4 10 22 2 6
IBRiS / Onet 27–28 Mar 1,100 31.0 17.3 9.1 5.0 7.3 17.2 13.1 13.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 19–22 Mar 1,085 32 23 12 4 4 10 15 9
29 18 10 3 4 10 24 2 5
Research Partner 19–22 Mar 1,128 29.8 15.7 8.7 2.3 1.8 8.7 22.1 10.9 7.7
United Surveys / WP.pl 19 Mar 1,000 33.2 18.5 9.3 6.3 6.5 13.2 12.9 14.7
Kantar / Polityka 19 Mar 1,000 28 17 10 2 8 25 10[ad] 3
Kantar / "GW", OKO.press 17–19 Mar 1,000 26 16 8 3 9 23 16 3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12–15 Mar 1,078 33 24 13 3 3 10 14 9
31 18 10 2 3 9 25 2 6
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 11–12 Mar 1,025 37.7 17.1 11.6 5.9 2.4 6.8 18.3 0.2 19.4
PGB Opinium 11–12 Mar 1,098 30.0 18.8 8.6 4.1 1.1 8.3 21.6 7.48 8.4
CBOS 1–11 Mar 1,154 33.3 11.3 6.0 2.4 0.8 6.7 17.2 22.3 16.1
Kantar 5–10 Mar 985 30 24 8 3 2 5 14 14 6
Research Partner 5–8 Mar 1,145 26.9 17.9 10.0 1.1 2.5 8.0 22.1 11.4 4.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 5–8 Mar 1,054 32 24 13 4 4 10 13 8
31 20 12 3 3 9 20 2 11
Opinia24 / RMF 1–7 Mar 3,007 29 20 9 2 2 8 24 7 5
IBRiS / "Rz" 5–6 Mar 1,100 32.3 18.1 7.4 6.0 6.2 17.9 12.1 14.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 5 Mar 1,000 33.0 17.5 9.6 5.3 5.3 17.7 11.6 15.3
Pollster / SE.pl 3–4 Mar 1,033 39.86 20.32 9.79 4.8 6.95 17.32 0.96 19.54
38.07[i] 0.80 20.39 9.61 4.33 7.02 17.79 2.79[ae] 17.68
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 26 Feb–1 Mar 1,071 30 28 12 3 4 10 13 2
28 22 11 3 4 9 21 2 6
IBRiS / Onet 27–28 Feb 1,100 32.9 18.2 10.1 5.9 5.0 17.3 10.6 14.7
IBSP 25–26 Feb 1,001 26.96 18.85 9.34 3.23 6.96 31.26 3.40[af] 4.30
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Feb 1,041 37.6 19.2 11.4 5.5 2.1 6.9 17.1 0.2 18.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 19–22 Feb 1,076 33 26 13 3 4 10 11 7
30 19 12 2 4 8 23 2 7
United Surveys / WP.pl 19 Feb 1,000 33.5 19.3 11.4 5.8 6.0 14.6 9.3 14.2
PGB Opinium 15–16 Feb 1,100 31.2 19.0 7.5 4.9 0.5 8.2 20.6 8.0 10.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12–15 Feb 1,095 33 24 15 3 3 9 13 9
30 17 12 3 3 10 23 2 7
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Feb 1,022 37.4 21.5 9.7 5.4 2.4 7.1 16.2 0.3 15.9
IPSOS / OKO.press 10–12 Feb 1,014 29 20 10 4 10 20 7 9
CBOS 1–11 Feb 1,179 33.2 12.4 4.4 2.0 1.0 5.5 19.2 22.3 14.0
Kantar 5–10 Feb 676 31 18 7 4 2 7 15 17 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 5–8 Feb 1,051 30 25 11 4 6 10 14 5
29 20 10 2 5 9 23 2 6
IBRiS / "Rz" 5–6 Feb 1,100 32 19 8 5 6 18 12 13
United Surveys / WP.pl 5 Feb 1,000 33.5 19.7 8.0 5.6 7.0 15.0 11.2 13.8
Kantar 29 Jan–3 Feb 980 29 23 6 4 2 5 14 17 6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 29 Jan–1 Feb 1,074 34 23 12 2 4 9 16 11
31 17 9 2 3 9 27 2 4
Pollster / SE.pl 29 Jan–1 Feb 1,081 41.42 23.21 9.73 3.59 5.64 15.25 18.21
IBRiS / Onet 30–31 Jan 1,100 31.1 19.2 8.9 5.5 7.4 16.9 11.1 11.9
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 28–29 Jan 1,029 38.4 21.8 11.1 5.2 2.0 6.7 14.6 0.2 16.6
IBSP 25–26 Jan 1,001 26.96 20.24 7.56 2.61 10.99 27.70 3.94[ag] 0.74
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 22–25 Jan 1,066 31 26 12 5 4 10 12 5
29 21 9 4 3 8 24 2 5
IBRiS / WP.pl 23 Jan 1,100 30.0 19.6 9.5 5.0 7.5 17.5 10.9 10.4
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 22 Jan 1,000 32.5 20.9 10.2 3.6 4.6 16.2 12.0 11.6
PGB Opinium 20-21 Jan 1,100 34.7 20.8 8.6 5.5 0.9 6.5 14.3 8.8 13.9
IBRiS / Fakt.pl 19 Jan 1,100 32.3[i] 1.0 20.0 7.4 5.0 6.6 13.5 15.2[ah] 12.3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 15–18 Jan 1,097 33 29 12 3 4 11 8 4
30 22 10 2 3 10 22 1 8
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 14–15 Jan 1,020 39.6 22.1 10.2 6.6 2.3 6.0 12.9 0.3 17.5
CBOS 4–14 Jan 1,150 35.2 13.7 5.0 2.0 1.0 5.3 18.2 19.6 17.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 8–11 Jan 1,085 35 27 12 3 4 10 9 8
32 23 9 2 3 8 22 1 9
IBRiS / "Rz" 8–9 Jan 1,100 33.2 20.6 7.7 5.2 6.4 12.6 14.3 12.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 1–5 Jan 1,090 33 29 12 4 4 9 9 4
31 24 10 2 4 7 19 3 7

2020[]

Polling firm/
Link
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
United
Right
Civic
Coalition
The Left Polish
Coalition
Kukiz'15 Confederation Poland
2050
Others /
Don't know
Lead
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 28–29 Dec 1,031 39.2 23.6 10.9 7.4 4.8 12.9 1.2 15.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25–28 Dec 1,040 35 25 13 3 5 9 10 10
33 19 11 3 4 8 20 2 13
IBRiS / WP.pl 21–22 Dec 1100 33.2 23.6 8.9 6.0 4.5 9.1 14.7 9.7
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 17–22 Dec 1000 25.7[i] 20.3 8.6 5.4 3.4 6.5 13.2 16.9[ai] 5.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 18–21 Dec 1,096 33 26 14 2 5 9 11 7
31 20 11 4 2 10 20 2 11
IBRiS / Onet.pl 16 Dec 1,100 33.0 22.3 7.1 6.1 4.9 11.0 15.5[aj] 10.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 11–14 Dec 1,092 36 26 12 4 3 10 9 10
34 20 10 4 3 8 19 2 14
Pollster / SE.pl 12 Dec 1,067 40.05 26.29 8.52 5.27 6.03 12.44 1.40 13.76
IBRiS / WP.pl 11–12 Dec 1,100 34.0 23.4 9.7 6.2 4.0 14.4 8.3 10.6
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 10–11 Dec 1,023 38.3 24.9 10.9 5.7 2.4 4.4 13.2 0.2 13.4
PGB Opinium 9–10 Dec 1,100 33.7 23.8 9.0 4.8 0.7 5.9 13.6 8.6 9.9
CBOS 30 Nov–10 Dec 1,010 31.1 18.1 3.9 2.0 2.0 5.1 15.6 22.2 13.0
Kantar Public 4–9 Dec 987 25 25 8 5 2 6 13 16 Tie
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 4–8 Dec 1,079 31 27 13 3 3 10 13 4
28 22 11 3 3 10 22 1 6
26 Nov The Polish Coalition parts ways with member party Kukiz'15
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–30 Nov 1,079 32 28 14 3 11 12 4
29 21 12 3 10 23 2 6
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 27–28 Nov 1,000 33.6 23.0 9.8 6.1 4.7 11.8 11.0 10.6
IBRiS / WP.pl 27 Nov 1,100 32.7 22.4 10.1 5.8 5.4 12.6 11.0 10.3
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 26–27 Nov 1,019 36.9 27.4 9.6 4.8 5.2 15.8 0.3 9.5
IPSOS / OKO.press 23–25 Nov 1,000 29 23 10 4 9 20 5 6
Kantar Public / TVN 20–23 Nov 1,003 27 25 8 4 7 14 15 2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20–23 Nov 1,058 33 26 13 5 10 13 7
32 21 10 4 9 21 3 11
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 13–16 Nov 1,049 32 31 12 6 8 11 1
28 24 10 6 7 22 3 4
CBOS 5–15 Nov 1,052 29.8 16.3 6.0 2.5 6.8 16.3 22.3 13.5
IBRiS / WP.pl 13–14 Nov 1,100 33.0 24.1 8.4 5.0 2.3 13.1 14.0 8.9
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Nov 1,025 36.8 29.3 9.4 4.6 6.6 12.7 0.6 7.5
Kantar Public 6–12 Nov 981 30 24 6 6 6 13 15 6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6–9 Nov 1,088 32 29 15 7 9 8 3
31 21 12 5 8 22 1 9
IBRiS / Onet 3 Nov 1,100 28.7 24.7 7.0 5.1 5.1 11.3 18.0 4.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 30 Oct–2 Nov 1,080 30 27 14 6 10 13 3
United Surveys / RMF 31 Oct 1,000 30.9 25.3 6.0 2.7 4.9 14.7 15.4 5.6
IBRiS / "Rz" 30–31 Oct 1,100 28.0 23.1 6.2 2.8 4.4 14.9 20.6 4.9
IBRiS / WP.pl 30 Oct 1,100 29.0 24.0 6.9 3.3 5.3 14.9 16.6 5.0
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 29–30 Oct 1,017 33.4 26.8 10.4 4.1 8.7 13.0 3.6 6.6
CBOS 19–29 Oct 1,040 31.3 18.1 6.9 3.7 8.1 9.7 22.2 13.2
Pollster / SE.pl 27–28 Oct 1,022 37.83 31.57 9.76 5.12 5.98 8.35 1.39 6.26
PGB Opinium 26–28 Oct 1,100 32.6 25.5 8.2 4.1 9.3 12.8 7.5 7.1
Kantar Public / "GW" 26–27 Oct 1,000 26 24 8 3 8 18 13 2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 23–26 Oct 1,069 37 26 13 6 11 7 11
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 22–23 Oct 1,021 39.8 27.0 7.0 4.3 9.2 12.2 0.5 12.8
22 Oct Constitutional Tribunal's landmark decision on abortions, sparking protests[11][12]
IBRiS / Onet.pl 20 Oct 1,100 37.0 26.8 7.5 3.8 7.2 8.7 9.0 10.2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 16–19 Oct 1,069 39 26 11 7 12 5 13
IBRiS / WP.pl 16 Oct 1,100 36.1 28.2 6.4 2.5 7.8 9.4 9.6 7.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 9–12 Oct 1,083 36 27 14 5 12 6 9
CBOS 28 Sep–8 Oct 1,133 40.4 15.7 5.3 3.1 8.1 7.7 19.7 24.7
Kantar Public 2–7 Oct 977 36 28 7 4 5 9 9 8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 2–5 Oct 1,076 36 20 13 4 10 15 2 16
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 38 24 14 6 11 7 14
IBRiS / WP.pl 2 Oct 1,100 41.6 22.1 7.2 4.0 7.5 9.0 8.5 19.5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25–28 Sep 1,067 42 25 11 7 9 6 17
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Sep 1,014 42.9 25.6 6.4 5.2 8.2 11.4 0.3 17.3
43.6 29.2 8.9 6.8 9.8 1.7 14.4
Pollster / SE.pl 21–22 Sep 1,076 39.3[i] 24.2 8.3 5.7 8.5 9.9 4.1 15.2
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 21–22 Sep 603 36.3[i] 25.9 7.5 4.3 8.0 12.9 10.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 18–21 Sep 1,058 40 27 15 5 9 4 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 37 20 12 5 10 15 1 17
IBRiS / "Rz" 19 Sep 1,100 36.0[i] 21.8 6.1 3.4 8.2 9.2 15.3 14.2
United Surveys / RMF 18–19 Sep 1,000 40.5 23.3 6.0 5.0 6.7 9.1 9.4 17.2
IBRiS / WP.pl 18 Sep 1,100 40.9 22.4 5.4 3.2 8.1 11.2 8.8 18.5
CBOS 7–17 Sep 1,149 40.7 22.0 5.1 2.7 7.6 21.9 18.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 11–14 Sep 1,055 42 26 10 7 8 7 16
Kantar Public 4–9 Sep 977 39 26 4 4 6 11 10 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 4–7 Sep 1,095 42 25 12 6 9 6 17
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 37 7[ak] 20[ak] 4 3 7 22 0 15
IBRiS / WP.pl 4–5 Sep 1,100 41.3 28.6 6.7 5.9 8.4 9.1 12.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 28–31 Aug 1,078 42 26 11 7 8 6 16
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 36 6[ak] 20[ak] 4 3 7 23 1 13
CBOS 18–27 Aug 44 19[ak] 0.2[ak] 4 3 8 2.3 19.5 25
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 21–24 Aug 1,062 41 25 13 6 9 6 16
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 36 5[ak] 20[ak] 5 2 9 23 1 11
IBRiS / WP.pl 21–22 Aug 1,100 38.6 23.8 5.1 5.4 7.3 8.4 11.4 14.8
United Surveys / RMF 21 Aug 1,100 41.3 22.5[ak] 6.8[ak] 3.2 2.4 6.7 7.1 10.1 12
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 14–17 Aug 1,078 43 26 11 6 9 5 17
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 13–14 Aug 1,022 44.0 29.8 9.6 6.9 8.5 1.2 14.2
42.1 25.9 7.3 5.2 6.8 12.4 0.3 16.2
Kantar Public 7–12 Aug 971 38 23[ak] 5[ak] 6 3 4 5 16 15
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 7–10 Aug 1,078 43 29 11 4 8 5 14
IBRiS / WP.pl 6–7 Aug 1,100 36.0 31.0 9.1 5.0 6.7 12.2 5.0
34.3 27.1 5.6 2.8 6.1 11.7 12.3 7.2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 31 Jul–3 Aug 1,081 41 30 11 6 8 4 11
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 39 21 9 3 7 20 1 18
IBRiS / KO 29 Jul 1,100 36 33 6 5 6 14 3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24–27 Jul 1,062 43 29 8 7 9 4 14
IBRiS / WP.pl 24–25 Jul 1,100 39.2 26.5 9.8 5.1 9.3 10.1 12.7
38.8 25.6 4.8 2.0 6.6 11.8 10.4 13.2
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Jul 1,034 43.9 30.8 9.4 6.5 8.8 0.6 13.1
41.5 24.7 8.7 5.4 7.9 11.4 0.4 16.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–20 Jul 1,076 42 28 10 5 11 4 14
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 39 19 6 3 9 23 1 16
United Surveys / RMF 18 Jul 1,100 37.5 29.1 8.0 5.4 8.7 11.3 8.4
IBRiS / Onet 17–18 Jul 1,100 39.7 28.1 9.9 5.8 8.0 8.6 11.6
Presidential election, 2nd round 12 Jul 20,458,911 51.03 48.97 - - - - - 2.06
Pollster / SE.pl 8–9 Jul 1,058 41.40 23.02 9.98 4.24 8.54 12.12 0.70 18.38
CBOS 30 Jun–9 Jul 1,339 42.3 23.9 5.7 3.2 7.2 17.7 28.4
IBRiS / Onet 4 Jul 1,100 38.0 23.6 7.3 5.2 7.3 11.9 6.8 14.4
Presidential election, 1st round 28 Jun 19,425,459 43.50 30.46 2.22 2.46 6.78 13.87 0.79 13.04
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 26–27 Jun 1,045 42 25 14 8 9 2 17
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 41 20 9 5 6 18 1 21
IBSP 25–26 Jun 1,092 43.85 30.94 8.88 6.15 9.75 0.43 12.91
CBOS 15–25 Jun 1,378 44.2 23.9 6.6 4.1 5.6 15.6 20.3
IPSOS / OKO.press 22–23 Jun 1,017 35 23 9 8 10 16 12
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 19–23 Jun 1,066 40 30 13 7 8 2 10
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 38 20 11 4 7 19[al] 1 18
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 18–19 Jun 1,017 42.8 28.4 9.6 10.4 7.5 0.3 14.4
Pollster / SE.pl 16–17 Jun 1,047 41.3 29.6 10.7 9.1 8.8 0.5 11.7
IPSOS / OKO.press 15–16 Jun 1,017 37 24 10 6 10 13 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12–16 Jun 1,065 39 28 13 9 8 3 11
Pollster / SE.pl 9–10 Jun 1,091 42.2 26.5 11.4 8.9 9.7 1.3 15.7
Kantar Public 5–10 Jun 986 37 31 7 7 7 10 6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 5–9 Jun 1,069 42 26 13 9 8 2 16
Kantar Public / PO 8 Jun 1,000 36 29 8 5 10 12 7
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 3–4 Jun 1,022 42.6 27.4 10.1 11.4 7.2 1.3 15.2
CBOS 22 May–4 Jun 1,308 46.4 19.7 5.1 5.0 5.8 18.0 26.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 29 May–2 Jun 1,058 43 24 13 8 9 3 19
IBRiS / "Rz" 29 May 1,100 41.0 24.3 9.0 11.2 7.5 7.0 16.7
Pollster / SE.pl 26–27 May 1,038 39.9 26.0 14.1 9.4 9.5 1.1 13.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 22–25 May 1,056 42 24 14 9 9 2 18
IBRiS / WP.pl 22–23 May 1,100 40.3 23.4 8.1 13.4 6.6 8.2 16.9
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 21–22 May 1,100 41.9 26.1 11.6 11.9 6.6 1.9 15.8
Kantar Public 18–19 May 954 37 23 8 7 11 14 14
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 11–18 May 1,062 47 21 14 8 7 3 26
Pollster / SE.pl 15–17 May 1,089 38.5 24.5 13.6 12.6 9 1.8 14.0
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 14–15 May 1,025 45.8 17.3 12.8 14.1 8.9 1.1 28.5
44.1 13.4 10.2 12.9 8.8 10.6[al] 0 30.7
Kantar Public / KO 14 May 1,000 41.1 29.7 10.3 8.0 9.7 1.2 11.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12–14 May 1,070 47 18 12 11 9 3 29
IBRiS / Onet 8–9 May 1,100 37.7 15.6 8.2 12.8 8.7 17.0 22.1
Kantar Public / KO 8 May 1,000 39.3 28.5 13.0 9.4 8.9 0.9 10.8
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6–7 May 1,073 52 17 12 8 10 1 35
Pollster / SE.pl 30 Apr–4 May 1,109 40.2 23.7 14.7 11.0 9.4 1.0 16.5
IPSOS / OKO.press 27–29 Apr 1,016 38 16 10 8 8 20[am] 22
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24–27 Apr 1,081 52 17 12 8 9 2 35
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Apr 1,018 42.7 19.7 14.4 15.8 7.2 0.2 23.0
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–20 Apr 1,063 53 17 12 7 10 1 36
Kantar Public 16–17 Apr 954 36 21 11 12 8 12 15
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10–13 Apr 1,060 52 15 11 8 11 3 37
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 8–9 Apr 1,023 45.4 20.4 15.9 12.6 5.4 0.3 25.0
Pollster / SE.pl 6–7 Apr 1,054 44.0 22.4 15.7 8.7 7.7 1.5 21.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 3–6 Apr 1,064 49 18 14 10 9 0 31
IBSP / wp.pl 31 Mar–2 Apr 1,002 42.0 27.1 12.5 9.6 8.7 0.1 14.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 27–30 Mar 1,062 51 21 12 7 8 1 30
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Mar 1,032 44.3 22.9 15.0 12.3 5.2 0.3 21.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20–23 Mar 1,055 44 24 16 8 8 0 20
Pollster / SE.pl 17–18 Mar 1,077 41.9 23.8 15.4 10.2 8.2 0.5 18.1
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 13–17 Mar 1,065 40 26 17 10 7 0 14
CBOS 5–15 Mar 919 49.1 20.6 7.7 7.0 6.9 8.7 28.5
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Mar 1,028 42.0 25.3 15.2 10.3 6.5 0.7 16.7
IBSP / wp.pl 10–13 Mar 1,002 47.6 21.9 12.4 8.1 9.8 0.2 25.7
Kantar Public 6–11 Mar 981 41 28 10 7 5 9 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6–10 Mar 1,063 45 24 15 9 7 0 21
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 28 Feb–2 Mar 1,052 41 26 18 7 8 0 15
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 27–28 Feb 1,031 41.7 28.6 13.4 9.6 6.2 0.5 13.1
Pollster / SE.pl 24–26 Feb 1,097 41.4 25.1 14.4 9.8 8.3 1.0 16.3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 21–24 Feb 1,090 41 25 16 8 9 1 16
IPSOS / OKO.press 20–22 Feb 1,013 38 26 13 7 8 8[an] 12
IBSP / wp.pl 18–20 Feb 1,000 38.4 30.9 13.4 7.9 9.0 0.4 7.5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 14–18 Feb 1,053 39 25 16 11 9 0 14
CBOS 6–16 Feb 994 44 24 9 5 6 12 20
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Feb 1,009 40.6 29.8 13.2 9.3 6.4 0.7 10.8
Kantar Public 7–12 Feb 969 41 26 10 7 4 12 15
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 7–11 Feb 1,085 42 25 15 8 8 2 17
IBRiS / "Rz" 7–8 Feb 1,100 35.9 27.2 15.6 7.3 6.3 7.7 8.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 1–4 Feb 1,080 39 28 15 9 7 2 11
Kantar Public / TVN 29–30 Jan 1,000 35 30 13 7 7 8 5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24–27 Jan 1,062 39 27 17 9 7 1 12
IBRiS / RMF 24–25 Jan 1,100 38 26 15 7 6 8 12
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Jan 1,027 43.5 29.7 11.8 8.7 5.9 0.4 13.8
Pollster / SE.pl 22–23 Jan 1,091 40.5 27.4 14.7 8.3 8.5 0.7 13.1
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17–21 Jan 1,054 41 26 17 7 8 1 15
IBSP / wp.pl 14–16 Jan 1,001 37.8 31.3 13.3 7.4 9.7 0.5 6.5
Pollster / SE.pl 14–16 Jan 1,075 41.1 27.5 14.5 8.5 8.1 0.3 13.6
CBOS 9–16 Jan 1,069 44 23 10 7 5 11 21
Kantar Public 9–15 Jan 984 38 28 13 6 3 12 10
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10–14 Jan 1,057 42 23 18 8 8 1 19
IBRiS / "Rz" 10–11 Jan 1,100 37.3 26.9 12.9 4.7 5.0 13.2 10.4
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 9–10 Jan 1,018 45.4 28.2 10.5 8.6 6.4 0.9 17.2
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 3–7 Jan 1,033 41 24 16 10 8 1 17

2019[]

Polling firm/
Link
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
United Right Civic Coalition The Left Polish Coalition Confederation Others /
Don't know
Lead
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 27–31 Dec 1,042 41 23 17 8 9 2 18
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20–24 Dec 1,044 41 23 17 8 9 2 18
IBSP / wp.pl 22 Dec 39.1 27.9 16.1 7.0 9.8 0.1 11.2
Pollster / SE.pl 20–22 Dec 1,060 43.5 25.5 14.4 8.1 8.0 0.5 18.0
IBRiS / "Rz" 19–20 Dec 1,100 39.8 26.8 9.9 7.5 6.1 9.9 13.0
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 19–20 Dec 1,021 44.2 27.9 11.8 8.8 6.6 0.7 16.3
Kantar Public / TVN 17–18 Dec 1,003 41 27 12 7 7 6 14
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 13–17 Dec 1,029 40 23 18 7 10 2 17
Kantar Public 6–11 Dec 971 39 26 11 8 6 10 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6–10 Dec 1,037 40 22 19 10 8 1 18
IBRiS / RMF 6–7 Dec 1,100 35 25 12 5 7 16 10
CBOS 28 Nov–5 Dec 971 45.2 21.7 11.2 6.2 6.3 9.4 23.5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 28 Nov–3 Dec 1,028 40 24 16 9 9 2 16
Kantar Public / PO 29–30 Nov ~1,000 35 28 14 9 12 2 7
Pollster / SE.pl 27 Nov 44.6 23.3 14.9 7.8 8.4 1.0 21.3
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 22–26 Nov 1,037 40 24 18 10 6 2 16
IBRiS / "Rz" 22–23 Nov 1,100 39.6 24.8 12.8 6.0 6.2 10.6 14.8
Kantar Public 15–20 Nov 972 38 27 10 7 6 12 11
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 15–19 Nov 1,029 40 25 17 8 9 1 15
CBOS 7–17 Nov 996 45.7 20.0 11.6 8.8 6.2 7.7 25.7
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 8–12 Nov 1,028 42 25 15 9 8 1 17
Kantar Public / "WO" 5–12 Nov 1,502 38 27 14 7 9 5 11
Pollster / SE.pl 5–6 Nov 1,099 46.4 25.0 12.7 8.8 5.7 1.4 21.4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 1–5 Nov 1,033 43 24 17 8 7 1 19
CBM Indicator / TVP 31 Oct–4 Nov 1,000 44.0 26.1 14.4 8.8 6.2 0.5 17.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25–30 Oct 1,040 41.1 24.9 15.9 9.8 8.3 0.0 16.2
IPSOS / OKO.press 21–23 Oct 1,004 41 23 15 9 7 5[ao] 18
IBRiS / "Rz" 18–19 Oct 1,100 41.3 21.7 12.3 7.1 6.5 11.1 19.6
Kantar Public 11–16 Oct 986 39 27 14 7 7 6 12
Parliamentary election 13 Oct 43.6 27.4 12.6 8.6 6.8 1.0 16.2

Alternative scenarios[]

Polling firm/
Link
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
The Left Civic
Coalition
Poland
2050
Polish
Coalition
Agreement United
Right
Kukiz'15 Confederation Others /
Don't know
Lead
Kantar / KO 17-18 Jan 2022 1,000 6 42 30 10 11 12
Research Partner 17–21 Dec 2021 1,075 7.2 24.1 14.5 0.4 33.0 1.3 8.3 11.1 8.9
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 26–29 Nov 2021 1,054 12 38 37 13 1
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 23 Nov 2021 1,100 40.9 32.5 8.4 18.4 8.4
24.2 17.4 32.4 8.6 17.3 8.2
Kantar / "GW" 16–18 Nov 2021 1,002 7 39 4 28 11 10 11
IBRiS "Wydarzenia" Polsat 6 Oct 2021 1,100 41.3 36.4 9.8 12.5 4.9
25.8 14.0 36.4 8.4 15.2 10.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24–27 Sep 2021 1,059 9 26 18 36 2 8 1 10
IPSOS / "GW", OKO.press 21–23 Sep 2021 1,000 7 37 4 34 11 6 3
IBSP / Stan Polityki 1–3 Sep 2021 1,000 9.95 37.86 35.60 9.84 6.75[ap] 2.26
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20–23 Aug 2021 1,057 8 25 18 4 32 2 9 2 7
Pollster / SE.pl 30 Jul–2 Aug 2021 1,049 9.55 39.09 35.33 3.93 10.20 1.90 3.76
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 20–21 May 2021 1,022 7.3 8.8[ak] 14.4[ak] 17.6 3.9 38.6 7.4 2.0 21.0
Research Partner 14–17 May 2021 1,098 4.9 8.1 32.1[aq] 2.1 31.5 1.6 7.2 12.5 0.6
IPSOS / OKO.press 26–28 Apr 2021 1,000 49 32 11 8 17
United Surveys / WP.pl 5 Mar 2021 1,000 8.7 14.2[ar] 12.1 11.6[ar] 34.8 4.8 13.8 20.6
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 20–21 Feb 2021 1,100 14.5 17.1[as] 13.9 12.4[as] 36.4 [as] 5.6 0.1 19.3
PGB Opinium 15–16 Feb 2021 1,100 56.0 33.6 10.3 5.5 22.4
IPSOS / OKO.press 10–12 Feb 2021 1,014 57 29 10 4 28

Parties[]

Polling firm/
Link
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
United Right [at] Civic Coalition The Left Polish Coalition K'15 Confederation Poland 2050
R PiS SP P PO .N IP Z SLD W LR PSL KORWiN RN KKP Others Don't know Lead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 6 Jul 2021 1,100 1.5 29.5 0.9 1.2 18.9 8.2 5.3 7.8 15.3 11.4 10.6
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 30 Jun 2021 1,100 0.0 30.3 1.2 1.4 16.8 10.1 5.1 8.2 17.4 9.5 12.9
Pollster / SE.pl 26–27 Jun 2021 1,088 N/A 34.31 0.59 0.46 21.12 6.42 5.18 7.30 23.88 0.74 10.43
Pollster / SE.pl 5–6 Jun 2021 1,047 N/A 35.29 1.06 0.54 17.79 6.52 5.65 9.70 22.99 0.46 12.30
Pollster / SE.pl 19–20 May 2021 1,013 N/A 36.14 0.72 1.20 18.84 6.93 5.84 8.60 21.03 0.70 15.11
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 5 May 2021 1,100 N/A 30.1 1.0 1.7 15.8 10.1 4.4 10.3 17.9 7.7 12.2
Kantar / TVN 28 Apr 2021 1,001 N/A 25 1 2 21 8 3 3 7 21 9 4
Pollster / se.pl 20 Apr 2021 1,066 N/A 33.89 1.63 0.95 16.86 9.66 5.58 8.89 21.38 1.00 12.51
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 20 Apr 2021 1,100 N/A 30.1 2.2 1.6 17.3 10.6 4.4 7.3 15.5 11.0 12.8
United Surveys / WP.pl 16 Apr 2021 1,000 N/A 30.3 2.1 1.4 17.0 8.2 5.0 5.7 17.0 13.8 13.3
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 9 Apr 2021 1,000 N/A 30.2 2.2 1.8 16.2 10.3 5.0 4.7 16.7 13.0 13.5
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 25–30 Mar 2021 1,000 N/A 26.1 5.2 1.6 15.9 0.4 8.2 5.1 1.2 6.1 17.8 12.4 8.3
Pollster / SE.pl 3–4 Mar 2021 1,033 N/A 38.07 1.04 0.8 20.39 9.61 4.33 7.02 17.79 0.95 17.68
IBRiS / Fakt.pl 19 Jan 2021 1,100 N/A 32.3 1.2 1.0 20.0 7.4 5.0 6.6 13.5 13.0 12.3
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 17–22 Dec 2020 1,000 N/A 25.7 5.4 2.8 20.3 8.6 5.4 3.4 6.5 13.2 8.7 5.4
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 21–22 Sep 2020 603 N/A 36.3 3.5 1.7 25.9 7.5 4.3 8.0 5.8 7.1 10.4
Pollster / SE.pl 21–22 Sep 2020 1,076 N/A 39.3 2.4 0.7 24.2 8.4 5.7 8.5 9.9 0.9 15.1
IBRiS / "Rz" 19 Sep 2020 1,100 N/A 36.0 1.4 1.4 21.8 6.1 3.4 8.2 9.2 12.5 14.2
United Surveys / RMF 18–19 Sep 2020 1,000 N/A 35.7 1.5 1.3 21.2 6.2 4.5 7.0 9.8 12.8 14.5
IBRiS / WP.pl 18 Sep 2020 1,100 N/A 35.0 1.5 1.2 21.8 5.8 3.0 8.2 10.6 12.9 13.2
IBRiS / ZET 4 May 2020 1,100 N/A 40.5 0.6 0.5 16.4 8.2 10.3 8.7 14.5 23.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 1–5 Nov 2019 1,033 N/A 38 20 2 10 8 2 6 5 4 2 3[au] 18
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25–30 Oct 2019 1,040 N/A 37.7 21.5 2.5 7.6 7.4 3.7 6.8 5.7 4.3 2.2 0.6[av] 16.2
IPSOS / OKO.press 21–23 Oct 2019 1,004 N/A 35.7 3.3 1.2 17.5 2.5 1.4 1.1 4.9 5.5 4.1 6.4 1.9 3.1 1.9 1.3 8.2 18.2

Seat projections[]

Polling Firm/Link Fieldwork
Period
Sample Size United Right Civic Coalition The Left Polish Coalition Kukiz'15 Confederation Poland 2050 Others Majority
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Jan 2022 TBA 185 153 24 23 23 51 1 Hung
IBRiS / Onet 13 Jan 2022 1,100 187 119 30 21 39 63 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 29–30 Dec 2021 1,029 196 119 28 21 36 59 1 Hung
IPSOS / OKO.press 28–30 Dec 2021 1,018 189 137 15 12 46 60 1 Hung
IBRiS / Onet 26–27 Nov 2021 1,100 195 128 27 23 27 59 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Nov 2021 1,021 194 115 24 21 34 71 1 Hung
IBRIS / "Rz" 19–20 Nov 2021 1,100 189 127 38 11 22 71 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 5–6 Nov 2021 1,016 209 119 32 13 30 56 1 Hung
IPSOS / "GW", OKO.press 20–23 Sep 2021 1,000 205 124 21 0 39 70 1 Hung
Pollster / Salon24.pl 11–12 Sep 2021 1,027 218 128 25 0 0 30 58 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 10–11 Sep 2021 1,016 230 121 30 0 0 34 44 1 Hung
IBSP / Stan Polityki 1–3 Sep 2021 1,000 191 121 22 0 44 74 8[aw] Hung
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 27 Aug 2021 1,000 218 140 37 0 32 33 0 Hung
ewybory.eu 1 Jul–10 Aug 2021 10,088 165 159 60 11 41 24 0 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 20–21 May 2021 1,022 215 67 43 0 0 21 113 1 Hung
IBSP / Stan Polityki 13–14 May 2021 1,001 166 65 37 0 50 141 1 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 4 May 2021 1,000 211 74 44 11 0 10 109 1 Hung
IPSoS / oko.press 26–28 Apr 2021 1,000 186 87 31 0 46 109 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 16 Apr 2021 163 91 40 0 33 132 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 15–16 Apr 2021 1,029 200 85 41 10 0 18 105 1 Hung
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 9 Apr 2021 1,000 198 97 38 12 11 104 0 Hung
191[i] 93 52 15 12 96 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 2 Apr 2021 159 88 33 0 39 140 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 19 Mar 2021 152 91 39 0 36 141 1 Hung
Kantar / "GW", OKO.press 17–19 Mar 2021 1,000 166 84 31 0 42 136 1 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 11–12 Mar 2021 1,025 209 82 49 14 0 16 89 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 5 Mar 2021 146 90 36 0 35 152 1 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 25–26 Feb 2021 1,041 212 90 46 12 0 17 82 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 19 Feb 2021 158 92 30 0 38 141 1 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 19 Feb 2021 1,000 196 106 49 9 21 79 0 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Feb 2021 1,022 211 102 38 12 0 19 77 1 Hung
IPSOS / OKO.press 10–12 Feb 2021 1,014 172 96 41 0 43 107 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" 5–6 Feb 2021 1,100 199 99 34 11 15 101 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 5 Feb 2021 159 88 30 0 38 144 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 28–29 Jan 2021 1,029 220 104 44 11 0 15 65 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 14–15 Jan 2021 1,020 225 109 39 19 0 9 58 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 28–29 Dec 2020 1,031 219 121 45 22 0 52 1 Hung
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 17–22 Dec 2020 1000 161[i] 123 40 18 0 26 73 19[ax] Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 10–11 Dec 2020 1,023 216 128 42 15 0 0 58 1 Hung
Kantar Public 4–9 Dec 2020 987 167 147 37 16 0 20 72 1 Hung
26 Nov 2020 The Polish Coalition parts ways with member party Kukiz'15
Polling Firm/Link Fieldwork
Period
Sample Size United Right Civic Coalition The Left Polish Coalition Confederation Poland 2050 Others Majority
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 27–28 Nov 2020 1,000 201 134 45 20 0 59 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 26–27 Nov 2020 1,019 210 135 35 0 4 75 1 Hung
IPSOS / OKO.press 23–25 Nov 2020 1,000 161 120 42 0 33 103 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Nov 2020 1,025 210 144 35 0 12 58 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 29–30 Oct 2020 1,017 194 131 39 0 35 60 1 Hung
Kantar Public / "GW" 26–27 Oct 2020 1,000 153 140 33 0 33 100 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Sep 2020 1,014 233 139 28 20 39 1 3
238 123 14 11 30 43 1 8
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 22–23 Sep 2020 1,021 220 132 20 0 36 51 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" 19 Sep 2020 1,100 229[i] 130 22 0 36 43 0 Hung
United Surveys / RMF 18–19 Sep 2020 1,000 242 132 15 12 20 38 1 12
237[i] 122 22 0 32 46 1 7
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 13–14 Aug 2020 1,022 237 139 33 21 29 1 7
234 127 23 8 14 53 1 4
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Jul 2020 1,034 238 144 32 15 30 1 8
231 119 28 11 25 45 1 1
IBSP 25–26 Jun 2020 1,092 231 145 29 14 40 1 1
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 18–19 Jun 2020 1,017 231 137 35 40 16 1 1
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 3–4 Jun 2020 1,022 226 133 36 48 16 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 21–22 May 2020 1,100 226 123 45 55 10 1 Hung
Kantar Public 18–19 May 2020 954 219 129 41 22 49 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 14–15 May 2020 1,025 240 77 48 61 33 1 10
242 57 35 55 33 37 1 12
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Apr 2020 1,018 222 91 57 74 15 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 8–9 Apr 2020 1,023 244 93 68 51 3 1 14
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 25–26 Mar 2020 1,032 240 101 63 52 3 1 10
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Mar 2020 1,028 229 118 63 40 9 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 27–28 Feb 2020 1,031 226 136 54 33 10 1 Hung
IBSP / wp.pl 18–20 Feb 2020 1,000 203 147 52 24 33 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 12–13 Feb 2020 1,009 220 142 55 33 9 1 Hung
IBSP[ay] 3 Feb 2020 204 151 61 22 21 1 Hung
Kantar Public / TVN 29–30 Jan 2020 1,000 193 163 59 22 22 1 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 23–24 Jan 2020 1,027 237 140 44 30 8 1 7
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 9–10 Jan 2020 1,018 244 137 37 29 12 1 14
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 19–20 Dec 2019 1,021 237 135 45 31 11 1 7
Kantar Public / PO 29–30 Nov 2019 ~1,000 179 139 62 30 49 1 Hung
Kantar Public / "WO" 5–12 Nov 2019 1,502 202 137 66 20 35 0 Hung
IPSOS / OKO.press 21–23 Oct 2019 1,004 218 116 67 38 20 1 Hung
Parliamentary election 13 Oct 2019 235 134 49 30 11 1 5

Alternative seat projections[]

Following set of projections is the result of continuous simulations carried out by Election Research Team of University of Lodz. The simulations use models of the spatial distribution of votes for individual parties, based on historical data.

2021[]

Polling Firm/Link Publication date Simulation result United Right Civic Coalition The Left Polish Coalition Poland 2050 Confederation German Minority Others Majority
Research Partner 7 Apr 2021 results 169 89 28 0 137 36 1 0 Hung
CBM Indicator / "Rz" 6 Apr 2021 results 171[az] 89[ba] 39 15 104 23 1 18[bb] Hung
results 210 86 36 13 97 17 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.p 1 Apr 2021 results 205 132 68 0 54 1 0 Hung
156 83 53 9 114 44 1 0 Hung
Kantar / Polityka 31 Mar 2021 results 164 82 42 0 136 35 1 0 Hung
IBRiS / Onet 30 Mar 2021 results 191 90 39 13 96 30 1 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 25 Mar 2021 results 206 140 64 0 49 1 0 Hung
164 87 37 0 128 43 1 0 Hung
Research Partner 24 Mar 2021 results 177 81 35 0 126 40 1 0 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Mar 2021 results 211 98 40 21 67 22 1 Hung
Kantar / "GW", OKO.press 21 Mar 2021 results 162 85 34 0 135 43 1 0 Hung
results 145 99 45 0 133 37 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 18 Mar 2021 results 205 139 66 0 49 1 0 Hung
170 85 37 0 128 39 1 0 Hung
Kantar 15 Mar 2021 results 197 145 34 0 76 7 1 0 Hung
PGB Opinium 13 Mar 2021 results 177 93 33 0 117 39 1 0 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 13 Mar 2021 results 208 83 49 14 91 17 1 0 Hung
CBOS 12 Mar 2021 results 235 62 25 0 105 32 1 0 5
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10 Mar 2021 results 203 140 67 0 49 1 0 Hung
174 91 53 0 102 39 1 0 Hung
Opinia24 / RMF 10 Mar 2021 results 167 95 35 0 128 34 1 0 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" 8 Mar 2021 results 205 96 29 19 95 15 1 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 7 Mar 2021 results 206 92 42 17 96 6 1 Hung
221[bc] 77 40 61[ar] 60 0 1 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 4 Mar 2021 results 188 162 61 0 48 1 0 Hung
157 110 46 0 107 39 1 0 Hung
Pollster / SE.pl 4 Mar 2021 results 224 93 36 0 86 20 1 Hung
216[i] 97 35 0 89 22 1 0[bd] Hung
IBRiS / Onet 2 Mar 2021 results 203 94 46 18 93 5 1 Hung
IBSP 1 Mar 2021 results 149 89 34 0 168 19 1 0 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 27 Feb 2021 results 210 91 48 13 83 14 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 24 Feb 2021 results 201 147 64 0 47 1 0 Hung
168 89 52 0 119 31 1 0 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 23 Feb 2021 results 196[bc] 81 63 53[be] 61 5 1 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 22 Feb 2021 results 199 101 55 18 75 11 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 19 Feb 2021 results 158 91 35 0 137 38 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 17 Feb 2021 results 204 133 80 0 42 1 0 Hung
166 78 52 0 122 41 1 0 Hung
PGB Opinium 17 Feb 2021 results 185 96 28 0 113 37 1 0 Hung
PGB Opinium 17 Feb 2021 results 160 262 (United Opposition) 37[bf] 1 32
Kantar 16 Feb 2021 results 212 108 29 0 89 21 1 0 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 14 Feb 2021 results 206 105 37 13 77 21 1 0 Hung
IPSOS / OKO.press 14 Feb 2021 results 137 285 (United Opposition) 37 1 55
IPSOS / OKO.press 13 Feb 2021 results 169 99 40 0 106 45 1 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 12 Feb 2021 results 193 145 54 0 47 1 20[bg] Hung
167 93 38 0 118 39 1 4[bh] Hung
CBOS 12 Feb 2021 results 236 76 0 0 128 19 1 0 6
Kantar 9 Feb 2021 results 202 143 25 0 82 7 1 0 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 8 Feb 2021 results 200 106 31 18 77 27 1 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" 8 Feb 2021 results 203 101 35 13 94 13 1 Hung
Stan Polityki 5 Feb 2021 results 162 88 33 0 138 38 1 0 Hung
Pollster / SE.pl 4 Feb 2021 results 234 116 36 0 68 5 1 4
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 3 Feb 2021 results 214 136 65 0 44 1 0 Hung
169 81 33 0 139 37 1 0 Hung
IBRiS / Onet.pl 2 Feb 2021 results 189 97 36 16 90 31 1 Hung
IBSP 1 Feb 2021 results 146 96 25 0 147 45 1 0 Hung
Estymator / DoRzeczy.pl 30 Jan 2021 results 218 103 47 11 66 14 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 28 Jan 2021 results 190 148 61 13 47 1 0 Hung
163 104 34 0 126 32 1 0 Hung
United Surveys / WP.pl 26 Jan 2021 results 207 116 46 0 90 0 1 Hung
IBRiS / WP.pl 25 Jan 2021 results 184 98 40 13 95 29 1 Hung
IBRiS / Fakt.pl 22 Jan 2021 results 209[i] 110 30 14 72 24 1 0[bi] Hung
215 108 29 14 71 22 1 Hung
PGB Opinium 22 Jan 2021 results 209 110 34 14 72 20 1 0 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 20 Jan 2021 results 197 159 54 0 49 1 0 Hung
165 105 39 0 109 41 1 0 Hung
Estymator / doRzeczy.pl 16 Jan 2021 results 222 111 40 19 59 8 1 0 Hung
CBOS 15 Jan 2021 results 243 80 14 0 111 11 1 0 13
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 14 Jan 2021 results 208 148 56 0 47 1 0 Hung
177 114 33 0 107 28 1 0 Hung
IBRiS / "Rz" 11 Jan 2021 results 213 115 31 15 64 21 1 Hung
191 165 71 32 1 Hung
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 6 Jan 2021 results 199 163 55 0 42 1 0 Hung
179 123 39 0 94 24 1 0 Hung

Government approval ratings[]

President Andrzej Duda[]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Question
wording
Approve Disapprove Don't know Net approval
3–13 Jan 2022 CBOS 1,135 Approve/Disapprove 42 46 12 –4
26–27 Nov 2021 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 Approve/Disapprove 40.9 56.1 3.0 –15.2
18–19 Nov 2021 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 Approve/Disapprove 43.1 52.3 4.6 –9.2
4–14 Nov 2021 CBOS Approve/Disapprove 42 46 12 –4
8–12 Oct 2021 Kantar Public 1,002 Approve/Disapprove 30 59 11 –29
26 Sep 2021 Pollster / SE.pl Approve/Disapprove 34 58 8 –24
24–25 Sep 2021 IBRiS / "RZ" 1,100 Approve/Disapprove 45.0 47.7 7.3 –2.7
3–8 Sep 2021 Kantar Public 1,008 Approve/Disapprove 35 57 8 –22
16–26 Aug 2021 CBOS 1,167 Approve/Disapprove 44 46 10 –2
9–14 Jul 2021 Kantar Public 1,004 Approve/Disapprove 31 61 8 –30
7–17 Jun 2021 CBOS 1,218 Approve/Disapprove 46 43 11 +3
11–15 Jun 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 34 56 10 –22
6–16 May 2021 CBOS 1,163 Approve/Disapprove 45 44 11 +1
7–12 May 2021 Kantar Public 1,005 Approve/Disapprove 36 55 9 –19
9–14 Apr 2021 Kantar Public 1,006 Approve/Disapprove 31 62 7 –31
5–10 Mar 2021 Kantar Public 1,014 Approve/Disapprove 31 60 9 –29
5 Mar 2021 United Surveys 1,000 Approve/Disapprove 29.9 60.6 9.5 –30.7
29 Jan–3 Feb 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 32 59 9 –27
4–9 Dec 2020 Kantar Public 1,015 Approve/Disapprove 32 58 10 –26
6–12 Nov 2020 Kantar Public 1,010 Approve/Disapprove 32 59 9 –27
2–7 Oct 2020 Kantar Public 1,012 Approve/Disapprove 38 52 10 –14

Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki[]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Question
wording
Approve Disapprove Don't know Net approval
3–13 Jan 2022 CBOS 1,135 Approve/Disapprove 33 52 15 –19
10–12 Dec 2021 Kantar / TVN 1,000 Approve/Disapprove 34 57 9 –23
29 Nov–12 Dec 2021 CBOS 1,063 Approve/Disapprove 34 51 15 –17
26–27 Nov 2021 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 Approve/Disapprove 44.6 48.7 6.7 –4.1
4–14 Nov 2021 CBOS 1,100 Approve/Disapprove 34 49 17 –15
5 Nov 2021 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 Approve/Disapprove 40.0 59.2 0.8 –19.2
4–14 Oct 2021 CBOS 1,161 Approve/Disapprove 38 46 16 –8
8–12 Oct 2021 Kantar Public 1,002 Approve/Disapprove 29 61 10 –32
24–25 Sep 2021 IBRiS / "RZ" 1,100 Approve/Disapprove 41.6 49.3 9.1 –7.7
6–15 Sep 2021 CBOS 1,218 Approve/Disapprove 37 47 16 –10
3–8 Sep 2021 Kantar Public 1,008 Approve/Disapprove 34 56 10 –22
9–14 Jul 2021 Kantar Public 1,004 Approve/Disapprove 31 59 10 –28
7–17 Jun 2021 CBOS 1,218 Approve/Disapprove 40 43 17 –3
11–15 Jun 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 34 57 9 –23
6–16 May 2021 CBOS 1,163 Approve/Disapprove 39 44 17 –5
7–12 May 2021 Kantar Public 1,005 Approve/Disapprove 35 56 9 –21
8–9 May 2021 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 Approve/Disapprove 42.9 50.2 6.9 –7.3
9–14 Apr 2021 Kantar Public 1,006 Approve/Disapprove 30 63 7 –33
1–11 Mar 2021 CBOS 1,154 Approve/Disapprove 39 48 13 –9
5–10 Mar 2021 Kantar Public 1,014 Approve/Disapprove 30 60 10 –30
29 Jan–3 Feb 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 28 63 9 –35
4–9 Nov 2020 Kantar Public 1,015 Approve/Disapprove 28 62 10 –34
6–12 Nov 2020 Kantar Public 1,010 Approve/Disapprove 29 62 10 –33
19–29 Oct 2020 CBOS 1,040 Approve/Disapprove 36 49 16 –13
2–7 Oct 2020 Kantar Public 1,012 Approve/Disapprove 35 54 11 –19

Law and Justice government[]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Question
wording
Approve Disapprove Neither Don't know Net approval Notes
3–13 Jan 2022 CBOS 1,135 Approve/Disapprove 30 44 22 4 –14 PiS government
34 53 13 –19 Morawiecki's government
29 Nov–12 Dec 2021 CBOS 1,063 Approve/Disapprove 30 43 23 3 –13 PiS government
4–14 Nov 2021 CBOS 1,100 Approve/Disapprove 29 41 24 6 –12 Morawiecki's government
4–14 Oct 2021 CBOS 1,161 Approve/Disapprove 33 38 25 5 –5
8–12 Oct 2021 Kantar Public 1,002 Approve/Disapprove 28 62 10 –34
6–15 Sep 2021 CBOS 1,218 Approve/Disapprove 34 38 24 4 –4 PiS government
39 49 12 –10 Morawiecki's government
3–8 Sep 2021 Kantar Public 1,008 Approve/Disapprove 32 57 11 –25
9–14 Jul 2021 Kantar Public 1,004 Approve/Disapprove 28 62 10 –34
7–17 Jun 2021 CBOS 1,218 Approve/Disapprove 34 35 27 4 –1 PiS government
42 44 14 –2 Morawiecki's government
11–15 Jun 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 32 59 9 –27
6–16 May 2021 CBOS 1,163 Approve/Disapprove 34 40 21 5 –6 PiS government
41 46 13 –5 Morawiecki's government
7–12 May 2021 Kantar Public 1,005 Approve/Disapprove 32 57 11 –25
9–14 Apr 2021 Kantar Public 1,006 Approve/Disapprove 28 64 8 –36
1–11 Mar 2021 CBOS 1,154 Approve/Disapprove 32 44 21 3 –12 PiS government
39 51 10 –12 Morawiecki's government
5–10 Mar 2021 Kantar Public 1,014 Approve/Disapprove 28 62 10 –34
29 Jan–3 Feb 2021 Kantar Public 1,011 Approve/Disapprove 26 65 9 –39
4–9 Dec 2020 Kantar Public 1,015 Approve/Disapprove 26 64 10 –38
6–12 Nov 2020 Kantar Public 1,010 Approve/Disapprove 26 65 9 –39
19–29 Oct 2020 CBOS 1,040 Approve/Disapprove 33 43 20 4 –10 PiS government
35 52 12 –17 Morawiecki's government
2–7 Oct 2020 Kantar Public 1,012 Approve/Disapprove 34 55 11 –21

Government preparation and dealing with COVID-19 pandemic[]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation
/ Publisher
Sample size Question
wording
is in control is NOT in control Neither Don't know Net approval
21–22 Jan 2022 IBRiS / "Rz" 1,100 Has government prepared Poland and Poles well for the fiifth wave of the coronavirus epidemic? 26.7 66.2 7.1 –39.5
17–18 Dec 2021 IBRiS / "Rz" 1,100 Is the government in control of the coronavirus epidemic in Poland? 35.7 55.4 8.9 –19.7
11–12 Dec 2021 Kantar / TVN 1,000 Is the government in control of the coronavirus epidemic in Poland? 34 60 6 –26
27–28 Apr 2021 Kantar / TVN 1,001 Has the Polish government done everything to prevent Poles from dying in such large numbers as a result of the pandemic? 29 59 12 –30
30–31 Mar 2021 SW Research / RP.pl 800 Is the government in control of the coronavirus epidemic in Poland? 14.5 52.1 27 6.4 –37.6
Mid Oct 2020 RMF24 & DGP N/A Has government prepared Poland and health service for the second wave of the coronavirus epidemic? 26.4 67.9 5.7 –41.5
Is the government in control of the coronavirus epidemic in Poland? 32.5 60 7.5 –27.5
Oct 2020 SW Research / RP.pl N/A Has government prepared Poland and Poles well for the second wave of the coronavirus epidemic? 18 59.9 23.30 –41.9

Notes[]

  1. ^ AGROunia 0.7%, others 13.3%
  2. ^ Rafał Trzaskowski as party leader
  3. ^ AGROunia – 0.4%
  4. ^ AGROunia – 5.07%
  5. ^ AGROunia – 4.9%
  6. ^ Rafał Trzaskowski as party leader
  7. ^ AGROunia – 2.50%
  8. ^ others 1%, don't know 13%
  9. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y PiS party only, excludes other United Right coalition members.
  10. ^ United Poland – 0.9%, The Republicans – 1.5%
  11. ^ others 0.5%, don't know 11.6%
  12. ^ United Poland – 1.2%, The Republicans – 0.0%
  13. ^ United Poland – 0.59%
  14. ^ 0.9% others, 9.9% don't know
  15. ^ Donald Tusk as party leader
  16. ^ United Poland – 1.06%
  17. ^ Without undecided voters
  18. ^ United Poland – 1.20%
  19. ^ AGROunia – 2.40%
  20. ^ Borys Budka and Rafał Trzaskowski as party leaders
  21. ^ Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz and Bronisław Komorowski as party leaders
  22. ^ United Poland – 1.0%
  23. ^ United Poland – 1%
  24. ^ United Poland – 1.63%
  25. ^ United Poland – 2.2%
  26. ^ United Poland – 2.1%
  27. ^ United Poland – 2.2%
  28. ^ AGROunia – 2.08%
  29. ^ United Poland – 5.2% The Greens – 0.4%
  30. ^ Don't know - 8%, others - 2%
  31. ^ United Poland - 1.04%
  32. ^ AGROunia - 3.01%
  33. ^ AGROunia - 3.67%
  34. ^ United Poland - 1.2%
  35. ^ United Poland - 5.4%, Agreement - 2.8%
  36. ^ AGROunia – 2%
  37. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n The Civic Coalition and "Rafał Trzaskowski's movement" or New Solidarity (later branded Wspólna Polska) were counted separately
  38. ^ a b Respondents were suggested "Szymon Hołownia's party", then unregistered.
  39. ^ Includes: 6% – Nonpartisan Local Government Activists.
  40. ^ Includes: 3% – Nonpartisan Local Government Activists.
  41. ^ Includes: 1% – Nonpartisan local government activists.
  42. ^ AGROunia – 6.42%
  43. ^ Party of Szymon Hołownia and Rafał Trzaskowski
  44. ^ a b c Scenario with a "Polish Coalition", which would include the Polish People's Party, Agreement, and Civic Platform's breakaway conservative wing.
  45. ^ a b c Scenario with an extended "Polish Coalition", which would include the Polish People's Party, Agreement, Civic Platform's breakaway conservative wing, and Kukiz'15.
  46. ^ Member of United Right and the Morawiecki's 2nd cabinet until 11 August 2021.
  47. ^ Includes: 1% – Federation for the Republic.
  48. ^ Includes: 0.6% – Federation for the Republic.
  49. ^ AGROunia – 7
  50. ^ United Poland – 18
  51. ^ Projection based on polls aggregation: 38.1% – PiS, 31.6% – KO, 14.6% – The Left, 7.5% – PSL-KP, 7.6% – Konfederacja, 0.7% – others.
  52. ^ Excluding United Poland and Agreement.
  53. ^ Excluding the Greens.
  54. ^ United Poland: 18.
  55. ^ a b Excludes Agreement
  56. ^ Agreement: 0, United Poland: 0
  57. ^ Coalition of Polish People's Party, Agreement, Kukiz'15 and conservative wing of Civic Platform
  58. ^ Coalition of Confederation and Kukiz'15
  59. ^ Kukiz'15: 20
  60. ^ Kukiz'15: 4
  61. ^ Agreement: 0, United Poland: 0

References[]

  1. ^ "Constitutional Tribunal: EU treaties partially unconstitutional". tvn24.pl. 7 October 2021.
  2. ^ "Dziś w Polsce prounijne manifestacje opozycji. Straż Narodowa organizuje kontrmanifestację [RELACJA NA ŻYWO]". onet.pl. 10 October 2021.
  3. ^ "Sejm wyraził zgodę na przedłużenie stanu wyjątkowego przy granicy Polski z Białorusią". tvn24.pl. 30 September 2021.
  4. ^ "ROZPORZĄDZENIE PREZYDENTA RZECZYPOSPOLITEJ POLSKIEJ z dnia 2 września 2021 r. w sprawie wprowadzenia stanu wyjątkowego na obszarze części województwa podlaskiego oraz części województwa lubelskiego" (PDF). tvn24.pl.
  5. ^ "To już przesądzone. Porozumienie opuszcza koalicję rządową". businessinsider.com.pl. 11 August 2021.
  6. ^ "Jarosław Gowin poza rządem: to koniec Zjednoczonej Prawicy [The end of United Right government]". onet.pl. 10 August 2021.
  7. ^ "Protesty w obronie wolnych mediów w kilkudziesięciu miastach [Protests in defense of free media in dozens of cities]". tvn24.pl. 10 August 2021.
  8. ^ "Powstała Partia Republikańska – nowa siła polityczna Adama Bielana. Na sali Jarosław Kaczyński". wprost.pl. 1 Jul 2021.
  9. ^ "Porozumienie Kaczyńskiego z Kukizem zawarte. "Podejmiemy to ryzyko"". tvn24.pl. 14 Jun 2021.
  10. ^ "Zgromadzenie ogólne Wiosny podjęło decyzję o samorozwiązaniu partii". pap.pl. 14 Jun 2021.
  11. ^ "Wyrok ws. aborcji. Jest uzasadnienie TK do wyroku z 22 października 2020 r." www.rp.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2021-05-04.
  12. ^ "Pawłowicz przerwała rozprawę w sprawie konstytucyjności prawa UE". wyborcza.pl. Retrieved 2021-05-04.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

External links[]

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