Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election
In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held on 6 May 2021, to the next election, which can be held no later than 7 May 2026.
Opinion polling[]
Constituency vote[]
Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10–16 Mar 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,008 | 46% | 20% | 24% | 7% | – | TBC | 22% |
24–28 Feb 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Economist | 1,866 | 47% | 21% | 22% | 8% | – | 2% | 25% |
14–18 Jan 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 47% | 19% | 22% | 8% | – | 4% | 25% |
22–29 Nov 2021 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,107 | 52% | 19% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 33% |
18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 48% | 21% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 27% |
9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,781 | 47% | 20% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 27% |
22–28 Oct 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,005 | 48% | 20% | 22% | 7% | – | 3% | 26% |
6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 46% | 22% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 24% |
3–9 Sep 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,016 | 48% | 22% | 20% | 7% | – | 3% | 26% |
2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 51% | 21% | 18% | 6% | – | 4% | 30% |
20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats[1] | |||||||||
20 Aug 2021 | SNP–Green Cooperation Agreement published[2][3] | |||||||||
16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 46% | 24% | 19% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 22% |
6 May 2021 | 2021 Scottish Parliament election[4] | – | 47.7% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 25.8% |
Regional vote[]
Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Green | Lib Dem | Alba | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10–16 Mar 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,008 | 34% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 2% | TBC | 12% |
24–28 Feb 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Economist | 1,866 | 34% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
14–18 Jan 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 38% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 18% |
22–29 Nov 2021 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,107 | 43% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 23% |
18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 38% | 19% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 19% |
9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,781 | 41% | 21% | 18% | 10% | 8% | – | 2% | 20% |
22–28 Oct 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,005 | 38% | 22% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 16% |
6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 38% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 8% | – | 4% | 15% |
3–9 Sep 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,016 | 36% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 40% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 10% | 19% |
20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats[1] | ||||||||||
20 Aug 2021 | SNP–Green Cooperation Agreement published[2][3] | ||||||||||
16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 38% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 6% | – | 6% | 15% |
6 May 2021 | 2021 Scottish Parliament election[4] | – | 40.3% | 23.5% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 16.8% |
See also[]
- 2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election
- 2022 United Kingdom local elections
- Next Senedd election
- Opinion polling for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election
Notes[]
References[]
- ^ a b "Alex Cole-Hamilton confirmed as new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 August 2021. Retrieved 21 August 2021.
- ^ a b "SNP-Greens deal pledges indyref2 within five years". BBC News. 20 August 2021. Retrieved 20 August 2021.
- ^ a b "Agreement with Scottish Green Party". Scottish Government. 20 August 2021. Retrieved 20 August 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ a b "Full votes and seats by party etc - SPE21". Electoral Management Board for Scotland. 9 May 2021. Archived from the original on 2 August 2021. Retrieved 2 August 2021.
Categories:
- General elections to the Scottish Parliament
- 2020s elections in Scotland
- Opinion polling for United Kingdom votes in the 2020s