Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
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Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election has been carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Results of these polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
The dates for these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 12 December 2019 to the present day. Under current fixed-term legislation, the next general election would take place in May 2024, though the government has proposed legislation to repeal this law.[1][2]
Graphical summary[]
The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next United Kingdom general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).
National poll results[]
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded and displayed in bold. Some opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties to the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the table below in the area column, where "GB" means mainland Great Britain, not including Northern Ireland, and "UK" means the whole United Kingdom, which includes Northern Ireland.
The parties with the greatest numbers of votes in the 2019 general election are listed here. Other parties are listed in the "Others" column.
2021[]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Area | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Green | Reform | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21–23 Dec | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 1,216 | 32% | 39% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 8%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 7% |
7% | |
| 22 Dec | Survation | 38 Degrees | GB | 10,000 | 35% | 41% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
6% | |
| 20–21 Dec | Focaldata | N/A | GB | 1,008 | 34% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
7% |
| 1–21 Dec | Focaldata | The Times | GB | 24,373 | 32% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
8% |
| 20 Dec | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 31% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
8% |
| 19–20 Dec | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,790 | 30% | 36% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
6% |
| 17–19 Dec | Savanta ComRes | N/A | UK | 2,096 | 32% | 37% | 13% | 4% | 5% | ?% | 9%
Plaid Cymru on ?% Other on 9% |
5% |
| 16 Dec | North Shropshire by-election[3] | |||||||||||
| 16 Dec | Savanta ComRes | The Daily Express | UK | 2,139 | 34% | 38% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
4% |
| 14–15 Dec | Find Out Now / Electoral Calculus | The Telegraph | GB | 1,017 | 30% | 38% | 10% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
8% |
| 14–15 Dec | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,714 | 32% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
5% |
| 13 Dec | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 32% | 37% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
5% |
| 9–13 Dec | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,074 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 5% |
4% |
| 8–13 Dec | YouGov | Fabian Society | GB | 3,380 | 31% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
7% |
| 10–11 Dec | Survation | GMB | UK | 1,218 | 32% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
7% |
| 9–10 Dec | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,741 | 32% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
8% |
| 9–10 Dec | Savanta ComRes | Daily Mail | UK | 2,118 | 33% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
6% |
| 8–10 Dec | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,042 | 32% | 41% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 8%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 8% |
9% | |
| 3–10 Dec | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,005 | 34% | 39% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
5% |
| 9 Dec | Focaldata | Times Radio | GB | 1,001 | 33% | 41% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
8% |
| 8–9 Dec | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,686 | 33% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
4% |
| 8–9 Dec | Survation | Daily Mirror | UK | 1,178 | 34% | 40% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 6% |
6% |
| 8 Dec | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
4% |
| 6 Dec | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 38% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
2% |
| 3–5 Dec | Savanta ComRes | N/A | UK | 2,232 | 38% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
1% |
| 2–4 Dec | Deltapoll | N/A | GB | 1,553 | 37% | 38% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 3% |
1% |
| 2 Dec | Old Bexley and Sidcup by-election[4] | |||||||||||
| 1–2 Dec | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,708 | 36% | 33% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
3% |
| 30 Nov – 1 Dec | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,060 | 36% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5% |
3% |
| 29 Nov – 1 Dec | Find Out Now | Daily Telegraph | GB | 10,272 | 36% | 35% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
1% |
| 29 Nov | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 38% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
2% |
| 26–28 Nov | SavantaComRes | N/A | GB | 2,060 | 37% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
Tie |
| 24–26 Nov | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 1,990 | 36% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 8%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 7% |
2% | |
| 24–25 Nov | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,692 | 36% | 35% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
1% |
| 18–22 Nov | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,119 | 39% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% |
3% |
| 21 Nov | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 37% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
Tie |
| 19–21 Nov | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,184 | 36% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
2% |
| 10–19 Nov | Panelbase | N/A | GB | 3,888 | 38% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on <1% Other on 4% |
1% | |
| 17–18 Nov | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,800 | 36% | 34% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
2% |
| 15 Nov | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 36% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
1% |
| 11–15 Nov | Survation | 38 Degrees | UK | 3,108 | 37% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5%
Other on 5% |
Tie |
| 11–12 Nov | SavantaComRes | Daily Mail | UK | 2,019 | 34% | 40% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
6% |
| 10–12 Nov | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 1,175 | 36% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
1% | |
| 10–11 Nov | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,696 | 35% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
Tie |
| 10 Nov | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 36% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
2% |
| 8 Nov | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 37% | 36% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
1% |
| 5–8 Nov | Find Out Now | Daily Telegraph | GB | 10,700 | 36% | 35% | 11% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
1% |
| 5–7 Nov | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,242 | 38% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
3% |
| 5–6 Nov | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 1,175 | 37% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 7%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 6% |
1% | |
| 3–5 Nov | Deltapoll | N/A | GB | 1,560 | 40% | 37% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 4% |
3% |
| 3–4 Nov | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,699 | 36% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
1% |
| 29 Oct – 4 Nov | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,007 | 35% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
1% |
| 1 Nov | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
5% |
| 29–31 Oct | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,242 | 40% | 35% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
5% |
| 27–29 Oct | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,001 | 40% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
5% | |
| 27–28 Oct | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,699 | 39% | 33% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
6% |
| 25 Oct | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 39% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
3% |
| 22–24 Oct | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,092 | 37% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
2% |
| 20–21 Oct | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,677 | 37% | 33% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
4% |
| 18 Oct | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
3% |
| 14–18 Oct | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,075 | 39% | 34% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 3% |
5% |
| 11–18 Oct | Number Cruncher Politics | N/A | UK | 1,000 | 40% | 32% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
8% |
| 15–17 Oct | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,092 | 40% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
5% |
| 13–15 Oct | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 3,043 | 38% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 4% |
1% |
| 13–15 Oct | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
4% | |
| 12–13 Oct | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,659 | 41% | 31% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
10% |
| 11 Oct | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
4% |
| 8–10 Oct | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,103 | 40% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 5% |
5% |
| 6–7 Oct | Survation | Sunday Mirror | UK | 1,040 | 39% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
4% |
| 5–6 Oct | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,667 | 39% | 31% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
8% |
| 4 Oct | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
3% |
| 1–3 Oct | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,095 | 40% | 35% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 5% | |
| 1 Oct | Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay are elected co-leaders of the Green Party of England and Wales[5] | |||||||||||
| 29 Sep – 1 Oct | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,004 | 39% | 35% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
4% | |
| 29 Sep | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,001 | 41% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
5% | |
| 28–29 Sep | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,833 | 39% | 31% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
8% |
| 27 Sep | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
6% |
| 23–27 Sep | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,089 | 43% | 30% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 3% |
13% |
| 22–23 Sep | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,690 | 39% | 32% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
7% |
| 17–23 Sep | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,008 | 39% | 36% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 3% |
3% |
| 21–22 Sep | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,060 | 40% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 9%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 8% |
5% | |
| 20 Sep | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
6% |
| 17–19 Sep | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,112 | 40% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
5% |
| 16–17 Sep | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
3% | |
| 15–16 Sep | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,635 | 39% | 35% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
4% |
| 9–16 Sep | Panelbase | N/A | GB | 3,938 | 41% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
5% | |
| 10–14 Sep | Survation | N/A | UK | 2,164 | 40% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
4% | |
| 13 Sep | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 39% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
4% |
| 10–12 Sep | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,097 | 39% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
4% |
| 9–11 Sep | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,059 | 38% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 5% |
Tie | |
| 8–9 Sep | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,657 | 33% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
2% |
| 6–8 Sep | Find Out Now (MRP) | The Sunday Telegraph | GB | 10,673 | 37% | 33% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 6%
Other on 6% |
4% |
| 6 Sep | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 32% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
9% |
| 3–5 Sep | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,087 | 40% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 4% | |
| 2–3 Sep | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,653 | 38% | 34% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
4% |
| 2–3 Sep | Deltapoll | The Sun on Sunday | GB | 1,589 | 41% | 33% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 4% |
8% |
| 2–3 Sep | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,014 | 40% | 35% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 6% |
5% | |
| 29 Aug | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
8% |
| 27–29 Aug | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,062 | 40% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
6% |
| 25–26 Aug | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,703 | 39% | 31% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
8% |
| 23 Aug | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 33% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
10% |
| 19–23 Aug | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,094 | 37% | 34% | 14% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% |
3% |
| 20–22 Aug | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,083 | 41% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
7% |
| 19–20 Aug | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,003 | 39% | 36% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
3% | |
| 17–18 Aug | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,703 | 40% | 32% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
8% |
| 16 Aug | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 36% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
4% |
| 13–15 Aug | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,075 | 41% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
7% |
| 11–12 Aug | YouGov | The Times | GB | 2,169 | 40% | 32% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
8% |
| 9 Aug | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
3% |
| 30 Jul – 9 Aug | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,113 | 41% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 3% |
11% |
| 6–8 Aug | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,047 | 41% | 33% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
8% |
| 5–6 Aug | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,000 | 42% | 35% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
7% | |
| 5–6 Aug | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,730 | 41% | 33% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
8% |
| 2 Aug | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
7% |
| 30 Jul – 1 Aug | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,100 | 40% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
6% |
| 28–29 Jul | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,637 | 39% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
5% |
| 23–26 Jul | Deltapoll | N/A | GB | 1,590 | 42% | 37% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 5% |
5% |
| 25 Jul | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
4% |
| 23–25 Jul | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,161 | 40% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
6% |
| 23 Jul | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,013 | 39% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
2% | |
| 22–23 Jul | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
8% | |
| 20–21 Jul | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,667 | 38% | 34% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
4% |
| 19–20 Jul | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,032 | 39% | 35% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
4% | |
| 19 Jul | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 42% | 33% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
9% |
| 16–18 Jul | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,127 | 41% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
7% |
| 15–16 Jul | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,761 | 44% | 31% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
13% |
| 5–13 Jul | Survation | N/A | UK | 2,119 | 43% | 32% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
11% | |
| 12 Jul | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 33% | 12% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
8% |
| 7–12 Jul | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,057 | 44% | 31% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
13% |
| 9–11 Jul | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,137 | 40% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
5% |
| 8–9 Jul | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,001 | 43% | 35% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 2% Other on 3% |
8% | |
| 7–8 Jul | YouGov | The Times | GB | 2,054 | 42% | 30% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
12% |
| 2–8 Jul | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,053 | 40% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 4% |
9% |
| 5 Jul | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
9% |
| 2–4 Jul | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,176 | 41% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
6% |
| 18 Jun – 2 Jul | Panelbase | Sunday Times | GB | 3,391 | 44% | 33% | 10% | 5% | 5% | – | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
11% |
| 1 Jul | Batley and Spen by-election[6] | |||||||||||
| 29–30 Jun | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,762 | 42% | 31% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
11% |
| 28 Jun | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 34% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
7% |
| 25–27 Jun | SavantaComRes | N/A | GB | 2,148 | 42% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
9% |
| 25–26 Jun | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,001 | 41% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 6%
Other on 6% |
6% | |
| 23–25 Jun | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 35% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
8% | |
| 23–24 Jun | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,758 | 42% | 30% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
12% |
| 21 Jun | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 33% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
11% |
| 18–20 Jun | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,191 | 44% | 30% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
14% |
| 17–20 Jun | Deltapoll | N/A | GB | 2,343 | 41% | 35% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% |
6% |
| 17 Jun | Chesham and Amersham by-election[7] | |||||||||||
| 16–17 Jun | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,642 | 45% | 31% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
14% |
| 11–15 Jun | Survation | N/A | UK | 2,024 | 41% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 6%
Other on 6% |
9% | |
| 7–14 Jun | Number Cruncher Politics | N/A | UK | 1,517 | 45% | 34% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
11% |
| 13 Jun | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
10% |
| 11–13 Jun | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,108 | 41% | 34% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
7% |
| 10–12 Jun | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,608 | 46% | 34% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% |
12% |
| 10–11 Jun | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,002 | 43% | 34% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
9% | |
| 9–10 Jun | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,630 | 44% | 31% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
13% |
| 9–10 Jun | Survation | N/A | UK | 2,017 | 42% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 5%
Other on 5% |
7% | |
| 7 Jun | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 36% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
7% |
| 3–7 Jun | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,122 | 45% | 32% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 3% |
13% |
| 4–6 Jun | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,089 | 44% | 32% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
12% |
| 2–3 Jun | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,703 | 46% | 30% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
16% |
| 28 May – 3 Jun | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,002 | 44% | 35% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 0% | 1% |
9% |
| 1–2 Jun | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,533 | 41% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
8% | |
| 31 May | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 45% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
11% |
| 28–30 May | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,180 | 42% | 32% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
10% |
| 27–28 May | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,004 | 42% | 36% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 4% |
6% |
| 27–28 May | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,705 | 43% | 29% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
14% |
| 27–28 May | Survation | Daily Mail | UK | 1,010 | 43% | 33% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 5% |
10% | |
| 27–28 May | Number Cruncher Politics | N/A | UK | 1,001 | 44% | 32% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
12% |
| 25–26 May | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,041 | 44% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
11% | |
| 24 May | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 33% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
10% |
| 21–23 May | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,215 | 43% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
9% |
| 19–20 May | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,699 | 46% | 28% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
18% |
| 17 May | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 42% | 33% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
9% |
| 14–16 May | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,131 | 43% | 32% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
11% |
| 13–15 May | Find Out Now (MRP) | The Sunday Telegraph | GB | 14,715 | 43% | 30% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
13% |
| 13–14 May | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,004 | 44% | 31% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 0% | 6% |
13% |
| 13 May | Airdrie and Shotts by-election[8] | |||||||||||
| 11–12 May | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,647 | 45% | 30% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
15% |
| 10 May | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 45% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
11% |
| 7–9 May | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,152 | 42% | 34% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
8% |
| 6 May | Local elections in England and Wales, Scottish and Welsh parliament elections, and the Hartlepool by-election[9][10][11][12] | |||||||||||
| 4–5 May | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,683 | 43% | 33% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
10% |
| 4–5 May | Panelbase | N/A | GB | 1,003 | 45% | 36% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
9% | |
| 3 May | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
2% |
| 30 Apr – 2 May | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,242 | 40% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
4% |
| 29–30 Apr | Focaldata | The Sunday Times | GB | 1,555 | 40% | 39% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
1% |
| 28–30 Apr | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,001 | 42% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 5% |
5% |
| 28–29 Apr | Number Cruncher Politics | N/A | UK | 1,001 | 43% | 34% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
9% |
| 27–29 Apr | Survation | Daily Mail | UK | 1,077 | 39% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 5% |
1% | |
| 27–28 Apr | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,803 | 44% | 33% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
11% |
| 26 Apr | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 34% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
10% |
| 22–26 Apr | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,115 | 41% | 33% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
8% |
| 22–26 Apr | BMG | The Independent | GB | 1,500 | 39% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
4% |
| 23–25 Apr | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,144 | 42% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
7% |
| 21–23 Apr | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 33% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 6% |
11% |
| 21–22 Apr | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,730 | 44% | 34% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
10% |
| 16–22 Apr | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,090 | 40% | 37% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 3% |
3% |
| 19 Apr | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
10% |
| 15–19 Apr | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,008 | 40% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 7%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 6% |
6% | |
| 16–18 Apr | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,094 | 43% | 34% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
9% |
| 13–14 Apr | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,689 | 43% | 29% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
14% |
| 12 Apr | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 36% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
7% |
| 9–11 Apr | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,174 | 42% | 35% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 7%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
7% |
| 8–10 Apr | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,009 | 43% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
8% | |
| 8–10 Apr | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,608 | 45% | 36% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
9% |
| 8–9 Apr | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,006 | 45% | 36% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
9% |
| 7–8 Apr | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,708 | 41% | 34% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
7% |
| 5 Apr | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
10% |
| 2–4 Apr | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,065 | 42% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
7% |
| 31 Mar – 1 Apr | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,736 | 42% | 34% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
8% |
| 29 Mar | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 36% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
8% |
| 25–29 Mar | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,102 | 42% | 34% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
8% |
| 25–27 Mar | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,610 | 44% | 36% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
8% |
| 25–26 Mar | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,742 | 42% | 32% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
10% |
| 25–26 Mar | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,002 | 41% | 37% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 5% |
4% |
| 22 Mar | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
6% |
| 19–21 Mar | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,098 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
4% |
| 18–19 Mar | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,692 | 43% | 34% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
9% |
| 16–19 Mar | BMG | The Independent | GB | 1,498 | 39% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
2% |
| 12–16 Mar | Number Cruncher Politics | N/A | UK | 1,001 | 42% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
5% |
| 15 Mar | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 36% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
7% |
| 12–14 Mar | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,092 | 39% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
2% |
| 11–12 Mar | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,001 | 43% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
6% |
| 5–12 Mar | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,009 | 45% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
7% |
| 9–10 Mar | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,680 | 42% | 33% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
9% |
| 9–10 Mar | Survation | Sunday Mirror | UK | 1,037 | 43% | 33% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
10% |
| 8 Mar | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 45% | 36% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
9% |
| 5–7 Mar | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,129 | 42% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
6% |
| 6 Mar | Richard Tice becomes leader of Reform UK[13] | |||||||||||
| 3–4 Mar | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,715 | 45% | 32% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
13% |
| 1 Mar | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 44% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
6% |
| 26–28 Feb | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,182 | 43% | 36% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
7% |
| 25–26 Feb | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,637 | 41% | 36% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
5% |
| 24–26 Feb | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,527 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
4% |
| 24–26 Feb | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,003 | 43% | 36% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
7% |
| 23–25 Feb | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,002 | 42% | 34% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
8% | |
| 22 Feb | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 37% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
6% |
| 18–22 Feb | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,114 | 40% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 4% |
7% |
| 19–21 Feb | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,189 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
2% |
| 17–18 Feb | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,663 | 40% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
3% |
| 15 Feb | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 39% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
2% |
| 12–14 Feb | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,170 | 42% | 37% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 7%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
5% |
| 11–12 Feb | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,006 | 42% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
5% |
| 9–10 Feb | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 36% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
5% |
| 8 Feb | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
5% |
| 5–7 Feb | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,119 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
4% |
| 5–6 Feb | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,003 | 39% | 33% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
6% | |
| 29 Jan – 4 Feb | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,056 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 0% | 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 0% |
4% |
| 2–3 Feb | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,684 | 41% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
4% |
| 2 Feb | Find Out Now | N/A | GB | 5,002 | 39% | 38% | 7% | 6%[a] | 6% | 3% | 1%
Other on 1% |
1% |
| 1 Feb | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
2% |
| 25 Jan – 1 Feb | Number Cruncher Politics | ITV | UK | 2,001 | 43% | 37% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
6% |
| 29–31 Jan | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,288 | 41% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
3% |
| 28–29 Jan | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,002 | 41% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4% |
3% |
| 26–27 Jan | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,721 | 37% | 41% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
4% |
| 25 Jan | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 42% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
5% |
| 21–25 Jan | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,100 | 40% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2%
UKIP on 1% Other on 1% |
3% |
| 22–24 Jan | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,070 | 40% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
3% |
| 21–23 Jan | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,632 | 41% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
2% |
| 21–22 Jan | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,703 | 39% | 38% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
1% |
| 18 Jan | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
2% |
| 15–17 Jan | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 1,914 | 39% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 5% |
2% |
| 14–15 Jan | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,003 | 37% | 41% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
4% | |
| 13–14 Jan | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,702 | 38% | 39% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
1% |
| 12–13 Jan | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,033 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 6% |
2% |
| 11 Jan | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
4% |
| 8–10 Jan | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 1,550 | 40% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
3% |
| 6–7 Jan | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,003 | 39% | 40% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
1% | |
| 6 Jan | The Brexit Party is re-registered as Reform UK[14] | |||||||||||
| 4–5 Jan | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,704 | 39% | 39% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
Tie |
2020[]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Area | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Green | Brexit | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26–30 Dec | Deltapoll | Daily Mirror | GB | 1,608 | 43% | 38% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
5% |
| 4–29 Dec | Focaldata (MRP) | N/A | GB | 22,186 | 36% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
2% |
| 22 Dec | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,011 | 39% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 6% |
1% |
| 21–22 Dec | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,713 | 37% | 41% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
4% |
| 18–21 Dec | SavantaComRes | Daily Express | UK | 1,433 | 41% | 39% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
2% |
| 16–17 Dec | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,001 | 39% | 39% | 6% | 5% | 4% | – | 7% |
Tie |
| 15–16 Dec | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,898 | 39% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
2% |
| 10–14 Dec | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,137 | 38% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
1% |
| 11–13 Dec | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 1,295 | 38% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
1% |
| 4–10 Dec | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,027 | 41% | 41% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 2% |
Tie |
| 4–10 Dec | Survation | N/A | UK | 3,452 | 39% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 5% |
2% |
| 8–9 Dec | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,699 | 37% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
Tie |
| 27 Nov – 8 Dec | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 6,949 | 40% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 5% |
2% |
| 3–4 Dec | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,002 | 38% | 40% | 6% | 6% | 3% | – | 8% |
2% |
| 2–3 Dec | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,706 | 38% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
Tie |
| 2 Dec | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 40% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 6% | – | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
3% |
| 27–29 Nov | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 1,428 | 39% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
1% |
| 26–28 Nov | Deltapoll | Daily Mail | GB | 1,525 | 37% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
1% |
| 20–28 Nov | Number Cruncher Politics | N/A | GB | 1,001 | 39% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
2% |
| 26–27 Nov | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,696 | 37% | 40% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
3% |
| 20–22 Nov | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 1,272 | 39% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
2% |
| 19–20 Nov | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,001 | 41% | 38% | 6% | 6% | 4% | – | 5% |
3% |
| 19 Nov | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,500 | 40% | 39% | 8% | 5% | 4% | – | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
1% |
| 17–18 Nov | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,700 | 38% | 37% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
1% |
| 13–15 Nov | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,075 | 41% | 38% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
3% |
| 11–12 Nov | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,632 | 38% | 40% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
2% |
| 11 Nov | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,500 | 40% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 5% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
Tie |
| 6–9 Nov | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,130 | 40% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
4% |
| 5–9 Nov | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,141 | 40% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 3% |
4% |
| 5–6 Nov | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,003 | 38% | 42% | 7% | 5% | 3% | – | 6% |
4% |
| 5–6 Nov | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,034 | 39% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
2% |
| 4–5 Nov | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,665 | 35% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
5% |
| 30 Oct – 2 Nov | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,126 | 40% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
Tie |
| 28–29 Oct | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,658 | 38% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
Tie |
| 28 Oct | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 3,000 | 39% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 4% | – | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
2% |
| 22–28 Oct | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,007 | 37% | 42% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
5% |
| 23–26 Oct | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,111 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
3% |
| 22–24 Oct | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,589 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
3% |
| 22–23 Oct | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,002 | 38% | 40% | 6% | 5% | 5% | – | 6% |
2% |
| 21–22 Oct | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,665 | 40% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
1% |
| 21 Oct | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 3,000 | 40% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 4% | – | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
Tie |
| 16–18 Oct | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,274 | 42% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
6% |
| 9–17 Oct | Number Cruncher Politics | Peston | GB | 2,088 | 41% | 38% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
3% |
| 14–15 Oct | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,675 | 39% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
1% |
| 9–11 Oct | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,123 | 39% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
Tie |
| 8–9 Oct | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,001 | 40% | 40% | 6% | 6% | 3% | – | 6% |
Tie |
| 6–7 Oct | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 3,000 | 41% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 4% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
2% |
| 6–7 Oct | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,673 | 41% | 38% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
3% |
| 5–6 Oct | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,022 | 41% | 37% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
4% |
| 2–4 Oct | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,081 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
3% |
| 30 Sep – 1 Oct | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 4,000 | 39% | 39% | 8% | 5% | 5% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
Tie |
| 29–30 Sep | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,700 | 39% | 39% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
Tie |
| 25–28 Sep | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,112 | 41% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
3% |
| 24–25 Sep | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,583 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
4% |
| 23–25 Sep | Opinium | The Observer | UK | 2,002 | 39% | 42% | 5% | 6% | 4% | – | 4% |
3% |
| 23–24 Sep | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,623 | 41% | 38% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
3% |
| 22–23 Sep | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,500 | 40% | 40% | 7% | 4% | 5% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
Tie |
| 17–21 Sep | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,125 | 40% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 7% |
2% |
| 18–20 Sep | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,109 | 40% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
3% |
| 11–18 Sep | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,013 | 40% | 37% | 8% | 7% | 5% | – | 2% |
3% |
| 16–17 Sep | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,618 | 40% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
Tie |
| 15–16 Sep | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,003 | 40% | 38% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
2% |
| 15–16 Sep | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,500 | 41% | 39% | 8% | 5% | 5% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
2% |
| 9–11 Sep | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,001 | 42% | 39% | 6% | 5% | 4% | – | 4% |
3% |
| 8–9 Sep | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,615 | 42% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
5% |
| 4–8 Sep | Number Cruncher Politics | Bloomberg | GB | 1,001 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
4% |
| 3–4 Sep | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,633 | 43% | 37% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
6% |
| 2–4 Sep | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,047 | 40% | 38% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
2% |
| 1–2 Sep | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,500 | 43% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 4% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
6% |
| 26–28 Aug | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,002 | 40% | 40% | 6% | 5% | 3% | – | 2% |
Tie |
| 27 Aug | Ed Davey is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats[15] | |||||||||||
| 24–25 Aug | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,669 | 43% | 36% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
7% |
| 24 Aug | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 42% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 5% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
5% |
| 21 Aug | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,005 | 41% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
4% |
| 19 Aug | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 37% | 7% | 4% | 4% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
7% |
| 18–19 Aug | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,652 | 40% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
2% |
| 14–16 Aug | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,083 | 42% | 37% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
5% |
| 13–14 Aug | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,005 | 42% | 39% | 5% | 5% | 3% | – | 6% |
3% |
| 12 Aug | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 4% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
7% |
| 11–12 Aug | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,634 | 44% | 35% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
9% |
| 6–10 Aug | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,161 | 42% | 35% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
7% |
| 4–5 Aug | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,606 | 42% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
6% |
| 30 Jul – 4 Aug | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,019 | 45% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
8% |
| 31 Jul – 3 Aug | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,019 | 44% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
9% |
| 30–31 Jul | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,623 | 43% | 35% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
8% |
| 30–31 Jul | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,002 | 41% | 38% | 6% | 6% | 4% | – | 6% |
3% |
| 29 Jul | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 4% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
5% |
| 23–24 Jul | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,002 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 4% | – | 5% |
4% |
| 22–23 Jul | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,648 | 44% | 35% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
9% |
| 22 Jul | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 5% | – | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
8% |
| 17–19 Jul | SavantaComRes | N/A | UK | 2,085 | 43% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
6% |
| 15–17 Jul | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,003 | 44% | 36% | 6% | 6% | 4% | – | 4% |
8% |
| 15 Jul | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 4% | – | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
7% |
| 9–13 Jul | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,131 | 45% | 35% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
10% |
| 10–12 Jul | Survation | N/A | UK | 2,022 | 42% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
6% |
| 9–10 Jul | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,002 | 42% | 38% | 6% | 6% | 4% | – | 4% |
4% |
| 9–10 Jul | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,541 | 44% | 38% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
6% |
| 8–9 Jul | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,614 | 46% | 36% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
10% |
| 8 Jul | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 4% | – | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
5% |
| 3–6 Jul | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,012 | 44% | 37% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
7% |
| 2–3 Jul | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,549 | 41% | 36% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
5% |
| 1–3 Jul | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,002 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 5% | 4% | – | 5% |
4% |
| 1 Jul | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Election Maps UK | GB | 2,000 | 42% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 5% | – | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
4% |
| 26–28 Jun | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,626 | 45% | 37% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
8% |
| 25–26 Jun | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,001 | 43% | 39% | 6% | 5% | 4% | – | 4% |
4% |
| 25 Jun | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | Election Maps UK | GB | 2,000 | 44% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 4% | – | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
6% |
| 24–25 Jun | Survation | N/A | UK | 2,003 | 43% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
7% |
| 18–19 Jun | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,001 | 44% | 40% | 5% | 5% | 3% | – | 3% |
4% |
| 18 Jun | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 4% | – | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
5% |
| 11–15 Jun | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,124 | 43% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
8% |
| 12–14 Jun | SavantaComRes | The Daily Telegraph | UK | 2,106 | 40% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4% |
4% |
| 11–12 Jun | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,001 | 44% | 39% | 6% | 5% | 2% | – | 2% |
5% |
| 11–12 Jun | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,693 | 45% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
8% |
| 11 Jun | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 41% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 4% | – | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
2% |
| 9–10 Jun | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,062 | 42% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
6% |
| 5–10 Jun | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,059 | 43% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
5% |
| 4–5 Jun | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,002 | 43% | 40% | 6% | 5% | 3% | – | 3% |
3% |
| 4–5 Jun | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,547 | 41% | 38% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
3% |
| 3 Jun | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,018 | 41% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
2% |
| 3 Jun | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 43% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 5% | – | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
7% |
| 29–30 May | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,650 | 45% | 35% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
10% |
| 28–29 May | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,012 | 43% | 39% | 6% | 5% | 3% | – | 4% |
4% |
| 27–28 May | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | GB | 1,557 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
5% |
| 27 May | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 43% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 3% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
6% |
| 26–27 May | YouGov | DatapraxisEU | GB | 2,029 | 43% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
5% |
| 25–26 May | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,629 | 44% | 38% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
6% |
| 22–26 May | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,040 | 46% | 33% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 4% |
13% |
| 21–22 May | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,008 | 47% | 35% | 6% | 5% | 3% | – | 3% |
12% |
| 18–19 May | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,718 | 48% | 33% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
15% |
| 15–17 May | SavantaComRes | N/A | GB | 2,079 | 46% | 33% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
13% |
| 15 May | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 47% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 3% | – | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
12% |
| 13–14 May | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 1,062 | 49% | 34% | 6% | 5% | 3% | – | 3% |
15% |
| 5–11 May | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,130 | 51% | 32% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
19% |
| 5–7 May | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 1,053 | 49% | 33% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 3% |
16% |
| 6 May | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 50% | 31% | 7% | 4% | 5% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 3% |
19% |
| 5–6 May | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,667 | 50% | 30% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
20% |
| 27 Apr – 1 May | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 1,072 | 51% | 33% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
18% |
| 27–28 Apr | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,023 | 48% | 31% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 4%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3% |
17% |
| 26 Apr | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 50% | 33% | 7% | 5% | 4% | – | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1% |
17% |
| 21–23 Apr | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,000 | 50% | 33% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
17% |
| 16–20 Apr | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,118 | 54% | 28% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
26% |
| 17 Apr | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 52% | 31% | 8% | 4% | 3% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
21% |
| 16–17 Apr | YouGov | The Times | GB | 2,015 | 53% | 32% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
21% |
| 15–17 Apr | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,000 | 51% | 32% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
19% |
| 7–9 Apr | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,005 | 55% | 29% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 2% |
26% |
| 7–9 Apr | BMG | The Independent | GB | 1,541 | 46% | 29% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3% |
17% |
| 4 Apr | Keir Starmer is elected leader of the Labour Party[16] | |||||||||||
| 1–3 Apr | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,000 | 53% | 30% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
23% |
| 1–2 Apr | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | UK | 2,000 | 49% | 29% | 8% | 4% | 4% | – | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
20% |
| 1–2 Apr | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,631 | 52% | 28% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 2% |
24% |
| 26–27 Mar | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,006 | 54% | 28% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
26% |
| 24–26 Mar | Number Cruncher Politics | Bloomberg | GB | 1,010 | 54% | 28% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0%
Plaid Cymru on 0% |
26% |
| 23 Mar | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,500 | 47% | 29% | 8% | 5% | 5% | – | 6%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5% |
18% |
| 19–20 Mar | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,005 | 51% | 31% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
20% |
| 13–16 Mar | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,003 | 52% | 30% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
22% |
| 12–13 Mar | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,005 | 49% | 32% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 4% |
17% |
| 5–9 Mar | Kantar Public | N/A | GB | 1,171 | 50% | 29% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
21% |
| 3–6 Mar | BMG | The Independent | GB | 1,498 | 45% | 28% | 11% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% |
17% |
| 19–20 Feb | SavantaComRes | Sunday Express | GB | 2,005 | 47% | 31% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1%
Plaid Cymru on 1% |
16% |
| 12–14 Feb | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 2,007 | 47% | 32% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
15% |
| 12 Feb | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | GB | 1,216 | 49% | 31% | 9% | 4% | 4% | – | 3%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2% |
18% |
| 9–10 Feb | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,694 | 48% | 28% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 2% |
20% |
| 4–7 Feb | BMG | The Independent | GB | 1,503 | 41% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 4% |
12% |
| 31 Jan – 3 Feb | Ipsos MORI | Evening Standard | GB | 1,001 | 47% | 30% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1% |
17% |
| 31 Jan – 2 Feb | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,575 | 49% | 30% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
19% |
| 30–31 Jan | Survation | N/A | UK | 1,015 | 44% | 33% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2%
Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 2% |
11% |
| 24–26 Jan | YouGov | The Times | GB | 1,628 | 49% | 29% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
20% |
| 15–17 Jan | Opinium | The Observer | GB | 1,978 | 47% | 30% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
17% |
| 8–10 Jan | BMG | The Independent | GB | 1,508 | 44% | 29% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
15% |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | UK | – | 43.6% | 32.1% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 11.5% | |
| 12 Dec 2019 | GB | 44.7% | 32.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 11.8% | |||
Seat predictions[]
Most polls are reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters do not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons. Other organisations including Electoral Calculus make rolling projections based on an aggregate of publicly available polls.
A small number of large polls have been carried out in order to run multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) models, which output predictions for each constituency.[17]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Area | Con | Lab | SNP | Lib Dem | Plaid Cymru | Green | Others | Majority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec 2021 | Survation (MRP) | Daily Mail | 10,000 | GB | 255 | 309 | 54 | 9 | 4 | 1 | N/A | Lab −32 |
| 20–22 Dec 2021 | Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP) | The Daily Telegraph | 10,994 | GB | 249 | 311 | 59 | 8 | 5 | 1 | N/A | Lab −28 |
| 1–21 Dec 2021 | Focaldata (MRP) | The Times | 24,373 | GB | 237 | 338 | 48 | 11 | ? | ? | N/A | Lab 26 |
| 29 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 | Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP) | The Daily Telegraph | 10,700 | GB | 288 | 271 | 58 | 12 | 4 | 1 | N/A | Con −74 |
| 8–11 Nov 2021 | Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP) | The Daily Telegraph | 10,272 | GB | 288 | 271 | 58 | 12 | 5 | 1 | N/A | Con −74 |
| 5–8 Nov 2021 | Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP) | The Daily Telegraph | 10,700 | GB | 301 | 257 | 58 | 10 | 5 | 1 | N/A | Con −48 |
| 6–8 Sep 2021 | Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP) | The Daily Telegraph | 10,673 | GB | 311 | 244 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 1 | N/A | Con −28 |
| 13–15 May 2021 | Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP) | The Sunday Telegraph | 14,715 | GB | 386 | 172 | 58 | 9 | 5 | 2 | N/A | Con 122 |
| 4–29 Dec 2020 | Focaldata (MRP) | Best for Britain | 22,186 | N/A | 284 | 282 | 57 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19[b] | Con −82 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | UK | 365 | 202 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 19 | Con 80 | |
Polling in the nations and regions[]
England and Wales[]
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec | North Shropshire by-election[3] | ||||||||
| 2 Dec | Old Bexley and Sidcup by-election[4] | ||||||||
| 1 Jul 2021 | Batley and Spen by-election[6] | ||||||||
| 17 Jun 2021 | Chesham and Amersham by-election[18] | ||||||||
| 4–6 Jun 2021 | Find Out Now | The Constitution Society | 14,596 | 45% | 36% | 6% | 1% | 11% | 9% |
| 6 May 2021 | Local elections in England, Welsh Parliament election, and the Hartlepool by-election[9][11][12] | ||||||||
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 46.6% | 34.3% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 12.3% | |
London[]
Graph of opinion polls conducted in London
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2021 | Old Bexley and Sidcup by-election[4] | ||||||||
| 6 May 2021 | Elections to the Mayoralty and London Assembly[19] | ||||||||
| 4–5 May 2021 | Panelbase | N/A | 1,002 | 47% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 15% |
| 2–4 May 2021 | YouGov | N/A | 1,141 | 51% | 33% | 7% | 7% | 2%
Reform UK on 1% Other on 1% |
18% |
| 28 Apr – 3 May 2021 | Opinium | N/A | 1,005 | 47% | 32% | 11% | 6% | 4% |
15% |
| 7–10 Apr 2021 | Opinium | N/A | 1,093 | 49% | 33% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
16% |
| 29 Mar – 1 Apr 2021 | YouGov | Queen Mary University of London | 1,192 | 50% | 31% | 8% | 7% | 4%
Reform UK on 2% Other on 2% |
19% |
| 17–20 Mar 2021 | Opinium | N/A | 1,100 | 49% | 34% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
15% |
| 13–14 Jan 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | 1,500 | 48% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 5%
Reform UK on 2% Other on 3% |
21% |
| 16–19 Nov 2020 | YouGov | Queen Mary University of London | 1,192 | 55% | 30% | 7% | 5% | 4%
Reform UK on 3% Other on 1% |
25% |
| 15–17 Oct 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | 2,000 | 53% | 26% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 27% |
| 7–8 Sep 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | 2,000 | 50% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 21% |
| 5–7 Aug 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | N/A | 2,500 | 48% | 29% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 19% |
| 2–6 Mar 2020 | YouGov | Queen Mary University of London | 1,002 | 46% | 34% | 11% | 7% | 2%
Reform UK on 1% Other on 1% |
12% |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 48.1% | 32.0% | 14.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 16.1% | |
Scotland[]
Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–22 Dec 2021 | Opinium | Daily Record | 1,328 | 48% | 17% | 22% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 26% |
| 18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 48% | 20% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 4%
Reform UK on 2% Other on 2% |
28% |
| 9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,000~ | 48% | 21% | 20% | 7% | – | 4% | 27% |
| 20–26 Oct 2021 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,001 | 48% | 21% | 21% | 7% | – | 4% | 27% |
| 6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 47% | 23% | 19% | 7% | – | 4% | 24% |
| 3–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 51% | 21% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 3%
Reform UK on 2% Other on 1% |
30% |
| 20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats[20] | |||||||||
| 16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 47% | 25% | 18% | 6% | – | 4% | 22% |
| 13 May 2021 | Airdrie and Shotts by-election[8] | |||||||||
| 6 May 2021 | Election to the Scottish Parliament[10] | |||||||||
| 2–4 May 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,144 | 48% | 22% | 19% | 5% | 4% | 3%
Reform UK on 1% Other on 2% |
26% |
| 30 Apr – 4 May 2021 | Survation | DC Thomson | 1,008 | 48% | 22% | 20% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 26% |
| 28 Apr – 3 May 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,015 | 47% | 25% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 1%
Reform UK on 0% Other on 1% |
22% |
| 27–30 Apr 2021 | BMG Research | The Herald | 1,023 | 48% | 20% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 1%
Reform UK on 0% Other on 1% |
28% |
| 23–26 Apr 2021 | Survation | Good Morning Britain | 1,008 | 46% | 22% | 22% | 8% | – | 2% | 24% |
| 21–26 Apr 2021 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,075 | 45% | 22% | 19% | 7% | 4% | 3%
Reform UK on 0% Other on 3% |
23% |
| 20–22 Apr 2021 | Survation | DC Thomson | 1,037 | 47% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 25% |
| 16–20 Apr 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,204 | 48% | 24% | 19% | 4% | 3% | 3%
Reform UK on 1% Other on 2% |
24% |
| 1–6 Apr 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,023 | 50% | 24% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 26% |
| 29–30 Mar 2021 | Survation | The Courier | 1,021 | 49% | 21% | 21% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 28% |
| 19–22 Mar 2021 | YouGov | The Times | TBA | 49% | 24% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 2%
Reform UK on 1% Other on 1% |
25% |
| 16–19 Mar 2021 | BMG Research | The Herald | 1,021 | 47% | 21% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 3%
Reform UK on 1% Other on 2% |
26% |
| 11–18 Mar 2021 | Survation | The Courier | 1,452 | 49% | 21% | 21% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 28% |
| 11–16 Mar 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,096 | 50% | 23% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 1%
Reform UK on 1% Other on 0% |
27% |
| 4–8 Mar 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,100 | 50% | 23% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 2%
Reform UK on 1% Other on 1% |
27% |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish Labour[21] | |||||||||
| 25–26 Feb 2021 | Survation | Daily Record | 1,011 | 48% | 23% | 21% | 6% | – | 2% | 25% |
| 11–13 Jan 2021 | Survation | Scot Goes Pop | 1,020 | 48% | 19% | 23% | 7% | – | 3% | 25% |
| 4–9 Dec 2020 | Survation | N/A | 1,009 | 51% | 20% | 21% | 6% | 3% | – | 30% |
| 5–11 Nov 2020 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,020 | 50% | 21% | 20% | 5% | 2% | – | 29% |
| 6–10 Nov 2020 | YouGov | The Times | 1,089 | 53% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 3% | 3%
Reform UK on 3% |
34% |
| 28 Oct – 4 Nov 2020 | Survation | N/A | 1,059 | 52% | 18% | 20% | 8% | – | 2% | 32% |
| 17–21 Sep 2020 | JL Partners | Politico | 1,016 | 56% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 0%
Reform UK on 0% Other on 0% |
38% |
| 2–7 Sep 2020 | Survation | N/A | 1,018 | 51% | 20% | 21% | 6% | – | 3% | 30% |
| 6–10 Aug 2020 | YouGov | The Times | 1,142 | 54% | 20% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 2%
Reform UK on 2% Other on 0% |
34% |
| 5 Aug 2020 | Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[22] | |||||||||
| 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2020 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,026 | 53% | 21% | 19% | 6% | – | 2% | 32% |
| 1–5 Jun 2020 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,022 | 51% | 21% | 19% | 6% | 2% | <1%
Reform UK on 0% Other on <1% |
30% |
| 1–5 May 2020 | Panelbase | Wings Over Scotland | 1,086 | 50% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 2% | <1%
Reform UK on 0% Other on <1% |
24% |
| 24–27 Apr 2020 | YouGov | N/A | 1,095 | 51% | 25% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1%
Other on 1% |
26% |
| 24–26 Mar 2020 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,023 | 48% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 3% | – | 21% |
| 14 Feb 2020 | Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[23] | |||||||||
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 45.0% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 19.9% | |
Wales[]
Graph of opinion polls conducted in Wales
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab | Con | Plaid Cymru | Lib Dem | Reform | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13–16 Dec 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,009[c] | 41% | 26% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 15% |
| 13–16 Sep 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,071 | 37% | 31% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 6% |
| 6 May 2021 | Election to the Senedd[11] | ||||||||||
| 2–4 May 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,071 | 37% | 36% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% |
| 18–21 Apr 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,142 | 37% | 33% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| 9–19 Apr 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 2,005 | 42% | 33% | 14% | 3% | – | 3% | 5%
UKIP on 3% Other on 2% |
9% |
| 16–19 Mar 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,174 | 35% | 35% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | Tie |
| 24 Jan 2021 | Andrew RT Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[24] | ||||||||||
| 11–14 Jan 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,018 | 36% | 33% | 17% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| 26–30 Oct 2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,013 | 43% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 11% |
| 28 Aug – 4 Sep 2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,110 | 41% | 33% | 15% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
| 29 May – 1 Jun 2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,021 | 39% | 35% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| 3–7 Apr 2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,008 | 34% | 46% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 12% |
| 20–26 Jan 2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,037 | 36% | 41% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 40.9% | 36.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 4.8% | |
Constituency polling[]
Chingford and Woodford Green[]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug – 21 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Greenpeace | 525 | 42% | 39% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 3% |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 48.5% | 45.9% | 5.6% | – | – | 2.6% | |
Wokingham[]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con | Lib Dem | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug – 21 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Greenpeace | 607 | 42% | 22% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 18% |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 49.6% | 37.7% | 10.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 11.9% | |
Wycombe[]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug – 21 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Greenpeace | 532 | 37% | 33% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 45.2% | 37.5% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 7.7% | |
Other polling[]
Selected Conservative seats gained from Labour in 2019[]
Different pollsters may have differing views on what constituencies are considered part of the "red wall", therefore comparing results from different pollsters and/or the 2019 election estimate should be exercised with caution. YouGov and JL Partners specify the red wall to be constituencies the Conservative Party gained from the Labour Party across the North of England, Midlands, and Wales in the 2019 election.
Graph of opinion polls conducted
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17–28 Sep 2021 | YouGov (MRP) | The Times | 9,931 | 41% | 40% | 5% | 14% | 1% |
| 6–18 Sep 2021 | YouGov | N/A | 794 | 44% | 38% | 4% | 14% | 6% |
| 29–30 Apr 2021 | Focaldata | The Times | 573 | 44% | 45% | 1% | 3% | 1% |
| 17–25 Mar 2021 | JL Partners | Channel 4 News | 500 | 47% | 43% | 4% | 6% | 4% |
| 19–30 Nov 2020 | JL Partners | Channel 4 News | 499 | 41% | 47% | 3% | 8% | 6% |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 47.7% | 39.1% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | |
Selected remain-voting Conservative seats[]
Different pollsters may have differing views on what constituencies are considered part of the "blue wall", therefore comparing results from different pollsters and/or the 2019 election estimate should be exercised with caution. YouGov specifies the blue wall to be constituencies held by the Conservative Party in the South or East of England in the 2019 election, with a population which by majority voted to remain in the European Union and have a higher level of graduates than the country at large.[25] The Opinium poll commissioned by Greenpeace specifies the blue wall to be constituencies held by the Conservatives since 2010, where Labour or the Liberal Democrats outperformed their national swing against the Conservatives in 2017 and 2019, with a majority of under 10,000.[26]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con | Lib Dem | Lab | Green | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug – 21 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Greenpeace | 1,000 | 43% | 14% | 34% | 5% | 4% | 9% |
| 6–18 Sep 2021 | YouGov | N/A | 841 | 45% | 15% | 26% | 11% | 4% | 19% |
| 20–28 Jul 2021 | YouGov | N/A | 1,141 | 44% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 6% | 20% |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 52% | 24% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 28% | |
Ethnic minority voters[]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Area | Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | SNP | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7–14 Jun 2021 | Number Cruncher Politics | ITV | N/A | 501 | 51% | 28% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 3% |
23% |
| 25 Jan – 1 Feb 2021 | Number Cruncher Politics | ITV | N/A | 1,000 | 58% | 22% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 4% |
36% |
| 9–17 Oct 2020 | Number Cruncher Politics | ITV | UK | 1,000 | 60% | 22% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% |
38% |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election (Ipsos MORI)[27] | GB | 27,591 | 64% | 20% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 44% | |
See also[]
- Leadership approval opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
- Opinion polling for the 2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election
- Opinion polling on the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union (2016–2020)
- Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union (2020–present)
Notes[]
- ^ SNP and Plaid Cymru listed together.
- ^ Includes the speaker and the parties of Northern Ireland
- ^ Sample includes voters aged 16-18.
References[]
- ^ Tufft, Ben (8 May 2015). "When will the next UK General Election be held?". The Independent. Retrieved 29 December 2019.
The act specifies that future elections will be held on the first Thursday of May, every five years.
- ^ "Johnson to restore power to choose general election date". Shropshire Star. Retrieved 13 May 2021.
- ^ a b "Tories lose North Shropshire seat they held for nearly 200 years". BBC News. 17 December 2021. Retrieved 18 December 2021.
- ^ a b c "Old Bexley and Sidcup: Tories hold safe London seat at by-election". BBC News. 3 December 2021. Retrieved 18 December 2021.
- ^ "Green Party's new leadership team to focus on power not protests". BBC News. 1 October 2021. Retrieved 1 October 2021.
- ^ a b "Batley and Spen: Labour hold seat in by-election". BBC News. 2 July 2021. Retrieved 2 July 2021.
- ^ "Chesham and Amersham by-election won by Lib Dems". BBC News. 18 June 2021. Retrieved 18 June 2021.
- ^ a b "SNP holds Airdrie and Shotts seat in by-election". BBC News. 14 May 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
- ^ a b "England local elections 2021 - BBC News". BBC News. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
- ^ a b "Scottish Parliament election 2021". BBC News. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
- ^ a b c "Welsh Parliament election 2021". BBC News. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
- ^ a b "Elections 2021: Conservatives hail historic Labour defeat in Hartlepool by-election". BBC News. 7 May 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
- ^ "Nigel Farage: Brexit-backing politician to quit as leader of Reform UK". BBC News. 6 March 2021. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
- ^ "Party registration decisions". Electoral Commission. 6 January 2021. Retrieved 6 January 2021.
- ^ "Davey wins Liberal Democrat leadership race". BBC News. 27 August 2020. Retrieved 29 August 2020.
- ^ "Labour leadership winner: Sir Keir Starmer". BBC News. 4 April 2020. Retrieved 4 April 2020.
- ^ "YouGov UK General Election MRP Estimates – February 2019" (PDF). YouGov. 11 February 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 February 2019. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
- ^ "Chesham and Amersham: Lib Dems overturn big Tory majority in by-election upset". BBC News. 18 June 2021.
- ^ "London elections 2021". BBC News. 9 May 2021. Retrieved 2 October 2021.
- ^ "Alex Cole-Hamilton confirmed as new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 August 2020. Retrieved 21 August 2021.
- ^ "Anas Sarwar elected as new leader of Scottish Labour Party". Labour List. 27 February 2021. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
- ^ "Douglas Ross confirmed as Scottish Conservative leader". BBC News. 5 August 2020. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
- ^ "Scottish Conservatives: Jackson Carlaw succeeds Ruth Davidson as leader". BBC News. 14 February 2020. Retrieved 8 March 2021.
- ^ "Andrew RT Davies returns as Welsh Conservatives leader". BBC News. 24 January 2021. Retrieved 15 May 2021.
- ^ English, Patrick (30 July 2021). "Conservative vote share down 8pts in 'Blue Wall', with party potentially losing up to 16 seats". YouGov. Retrieved 5 October 2021.
- ^ Akehurst, Steve (21 October 2021). "The 'Blue Wall'". Strong Message Here. Retrieved 21 October 2021.
- ^ "How Britain voted in the 2019 election". Ipsos MORI. 20 December 2019. Retrieved 5 February 2021.
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Categories:
- Opinion polling for future elections
- Opinion polling for United Kingdom general elections