2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi

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2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi
Flag of Mississippi (2001–2020).svg
← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 6 0
Popular vote 700,714 485,131
Percentage 57.86% 40.06%

Mississippi Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Mississippi was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Mississippi voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Mississippi has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]

Mississippi has not voted Democratic since 1976. Since that time, Republicans have dominated the state's political elections, and so Trump was widely expected to win the state. Indeed, Trump carried it with 57.86% of the vote, while Clinton received 40.06%.[2] Trump's 17.80% margin of victory was a 6.30% increase over the 11.50% margin of victory by which Republican nominee Mitt Romney won the state over Barack Obama in 2012. This also marked the first time since 1988 that Madison County voted more Democratic than the state as a whole.

Primary elections[]

Democratic primary[]

2016 Mississippi primary
Flag of Mississippi (2001–2020).svg
← 2012 March 8, 2016 (2016-03-08) 2020 →
  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 31 5
Popular vote 187,334 37,748
Percentage 82.47% 16.62%

Mississippi Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Mississippi results by county
  Hillary Clinton
Mississippi Democratic primary, March 8, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 187,334 82.47% 31 3 34
Bernie Sanders 37,748 16.62% 5 2 7
Willie Wilson 919 0.40%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 672 0.30%
Rocky De La Fuente 481 0.21%
Write-in 10 0.00%
Total 227,164 100% 36 5 41
Source: The Green Papers, Mississippi Secretary of State

Republican primary[]

Republican primary results by county.
  Trump
  Cruz

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]

  • Donald Trump
  • Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
  • Ben Carson (withdrawn)
  • Chris Christie (withdrawn)
  • Ted Cruz
  • Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
  • Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
  • John Kasich
  • Rand Paul (withdrawn)
  • Marco Rubio
  • Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
  • Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
  • George Pataki (withdrawn)
Mississippi Republican primary, March 8, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 196,659 47.24% 25 0 25
Ted Cruz 150,364 36.12% 15 0 15
John Kasich 36,795 8.84% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio 21,885 5.26% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 5,626 1.35% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 1,697 0.41% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 1,067 0.26% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 643 0.15% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 510 0.12% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 493 0.12% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 224 0.05% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 172 0.04% 0 0 0
George Pataki (withdrawn) 135 0.03% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 416,270 100.00% 40 0 40
Source: The Green Papers

Polling[]

General election[]

Predictions[]

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Mississippi as of Election Day.

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[4] Safe R November 6, 2016
CNN[5] Safe R November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[6] Safe R November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe R November 7, 2016
NBC[8] Likely R November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[9] Safe R November 8, 2016
Fox News[10] Safe R November 7, 2016
ABC[11] Safe R November 7, 2016

Statewide results[]

U.S. presidential election in Mississippi, 2016[2][12]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Donald Trump 700,714 57.86%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 485,131 40.06%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 14,435 1.19%
Constitution Darrell Castle 3,987 0.33%
Green Jill Stein 3,731 0.31%
Prohibition James Hedges 715 0.06%
American Delta Rocky De La Fuente 644 0.05%
Write-in Other write-ins 1,731 0.14%
Total votes 1,211,088 100.00%

By congressional district[]

Trump won 3 of 4 congressional districts.[13]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 65% 32% Trent Kelly
2nd 35% 64% Bennie Thompson
3rd 61% 37% Gregg Harper
4th 69% 28% Steven Palazzo

By county[]

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Adams 56.06% 7,757 42.45% 5,874 1.48% 205 13,836
Alcorn 18.16% 2,684 79.95% 11,819 1.89% 280 14,783
Amite 38.26% 2,697 60.84% 4,289 0.91% 64 7,050
Attala 39.27% 3,242 59.31% 4,897 1.42% 117 8,256
Benton 42.84% 1,719 56.09% 2,251 1.07% 43 4,013
Bolivar 65.44% 9,046 33.20% 4,590 1.36% 188 13,824
Calhoun 29.86% 1,910 68.64% 4,390 1.50% 96 6,396
Carroll 30.39% 1,680 68.72% 3,799 0.89% 49 5,528
Chickasaw 46.25% 3,649 52.31% 4,127 1.44% 114 7,890
Choctaw 29.96% 1,218 68.59% 2,788 1.45% 59 4,065
Claiborne 86.80% 3,708 12.64% 540 0.56% 24 4,272
Clarke 33.18% 2,585 65.94% 5,137 0.89% 69 7,791
Clay 57.20% 5,722 41.49% 4,150 1.31% 131 10,003
Coahoma 71.57% 6,378 27.22% 2,426 1.21% 108 8,912
Copiah 51.93% 6,741 47.01% 6,103 1.06% 138 12,982
Covington 37.18% 3,276 61.68% 5,435 1.13% 100 8,811
DeSoto 31.34% 20,591 65.59% 43,089 3.07% 2,015 65,695
Forrest 41.75% 11,716 55.09% 15,461 3.16% 887 28,064
Franklin 35.01% 1,502 63.43% 2,721 1.56% 67 4,290
George 10.38% 1,027 87.92% 8,696 1.70% 168 9,891
Greene 18.14% 974 80.74% 4,335 1.12% 60 5,369
Grenada 42.08% 4,424 56.79% 5,970 1.13% 119 10,513
Hancock 18.96% 3,344 78.31% 13,811 2.73% 482 17,637
Harrison 33.44% 21,169 63.74% 40,354 2.83% 1,790 63,313
Hinds 71.39% 67,594 26.69% 25,275 1.91% 1,812 94,681
Holmes 82.83% 6,689 16.21% 1,309 0.97% 78 8,076
Humphreys 72.21% 3,071 27.06% 1,151 0.73% 31 4,253
Issaquena 56.51% 395 42.63% 298 0.86% 6 699
Itawamba 11.47% 1,117 86.99% 8,470 1.54% 150 9,737
Jackson 29.57% 14,657 67.85% 33,629 2.58% 1,281 49,567
Jasper 51.54% 4,368 47.65% 4,038 0.81% 69 8,475
Jefferson 86.45% 3,337 12.69% 490 0.85% 33 3,860
Jefferson Davis 59.64% 3,720 39.54% 2,466 0.82% 51 6,237
Jones 27.48% 7,791 71.01% 20,133 1.51% 428 28,352
Kemper 60.94% 2,827 38.33% 1,778 0.73% 34 4,639
Lafayette 40.57% 7,969 55.35% 10,872 4.08% 802 19,643
Lamar 21.10% 5,190 76.25% 18,751 2.65% 651 24,592
Lauderdale 38.19% 11,269 60.13% 17,741 1.68% 496 29,506
Lawrence 34.49% 2,195 64.28% 4,091 1.23% 78 6,364
Leake 42.42% 3,584 56.60% 4,782 0.98% 83 8,449
Lee 30.47% 10,029 67.51% 22,220 2.02% 664 32,913
Leflore 69.90% 7,787 28.83% 3,212 1.27% 141 11,140
Lincoln 29.34% 4,458 69.44% 10,550 1.22% 185 15,193
Lowndes 46.21% 11,819 51.89% 13,271 1.90% 485 25,575
Madison 40.85% 20,343 56.75% 28,265 2.40% 1,194 49,802
Marion 31.45% 3,677 67.01% 7,836 1.54% 180 11,693
Marshall 54.07% 8,023 44.39% 6,587 1.54% 229 14,839
Monroe 34.78% 5,524 64.01% 10,167 1.22% 193 15,884
Montgomery 42.33% 2,115 56.41% 2,818 1.26% 63 4,996
Neshoba 25.73% 2,715 72.77% 7,679 1.51% 159 10,553
Newton 29.20% 2,756 69.38% 6,548 1.42% 134 9,438
Noxubee 77.99% 4,347 21.53% 1,200 0.48% 27 5,574
Oktibbeha 48.88% 8,859 47.32% 8,576 3.80% 689 18,124
Panola 49.33% 7,431 49.45% 7,449 1.22% 184 15,064
Pearl River 16.47% 3,604 81.26% 17,782 2.27% 497 21,883
Perry 22.46% 1,220 76.12% 4,135 1.42% 77 5,432
Pike 49.31% 8,043 49.10% 8,009 1.58% 258 16,310
Pontotoc 18.38% 2,386 79.61% 10,336 2.02% 262 12,984
Prentiss 20.94% 2,067 77.47% 7,648 1.59% 157 9,872
Quitman 68.71% 2,312 29.75% 1,001 1.55% 52 3,365
Rankin 22.48% 14,110 75.16% 47,178 2.36% 1,480 62,768
Scott 40.56% 4,268 58.18% 6,122 1.25% 132 10,522
Sharkey 67.53% 1,479 31.60% 692 0.87% 19 2,190
Simpson 33.93% 3,874 64.74% 7,393 1.33% 152 11,419
Smith 21.20% 1,617 77.72% 5,928 1.08% 82 7,627
Stone 22.33% 1,573 75.32% 5,306 2.36% 166 7,045
Sunflower 70.07% 6,725 29.11% 2,794 0.82% 79 9,598
Tallahatchie 56.85% 3,337 41.94% 2,462 1.21% 71 5,870
Tate 33.77% 3,926 64.46% 7,495 1.77% 206 11,627
Tippah 19.95% 1,842 78.40% 7,240 1.66% 153 9,235
Tishomingo 11.93% 999 85.61% 7,166 2.46% 206 8,371
Tunica 74.77% 2,667 23.91% 853 1.32% 47 3,567
Union 17.50% 2,012 80.33% 9,235 2.17% 249 11,496
Walthall 40.32% 2,790 58.62% 4,056 1.06% 73 6,919
Warren 47.82% 9,284 50.30% 9,767 1.88% 365 19,416
Washington 67.64% 11,380 31.17% 5,244 1.19% 201 16,825
Wayne 36.71% 3,524 62.40% 5,990 0.89% 85 9,599
Webster 20.10% 1,019 78.44% 3,976 1.46% 74 5,069
Wilkinson 67.73% 2,857 31.25% 1,318 1.02% 43 4,218
Winston 43.35% 3,850 55.29% 4,910 1.36% 121 8,881
Yalobusha 42.49% 2,582 55.55% 3,376 1.96% 119 6,077
Yazoo 53.32% 5,369 45.66% 4,598 1.02% 103 10,070

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican[]

  • Benton (largest town: Hickory Flat)
  • Chickasaw (largest city: Houston)
  • Panola (largest city: Batesville)
  • Warren (largest city: Vicksburg)

See also[]

  • Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
  • Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
  • Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
  • Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016

References[]

  1. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  2. ^ a b "Mississippi Election Results 2016". August 1, 2017 – via NYTimes.com.
  3. ^ Journal, Daily. "New Albany". Daily Journal.
  4. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  5. ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  6. ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  7. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  8. ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  9. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  10. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  11. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  12. ^ "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Mississippi".
  13. ^ Walter, Amy; Wasserman, David; Cook, Charlie; Walter, Amy (2017-04-07). "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2020-06-26.

External links[]

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