2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia

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2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout57.45%[1]
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 5 0
Popular vote 489,371 188,794
Percentage 68.50% 26.43%

West Virginia Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
County Results
Trump
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. West Virginia voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

On May 10, 2016, in the presidential primaries, West Virginia voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Green, and Libertarian parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.

Donald Trump won West Virginia with 68.5% of the vote, his largest share of the vote in any state. Hillary Clinton received just over a quarter of the vote, with 26.4%. Trump's performance in the state made it his strongest state in the 2016 election by total vote share.[2]

West Virginia was also one of two states where Donald Trump won every county, the other being Oklahoma. This was the second consecutive presidential election where every county within the state voted Republican. Trump's 42.2% margin of victory is the largest of any presidential candidate from either party in the state's history, besting Abraham Lincoln's 36.4% margin of victory in 1864. Hillary Clinton's performance was the worst by a major party nominee since 1912, when three candidates split the vote and received over 20% of the vote each, and, as of the 2020 election, remains the worst performance ever by a Democrat in West Virginia.

Primary elections[]

Democratic primary[]

County results of the West Virginia Democratic presidential primary, 2016.
  Bernie Sanders

Six candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[3] (alphabetically)

West Virginia Democratic primary, May 10, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 124,700 51.41% 18 18
Hillary Clinton 86,914 35.84% 11 8 19
Paul T. Farrell Jr. 21,694 8.94%
Keith Judd 4,460 1.84%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 3,796 1.57%
Rocky De La Fuente 975 0.40%
Uncommitted N/A 0 0 0
Total 242,539 100% 29 8 37
Source: The Green Papers, West Virginia Secretary of State

Republican primary[]

County results of the West Virginia Republican presidential primary, 2016.
  Donald Trump

Eleven candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]

  • Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
  • Ben Carson (withdrawn)
  • Chris Christie (withdrawn)
  • Ted Cruz (withdrawn)
  • Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
  • Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
  • John Kasich (withdrawn)
  • Rand Paul (withdrawn)
  • Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
  • Donald Trump
West Virginia Republican primary, May 10, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 157,238 77.05% 32 0 32
Ted Cruz (withdrawn) 18,301 8.97% 0 0 0
John Kasich (withdrawn) 13,721 6.72% 1 0 1
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 4,421 2.17% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn) 2,908 1.43% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 2,305 1.13% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 1,798 0.88% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 1,780 0.87% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 727 0.36% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 659 0.32% 0 0 0
David Eames Hall 203 0.10% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 1 0 1
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 204,061 100.00% 34 0 34
Source: The Green Papers

Polling[]

Analysis[]

As expected, Republican nominee Donald Trump won West Virginia in a 42-point rout (the largest of any presidential candidate in the state's history) over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton,[4] thanks to ardent support from coal industry workers in Appalachia. He thus captured all five electoral votes from the Mountain State. Trump had promised to bring back mining jobs in economically depressed areas of coal country, whereas his opponent had proposed investing millions into converting the region to a producer of green energy.[5][6] Democrats' championing of environmentalism is viewed as a threat in coal country, and Clinton faced a towering rejection from Mountain State voters. Clinton was also seen as being "haunted" by a comment she made within the state itself, in which in describing the transition to clean energy she stated "We’re going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business."[7]

West Virginia was once a solidly Democratic state; it voted Democratic in every election from 1932 to 1996, except for the Republican landslides of 1956, 1972, and 1984. However, in recent years it has drifted to becoming solidly Republican, and has stayed that way since it was won by George W. Bush in 2000. Barack Obama, for example, failed to win even a single county in 2012. West Virginia is one of the two states where Hillary Clinton did not win any counties, the other being Oklahoma, which last voted for a Democrat in 1964.[8]

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[9] Safe R November 6, 2016
CNN[10] Safe R November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[11] Safe R November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[12] Safe R November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[13] Safe R November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[15] Safe R November 8, 2016
Fox News[16] Safe R November 7, 2016

Statewide results[]

Chart of popular vote

  Trump (68.50%)
  Clinton (26.48%)
  Johnson (3.22%)
  Write-ins (0.53%)
  Stein (1.13%)
2016 United States presidential election in West Virginia[17]
Party Candidate Running mate Popular vote Electoral vote Swing
Count % Count %
Republican Donald Trump of New York Mike Pence of Indiana 489,371 68.50% 5 100.00% Increase6.30%
Democratic Hillary Clinton of New York Tim Kaine of Virginia 188,794 26.43% 0 0.00% Decrease9.11%
Libertarian Gary Johnson of New Mexico Bill Weld of Massachusetts 23,004 3.22% 0 0.00% Increase2.28%
Mountain Jill Stein of Massachusetts Ajamu Baraka of Illinois 8,075 1.13% 0 0.00% Increase0.47%
Constitution Darrell Castle of Tennessee Scott Bradley of Utah 3,807 0.53% 0 0.00% Increase0.51%
Total 714,423 100.00% 5 100.00%

By congressional district[]

Trump won all three congressional districts.[18]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 68% 26% David McKinley
2nd 66% 29% Alex Mooney
3rd 73% 23% Evan Jenkins

By county[]

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Barbour 20.19% 1,222 74.78% 4,527 5.04% 305 6,054
Berkeley 28.75% 12,321 65.91% 28,244 5.33% 2,285 42,850
Boone 20.61% 1,790 74.90% 6,504 4.48% 389 8,683
Braxton 25.95% 1,321 69.49% 3,537 4.56% 232 5,090
Brooke 26.71% 2,568 68.92% 6,625 4.37% 420 9,613
Cabell 34.60% 11,447 60.00% 19,850 5.40% 1,788 33,085
Calhoun 17.42% 456 77.76% 2,035 4.81% 126 2,617
Clay 19.11% 568 77.39% 2,300 3.50% 104 2,972
Doddridge 12.75% 362 83.03% 2,358 4.23% 120 2,840
Fayette 27.97% 4,290 67.53% 10,357 4.50% 690 15,337
Gilmer 21.43% 545 74.56% 1,896 4.01% 102 2,543
Grant 10.33% 512 87.69% 4,346 1.98% 98 4,956
Greenbrier 26.77% 3,765 67.94% 9,556 5.30% 745 14,066
Hampshire 18.36% 1,580 77.74% 6,692 3.90% 336 8,608
Hancock 25.68% 3,262 70.14% 8,909 4.18% 531 12,702
Hardy 20.47% 1,155 75.74% 4,274 3.79% 214 5,643
Harrison 27.52% 7,694 67.06% 18,750 5.42% 1,516 27,960
Jackson 21.85% 2,663 74.01% 9,020 4.14% 504 12,187
Jefferson 39.42% 9,518 54.68% 13,204 5.90% 1,425 24,147
Kanawha 37.34% 28,263 57.93% 43,850 4.73% 3,577 75,690
Lewis 19.44% 1,347 76.13% 5,274 4.43% 307 6,928
Lincoln 20.65% 1,459 75.11% 5,307 4.25% 300 7,066
Logan 16.93% 2,092 80.08% 9,897 2.99% 370 12,359
Marion 30.24% 6,964 63.69% 14,668 6.07% 1,397 23,029
Marshall 22.08% 2,918 73.14% 9,666 4.78% 632 13,216
Mason 20.43% 2,081 75.14% 7,654 4.43% 451 10,186
McDowell 23.18% 1,438 74.63% 4,629 2.19% 136 6,203
Mercer 20.47% 4,704 75.73% 17,404 3.80% 874 22,982
Mineral 17.73% 2,050 78.43% 9,070 3.84% 444 11,564
Mingo 14.41% 1,370 83.19% 7,911 2.41% 229 9,510
Monongalia 40.78% 14,699 51.13% 18,432 8.09% 2,917 36,048
Monroe 19.14% 1,111 76.54% 4,443 4.32% 251 5,805
Morgan 20.55% 1,573 74.89% 5,732 4.56% 349 7,654
Nicholas 19.39% 1,840 76.40% 7,251 4.21% 400 9,491
Ohio 30.62% 5,493 62.10% 11,139 7.28% 1,306 17,938
Pendleton 22.60% 729 74.36% 2,398 3.04% 98 3,225
Pleasants 19.71% 621 74.86% 2,358 5.43% 171 3,150
Pocahontas 25.45% 928 68.46% 2,496 6.09% 222 3,646
Preston 19.51% 2,470 75.35% 9,538 5.14% 651 12,659
Putnam 23.64% 5,884 71.46% 17,788 4.90% 1,221 24,893
Raleigh 21.75% 6,443 74.44% 22,048 3.81% 1,127 29,618
Randolph 25.15% 2,735 70.15% 7,629 4.71% 512 10,876
Ritchie 12.17% 496 83.56% 3,405 4.27% 174 4,075
Roane 23.29% 1,222 72.06% 3,781 4.65% 244 5,247
Summers 24.48% 1,190 71.06% 3,455 4.46% 217 4,862
Taylor 22.81% 1,491 72.39% 4,733 4.80% 314 6,538
Tucker 21.61% 751 73.81% 2,565 4.58% 159 3,475
Tyler 13.88% 507 81.99% 2,996 4.13% 151 3,654
Upshur 19.16% 1,766 75.99% 7,005 4.85% 447 9,218
Wayne 22.11% 3,357 73.46% 11,152 4.43% 673 15,182
Webster 18.67% 556 77.30% 2,302 4.03% 120 2,978
Wetzel 21.69% 1,359 72.13% 4,519 6.18% 387 6,265
Wirt 15.94% 386 78.90% 1,911 5.16% 125 2,422
Wood 23.59% 8,400 71.41% 25,434 5.0% 1,781 35,615
Wyoming 13.56% 1,062 83.60% 6,547 2.83% 222 7,831

See also[]

  • Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
  • Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
  • Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
  • Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016

References[]

  1. ^ "2016 General Election Turnout". www.sos.wv.gov. Archived from the original on 13 July 2017. Retrieved 28 June 2019.
  2. ^ "FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2016--Election Results for the U.S. President, the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives" (PDF). Retrieved November 18, 2020.
  3. ^ a b "West Virginia Presidential Primary Ballots Set | Ballot Access News".
  4. ^ "West Virginia Election Results 2016". The New York Times. Retrieved 2016-11-12.
  5. ^ "Deep in Virginia's craggy coal country, they saw Trump as their only hope". Washington Post. Retrieved 2016-11-12.
  6. ^ Thomas, Zoe (2016-11-02). "Coal country West Virginia feels forgotten by politics". BBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-12.
  7. ^ Strauss, Daniel (May 10, 2016). "Clinton haunted by coal country comment". Politico. Retrieved June 3, 2017.
  8. ^ "West Virginia Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". The New York Times. Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  9. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  10. ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  11. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  12. ^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  13. ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  14. ^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  15. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  16. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  17. ^ "Election and voting information" (PDF).
  18. ^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index".
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