2020 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

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2020 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

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Turnout84.14% (of registered voters) Increase5.38%[1]
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 12 0
Popular vote 2,369,612 1,584,651
Percentage 57.97% 38.77%

Washington Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County results

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Washington was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 U.S. states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Washington voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]

Prior to the election, most news organizations forecast Washington as a state that Biden would win, or a safe blue state. Biden won the state by almost 20 points, the largest winning margin for a presidential candidate of any party since 1964. He also flipped the swing county of Clallam, which now holds the record for having voted for the winning presidential candidate since 1980. Biden also became the candidate with the highest vote total in the state's history, with 2,369,612 votes.[4]

The Seattle area, home to almost two-thirds of the state's population, is overwhelmingly Democratic. However, Trump won a considerable majority in outlying communities, garnering over 70% of the vote in rural counties such as Columbia. Eastern Washington is very rural and leans Republican, partly due to the strong tinge of social conservatism it shares with neighboring Idaho, a GOP stronghold. That said, Biden was able to improve on Clinton's margin in Whitman County--anchored by the college town of Pullman--increasing it from 4.1% in 2016 to 10.2% in 2020, the best performance for a Democrat in the county since 1936. In addition, he narrowed Trump's margin in Spokane County from 8.4% to 4.3%. Biden earned 75% of the vote in King County, home to Seattle. This was the largest margin by any candidate in a presidential race since the county's creation.[5]

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Washington came from 59% among white voters and 79% among Asian-Americans. 34% of voters were secular and supported Biden by 78%.[6] Biden also became the first Democrat since Washington's admission into the union to win the presidency without winning Mason County, the first Democrat since JFK in 1960 to prevail without winning Cowlitz County, and the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 to prevail without winning Grays Harbor County and Pacific County.

Primary elections[]

The primaries for the major parties were on March 10, 2020. On March 14, 2019, Governor Jay Inslee signed a bill moving the state's presidential primary up from May to the second Tuesday in March.[7]

Republican primary[]

Donald Trump, Bill Weld, Joe Walsh, and Rocky de la Fuente had declared their candidacy for the Republican Party, but only Trump met all of the state party's criteria by the official deadline of January 21, 2020, for being included on the ballot.[8] Thus Trump essentially ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus he received all of Washington's 43 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[9]

2020 Washington Republican presidential primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[11]
Donald Trump 684,239 98.41 43
Write-ins 11,036 1.59 0
Total 695,275 100% 43

Democratic primary[]

A number of Democratic Party candidates ran or expressed interest in running.[12][13][14] Additionally, Seattle-based billionaire Howard Schultz announced a potential bid as an independent in early 2019, but backed out in September of that year.[15] The party's candidates included on the ballot at the deadline were Michael Bennet, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Amy Klobuchar, Deval Patrick, Bernie Sanders, Tom Steyer, Elizabeth Warren and Andrew Yang.[8]

Popular vote share by county
Map legend
2020 Washington Democratic presidential primary[16]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[17]
Joe Biden 591,403 37.94 46
Bernie Sanders 570,039 36.57 43
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn†) 142,652 9.15
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn†) 122,530 7.86
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn†) 63,344 4.06
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn†) 33,383 2.14
Tulsi Gabbard 13,199 0.85
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 6,403 0.41
Tom Steyer (withdrawn†) 3,455 0.22
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 2,044 0.13
Cory Booker (withdrawn) 1,314 0.08
John Delaney (withdrawn) 573 0.04
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 508 0.03
Uncommitted 6,450 0.41
Total write-ins 1,479 0.09
Total 1,558,776 100% 89
†Candidate withdrew after the start of mail-in voting.

Green primary[]

As a minor party, Washington State's Green Party affiliate is excluded from the publicly funded Presidential Primary in Washington State. The Green Party of Washington facilitated its primary by a mail-in ballot to its members after its Spring Convention on May 23[18] (deadline was June 13).

All candidates recognized by the Green Party of the United States by April 23 were on the ballot, plus a write-in option:

  • Howie Hawkins
  • Dario Hunter
  • David Rolde

General election[]

Final predictions[]

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[19] Solid D
Inside Elections[20] Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Safe D
Politico[22] Solid D
RCP[23] Likely D
Niskanen[24] Safe D
CNN[25] Solid D
The Economist[26] Safe D
CBS News[27] Likely D
270towin[28] Safe D
ABC News[29] Solid D
NPR[30] Likely D
NBC News[31] Solid D
538[32] Solid D

Polling[]

Graphical summary[]

Aggregate polls[]

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[a]
Margin
270 to Win October 8–15, 2020 October 27, 2020 57.5% 35.5% 7.0% Biden +22.0
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 59.4% 36.4% 4.2% Biden +23.0
Average 58.5% 36.0% 5.6% Biden +22.5

Polls[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 4,142 (LV) ± 2% 35%[c] 62%
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 489 (LV) ± 6% 39% 59% 2% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 7,424 (LV) 36% 62%
PPP/NPI Oct 14–15, 2020 610 (LV) ± 4% 37% 60% 2%
SurveyUSA/KING-TV Oct 8–10, 2020 591 (LV) ± 5.2% 34% 55% 5%[d] 5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 7,953 (LV) 35% 64% 2%
Strategies 360 Sep 8–14, 2020 501 (RV) ± 4.4% 36% 58% 7%[e]
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 7,489 (LV) 37% 61% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 7,691 (LV) 37% 62% 2%
SurveyUSA/KING-TV Jul 22–27, 2020 534 (LV) ± 5.2% 28% 62% 6%[f]
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 3,939 (LV) 36% 62% 2%
Public Policy Polling/NPI May 19–20, 2020 1,070 (LV) ± 3% 37% 59% 5%
SurveyUSA/KING-TV May 16–19, 2020 530 (LV) ± 5.5% 31% 57% 5%[g] 7%
EMC Research Mar 31 – Apr 6, 2020 583 (A) ± 4.1% 39% 52% 9%
SurveyUSA/KING-TV Mar 4–6, 2020 992 (RV) ± 3.8% 34% 57% 9%
Public Policy Polling/The Cascadia Advocate Oct 22–23, 2019 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 37% 59% 3%
Zogby Interactive/JZ Analytics Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 1,265 (LV) ± 2.8% 31% 52% 17%

Electoral slates[]

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state:[33]

Joe Biden and
Kamala Harris
Democratic Party
Donald Trump and
Mike Pence
Republican Party
Jo Jorgensen and
Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party
Howie Hawkins and
Angela Walker
Green Party
Gloria La Riva and
Sunil Freeman
Party for Socialism and Liberation
Alyson Kennedy and
Malcolm Jarrett
Socialist Workers Party
Martin Chaney
Jack Arends
Jackie Lane
Patsy Whitefoot
Nancy Monacelli
Julie Johnson
Sophia Danenberg
Jen Carter
Bryan Kesterson
Julian Wheeler
Santiago Ramos
Payton Swinford
Eric Rohrbach
Timothy Hazelo
Ronald Averill
Richard Bilskis
Dan Wallace
Elizabeth Kreiselmaier
Craig Keller
Tamara Flaherty
Timothy Tow
Colleen Wise
Arthur Coday
Sandi Peterson
Nathan Deily
Miguel Duque
Nicholas Coelho
Larry Nicholas
Data Logan
Whitney Davis
Ciaran Dougherty
Steve Hansen
Larry Hovde
Will Leonard
Randy McGlenn
Anna Johnson
Jody Thorsen Grage
Cynthia J. Sellers
Margaret J. Elisabeth
Stonewall Bird
Scott Charles Thompson
Bruce Radtke
Charles Law
Richard A. Redick
Frank Lockwood
Noah Martin
Colin Bartlett
Daniel Bumbarger
Jane N. Cutter
Andrew T. Freeman
Emily Forschmiedt
Sean Connolly
Jacob Nasrallah
Gregory Plancich
Ryan Oliveira
Nicolas Boone
Mitchell Malloy
Mario Carbonell
Eric Buerk
Charles A Susat
Michele Ann Smith
Patricia Ann Scott
Sara Jane Gates
Keith Bryan Smith
Mary Juanita Martin
Edwin B. Fruit
Scott A. Breen
Barbara Anne Kline
Rashaad Ali
Robert Bruneau
Dean Denno
Leah Beth Finger

Results[]

2020 United States presidential election in Washington[34]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
2,369,612 57.97% +5.43%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
1,584,651 38.77% +1.94%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
80,500 1.97% −2.88%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
18,289 0.45% −1.31%
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman
4,840 0.12% +0.01%
Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy
Malcolm Jarrett
2,487 0.06% −0.07%
Write-in 27,252 0.67% −2.58%
Total votes 4,087,631 100.00% N/A

By winning nearly 58% of the vote, Joe Biden's performance was the best showing for a presidential candidate of any party in Washington since Lyndon B. Johnson's landslide victory in 1964.

By county[]

Legend
Counties won by Trump/Pence
Counties won by Biden/Harris
2020 U.S. presidential election results by Washington county[35]
County Trump/Pence
Republican
Biden/Harris
Democratic
Jorgensen/Cohen
Libertarian
Hawkins/Walker
Green
Others Margin Turnout Total
votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % %
Adams 3,907 66.65% 1,814 30.95% 82 1.4% 18 0.31% 41 0.7% -2,093 -35.70% 75.98% 5,862
Asotin 7,319 61.24% 4,250 35.56% 260 2.18% 36 0.3% 86 0.72% -3,069 -25.68% 81.08% 11,951
Benton 60,365 58.59% 38,706 37.57% 2,706 2.63% 354 0.34% 902 0.88% -21,659 -21.02% 82.16% 103,033
Chelan 22,746 52.52% 19,349 44.68% 709 1.64% 156 0.36% 346 0.71% -3,397 -7.84% 86.2% 43,306
Clallam 23,062 46.81% 24,721 50.18% 894 1.81% 241 0.49% 346 0.71% 1,659 3.37% 86.06% 49,264
Clark 126,303 45.86% 140,324 50.95% 5,320 1.93% 1,126 0.41% 2,330 0.85% 14,021 5.09% 85.14% 275,403
Columbia 1,754 70.3% 668 26.77% 51 2.04% 5 0.2% 17 0.68% -1,086 -43.53% 88.96% 2,495
Cowlitz 34,424 57.11% 23,938 39.71% 1,274 2.11% 243 0.4% 401 0.66% -10,486 -17.4% 83.43% 60,280
Douglas 12,955 60.8% 7,811 36.66% 335 1.57% 57 0.27% 150 0.71% -5,144 -24.2% 83.79% 21,308
Ferry 2,771 63.45% 1,486 34.03% 76 1.74% 10 0.23% 24 0.55% -1,285 -29.42% 85.06% 4,367
Franklin 18,039 55.67% 13,340 41.17% 683 2.11% 110 0.34% 232 0.63% -4,699 -14.50% 78.29% 32,404
Garfield 1,069 71.79% 366 24.58% 42 2.82% 2 0.13% 10 0.68% -703 -47.21% 88.97% 1,489
Grant 24,764 65.72% 11,819 31.37% 710 1.88% 112 0.3% 275 0.73% -12,945 -34.35% 79.2% 37,680
Grays Harbor 19,877 51.71% 17,354 45.14% 764 1.99% 200 0.52% 246 0.64% -2,523 -6.57% 79.15% 38,441
Island 22,746 42.18% 29,213 54.17% 1,288 2.39% 216 0.4% 462 0.86% 6,467 11.99% 85.88% 53,925
Jefferson 6,931 27.96% 17,204 69.39% 330 1.33% 146 0.59% 181 0.73% 10,273 41.43% 90.06% 24,792
King 269,167 22.24% 907,310 74.95% 18,148 1.5% 5,662 0.47% 10,220 0.85% 638,143 52.71% 85.35% 1,210,507
Kitsap 61,563 38.8% 90,277 56.9% 4,813 3.03% 723 0.46% 1,296 0.82% 28,714 18.1% 83.77% 158,672
Kittitas 14,105 53.5% 11,421 43.32% 540 2.05% 101 0.38% 197 0.74% -2,684 -10.18% 84.7% 26,364
Klickitat 7,237 53.37% 5,959 43.95% 211 1.56% 50 0.37% 103 0.76% -1,278 -9.42% 85.12% 13,560
Lewis 29,391 64.87% 14,520 32.05% 927 2.05% 177 0.39% 294 0.64% -14,871 -32.82% 84.2% 45,309
Lincoln 5,150 73.23% 1,713 24.36% 111 1.58% 15 0.21% 44 0.62% -3,437 -48.87% 87.87% 7,033
Mason 18,710 50.16% 17,269 46.29% 888 2.38% 175 0.47% 261 0.7% -1,441 -3.87% 84.94% 37,303
Okanogan 11,840 55.63% 8,900 41.82% 290 1.36% 81 0.38% 171 0.8% -2,940 -11.81% 83.01% 21,282
Pacific 6,953 49.44% 6,794 48.31% 201 1.43% 46 0.33% 70 0.49% -159 -1.13% 84.96% 14,064
Pend Oreille 5,728 66.97% 2,593 30.32% 147 1.72% 31 0.36% 54 0.64% -3,135 -36.65% 79.74% 8,553
Pierce 197,730 42.61% 249,506 53.76% 10,495 2.26% 2,126 0.46% 4,224 0.92% 51,776 11.15% 82.26% 464,081
San Juan 3,057 23.16% 9,725 73.69% 210 1.59% 73 0.55% 132 1.00% 6,668 50.53% 90.76% 13,197
Skagit 32,762 44.62% 38,252 52.1% 1,492 2.03% 287 0.39% 630 0.85% 5,490 7.48% 86.41% 73,423
Skamania 3,885 53.13% 3,192 43.65% 153 2.09% 28 0.38% 54 0.74% -693 -9.48% 82.14% 7,312
Snohomish 166,428 37.93% 256,728 58.51% 9,690 2.21% 2,003 0.46% 3,947 0.90% 90,300 20.58% 85.17% 438,796
Spokane 148,576 50.29% 135,765 45.96% 7,147 2.42% 1,297 0.44% 2,645 0.89% -12,811 -4.33% 81.82% 295,430
Stevens 19,808 69.67% 7,839 27.57% 527 1.85% 77 0.27% 179 0.63% -11,969 -42.1% 84.3% 28,430
Thurston 65,277 38.82% 96,608 57.46% 3,708 2.21% 979 0.58% 1562 0.31% 31,331 18.64% 83.83% 168,134
Wahkiakum 1,741 58.4% 1,165 39.08% 45 1.51% 19 0.64% 11 0.37% -576 -19.32% 86.72% 2,981
Walla Walla 16,400 52.46% 13,690 43.79% 769 2.46% 132 0.42% 270 0.86% -2,710 -8.67% 84.7% 31,261
Whatcom 50,489 36.42% 83,660 60.35% 2,490 1.8% 726 0.52% 1,255 0.9% 33,171 23.93% 87.94% 138,620
Whitman 9,067 42.92% 11,184 52.94% 549 2.6% 128 0.61% 198 0.85% 2,117 10.02% 86.04% 21,126
Yakima 50,555 52.56% 43,179 44.89% 1,425 1.48% 321 0.33% 713 0.74% -7,376 -7.67% 75.95% 96,193
Total 1,584,651 38.77% 2,369,612 57.97% 80,500 1.97% 18,289 0.45% 34,579 0.85% 784,961 19.2% 84.11% 4,087,631
Trump/Pence
Republican
Biden/Harris
Democratic
Jorgensen/Cohen
Libertarian
Hawkins/Walker
Green
Others Margin Turnout Total
votes

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[]

  • Clallam County (largest municipality: Port Angeles)

By congressional district[]

Biden won 7 of 10 congressional districts with the remaining 3 going to Trump.[36]

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 38% 59% Suzan DelBene
2nd 35% 62% Rick Larsen
3rd 51% 47% Jaime Herrera Beutler
4th 58% 39% Dan Newhouse
5th 53% 44% Cathy McMorris Rodgers
6th 39% 57% Derek Kilmer
7th 12% 86% Pramila Jayapal
8th 46% 52% Kim Schrier
9th 24% 73% Adam Smith
10th 41% 56% Denny Heck
Marilyn Strickland

See also[]

Notes[]

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^ "Another candidate" with 5%
  5. ^ Includes "Refused"
  6. ^ "Another candidate" with 6%
  7. ^ "A candidate from another party" with 5%

References[]

  1. ^ "November 3, 2020 General Election - Voter Turnout".
  2. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  4. ^ Farley, Josh (November 7, 2020). "What does Clallam County know? Voters just chose a winner for the tenth straight election". Kitsap Sun. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
  5. ^ "Washington Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020.
  6. ^ "Washington Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 15, 2020.
  7. ^ "Gov. Inslee signs bill moving presidential primary up to March". KING. Associated Press. March 14, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
  8. ^ Jump up to: a b "Washington presidential primary ballot is set, even as Democratic field remains in flux". The Spokesman-Review. January 23, 2020.
  9. ^ "Washington Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  10. ^ "March 10, 2020 Presidential Primary Results – Statewide Results". Washington Secretary of State. Washington Secretary of State. March 27, 2020. Archived from the original on March 31, 2020. Retrieved March 31, 2020.
  11. ^ "Washington Republican Primary Results". USA Today. Retrieved March 31, 2020.
  12. ^ Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  13. ^ Zhou, Li (January 21, 2019). "Kamala Harris announces her historic 2020 presidential campaign". Vox. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  14. ^ Detrow, Scott (February 1, 2019). "Cory Booker Makes It Official: He's Running For President In 2020". NPR. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
  15. ^ Emily Birnbaum (January 27, 2019). "Howard Schultz makes Twitter debut amid 2020 speculation". The Hill. Retrieved January 27, 2019.
  16. ^ "March 10, 2020 Presidential Primary Results – Statewide Results". Washington Secretary of State. Washington Secretary of State. March 27, 2020. Archived from the original on March 31, 2020. Retrieved March 31, 2020.
  17. ^ "Associated Press Election Services - Delegate Tracker". Associated Press. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
  18. ^ "Green Party Presidential Primary". March 23, 2020.
  19. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  20. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  21. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  22. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  23. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  24. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
  25. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  26. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  27. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  28. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  29. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  30. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  31. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  32. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  33. ^ "2020 Electoral College Electors". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved November 19, 2020.
  34. ^ "November 3, 2020 General Election Results". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved November 21, 2020.
  35. ^ "November 3, 2020 General Election Results - President/Vice President County Breakdown".
  36. ^ Results. sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 24, 2020.

External links[]

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