2020 Utah gubernatorial election

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2020 Utah gubernatorial election

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  Spencer Cox 1 (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Nominee Spencer Cox Christopher Peterson
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Deidre Henderson Karina Brown
Popular vote 918,754 442,754
Percentage 63.0% 30.4%

2020 Utah gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Cox:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Peterson:      40-50%      50-60%

Governor before election

Gary Herbert
Republican

Elected Governor

Spencer Cox
Republican

The 2020 Utah gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of Utah, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Although incumbent Republican Governor Gary Herbert was eligible to run for re-election to a third full term, he initially announced shortly after being re-elected in 2016 that he would not run again, but indicated in January 2019 that he was open to the possibility of running again before ultimately deciding to retire and endorse his lieutenant governor, Spencer Cox.[1][2][3] Utah has not had a Democratic governor since Scott M. Matheson left office in January 1985. This is the second longest active streak of one-party leadership, trailing only South Dakota, which has not had a Democratic governor since Harvey L. Wollman left office in 1979.[4][5]

The winner of the election was the first non-incumbent gubernatorial candidate to be elected since Jon Huntsman Jr. in 2004, who ran in this election before he was eliminated in the primaries. The primaries took place on June 30, 2020. The filing deadline was on June 19, 2020.

Lieutenant Governor Spencer Cox won the general election by defeating the Democratic nominee, University of Utah law professor and former CFPB official Christopher Peterson.

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

  • Spencer Cox, Lieutenant Governor of Utah[6][7][8]
    • Running mate: Deidre Henderson, state senator[9]

Eliminated in the primary[]

  • Greg Hughes, former Speaker of the Utah House of Representatives[10][11]
    • Running mate: Victor Iverson, Washington County Commission Chairman[12]
  • Jon Huntsman Jr., former United States Ambassador to Russia, China and Singapore, former Governor of Utah[13]
    • Running mate: Michelle Kaufusi, Mayor of Provo[14]
  • Thomas Wright, Republican National Committee executive committee member and former Chair of the Utah Republican Party[15]

Eliminated at the convention[]

  • Jeff Burningham, businessman[18]
    • Running mate: Dan McCay, state senator[19]
  • Jason Christensen, activist[20]
    • Running mate: Drew Chamberlain[12]
  • Jan Garbett, businesswoman[21]
    • Running mate: Joseph Jarvis, physician and small business owner[22]
  • Aimee Winder Newton, Salt Lake County councilwoman[23] (Endorsed Cox)
    • Running mate: John Dougall, Utah State Auditor[24]

Declined[]

  • Rob Bishop, U.S. Representative (endorsed Wright, who in turn chose Bishop to run with him as his lieutenant governor)[25][26][27]
  • Jason Chaffetz, former U.S. Representative[28]
  • John Dougall, Utah State Auditor[27]
  • Gary Herbert, incumbent Governor (endorsed Cox)[2][3]
  • Mike Lee, U.S. Senator[29][30]
  • Greg Miller, former CEO of the Utah Jazz[31][27]
  • Sean Reyes, Attorney General of Utah[32]
  • Josh Romney, real estate developer and son of Mitt Romney[33][34]

Endorsements[]

Spencer Cox
Federal officials
State officials
  • Gary Herbert, Governor of Utah[36]
Local officials
  • Aimee Winder Newton, Salt Lake County councilwoman and former Republican candidate in 2020 Utah gubernatorial election[37]
Organizations
Individuals
Jon Huntsman, Jr.
Federal officials
  • Orrin Hatch, former U.S. Senator from Utah (1977-2019)[41]
  • Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah[42]
Organizations
Individuals
  • Karl Malone, retired professional basketball player[43]
Thomas Wright
Federal officials

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Rob
Bishop
Jeff
Burningham
Jason
Chaffetz
Spencer
Cox
Jan
Garbett
Greg
Hughes
Jon
Huntsman Jr.
Greg
Miller
Aimee
Winder Newton
Sean
Reyes
Thomas
Wright
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce[1] June 17–24, 2020 1,247 (LV) ± 2.77% 30% 15% 29% 6% 19%[a]
Y2 Analytics UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News June 9–17, 2020 797 (LV)[b] 32% 23% 36% 9%
Y2 Analytics/Cox for Governor[A] June 13–16, 2020 691 (LV) ± 3.72% 34% 20% 28% 9% 9%[c]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce June 1–10, 2020 676 (LV) ± 3.77% 32%[d] 10% 37% 5% 4%[e]
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune June 4–7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 32% 10% 30% 8% 17%
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute May 25–31, 2020 643 (LV) 28% 18% 24% 4% 26%
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News[2] May 9–15, 2020 610 (LV)[f] 40% 18% 34% 8%
April 25, 2020 All remaining candidates except Cox, Hughes, Huntsman Jr. and Wright eliminated at convention
Y2 Analytics[3] March 21–30, 2020 738 (LV)[g] 5% 39% < 1% 17% 33% 4% 1% < 1%[h]
Hinckley Institute March 23–28, 2020 326 (LV) ± 5.4% 7% 24% 1% 7% 26% 2% 2% 32%
Dan Jones & Associates February 28 – March 11, 2020 338 (V) ± 5.3% 6% 30% 2% 12% 27% 4% 6% 15%
Hinckley Institute February 24 – March 1, 2020 312 (LV) ± 5.5% 7% 20% 1% 7% 32% 2% 1% 30%
February 21, 2020 Garbett announces her candidacy[45]
Suffolk University/Salt Lake Tribune January 18–22, 2020 246 (LV) ± 6.3% 1% 18% 7% 26% 1% 1% 46%
Hinckley Institute/Deseret News January 15–22, 2020 424 (LV) ± 4.8% 6% 25% 3% 35% 3% 3% 25%
January 17, 2020 Reyes announces he will not run
January 13, 2020 Bishop announces he will not run
January 8, 2020 Hughes announces his candidacy[46]
January 2, 2020 Wright announces his candidacy[47]
Y2 Analytics November 19 – December 7, 2019 457 (V) ± 4.6% 9% 5% 41% 5% 29% 5% 5% 1%
November 14, 2019 Huntsman Jr. announces his candidacy[48]
October 23, 2019 Newton announces her candidacy[49]
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce
October 3–10, 2019 271 (V) 2% 34% 2% 30% 7% 25%
October 2, 2019 Miller announces he will not run[50]
September 10, 2019 Burningham announces his candidacy[51]
June 3, 2019 Chaffetz announces he will not run
May 14, 2019 Cox announces his candidacy[52]
University of Utah January 15–24, 2019 311 (RV) ± 5.6% 10% 27% 28% 4% 2% 4% 24%
University of Utah October 3–9, 2018 291 (RV) ± 6.0% 11% 25% 16% 3% 2% 7% 36%
Hinckley Institute/Salt Lake Tribune June 11–18, 2018 510 (V) ± 4.3% 9% 25% 16% 3% 9% 37%

Convention results[]

Republican convention results[53]
Candidate/Running mate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Spencer Cox/Deidre Henderson 1081 30.2% 1082 30.2% 1223 34.3% 1287 36.3% 1488 42.4% 1884 55.0%
Greg Hughes/Victor Iverson 663 18.5% 674 18.8% 719 20.2% 901 25.4% 1107 31.5% 1544 45.0%
Aimee Winder Newton/John 'Frugal' Dougall 500 14.0% 508 14.2% 540 15.1% 703 19.8% 918 26.1% Eliminated
Thomas Wright/Rob Bishop 489 13.7% 494 13.8% 553 15.5% 658 18.5% Eliminated
Jeff Burningham/Dan McCay 487 13.6% 504 14.1% 530 14.9% Eliminated
Jon Huntsman Jr./Michelle Kaufusi 315 8.8% 315 8.8% Eliminated
Jason Christensen/Drew Chamberlain 44 1.2% Eliminated
Inactive Ballots 0 ballots 2 ballots 14 ballots 30 ballots 66 ballots 151 ballots

Primary results[]

Results by county:
Cox
  •   Cox—60–70%
  •   Cox—50–60%
  •   Cox—40–50%
  •   Cox—30–40%
Huntsman
  •   Huntsman—30–40%
  •   Huntsman—40–50%
  •   Huntsman—50–60%
Hughes
  •   Hughes—30–40%
  •   Hughes—40–50%
Republican primary results[54]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Spencer Cox 190,565 36.15%
Republican Jon Huntsman Jr. 184,246 34.95%
Republican Greg Hughes 110,835 21.02%
Republican Thomas Wright 41,532 7.88%
Total votes 527,178 100%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

  • Christopher Peterson, University of Utah law professor and former CFPB official[55]
    • Running mate: Karina Brown, community organizer[56][57]

Eliminated at the convention[]

  • Neil Hansen, former state representative[20]
    • Running mate: Brandy Farmer, candidate for Utah House of Representatives
  • Ryan Jackson[20]
  • Zachary Moses, CEO of HeTravel.com[58]
    • Running mate: Nate Kizerian, community activist[59]
  • Nikki Pino Jr., youth counselor[60]
    • Running mate: Nikki Pino Sr., retired Army lieutenant colonel and father to Nikki Pino Jr.[59]
  • Archie A Williams, 2014 Democratic candidate for District 60 of the Utah House of Representatives III[61]

Declined[]

  • Peter Corroon, former Utah Democratic Party chair, former mayor of Salt Lake County, and nominee for governor in 2010[62]
  • Scott Howell, former state senator and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2000 and 2012[62]
  • Patricia W. Jones, former state senator[62]
  • Brian King, minority leader of the Utah House of Representatives[62] (endorsed Peterson)[63]
  • Jim Matheson, former U.S. Representative[33]
  • Ben McAdams, U.S. Representative[64] (running for re-election)
  • Peter Metcalf, former CEO of Black Diamond Equipment[62]
  • Paul Rolly, former columnist for The Salt Lake Tribune[62]
  • Jim Winder, former Salt Lake County Sheriff[62]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Neil
Hansen
Ryan
Jackson
Zachary
Moses
Christopher
Peterson
Nikki
Pino
Archie
Williams III
Other /
Undecided
Y2 Analytics/UtahPolicy/KUTV 2 News March 21–30, 2020 167 (LV) ± 7.6% 11% 11% 7% 38% 28% 5% 10%

Convention results[]

Democratic convention results[65]
Candidate Pct.
Christopher Peterson 88.4%
Zachary Moses 4.7%
Neil Hansen 4.0%
Nikki Ray Pino 1.4%
Ryan Jackson 1.4%
Archie Williams III 0.1%

Other candidates[]

Independent American Party[]

Nominee[]

  • Gregory Duerden,[66]
    • Wayne Hill, Vice Chair of the Utah [67]

Libertarian Party[]

Nominee[]

General election[]

Campaign[]

An advertisement that featured both major-party candidates, calling for civility in politics, drew significant media coverage and praise.[70][71]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[72] Safe R October 23, 2020
Inside Elections[73] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[74] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[75] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[76] Safe R October 28, 2020
RCP[77] Safe R November 2, 2020
270towin[78] Safe R November 2, 2020

Endorsements[]

Spencer Cox (R)
Federal officials
State officials
  • Gary Herbert, Governor of Utah[36]
Local officials
  • Aimee Winder Newton, Salt Lake County councilwoman and former Republican candidate in 2020 Utah gubernatorial election[37]
Organizations
Individuals

Polling[]

Graphical summary
Polls
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Spencer
Cox (R)
Christopher
Peterson (D)
Daniel
Cottam (L)
Gregory
Duerden (IAP)
Other Undecided
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune October 15–24, 2020 660 (LV) ± 3.8% 58% 33%
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics October 12–17, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 26% 6% 3% 16%
Y2 Analytics/Salt Lake Tribune September 26 – October 4, 2020 1,214 (LV) ± 2.8% 57% 29% 14%
RMG Research/Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics September 7–12, 2020 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 52% 19% 4% 3% 22%
Lighthouse Research/Salt Lake Tribune[4] August 31 – September 12, 2020 2,000 (RV) ± 4.38% 55% 20% 5% 3% 3% 15%
RMG Research July 27 – August 1, 2020 1000 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 17% 3% 3% 29%
Hypothetical polling
with Spencer Eccles
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Jeff
Burningham
Spencer
Cox
Spencer
Eccles
Greg
Hughes
Jon
Huntsman Jr.
Thomas
Wright
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce
Oct 3-10, 2019 599 (LV) ± 4% 2% 26% 5% 2% 33% 4% 21%
with only Spencer Cox, Greg Hughes and Jon Huntsman
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Spencer
Cox
Greg
Hughes
Jon
Huntsman Jr.
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce
Jun 11-Jul 1, 2019 801 (LV) 37% 8% 43% 12%
with Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Spencer
Cox
Greg
Hughes
Jon
Huntsman Jr.
Aimee
Winder-Newton
Thomas
Wright
Generic
Democrat (D)
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt
Lake Chamber of Commerce
Jun 11-Jul 1, 2019 801 (LV) 33% 5% 32% 2% 5% 11% 13%
with Bishop, Chaffetz, Cox, Dougall, Hughes, Miller, Newton, Reyes and Generic Democrat (D)
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Rob
Bishop
Jason
Chaffetz
Spencer
Cox
Generic
Democrat (D)
Other /
Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/UtahPolicy Jan 3-15, 2019 822 (RV) ± 3.4% 7% 18% 24% 11% 39%[j]
with Jason Chaffetz, Spencer Cox, Spencer Eccles, Greg Hughes, Ben McAdams, Greg Miller and Josh Romney
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Margin
of error
Jason
Chaffetz
Spencer
Cox
Ben
McAdams
Josh
Romney
Other Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Tribune/Hinkley Institute Oct 10–13, 2017 605 (RV) ± 3.98% 24% 11% 20% 9% 11%[k] 26%

Results[]

2020 Utah gubernatorial election[79]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Spencer Cox 918,754 62.98% -3.76%
Democratic Christopher Peterson 442,754 30.35% +1.61%
Libertarian Daniel Cottam 51,393 3.52% +0.42%
Gregory Duerden 25,810 1.77% +0.36%
Write-in 20,167 1.38% +1.37%
Total votes 1,458,878 100%
Turnout 1,515,845 90.09%
Registered electors 1,682,512
Republican hold

Notes[]

Additional candidates
  1. ^ "Prefer not to answer" with 19%
  2. ^ Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  3. ^ "Don't know/refused" with 9%
  4. ^ Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  5. ^ Undecided with 4%
  6. ^ Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  7. ^ Including registered Republican likely primary voters and currently unaffiliated likely primary voters
  8. ^ Christensen with <1%
  9. ^ a b c d e f g Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  10. ^ Undecided with 26%, Reyes with 5%; "Other" with 3%; Miller and Winder-Newton with 2%; Hughes with 1%; Dougall with 0%
  11. ^ Eccles, Hughes and "Other" with 3%; Miller with 2%
General
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Cox' campaign

References[]

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External links[]

Official campaign websites
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