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2022 Florida gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2022 Florida gubernatorial election

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Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Ron DeSantis
Republican



The 2022 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Ron DeSantis is running for a second term.

The gubernatorial primary elections will take place on August 23, 2022.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Ron DeSantis, incumbent governor[2]
  • John Joseph Mercadante, Republican National Committee official and candidate for governor in 2018[3]

Potential

  • Francis X. Suarez, mayor of Miami[4]

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis
Executive Branch Officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[5]
U.S. Senators
  • Rick Scott, U.S. senator from Florida[6]
Organizations

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Charlie Crist, U.S. representative and former Republican governor of Florida[9]
  • David Nelson Freeman, businessman[10]
  • Nikki Fried, Florida commissioner of agriculture[11]
  • Ivan Graham, dentist[12]
  • Jonathan Karns, businessman[13]
  • Amaro Lionheart, filmmaker[14]
  • Alex Lundmark, real estate agent and candidate for governor in 2018[15]
  • Timothy Mosley, charity founder[16]
  • Annette Taddeo, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014[17]
  • Robert Lee Willis[18]
  • Randy Zapata, legal advocate[19]
Democratic candidates[a]

Potential

  • Dave Aronberg, Palm Beach County state attorney and former state senator[20]
  • Jane Castor, mayor of Tampa[21]
  • Buddy Dyer, mayor of Orlando[21]
  • Dan Gelber, mayor of Miami Beach and former state house minority leader[21]
  • Gwen Graham, former U.S. representative and candidate for governor in 2018[22]
  • Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg[21]
  • Philip Levine, former mayor of Miami Beach and candidate for governor in 2018[21]

Withdrawn

  • Richard Dembinsky, engineer and candidate for state senate in 2016[23]

Declined

Endorsements

Charlie Crist
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
  • Christopher Benjamin, state representative[45]
  • Tracie Davis, state representative[46]
  • Ben Diamond, state representative[45]
  • Terry L. Fields, former state representative[47]
  • Joe Geller, state representative[45]
  • Audrey Gibson, state senator and former state senate minority leader[48]
  • Michael Gottlieb, state representative[45]
  • Michael Grieco, state representative[45]
  • Dianne Hart, state representative[46]
  • Yvonne Hayes Hinson, state representative[46]
  • Tony Hill, former state senator[49]
  • Arthenia Joyner, former state senator and former state senate minority leader[50]
  • Janet C. Long, state representative[47]
  • Travaris McCurdy, state representative[45]
  • Felicia Robinson, state representative[46]
  • Sean Shaw, former state representative and nominee for Florida Attorney General in 2018[51]
  • Susan Valdes, state representative[45]
  • Marie Woodson, state representative[52]
Local officials
  • Scott J. Brook, mayor of Coral Springs[53]
  • Susan Bucher, former Palm Beach County supervisor of elections[53]
  • Cynthia M. Chestnut, former Alachua County commissioner[53]
  • Joyce Cusack, Volusia County councilor[53]
  • Dan Gelber, mayor of Miami Beach[54]
  • Steven Geller, mayor of Broward County[52]
  • Sally A. Heyman, Miami-Dade County commissioner[54]
  • Wayne Messam, mayor of Miramar and candidate for president in 2020[55]
  • Gwendolyn M. Miller, former Tampa city councilor[47]
  • Les Miller, Hillsborough County commissioner, former state senate minority leader, and state house minority leader[47]
  • Bill Proctor, Leon County commissioner[53]
  • Curtis B. Richardson, Tallahassee city commissioner[53]
  • Hazelle P. Rogers, mayor of Lauderdale Lakes[52]
  • Tim Ryan, Broward County commissioner[52]
  • Ion Sancho, former Leon County supervisor of elections[53]
  • Ken Welch, mayor of St. Petersburg[56]
Organizations
  • American Federation of Government Employees[57]
Notable individuals
  • Alcee Hastings II, son of former U.S. representative Alcee Hastings[58]
  • Chris King, entrepreneur and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2018[59]
Nikki Fried
State legislators
  • Kristen Arrington, state representative[60]
  • Joseph Casello, state representative[60]
  • Margaret Good, former state representative[60]
  • Cindy Polo, former state representative[61]
  • Kelly Skidmore, state representative[60]
  • Jennifer Webb, former state representative[60]
Notable individuals
  • Rebekah Jones, former Florida Department of Health analyst[62]
Annette Taddeo
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
  • Kevin Chambliss, state representative[64]
  • , former state representative[65]
  • Juan-Carlos Planas, former state representative (Republican)[65]
  • , former state representative[64]
  • Victor M. Torres Jr., state senator[65]
Local officials
  • Amy Mercado, Orange County property appraiser[66]
  • Jean Monestime, Miami-Dade County commissioner[66]
  • David Richardson, Miami Beach city commissioner[66]
Individuals
  • Maria Cardona, political strategist[67]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist
Nikki
Fried
Annette
Taddeo
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 10–11, 2021 274 (LV) ± 5.9% 33% 36% 31%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 245 (RV) ± 6.3% 38% 27% 5% 30%
Political Matrix (R) June 9–11, 2021 660 (LV) ± 4.5% 41% 31% 29%
St. Pete Polls May 24–26, 2021 2,752 (RV) ± 1.9% 55% 22% 11% 12%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 232 (RV) ± 7.0% 53% 30% 17%[c]
SEA Polling (D)[A] April 15–20, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 28% 26% 13% 34%

Independent and third party candidates

Libertarian Party

Potential

  • Roger Stone, political activist and consultant[68]

Independent Party

Declared

  • Gizmo Wexler, IT administrator[69]

Independent candidates

Declared

  • Kyle "KC" Gibson, pastor and candidate for governor in 2018[70]
  • Frank Hughes Jr., education consultant[71]
  • Eugene H. Steele, attorney[72]

Publicly expressing interest

  • David Jolly, former U.S. representative[73][74]

Withdrawn

  • Mark B. Graham, computer technician and candidate for president in 2016[75]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[76] Lean R October 5, 2021
Inside Elections[77] Battleground September 29, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[78] Likely R September 15, 2021

Polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Charlie Crist
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Charlie
Crist (D)
Other
[d]
Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4 – November 19, 2021 November 22, 2021 48.5% 44.0% 7.5% DeSantis +4.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Charlie
Crist (D)
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls November 18–19, 2021 2,896 (LV) ± 1.8% 51% 45% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 37% 5% 9%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 40% 4% 7%
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 47% 35% 18%
VCreek/AMG (R)[B] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 39% 2% 12%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 11–12, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 55%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 3–5, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 55%
RMG Research August 21–28, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 38%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 36% 5% 9%
977 (LV) 48% 38% 5% 8%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 57%
Change Research (D)[C] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 6%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 43% 3% 7%
Cherry Communications (R) July 26 – August 4, 2021 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 6%
St. Pete Polls August 2–3, 2021 3,952 (LV) ± 1.6% 44% 45% 11%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) June 21, 2021 716 (LV) ± 3.7% 55% 45%
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 8%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 53% 47%
Mason-Dixon February 24–28, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 41% 7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Nikki Fried
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Nikki
Fried (D)
Other
[e]
Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4 – November 19, 2021 November 22, 2021 50.5% 41.0% 8.5% DeSantis +9.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Nikki
Fried (D)
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls November 18–19, 2021 2,896 (LV) ± 1.8% 51% 42% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 35% 4% 8%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 37% 4% 7%
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 46% 33% 21%
VCreek/AMG (R)[B] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 36% 5% 11%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 3–5, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 52% 48%
RMG Research August 21–28, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 38%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 36% 4% 11%
977 (LV) 48% 38% 3% 10%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 54%
Change Research (D)[C] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 44% 7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 50% 40% 2% 7%
Cherry Communications (R) July 26 – August 4, 2021 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 42%
St. Pete Polls August 2–3, 2021 3,952 (LV) ± 1.6% 45% 42% 13%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) June 21, 2021 716 (LV) ± 3.7% 61% 39%
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 10%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 53% 47%
St. Pete Polls March 22–24, 2021 1,923 (LV) ± 2.2% 45% 45% 10%
Mason-Dixon February 24–28, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 42% 7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Annette Taddeo
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Annette
Taddeo (D)
Undecided
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 47% 28% 25%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[D] September 15–22, 2020 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 44% 14%
Ron DeSantis vs. Val Demings
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Val
Demings (D)
Undecided
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 38%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 54% 46%

Notes

  1. ^ The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ 17% for Val Demings
  4. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Taddeo's campaign committee
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  3. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
Retrieved from ""