2004 United States presidential election in Idaho
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Elections in Idaho |
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The 2004 United States presidential election in Idaho took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 presidential election. Voters chose four representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
Idaho was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 38.1 point margin of victory. Prior to the election, all twelve news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. No Democratic presidential nominee won the state since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 and even then it was close. In 2004, President George W. Bush easily won the state and every congressional district and county, except the Democratic stronghold of Blaine County. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last election in which Latah County voted for a Republican presidential candidate.
With 68.38 percent of the popular vote, Idaho would prove to be Bush's third strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah and Wyoming.[1]
Caucuses[]
- 2004 Idaho Democratic caucuses
Campaign[]
Predictions[]
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]
- D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
- Associated Press: Solid Bush
- CNN: Bush
- Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
- Newsweek: Solid Bush
- New York Times: Solid Bush
- Rasmussen Reports: Bush
- Research 2000: Solid Bush
- Washington Post: Bush
- Washington Times: Solid Bush
- Zogby International: Bush
- Washington Dispatch: Bush
Polling[]
Only one pre-election poll was taken, which gave Bush 59%, Kerry 30%, and Nader 3%.[3]
Fundraising[]
Bush raised $371,495.[4] Kerry raised $359,011.[5]
Advertising and visits[]
Neither campaign visited or campaigned here during the fall election.[6][7]
Analysis[]
With a substantial Mormon population, Idaho is one of the most reliable GOP bastions in the country. Both senators and representatives are Republican. It has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Democrats have not held the state legislature since 1958, though Democrats held the governorship from 1971 to 1995. Voters tend to be extremely conservative on fiscal and social issues.
Results[]
2004 United States presidential election in Idaho[8] | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
Republican | George W. Bush | 409,235 | 68.38% | 4 | |
Democratic | John Kerry | 181,098 | 30.26% | 0 | |
Libertarian | Michael Badnarik | 3,844 | 0.64% | 0 | |
Constitution Party | Michael Peroutka | 3,038 | 0.51% | 0 | |
Write In | Ralph Nader | 1,115 | 0.19% | 0 | |
Write In | David Cobb | 58 | 0.01% | 0 | |
Write In | 9 | <0.01% | 0 | ||
Write In | Walt Brown | 3 | <0.01% | 0 | |
Totals | 598,447 | 100.00% | 4 | ||
Voter turnout (Voting age population) | 60.2% |
Results by county[]
County | George Walker Bush Republican |
John Forbes Kerry Democratic |
Michael J. Badnarik[9] Libertarian |
Michael Anthony Peroutka[9] Constitution |
Ralph Nader[9] Write-in |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
Ada | 94,641 | 61.37% | 58,523 | 37.95% | 1,041 | 0.68% | 449 | 0.29% | 348 | 0.23% | 36,118 | 23.42% | 154,205 |
Adams | 1,468 | 72.07% | 555 | 27.25% | 14 | 0.69% | 24 | 1.18% | 2 | 0.10% | 913 | 44.82% | 2,037 |
Bannock | 21,479 | 62.03% | 12,903 | 37.26% | 244 | 0.70% | 125 | 0.36% | 92 | 0.27% | 8,576 | 24.77% | 34,626 |
Bear Lake | 2,506 | 83.20% | 494 | 16.40% | 12 | 0.40% | 22 | 0.73% | 6 | 0.20% | 2,012 | 66.80% | 3,012 |
Benewah | 2,823 | 70.49% | 1,148 | 28.66% | 34 | 0.85% | 35 | 0.87% | 7 | 0.17% | 1,675 | 41.82% | 4,005 |
Bingham | 12,734 | 77.44% | 3,605 | 21.92% | 105 | 0.64% | 107 | 0.65% | 13 | 0.08% | 9,129 | 55.52% | 16,444 |
Blaine | 4,034 | 39.92% | 5,992 | 59.29% | 80 | 0.79% | 23 | 0.23% | 17 | 0.17% | -1,958 | -19.37% | 10,106 |
Boise | 2,501 | 71.42% | 970 | 27.70% | 31 | 0.89% | 15 | 0.43% | 10 | 0.29% | 1,531 | 43.72% | 3,502 |
Bonner | 10,697 | 61.18% | 6,649 | 38.03% | 139 | 0.79% | 146 | 0.84% | 50 | 0.29% | 4,048 | 23.15% | 17,485 |
Bonneville | 30,048 | 77.78% | 8,356 | 21.63% | 229 | 0.59% | 184 | 0.48% | 54 | 0.14% | 21,692 | 56.15% | 38,633 |
Boundary | 3,012 | 69.55% | 1,268 | 29.28% | 51 | 1.18% | 31 | 0.72% | 16 | 0.37% | 1,744 | 40.27% | 4,331 |
Butte | 1,077 | 76.82% | 321 | 22.90% | 4 | 0.29% | 4 | 0.29% | 756 | 53.92% | 1,402 | ||
Camas | 450 | 76.27% | 139 | 23.56% | 1 | 0.17% | 5 | 0.85% | 311 | 52.71% | 590 | ||
Canyon | 41,599 | 75.14% | 13,415 | 24.23% | 346 | 0.63% | 269 | 0.49% | 63 | 0.11% | 28,184 | 50.91% | 55,360 |
Caribou | 2,753 | 84.32% | 491 | 15.04% | 21 | 0.64% | 8 | 0.25% | 8 | 0.25% | 2,262 | 69.28% | 3,265 |
Cassia | 6,562 | 84.53% | 1,153 | 14.85% | 48 | 0.62% | 54 | 0.70% | 4 | 0.05% | 5,409 | 69.68% | 7,763 |
Clark | 302 | 86.29% | 46 | 13.14% | 2 | 0.57% | 3 | 0.86% | 256 | 73.14% | 350 | ||
Clearwater | 2,839 | 71.05% | 1,117 | 27.95% | 40 | 1.00% | 35 | 0.88% | 3 | 0.08% | 1,722 | 43.09% | 3,996 |
Custer | 1,762 | 75.33% | 559 | 23.90% | 18 | 0.77% | 13 | 0.56% | 6 | 0.26% | 1,203 | 51.43% | 2,339 |
Elmore | 6,011 | 75.00% | 1,959 | 24.44% | 45 | 0.56% | 29 | 0.36% | 15 | 0.19% | 4,052 | 50.56% | 8,015 |
Franklin | 4,527 | 90.50% | 456 | 9.12% | 19 | 0.38% | 51 | 1.02% | 1 | 0.02% | 4,071 | 81.39% | 5,002 |
Fremont | 4,965 | 86.68% | 741 | 12.94% | 22 | 0.38% | 34 | 0.59% | 7 | 0.12% | 4,224 | 73.74% | 5,728 |
Gem | 5,416 | 76.52% | 1,628 | 23.00% | 34 | 0.48% | 37 | 0.52% | 19 | 0.27% | 3,788 | 53.52% | 7,078 |
Gooding | 3,973 | 75.25% | 1,278 | 24.20% | 29 | 0.55% | 31 | 0.59% | 14 | 0.27% | 2,695 | 51.04% | 5,280 |
Idaho | 6,017 | 77.59% | 1,689 | 21.78% | 49 | 0.63% | 202 | 2.60% | 8 | 0.10% | 4,328 | 55.81% | 7,755 |
Jefferson | 7,703 | 87.26% | 1,084 | 12.28% | 41 | 0.46% | 72 | 0.82% | 6 | 0.07% | 6,619 | 74.98% | 8,828 |
Jerome | 5,177 | 79.01% | 1,344 | 20.51% | 31 | 0.47% | 18 | 0.27% | 10 | 0.15% | 3,833 | 58.50% | 6,552 |
Kootenai | 36,173 | 66.91% | 17,584 | 32.53% | 303 | 0.56% | 408 | 0.75% | 128 | 0.24% | 18,589 | 34.39% | 54,060 |
Latah | 8,686 | 50.05% | 8,430 | 48.57% | 239 | 1.38% | 125 | 0.72% | 67 | 0.39% | 256 | 1.48% | 17,355 |
Lemhi | 3,079 | 76.38% | 915 | 22.70% | 37 | 0.92% | 16 | 0.40% | 6 | 0.15% | 2,164 | 53.68% | 4,031 |
Lewis | 1,359 | 72.71% | 440 | 23.54% | 70 | 3.75% | 10 | 0.54% | 4 | 0.21% | 919 | 49.17% | 1,869 |
Lincoln | 1,388 | 74.50% | 466 | 25.01% | 9 | 0.48% | 9 | 0.48% | 3 | 0.16% | 922 | 49.49% | 1,863 |
Madison | 10,693 | 92.55% | 826 | 7.15% | 35 | 0.30% | 69 | 0.60% | 14 | 0.12% | 9,867 | 85.40% | 11,554 |
Minidoka | 5,797 | 80.95% | 1,331 | 18.59% | 33 | 0.46% | 35 | 0.49% | 4 | 0.06% | 4,466 | 62.37% | 7,161 |
Nez Perce | 11,009 | 62.56% | 6,476 | 36.80% | 112 | 0.64% | 82 | 0.47% | 21 | 0.12% | 4,533 | 25.76% | 17,597 |
Oneida | 1,789 | 85.11% | 304 | 14.46% | 9 | 0.43% | 30 | 1.43% | 1 | 0.05% | 1,485 | 70.65% | 2,102 |
Owyhee | 2,859 | 80.06% | 685 | 19.18% | 27 | 0.76% | 17 | 0.48% | 2 | 0.06% | 2,174 | 60.88% | 3,571 |
Payette | 6,256 | 76.83% | 1,848 | 22.69% | 39 | 0.48% | 34 | 0.42% | 3 | 0.04% | 4,408 | 54.13% | 8,143 |
Power | 2,105 | 71.43% | 829 | 28.13% | 13 | 0.44% | 10 | 0.34% | 1 | 0.03% | 1,276 | 43.30% | 2,947 |
Shoshone | 2,922 | 55.26% | 2,331 | 44.08% | 35 | 0.66% | 41 | 0.78% | 8 | 0.15% | 591 | 11.18% | 5,288 |
Teton | 2,235 | 60.82% | 1,416 | 38.53% | 24 | 0.65% | 2 | 0.05% | 13 | 0.35% | 819 | 22.29% | 3,675 |
Twin Falls | 19,672 | 74.87% | 6,458 | 24.58% | 146 | 0.56% | 119 | 0.45% | 40 | 0.15% | 13,214 | 50.29% | 26,276 |
Valley | 2,863 | 60.46% | 1,843 | 38.92% | 29 | 0.61% | 18 | 0.38% | 19 | 0.40% | 1,020 | 21.54% | 4,735 |
Washington | 3,274 | 75.72% | 1,033 | 23.89% | 17 | 0.39% | 33 | 0.76% | 2 | 0.05% | 2,241 | 51.83% | 4,324 |
Totals | 409,235 | 68.38% | 181,098 | 30.26% | 3,907 | 0.65% | 3,084 | 0.52% | 1,115 | 0.19% | 228,137 | 38.12% | 598,510[a] |
By congressional district[]
Bush won both congressional districts.
District | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 69% | 30% | Butch Otter |
2nd | 69% | 30% | Mike Simpson |
Electors[]
Technically the voters of Idaho cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Idaho is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from Idaho. All were pledged to and voted for George Bush and Dick Cheney.
- Pete T. Cenarrusa
- Debbie Field
- Sandra Patano
- John Sandy
Notes[]
References[]
- ^ "2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved 2018-03-05.
- ^ [1]
- ^ [2]
- ^ "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
- ^ "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
- ^ "Specials". Cnn.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
- ^ "Specials". Cnn.com. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
- ^ [3] Archived May 13, 2009, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d Our Campaigns; ID US President, November 02, 2004
External links[]
- 2004 Idaho elections
- 2004 United States presidential election by state
- United States presidential elections in Idaho