2018 Idaho gubernatorial election

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2018 Idaho gubernatorial election
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  Brad Little official photo.jpg PauletteJordanIF7a (cropped).jpg
Nominee Brad Little Paulette Jordan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 361,661 231,081
Percentage 59.8% 38.2%
2018 Idaho gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Little:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Jordan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Governor before election

Butch Otter
Republican

Elected Governor

Brad Little
Republican

Elections in Idaho
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The 2018 Idaho gubernatorial election took place on November 6 to elect the next governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter chose not to run for a fourth term,[1] and the state's primaries were held on May 15.[2]

Former state representative Paulette Jordan was the Democratic Party's nominee. She was the first Democratic nominee from Northern Idaho since Cecil Andrus, who was first elected governor in 1970.[3]

Jordan lost to incumbent lieutenant governor Brad Little by 21.6 percentage points, for a seventh consecutive Republican victory.

A record 605,131 votes were cast for governor in 2018, a 37.6% increase over the previous election in 2014 (439,830 votes). The previous high was 452,535 votes in 2010.

In addition, the Democratic ticket of Paulette Jordan and Kristin Collum became one of the first two tickets to have two women on it. The other was Hawaii's 2018 Republican nominees for Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Andria Tupola and Marissa Kerns.

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

Withdrew[]

  • Troy Minton, activist (running as a Democrat)[9]
  • Russ Fulcher, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2014[10] (running for ID-01[11])

Declined[]

Endorsements[]

Tommy Ahlquist
U.S. Governors (current and former)
  • Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts and Republican nominee for President of the United States in 2012[14]
Republican National Committee members
  • Damond Watkins, Idaho Republican Party National Committeeman[15]
Mayors
  • Michael Barrett, Mayor of Challis, Idaho[5]
  • Steve Bateman, Mayor of Nezperce, Idaho[5]
  • Tammy de Weerd - Mayor of Meridian, Idaho[16]
  • Kevin England, Mayor of Chubbuck, Idaho[5][17]
  • Kip McGillivray, Mayor of Osburn, Idaho[5]
  • Jason Richardson, Mayor of Rigby, Idaho[5]
  • Darin Taylor, Mayor of Middleton, Idaho[5]
  • Pete Weir, Mayor of Hagerman, Idaho[5]
Individuals
  • Charlie Kirk, founder and executive director of Turning Point USA[18]
  • Candace Owens, communications director for Turning Point USA[18]
Celebrities
Raúl Labrador
U.S. Senators
  • Kentucky: Rand Paul[20]
  • Texas: Ted Cruz[21]
State legislators (current and former)
  • Idaho State Senators: Cliff Bayer, Lori Den Hartog, Dean Mortimer, Tony Potts, Mary Souza, Steve Vick
  • Idaho State Representatives: Vito Barbieri, Judy Boyle, Greg Chaney, Don Cheatham, Brent Crane, Gayann DeMordaunt, Sage Dixon, Barbara Ehardt, Terry Gestrin, Karey Hanks, Steve Harris, Mike Kingsley, Lynn Luker, Ron Mendive, Jason Monks, Dorothy Moon, Ron Nate, Joe Palmer, Heather Scott, Paul Shepherd, Thyra Stevenson, John Vander Woude, Christy Zito, Bryan Zollinger
  • Former Idaho State Senators: Rod Beck,[22] Sheryl Nuxoll
  • Former Idaho State Representatives: Ken Andrus,[23] Gayle Batt, Reed DeMordaunt, Steve Kren, Kathleen Sims, JoAn Wood
Individuals
Political Action Committees
  • Protect Freedom PAC [20]
Trade Associations
  • Inland Pacific Chapter of Associated Builders and Contractors (IPC-ABC) [26]
Organizations
  • Idaho Chooses Life[27]
  • Family Policy Alliance of Idaho[28]
Brad Little
U.S. Governors (current and former)
  • Butch Otter, Governor of Idaho[29]
  • Phil Batt, former Governor of Idaho[30]
U.S. Senators
  • Idaho: Jim Risch (also former Governor of Idaho)[31]
U.S. Representatives
  • Idaho: Mike Simpson
Statewide elected officials (current and former)
  • Jack Riggs, former Lieutenant Governor of Idaho[32]
  • Brandon Woolf, Idaho State Controller
  • Ben Ysursa, former Idaho Secretary of State
State legislators (current and former)
  • Scott Bedke, Speaker of the Idaho House of Representatives
  • Brent Hill, President Pro Tempore of the Idaho Senate
  • Idaho State Senators:Patti Anne Lodge[33] and Jeff Siddoway
  • Idaho State Representatives: Megan Blanksma,[33] Stephen Hartgen,[34] Ryan Kerby,[35] and Eric Redman
  • Former Idaho State Senators: Denton Darrington[35] and Jim Hammond[33]
  • Former Idaho State Representatives: George Eskridge,[35] Lee Gagner,[33] and Bert Stevenson[35]
Newspapers
Organizations
  • Idaho Cattle Association[40]
  • Professional Fire Fighters of Idaho[41]
  • Idaho Associated General Contractors[42]
  • Idaho Loggers PAC[43]
  • Idaho State Dental Association[44]
  • Idaho Realtors[45]
  • Idaho Grain Producers Association[46]
  • Idaho Medical Association[47]
  • National Federation of Independent Business[48]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Tommy
Ahlquist 		Raul
Labrador 		Brad
Little 		Lisa
Marie 		Lawrence
Wasden* 		Other Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates February 26 – March 15, 2018 – – 21% 25% 17% – – 6% 31%
Dan Jones & Associates November 8–15, 2017 619 ± 3.9% 14% 17% 21% 4% 4% 5% 36%
Magellan Strategies (R-Labrador) Archived December 1, 2017, at the Wayback Machine October 11–12, 2017 714 ± 3.7% 21% 37% 23% – – – 19%

*–Denotes candidates who did not enter the race.

Results[]

Results by county:
Little
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Labrador
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Ahlquist
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Republican primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brad Little 72,518 37.3
Republican Raúl Labrador 63,460 32.6
Republican Tommy Ahlquist 50,977 26.2
Republican Lisa Marie 3,390 1.7
Republican Steve Pankey 2,701 1.4
Republican Harley Brown 874 0.4
Republican Dalton Cannady 528 0.3
Total votes 194,448 100.0

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • A.J. Balukoff, businessman, member of the Boise School District board of trustees and nominee for governor in 2014[49]
  • Paulette Jordan, former state representative[50]
  • Peter Dill, organic farmer and business attorney[5]

Declined[]

  • Michelle Stennett, Minority Leader of the Idaho Senate[51]

Endorsements[]

A. J. Balukoff
U.S. Representatives (current and former)
  • Idaho: Larry LaRocco, Walt Minnick, and Richard Stallings[52]
Statewide officials (current and former)
  • Betty Richardson, former U.S. Attorney for Idaho[52]
  • Cathy Silak, former Idaho Supreme Court Justice[53]
State legislators (current and former)
  • Mat Erpelding, Idaho House Minority Leader[54]
  • Idaho State Senators: Cherie Buckner-Webb,[54] Grant Burgoyne,[55] Maryanne Jordan,[56] Mark Nye,[57] and Janie Ward-Engelking,[56]
  • Idaho State Representatives: Sue Chew,[56] Phylis King,[58] Hy Kloc,[59] John McCrostie,[58] Elaine Smith,[52] and Melissa Wintrow[54]
  • Former Idaho State Senators: Ron Beitelspacher,[52] Mike Blackbird,[52] Gail Bray,[60] Mike Burkett,[61] Mary Lou Reed[62]
  • Former Idaho State Representatives: John Rusche (and former House Minority Leader),[63] Liz Chavez,[64] Bill Killen,[65] Donna Pence,[52] Anne Pasley-Stuart,[66] James Ruchti,[52] and Dan Rudolph[67]
Democratic National Committee officials (current and former)
  • Jessi Boyer, Idaho National Committeewoman[68]
  • Larry Kenck, former Chairman of the Idaho Democratic Party[52]
Local and municipal officials (current and former)
  • Tom Hearn, Coeur d'Alene School Board Member[69]
  • Elfreda Higgins, Garden City Councilwoman (and former Idaho State Representative)[70]
  • Mike Kennedy, former Coeur d'Alene City Councilman[71]
  • Cari Miller, Lewiston City Councilwoman[72]
  • Kristin Muchow, Board Member of the Greater Boise Auditorium District[72]
  • Beth Oppenheimer, Boise School Board Member[73]
  • Holli Woodings, Boise City Councilwoman (and former state representative)[52]
Newspapers
Organizations
  • Conservation Voters for Idaho[74]
Paulette Jordan
State legislators (current and former)
  • Former Idaho State Senators: John Peavey
Individuals
  • Cher, singer and actress[75]
  • Jim Dean, Chair, Democracy for America[76]
  • Van Jones, CNN host[76]
Organizations
  • Democracy for America[77]
  • International Union of Painters and Allied Trades[76]
  • Our Revolution[78]
  • Indivisible

Results[]

Results by county:
Jordan
  •   Jordan—80–90%
  •   Jordan—70–80%
  •   Jordan—60–70%
  •   Jordan—50–60%
  •   Jordan—40–50%
Jordan/Balukoff tie
  •   
Balukoff
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Paulette Jordan 38,483 58.4
Democratic A.J. Balukoff 26,403 40.1
Democratic Peter Dill 964 1.5
Total votes 65,850 100.0

Independents[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Adam Phillips[9]
  • Michael Richardson[5]
  • John Thomas Wiechec[9]

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[79] Safe R October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[80] Safe R November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[81] Safe R November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[82] Safe R November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[83] Safe R November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[84] Safe R November 4, 2018
Daily Kos[85] Safe R November 5, 2018
Fox News[86][a] Likely R November 5, 2018
Politico[87] Safe R November 5, 2018
Governing[88] Safe R November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates[]

Dates Location Little Jordan Link
October 15, 2018 Boise, Idaho Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Brad
Little (R) 		Paulette
Jordan (D) 		Bev
Boeck (L) 		Other Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 2018 838 – 55% 39% 3% 2%[89] –
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Idaho Voices for Change Now) August 2–5, 2018 826 ± 3.2% 36% 28% – 5% 31%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D-Idaho Voices for Change Now) July 12–15, 2018 1,061 ± 2.8% 38% 28% – 7% 26%
Dan Jones & Associates Archived September 9, 2018, at the Wayback Machine June 22 – July 9, 2018 606 ± 4.0% 43% 31% 5% 8%[90] 13%

Results[]

Idaho gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Brad Little 361,661 59.76% +6.24%
Democratic Paulette Jordan 231,081 38.19% -0.36%
Libertarian Bev "Angel" Boeck 6,551 1.08% -2.99%
Constitution Walter L. Bayes 5,787 0.96% -0.23%
Independent Lisa Marie (write-in) 51 0.0% N/A
Total votes 605,131 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

See also[]

References[]

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  28. ^ "BREAKING: Family Policy Alliance of Idaho Endorses…". Family Policy Alliance of Idaho. May 10, 2018.
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  87. ^ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
  88. ^ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Archived from the original on October 21, 2018. Retrieved July 18, 2018.
  89. ^ Walter Bayes with 2%
  90. ^ Walter Bayes (C) with 3%, someone else with 5%

External links[]

Debates
Official campaign websites
Retrieved from ""