2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

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Turnout59.17%
  Elizabeth Warren--2016 Official Portrait--(cropped).jpg Geoff Diehl crop.jpg
Nominee Elizabeth Warren Geoff Diehl
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,633,371 979,210
Percentage 60.3% 36.2%

2018 US Senate election in Massachusetts results by municipality.svg
Municipality results

U.S. senator before election

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Elizabeth Warren
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Massachusetts took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren ran for reelection to a second term. The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on September 4, 2018.[1]

Warren won reelection in a landslide, defeating her Republican opponent, Geoff Diehl.[2]

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominated[]

  • Elizabeth Warren, incumbent U.S. Senator[3][4]

Results[]

United States Senate Democratic primary in Massachusetts results by county, 2018:
  Warren—≥90%
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elizabeth Warren (incumbent) 590,835 98.08%
Write-in 11,558 1.92%
Total votes 602,393 100.00%

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominated[]

  • Geoff Diehl, state representative[6]

Eliminated in primary[]

  • Beth Lindstrom, former Undersecretary of the Massachusetts Office of Consumer Affairs and Business Regulation[7]
  • John Kingston, attorney and founder and president of Better for America[8]

Eliminated at convention[]

  • Darius Mitchell[9]
  • Heidi Wellman[10]

Declined[]

  • Gabriel Gomez, businessman, former Navy SEAL and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2013[11]
  • Rick Green, businessman (running for House of Representatives) [12][13]
  • Curt Schilling, former Major League Baseball pitcher[14]
  • Bill Weld, former governor, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996 and Libertarian nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2016 (endorsed Beth Lindstrom)[15]
  • Daniel Winslow, former state representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2013[16]

Endorsements[]

Beth Lindstrom
Governors
  • William F. Weld, former Governor of Massachusetts, 1991-1997[17]
State legislators
  • Richard J. Ross, state senator[18]
  • Kimberly Ferguson, state representative[19]
  • Paul Frost, state representative[20]
  • Sheila Harrington, state representative[21]
  • Bradford Hill, state representative[22]
  • James Kelcourse, state representative[23]
  • David Muradian, state representative[24]
  • Elizabeth Poirier, state representative[25]
  • Jay Barrows, state representative[26]
  • Steven Howitt, state representative[27]
  • Donald Wong, state representative[28]
  • David Vieira, state representative[29]
Local officials
  • Mark Hawke, Gardner Mayor[30]
  • Anne Manning-Martin, Peabody City Councilor-at-Large[31]
Organizations
Newspapers
John Kingston
State legislators
  • Don Humason, state senator[38]
  • Ryan Fattman, state senator[38]
  • Vinny deMacedo, state senator[38]
  • Donnie Berthiaume, state representative[38]
  • Will Crocker, state representative[39]
  • Joseph D. McKenna, state representative[38]
Local officials
  • Stephanie K. Fattman, Worcester County Register of Probate[38]
  • Lew Evangelidis, Worcester County Sheriff[38]
  • Eddie Tedesco, Woburn City Councilor[40]
  • Jim Kane, member of the Shrewsbury Board of Selectmen[41]
Individuals
  • Jim Rappaport, former Chairman of the Massachusetts GOP[42]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Geoff
Diehl
John
Kingston
Beth
Lindstrom
Other Undecided
MassINC June 22–25, 2018 399 ± 4.9% 26% 12% 15% 5% 41%

Results[]

Overall[]

Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by municipality, 2018
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Geoff Diehl 144,043 55.15%
Republican John Kingston 69,636 26.66%
Republican Beth Lindstrom 46,693 17.88%
Write-in 798 0.31%
Total votes 261,170 100.00%

By county[]

Massachusetts United States Senate Republican primary results by county, 2018:
  Diehl—70–80%
  Diehl—60–70%
  Diehl—50–60%
  Diehl—40–50%
  Kingston—40–50%

Results by county. Red represents counties won by Diehl. Teal represents counties won by Kingston.

County Diehl
%
Diehl
votes
Kingston
%
Kingston
votes
Lindstrom
%
Lindstrom
votes
Barnstable 57.0% 10,761 24.2% 4,573 18.6% 3,513
Berkshire 47.9% 1,221 37.8% 965 13.8% 352
Bristol 61.8% 11,005 23.0% 4,095 15.0% 2,669
Dukes 55.2% 347 25.9% 163 18.9% 119
Essex 53.1% 17,716 28.3% 9,428 18.3% 6,104
Franklin 41.8% 938 42.3% 949 15.3% 343
Hampden 50.5% 7,491 34.0% 5,048 15.0% 2,225
Hampshire 45.7% 1,967 36.7% 1,579 16.9% 725
Middlesex 52.5% 29,084 26.8% 14,852 20.3% 11,218
Nantucket 50.1% 168 29.6% 99 20.3% 68
Norfolk 58.9% 18,749 22.0% 7,009 18.8% 5,992
Plymouth 70.1% 23,242 19.8% 6,549 10.0% 3,316
Suffolk 53.5% 4,792 27.6% 2,471 18.2% 1,628
Worcester 44.8% 16,562 32.1% 11,856 22.8% 8,421
Total 55.2% 144,043 26.7% 69,636 17.9% 46,693

Libertarian primary[]

Candidates[]

Declined[]

  • Bill Weld, former Republican Governor and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2016[43][16]

Independents[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Shiva Ayyadurai, entrepreneur[44] and conspiracy theorist[45]
  • Allen Waters[46]
  • John Devine[47]

Declined[]

  • Gabriel Gomez, businessman, former Navy SEAL and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2013[48]

General election[]

Endorsements[]

Elizabeth Warren (D)
State officials
  • Eric Schneiderman, former Attorney General of New York[49]
Organizations
Geoff Diehl (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
  • Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States[64]
  • Sean Spicer, former White House Press Secretary[65]
Governors
  • Charlie Baker, Massachusetts[66]
  • Paul LePage, Maine[67]
State legislators
  • Nick Boldyga, state representative[68]
  • Forrester Clark, former state representative[69]
  • Leah Cole, former state representative[70]
  • Robert Correia, former state representative (Democrat)[71]
  • David DeCoste, state representative[72]
  • Peter Durant, state representative[73]
  • Marc Lombardo, state representative[74]
  • Jim Lyons, state representative[75]
  • Lenny Mirra, state representative[76]
  • Shaunna O'Connell, state representative[77]
Local officials
  • Caroline Colarusso, Stoneham Selectwoman[78]
  • John Coutinho, Hopkinton Selectmen[79]
  • Jim Cummings, Barnstable County Sheriff[80]
  • Lewis Evangelidis, Worcester County Sheriff[81]
  • Bob Hedlund, Weymouth Mayor[82]
  • Tom Hodgson, Bristol County Sheriff[83]
  • Michael Marchese, Everett City Councilor at Large[84]
  • John McCaul, Taunton City Councilor[85]
  • Joe McDonald, Plymouth County Sheriff[86]
  • Monica Medeiros, Melrose Alderman[87]
  • Ken Mitchel, Hanson Board of Selectman Chair[88]
  • Jeff Postell, Taunton City Councilor[85]
  • Claire Wright. Hopkinton Selectwoman[79]
Individuals
  • Herman Cain, former Presidential candidate[89]
  • Howie Carr, radio talk host[90]
  • David Constantine, former Governor's Councilor[91]
  • Larry Ellison, president of the Massachusetts Association of Minority Law Enforcement Officers[92]
  • Steve Grogan, retired New England Patriots player[93]
  • Matt Light, retired New England Patriots player
  • Joe Malone, former state treasurer[94]
  • Captain Dave Marciano of Wicked Tuna[95]
  • Frank McNamara, former U.S. Attorney[96]
  • Stephen Moore, writer and economist[97]
  • Fred Smerlas, retired New England Patriots player[98]
  • Jeff Kuhner, Radio Host
Organizations
  • Massachusetts Republican Party, (MassGOP) Massachusetts branch of the United States Republican Party[99]
  • Youth Conservatives of Massachusetts[100]
  • Norfolk Sheriff's Office County Correctional Officers Association[93]
  • Everett Police Superior Officers Local 95[101]
  • Everett Police Patrolman's Local 94[101]
  • Boston Police Patrolmen’s Association[102][103]
  • National Rifle Association[104]
  • Worcester's NEPBA Local 911[105]
  • New England Police Benevolent Association[106]
  • ICE Council Local 207[107]
  • Association of County Employees (the Union of Plymouth County Corrections Officers)[108]
  • New Bedford Police Union[109]
  • The Association of Marshfield Police[109]
  • Massachusetts Police Association[110]
Newspapers
Shiva Ayyadurai (I)
Individuals
  • Ben Garrison, American political cartoonist and artist[113]
  • Owen Shroyer, American political activist and commentator, host on InfoWars[114]
  • Curt Schilling, former MLB pitcher[115]
Newspapers

Debates[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[117] Safe D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[118] Safe D September 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[119] Safe D September 27, 2017
Fox News[120] Likely D July 9, 2018
CNN[121] Safe D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[122] Safe D May 26, 2018

^Highest rating they assert

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Geoff
Diehl (R)
Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)
Other Undecided
MassINC October 25–28, 2018 502 ± 4.4% 54% 32% 6% 3% 3%
Suffolk University October 24–28, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 56% 34% 4% 5%
Western New England University October 10–27, 2018 402 LV ± 5.0% 57% 27% 7% 8%
485 RV ± 4.0% 54% 27% 6% 12%
UMass Lowell October 1–7, 2018 485 LV ± 5.6% 56% 31% 8% 3% 2%
791 RV ± 4.4% 56% 28% 9% 4% 1%
MassINC September 17–21, 2018 506 ± 4.4% 56% 30% 5% 1% 6%
Suffolk University September 13–17, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 24% 6% 16%
Suffolk University Archived June 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine June 8–12, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 55% 33% 11%
MassINC May 22–26, 2018 501 ± 4.4% 54% 19% 8% 1% 15%
MassINC March 16–18, 2018 504 ± 4.4% 55% 20% 9% 1% 13%
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 503 ± 4.4% 58% 32% 3% 7%
MassINC June 19–22, 2017 504 ± 4.4% 60% 29% 1% 8%
Hypothetical polling
with Beth Lindstrom
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Beth
Lindstrom (R)
Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)
Other Undecided
Suffolk University Archived June 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine June 8–12, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 56% 31% 13%
MassINC May 22–26, 2018 501 ± 4.4% 55% 19% 7% 2% 15%
MassINC March 16–18, 2018 504 ± 4.4% 53% 19% 9% 1% 14%
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 504 ± 4.4% 56% 33% 3% 8%
with John Kingston
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
John
Kingston (R)
Shiva
Ayyadurai (I)
Other Undecided
Suffolk University Archived June 15, 2018, at the Wayback Machine June 8–12, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 30% 15%
MassINC May 22–26, 2018 501 ± 4.4% 56% 19% 8% 1% 14%
MassINC March 16–18, 2018 504 ± 4.4% 53% 19% 7% 2% 12%
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 504 ± 4.4% 57% 33% 2% 7%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Karyn
Polito (R)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Richard
Tisei (R)
Other Undecided
UMass Amherst September 15–20, 2016 ~450 ± 4.1% 40% 36% 5% 19%
44% 31% 10% 15%
39% 32% 3% 26%
with Shiva Ayyadurai running as Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Shiva
Ayyadurai (R)
Other Undecided
MassINC November 9–12, 2017 504 ± 4.4% 58% 27% 4% 10%
MassINC June 19–22, 2017 504 ± 4.4% 61% 25% 2% 9%
with Curt Schilling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Curt
Schilling (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk University October 24–26, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 58% 24% 2% 16%
UMass Amherst September 15–20, 2016 ~450 ± 4.1% 47% 28% 9% 16%
MassINC September 7–10, 2016 506 ± 4.4% 54% 29% 3% 15%
with William Weld
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
William
Weld (L)
Other Undecided
UMass Amherst September 15–20, 2016 ~450 ± 4.1% 40% 37% 8% 16%

Results[]

United States Senate election in Massachusetts general election results by county, 2018:
  Warren—70–80%
  Warren—60–70%
  Warren—50–60%
  Diehl—40–50%
United States Senate election in Massachusetts, 2018[123]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Elizabeth Warren (incumbent) 1,633,371 60.34% +6.60%
Republican Geoff Diehl 979,210 36.17% -10.02%
Independent Shiva Ayyadurai 91,710 3.39% N/A
Write-in 2,799 0.10% N/A
Total votes 2,707,090 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By congressional district[]

Warren won all of the state’s congressional districts.[124]

District Diehl Warren Representative
1st 37.34% 58.95% Richard Neal
2nd 39.07% 57.01% Jim McGovern
3rd 38.56% 57.51% Niki Tsongas (115th Congress)
Lori Trahan (116th Congress)
4th 38.45% 58.19% Joe Kennedy III
5th 27.82% 68.91% Katherine Clark
6th 41.21% 54.98% Seth Moulton
7th 13.15% 84.51% Michael Capuano (115th Congress)
Ayanna Pressley (116th Congress)
8th 39.45% 57.65% Stephen Lynch
9th 45.67% 51.13% Bill Keating

References[]

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  104. ^ Geoff Diehl. "BREAKING: I am proud to have earned the endorsement of the @NRA – National Rifle Association of America ahead of our Tuesday Primary. I'll always stand with law-abiding gun owners to protect our #2A #mapoli #masen #masen2018 #magop". Twitter.
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External links[]

Official campaign websites
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