2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey
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The 2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Jersey. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Menendez won reelection to a third term over Republican businessman Bob Hugin.
The candidate filing deadline was April 2, 2018, for Democratic and Republican candidates, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018.[1] The deadline for independent candidates was June 5, 2018.[2]
Despite the race being rated as a tossup by some political pundits, including The Cook Political Report,[3] Menendez was reelected by an 11.2% margin. However, Hugin was the first Republican Senate candidate to carry Atlantic and Gloucester counties since Clifford Case's landslide victory in 1972.
Democratic primary[]
While he never lost support from any major New Jersey officials, after a mistrial was declared in Senator Menendez's corruption trial, party figures across New Jersey lined up with public endorsements of his reelection bid, including the "full support" of Governor Phil Murphy.[4] He formally declared his intention to run for reelection on March 28, 2018, alongside Governor Murphy and Senator Cory Booker.[5]
Candidates[]
- Lisa McCormick, activist and candidate for Union County Clerk in 2010[6][7]
- Bob Menendez, incumbent U.S. Senator[8]
Withdrew[]
Declined[]
Democrats who declined to run
- Rob Andrews, former U.S. Representative[12]
- Richard Codey, State Senator and former governor[12]
- Rush D. Holt Jr., former U.S. Representative[13]
- Donald Norcross, U.S. Representative[8]
- Frank Pallone, U.S. Representative[12][13]
- Stephen M. Sweeney, President of the State Senate[12]
- Robert Torricelli, former U.S. Senator[8]
Results[]
Results by county
Map legend
- Menendez—70–80%
- Menendez—60–70%
- Menendez—50–60%
- McCormick—50–60%
- McCormick—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Menendez (incumbent) | 262,477 | 62.28% | |
| Democratic | Lisa McCormick | 158,998 | 37.72% | |
| Total votes | 421,475 | 100% | ||
Republican primary[]
Bob Hugin launched his primary campaign on February 13 in Springfield.[15] He began advertising on television two weeks later, attacking Menendez on the airwaves,[16] and was soon considered the presumptive nominee.[17] His opponent, Brian Goldberg, attempted to connect himself to President Donald Trump and his supporters by inserting the President's abbreviated slogan, "MAGA", into his ballot slogans and aligning himself with other pro-Trump, anti-establishment candidates.[18] Goldberg also attacked Hugin's running mates, urging Republicans to write in the deceased Charlton Heston in primary races where a Republican congressional candidate was running unopposed.[19] Ultimately, Hugin won overwhelmingly with a majority of votes in each of the state's 21 counties.[20]
Candidates[]
- Brian D. Goldberg, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[21][22]
- Bob Hugin, businessman and former executive chairman of Celgene Corporation[23]
Withdrew[]
- Rich Pezzullo, businessman (endorsed Bob Hugin, running for NJ-6)[24][25][26]
- Hirsh Singh, aerospace engineer and candidate for governor in 2017 (running for NJ-2)[22][27]
- Dana Wefer, former chairwoman of the Hoboken Housing Authority and candidate for governor in 2017[28] (did not submit enough petition signatures)
Declined[]
Republicans who declined to run
- Jon Bramnick, Minority Leader of the New Jersey General Assembly[8] (endorsed Hugin)
- Jeffrey Chiesa, former U.S. Senator[13]
- Chris Christie, former governor[13]
- Jack Ciattarelli, former State Assemblyman and candidate for Governor in 2017[29][30]
- John Crowley, biotechnology executive[31]
- Michael J. Doherty, state senator[31][32]
- Kim Guadagno, former lieutenant governor and nominee for Governor in 2017[12][13][33]
- Thomas Kean Jr., Minority Leader of the New Jersey Senate and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2006[12][34]
- Joe Kyrillos, former state senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[12]
- Tom MacArthur, U.S. Representative[8] (endorsed Hugin)
- Alison Littell McHose, former state assemblywoman[13]
- Bill Spadea, radio and TV show host; nominee for NJ-12 in 2004[31]
- Jerry Watson[35]
- Jay Webber, State Assemblyman and former Chairman of the New Jersey Republican State Committee (running for NJ-11)[31][36]
Endorsements[]
Bob Hugin
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[37]
- Governors
- Tom Kean, former Governor of New Jersey[38]
- Christine Todd Whitman, former Governor of New Jersey[38]
- Lieutenant Governors
- Kim Guadagno, former Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey and nominee for Governor in 2017[39]
- U.S. Representatives
- Mike Ferguson, NJ-7 (former)[40]
- Jenniffer González, Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico[41]
- Leonard Lance, NJ-7 [42]
- Tom MacArthur, NJ-3
- NJ State Legislators
- Jose Arango, former state assemblyman, chairman of the Hudson County Republican Party[43]
- Jon Bramnick, state assemblyman and assembly minority leader[44]
- Anthony Bucco, state senator[45]
- Tony Bucco, state assemblyman[45]
- Michael Patrick Carroll, state assemblyman[46]
- Kristin Corrado, state senator[47]
- BettyLou DeCroce, state assemblywoman
- Tom Kean Jr., state senator and senate Minority Leader[34]
- Nancy Munoz, state assemblywoman[45]
- Steve Oroho, state senator[48]
- Holly Schepisi, state assemblywoman
- Parker Space, state assemblyman[48]
- Harold J. Wirths, state assemblyman[48]
- Sheriffs
- James Gannon, Morris County[49]
- Mayors
- Carlos Rendo, Mayor of Woodcliff Lake and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey in 2017[50]
- Doug Steinhardt, former Mayor of Lopatcong Township and Chairman of the New Jersey Republican State Committee[45]
- Others
- Rolando Bobadilla, former Essex County Democratic freeholder[51]
- Mark Dunec, 2014 Democratic nominee for New Jersey's 11th congressional district[52]
- Jim Fozman, Brick councilman (Democrat)[53]
- Tony Frato, Branchville Mayor (Democrat)[54]
- Bob Frazier, former Linden city councilman[55]
- Richard Gerbounka, former Linden Mayor[55]
- Joe Harvanik, former Linden city councilman[55]
- Richard Pezzullo, businessman and former candidate for U.S. Senate[45]
- Teddy Price, candidate for Ocean County freeholder (Democrat)[56]
- Richard Rutkowski, former Bayonne Mayor (Democrat)[57]
- Demetrius Terry, former Executive Vice President of the College Democrats of New Jersey[58]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of U.S. President Donald Trump[59]
- Lydia Valencia, president of the Puerto Rican Congress of New Jersey[41]
- Mike Voll, former Middle Township Mayor (Democrat)[60]
- Jennifer Williams, first openly transgender delegate at the Republican National Convention[61]
- Organizations
- Latino Leadership Alliance of New Jersey[62]
- Newspapers
Results[]
Results by county
Map legend
- Hugin—80–90%
- Hugin—70–80%
- Hugin—60–70%
- Hugin—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bob Hugin | 168,052 | 75.13% | |
| Republican | Brian Goldberg | 55,624 | 24.87% | |
| Total votes | 223,676 | 100% | ||
Libertarian Party[]
Candidates[]
- Murray Sabrin, Ramapo College finance professor, Anisfield School of Business[65]
Endorsements[]
Murray Sabrin
- U.S. Representatives
- Ron Paul, former Congressman, presidential candidate in 2008 and 2012[66]
Green Party[]
- Madelyn R. Hoffman, peace activist and 1997 Green Party gubernatorial candidate[67]
Independents[]
Candidates[]
- Tricia Flanagan (New Day NJ), consultant[68]
- Kevin Kimple (Make it Simple), small business owner[68]
- Natalie Rivera (For the People), social services coordinator[68]
- Hank Schroeder (Economic Growth), perennial candidate[68]
Withdrew[]
- Muhammad Usman[69]
General election[]
Debates[]
- Complete video of debate, October 24, 2018
Fundraising[]
| Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
| Bob Hugin (R) | $30,289,561 | $27,714,323 | $2,575,238 |
| Bob Menendez (D) | $11,631,183 | $11,225,693 | $1,832,385 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[70] | |||
Predictions[]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[71] | Tossup | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[72] | Likely D | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[73] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| CNN[74] | Lean D | October 1, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[75] | Lean D | October 3, 2018 |
| Fox News[76] | Lean D | October 30, 2018 |
^Highest rating given
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bob Menendez (D) |
Bob Hugin (R) |
Murray Sabrin (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,006 | – | 51% | 41% | – | – | – |
| Quinnipiac University | October 29 – November 4, 2018 | 1,115 | ± 4.0% | 55% | 40% | – | 1% | 4% |
| Stockton University | October 25–31, 2018 | 598 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 3% | 4% | 1% |
| Vox Populi Polling | October 27–29, 2018 | 814 | ± 3.4% | 54% | 46% | – | – | – |
| Emerson College | October 24–26, 2018 | 659 | ± 4.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 4% | 7% |
| Rutgers-Eagleton Archived 2019-10-21 at the Wayback Machine | October 12–19, 2018 | 496 LV | ± 5.1% | 51% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% |
| 896 RV | ± 3.8% | 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 5% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | October 10–16, 2018 | 873 | ± 4.3% | 51% | 44% | – | 0% | 5% |
| Monmouth University | October 11–15, 2018 | 527 | ± 4.3% | 49% | 40% | 1% | 2%[77] | 8% |
| National Research Inc. (R-Hugin) | October 6–9, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | – | – | – |
| YouGov | October 2–5, 2018 | 845 | – | 49% | 39% | – | 4% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 25 – October 2, 2018 | 1,058 | ± 4.1% | 53% | 42% | – | 0% | 5% |
| Vox Populi Polling | September 29 – October 1, 2018 | 794 | ± 3.5% | 52% | 48% | – | – | – |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | September 26–30, 2018 | 508 LV | ± 4.3% | 43% | 37% | – | 1% | 19% |
| 746 RV | ± 3.9% | 37% | 32% | – | 1% | 29% | ||
| Stockton University | September 19–27, 2018 | 531 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 43% | 3% | 5% | 2% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 15–20, 2018 | 908 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 37% | – | 2% | 16% |
| Gravis Marketing (L-Sabrin) | August 14–15, 2018 | 753 | ± 3.6% | 40% | 30% | 7% | – | 22% |
| Gravis Marketing | July 6–10, 2018 | 563 | ± 4.1% | 43% | 41% | – | – | 16% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson University | May 16–21, 2018 | 856 | ± 3.5% | 28% | 24% | – | 1% | 46% |
| Monmouth University | April 6–10, 2018 | 632 | ± 3.9% | 53% | 32% | – | 7% | 7% |
| Quinnipiac University | March 8–12, 2018 | 1,052 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 32% | – | 1% | 15% |
Hypothetical polling
- Kean vs. Andrews
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rob Andrews (D) |
Thomas Kean (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | March 24–25, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | 17% | 33% | 50% |
- Codey vs. Kyrillos
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Codey (D) |
Joe Kyrillos (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling | March 24–25, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Menendez (incumbent) | 1,711,654 | 54.01% | -4.86% | |
| Republican | Bob Hugin | 1,357,355 | 42.83% | +3.46% | |
| Green | Madelyn Hoffman | 25,150 | 0.79% | +0.32% | |
| Libertarian | Murray Sabrin | 21,212 | 0.67% | +0.17% | |
| Independent | Natalie Rivera | 19,897 | 0.63% | N/A | |
| Independent | Tricia Flanagan | 16,101 | 0.51% | N/A | |
| Independent | Kevin Kimple | 9,087 | 0.29% | N/A | |
| Independent | Hank Schroeder | 8,854 | 0.28% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 3,169,310 | 100% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Results by county[]
Results of the general election by municipality
Map legend
- Menendez—>90%
- Menendez—80–90%
- Menendez—70–80%
- Menendez—60–70%
- Menendez—50–60%
- Menendez—<50%
- Hugin—<50%
- Hugin—50–60%
- Hugin—60–70%
- Hugin—70–80%
- Hugin—80–90%
- Hugin—>90%
| County | Menendez % | Menendez votes | Hugin % | Hugin votes | Other % | Other votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic | 47.43% | 44,617 | 48.85% | 45,954 | 3.72% | 3,502 |
| Bergen | 54.69% | 188,235 | 42.54% | 146,406 | 2.77% | 9,542 |
| Burlington | 52.78% | 98,749 | 43.96% | 82,240 | 3.26% | 6,111 |
| Camden | 61.82% | 113,137 | 34.58% | 63,279 | 3.60% | 6,600 |
| Cape May | 35.78% | 14,555 | 61.02% | 24,823 | 3.20% | 1,299 |
| Cumberland | 48.29% | 19,386 | 47.93% | 19,244 | 3.78% | 1,517 |
| Essex | 76.52% | 194,068 | 21.12% | 53,537 | 2.36% | 6,028 |
| Gloucester | 46.41% | 52,303 | 49.77% | 56,090 | 3.82% | 4,309 |
| Hudson | 76.35% | 132,180 | 20.84% | 36,087 | 2.81% | 4,863 |
| Hunterdon | 39.29% | 24,823 | 57.17% | 36,116 | 3.54% | 2,195 |
| Mercer | 63.67% | 80,773 | 32.50% | 41,225 | 3.83% | 4,785 |
| Middlesex | 58.21% | 148,806 | 38.64% | 98,764 | 3.15% | 8,051 |
| Monmouth | 42.99% | 112,383 | 53.79% | 140,628 | 3.22% | 8,408 |
| Morris | 43.60% | 93,763 | 53.38% | 114,783 | 3.02% | 6,492 |
| Ocean | 33.72% | 75,597 | 63.29% | 141,902 | 2.99% | 6,723 |
| Passaic | 57.75% | 86,242 | 39.10% | 58,382 | 3.15% | 4,700 |
| Salem | 38.04% | 9,060 | 57.47% | 13,687 | 4.49% | 1,068 |
| Somerset | 51.67% | 70,359 | 45.07% | 61,373 | 3.26% | 4,450 |
| Sussex | 33.23% | 20,229 | 61.96% | 37,720 | 4.81% | 2,926 |
| Union | 64.22% | 117,937 | 33.09% | 60,758 | 2.69% | 4,938 |
| Warren | 35.59% | 14,452 | 60.00% | 24,357 | 4.41% | 1,794 |
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- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on 2017-10-12. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "Key Races: Senate". Archived from the original on 2018-06-14. Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Archived from the original on 2018-07-09. Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Archived from the original on 2018-07-04. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ^ Madelyn Hoffman (G) with 1%, other with 1%
- ^ "Official List Candidates for US Senate For GENERAL ELECTION 11/06/2018" (PDF). Secretary of State of New Jersey. December 3, 2018. Retrieved December 28, 2018.
- ^ "Official Site of The State of New Jersey". NJ DOS - Division of Elections - 2018 Election Results. New Jersey Department of State. Retrieved 15 May 2020.
External links[]
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites
Categories:
- United States Senate elections in New Jersey
- 2018 United States Senate elections
- 2018 New Jersey elections