2004 United States presidential election in Alaska

2004 United States presidential election in Alaska

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Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry Party Republican Democratic Home state Texas Massachusetts Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards Electoral vote 3 0 Popular vote 190,889 111,025 Percentage 61.07% 35.52%

Borough & census area results Bush   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80% Kerry   40–50%   50–60%

President before election George W. Bush Republican Elected President George W. Bush Republican

Elections in Alaska
Federal government Presidential elections 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 Presidential primaries and caucuses Democratic 2008 2016 2020 Republican 2008 2012 2016 U.S. Senate elections 1958 1960 1962 1966 1968 1970 sp 1972 1974 1978 1980 1984 1986 1990 1992 1996 1998 2002 2004 2008 2010 2014 2016 2020 2022 2026 U.S. House elections 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1973 sp 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
State government State-wide elections 2006 2010 2012 2016 2020 Gubernatorial elections 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 State Senate elections 2014 2016 2018 2020 State House elections 2014 2016 2018 2020 Ballot measures 1990 2 1998 2 2008 ACWI 2014 2 2020 2
Anchorage Mayoral elections 1981 1984 1987 1990 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 Propositions 2018 (1)
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The 2004 United States presidential election in Alaska took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Alaska was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 25.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. It has voted for a Republican presidential nominee in every presidential election since statehood, except for 1964.

Primaries[]

Campaign[]

Predictions[]

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.^[1]

1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
3. CNN: Bush
4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
6. New York Times: Solid Bush
7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
9. Washington Post: Bush
10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
11. Zogby International: Bush
12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling[]

Only one pre-election poll was conducted in this state. Bush won the poll with 57% to 30%.^[2]

Fundraising[]

Bush raised $263,269.^[3] Kerry raised $169,533.^[4]

Advertising and visits[]

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.^[5][6]

Analysis[]

The Democratic presidential ticket though did better here in 2004 compared to 2000, narrowing the Republican advantage from around 31 percentage points in 2000 to approximately 25 percentage points in 2004. John Kerry obtained nearly 36 percent of the vote, approximately 8 percentage points (or 32,021 votes) more than Al Gore's showing of around 28 percent in 2000. In comparison, incumbent President George W. Bush only increased his vote in Alaska by around 2 percent (or 23,491 votes) from nearly 59 percent in 2000 to approximately 61 percent in 2004.

Results[]

2004 United States presidential election in Alaska[7]
Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Republican	George W. Bush	190,889	61.07%	3
	Democratic	John Kerry	111,025	35.52%	0
	Populist	Ralph Nader	5,069	1.62%	0
	Alaska Independence	Michael Peroutka	2,092	0.67%	0
	Libertarian	Michael Badnarik	1,675	0.54%	0
	Green	David Cobb	1,058	0.34%	0
	Independent	Write-ins	790	0.25%	0
Totals			312,598	100.00%	3
Voter turnout (Voting age)					68%

Results breakdown[]

By congressional district[]

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

District	Bush	Kerry	Representative
At-large	61.1%	35.5%	Don Young

Electors[]

Technically the voters of Alaska cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Alaska is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.^[8]

1. Gloria J. Tokar
2. Frederick H. Hahn
3. Roberly R. Waldron

References[]