2010 Ohio gubernatorial election

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election
	County results; Kasich: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%; Strickland: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
Governor before election; Ted Strickland; Democratic	Elected Governor ; John Kasich; Republican

The 2010 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ted Strickland ran for re-election to a second term as governor and was opposed by former U.S. Representative John Kasich; both Strickland and Kasich won their respective primaries uncontested. The race between the two major candidates was prolonged and brutal, with both candidates employing various campaign surrogates to bolster their campaigns. Ultimately, Kasich narrowly defeated Strickland in one of Ohio's closest gubernatorial elections in history.

Strickland's defeat was widely attributed to the decline of Ohio's economy, as well as the loss of 400,000 jobs since the beginning of his term. The policies of the then-president Barack Obama proved to be a hot topic among voters, with Strickland voicing his support for the healthcare overhauls initiated by Obama's administration, contrary to Kasich, who opposed the policies.^[1]

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Ted Strickland, incumbent Governor of Ohio

Results[]

Democratic primary results^[2]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ted Strickland (incumbent)	630,785	100.00%
Total votes			630,785	100.00%

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

John Kasich, former U.S. Representative, Chairman of the House Budget Committee and candidate for president in 2000

Results[]

Republican primary results^[3]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Kasich	746,719	100.00%
Total votes			746,719	100.00%

Libertarian primary[]

Candidates[]

Ken Matesz

Results[]

Libertarian Party primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Ken Matesz	4,407	100.00%
Total votes			4,407	100.00%

Green primary[]

Candidates[]

Dennis Spisak, former congressional candidate

Results[]

Green Party primary results^[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Dennis Spisak	924	100.00%
Total votes			924	100.00%

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report^[6]	Tossup	October 14, 2010
Rothenberg^[7]	Tilt R (flip)	October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics^[8]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[9]	Lean R (flip)	October 28, 2010
CQ Politics^[10]	Tossup	October 28, 2010

Polling[]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Ted Strickland (D)	John Kasich (R)
Public Policy Polling	October 28–30, 2010	48%	49%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	October 27–29, 2010	46%	49%
Survey USA	October 22–26, 2010	44%	49%
Quinnipiac University	October 18–24, 2010	43%	49%
Fox News/POR	October 23, 2010	43%	47%
CNN/Time Magazine	October 15–19, 2010	48%	46%
University of Cincinnati	October 14–18, 2010	47%	49%
Quinnipiac University	October 12–17, 2010	41%	51%
University of Cincinnati	October 8–13, 2010	43%	51%
Rasmussen Reports	October 11, 2010	45%	48%
Fox News/POR	October 9, 2010	42%	47%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	October 5–8, 2010	46%	48%
Quinnipiac University	September 29 – October 3, 2010	41%	50%
Fox News/POR	October 2, 2010	43%	49%
Rasmussen Reports	September 27, 2010	42%	50%
CBS/NY Times	September 23–27, 2010	42%	43%
Reuters/Ipsos	September 23–25, 2010	46%	47%
Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC	September 24, 2010	45%	49%
SurveyUSA	September 14, 2010	40%	52%
CNN/Time Magazine	September 10–14, 2010	44%	51%
Quinnipiac	September 9–14, 2010	37%	54%
Rasmussen Reports	September 13, 2010	43%	50%
Fox News/Pulse Research	September 11, 2010	43%	48%
The Columbus Dispatch	August 25 – September 3, 2010	37%	49%
Rasmussen Reports	August 30, 2010	39%	47%
Public Policy Polling	August 27–29, 2010	40%	50%
Rasmussen Reports	August 16, 2010	40%	48%
Reuters/Ipsos	August 6–8, 2010	39%	48%
Rasmussen Reports	August 2, 2010	42%	45%
Rasmussen Reports	July 19, 2010	43%	48%
Rasmussen Reports	June 29, 2010	40%	47%
Public Policy Polling	June 26–27, 2010	41%	43%
Quinnipiac	June 22–27, 2010	43%	38%
Rasmussen Reports	June 3, 2010	42%	47%
UC/The Ohio Poll	May 11–20, 2010	49%	44%
Rasmussen Reports	May 5, 2010	45%	46%
Quinnipiac	April 21–26, 2010	44%	38%
Research 2000	April 5–7, 2010	45%	40%
Rasmussen Reports	March 30, 2010	45%	46%
Quinnipiac	March 23–29, 2010	43%	38%
Public Policy Polling	March 20–21, 2010	37%	42%
Rasmussen Reports	March 4, 2010	38%	49%
Quinnipiac	February 16–21, 2010	44%	39%
Rasmussen Reports	February 5–6, 2010	41%	47%
The Ohio Newspaper	January 13–19, 2010	45%	51%
Ohio Right to Life^{[permanent dead link]}	January 8–12, 2010	33%	43%
Rasmussen Reports	January 12, 2010	40%	47%
Rasmussen Reports	December 7, 2009	39%	48%
Quinnipiac	November 5–9, 2009	40%	40%
The Ohio Newspaper	October 14–20, 2009	48%	47%
Rasmussen Reports	September 23, 2009	45%	46%
Quinnipiac	September 10–13, 2009	46%	36%
Research 2000	July 8, 2009	44%	39%
Quinnipiac	June 26 – July 1, 2009	43%	38%
Public Policy Polling	June 17–19, 2009	44%	42%
Quinnipiac	April 28 – May 4, 2009	51%	32%
Quinnipiac	March 10–15, 2009	51%	31%
Quinnipiac	January 29 – February 2, 2009	56%	26%
Public Policy Polling	January 17–18, 2009	45%	39%

Results[]

When the polls closed on election night, the race was very close, with Stickland and Kasich neck and neck. As the night wore on, Kasich's lead began to pick up strength, however once Cuyahoga County came in, Strickland began to erode away at Kasich's lead. In the end Kasich still won, but it was still one of the closest gubernatorial elections in Ohio history. Strickland conceded at around 2 A.M. EST.

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election^[11]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	John Kasich	1,889,186	49.04%	+12.39%
	Democratic	Ted Strickland (incumbent)	1,812,059	47.04%	-13.50%
	Libertarian	Ken Matesz	92,116	2.39%	+0.61%
	Green	Dennis Spisak	58,475	1.52%	+0.50%
	Write-in		633	0.02%	N/A
Majority			77,127	2.00%	-21.89%
Total votes			3,852,469	100.00%
	Republican gain from Democratic

References[]

^ "Ohio - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved 2020-05-21.
^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Democratic: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Republican: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Libertarian: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Green: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor: November 2, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

External links[]

Elections & Ballot Issues at the Ohio Secretary of State
Candidates for Ohio State Offices at Project Vote Smart
Ohio Governor at OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions for 2010 Ohio Governor from Follow the Money
2010 Ohio Gubernatorial General Election: John Kasich (R) vs Ted Strickland (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Ohio Governor from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland from Real Clear Politics
2010 Ohio Governor's Race from CQ Politics
Race Profile in The New York Times

Debates

Ohio Gubernatorial Debate, C-SPAN, September 14, 2010

Official campaign websites (Archived)

[1] "Ohio - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved 2020-05-21.

[2] "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Democratic: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

[3] "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Republican: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

[4] "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Libertarian: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

[5] "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Green: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

[6] "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[7] "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[8] "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[9] "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[10] "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.

[11] "Governor and Lieutenant Governor: November 2, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.

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