2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

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2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

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  Jim Inhofe official portrait.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jim Inhofe Abby Broyles
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 979,140 509,763
Percentage 62.9% 32.8%

2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma results map by county.svg
County results
Inhofe:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. senator before election

Jim Inhofe
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jim Inhofe
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oklahoma, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Inhofe won reelection to a fifth full term, defeating Democratic challenger Abby Broyles.[1]

This proved to be the fifth U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma in a row in which the Democratic nominee failed to carry any of Oklahoma's counties, but Broyles came very close to breaking this drought, losing Oklahoma County by less than one percentage point.

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

  • Jim Inhofe, incumbent U.S. Senator[citation needed]

Eliminated in primary[]

Declined[]

Endorsements[]

hide
Jim Inhofe
Federal officials
  • Donald Trump, President of the United States[5]
  • Frank Lucas, U.S. Representative (OK-3)[6]
State officials
  • Kevin Stitt, Governor of Oklahoma[7]

Results[]

Results by county:
Inhofe
Republican primary results [8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Inhofe (incumbent) 277,868 74.05%
Republican J.J. Stitt 57,433 15.31%
Republican John Tompkins 23,563 6.28%
Republican Neil Mavis 16,363 4.36%
Total votes 375,227 100.0%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

  • Abby Broyles, attorney and former KFOR news reporter[9]

Eliminated in primary[]

Withdrawn[]

  • Dylan Billings, political science professor[10]
  • Tyler Dougherty, software developer[9]
  • Bevon Rogers, former oil and gas industrialist,[11] instead ran for State Senate[12]
  • Paul Tay, primary candidate for Mayor of Tulsa in 2016[13]
  • Perry Williams[13]
  • Mike Workman, political consultant, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016, and nominee for Oklahoma Labor Commissioner in 2014[10][14]

Declined[]

  • Brad Henry, former Governor of Oklahoma[15]

Endorsements[]

hide
Abby Broyles
Organizations
  • National Organization for Women[16]
Unions
  • Oklahoma Building Trades[17]

Results[]

Results by county:
Broyles
Cassity
Democratic primary results [8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Abby Broyles 163,921 60.45%
Democratic Elysabeth Britt 45,206 16.67%
Democratic Sheila Bilyeu 32,350 11.93%
Democratic R. O. Joe Cassity, Jr. 29,698 10.95%
Total votes 271,175 100.0%

Other candidates[]

Libertarian Party[]

Nominee[]

  • Robert Murphy, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[18]

Independents[]

Declared[]

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Safe R October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[20] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[22] Safe R October 30, 2020
Politico[23] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[24] Safe R October 23, 2020
DDHQ[25] Safe R November 3, 2020
538[26] Safe R November 2, 2020
Economist[27] Safe R November 2, 2020

Endorsements[]

hide
Jim Inhofe (R)
Federal officials
  • Donald Trump, President of the United States[5]
  • Frank Lucas, U.S. Representative (OK-3)[6]
State officials
  • Kevin Stitt, Governor of Oklahoma[7]
hide
Abby Broyles (D)
U.S. Senators
  • Elizabeth Warren, United States Senator from Massachusetts (2012–present), former 2020 presidential candidate[28]
U.S. Representatives
  • Eric Swalwell, Representative for California's 15th Congressional District (2013–present), former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination.[29]
  • Katie Hill, former U.S. Representative from CA-25 2019–2019[30]
Local Officials
  • Pete Buttigieg, Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012-2020), former 2020 presidential candidate[31]
Organizations
Unions
  • National Education Association[37]
  • Oklahoma Building Trades[17]
  • United Auto Workers[38]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Jim
Inhofe (R)
Abby
Broyles (D)
Other Undecided
SoonerPoll October 15–20, 2020 5,466 (LV) ± 1.33% 56% 37% 2%[b] 4%
Amber Integrated September 17–20, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 30% 5%[c] 19%
SoonerPoll September 2–8, 2020 486 (LV) ± 4.45% 57% 33% 3%[d] 6%
DFM Research (D)[A] July 29–30, 2020 572 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 34% 5%[e] 11%
Amber Integrated March 5–8, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 57% 31% 12%
Abby Broyles[A] Released February 17, 2020 – (V)[f] 56% 44%

Results[]

United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020[39]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Jim Inhofe (incumbent) 979,140 62.91% -5.10%
Democratic Abby Broyles 509,763 32.75% +4.20%
Libertarian Robert Murphy 34,435 2.21% N/A
Independent Joan Farr 21,652 1.39% +0.11%
Independent A. D. Nesbit 11,371 0.73% N/A
Total votes 1,556,361 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Notes[]

Partisan clients
  1. ^ Jump up to: a b Poll conducted for Abby Broyles.
Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. ^ Jump up to: a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Farr (I), Murphy (L) and Nesbitt (I) with 1%
  3. ^ Murphy (L) and Nesbit (I) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  4. ^ Murphy (L) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  5. ^ "Independent candidate" with 5%
  6. ^ Not yet released

References[]

  1. ^ "Inhofe says he's seeking another term in Senate". KTUL. Associated Press. March 5, 2020.
  2. ^ Jump up to: a b c d Krehbiel, Randy (June 7, 2020). "U.S. Senate primary draws lively competition despite Inhofe's decades dominating at polls". Tulsa World.
  3. ^ Krehbiel, Randy (October 27, 2019). "Inspired by Oklahoma's governor, another Stitt is running for U.S. Senate". Tulsa World. Retrieved October 31, 2019.
  4. ^ Davenport, Coral (March 17, 2018). "Scott Pruitt, Trump's Rule-Cutting E.P.A. Chief, Plots His Political Future". The New York Times. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  5. ^ Jump up to: a b Trump, Donald [@realDonaldTrump] (March 9, 2020). "THANK YOU, Jim, for your incredible support of our #MAGA Agenda! You are a tremendous Senator for the people of the Great State of Oklahoma and you have my Complete and Total Endorsement! t.co/yx3e1tmjCM" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
  6. ^ Jump up to: a b Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 24, 2020). "Thank you Congressman Lucas for your kind words. Proud to represent the citizens of Oklahoma alongside you and excited for the future of our great state. t.co/zsGHMjOciQ" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
  7. ^ Jump up to: a b Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 16, 2020). ""Jim is a close friend. Jim Inhofe is Oklahoma's stable rock in turbulent times." @GovStitt t.co/xpDoxb5fSv" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
  8. ^ Jump up to: a b "OK Election Results". Oklahoma Secretary of State. Retrieved June 30, 2020.
  9. ^ Jump up to: a b c Savage, Tres (November 4, 2019). "Abby Broyles is fifth Dem to file against Jim Inhofe". Non Doc.
  10. ^ Jump up to: a b Simmons, Beau (August 16, 2019). "Incoming OSU instructor launches U.S. Senate campaign". Stillwater News Press. Retrieved August 25, 2019.
  11. ^ Bach, Tawnya (November 1, 2019). "Coffee With The Candidates: Bevon Rogers". KOAM News.
  12. ^ Jump up to: a b c "Filing data". www.ok.gov. Retrieved June 29, 2020.
  13. ^ Jump up to: a b "United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020". Ballotpedia. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  14. ^ "Workman 4 Oklahoma". www.facebook.com.
  15. ^ "Crap. Scott Pruitt wants to be Oklahoma's next U.S. Senator". The Last Ogle. August 15, 2017. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  16. ^ "2020 Federal Endorsements – NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
  17. ^ Jump up to: a b Broyles, Abby [@abbybroyles] (March 2, 2020). "I'm excited to announce I've been endorsed by Oklahoma Building Trades! This organization represents thousands of Oklahoma workers that I look forward to supporting in the US Senate. Join our team! t.co/gzXLcfAqSB -AB t.co/C72wvdmdlN" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
  18. ^ "Murphy for Senate 2020". secure.anedot.com.
  19. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  20. ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  21. ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  22. ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  23. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  24. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
  25. ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  26. ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  27. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  28. ^ "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com.
  29. ^ Swalwell, Eric [@ericswalwell] (July 1, 2020). "#FactCheck: Sen. Inhofe won't stand up for Oklahoma soldiers Trump may have allowed Russians to target. But @abbybroyles will. Flip the senate with Abby" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  30. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". Hertime.
  31. ^ https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=828382277702624
  32. ^ Jump up to: a b "End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Slate of Candidates Committed to Fighting the Status Quo in Washington". End Citizens United. July 30, 2020.
  33. ^ "2020 Federal Endorsements – NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
  34. ^ {cite webtitle=Endorsed Candidates – National Women's Political Caucus PAC|url=https://www.nwpc.org/endorsedcandidates/}
  35. ^ "2020 Endorsements - Patriotic Millionaires". patrioticmillionaires.org.
  36. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  37. ^ "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
  38. ^ "Oklahoma – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  39. ^ "November 3, 2020 - Official Results". Oklahoma State Election Board.

External links[]

Official campaign websites
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