2020 United States presidential election in Oregon

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Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

2020 United States presidential election in Oregon
← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout81.97% (of registered voters) Increase11.71 pp
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Independent Party
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote 7 0
Popular vote 1,340,383 958,448
Percentage 56.45% 40.37%
Oregon Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
County results
President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elections in Oregon
Federal offices
State offices
Ballot measures
City of Portland
  • v
  • t

The 2020 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[1] Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Oregon has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2] The state certified its election results on December 3.[3]

Oregon, as with its fellow West Coast neighbors, continued its tradition of voting for the Democratic candidate this cycle, with Joe Biden winning the state by 16.1%, an increase from Hillary Clinton's 11% win in 2016. No Republican presidential candidate has won the state since Ronald Reagan of neighboring California in 1984. Biden flipped two counties Trump won in 2016: Marion County--home to the state capital of Salem, and Deschutes County--anchored by Bend. It was also the first time a Democrat won Deschutes since 1992, and only the fourth since 1952.[4] Biden also became the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson to win the presidency without winning Columbia County and Tillamook County. Biden also made history as the highest vote earner in Oregon history, with 1,340,383 votes.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Oregon came from white liberals, with white Oregonians favoring him by 57%–40%. 33% of voters were secular and supported Biden by 80%.[5]

Primary elections[]

The primary elections were held on May 19, 2020.

Republican primary[]

Donald Trump ran unopposed and was declared the winner in the Republican primary,[6] and thus received all of Oregon's 28 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[7]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Oregon Republican presidential primary.[]
2020 Oregon Republican presidential primary[8]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[9]
Donald Trump 363,785 93.70 28
Write-ins 24,461 6.30 0
Total 388,246 100.00 28

Democratic primary[]

Joe Biden was declared the winner in the Democratic primary.[6]

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Oregon Democratic presidential primary.[]
2020 Oregon Democratic presidential primary[10]
Candidate Votes % Delegates[11]
Joe Biden 408,315 65.99 46
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 127,345 20.58 15
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 59,355 9.59
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 10,717 1.73
Write-ins 12,979 2.10
Total 618,711 100% 61

Independent Party of Oregon primary[]

The Independent Party of Oregon cross-nominated Joe Biden after an online nonpartisan blanket primary.[12]

Candidate Votes %
Joe Biden 1,661 46.7
Donald Trump 1,389 39.1
Bernie Sanders 1,227 34.5
Total 4,277 100.00
Candidate Votes %
Joe Biden 392 55.13
Donald Trump 280 39.38

Pacific Green Party primary[]

Howie Hawkins won the Oregon Green Party primary.

General election[]

Final predictions[]

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid D
Inside Elections[14] Solid D
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D
Politico[16] Likely D
RCP[17] Lean D
Niskanen[18] Safe D
CNN[19] Solid D
The Economist[20] Safe D
CBS News[21] Likely D
270towin[22] Safe D
ABC News[23] Solid D
NPR[24] Likely D
NBC News[25] Likely D
538[26] Solid D

Polling[]

Graphical summary[]

Polls[]

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other/
Undecided
[a] 		Margin
270 to Win September 26 – October 17, 2020 October 20, 2020 58.0% 38.5% 3.5% Biden +19.5
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020 November 3, 2020 58.7% 37.4% 3.9% Biden +21.3
Average 58.4% 38.0% 3.7% Biden +20.4

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Pacific Green 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 3,543 (LV) ± 2.5% 39%[c] 59% – – – –
Swayable Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020 324 (LV) ± 7.3% 37% 60% 1% 1% – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 2020 5,422 (LV) – 38% 61% – – – –
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 2020 2,109 (LV) – 38% 61% – – – 2%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Sep 26–29, 2020 944 (LV) ± 3.5% 39% 56% – – 3%[d] 2%
DHM Research Sep 3–8, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4% 39% 51% – – 6%[e] 4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 2020 1,648 (LV) – 38% 60% – – – 2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 2020 1,890 (LV) – 38% 61% – – – 1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020 872 (LV) – 39% 59% – – – 2%

Results[]

2020 United States presidential election in Oregon[27]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris 		1,340,383 56.45% +6.38%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence 		958,448 40.37% +1.28%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen 		41,582 1.75% -2.96%
Pacific Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker 		11,831 0.50% -2.00%
Progressive Dario Hunter
Dawn Neptune Adams 		4,988 0.21% N/A
Write-in 17,089 0.72% N/A
Total votes 2,374,321

Results by county[]

County Joe Biden
Democratic		 Donald Trump
Republican		 Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian		 Other votes Total
votes
% # % # % # % #
Baker 23.62% 2,346 74.02% 7,352 1.45% 144 0.90% 90 9,932
Benton 67.86% 35,827 28.18% 14,878 2.16% 1,142 1.80% 952 52,799
Clackamas 53.96% 139,043 42.89% 110,509 1.84% 4,736 1.32% 3,391 257,679
Clatsop 54.02% 12,916 42.74% 10,218 1.83% 437 1.41% 339 23,910
Columbia 42.94% 13,835 53.23% 17,150 2.44% 787 1.39% 449 32,221
Coos 38.42% 14,243 58.88% 21,829 1.54% 572 1.16% 431 37,075
Crook 24.61% 3,801 73.06% 11,287 1.50% 231 0.83% 129 15,448
Curry 40.59% 6,058 56.84% 8,484 1.53% 228 1.04% 155 14,925
Deschutes 52.67% 65,962 44.43% 55,646 1.67% 2,097 1.23% 1,529 125,234
Douglas 29.78% 19,160 67.29% 43,298 1.84% 1,182 1.11% 709 64,349
Gilliam 27.50% 324 70.80% 834 1.44% 17 0.25% 3 1,178
Grant 20.21% 929 77.13% 3,545 1.68% 77 0.98% 45 4,596
Harney 19.95% 894 77.55% 3,475 1.41% 63 1.09% 49 4,481
Hood River 66.95% 8,764 30.21% 3,955 1.52% 199 1.31% 172 13,090
Jackson 46.77% 59,478 50.23% 63,869 1.70% 2,168 1.30% 1,650 127,165
Jefferson 36.88% 4,393 60.35% 7,189 1.76% 210 1.02% 121 11,913
Josephine 35.73% 18,451 61.48% 31,751 1.54% 795 1.24% 644 51,641
Klamath 28.29% 10,388 68.91% 25,308 1.73% 637 1.07% 393 36,726
Lake 18.15% 792 79.53% 3,470 1.44% 63 0.87% 38 4,363
Lane 60.46% 134,366 36.15% 80,336 1.76% 3,906 1.65% 3,645 222,253
Lincoln 56.58% 17,385 40.55% 12,460 1.50% 462 1.37% 419 30,726
Linn 36.50% 26,512 59.87% 43,486 2.19% 1,594 1.44% 1,048 72,640
Malheur 27.62% 3,260 69.36% 8,187 1.87% 221 1.15% 136 11,804
Marion 48.86% 80,872 47.73% 79,002 1.98% 3,272 1.44% 2,388 165,534
Morrow 26.79% 1,371 70.07% 3,586 2.46% 126 0.68% 35 5,118
Multnomah 79.21% 367,249 17.90% 82,995 1.23% 5,726 1.66% 7,689 463,659
Polk 47.46% 22,917 49.14% 23,732 2.03% 981 1.37% 661 48,291
Sherman 21.52% 260 76.24% 921 1.99% 24 0.25% 3 1,208
Tillamook 47.76% 8,066 49.47% 8,354 1.55% 261 1.23% 207 16,888
Umatilla 32.41% 10,707 64.38% 21,270 2.24% 740 0.97% 321 33,038
Union 28.47% 4,254 68.91% 10,298 1.61% 241 1.02% 151 14,944
Wallowa 31.56% 1,625 66.11% 3,404 1.48% 76 0.85% 44 5,149
Wasco 46.74% 6,604 49.79% 7,035 2.09% 296 1.38% 195 14,130
Washington 65.54% 209,940 30.93% 99,073 2.00% 6,398 1.54% 4,915 320,326
Wheeler 22.49% 217 73.68% 711 2.59% 25 1.25% 12 965
Yamhill 46.12% 27,174 50.15% 29,551 2.46% 1,448 1.27% 750 58,923

Results by congressional district[]

Biden won 4 out of 5 congressional districts in Oregon.

District Trump Biden Representative
1st 34.1% 63.3% Suzanne Bonamici
2nd 55.6% 42.1% Cliff Bentz
3rd 23.5% 74.3% Earl Blumenauer
4th 46.7% 50.7% Peter DeFazio
5th 43.9% 53.6% Kurt Schrader

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic[]

  • Deschutes (largest municipality: Bend)
  • Marion (largest municipality: Salem)

Notes[]

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 6%

See also[]

References[]

  1. ^ Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Oregon secretary of state certifies election results". kgw.com. Retrieved December 5, 2020.
  4. ^ Warner, Gary (November 20, 2020). "Deschutes joins Oregon's blue hue in presidential voting, and other voting stats". The Bulletin. Retrieved August 3, 2021.
  5. ^ "Oregon Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  6. ^ Jump up to: a b "Biden, Trump win presidential primaries in Oregon". Associated Press. KPTV. May 19, 2020.
  7. ^ "Oregon Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 19, 2020.
  8. ^ "Oregon Secretary of State". results.oregonvotes.gov. Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
  9. ^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
  10. ^ "May 19, 2020, Primary Election Abstract of Votes" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
  11. ^ "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved May 20, 2020.
  12. ^ "RESULTS AND DATA | 2020 OREGON PRIMARY | Independent Party". Pers. Retrieved July 10, 2020.
  13. ^ "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  14. ^ "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  15. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  16. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  17. ^ "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  18. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  19. ^ David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  20. ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  22. ^ "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  23. ^ "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  24. ^ "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
  25. ^ "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  26. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
  27. ^ "November 2020 General Election Results" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved December 6, 2020.

External links[]

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