2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina
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The 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina is scheduled to be held November 8, 2022. Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022,[1] but were delayed by the North Carolina Supreme Court. Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. senator Richard Burr announced in 2016 that he would not seek re-election in 2022.[2]
Democrat Cheri Beasley, a former justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court (2012–2020; Chief Justice 2019–2020),[3] has announced her 2022 U.S. Senate candidacy.
On the Republican side, U.S. Representative Ted Budd, former Governor Pat McCrory, former U.S. Representative Mark Walker, and US Army combat veteran Marjorie K. Eastman have announced U.S. Senate bids.[4][5][6][7] At the North Carolina Republican Party convention on June 5, 2021, Budd received the endorsements of both Lara Trump and her father-in-law, former president Donald Trump.[8] Walker has stated that he won a straw poll of those at the convention.[5][9]
Republican primary[]
With Burr’s retirement, this primary is expected to be very competitive.[10] Former U.S. Representative Mark Walker was the first major candidate to announce his run for U.S. Senate, on December 1, 2020.[11] Walker opted to retire from the House and not run for re-election in 2020, due to the fact that his district was made much more favorable to the Democratic Party after redistricting. Lara Trump, the daughter-in-law of former President Donald Trump, was widely speculated as a possible candidate for this seat.[10] She received encouragement and support from U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham[12] and Kellyanne Conway,[10] a former Trump White House official. Early opinion polls suggested she would perform well against other prospective candidates in the primary.[13] On April 14, 2021, Former Governor Pat McCrory announced his campaign.[14] U.S. Representative Ted Budd announced his candidacy on April 28, 2021.[4]
Opinion polls taken during April 2021 showed McCrory with a wide lead over Walker and Budd. McCrory was aided by a high degree of name recognition because of his several statewide campaigns.[15]
On June 5, 2021, the North Carolina Republican Party held a convention in Greenville. At the convention, former President Trump announced that he would be endorsing Ted Budd for the U.S. Senate seat. Lara Trump announced that she would not be running, and joined her father-in-law in endorsing Budd. The former President also took a shot at McCrory, stating that "You can't pick people that have already lost two races. You can't pick people that have already lost two races, that do not stand for our values.” McCrory was unsuccessful in both the 2008 and 2016 gubernatorial elections.[16] Budd was reportedly unaware of Trump’s intentions until 15 minutes before he took the stage.[16]
Walker announced that he had won a straw poll conducted among attendees at the convention,[17] and questioned why the convention organizers did not release the straw poll results.[18] McCrory stated that Trump got “bad advice” from “Washington insiders”.[16] Despite not receiving a pivotal endorsement, both Walker and McCrory stated their intentions to stay in the race.[5]
Meanwhile, North Carolina passed their new congressional maps, making Mark Walker's house seat more favorable to Republicans as it had been prior to 2020. Following this, Trump met with Walker and promised to endorse him if he left the Senate race to instead run to reclaim his old house seat, newly numbered as the 7th district.[19] He chose to do so.
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Jen Banwart, Department of Defense employee (2001–2020), and legislative staffer on Capitol Hill (1994–1996)[importance?][20][21]
- Ted Budd, U.S. Representative for NC-13 (since 2017)[4]
- Marjorie K. Eastman, Author and veteran[22]
- Kenneth Harper, business owner[importance?][23]
- Pat McCrory, former Governor of North Carolina (2013–2017) and Mayor of Charlotte (1995–2009)[14]
Republican candidates[a]
U.S. Representative
Ted Budd
from
Winston-Salem
Former Governor
Pat McCrory
from
Charlotte
Potential[]
- Leonard Bryant, Senior Religious Affairs Advisor for the United States Army[24]
- Dan Forest, former Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina (2013–2021) and nominee for Governor in 2020[10]
- David Curtis, former state senator (2013–2018)[25]
Withdrawn[]
Declined[]
- Richard Burr, incumbent U.S. Senator[2] (endorsed Pat McCrory)[28]
- Virginia Foxx, U.S. Representative for NC-5[29]
- Mark Meadows, former White House chief of staff, former U.S. Representative for NC-11 and former chairman of the Freedom Caucus (2013–2020)[30] (endorsed Ted Budd)[31]
- Tim Moore, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives[10] (running for re-election)[32]
- Mark Robinson, lieutenant governor of North Carolina since 2021[33]
- Lara Trump, television producer, senior advisor to Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign, and daughter-in-law of former President of the United States Donald Trump (endorsed Ted Budd)[10][34][35][36]
- Michael Whatley, chair of the North Carolina Republican Party[37][38][39]
Endorsements[]
Ted Budd
- Executive Branch Officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[8]
- Mark Meadows, 29th White House Chief of Staff (2020–2021) and U.S. Representative for NC-11 (2013–2020)[31]
- U.S. Representatives
- Dan Bishop, U.S. Representative for NC-9 and Freedom Caucus member (2019–present)[40]
- George Holding, former U.S. Representative for NC-2 (2017–2021), NC-13 (2013–2017), and US Attorney for the Eastern District of North Carolina (2006–2011)[41]
- Jim Jordan, U.S. Representative for OH-4 (2007–present)[41]
- Individuals
- Lara Trump, former television producer and daughter-in-law of Donald Trump[8]
- Organizations
Pat McCrory
- U.S. Senators
- Richard Burr, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2005–present)[28]
- Executive Branch Officials
- Mick Mulvaney, former White House Chief of Staff (2019–2020), former Director of the Office of Management and Budget (2017–2020), and former U.S. Representative from SC-05[28]
- U.S. Governors
- Mike Huckabee, 44th Governor of Arkansas (1996–2007) and candidate for President of the United States in 2008 and 2016[45]
- U.S. Senators
- James Lankford, U.S. Senator from Oklahoma (2015–present)[46]
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[46]
- U.S. Representatives
Polling[]
Graphical summary[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ted Budd |
Pat McCrory |
Mark Walker |
Undecided | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R)[A] | December 19–21, 2021 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 43% | – | 10% | |||||||||
| Walker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| WPA Intelligence (R)[A] | November 1–3, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 33% | 36% | 13% | 18% | |||||||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] | October 16–19, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 25% | 40% | 8% | – | |||||||||
| WPA Intelligence (R)[A] | June 22–24, 2021 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 45% | 13% | 21% | |||||||||
| Meeting Street Insights (R)[C] | June 9–10, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 45% | 12% | 23% | |||||||||
| Spry Strategies (R) | April 21–24, 2021 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 5% | 40% | 11% | 44% | |||||||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] | April 6–8, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 9% | 48% | 13% | – | |||||||||
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ted Budd |
Dan Forest |
George Holding |
Pat McCrory |
Tim Moore |
Mark Robinson |
Lara Trump |
Mark Walker |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinal Point Analytics (R) | April 20, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 2% | – | – | 36% | – | – | 36% | 10% | – | 15% |
| Cygnal (R) | April 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 13% | – | 14% | – | 20% | 32% | 3% | – | – |
| Meredith College | March 12–15, 2021 | 217 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 6% | – | – | 17% | – | – | 27% | 7% | 4% | 39% |
| UNLV Lee Business School | November 30 – December 2, 2020 | 221 (RV) | ± 7.0% | – | – | 3% | 23% | 2% | – | 24% | 7% | 3% | 39% |
Democratic primary[]
After losing the 2020 Democratic primary for United States Senate, Erica Smith teased a campaign for the other Senate seat in 2022. She officially launched her campaign in March 2021. Jeff Jackson, who has represented the 37th district in the North Carolina Senate since 2014, was widely speculated as a potential candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020, but he decided to run for re-election to the State Senate instead.[49][50] In fall 2020, Jackson stated that he would discuss a potential 2022 campaign with his family over the holiday season. In January 2021, Jackson officially launched his campaign, and began a tour of the state, holding town hall events in all 100 counties.[51] Cheri Beasley narrowly lost her election to a full term as Chief Justice in 2020.[52] In February 2021, it was reported that she had hired a campaign consultant and was preparing to enter the U.S. Senate race.[53] Beasley officially launched her campaign on April 27.[54]
In November 2021, Erica Smith filed papers to run for North Carolina's 2nd congressional district in 2022. This came after Representative G. K. Butterfield announced he would not be seeking re-election.[55] On November 23, Smith officially launched her campaign for the U.S. House and ended her U.S. Senate campaign.[56] Smith endorsed Cheri Beasley on November 30.[57]
On December 16, 2021, Jeff Jackson withdrew from the race and endorsed Cheri Beasley.[58]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Cheri Beasley, former justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court (2012–2020; Chief Justice 2019–2020)[53][59]
- Tobias LaGrone, business owner, pastor, and counselor[23]
- Everette (Rett) Newton, mayor of Beaufort (2017-2021)[60]
Democratic candidates[a]
Former Chief Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court
Cheri Beasley
from
Cumberland County
Potential[]
- Sydney Batch, state senator (since 2021)[61]
- Anita Earls, Associate Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court (since 2019)[62][63]
- Anthony Foxx, former United States Secretary of Transportation (2013–2017) and former Mayor of Charlotte (2009–2013)[61]
- Joan Higginbotham, electrical engineer and former NASA astronaut[64]
- Vi Lyles, Mayor of Charlotte (since 2017)[61]
- Grier Martin, state representative (since 2005)[49]
- Heath Shuler, former U.S. Representative for NC-11 (2007–2013)[65]
Withdrawn[]
- Jeff Jackson, state senator (since 2014) and Major in the North Carolina National Guard (endorsed Beasley)[51][58]
- Erica D. Smith, former state senator (running for NC-02) (endorsed Beasley)[55][57]
- Richard Watkins III, scientist and candidate for NC-04 in 2018 (running for NC-06)[66][67]
Declined[]
- Mandy Cohen, Secretary of the North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services (since 2017)[68][69]
- Roy Cooper, Governor of North Carolina (since 2017)[70]
- Terence Everitt, state representative[71]
- Deborah K. Ross, U.S. Representative from NC-2 [72]
- Josh Stein, Attorney General of North Carolina [73]
Endorsements[]
Cheri Beasley
- U.S. Senators
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York[74]
- U.S. Representatives
- Alma Adams, U.S. Representative from NC-12[74]
- G. K. Butterfield, U.S. Representative from NC-1[75]
- Kathy Manning, U.S. Representative from NC-6 [76]
- David Price, U.S Representative from NC-4[75]
- Deborah K. Ross, U.S. Representative from NC-2 [72]
- State officials
- Dan Blue, Minority Leader of the North Carolina State Senate and former Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives [77]
- Deb Butler, North Carolina State Representative[78]
- Ben Clark, North Carolina State Senator[78]
- Allison Dahle, North Carolina State Representative[78]
- Kirk deViere, North Carolina State Senator[78]
- Terry Van Duyn, Former North Carolina State Senator[78]
- Henry Frye, Former North Carolina Supreme Court Chief Justice[78]
- Zack Forde-Hawkins, North Carolina State Representative[78]
- Charles Graham (American politician) Candidate for Congress in 2022 and North Carolina State Representative[78]
- Jeff Jackson, North Carolina State Senator [58]
- Patsy Keever, Former Chair, North Carolina Democratic Party and former State Representative[78]
- Mickey Michaux, Former North Carolina State Senator and former State Representative[78]
- Gladys A. Robinson, North Carolina State Senator[78]
- Erica D. Smith, Former North Carolina State Senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 and 2022[57]
- Local officials
- Nida Allam, Durham County Commissioner[78]
- Mitch Colvin, Mayor of Fayetteville, North Carolina[78]
- Harvey Gantt, former Mayor of Charlotte, North Carolina[79]
- Steve Schewel, former Mayor of Durham, North Carolina[78]
- Jennifer Weaver, Mayor of Hillsborough, North Carolina[78]
- Individuals
- Organizations
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[81][82]
- Democracy for America[82][83]
- EMILY's List[84][85]
- End Citizens United[86]
- Let America Vote[86]
Polling[]
Graphical summary[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Cheri Beasley |
Jeff Jackson |
Rett Newton |
Erica Smith |
Richard Watkins |
Other | Undecided | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Smith withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Watkins withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Global Strategy Group (D)[D] | November 1–7, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 25% | – | – | – | – | 36% | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[E] | August 31 – September 1, 2021 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 33% | 24% | – | – | – | – | 43% | ||||||
| Cardinal Point Analytics (R) | April 20, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 32% | 26% | 8% | 16% | 3% | – | 14% | ||||||
| Meredith College | March 12–15, 2021 | 312 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 13% | 13% | – | 11% | 4% | 3% | 57% | ||||||
Independents and third-party candidates[]
Libertarian Party[]
Declared[]
- Shannon Bray, author, U.S. Navy veteran, candidate for NC-03 in 2019 and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020[87]
Independents[]
Declared[]
- Kimrey Rhinehardt, faculty member at the University of North Carolina Wilmington, former lobbyist for the University of North Carolina system, and former staffer for incumbent U.S. Senator Richard Burr[88]
- Brenda Rodriguez[23]
General election[]
Predictions[]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[89] | Tossup | July 16, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[90] | Battleground | October 8, 2021 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[91] | Lean R | March 11, 2021 |
Polling[]
- Ted Budd vs. Cheri Beasley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Ted Budd (R) |
Cheri Beasley (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 10, 2021 | 777 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 37% | 36% | 3% | 18% |
| 757 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 39% | 3% | 16% |
- Pat McCrory vs. Cheri Beasley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Pat McCrory (R) |
Cheri Beasley (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 10, 2021 | 777 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 37% | 3% | 15% |
| 757 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 40% | 3% | 13% |
Hypothetical polling
- Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies (R) | August 17, 2021 | 303 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 46% | 34% | 5% | 15% |
| Cygnal (R) | May 6–8, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | – | 6% |
| Cygnal (R) | March 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
Notes[]
- ^ a b The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
- ^ a b c d e f Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Club for Growth Action, which has endorsed Budd's campaign.
- ^ a b Poll conducted for McCrory's campaign committee
- ^ Poll conducted for Budd's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted for Beasley's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted for EMILY's List which endorsed Beasley prior to the poll's sampling period
References[]
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External links[]
- Official campaign websites
- Jen Banwart (R) for Senate
- Cheri Beasley (D) for Senate
- Shannon Bray (L) for Senate
- Ted Budd (R) for Senate
- Keith Davenport (D) for Senate
- Marjorie K. Eastman (R) for Senate
- Ava Edwards (D) for Senate
- Kenneth Harper (R) for Senate
- Tobias LaGrone (D) for Senate
- Pat McCrory (R) for Senate
- Everette (Rett) Newton (D) for Senate
- Kimrey Rhinehardt (I) for Senate
- Brenda Rodriguez (I) for Senate
Categories:
- United States Senate elections in North Carolina
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2022 North Carolina elections