2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota

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2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota

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Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. senator

John Thune
Republican



The 2022 United States Senate election in South Dakota will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Dakota.

Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. Senator John Thune, who is the Senate Minority Whip, is running for reelection to a fourth term.[1]

Republican primary[]

On December 23, 2020, Donald Trump said Thune would face a primary challenger after Thune refused to support a challenge of the 2020 Electoral College results, tweeting: “Republicans in the Senate so quickly forget. Right now they would be down 8 seats without my backing them in the last Election. RINO John Thune, “Mitch’s boy”, should just let it play out. South Dakota doesn’t like weakness. He will be primaried in 2022, political career over!!!”[2] South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem stated she would not challenge Thune for the seat.[3] On January 1, 2021, President Trump tweeted that Noem should challenge Thune in a primary, despite Noem previously saying she will not do so, instead running for re-election as Governor in 2022.[4]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Mark Mowry, musician and rancher[5]
  • Patrick Schubert, software executive[6]
  • John Thune, incumbent U.S. Senator (2005–present)[1]
  • Bruce Buffalo Dreamer Whalen, Oglala Sioux tribal administrator, former chair of the Oglala Lakota County Republican Party, and nominee for South Dakota's at-large congressional district in 2006[7]
Republican candidates[a]

Declined[]

Polling[]

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Dusty
Johnson
Kristi
Noem
John
Thune
Undecided
Fabrizio Lee (R)[A] January 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 30% 47% 23%
49% 40% 10%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Brian Bengs, former university professor and air force veteran[11]

Publicly expressed interest[]

  • Billie Sutton, former Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate (2015–2019) and nominee for Governor in 2018[12][13]

Declined[]

  • Brendan Johnson, former U.S. Attorney for South Dakota (2009–2015) and son of former U.S. Senator Tim Johnson[13]
  • Troy Heinert, Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate[14]
  • Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, president of Augustana University (2017–present) and former U.S. Representative for South Dakota's at-large congressional district (2004–2011)[13]

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[15] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[16] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] Safe R November 3, 2021
RCP[18] Safe R January 10, 2022

Notes[]

  1. ^ The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by the American Potential Fund

References[]

  1. ^ a b Levine, Marianne (January 8, 2022). "Senate Minority Whip John Thune to run for reelection". Politico. Retrieved January 8, 2022.
  2. ^ Williams, Jordan (2020-12-22). "Trump attacks Thune: 'He will be primaried in 2022'". TheHill. Retrieved 2020-12-23.
  3. ^ a b Budryk, Zack (2020-12-23). "Noem rules out Thune challenge after Trump criticizes senator". TheHill. Retrieved 2020-12-23.
  4. ^ Coleman, Justine (1 January 2021). "Trump again calls for Noem to primary Thune despite her refusal". The Hill. Retrieved 1 January 2021.
  5. ^ "Mowry to challenge Thune in 2022 primary". Rapid City Journal. June 22, 2021. ISSN 1079-3410. OCLC 2250546. Archived from the original on July 3, 2021. Retrieved July 3, 2021.
  6. ^ https://rapidcityjournal.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/two-west-river-men-to-challenge-thune-in-2022-republican-primary/article_0a78b689-0af0-55ee-9148-9efdd61a8e97.html
  7. ^ Austin Goss (July 27, 2021). "State Rep. Taffy Howard expected to announce bid for US Congress". KEVN.
  8. ^ https://www.argusleader.com/story/opinion/2021/12/18/ellis-column-john-thune-retirement-from-senate-could-cause-bedlam-south-dakota-republicans/8937559002/
  9. ^ Bartels, Deb (2 March 2021). "Marty Jackley running for his old job of attorney general". www.capjournal.com. Capital Journal. Retrieved 28 December 2021.
  10. ^ Heemstra, Jody (January 31, 2022). "Dusty Johnson announces he is running for re-election". DRG News. Retrieved January 31, 2022.
  11. ^ Sand, Elisa (November 12, 2021). "'Democracy has to be the answer': Aberdeen man announces intention to run for U.S. Senate". Aberdeen News. Retrieved December 1, 2021.
  12. ^ Nord, James (December 14, 2018). "After close governor race, Sutton hints at political future". Rapid City Journal. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  13. ^ a b c Lawrence, Tom (November 29, 2020). "Is it just a South Dakota political legend or eerie fate: Will Sen. John Thune end the 'Curse of Karl' in 2022?". . Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  14. ^ "South Dakota Minority Leader Heinert passes on run for Governor, joining private sector after term".
  15. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  16. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  17. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  18. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.

External links[]

Official campaign websites
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