Political views of Generation Z

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Gen Z activists protest in San Francisco as part of the School strike for climate movement, 2019
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Generation Z (or Gen Z for short), colloquially also known as zoomers,[1][2] is the demographic cohort succeeding Millennials and preceding Generation Alpha.[3] Researchers and popular media use the mid-to-late 1990s as starting birth years and the early 2010s as ending birth years.[4] This article focuses specifically on the political views of Generation Z.

Generation Z is generally alike to Millennials on political and social issues.[5] Generation Z has been reported to be "progressive and pro-government",[6] though this narrative has been challenged, particularly in Europe. The generation is largely in favor of LGBT rights, gender equality, and access to abortion. Economically, Generation Z is a more favorable outlook on socialism than previous generations. They also prefer a nationalist approach to governance rather than a globalist approach by large margins. Gen Z varies largely by country on whether to make it easier for legal migrants to live and work in their home countries.

Movements associated with Generation Z so far include School strike for climate and March for Our Lives, though the generation's influence on such movements is disputed. In contrast with older generations who mainly receive news from television news, Generation Z receives their information primarily from social media.[7]

Voting patterns[]

A consistent trend in much of the Western world since after World War II is that older people are more likely to vote than their younger countrymen, and they tend to vote for more right-leaning or conservative candidates.[8][9][10] According to Sean Simpsons of Ipsos, people are more likely to vote when they have more at stake, such as children to raise, homes to maintain, and income taxes to pay.[11] The generational gap of political positions could be due to the fact that today's youths grew up in different sociopolitical environments from their parents and grandparents that make them more likely to go to university, well known for making people socially liberal.[12]

However, in recent years, in tandem with more members of Generation Z being able to vote in elections, the youth vote has increased.[13][14] Additionally, Generation Z challenges the left-ward trend in many countries, especially in Europe.[15]

Europe[]

In the 2019 European Parliament election in France, the support of the far-right National Rally (formerly the National Front) among those 35 and under nearly halved as compared to the 2014 election, where the Front won the plurality of votes in that age group.[16][15] It is important to note that (depending on how the generation is defined) the 2014 election either had one year or no years of Generation Z voters, while the 2019 election had four to six years. In the first round of the 2017 Presidential election, National Front candidate Marine Le Pen won more votes from people between the ages of 18 and 35 during than any other candidate. Moreover, the share of women aged 18 to 26 who backed the Le Pen political family rose from 9% in 1988 to 32% in 2017, closing the gender gap in the process.[17]

In Austria, more than one in two men between the ages of 18 and 29 voted for the nationalist Freedom Party in the 2016 presidential election, and 30% of those ages 18 to 29 voted for the Freedom Party in the 2017 parliamentary elections.[17] However, in the 2019 European Parliament election, the Freedom Party came in third with the same age group (17%), behind both the Greens (28%) and the Social Democratic Party (22%).

In the 2019 European Parliament election in Germany, 30% of voters aged 18 to 30 voted for the Green Party, beating every other political party by wide margins in that particular age group.[18][15]

In Italy, the left-wing populist party Five Star Movement won the youth vote overwhelmingly in the 2018 national election. But in the 2019 European Parliament election, the right-wing party Lega Nord won the largest vote-share among both millennials and Gen Z.[15]

In the 2019 European Parliament election in Poland, the national-conservative Law and Justice party came first among those ages 18 to 29.[15]

Political scientist George Tilley notes that in the United Kingdom, while older people tend to vote for the Conservative Party, young people tend to choose the Labour Party, the Liberal Democratic Party, or the Green Party.[12] Despite reports of a surge in turnouts among young voters in the 2015 and 2017 United Kingdom general elections, statistical scrutiny by the British Elections Study revealed that the margin of error was too large to determine whether or not there was a significant increase or decrease in the number of young participants. In both cases, turnouts among those aged 18 to 24 was between 40% and 50%. Winning the support of young people does not necessarily translate to increasing young voters' turnouts,[8] and positive reactions on social media may not lead to success at the ballot box.[9]

United States[]

See also: Youth vote in the United States

In a 2016 poll of Gen Z-aged students by the Hispanic Heritage Foundation, 32% of participants supported Donald Trump, while 22% supported Hillary Clinton with 31% declining to choose.[19] By contrast, in a 2016 mock election of upper elementary, middle, and high school students conducted by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump among the students, with Clinton receiving 46% of the vote, Donald Trump receiving 41%, and other candidates receiving 12%.[20] A 2017 survey produced by MTV and the Public Religion Research Institute found that 72% of Americans aged 15 to 24 held unfavorable views of President Donald Trump.[21][22] A 2018 Pew Research Center poll found that among those ages 13 to 21, only 30% approved of Trump's job performance,[5] and in a 2020 Politico poll, only about 28% of those aged 18 to 23 approved of Donald Trump's job performance.[23]

In the 2018 midterm elections, voter turnout among 18 to 29-year-olds went up to 36% from 20% in 2014, the largest percentage point increase for any age group.[24] This increase in youth turnout has been attributed to a rebuttal of Trump among young millennials and older members of Generation Z, as well as to the get out the vote initiatives that were part of the student-led gun violence protest March for Our Lives, which was described as "Generation Z's first social movement."[25][26] However, according to a field survey by The Washington Post interviewing every fifth person at the protest, only ten percent of the participants were 18 years of age or younger. Meanwhile, the adult participants of the protest had an average age of just under 49.[27]

According to a Politico survey, a 2020 Presidential election with only Generation Z voters would see Joe Biden win 51% of the popular vote, compared to Donald Trump's 25%. However, almost half of Biden voters said they were voting against Trump rather than for Biden, reflected in lower approval ratings for both Joe Biden and Congressional Democrats than the general public.[23] In the 2020 Presidential election, 50% of those ages 18 to 29 voted, compared to 39% in the 2016 election. In addition, voter turnout among newly eligible voters (ages 18 and 19) was 46%, stronger than previous years. The increase has also been attributed to the expansion of postal voting due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[14]

Social values[]

Family values and abortion[]

Youths' Support for Safe and Legal Abortion (Varkey 2016).png

A 2018 Pew Research Center survey studied various family values among generations. Among Generation Z, 67% were indifferent towards premarital cohabitation. 49% considered single motherhood to be neither a positive or a negative for society. 62% saw increased ethnic or racial diversity as good for society and 53% for interracial marriage. In the case of financial responsibility in a two-parent household, majorities from across the generations (79% of Generation Z) answered that it should be shared by both parents. Across all the generations surveyed, at least 84% thought that both parents ought to be responsible for rearing children. About 13% of Generation Z thought that mothers should be the primary caretaker of children, while very few thought that fathers should be the ones mainly responsible.[5]

In 2016, the Varkey Foundation and Populus conducted an international study examining the attitudes of 20,000 people aged 15 to 21 in twenty countries.[note 1][28] The survey showed that 66% of people aged 15 to 21 favored legal abortion, but there was significant variation among the countries surveyed: support for this procedure was strongest in France, the United Kingdom, and Canada, but lowest in Argentina, Brazil, and Nigeria.[29] Gallup polls conducted in 2020 in the U.S. revealed that 61% of people aged 18 to 29—older members of Generation Z and younger Millennials—considered themselves pro-choice, while only 34% identified as pro-life. In general, the older someone was, the less likely that they supported access to abortion.[30]

Gender equality and LGBT rights[]

The 2016 Varkey Foundation and Populus survey also asked about people's viewpoints on moral questions regarding sex and gender. Overall, 89% supported equality between men and women, with support being the highest in Canada and China (both 94%), and the lowest in Japan (74%) and Nigeria (68%). 74% favored recognizing transgender rights, but with large national differences, from an overwhelming majority of 83% in Canada to a bare majority of 57% in Nigeria. 63% approved of same-sex marriage, but there were again huge variations among countries. 81% of young Germans and 80% of young Canadians agreed that same-sex couples should be allowed to marry, compared to only 33% of young Turks and 16% of young Nigerians who did.[28][29] In a 2018 Pew Research Center survey, 48% of Generation Z participants said that same-sex marriage was good for society.[5]

Youths' Views on Same-sex Marriage (2016).png

A 2018 poll conducted by Harris on behalf of the LGBT advocacy group GLAAD found that despite being frequently described as the most tolerant segment of society, Americans aged 18 to 34—most Millennials and the oldest members of Generation Z—have become less accepting of LGBT individuals compared to previous years. In 2016, 63% of Americans in that age group said they felt comfortable interacting with members of the LGBT community; that number dropped to 45% in 2018. On top of that, more young people reported discomfort learning that a family member was LGBT (from 24% in 2016 to 36% in 2018), having a child learning LGBT history (27% to 39%), or having an LGBT doctor (24% to 34%). In general, the fall of comfort levels between 2016 and 2018 was the steepest among people aged 18 to 34, particularly women.[31]

According to a 2018 poll by Pew Research Center, more than a third of those in Generation Z (aged 13 to 21 were polled) know someone who uses gender-neutral pronouns, much more than older generations, including millennials. Exposure to such individuals has likely led to more support among the generation, with 59% saying that questions asking of a person's gender should include options other than man and woman.[6]

Civil liberties[]

Minneapolis students participate in a school walkout to protest police brutality in the United States, 2015

A 2020 Politico survey showed that American voters aged 18 to 23 support the Black Lives Matter movement to a greater extent (68%) than all registered voters (54%), and support police much less (39%) than all registered voters (66%).[23] While Democrats of all ages generally agree that black people are treated unfairly in the United States at equal rates (roughly 80%), Gen Z Republicans agree at much greater rates (43%) than millennial Republicans (30%) or older generations (20-23%).[5] Gen Z also supported protesters and protests more than registered voters by a 12% margin, and were more likely to view protesting as an effective way to make political change.[23]

In a worldwide Deloitte survey, 60% of Generation Z say that systemic racism is widespread in society. Over two in ten also reported that they felt discriminated against "all the time", with this number rising to three in ten among sexual minorities, and four in ten among ethnic minorities.[32]

A 2016 Varkey Foundation and Populus survey found that, worldwide, young people's support for free speech dwindled if it was deemed offensive to a religion (56% support) or a minority group (49%).[29]

Economic values[]

In a study conducted in 2015, the Center for Generational Kinetics found that American members of Generation Z, defined here as those born 1996 and onwards, are less optimistic about the state of the US economy than their generation predecessors, Millennials.[33]

Self-described democratic socialist Bernie Sanders speaks at UNC-Chapel Hill for his 2020 presidential campaign, 2019

Generation Z views socialism more positively than previous generations, especially in the United States. In a 2018 Gallup poll, 51% of Americans aged 18 to 29—young Millennials and older Gen Z—have a positive view of socialism, compared to 45% having a positive view of capitalism.[34] In a 2019 poll by YouGov and Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation found that more than half of Gen Z Americans have an unfavorable view of capitalism, and almost two-thirds said they were likely to vote for a socialist candidate.[35][36] Much of this shift has been attributed to Bernie Sanders's 2016 and 2020 presidential campaigns.[34][35] Additionally, according to the 2020 Edelman Trust Barometer, 57% of those ages 18 to 34 worldwide say that modern-day capitalism "does more harm than good", though this figure roughly corresponds with all other age groups.[37]

Though still generally popular among all age groups, Europeans ages 18 to 29 are less likely than older groups to support fiscal redistribution. This age group in the EU is also more likely to attribute poverty to “laziness or lack of willpower," though this sentiment is not the majority view of the cohort in most countries in Europe.[15]

According to a 2018 International Federation of Accountants survey of G20 countries, the top three public policy priorities for members of Generation Z are the stability of the national economy, the quality of education, and the availability of jobs. The bottom issues, on the other hand, were addressing income and wealth inequality, making regulations smarter and more effective, and improving the effectiveness of international taxation. Moreover, healthcare is a top priority for Generation Z in Canada, France, Germany, and the United States. Tackling wealth and income inequality is deemed of vital importance in Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey.[38]

Globalism and nationalism[]

In 2018, the International Federation of Accountants released a report on a survey of 3,388 individuals aged 18 to 23 hailing from G20 countries, with a sample size of 150 to 300 per country. They found that members of Generation Z prefer a nationalist to a globalist approach to public policy by a clear margin, 51% to 32%. Nationalism was strongest in China (by a 44% margin), India (30%), South Africa (37%), and Russia (32%), while support for globalism was strongest in France (20% margin) and Germany (3%).[38]

By analyzing voter data, political scientists Roger Eatwell and Matthew Goodwin came to the conclusion that the popular narrative that the rise of national-populist movements seen across much of the Western world is due largely to "angry old white men" who would soon be demographically displaced by younger and more liberal voters is flawed. In many European democracies, national-populist politicians and political parties tend to be the most popular among voters below the age of 40.[17] However, according to the Eurobarometer in 2016 to 2018, over 60% of Europeans between 15 and 24 viewed globalization positively, in stark contrast with older cohorts.[15]

A 2018 YouGov poll asked British voters whether leaving the European Union was a good idea in hindsight. They found that 42% said yes while 45% said no. Among them, 19% of those between the ages of 18 to 24 said yes, as did 61% of pensioners. Overall the British public has not changed their minds on the issue[39] as this aligned with the results of the 2016 Brexit referendum when younger voters were more likely to vote to stay in the European Union.[40]

In 2019, Harvard University's Institute of Politics Youth Poll asked voters aged 18 to 29 – younger Millennials and the first wave of Generation Z – what they would like to be priorities for US foreign policy. They found that the top issues for these voters were countering terrorism and protecting human rights (both 39%), and protecting the environment (34%). Preventing nuclear proliferation and defending U.S. allies were not as important to young American voters.[41] Another poll conducted at around the same time by the Center for American Progress found that only 18% of Americans supported liberal internationalism, which has been part of U.S. foreign policy since the time of President Franklin D. Roosevelt, while young Americans were even less likely to support it, contributing to a return towards isolationism, a historical norm dating back to the Founding Fathers.[42]

Immigration[]

Youths' Views on Legal Migration.png

In a 2016 Varkey Foundation and Populus international survey,[note 1] the question of whether or not those 15 to 21 favored legal migration received mixed responses. Overall, 31% believed their governments should make it easier for immigrants to work and live legally in their countries while 23% said it should be more difficult, a margin of 8%.[28][29] While 72% of Brazilian youths thought their government was doing too little to address the international refugee crisis, only 16% of young Turks did; in the U.K. that number was 48%.[28]

A YouGov poll conducted in the spring of 2018 revealed that 41% of Britons between the ages of 18 to 24 thought that immigration to their country was "too high", compared to 58% of those 25 to 49.[17]

Environmentalism[]

See also: School strike for climate

Generation Z is more likely than other generations to believe that climate change is real and to support climate change mitigation. Polling from 2018 of Americans over the age of 13 by Pew suggested that 54% of Generation Z believed that climate change is real (making them the second most likely cohort to do so) and is due to human activities, while only 10% reject the scientific consensus on climate change.[5]

A worldwide Deloitte survey saw that climate change and protecting the environment top Generation Z's primary concerns, with curbing unemployment and expanding health care access not far behind.[32]

Greta Thunberg, born in 2003, began worldwide protests for greater climate change mitigation strategies.

A 2019 poll of over 10,000 internet users aged 18 to 25 years old in 22 countries around the world found that 41% of responders believed that climate change was one of the most important issues facing the world, the most popular response. The second most common problem cited was environment-related pollution at 36%. Top priorities on a national level differed but environmental concerns also polled relatively strongly in this category.[43] A 2020 survey conducted for Newsround of Britons aged 8 to 16 suggested that 80% of young Generation Z viewed climate change as a problem, with more than a third thinking it was "very important." 58% of respondents worried about the impact that climate change would have on their future. 19% said they faced nightmares about the topic whilst 17% said it had affected their eating and sleeping habits.[44] 41% of respondents did not trust adults to properly address the crisis.[45] Addressing climate change is very important for Generation Z in India and South Korea.[38] In contrast, less than 20% of Europeans aged 15 to 24 viewed climate change as a top 2 challenge facing the EU according to the Eurobarometer.[15]

One of the earliest political movements primarily driven by Generation Z was School strike for climate in the late 2010s. The movement saw millions of young people around the world, inspired by the activities of Swedish teenage activist Greta Thunberg, protest for greater action on climate change.[46][47]

Other views[]

Trust in institutions[]

In 2019, the Pew Research Center interviewed over 2,000 Americans aged 18 and over on their views of various components of the federal government. They found that 54% of the people between the ages of 18 and 29 wanted larger government compared to 43% who preferred smaller government and fewer services. Older people were more likely to pick the second option.[48]

According to a 2018 survey by Pew Research Center, 70% of Generation Z want the government to play a more active role in solving their problems.

Gun ownership[]

"The people in the government who are voted into power are lying to us ... And us kids seem to be the only ones who notice and are prepared to call B.S."

X González, February 18, 2018, in Fort Lauderdale[49]

The March for Our Lives, a protest taking place in the aftermath of the Stoneman Douglas High School shooting in 2018 was described by various media outlets as being led by students and young people. Some even describe it as the political "awakening" of Generation Z or that these protesters were "the voice of a generation on gun control."[50] While this massive protest was indeed organized by the young survivors of the Parkland shooting, it was with the assistance of well-resourced and older benefactors.[51] According to a field survey by The Washington Post interviewing every fifth person at the protest, only ten percent of the participants were 18 years of age or younger, and the adult participants of the protest had an average age of just under 49.[51]

In a 2019 Rasmussen poll, US Gen Z and Millennial respondents supported stricter gun laws at the highest rates—68%. Majorities of older generations also agreed.[52][53] In a 2017 poll, Pew found that among the age group 18 to 29, 27% personally owned a gun and 16% lived with a gun owner, for a total of 43% living in a household with at least one gun. Nationwide, a similar percentage of American adults lived in a household with a gun.[54]

COVID-19 pandemic[]

According to a worldwide Deloitte survey, 69% of those in Gen Z reported that they took their government’s public health guidelines seriously during 2020. Members of Generation Z surveyed also feel that they are doing more than others in their countries to limit the spread of COVID-19.[32]

Notes[]

  1. ^ Jump up to: a b Countries studied in 2016 Varkey Foundation-Populus international study: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Israel, Italy, Japan, New Zealand, Nigeria, Russia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, the U.K., and the U.S.

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