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2022 Arizona gubernatorial election

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See also: 2022 United States gubernatorial elections and 2022 Arizona elections
2022 Arizona gubernatorial election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
 
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Incumbent Governor

Doug Ducey
Republican



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The 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Arizona. Incumbent Republican Governor Doug Ducey is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term, as Arizona is one of twenty-seven states that prohibits its governors from serving more than two consecutive terms.

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Steve Gaynor, businessman and nominee for Arizona Secretary of State in 2018[1]
  • Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor[2]
  • Bryan Masche, nurse and Air Force veteran[3]
  • Daniel McCarthy, skincare company executive and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2020[4]
  • Karrin Taylor Robson, land developer and member of the Arizona Board of Regents[5]
  • Matt Salmon, vice president of government affairs at Arizona State University, nominee for Governor of Arizona in 2002 and former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 1st congressional district (1995–2001) and Arizona's 5th congressional district (2013–2017)[6]


Republican candidates[a]
  • Businessman
    Steve Gaynor
  • Former KSAZ-TV anchor
    Kari Lake
  • Regent
    Karrin Taylor Robson
  • Former U.S. Representative
    Matt Salmon

Withdrew[]

  • Kimberly Yee, Arizona State Treasurer (2019–present) (running for re-election)[7]

Potential[]

  • Kirk Adams, former chief of staff to Governor Doug Ducey (2015–2018) and former speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives (2009–2011)[8]
  • Steve Chucri, Maricopa County supervisor (2013–2021)[9]
  • David Schweikert, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 6th congressional district (2013–present) and former U.S. Representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district (2011–2013)[10]
  • Kelli Ward, chair of the Arizona Republican Party (2019–present), former state senator (2013–2015), and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018[11]

Declined[]

Endorsements[]

Karrin Taylor Robson
Governors of Arizona
  • Fife Symington, 19th Governor of Arizona (1990–1997)[18]
  • Jan Brewer, 22nd Governor of Arizona (2009-2015)[18]
Kari Lake
Executive Branch officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[19]
  • Michael Flynn, U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) and former U.S. Army lieutenant general[20] (Democratic)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
  • Wendy Rogers, member of the Arizona Senate from the 6th district (2021–present)[22]
Individuals
  • Rob Schneider, comedian and actor[23]
  • Mike Lindell, founder of My Pillow and conspiracy theorist[24]
Matt Salmon
Executive Branch officials
  • Sam Brownback, former United States Ambassador-at-Large for International Religious Freedom (2018-2021), and 46th Governor of Kansas (2011-2018)[25]
U.S. Senators
  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)[26]
  • Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)[27]
  • Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Senator from Wyoming (2021–present)[28]
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Kimberly Yee (withdrew)
U.S. Representatives

Polling[]

Graphical summary[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Steve
Gaynor 		Kari
Lake 		Daniel
McCarthy 		Jorge
Rivas 		Karrin
Taylor Robson 		Matt
Salmon 		Kimberly
Yee 		Other Undecided
January 15, 2022 Yee withdraws from the race
OH Predictive Insights November 1–8, 2021 252 (RV) ± 6.2% 2% 28% – 1% 1% 11% 6% – 51%
OH Predictive Insights September 7–12, 2021 311 (RV) ± 5.6% 5% 25% – 2% 1% 9% 6% – 53%
HighGround Public Affairs (R) May 3–5, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% – 10% 5% – 0% 8% 4% 4% 66%
WPA Intelligence (R)[A] May 12–13, 2021 534 (LV) ± 4.4% – – – – 10% 42% – – 48%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Katie Hobbs, Arizona Secretary of State (2019–present)[33][34][35]
  • Aaron Lieberman, state representative (2019–2021)[36]
  • Marco López Jr., former chief of staff for the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (2009–2011) and former mayor of Nogales (2001–2004)[37]
Democratic candidates[a]
  • Secretary of State
    Katie Hobbs
  • State representative
    Aaron Lieberman
  • Former CBP chief of staff
    Marco López Jr.

Potential[]

Declined[]

Endorsements[]

Katie Hobbs
Unions
  • Southwest Regional Council of Carpenters[40]

Polling[]

Graphical summary[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Katie
Hobbs 		Aaron
Lieberman 		Marco
López Jr. 		Undecided
OH Predictive Insights November 1–8, 2021 229 (RV) ± 6.5% 42% 6% 8% 44%
OH Predictive Insights September 7–12, 2021 283 (RV) ± 5.8% 40% 8% 10% 42%

Libertarian primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Steve Remus, U.S. Air Force veteran and former candidate for Arizona House of Representatives[41]
  • Robert "Bob" Baxter Jr.[41]
  • Barry Hess, perennial candidate[41]
  • William "Bill" Moritzky[41]

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[42] Tossup October 5, 2021
Inside Elections[43] Battleground September 29, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[44] Tossup September 15, 2021
RCP[45] Tossup January 10, 2022

Polling[]

Hypothetical polling
Kari Lake vs. Katie Hobbs
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Kari
Lake (R) 		Katie
Hobbs (D) 		Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 10, 2021 624 (RV) ± 3.9% 34% 39% 2% 19%
592 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 41% 2% 18%
Matt Salmon vs. Katie Hobbs
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Matt
Salmon (R) 		Katie
Hobbs (D) 		Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 10, 2021 624 (RV) ± 3.9% 31% 40% 4% 17%
592 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 43% 4% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
OH Predictive Insights November 1–8, 2021 713 (RV) ± 3.7% 39% 37% 24%
OH Predictive Insights September 7–12, 2021 882 (RV) ± 3.3% 39% 36% 25%
Data for Progress (D)[B] September 15–22, 2020 481 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 39% 19%

Notes[]

  1. ^ a b The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References[]

  1. ^ "Steve Gaynor joins Arizona governor race". The Kingman Daily Miner. Associated Press. June 26, 2021. Archived from the original on June 27, 2021. Retrieved June 27, 2021.
  2. ^ Valencia, Peter. "Kari Lake announces run for Arizona governor". AZFamily. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
  3. ^ "Former Havasu resident throws his name in crowded GOP field of gubernatorial candidates". The Kingman Daily Miner. Associated Press. August 26, 2021. Archived from the original on August 27, 2021. Retrieved August 26, 2021.
  4. ^ Daniel McCarthy [@DemandDanielAZ] (December 8, 2020). "Jim, thank you! I am not a state Rep. State Reps have signed it, but I am setting up a run for Governor of Arizona. The source you republished got it wrong. I'll be on the War Room with Owen Shroyer around 4:30 ET to give the latest" (Tweet). Retrieved January 15, 2021 – via Twitter.
  5. ^ "Regent to seek governor's office". Arizona Capitol Times. May 17, 2021. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
  6. ^ "Former Rep. Matt Salmon launches gubernatorial bid in Arizona". The Hill. June 16, 2021. Retrieved June 16, 2021.
  7. ^ "Arizona State Treasurer Kimberly Yee pulls out of governor race, to run for re-election". KNXV. January 15, 2022. Retrieved January 15, 2022.
  8. ^ a b "Three-quarters of states will elect governors in the next 2 years. Here's a field guide". POLITICO. Retrieved December 16, 2020.
  9. ^ "Former Nogales mayor announces bid for governor". Azcapitaltimes.com. March 16, 2021. Retrieved April 19, 2021.
  10. ^ "U.S. Rep. David Schweikert floats run for Arizona governor in 2022". KTAR. October 26, 2017. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
  11. ^ "NEW DNS REGISTRATIONS - 2021-04-24". Retrieved April 26, 2021.
  12. ^ "NEW DNS REGISTRATIONS - 2021-04-24". Retrieved April 26, 2021.
  13. ^ @andybiggs4az (June 16, 2021). "Today is a big day for AZ. My good friend and co-founder of the House Freedom Caucus, @MattSalmonAZ, got in the rac…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  14. ^ Greenwood, Max (June 10, 2021). "Arizona AG Mark Brnovich launches Senate challenge to Mark Kelly". The Hill. Archived from the original on June 12, 2021. Retrieved June 27, 2021.
  15. ^ Gosar, Paul. "Gosar contemplates statewide run". Twitter. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
  16. ^ Gosar, Paul. "Gosar announces re-election". Twitter. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
  17. ^ a b @DebbieLesko (May 19, 2021). "Excited to endorse my friend @KimberlyYeeAZ for Governor! She is just what Arizona needs to lead our great state!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  18. ^ a b ktar.com (September 13, 2021). "Brewer, Symington join Taylor Robson campaign for Arizona governor". KTAR.
  19. ^ Shapiro, Danny (September 28, 2021). "Donald Trump endorses Kari Lake for Arizona governor". KTAR-FM. Archived from the original on September 29, 2021. Retrieved September 29, 2021.
  20. ^ @KariLake (September 29, 2021). "I am so honored to receive the endorsement of General Michael Flynn. He is a true patriot who loves this country.…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  21. ^ @DrPaulGosar (October 7, 2021). "1/3 I am proud to endorse Kari Lake to be our next Governor. Arizona is at a cross-roads and the state needs a gov…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  22. ^ Smith, Allan (November 14, 2021). "Wendy Rogers embraced Trump's stolen election lie and watched her star rise". NBC News.
  23. ^ Hamilton, Heather (December 30, 2021). "WATCH: Comedian Rob Schneider endorses Arizona gubernatorial candidate in comedy show". Washington Examiner.
  24. ^ Dale, Daniel (October 16, 2021). "Fact-checking Kari Lake, serial promoter of election lies and early frontrunner in GOP primary for Arizona governor". CNN. Archived from the original on November 8, 2021. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
  25. ^ {{cite url=https://twitter.com/mattsalmonaz/status/1480567452652093443?s=21
  26. ^ Evie Fordham (June 30, 2021). "Ted Cruz endorses Matt Salmon for Arizona governor". Fox News.
  27. ^ @LindseyGrahamSC (July 14, 2021). "Matt will work every day to secure Arizona's border and advance policies that protect Arizona families. He also u…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  28. ^ @CynthiaMLummis (June 16, 2021). "Pleased as punch to learn that my friend Matt Salmon is running for Governor in Arizona. Got to visit with Matt abo…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  29. ^ Murray, Stephanie. "Election bill gets a vote this week". POLITICO. Retrieved June 21, 2021.
  30. ^ a b Cailtin McFall (June 16, 2021). "Former Rep. Matt Salmon enters Arizona gubernatorial race with Club for Growth endorsement". Fox News.
  31. ^ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Matt Salmon for Arizona Governor". www.freedomworksforamerica.org. July 6, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  32. ^ @KimberlyYeeAZ (May 21, 2021). ""Kimberly is a true conservative that my father would've been proud to fight alongside against the liberals in Wash…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  33. ^ a b c Herstam, Chris (January 6, 2020). "Katie Hobbs for governor – already?". The Times-Gazette. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
  34. ^ Rosenblatt, Dillon (May 21, 2021). "Races for 2022 statewide offices taking shape". Arizona Capitol Times. Retrieved May 25, 2021.
  35. ^ Oxford, Andrew. "In spotlight of audit, Secretary of State Katie Hobbs announces run for Arizona governor". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved June 2, 2021.
  36. ^ Oxford, Andrew. "Democratic state Rep. Aaron Lieberman launches bid for governor". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved June 29, 2021.
  37. ^ POletta, Maria (March 16, 2021). "Former Nogales mayor is first to announce 2022 bid for Arizona governor". azcentral. Retrieved March 16, 2021.
  38. ^ Square, Cole Lauterbach | The Center. "First Democrat throws hat in ring to succeed Ducey as Arizona governor". The Center Square. Retrieved May 19, 2021.
  39. ^ Mutnick, Ally; Ferris, Sarah (June 26, 2021). "House Dems head off retirement crisis — for now". POLITICO.
  40. ^ "SWRCC TOP THREE: WEEK OF JUNE 7". Southwest Carpenters. June 7, 2021. Retrieved June 8, 2021.
  41. ^ a b c d "2022 Primary Election Interested Candidates". apps.arizona.vote. Retrieved July 6, 2021.
  42. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  43. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  44. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  45. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.

External links[]

Official campaign websites
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