Mississauga—Lakeshore

Mississauga—Lakeshore
Ontario electoral district
	Mississauga South in relation to the other Mississauga ridings
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Sven Spengemann; Liberal
;
District created	1976
First contested	1979
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)	118,893
Electors (2015)	85,379
Area (km²)	92
Pop. density (per km²)	1,292.3
Census division(s)	Peel
Census subdivision(s)	Mississauga

Map of Mississauga South

Mississauga—Lakeshore (formerly Mississauga South) is a federal electoral district in the Peel Region of Ontario, Canada. It has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1979.

Geography[]

The riding includes the Mississauga neighbourhoods of Clarkson, Lakeview, Lorne Park, , Port Credit, , Sheridan Park, and parts of Erindale and Cooksville.

Political geography[]

Conservative support is centred in the interior of the riding, particularly in the upscale Lorne Park area, while the Liberals and the NDP tend to do better along the waterfront of the riding, such as Port Credit and Lakeview, and the eastern and western edges of the riding.

History[]

The federal riding was created in 1976 from parts of Mississauga and Mississauga Centre ridings.

It consisted initially of the part of the City of Mississauga lying south of a line drawn from west to east along Highway 5, south along Cawthra Road, and east along the Queen Elizabeth Way.

In 1987, it was redefined to consist of the part of the City of Mississauga lying south of a line drawn from southwest to northeast along Dundas Street West, east along the Credit River, northeast along the Queen Elizabeth Way, northwest along Cawthra Road, and northeast along the Queensway East to the eastern city limit.

Map of the riding (1996 boundaries)

In 1996, it was redefined to consist of the part of the City of Mississauga lying south of a line drawn from southwest to northeast along Dundas Street West, southeast along Erin Mills Parkway, northeast along the Queen Elizabeth Way, northwest along Hurontario Street, northeast along the Queensway East to the northeastern city limit.

In 2003, it was given its current boundaries as described above.

In 2013, the riding gained the area around , and was renamed Mississauga—Lakeshore. It was defined to consist of the part of the City of Mississauga lying southeast of a line drawn from northeast to southwest along the Queensway to Mavis Road, north along Mavis Road until Dundas Street and west along Dundas Street to the southwestern city limit.

Since the 2015 Canadian Federal election, the Liberal Party of Canada has succeeded in holding Mississauga-Lakeshore as they have done in 2015, 2019 and 2021 elections with significant margins over 45%. This trend is aligned with the continued Liberal Party of Canada's dominance of Greater Toronto Area politics and seats.

Electoral history[]

The Mississauga South riding and its precursors, while being more competitive than in provincial elections, still has a generally conservative history, and despite voting Liberal since 1993, could be described as a small "c" conservative riding. The Progressive Conservatives held the riding from creation its first election in 1979 under Don Blenkarn, (who served as MP for Peel South, one of the precursor ridings between 1972–1974), until 1993, when he was defeated by Paul Szabo. With the exception of the 1988 election, Szabo has been the Liberal candidate in all election between 1980 (an election he almost won) and 2011.

The riding voting Liberal in 1993 can in part be blamed by vote-splitting on the right, as Blenkarn was knocked into third place by the Reform Party candidate, although both were far behind Szabo, who only marginally improved on the Liberal performance from 1988, winning 37%, only 2% more than the 1988 Liberal result, and less than the combined vote total for the two right-wing parties. Szabo however greatly increased his percentage of the vote in the elections afterward, winning over 50% in every election from 1997–2004, despite facing a united right-wing vote in 2004.

In the 2006 election Szabo and the Liberals were re-elected again; however, the Liberal vote dropped sharply, with the Conservatives coming within 5% of winning the riding, getting 40% of the vote, one of the best performances for them in the Greater Toronto Area. The riding was generally assumed to be a top Tory target for the next election; however, the drawn out and somewhat acrimonious nature of the Conservative nomination process, and Szabo's increased profile as a result of his chairmanship of the House of Commons Ethics committee may have damaged Conservative attempts to capture the riding. Despite the Conservatives strengthening in the 2008 election overall, Arrison was unable to defeat Szabo, and Mississauga South was one of the few ridings outside Quebec where the Liberal Party increased the percentage of the vote received from 2006 (albeit very slightly).

From 2006 to 2015 the riding was held by the Conservatives, however, starting in 2015 as a part of the overall Liberal dominance of Greater Toronto Area seats and ridings, the riding has gone and stayed Liberal. Incumbent Sven Spengemann successfully defeated Conservative Stella Ambler in 2015 and 2019 and Conservative challenger Michael Ras in the 2021 snap election.

Riding associations[]

Riding associations are the local branches of political parties:

Party		Association name	CEO	HQ address
	Conservative	Mississauga—Lakeshore Conservative Association	Brian J. Schmidt	1801 Lakeshore Road West
	Liberal	Mississauga—Lakeshore Federal Liberal Association
	New Democratic	Mississauga—Lakeshore Federal NDP Riding Association	Eric S. Guerbilsky	44 Park Street East

Members of Parliament[]

This riding has elected the following members of the House of Commons of Canada:

Parliament	Years		Party
Mississauga South Riding created from Mississauga and Mississauga Centre
31st	1979–1980	Don Blenkarn	Progressive Conservative
32nd	1980–1984
33rd	1984–1988
34th	1988–1993
35th	1993–1997	Paul Szabo	Liberal
36th	1997–2000
37th	2000–2004
38th	2004–2006
39th	2006–2008
40th	2008–2011
41st	2011–2015	Stella Ambler	Conservative
Mississauga—Lakeshore
42nd	2015–2019	Sven Spengemann	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021
44th	2021–present

Election results[]

Graph of election results in Mississauga—Lakeshore (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Sven Spengemann	25,284	44.94	-3.14
	Conservative	Michael Ras	21,761	38.68	+1.65
	New Democratic	Sarah Walji	5,488	9.75	+1.44
	People's	Vahid Seyfaie	2,367	4.21	+3.04
	Green	Elizabeth Robertson	1,265	2.25	-2.33
	Rhinoceros	Kayleigh Tahk	94	0.17	-
Total valid votes			56,259
Total rejected ballots			524	0.92
Turnout			56,783	63.82
Eligible voters			88,977
Source: Elections Canada^[3]

v 2019 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Sven Spengemann	29,526	48.08	+0.37	$104,588.59
	Conservative	Stella Ambler	22,740	37.03	-4.19	$110,262.85
	New Democratic	Adam Laughton	5,103	8.31	+0.32	none listed
	Green	Cynthia Trentelman	2,814	4.58	+2.22	$2,524.73
	People's	Eugen Vizitiu	717	1.17	-	none listed
	United	Carlton Darby	99	0.16	-	$0.00
Total valid votes			61,406
Total rejected ballots			407	0.66
Turnout			61,813	68.36
Eligible voters			90,419
	Liberal hold		Swing		+0.37
Source: Elections Canada^[4]^[5]

2015 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Sven Spengemann	28,279	47.71	+10.86	$74,169.40
	Conservative	Stella Ambler	24,435	41.22	-5.68	$221,638.11
	New Democratic	Eric Guerbilsky	4,735	7.99	-4.80	$6,908.86
	Green	Ariana Burgener	1,397	2.36	-0.72	$1,924.23
	Libertarian	Paul Wodworth	316	0.53	-	$1,166.63
	Marxist–Leninist	Dagmar Sullivan	111	0.19	-
Total valid votes/expense limit			59,273	100.00	-	$224,818.71
Total rejected ballots			271	0.46
Turnout			59,544	68.99
Eligible voters			86,308
	Liberal gain from Conservative		Swing		+8.27

2011 federal election redistributed results^[6]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	24,269	46.91
	Liberal	19,068	36.85
	New Democratic	6,616	12.79
	Green	1,592	3.08
	Others	195	0.38

2011 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Stella Ambler	22,991	46.48	+6.90
	Liberal	Paul Szabo	18,393	37.18	-7.04
	New Democratic	Farah Kalbouneh	6,354	12.85	+4.01
	Green	Paul Simas	1,532	3.10	-4.24
	Independent	Richard Barrett	194	0.39	–
Total valid votes			49,464	100.00
Total rejected ballots			188	0.38	+0.05
Turnout			49,652	63.89	+3.81
Eligible voters			77,716	–	–

2008 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Paul Szabo	20,518	44.22	+0.3	$70,011
	Conservative	Hugh Arrison	18,366	39.58	-0.2	$81,878
	New Democratic	Matt Turner	4,104	8.84	-2.5	$1,722
	Green	Richard Laushway	3,407	7.34	+1.8	$9,008
Total valid votes/Expense limit			46,395	100.00	$84,179
Total rejected ballots			155	0.33
Turnout			46,550	60.08

2006 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Paul Szabo	22,975	43.9	-7.8
	Conservative	Phil Green	20,827	39.8	+6.2
	New Democratic	Mark De Pelham	5,898	11.3	+0.8
	Green	Brendan Tarry	2,377	4.5	+0.5
	Canadian Action	Paul McMurray	129	0.2
	Marxist–Leninist	Dagmar Sullivan	74	0.1
Total valid votes			52,280	100.0

2004 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Paul Szabo	24,628	51.7	-0.1
	Conservative	Phil Green	16,027	33.6	-9.0
	New Democratic	Michael James Culkin	5,004	10.5	+6.4
	Green	Neeraj Jain	1,899	4.0	+2.7
	Marxist–Leninist	Dagmar Sullivan	107	0.2	+0.1
Total valid votes			47,665	100.0

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in 2000 election.

2000 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Paul Szabo	20,676	51.8	+1.8
	Alliance	Brad Butt	10,139	25.4	+5.8
	Progressive Conservative	David Brown	6,903	17.3	-6.4
	New Democratic	Ken Cole	1,636	4.1	-1.3
	Green	Pamela Murray	516	1.3
	Marxist–Leninist	Tim Sullivan	67	0.2	0.0
Total valid votes			39,937	100.0

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Paul Szabo	21,207	49.9	+3.4
	Progressive Conservative	Dick Barr	10,077	23.7	+0.4
	Reform	Joe Peschisolido	8,307	19.6	-5.6
	New Democratic	Jessica Lott	2,302	5.4	+3.3
	Natural Law	Scott Kay	199	0.5	0.0
	Canadian Action	Aaron Gervais	150	0.4
	Independent	Adrian Earl Crewson	141	0.3
	Marxist–Leninist	Dagmar Sullivan	79	0.2	+0.1
Total valid votes			42,462	100.0

1993 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal	Paul Szabo	21,480	46.6	+11.9
	Reform	John Veenstra	11,591	25.1
	Progressive Conservative	Don Blenkarn	10,763	23.3	-28.6
	New Democratic	Lili V. Weemen	988	2.1	-9.8
	National	Albina Burello	452	1.0
	Libertarian	Richard Barrett	429	0.9	+0.3
	Natural Law	Jeffrey graduate Dods	234	0.5
	Independent	Michael John Charette	124	0.3
	Marxist–Leninist	Dagmar Sullivan	49	0.1
Total valid votes			46,110	100.0

1988 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Don Blenkarn	24,482	51.9	-4.5
	Liberal	Gil Gillespie	16,362	34.7	+5.8
	New Democratic	Sue Craig	5,643	12.0	-2.7
	Rhinoceros	Marc Currie	332	0.7
	Libertarian	Vay Jonynas	297	0.6
	Commonwealth of Canada	Patrick Descoteaux	59	0.1
Total valid votes			47,175	100.0

1984 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Don Blenkarn	32,946	56.4	+15.0
	Liberal	Paul Szabo	16,874	28.9	-11.6
	New Democratic	Norm Jones	8,584	14.7	-2.1
Total valid votes			58,404	100.0

1980 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Progressive Conservative	Don Blenkarn	21,480	41.4	-7.5
	Liberal	Paul Szabo	21,007	40.5	+6.4
	New Democratic	Neil Davis	8,711	16.8	+0.6
	Libertarian	Ian F. Darwin	405	0.8	+0.4
	Independent	Tom Smith	110	0.2	0.0
	Independent	Michael John Charette	78	0.2
	Marxist–Leninist	Tim Sullivan	31	0.1	-0.1
Total valid votes			51,822	100.0

1979 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Progressive Conservative	Don Blenkarn	26,802	48.9
	Liberal	Peg Holloway	18,710	34.1
	New Democratic	Colin Baynes	8,869	16.2
	Libertarian	Robert Sproule	236	0.4
	Independent	Tom Smith	104	0.2
	Marxist–Leninist	Barbara Nunn	74	0.1
Total valid votes			54,795	100.0

References[]

"(Code 35050) Census Profile". 2011 census. Statistics Canada. 2012. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
federal riding history from the Library of Parliament
2011 Results from Elections Canada
Campaign expense data from Elections Canada

Notes[]

^ Statistics Canada: 2011
^ Statistics Canada: 2011
^ "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 2, 2021.
^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 4, 2019.
^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

External links[]

Coordinates: 43°33′14″N 79°36′36″W / 43.554°N 79.610°W / 43.554; -79.610

[1] Statistics Canada: 2011

[2] Statistics Canada: 2011

[3] "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 2, 2021.

[4] "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.

[5] "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 4, 2019.

[6] Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

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[5]

[6]

v t Historical federal ridings in Ontario
Until 2015	Ajax—Pickering Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale Barrie Bramalea—Gore—Malton Brampton—Springdale Brant Carleton—Mississippi Mills Chatham-Kent—Essex Halton Kitchener—Waterloo Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington Leeds—Grenville Mississauga—Brampton South Mississauga—Erindale Mississauga South Nepean—Carleton Niagara West—Glanbrook Northumberland—Quinte West Oak Ridges—Markham Ottawa—Orléans Peterborough Pickering—Scarborough East Prince Edward—Hastings St. Paul's Scarborough—Rouge River Trinity—Spadina Vaughan Welland Whitby—Oshawa York West
Until 2006	Clarington—Scugog—Uxbridge Grey—Bruce—Owen Sound Middlesex—Kent—Lambton
Until 2004	Algoma—Manitoulin Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Aldershot Barrie—Simcoe—Bradford Bramalea—Gore—Malton—Springdale Brampton Centre Brampton West—Mississauga Bruce—Grey Carleton—Lanark Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey Durham Erie—Lincoln Guelph—Wellington Haldimand—Norfolk—Brant Haliburton—Victoria—Brock Hamilton East Hamilton West Hastings—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington Kenora—Rainy River Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Markham Mississauga Centre Mississauga East Mississauga West Niagara Centre Nipissing Northumberland Oak Ridges Perth—Middlesex Pickering—Ajax—Uxbridge Scarborough East Stoney Creek Stormont—Dundas—Charlotenburgh Thunder Bay—Atikokan Timiskaming—Cochrane Toronto Centre—Rosedale Vaughan—King—Aurora Waterloo—Wellington Whitby—Ajax Windsor—St. Clair York North
Until 2000	Bramalea—Gore—Malton Broadview—Greenwood Carleton—Gloucester Kent—Essex London—Adelaide Stormont—Dundas Victoria—Haliburton Wentworth—Burlington
Until 1997	Algoma Beaches—Woodbine Brampton Cochrane—Superior Don Valley North Elgin—Norfolk Erie Essex—Kent Essex—Windsor Haldimand—Norfolk Halton—Peel Hamilton—Wentworth Kent Kitchener Lambton—Middlesex Lincoln London East London—Middlesex Markham—Whitchurch-Stouffville Nepean Oakville—Milton Ontario Ottawa West Perth—Wellington—Waterloo Rosedale Scarborough West Simcoe Centre Thunder Bay—Nipigon Timiskaming—French River Timmins—Chapleau Waterloo Welland—St. Catharines—Thorold Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Simcoe York—Simcoe
Until 1993	Brampton—Malton Elgin Markham Renfrew Timiskaming Windsor—Lake St. Clair
Until 1988	Beaches Brampton—Georgetown Durham—Northumberland Grey—Simcoe Guelph Halton Lanark—Renfrew—Carleton Mississauga North Nepean—Carleton Ottawa—Carleton Perth Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Simcoe South Spadina Trinity Welland Wellington—Dufferin—Simcoe Windsor—Walkerville York East York—Peel York—Scarborough
Until 1984	Cochrane Hastings—Frontenac Sarnia
Until 1979	Broadview Bruce Don Valley Eglinton Etobicoke Fort William Frontenac—Lennox and Addington Greenwood Grenville—Carleton Halton—Wentworth Hastings High Park—Humber Valley Huron—Middlesex Kent—Essex Lambton—Kent Leeds Middlesex—London—Lambton Mississauga Norfolk—Haldimand Northumberland—Durham Oshawa—Whitby Parkdale Peel—Dufferin—Simcoe Perth—Wilmot Port Arthur Renfrew North—Nipissing East Sarnia—Lambton Thunder Bay Timmins Toronto—Lakeshore Waterloo—Cambridge Wellington Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Waterloo York—Simcoe York South
Until 1974	Huron Middlesex Ottawa East Peel South Waterloo
Until 1972	Essex Glengarry—Prescott High Park Lakeshore Lanark and Renfrew Perth Renfrew North Sarnia Wellington—Grey
Until 1968	Algoma East Algoma West Brant—Haldimand Brantford Carleton Danforth Dufferin—Simcoe Durham Essex East Essex South Essex West Grenville—Dundas Grey—Bruce Grey North Hamilton South Hastings—Frontenac Hastings South Kent Kingston Lambton West Lanark London Middlesex East Middlesex West Norfolk Northumberland Peel Prince Edward—Lennox Renfrew South Russell Simcoe East Stormont Victoria Waterloo North Waterloo South Wellington—Huron Wellington South Wentworth York—Humber
Until 1953	Brant—Wentworth Frontenac—Addington Glengarry Haldimand Hastings—Peterborough Huron North Huron—Perth Kingston City Peterborough West Prescott Wellington North
Until 1949	Brant Brantford City Muskoka—Ontario Parry Sound
Until 1935	Bruce North Bruce South Elgin West Grey Southeast Huron South Lambton East Norfolk—Elgin City of Ottawa Oxford North Oxford South Perth North Perth South Port Arthur—Thunder Bay Timiskaming North Timiskaming South Toronto East Toronto East Centre Toronto—High Park Toronto Northeast Toronto Northwest Toronto—Scarborough Toronto South Toronto West Centre
Until 1925	Brantford Dufferin Dundas Elgin East Essex North Fort William and Rainy River Frontenac Glengarry and Stormont Grenville Hastings East Hastings West Kingston Lennox and Addington Muskoka Norfolk North Oxford Ontario North Ontario South Peterborough East Port Arthur and Kenora Prince Edward Simcoe South South Oxford Timiskaming Toronto Centre Toronto North Toronto West York East
Until 1917	Brockville Glengarry Grey East Grey South Huron East Huron West Kent East Kent West Lanark North Lanark South Middlesex North Northumberland East Northumberland West Stormont Thunder Bay and Rainy River York Centre
Until 1904	Addington Algoma Bothwell Brant South Bruce East Bruce West Cardwell Centre Toronto Cornwall and Stormont Durham East Durham West East York Grenville South Haldimand and Monck Hamilton Hastings North Kent Leeds North and Grenville North Leeds South Lennox Lincoln and Niagara Middlesex South Muskoka and Parry Sound Norfolk North Norfolk South Ontario West Victoria North Victoria South Wellington Centre Wentworth North and Brant Wentworth South West Toronto York West
Until 1896	Brant North Haldimand Monck Wentworth North
Until 1882	Bruce South Cornwall Essex Huron Centre Huron North Lambton Lincoln Muskoka Niagara Stormont