Northumberland—Peterborough South

Northumberland—Peterborough South
Ontario electoral district
	Northumberland-Peterborough South in relation to other electoral districts in Southern Ontario
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Philip Lawrence; Conservative
;
District created	2013
First contested	2015
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)	107,840
Electors (2015)	88,276
Area (km²)	3,001
Pop. density (per km²)	35.9
Census division(s)	Durham, Northumberland, Peterborough County
Census subdivision(s)	Alnwick/Haldimand, Brighton, Clarington, Cobourg, Cramahe, Hamilton Township, Otonabee–South Monaghan, Peterborough, Port Hope, Trent Hills

Northumberland—Peterborough South (French: Northumberland—Peterborough-Sud) is a federal electoral district in Ontario.^[2]

Northumberland—Peterborough South was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for 19 October 2015. 77% of the riding was formed from Northumberland—Quinte West, 13% from Durham and 10% from Peterborough.

The riding was originally intended to be named Northumberland—Pine Ridge.^[3]

Geography[]

The riding is located in Central Ontario along Lake Ontario. It contains the entirety of Northumberland County, southern Peterborough and the eastern half of the municipality of Clarington.

Demographics[]

According to the Canada 2011 Census; 2013 representation^[4]^[5]

Ethnic groups: 95.0% White, 2.5% Aboriginal
Languages: 94.0% English, 1.6% French
Religions: 71.3% Christian (20.1% United Church, 19.4% Catholic, 12.8% Anglican, 4.0% Presbyterian, 2.8% Baptist, 1.6% Pentecostal, 1.2% Lutheran, 9.5% Other), 27.6% No religion
Median income (2010): $30,350
Average income (2010): $38,693

Members of Parliament[]

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Northumberland—Peterborough South Riding created from Durham, Northumberland—Quinte West and Peterborough
42nd	2015–2019	Kim Rudd	Liberal
43rd	2019–2021	Philip Lawrence	Conservative
44th	2021–present	Philip Lawrence	Conservative

Election results[]

Graph of election results in Northumberland—Peterborough South (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Philip Lawrence	31,015	44.5	+4.8
	Liberal	Alison Lester	23,336	33.5	-2.7
	New Democratic	Kim McArthur-Jackson	9,809	14.1	+0.2
	People's	Nathan Lang	3,813	5.5	+3.4
	Green	Christina Wilson	1,764	2.5	-5.5
Total valid votes			69,737
Total rejected ballots			459
Turnout			70,196	69.98
Eligible voters			100,308
Source: Elections Canada^[6]

v 2019 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Philip Lawrence	27,385	39.7	+0.14	$68,864.16
	Liberal	Kim Rudd	24,977	36.2	-6.31	$83,715.67
	New Democratic	Mallory MacDonald	9,615	13.9	-0.9	$8,871.55
	Green	Jeff Wheeldon	5,524	8.0	+4.87	none listed
	People's	Frank Vaughan	1,460	2.1	–	$1,643.34
Total valid votes/expense limit			68,961	100.0
Total rejected ballots			484
Turnout			69,445	71.7
Eligible voters			96,841
	Conservative gain from Liberal		Swing		+3.23
Source: Elections Canada^[7]^[8]

2015 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Kim Rudd	27,043	42.51	+21.42	$114,323.76
	Conservative	Adam Moulton	25,165	39.56	-13.80	$135,349.14
	New Democratic	Russ Christianson	9,411	14.80	-5.79	$41,225.56
	Green	Patricia Sinnott	1,990	3.13	-1.55	$1,350.03
Total valid votes/Expense limit			63,609	100.00		$229,426.74
Total rejected ballots			267	0.42	–
Turnout			63,876	71.67	–
Eligible voters			89,128
	Liberal gain from Conservative		Swing		+17.61
Source: Elections Canada^[9]^[10]^[11]

2011 federal election redistributed results^[12]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	29,377	53.37
	Liberal	11,611	21.09
	New Democratic	11,331	20.58
	Green	2,576	4.68
	Others	154	0.28

References[]

^ ^a ^b Statistics Canada: 2012
^ Final Report – Ontario
^ "Government Bill (House of Commons) C-37 (41-2) - Third Reading - Riding Name Change Act, 2014 - Parliament of Canada".
^ "2011 National Household Survey Profile - Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)". May 8, 2013.
^ "2011 National Household Survey Profile - Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)". May 8, 2013.
^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2021.
^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 30, 2019.
^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Northumberland—Peterborough South, 30 September 2015
^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
^ Elections Canada - Preliminary Results 2015-10-20
^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

Coordinates: 44°10′N 78°07′W / 44.16°N 78.11°W / 44.16; -78.11

[ReferenceA-1] Statistics Canada: 2012

[report-2] Final Report – Ontario

[3] "Government Bill (House of Commons) C-37 (41-2) - Third Reading - Riding Name Change Act, 2014 - Parliament of Canada".

[4] "2011 National Household Survey Profile - Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)". May 8, 2013.

[5] "2011 National Household Survey Profile - Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)". May 8, 2013.

[6] "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2021.

[7] "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.

[8] "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 30, 2019.

[9] Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Northumberland—Peterborough South, 30 September 2015

[10] Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates

[11] Elections Canada - Preliminary Results 2015-10-20

[12] Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

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v t Federal ridings in Central Ontario
Conservative	Barrie—Innisfil Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound Dufferin—Caledon Durham Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock Northumberland—Peterborough South Peterborough—Kawartha Simcoe—Grey Simcoe North York—Simcoe
Liberal	Newmarket—Aurora

v t Historical federal ridings in Ontario
Until 2015	Ajax—Pickering Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale Barrie Bramalea—Gore—Malton Brampton—Springdale Brant Carleton—Mississippi Mills Chatham-Kent—Essex Halton Kitchener—Waterloo Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington Leeds—Grenville Mississauga—Brampton South Mississauga—Erindale Mississauga South Nepean—Carleton Niagara West—Glanbrook Northumberland—Quinte West Oak Ridges—Markham Ottawa—Orléans Peterborough Pickering—Scarborough East Prince Edward—Hastings St. Paul's Scarborough—Rouge River Trinity—Spadina Vaughan Welland Whitby—Oshawa York West
Until 2006	Clarington—Scugog—Uxbridge Grey—Bruce—Owen Sound Middlesex—Kent—Lambton
Until 2004	Algoma—Manitoulin Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Aldershot Barrie—Simcoe—Bradford Bramalea—Gore—Malton—Springdale Brampton Centre Brampton West—Mississauga Bruce—Grey Carleton—Lanark Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey Durham Erie—Lincoln Guelph—Wellington Haldimand—Norfolk—Brant Haliburton—Victoria—Brock Hamilton East Hamilton West Hastings—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington Kenora—Rainy River Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Markham Mississauga Centre Mississauga East Mississauga West Niagara Centre Nipissing Northumberland Oak Ridges Perth—Middlesex Pickering—Ajax—Uxbridge Scarborough East Stoney Creek Stormont—Dundas—Charlotenburgh Thunder Bay—Atikokan Timiskaming—Cochrane Toronto Centre—Rosedale Vaughan—King—Aurora Waterloo—Wellington Whitby—Ajax Windsor—St. Clair York North
Until 2000	Bramalea—Gore—Malton Broadview—Greenwood Carleton—Gloucester Kent—Essex London—Adelaide Stormont—Dundas Victoria—Haliburton Wentworth—Burlington
Until 1997	Algoma Beaches—Woodbine Brampton Cochrane—Superior Don Valley North Elgin—Norfolk Erie Essex—Kent Essex—Windsor Haldimand—Norfolk Halton—Peel Hamilton—Wentworth Kent Kitchener Lambton—Middlesex Lincoln London East London—Middlesex Markham—Whitchurch-Stouffville Nepean Oakville—Milton Ontario Ottawa West Perth—Wellington—Waterloo Rosedale Scarborough West Simcoe Centre Thunder Bay—Nipigon Timiskaming—French River Timmins—Chapleau Waterloo Welland—St. Catharines—Thorold Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Simcoe York—Simcoe
Until 1993	Brampton—Malton Elgin Markham Renfrew Timiskaming Windsor—Lake St. Clair
Until 1988	Beaches Brampton—Georgetown Durham—Northumberland Grey—Simcoe Guelph Halton Lanark—Renfrew—Carleton Mississauga North Nepean—Carleton Ottawa—Carleton Perth Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Simcoe South Spadina Trinity Welland Wellington—Dufferin—Simcoe Windsor—Walkerville York East York—Peel York—Scarborough
Until 1984	Cochrane Hastings—Frontenac Sarnia
Until 1979	Broadview Bruce Don Valley Eglinton Etobicoke Fort William Frontenac—Lennox and Addington Greenwood Grenville—Carleton Halton—Wentworth Hastings High Park—Humber Valley Huron—Middlesex Kent—Essex Lambton—Kent Leeds Middlesex—London—Lambton Mississauga Norfolk—Haldimand Northumberland—Durham Oshawa—Whitby Parkdale Peel—Dufferin—Simcoe Perth—Wilmot Port Arthur Renfrew North—Nipissing East Sarnia—Lambton Thunder Bay Timmins Toronto—Lakeshore Waterloo—Cambridge Wellington Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Waterloo York—Simcoe York South
Until 1974	Huron Middlesex Ottawa East Peel South Waterloo
Until 1972	Essex Glengarry—Prescott High Park Lakeshore Lanark and Renfrew Perth Renfrew North Sarnia Wellington—Grey
Until 1968	Algoma East Algoma West Brant—Haldimand Brantford Carleton Danforth Dufferin—Simcoe Durham Essex East Essex South Essex West Grenville—Dundas Grey—Bruce Grey North Hamilton South Hastings—Frontenac Hastings South Kent Kingston Lambton West Lanark London Middlesex East Middlesex West Norfolk Northumberland Peel Prince Edward—Lennox Renfrew South Russell Simcoe East Stormont Victoria Waterloo North Waterloo South Wellington—Huron Wellington South Wentworth York—Humber
Until 1953	Brant—Wentworth Frontenac—Addington Glengarry Haldimand Hastings—Peterborough Huron North Huron—Perth Kingston City Peterborough West Prescott Wellington North
Until 1949	Brant Brantford City Muskoka—Ontario Parry Sound
Until 1935	Bruce North Bruce South Elgin West Grey Southeast Huron South Lambton East Norfolk—Elgin City of Ottawa Oxford North Oxford South Perth North Perth South Port Arthur—Thunder Bay Timiskaming North Timiskaming South Toronto East Toronto East Centre Toronto—High Park Toronto Northeast Toronto Northwest Toronto—Scarborough Toronto South Toronto West Centre
Until 1925	Brantford Dufferin Dundas Elgin East Essex North Fort William and Rainy River Frontenac Glengarry and Stormont Grenville Hastings East Hastings West Kingston Lennox and Addington Muskoka Norfolk North Oxford Ontario North Ontario South Peterborough East Port Arthur and Kenora Prince Edward Simcoe South South Oxford Timiskaming Toronto Centre Toronto North Toronto West York East
Until 1917	Brockville Glengarry Grey East Grey South Huron East Huron West Kent East Kent West Lanark North Lanark South Middlesex North Northumberland East Northumberland West Stormont Thunder Bay and Rainy River York Centre
Until 1904	Addington Algoma Bothwell Brant South Bruce East Bruce West Cardwell Centre Toronto Cornwall and Stormont Durham East Durham West East York Grenville South Haldimand and Monck Hamilton Hastings North Kent Leeds North and Grenville North Leeds South Lennox Lincoln and Niagara Middlesex South Muskoka and Parry Sound Norfolk North Norfolk South Ontario West Victoria North Victoria South Wellington Centre Wentworth North and Brant Wentworth South West Toronto York West
Until 1896	Brant North Haldimand Monck Wentworth North
Until 1882	Bruce South Cornwall Essex Huron Centre Huron North Lambton Lincoln Muskoka Niagara Stormont