2016 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
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The 2016 New Hampshire gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The primaries were held on September 13.
Incumbent Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan was eligible to run for re-election to a third term in office, but she instead successfully ran for the U.S. Senate against incumbent Kelly Ayotte.[1][2][3][4] In the general election, Republican nominee Chris Sununu defeated Democrat Colin Van Ostern and Libertarian state representative Max Abramson to become the first Republican governor of New Hampshire elected since 2002. With a margin of 2.27%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 gubernatorial election cycle, behind only the election in North Carolina.
Background[]
Governor Maggie Hassan, the incumbent from the Democratic Party, declined to run for reelection, choosing to seek a U.S. Senate seat instead. Both major parties had multiple declared candidates, leading to primary elections that were held September 13, 2016.
New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years.
Democratic primary[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Mark Connolly, former New Hampshire Deputy Secretary of State[5]
- Derek Dextraze
- Ian Freeman, radio host
- Steve Marchand, former mayor of Portsmouth[6]
- Colin Van Ostern, Executive Councilor[7]
Declined[]
- Jackie Cilley, state representative, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2012[8]
- Dan Feltes, state senator[8]
- Maggie Hassan, incumbent governor (running for U.S. Senate)[4]
- Andrew Hosmer, state senator[9][10]
- Ann McLane Kuster, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[11]
- Shawn O'Connor, businessman (running for NH-01)[8][12][13]
- Chris Pappas, Executive Councilor[8]
- Stefany Shaheen, Portsmouth City Councilor and daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen[8]
- Carol Shea-Porter, former U.S. Representative (running for NH-01)[14][15]
- Donna Soucy, state senator[11]
- Mike Vlacich, campaign manager for Senator Shaheen[8]
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mark Connolly |
Derek Dextraze |
Ian Freeman |
Steve Marchand |
Colin Van Ostern |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
InsideSources/NH Journal | July 19–21, 2016 | 444 | ± 5.1% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | — | 71% |
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University | May 25–28, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 5% | — | — | 2% | 12% | 6% | 74% |
Public Policy Polling | November 30–December 2, 2015 | 458 | ± 4.6% | 15% | — | — | — | 21% | — | 64% |
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Colin Van Ostern | 37,696 | 51.99 | |
Democratic | Steve Marchand | 18,338 | 25.29 | |
Democratic | Mark Connolly | 14,840 | 20.47 | |
Democratic | Ian Freeman | 1,069 | 1.47 | |
Democratic | Derek Dextraze | 557 | 0.77 | |
Total votes | 72,500 | 100.00 |
Republican primary[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Frank Edelblut, state representative[17]
- Jeanie Forrester, state senator[18][19]
- Ted Gatsas, Mayor of Manchester[20]
- John Lavoie
- Chris Sununu, Executive Councilor, son of former governor John H. Sununu and brother of former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu[21]
Declined[]
- Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the State Senate and former U.S. Representative[22]
- Walt Havenstein, businessman and nominee for governor in 2014[23]
- Donnalee Lozeau, Mayor of Nashua[24]
- Chuck Morse, president of the State Senate[22]
- Andy Sanborn, state senator[22]
Endorsements[]
- 603 Alliance[25]
- New Hampshire Liberty Alliance[26]
- Fifty-seven current members of the New Hampshire House of Representatives: Chris Adams, Glen Aldrich, Keith Ammon, John Balcom, Steven Beaudoin, Rick Christie, James Coffey, Allen Cook, Susan Delemus, Dan Donovan, Eric Eastman, Tracy Emerick, Elizabeth Ferreira, Valerie Fraser, Harold French, Bart Fromuth, Dick Gordon, Linda Gould, Warren Groen, Joe Hannon, J.R. Hoell, Edith Hogan, Werner Horn, Ray Howard, Paul Ingbretson, Dan Itse, Tom Kaczynski, Joe Lachance, Don Lebrun, Don McClarren, Jim McConnell, Mark McLean, Carol McGuire, Dan McGuire, Josh Moore, Bill Ohm, Jeff Oligny, Jason Parent, Joe Pitre, Katherine Prudhomme-O'Brien, Kimberly Rice, Eric Schleien, Carl Seidel, Tammy Simmons, Kathleen Souza, Greg Smith, James Spillane, Victoria Sullivan, Mike Sylvia, Dan Tamburello, Len Turcotte, Jordan Ulery, Peter Varney, Michael Vose, Joshua Whitehouse, Ted Wright, Kurt Wuelper[27]
- The Conway Daily Sun[28]
- Individuals
- Charles Bass, former U.S. Representative[34]
- Scott Brown, former United States Senator from Massachusetts[35]
- Bill Cahill, former Executive Councilor[36]
- Louis Georgopoulos, former Executive Councilor[36]
- Judd Gregg, former Governor of New Hampshire[37]
- Ruth Griffin, former Executive Councilor[36]
- John Kasich, Governor of Ohio and 2016 presidential candidate[38]
- Joseph Kenney, Executive Councilor[36]
- Steve Merrill, former Governor of New Hampshire[37]
- Chuck Morse, President of the New Hampshire Senate[39]
- Earl Rinker, former Executive Councilor[36]
- Dan St. Hilaire, former Executive Councilor[36]
- Raymond Wieczorek, former Executive Councilor[36]
- Newspapers
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Frank Edelblut |
Jeannie Forrester |
Ted Gatsas |
Jon Lavoie |
Chris Sununu |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NH Journal[citation needed] | July 19–21, 2016 | 619 | ± 5.1% | 4% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 27% | — | 41% |
Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University | May 25–28, 2016 | 405 | ± 4.9% | 0% | 7% | 10% | — | 44% | 3% | 36% |
Public Policy Polling | November 30–December 2, 2015 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 12% | — | — | — | 60% | — | 28% |
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chris Sununu | 34,137 | 30.68 | |
Republican | Frank Edelblut | 33,149 | 29.79 | |
Republican | Ted Gatsas | 22,840 | 20.53 | |
Republican | Jeanie Forrester | 19,716 | 17.72 | |
Republican | John Lavoie | 1,429 | 1.28 | |
Total votes | 111,271 | 100.00 |
Libertarian Party[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Max Abramson, state representative[42]
Independents[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
General election[]
Debates[]
- Complete video of debate, October 26, 2016 - C-SPAN
Predictions[]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[46] | Tossup | August 12, 2016 |
Daily Kos[47] | Tossup | November 8, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report[48] | Tossup | November 3, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] | Lean D | November 7, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics[50] | Tossup | November 1, 2016 |
Governing[51] | Tossup | October 27, 2016 |
Polling[]
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Colin Van Ostern (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other/Undecided [a] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 28 – November 6, 2016 | November 6, 2016 | 43.2% | 44.4% | 12.4% | Sununu +1.2% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Colin Van Ostern (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 696 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 42% | — | 3% |
WMUR/UNH | November 3–6, 2016 | 707 | ± 3.7% | 48% | 37% | 2% | 13% |
SurveyMonkey | Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 | 672 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | — | 3% |
WMUR/UNH | November 2–5, 2016 | 645 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 38% | 3% | 12% |
WMUR/UNH | November 1–4, 2016 | 588 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 37% | 2% | 14% |
WMUR/UNH | Oct 31–Nov 3, 2016 | 515 | ± 3.7% | 47% | 37% | 2% | 14% |
SurveyMonkey | Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 | 672 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 42% | — | 4% |
Suffolk University | Oct 31–Nov 2, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 37% | 41% | 6% | 15% |
American Research Group | Oct 31–Nov 2, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 2% | 6% |
WMUR/UNH | Oct 30–Nov 2, 2016 | 466 | ± 3.7% | 46% | 38% | 2% | 14% |
WBUR/MassINC | Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016 | 500 LV | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 5% |
43% | 45% | <1% | 10% | ||||
UMass Lowell/7News | Oct 28–Nov 2, 2016 | 695 LV | ± 4.3% | 43% | 47% | 5% | 4% |
901 RV | ± 3.8% | 41% | 45% | 5% | 8% | ||
SurveyMonkey | Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 | 658 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 42% | — | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | Oct 31–Nov 1, 2016 | 781 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 44% | — | 9% |
WMUR/UNH | Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016 | 468 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 40% | 3% | 14% |
WBUR/MassINC | Oct 29–Nov 1, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | 1% | 5% |
43% | 45% | — | 10% | ||||
SurveyMonkey | Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 | 635 | ± 4.6% | 53% | 43% | — | 4% |
WMUR/UNH | October 28–31, 2016 | 513 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 40% | 2% | 14% |
SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 659 | ± 4.6% | 53% | 43% | — | 4% |
WMUR/UNH | October 27–30, 2016 | 463 | ± 3.7% | 43% | 40% | 2% | 14% |
WMUR/UNH | October 26–30, 2016 | 641 | ± 3.9% | 43% | 40% | 2% | 14% |
WMUR/UNH | October 26–29, 2016 | 516 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 41% | 5% | 12% |
NH Journal | October 26–28, 2016 | 408 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 45% | 2% | 11% |
Monmouth University | October 22–25, 2016 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | 4% | 5% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 20–24, 2016 | 768 LV | ± 3.5% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 4% |
1,020 RV | ± 3.1% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 5% | ||
UMass Amherst/WBZ | October 17–21, 2016 | 772 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 6% | 7% |
42% | 39% | 5% | 14% | ||||
WMUR/UNH | October 11–17, 2016 | 770 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 38% | 4% | 15% |
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey | October 8–16, 2016 | 569 | ± 0.5% | 53% | 43% | — | 4% |
WBUR/MassINC | October 10–12, 2016 | 501 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 8% |
41% | 41% | 2% | 15% | ||||
7News/UMass Lowell | October 7–11, 2016 | 517 | ± 4.9% | 39% | 41% | 6% | 13% |
Suffolk University | October 3–5, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 36% | 40% | 2% | 20% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Save the Children Action Network | Sept 29–Oct 4, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 44% | 44% | 6% | 6% |
WBUR/MassINC | September 27–29, 2016 | 502 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 47% | 2% | 7% |
41% | 44% | 2% | 11% | ||||
American Research Group | September 20–25, 2016 | 522 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 45% | 1% | 10% |
Monmouth University | September 17–20, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 49% | 1% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling | January 4–6, 2016 | 1,036 | ± 3.0% | 35% | 39% | — | 26% |
Public Policy Polling | November 30–December 2, 2015 | 990 | ± 3.1% | 34% | 40% | — | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | October 16–18, 2015 | 880 | ± 3.3% | 34% | 41% | — | 25% |
Public Policy Polling | August 21–24, 2015 | 841 | ± 3.4% | 32% | 39% | — | 29% |
WMUR/UNH | July 7–20, 2015 | 472 | ± 4.5% | 26% | 36% | — | 37% |
Public Policy Polling | April 9–13, 2015 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 34% | 37% | — | 29% |
show
Hypothetical polling |
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Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chris Sununu | 354,040 | 48.84% | +1.41% | |
Democratic | Colin Van Ostern | 337,589 | 46.57% | -5.81% | |
Libertarian | Max Abramson | 31,243 | 4.31% | N/A | |
Write-in | 1,991 | 0.28% | +0.09% | ||
Total votes | 724,863 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Results by county[]
County | Sununu# | Sununu% | Van Ostern# | Van Ostern% | Abramson# | Abramson% | Scatter# | Scatter% | Total votes | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belknap | 18,798 | 54.70% | 14,069 | 40.94% | 1,403 | 4.08% | 94 | 0.00% | 34,364 | 13.76% |
Carroll | 15,192 | 52.38% | 12,503 | 43.29% | 1,126 | 3.90% | 58 | 0.00% | 28,879 | 9.09% |
Cheshire | 17,107 | 42.25% | 21,471 | 53.02% | 1,802 | 4.45% | 114 | 0.00% | 40,494 | -10.77% |
Coos | 7,424 | 48.90% | 7,006 | 46.14% | 702 | 4.62% | 51 | 0.00% | 15,183 | 2.76% |
Grafton | 19,685 | 39.65% | 27,621 | 55.64% | 2,215 | 4.46% | 122 | 0.00% | 49,643 | -15.99% |
Hillsborough | 103,811 | 49.70% | 95,231 | 45.59% | 9,128 | 4.37% | 698 | 0.00% | 208,868 | 4.11% |
Merrimack | 37,295 | 45.51% | 41,195 | 50.26% | 3,245 | 3.96% | 222 | 0.00% | 81,957 | -4.75% |
Rockingham | 94,385 | 53.52% | 74,076 | 42.00% | 7,499 | 4.25% | 411 | 0.00% | 176,371 | 11.52% |
Strafford | 29,578 | 44.12% | 34,173 | 50.97% | 3,128 | 4.67% | 164 | 0.00% | 67,043 | -6.85% |
Sullivan | 10,765 | 48.80% | 10,244 | 46.43% | 995 | 4.51% | 57 | 0.00% | 22,061 | 2.37% |
Notes[]
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
References[]
- ^ Abby Livingston (October 30, 2013). "For N.H. Republicans, Pain Is Probably Temporary". Roll Call. Retrieved October 30, 2013.
- ^ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o_VSGBW8ADk Pundit prediction: Hassan knocks off Ayotte in 2016
- ^ Andrea Drusch (February 19, 2015). "Why the Country's Most Powerless Governor Might Run for Senate". National Journal. Archived from the original on April 19, 2015. Retrieved April 18, 2015.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Cahn, Emily (October 5, 2015). "Maggie Hassan Will Run for Senate in New Hampshire (Video)". Roll Call. Retrieved October 5, 2015.
- ^ "Mark Connolly planning to run for governor". Union LeaderWMUR. October 19, 2015. Retrieved October 19, 2015.
- ^ DiStaso, John (March 31, 2016). "WMUR interview: Former Portsmouth Mayor Marchand running for governor". WMUR. Retrieved March 31, 2016.
- ^ Josh McElveen (October 8, 2015). "Democrat Colin Van Ostern running for governor". WMUR. Retrieved October 8, 2015.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f John DiStaso (November 14, 2014). "Analysis: NH Democrats already have deep bench for top races in 2016". New Hampshire Journal. Retrieved November 14, 2014.
- ^ "Hosmer for Governor?". The Laconia Daily Sun. August 24, 2015. Retrieved October 6, 2015.
- ^ Adam Sexton (October 6, 2015). "Governor's race wide open after Hassan announcement". WMUR. Retrieved October 6, 2015.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
- ^ James Pindell (November 25, 2014). "Bedford Democrat quietly preparing to run for U.S. Senate against Ayotte". WMUR. Retrieved December 1, 2014.
- ^ DiStaso, John (February 10, 2015). "Democratic political newcomer O'Connor files candidacy for 1st District U.S. House seat". NH Journal. Retrieved April 9, 2015.
- ^ Paul Steinhauser (December 11, 2014). "Paul Steinhauser: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter talks 2016, achievements in Congress". NH1. Archived from the original on December 15, 2014. Retrieved December 12, 2014.
- ^ DiStaso, John. "Shea-Porter announces she's running for US House again in 2016". WMUR.com. Manchester Hearst Properties Inc. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primaries Results". Politico. Retrieved September 14, 2016.
- ^ "Timeline Photos - Rep Frank Edelblut | Facebook". www.facebook.com. Retrieved 2015-08-12.
- ^ John DiStaso (September 8, 2015). "Republican Forrester says she is considering run for governor". WMUR9. Retrieved October 5, 2015.
- ^ DiStaso, John (March 31, 2016). "Forrester focuses on modest upbringing, conservative values in announcing run for governor". WMUR. Retrieved March 31, 2016.
- ^ DiStaso, John (March 17, 2016). "Updated: WMUR first: Manchester Mayor Gatsas running for governor". WMUR. Retrieved March 17, 2016.
- ^ "Chris Sununu announces run for NH Governor". NH1.com. January 14, 2015. Archived from the original on September 19, 2015. Retrieved September 7, 2015.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c James Pindell (November 30, 2014). "Will O'Brien decide who runs for governor in 2016?". Seacoast online. Retrieved April 18, 2015.
- ^ John DiStaso (April 28, 2015). "Havenstein says he won't run for governor in 2016". WMUR-TV. Retrieved April 28, 2015.
- ^ Adam Sexton (January 14, 2015). "Lozeau says she's not running for Nashua mayor again". WMUR9. Retrieved January 16, 2015.
- ^ "603 Alliance Endorsements". The 603 Alliance. 7 July 2016. Retrieved 21 July 2016.
- ^ "New Hampshire Liberty Alliance 2016 State Candidate Endorsements". New Hampshire Liberty Alliance. 11 July 2016. Archived from the original on 14 August 2016. Retrieved 21 July 2016.
- ^ "Long List of NH House Members Endorsing Frank Edelblut for Governor". Frank Edelblut for Governor of New Hampshire 2016. 2 August 2016. Archived from the original on 12 October 2016. Retrieved 13 August 2016.
- ^ "SUMMER'S OVER, NOW VOTE". The Conway Daily Sun. September 8, 2016.
- ^ "An Editorial - Joseph W. McQuaid, Publisher: Jeanie Forrester for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. August 31, 2016.
- ^ "Susan B. Anthony List Endorses Jeanie Forrester for NH Governor". Susan B. Anthony List. September 9, 2016.
- ^ "SENATE MAJORITY LEADER JEB BRADLEY ENDORSES GATSAS AHEAD OF REPUBLICAN GUBERNATORIAL PRIMARY". Gatsas for Governor. September 7, 2016.
- ^ "Gatsas tops GOP gubernatorial candidates". The Keene Sentinel. September 9, 2016.
- ^ "GOP: Ted Gatsas". Nashua Telegraph. September 4, 2016.
- ^ "Charlie Bass Endorses Chris Sununu for Governor". Manchester Sun Times. February 4, 2016. Archived from the original on February 6, 2016. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
- ^ "Updated NH Primary Source: Ayotte outraises Hassan by $6K, returns $2K to disgraced ex-congressman". wmur.com. April 19, 2016.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g "Sununu endorsed by fellow executive councilors". Union Leader. November 23, 2015.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Former NH governors Gregg, Merrill endorse Christopher Sununu in gubernatorial contest". Keene Sentinel. November 19, 2015.
- ^ "FIRST on NH1 News: Kasich returns to NH Aug 28; will back Sununu in race for governor". nh1.com. August 16, 2016. Archived from the original on August 17, 2016. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
- ^ "Senate President Chuck Morse endorses Chris Sununu for Governor". June 8, 2016. Archived from the original on August 11, 2016. Retrieved June 17, 2016.
- ^ "Editorial: For Republicans, Chris Sununu". Concord Monitor. September 4, 2016.
- ^ "Sununu deserves to be GOP standard-bearer". The Portsmouth Herald. September 11, 2016.
- ^ Sullivan, Max (13 June 2016). "Seabrook Rep. Max Abramson running for governor". Seacoastonline.com. Retrieved 14 August 2016.
- ^ "Forrester to become fourth Republican candidate for governor". WMUR. 22 March 2016. Retrieved 14 August 2016.
- ^ Schinella, Tony (18 May 2016). "Jarvis Launches Indie Bid for Governor of NH". Concord Patch. Retrieved 14 August 2016.
- ^ "Jilletta Jarvis for NH Governor 2016". Jilletta Jarvis for NH Governor 2016. Retrieved 14 August 2016.
- ^ "2016 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- ^ "2016 Governors Races Ratings & News". Governing Magazine. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
- ^ "2016 General Election Information and Results". Secretary of State, New Hampshire. Retrieved November 27, 2016.
External links[]
- 2016 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2016 New Hampshire elections
- New Hampshire gubernatorial elections