2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania

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2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania
← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →
  Pat Toomey, Official Portrait, 112th Congress.jpg Kathleen McGinty (2015).jpg
Nominee Pat Toomey Katie McGinty
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,951,702 2,865,012
Percentage 48.8% 47.3%
2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania results map by county.svg
County results

Toomey:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

McGinty:      40–50%      50–60%      80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Pat Toomey
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Pat Toomey
Republican

Elections in Pennsylvania
Federal government
State government
Elections by year
Philadelphia
Pittsburgh
Lancaster
Allentown
Harrisburg
Category Government
  • v
  • t

The 2016 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in numerous other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on April 26. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Pat Toomey was reelected to a second term in a close race, defeating Democratic nominee Katie McGinty and Libertarian Party nominee Edward Clifford.[1][2] With a margin of 1.43%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2016 Senate election cycle, behind only the election in New Hampshire.

Background[]

Five-term Senator Arlen Specter, a longtime moderate Republican, switched to the Democratic Party in April 2009, and ran for reelection in 2010 as a Democrat. He was defeated in the Democratic primary by U.S. Representative and former U.S. Navy three-star admiral Joe Sestak. After a close race, Sestak lost the general election to former U.S. Representative Pat Toomey by 51% to 49%, a margin of 80,229 votes out of almost 4 million cast. Toomey had previously run for the seat in 2004, narrowly losing to Specter in the Republican Primary. Specter later died in 2012.

After the Republicans took control of the Senate following the 2014 Senate elections, the election in Pennsylvania was seen by many as a top target for the Democrats, who hoped to regain their majority.[3][4][5] Katie McGinty, who won the Democratic primary, was one of 160 candidates endorsed by Barack Obama. McGinty got her start in politics after winning the Congressional Fellowship of the American Chemical Society, leading to a position with then Senator Al Gore. In 1993 she was appointed deputy assistant and then chair of the White House Council of Environmental Quality under Bill Clinton. She then went on to be appointed head of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection by Governor Ed Rendell in 2003.[6]

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Pat Toomey, incumbent U.S. Senator[7]

Did not file[]

Endorsements[]

hide
Pat Toomey
U.S. Senators
  • John Cornyn, Texas, Senate Majority Whip[9]
  • Ted Cruz, Texas, 2016 presidential Republican runner-up[9]
  • Joni Ernst, Iowa[10]
  • John McCain, Arizona, 2000 presidential candidate and 2008 presidential nominee[11]
U.S. Representative
  • Gabby Giffords, Arizona (former) (Democratic) [12]
Mayor
  • Michael Bloomberg, New York (former) and CEO of Bloomberg L.P.[13]
Individuals
  • John R. Bolton, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations[14]
  • Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, 2010 Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in California, 2016 presidential candidate[15]
Organizations
  • Americans for Responsible Solutions[16]
  • Club for Growth[17]
  • United States Chamber of Commerce[18]
Newspapers

Results[]

Republican primary results[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat Toomey 1,342,941 100.00%
Total votes 1,342,941 100.00%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • John Fetterman, Mayor of Braddock[28]
  • Katie McGinty, former chief of staff to Governor Tom Wolf, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection and candidate for the governorship in 2014[29][30][31][32]
  • Joe Sestak, retired navy admiral, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010[33][34][35]
  • Joseph Vodvarka, small business owner and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012[28][36][37]

Did not file[]

  • Ed Pawlowski, Mayor of Allentown and candidate for governor in 2014[38][39]

Declined[]

  • Bob Brady, U.S. Representative and chairman of the Philadelphia Democratic City Committee (endorsed Katie McGinty)[40]
  • Chris Carney, former U.S. Representative[41]
  • Matt Cartwright, U.S. Representative (endorsed Joe Sestak)[42]
  • Kathy Dahlkemper, Erie County Executive and former U.S. Representative (endorsed Katie McGinty)[43]
  • Eugene DePasquale, Pennsylvania Auditor General (running for re-election)[44]
  • Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Executive (endorsed Katie McGinty)[43][45]
  • David Hickton, United States Attorney for the Western District of Pennsylvania[46]
  • Vincent Hughes, state senator (endorsed Katie McGinty)[47][48][49]
  • Kathleen Kane, Pennsylvania Attorney General[29][50][51][52]
  • Rob McCord, former Pennsylvania Treasurer and candidate for the governorship in 2014[53]
  • Patrick Murphy, former U.S. Representative and candidate for attorney general in 2012[40][54]
  • Michael Nutter, Mayor of Philadelphia (endorsed Katie McGinty)[55][56]
  • Ed Rendell, former Governor of Pennsylvania (endorsed Katie McGinty)[57][58]
  • Allyson Schwartz, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the governorship in 2014[42]
  • Josh Shapiro, chairman of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners and former state representative (running for attorney general)[59][60][61]
  • Joe Torsella, United States Representative to the United Nations for Management and Reform and former chairman of the Pennsylvania State Board of Education (running for state treasurer)[62][63]
  • R. Seth Williams, District Attorney of Philadelphia[43]

Endorsements[]

hide
John Fetterman
Individuals
Organization
  • Pittsburgh NORML[66]
Newspaper
  • The Patriot-News[67]
hide
Katie McGinty
U.S. President
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[68]
U.S. Vice President
  • Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[68]
U.S. Cabinet member
  • Hillary Clinton, 67th United States Secretary of State, 2008 presidential candidate and 2016 presidential nominee[69]
U.S. Senators
  • Barbara Boxer, California[70]
  • Sherrod Brown, Ohio[71]
  • Bob Casey, Jr., Pennsylvania[72]
  • Dianne Feinstein, California[73]
  • Al Franken, Minnesota[74]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand, New York[75]
  • Martin Heinrich, New Mexico[73]
  • Mazie Hirono, Hawaii[73]
  • Patrick Leahy, Vermont[73]
  • Claire McCaskill, Missouri[73]
  • Jeff Merkley, Oregon[73]
  • Chris Murphy, Connecticut[73]
  • Patty Murray, Washington[76]
  • Gary Peters, Michigan[73]
  • Harry Reid, Nevada and Democratic Leader of the United States Senate[77]
  • Brian Schatz, Hawaii[78]
  • Chuck Schumer, New York[79]
  • Jeanne Shaheen, New Hampshire[80]
  • Jon Tester, Montana[73]
  • Mark Warner, Virginia[73]
  • Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts[81]
  • Sheldon Whitehouse, Rhode Island[73]
Governors
  • Ed Rendell, 45th Governor of Pennsylvania[82]
  • Tom Wolf, 47th and current Governor of Pennsylvania[83]
U.S. Representatives
  • Bob Brady, U.S. Representative and Chairman of the Philadelphia Democratic City Committee[40]
  • Michael F. Doyle, U.S. Representative[84]
State legislators
  • Ryan Bizzarro, state representative[85]
  • Jim Brewster, state senator[86]
  • Dom Costa, state representative[86]
  • Jay Costa, State Senator and Democratic Leader of the Pennsylvania Senate[86]
  • Paul Costa, state representative[86]
  • Dan Deasy, state representative[86]
  • Anthony M. DeLuca, state representative[86]
  • Frank Dermody, State Representative and Democratic Leader of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives[86]
  • Florindo Fabrizio. State Representative[85]
  • Wayne D. Fontana, state senator[86]
  • Dan Frankel, state representative[86]
  • Ed Gainey, state representative[86]
  • Mark Gergely, state representative[86]
  • Patrick Harkins, state representative[85]
  • Vincent Hughes, state senator[49]
  • Bill Kortz, state representative[86]
  • Joe Markosek, state representative[86]
Mayors and other municipal leaders
  • Cindy Bass, Philadelphia City Councilwoman[87]
  • Jannie Blackwell, Philadelphia City Councilwoman[87]
  • Kim Bracey, Mayor of York[88]
  • Alan Butkovitz, Philadelphia City Controller[56]
  • Darrell Clarke, Philadelphia City Council President[56]
  • Carolyn Comitta, Mayor of West Chester[88]
  • William Courtright, Mayor of Scranton[88]
  • Kathy Dahlkemper, Erie County Executive and former U.S. Representative[85]
  • John DeFazio, Allegheny County Councilman[86]
  • Bob Donchez, Mayor of Bethlehem[88]
  • Mike Finnerty, Allegheny County Councilman[86]
  • Rich Fitzgerald, Allegheny County Executive[86]
  • Nick Futules, Allegheny County Councilman[86]
  • Dan Gilman, Pittsburgh City Councilman[86]
  • Elizabeth Goreham, Mayor of State College[88]
  • Rick Gray, Mayor of Lancaster[88]
  • Sandra Green, Mayor of Kutztown[88]
  • William Greenlee, Philadelphia City Councilman At-Large[87]
  • Bobby Henon, Philadelphia City Councilman[87]
  • Frank Janakovic, Mayor of Johnstown[88]
  • Curtis Jones, Jr., Philadelphia City Councilman[87]
  • Theresa Kail-Smith, Pittsburgh City Councilwoman[86]
  • Bruce Kraus, Pittsburgh City Council President[86]
  • Daniel Lavelle, Pittsburgh City Councilman[86]
  • Thomas Leighton, Mayor of Wilkes-Barre[88]
  • Bob Macey, Allegheny County Councilman[86]
  • Chuck Martoni, Allegheny County Councilman[86]
  • Josh Maxwell, Mayor of Downingtown[88]
  • James Muldowney, Mayor of Pottsville[88]
  • Michael Nutter, Mayor of Philadelphia[56]
  • Corey O'Connor, Pittsburgh City Councilman[86]
  • John F. Palmiere, Allegheny County Councilman[86]
  • Bill Peduto, Mayor of Pittsburgh[84]
  • Blondell Reynolds Brown, Philadelphia City Councilwoman At-Large[87]
  • Natalia Rudiak, Pittsburgh City Councilwoman[86]
  • Mark Squilla, Philadelphia City Councilman[87]
Individuals
  • Bill Cole, Erie County Democratic Committee Chairman[85]
  • Austin Davis, Allegheny County Democratic Committee Vice Chairman[86]
  • Ellen Malcolm, Author and Founder of EMILY's List[89]
  • Nancy Mills, Allegheny County Democratic Committee Chairwoman[86]
  • Stephanie Schriock, President of EMILY's List[90]
Labor unions
  • AFL-CIO[91]
  • AFSCME[92]
  • Amalgamated Transit Union[93]
  • Amalgamated Transit Union Local 85[94]
  • American Federation of Teachers (AFT)[95]
  • Boilermakers Trade Union[96]
  • International Alliance of Theatrical and Stage Employees Local 8[97]
  • International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW)[98]
  • International Union of Operating Engineers Local 542[99]
  • Laborers' District Council of Western PA[96]
  • Pennsylvania Association of Staff Nurses and Allied Professionals[100]
  • Pennsylvania State Building and Construction Trades Council[97]
  • Pennsylvania State Education Association[101]
  • Philadelphia Building and Construction Trades Council[102]
  • Pittsburgh Firefighters IAFF Local 1[97]
  • Service Employees International Union (SEIU)[103]
  • Sheet Metal Workers Local 19[104]
  • United Food and Commercial Workers Union Local 1776[105]
  • United Steelworkers (USW)[106]
Organizations
  • Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC)[107]
  • EMILY's List[108]
  • Equality Pennsylvania[109]
  • League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[110]
  • Liberty City LGBT Democratic Club[111]
  • National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[112]
  • Ocean Champions[97]
  • Penn Democrats[67]
  • Philadelphia Democratic City Committee[113]
  • Planned Parenthood[114]
  • Steel City Stonewall Democrats[115]
  • United Ward Leaders of Color[97]
Newspapers
  • Beaver County Times[116]
  • New Pittsburgh Courier[116]
  • Philadelphia Daily News[117]
  • Philadelphia Gay News[116]
  • Wilkes-Barre Times Leader[116]
hide
Joe Sestak
Individuals
  • Matt Cartwright, U.S. Representative[118]
  • Manan Trivedi, nominee for PA-06 in 2010, 2012 and 2014[119]
Organizations
  • Council for a Livable World[120]
  • Delaware County Democrats[67]
  • VoteVets.org[121]
Newspapers
  • The Philadelphia Inquirer[122]
  • Philadelphia Tribune[67]
  • Pittsburgh Post-Gazette[123]

Debates[]

A debate hosted by Carnegie Mellon University's Heinz College in association with the 14th Ward Independent Democratic Club featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on January 31 at Rangos Hall in Jared L. Cohon University Center, Carnegie Mellon University, in Pittsburgh.[124]

A debate hosted by Keystone Progress featuring John Fetterman, Katie McGinty, and Joe Sestak occurred on February 19 at the Hilton Harrisburg, in the Harrisburg Ballroom, in Harrisburg.[125]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Joe
Vodvarka 		John
Fetterman 		Katie
McGinty 		Joe
Sestak 		Other Undecided
FOX 29/Opinion Savvy April 24–25, 2016 942 ± 3.2% – 14% 39% 34% – 13%
Harper Polling April 21–23, 2016 641 ± 3.9% 3% 15% 39% 33% – 11%
Monmouth University April 17–19, 2016 302 ± 5.6% – 4% 39% 39% – 18%
Franklin & Marshall College April 11–18, 2016 510 ± 5.3% – 8% 27% 38% 2% 25%
Harper Polling April 3–4, 2016 603 ± 4.0% – 9% 31% 41% – 19%
Franklin & Marshall College March 14–20, 2016 408 ± 4.7% – 7% 14% 31% 2% 46%
Harper Polling March 1–2, 2016 662 ± 3.6% 4% 15% 17% 33% – 35%
Harper Polling January 22–23, 2016 640 ± 3.8% – 11% 28% 33% – 28%
Public Policy Polling October 8–11, 2015 1,012 ± 3.1% – 14% 22% 29% – 35%
Franklin & Marshall College August 17–24, 2015 298 ± ? – – 13% 16% 5% 66%

Results[]

2016 United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania results
  McGinty — 50–60%
  McGinty — 40–50%
  McGinty — <40%
  Sestak — <40%
  Sestak — 40–50%
  Sestak — 60–70%
  Fetterman — 40–50%
2016 United States Senate Democratic primary in Pennsylvania results[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Katie McGinty 669,774 42.50%
Democratic Joe Sestak 513,221 32.57%
Democratic John Fetterman 307,090 19.49%
Democratic Joseph Vodvarka 85,837 5.45%
Total votes 1,575,922 100.00%

General election[]

Candidates[]

  • Edward T. "Ed" Clifford, III (L), accountant[126]
  • Katie McGinty (D), former chief of staff to Governor Tom Wolf, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection and candidate for governor in 2014
  • Pat Toomey (R), incumbent

Debates[]

Dates Location Toomey McGinty Link
October 17, 2016 Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 24, 2016 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[127] Tossup November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[128] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[129] Tossup November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[130] Lean D (flip) November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[131] Tossup November 7, 2016

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Pat
Toomey (R) 		Katie
McGinty (D) 		Edward
Clifford (L) 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 2,845 ± 4.6% 45% 49% — — 6%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 2,685 ± 4.6% 45% 50% — — 5%
CBS News/YouGov November 3–5, 2016 931 ± 4.3% 46% 47% — 1% 6%
Clarity Campaign Labs November 1–4, 2016 1,033 ± 3.0% 43% 46% — — 11%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call October 30–November 4, 2016 405 ± 5.5% 43% 42% — — 15%
Harper Polling November 2–3, 2016 504 ± 4.4% 44% 44% 6% — 5%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 2,454 ± 4.6% 45% 50% — — 5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing November 1–2, 2016 1,016 ± 3.1% 43% 45% — — 12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research October 31–November 2, 2016 681 ± 3.8% 41% 47% 5% 1% 7%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 2,177 ± 4.6% 46% 50% — — 4%
Public Policy Polling October 31–November 1, 2016 1,050 ± 3.0% 44% 46% — — 10%
Monmouth University October 29–November 1, 2016 403 ± 4.9% 44% 47% 3% — 6%
CNN/ORC October 27–November 1, 2016 799 LV ± 3.5% 46% 51% — 1% 1%
917 RV ± 3.0% 47% 49% — 1% 2%
Quinnipiac University October 27–November 1, 2016 612 ± 4.0% 47% 48% — 1% 5%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 2, 2016 2,078 ± 4.6% 46% 50% — — 4%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 2,255 ± 4.6% 46% 49% — — 5%
Franklin & Marshall College October 26–30, 2016 652 LV ± 5.1% 35% 47% 1% 2% 16%
863 RV ± 4.4% 33% 43% — 1% 23%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 25–30, 2016 3,217 ± 1.7% 41% 45% — — 13%
CBS News/YouGov October 26–28, 2016 1,091 ± 3.7% 41% 44% — 2% 13%
Emerson College October 25–26, 2016 550 ± 4.1% 43% 45% — 7% 5%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call October 20–26, 2016 420 ± 5.5% 41% 41% — 1% 17%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College Archived October 31, 2016, at the Wayback Machine October 23–25, 2016 824 ± 3.4% 44% 47% — — 9%
Emerson College October 17–19, 2016 800 ± 3.4% 46% 43% — 5% 7%
Quinnipiac University October 10–16, 2016 660 ± 3.8% 49% 45% — — 6%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey October 8–16, 2016 1,449 ± 0.5% 47% 47% — — 6%
Bloomberg/Selzer October 7–11, 2016 806 ± 3.5% 45% 47% — 2% 4%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid October 7–10, 2016 1,457 ± 3.0% 44% 44% — — 12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research October 4–9, 2016 764 ± 3.5% 42% 38% 7% 1% 12%
CBS News/YouGov October 5–7, 2016 997 ± 4.2% 42% 42% — 1% 15%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 3–6, 2016 709 ± 3.7% 44% 48% — 2% 6%
Monmouth University September 30–October 3, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 46% 46% 3% — 5%
Franklin & Marshall College September 28–October 2, 2016 496 LV ± 6.1% 35% 41% 2% — 22%
813 RV ± 4.8% 31% 36% — 11% 22%
Quinnipiac University September 27–October 2, 2016 535 ± 4.2% 50% 42% — — 7%
Public Policy Polling September 27–28, 2016 886 ± 3.3% 35% 40% 9% — 16%
42% 44% — — 14%
CNN/ORC September 20–25, 2016 771 LV ± 3.5% 46% 49% — — 2%
895 RV
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing September 23, 2016 949 ± 3.2% 39% 43% — — 18%
Harper Polling September 21–22, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 42% 42% 8% — 8%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 19–23, 2016 486 ± 5.0% 41% 40% — — 20%
Mercyhurst University September 12–23, 2016 420 ± 4.8% 43% 42% — — 15%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps September 10–19, 2016 400 ± 4.0% 45% 43% — — 12%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 12–16, 2016 405 ± 5.5% 38% 43% — — 19%
Quinnipiac University August 29–September 7, 2016 778 ± 3.5% 46% 45% — 1% 7%
CBS News/YouGov August 30–September 2, 2016 1,091 ± 4.1% 39% 39% — 2% 20%
Public Policy Polling August 30–31, 2016 814 ± 3.4% 41% 44% — — 15%
Public Policy Polling August 26–27, 2016 1,194 ± 3.0% 40% 46% — — 14%
Monmouth University August 26–29, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 41% 45% 6% — 8%
Franklin & Marshall College August 25–29, 2016 496 LV ± 5.6% 38% 43% — — 18%
736 RV ± 4.6% 37% 36% — — 27%
Emerson College August 25–28, 2016 800 ± 3.4% 46% 39% — 5% 10%
GBA Strategies August 21–28, 2016 881 ± 4.4% 42% 47% — 8% 3%
Quinnipiac University July 30–August 7, 2016 815 ± 3.4% 44% 47% — — 9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist August 3–7, 2016 834 ± 3.4% 44% 48% — 1% 7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research July 31–August 4, 2016 772 ± 3.5% 40% 42% — 2% 16%
Franklin & Marshall College July 29–August 1, 2016 389 LV ± 6.3% 38% 39% — — 23%
661 RV ± 4.8% 30% 38% — — 32%
Public Policy Polling July 29–31, 2016 1,505 ± 2.7% 42% 41% — — 17%
Suffolk University July 25–27, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 36% 43% — 1% 19%
Quinnipiac University June 30–July 11, 2016 982 ± 3.1% 49% 39% — 1% 9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist July 5–10, 2016 829 ± 3.4% 44% 47% — 2% 8%
Public Policy Polling June 22–23, 2016 980 ± 3.1% 40% 39% — — 21%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps June 11–20, 2016 300 ± 5.7% 46% 38% — — 16%
Quinnipiac University June 8–19, 2016 950 ± 3.2% 49% 40% — — 8%
Public Policy Polling June 8–9, 2016 965 ± 3.2% 45% 42% — — 12%
Public Policy Polling June 3–5, 2016 1,106 ± 3.0% 41% 38% — — 21%
Quinnipiac University April 27–May 8, 2016 1,077 ± 3.0% 45% 44% — — 11%
Quinnipiac University March 30–April 4, 2016 1,737 ± 2.4% 47% 38% — 1% 12%
Mercyhurst University March 1–11, 2016 421 ± 4.8% 47% 34% — 2% 13%
Harper Polling March 1–2, 2016 662 ± 3.75% 47% 39% — — 13%
Robert Morris University February 11–16, 2016 511 ± 4.5% 34% 21% — — 45%
Public Policy Polling October 8–11, 2015 1,012 ± 3.1% 43% 36% — — 21%
Quinnipiac University September 25–October 5, 2015 1,049 ± 3.0% 51% 31% — 1% 15%
Harper Polling September 9–10, 2015 700 ± 3.7% 48% 34% — — 18%
Franklin & Marshall College August 17–24, 2015 605 ± 3.9% 35% 28% — — 38%
Quinnipiac University August 7–18, 2015 1,085 ± 3% 48% 32% — 1% 17%
Public Policy Polling May 30–June 1, 2014 835 ± 3.4% 42% 38% — — 20%

Results[]

Overall[]

United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2016[132]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Pat Toomey (incumbent) 2,951,702 48.77% -2.24%
Democratic Katie McGinty 2,865,012 47.34% -1.65%
Libertarian Edward T. Clifford III 235,142 3.89% N/A
Total votes 6,051,856 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county[]

County[133] Katie McGinty

Democratic

Patrick J. Toomey

Republican

Edward T. Clifford III

Libertarian

Margin Total Votes Cast
# % # % # % # %
Adams 14,593 30.72% 30,492 64.19% 2,418 5.09% 15,899 33.47% 47,503
Allegheny 357,450 55.25% 261,316 40.39% 28,260 4.37% -96,134 -14.86% 647,026
Armstrong 8,387 26.71% 20,793 66.22% 2,220 7.07% 12,406 39.51% 31,400
Beaver 34,263 41.12% 44,000 52.81% 5,058 6.07% 9,737 11.69% 83,321
Bedford 4,356 18.58% 17,739 75.68% 1,344 5.73% 13,383 57.10% 23,439
Berks 77,028 42.93% 95,466 53.21% 6,919 3.86% 18,438 10.28% 179,413
Blair 15,107 27.57% 36,533 66.68% 3,150 5.75% 21,426 39.11% 54,790
Bradford 6,985 27.33% 16,574 64.85% 2,000 7.83% 9,589 37.52% 25,559
Bucks 157,709 46.46% 175,898 51.82% 5,845 1.72% 18,189 5.36% 339,452
Butler 28,715 29.72% 62,425 64.62% 5,465 5.66% 33,710 34.89% 96,605
Cambria 21,894 34.90% 36,948 58.90% 3,886 6.20% 15,054 24.00% 62,728
Cameron 593 27.53% 1,390 64.53% 171 7.94% 797 37.00% 2,154
Carbon 10,086 35.75% 16,360 57.98% 1,770 6.27% 6,274 22.24% 28,216
Centre 35,487 46.45% 36,527 47.82% 4,378 5.73% 1,040 1.36% 76,392
Chester 127,552 47.10% 133,662 49.36% 9,588 3.54% 6,110 2.26% 270,802
Clarion 4,931 28.27% 11,310 64.83% 1,204 6.90% 6,379 36.57% 17,445
Clearfield 9,454 27.80% 22,128 65.06% 2,429 7.14% 12,674 37.26% 34,011
Clinton 5,511 36.34% 8,702 57.38% 952 6.28% 3,191 21.04% 15,165
Columbia 9,819 34.94% 16,292 57.97% 1,991 7.08% 6,473 23.03% 28,102
Crawford 11,047 29.65% 24,472 65.68% 1,740 4.67% 13,425 36.03% 37,259
Cumberland 44,796 36.74% 71,638 58.75% 5,509 4.52% 26,842 22.01% 121,943
Dauphin 62,551 48.61% 63,740 49.54% 2,383 1.85% 1,189 0.92% 128,674
Delaware 163,377 55.64% 126,300 43.01% 3,948 1.34% -37,077 -12.63% 293,625
Elk 4,509 31.48% 8,703 60.76% 1,111 7.76% 4,194 29.28% 14,323
Erie 56,846 46.32% 60,948 49.66% 4,930 4.02% 4,102 3.34% 122,724
Fayette 20,547 38.62% 29,699 55.82% 2,958 5.56% 9,152 17.20% 53,204
Forest 708 29.82% 1,502 63.27% 164 6.91% 794 33.45% 2,374
Franklin 17,827 25.54% 48,658 69.72% 3,309 4.74% 30,831 44.17% 69,794
Fulton 1,025 15.23% 5,456 81.06% 250 3.71% 4,431 65.83% 6,731
Greene 5,692 36.93% 8,826 57.26% 896 5.81% 3,134 20.33% 15,414
Huntingdon 5,105 26.06% 13,078 66.76% 1,406 7.18% 7,973 40.70% 19,589
Indiana 12,592 33.32% 22,245 58.86% 2,955 7.82% 9,653 25.54% 37,792
Jefferson 4,160 21.54% 13,706 70.95% 1,451 7.51% 9,546 49.42% 19,317
Juniata 2,153 20.66% 7,657 73.47% 612 5.87% 5,504 52.81% 10,422
Lackawanna 53,936 52.93% 40,519 39.76% 7,455 7.32% -13,417 -13.17% 101,910
Lancaster 89,922 37.07% 142,774 58.85% 9,909 4.08% 52,852 21.79% 242,605
Lawrence 15,289 37.96% 22,674 56.29% 2,317 5.75% 7,385 18.33% 40,280
Lebanon 19,079 31.01% 39,386 64.02% 3,060 4.97% 20,307 33.01% 61,525
Lehigh 77,232 48.25% 76,216 47.61% 6,627 4.14% -1,016 -0.63% 160,075
Luzerne 56,477 42.89% 66,551 50.54% 8,650 6.57% 10,074 7.65% 131,678
Lycoming 14,187 28.06% 33,015 65.29% 3,365 6.65% 18,828 37.23% 50,567
Mckean 3,987 24.73% 11,530 71.52% 605 3.75% 7,543 46.79% 16,122
Mercer 19,193 37.05% 30,567 59.00% 2,046 3.95% 11,374 21.95% 51,806
Mifflin 4,031 22.13% 13,089 71.87% 1,093 6.00% 9,058 49.73% 18,213
Monroe 34,280 51.32% 30,743 46.03% 1,768 2.65% -3,537 -5.30% 66,791
Montgomery 237,353 54.90% 189,574 43.85% 5,431 1.26% -47,779 -11.05% 432,358
Montour 2,898 33.89% 5,066 59.25% 586 6.85% 2,168 25.36% 8,550
Northampton 64,151 45.86% 72,172 51.59% 3,566 2.55% 8,021 5.73% 139,889
Northumberland 11,117 31.28% 21,826 61.42% 2,592 7.29% 10,709 30.14% 35,535
Perry 4,962 23.53% 14,898 70.64% 1,231 5.84% 9,936 47.11% 21,091
Philadelphia 560,421 81.79% 116,714 17.03% 8,030 1.17% -443,707 -64.76% 685,165
Pike 9,329 36.39% 15,192 59.27% 1,113 4.34% 5,863 22.87% 25,634
Potter 1,387 18.01% 5,990 77.79% 323 4.19% 4,603 59.78% 7,700
Schuylkill 19,539 31.45% 37,757 60.77% 4,832 7.78% 18,218 29.32% 62,128
Snyder 4,299 26.40% 10,867 66.74% 1,116 6.85% 6,568 40.34% 16,282
Somerset 8,340 23.34% 25,470 71.28% 1,923 5.38% 17,130 47.94% 35,733
Sullivan 867 28.03% 2,020 65.31% 206 6.66% 1,153 37.28% 3,093
Susquehanna 5,535 28.76% 11,996 62.33% 1,716 8.92% 6,461 33.57% 19,247
Tioga 3,992 21.97% 13,418 73.83% 764 4.20% 9,426 51.87% 18,174
Union 6,092 34.81% 10,568 60.39% 841 4.81% 4,476 25.58% 17,501
Venango 6,989 30.11% 14,581 62.83% 1,638 7.06% 7,592 32.71% 23,208
Warren 5,124 28.14% 12,130 66.60% 958 5.26% 7,006 38.47% 18,212
Washington 38,133 37.79% 56,952 56.44% 5,824 5.77% 18,819 18.65% 100,909
Wayne 7,487 31.42% 14,538 61.01% 1,803 7.57% 7,051 29.59% 23,828
Westmoreland 62,981 34.94% 107,532 59.65% 9,745 5.41% 44,551 24.72% 180,258
Wyoming 4,154 31.79% 7,844 60.03% 1,068 8.17% 3,690 28.24% 13,066
York 69,394 33.68% 126,350 61.33% 10,271 4.99% 56,956 27.65% 206,015
Pennsylvania 2,865,012 47.34% 2,951,702 48.77% 235,142 3.89% 86,690 1.43% 6,051,856

See also[]

  • 2016 United States Senate elections

References[]

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External links[]

Official campaign websites
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