2018 United States Senate election in Delaware

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2018 United States Senate election in Delaware

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Turnout52.18%
  Tom Carper, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Nominee Tom Carper Rob Arlett
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 217,385 137,127
Percentage 60.0% 37.8%

Delaware state election results.svg
County results
Carper:      50–60%      60–70%
Arlett:      50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Tom Carper
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Tom Carper
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Delaware took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Delaware, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

The primary for this U.S. Senate election was held on Thursday, September 6, 2018.[1] The Democratic Party nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Tom Carper and the Republican Party nominated Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Carper was re-elected to a fourth term.

Background[]

Three-term Democratic Senator Tom Carper was reelected with 66% of the vote in 2012 against Republican Kevin Wade.

Carper, incumbent U.S. Senator, was challenged in the Democratic primary by Dover activist Kerri Evelyn Harris. Carper previously faced a primary challenge in the 2012 election from businessman Keith Spanarelli. However, Carper defeated Spanarelli by around 70 points. Carper went on to defeat Harris by around 30 points. It was the most competitive Democratic U.S. Senate primary in Delaware in two decades.

The main declared candidates in the Republican primary were Sussex County councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono, with a perennial candidacy from businessman Rocky De La Fuente, who also ran for Senate in seven other states.[2] Another candidate withdrew before the primary. Rob Arlett defeated Gene Truono in a landslide to win the Republican nomination.

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

  • Tom Carper, incumbent U.S. Senator and 71st Governor of Delaware[3]

Eliminated in primary[]

  • Kerri Evelyn Harris, Dover activist and U.S. Air Force veteran[4]

Withdrew[]

  • Tykiem Booker, activist[5]

Declined[]

  • Lisa Blunt Rochester, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)

Endorsements[]

Tom Carper
U.S. Vice President
  • Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[6]
U.S. Senators
  • Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey[7]
U.S. Representatives
  • Gabby Giffords, former U.S. Representative, AZ-08[8]
State executive branch officials
  • Rita Landgraf, former Secretary of Delaware Health and Social Services
State legislators
  • Debra Heffernan, Delaware State Representative[9]
Individuals
  • Matthew Albright, moderator of the Democratic primary debate[10]
  • Sandra Hall, 2016 Delaware Teacher of the Year
  • Douglas E. Krantz, rabbi[11]
  • Sonia Schorr Sloan, former Delaware President of the Board of Planned Parenthood
  • Jon Soltz, chairman of VoteVets[12]
Organizations
Kerri Evelyn Harris
State legislators
County Councilpersons
  • Jea Street, New Castle County Councilman[19]
City Councilpersons
Political candidates
  • Don Allan, Democratic nominee for Delaware’s 36th Representative district
  • Adrienne Bell, Democratic nominee for Texas's 14th congressional district[22]
  • Dee Durham, Democratic nominee for New Castle County’s 2nd council district
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic nominee for New York's 14th congressional district[23]
  • Jordyn Pusey, Democratic candidate for New Castle County’s 1st council district
  • Demitri Theodoropoulos, Green nominee for the seat[24]
Individuals
  • Kate Aronoff, journalist
  • Dan Cantor, chairman of the Working Families Party
  • Garrison Davis, community organizer
  • Joe Dinkin, campaign director of the Working Families Party[6]
  • Mike Figueredo, host of The Humanist Report[25]
  • Glenn Greenwald, journalist
  • Ryan Grim, journalist
  • Coby Owens, social justice activist, CEO of Youth Caucus of America, and 2016 delegate for Bernie Sanders[26]
  • Gerald Rocha, retired U.S. Air Force veteran and youth advocate[27]
  • Kendrick Sampson, actor
  • Claire Sandberg, former deputy campaign manager for El-Sayed gubernatorial campaign and former director of distributed organizing for Sanders presidential campaign[28]
  • Jea Street, Jr., singer and son of New Castle County Councilman Jea Street
  • Cenk Uygur, co-founder and co-host of The Young Turks[29][30][31]
  • Emma Vigeland, political commentator
  • Winnie Wong, co-founder of The People for Bernie Sanders[32]
Organizations
Media
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse either candidate
  • Tykiem Booker, former candidate
  • Chris Johnson, Democratic candidate for Attorney General
  • Keith Spanarelli, candidate for the seat in 2012
  • Laura Sturgeon, Democratic nominee for Delaware’s 4th Senate district

Debates[]

Delaware newspaper The News Journal hosted a 90-minute debate on August 27, 2018 for the Democratic primary between Tom Carper and Kerri Evelyn Harris at Cab Calloway School of the Arts.[28][51] Republican candidate businessman Gene Truono answered questions from panelists before Carper and Harris debated. Sussex County Councilman Rob Arlett was also invited, but declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Carper
Kerri Evelyn
Harris
Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 354 ± 5.2% 51% 19% 30%

Results[]

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Carper—60–70%
Democratic primary results[52]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Carper (incumbent) 53,633 64.59%
Democratic Kerri Evelyn Harris 29,406 35.41%
Total votes 83,039 100.00%

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

  • Rob Arlett, Former Sussex County Councilman, and former Delaware State Chairman for the Trump campaign[53]

Eliminated in primary[]

  • Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and perennial candidate[2]
  • Gene Truono, businessman and former Chief Compliance Officer at PayPal[54]

Withdrew[]

  • Chuck Boyce, businessman[55][56] (endorsed Rob Arlett)

Declined[]

  • Ken Simpler, State Treasurer (running for re-election)[57]
  • Kevin Wade, businessman and candidate for Senate in 2012 and 2014 (endorsed Rob Arlett)

Endorsements[]

Rob Arlett
Former 2018 U.S. Senate election, Delaware candidates
  • Chuck Boyce, businessman
Political candidates
  • Tom Neuberger, former Republican candidate for Delaware Attorney General in 2018
  • Kevin Wade, former Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Delaware in 2012 and 2014[58]
Individuals
  • , SC Teenage Republican Chairman[59]
  • Jesse Glanden, wrestling coach at Laurel High School[60]
  • Bobby Halton, notable former firefighter[61]
  • Charlie Kirk, founder and President of Turning Point USA[62]
  • Bobby Knight, former basketball coach[63]
  • Michael F. McMahon, former FBI unit chief and US naval officer[64]
  • Frank Ricci (Ricci v. DeStefano)[65]
Gene Truono
State legislators
Republican Party officials
  • Peter Kopf, New Castle County Republican Chairman
Political candidates
  • Lee Murphy, actor and Republican candidate for U.S. House of Representatives in Delaware
Individuals
  • Mitch Denham, Delaware Gun Rights
  • John Foltz, 11th District Chairman
  • David Gilefski, Western NCC Region Chairman
  • Shawn Michael Greener, radio host[66]
  • Dick Heller (District of Columbia v. Heller)
  • Mark Keith Robinson, NRA affiliate
  • Maj Toure, Black Guns Matter
Organizations
  • Delaware Gun Rights
  • Never Carper[67]
  • The News Journal Editorial Board[68]
  • Revitalize Delaware
  • U.S. Term Limits
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse either candidate
  • Republican Party

Debates[]

Councilman Rob Arlett and businessman Gene Truono had four debates in total. They were normally live streamed on Facebook and uploaded to YouTube. A fifth debate was planned, but Truono withdrew from the debate because he the organizers refused to give him control over what questions could not be asked. Instead organizers held a forum with all the other candidates for the U.S. Senate and other state offices. Five candidates attended that forum.

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Rob
Arlett
Rocky
De La Fuente
Gene
Truono
Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 288 ± 5.8% 19% 7% 15% 60%

Results[]

Results by county
Map legend
  •   Arlett—70–80%
  •   Arlett—60–70%
  •   Arlett—50–60%
Republican primary results[52]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Arlett 25,284 66.77%
Republican Gene Truono 10,587 27.96%
Republican Rocky De La Fuente 1,998 5.28%
Total votes 37,869 100.00%

Green primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

  • Demitri Theodoropoulos, small business owner[69]

Declined[]

  • Andrew Groff, businessman and perennial candidate

Endorsements[]

Demitri Theodoropoulos
Individuals
Organizations
  • Green Party

Libertarian primary[]

Candidates[]

Nominee[]

Independents[]

Not to be confused with the Independent Party of Delaware, which currently has no candidate for the 2018 United States Senate election.

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Barry Eveland (write-in)[71]
  • Matthew Water Stout, write-in presidential candidate in 2016 (write-in)[71][72]
  • Todd Farina, ticket company owner (write-in)

General election[]

Endorsements[]

Bold text indicates endorsement was given before the primary.

Tom Carper
U.S. Vice President
  • Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States [6]
U.S. Senators
  • Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey[7]
  • Chris Coons, U.S. Senator from Delaware[73]
U.S. Representatives
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester, U.S. Representative from Delaware[74]
  • Gabby Giffords, former U.S. Representative, AZ-08 [8]
Governors
  • John Carney, 74th Governor of Delaware[75][76]
Other state executive branch officials
  • Matt Denn, Delaware State Attorney General
  • Rita Landgraf, former Secretary of Delaware Health and Social Services
State legislators
  • Debra Heffernan, Delaware State Representative [9]
Political candidates
  • Ray Seigfried, former Vice President of Christiana Care and Democratic nominee for Delaware’s 7th House district
  • Laura Sturgeon, Democratic nominee for Delaware’s 4th Senate district[77]
Individuals
  • Matthew Albright, moderator of the Democratic primary debate[10]
  • Sandra Hall, 2016 Delaware Teacher of the Year
  • Douglas E. Krantz, rabbi[11]
  • Sonia Schorr Sloan, former Delaware President of the Board of Planned Parenthood
  • Jon Soltz, chairman of VoteVets[12]
  • Laura Thein, former Disabilities Caucus Chair of Young Democrats of America [78]
Organizations
Rob Arlett
Former 2018 U.S. Senate election, Delaware candidates
  • Chuck Boyce, businessman
Political candidates
  • Tom Neuberger, former Republican candidate for Delaware Attorney General in 2018
  • Kevin Wade, former Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in Delaware in 2012 and 2014[58]
  • Andrew Webb, Republican write-in candidate for U.S. House in Delaware
Individuals
  • Carter Clark, SC Teenage Republican Chairman[59]
  • Jesse Glanden, wrestling coach at Laurel High School[60]
  • Bobby Halton, notable former firefighter[61]
  • Charlie Kirk, founder and President of Turning Point USA[62]
  • Bobby Knight, former basketball coach[63]
  • Michael F. McMahon, former FBI unit chief and US naval officer[64]
  • Frank Ricci (Ricci v. DeStefano)[65]
Organizations
  • Republican Party[83]
Demitri Theodoropoulos
Individuals
Organizations
  • Green Party
Media
  • Hijacked Radio Podcast
  • The Politics of Courage[84]
Declined to endorse
Declined to endorse Tom Carper
  • Tykiem Booker, former candidate
  • Kerri Evelyn Harris, former candidate
  • Justice Democrats
  • Coby Owens, social justice activist, CEO of Youth Caucus of America, and 2016 delegate for Bernie Sanders
Declined to endorse Rob Arlett
  • Peter Kopf, former New Castle County Republican chairman
  • Gene Truono, former candidate

Debates[]

with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono

On August 20, 2018, the Greater Hockessin Area Development Association (GHADA) hosted a 2-hour debate at the Hockessin Memorial Hall between Democratic candidate Kerri Evelyn Harris and Republican candidate Gene Truono. Tom Carper and Rob Arlett were also invited to the debate, but did not attend. Carper was not present because of the U.S. Senate's extended session due to session ceasing early the Thursday prior because of the death of former Governor and U.S. Senator of Nevada, Paul Laxalt.[85] Arlett declined and claimed he had a scheduling conflict.[86]

with Tom Carper and Rob Arlett

The debate gained national attention after Republican candidate Rob Arlett brought up Democratic Senator Tom Carper’s past controversy of domestic abuse.

with Tom Carper, Rob Arlett, Nadine Frost, and Demitri Theodoropoulos

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[87] Safe D October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[88] Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[89] Safe D November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[90] Safe D April 9, 2018
Fox News[91] Likely D July 9, 2018
CNN[92] Safe D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[93] Safe D June 2018
FiveThirtyEight[94] Safe D September 2018

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Carper (D)
Rob
Arlett (R)
Nadine
Frost (L)
Demitri
Theodoropoulos (G)
Undecided
University of Delaware September 11–17, 2018 728 LV 61% 24% 3% 3% 9%
908 RV ± 3.7% 60% 22% 5% 2% 12%
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 884 ± 3.3% 47% 39% 14%
Hypothetical polling
with Tom Carper and Gene Truono
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Carper (D)
Gene
Truono (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 884 ± 3.3% 47% 38% 15%
with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Rob Arlett
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kerri Evelyn
Harris (D)
Rob
Arlett (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 884 ± 3.3% 42% 35% 23%
with Kerri Evelyn Harris and Gene Truono
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kerri Evelyn
Harris (D)
Gene
Truono (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing July 24–29, 2018 884 ± 3.3% 40% 37% 23%

Results[]

Results by Precinct:
Carper
  •      40-50%
  •      50-60%
  •      60-70%
  •      70-80%
  •      80-90%
  •      90-100%
Arlett
  •      40-50%
  •      50-60%
  •      60-70%
  •      70-80%
United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018[95]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Tom Carper (incumbent) 217,385 59.95% -6.47%
Republican Rob Arlett 137,127 37.81% +8.85%
Green Demitri Theodoropoulos 4,170 1.15% +0.35%
Libertarian Nadine Frost 3,910 1.09% N/A
Total votes 362,592 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

See also[]

References[]

  1. ^ "United States Senate election in Delaware, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved December 23, 2017.
  2. ^ a b "California businessman running for US Senate in Delaware--and 7 other states". wdel.com.
  3. ^ "Kailani Koenig on Twitter". July 24, 2017. Retrieved July 24, 2017.
  4. ^ "Dover community activist to challenge Tom Carper".
  5. ^ "BOOKER, TYKIEM - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
  6. ^ a b c "Biden wades into Delaware primary on behalf of Carper". NBC News. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  7. ^ a b "Tom Carper for Delaware". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  8. ^ a b "RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Tom Carper for Senate in Delaware - Giffords". August 17, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  9. ^ a b "Debra Heffernan on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  10. ^ a b "Matthew Albright on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  11. ^ a b "Tom Carper on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  12. ^ a b "VoteVets on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  13. ^ a b Campaign, Human Rights. "HRC Endorses Sen. Carper & Rep. Blunt Rochester for Re-Election - Human Rights Campaign". Human Rights Campaign. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  14. ^ a b "The News Journal's editorial board endorses Tom Carper in the U.S. Senate primary". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  15. ^ "A Democrat from Dover is challenging Senator Tom Carper in the September primary".
  16. ^ "Ilhan Omar on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  17. ^ "Nina Turner on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  18. ^ "Go Vote! Rally for Racial and Economic Justice!". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  19. ^ "Kerri Evelyn Harris on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  20. ^ "Ayanna Pressley on Twitter". Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  21. ^ "Kerri Evelyn Harris". www.facebook.com. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  22. ^ "Adrienne Bell on Twitter".
  23. ^ "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter".
  24. ^ Bricker, Kristin (August 28, 2018). "Kerri was at last night's Delaware NORML meeting to talk about her candidacy and stance on marijuana (or "cannabis" as the group's members prefer to call it)". Team Kerri on .
  25. ^ "The Humanist Report