House elections in Kentucky
2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Majority party
Minority party
Party
Republican
Democratic
Last election
5
1
Seats won
5
1
Seat change
Popular vote
1,363,964
735,419
Percentage
64.46%
34.76%
Swing
4.87%
4.29%
Republican
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
Democratic
60–70%
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the six U.S. Representatives from the state of Kentucky , one from each of the state's six congressional districts . The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election , as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections .
Overview [ ]
Popular vote
Republican
64.46%
Democratic
34.76%
Other
0.78%
House seats
Republican
83.33%
Democratic
16.67%
District 1 [ ]
2020 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
Nominee
James Comer
James Rhodes
Party
Republican
Democratic
Popular vote
246,329
82,141
Percentage
75.0%
25.0%
U.S. Representative before election
James Comer
Republican
Elected U.S. Representative
James Comer
Republican
The 1st district takes in Western Kentucky , including Paducah , Hopkinsville , Murray , and Henderson . The incumbent is Republican James Comer , who was re-elected with 68.6% of the vote.[1]
Republican primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
James Comer , incumbent U.S. Representative[2]
Democratic primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
General election [ ]
Predictions [ ]
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report [3]
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4]
Safe R
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5]
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Politico [6]
Safe R
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7]
Safe R
June 3, 2020
RCP [8]
Safe R
June 9, 2020
Niskanen [9]
Safe R
June 7, 2020
Results [ ]
Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2020[10]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
James Comer (incumbent)
246,329
75.0
Democratic
James Rhodes
82,141
25.0
Total votes
328,470
100.0
Republican hold
District 2 [ ]
2020 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
Nominee
Brett Guthrie
Hank Linderman
Party
Republican
Democratic
Popular vote
255,735
94,643
Percentage
70.9%
26.3%
U.S. Representative before election
Brett Guthrie
Republican
Elected U.S. Representative
Brett Guthrie
Republican
The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking in Bowling Green , Owensboro , and Elizabethtown . The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie , who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
Kathleen Free[11]
Brett Guthrie , incumbent U.S. Representative[11]
Primary results [ ]
Republican primary results[12]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
65,313
88.6
Republican
Kathleen Free
8,380
11.4
Total votes
73,693
100.0
Democratic primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
Hank Linderman, nominee for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district in 2018 [11]
Third parties [ ]
Libertarian Party [ ]
Robert Lee Perry[citation needed ]
Populist Party [ ]
Lewis Carter[citation needed ]
General election [ ]
Predictions [ ]
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report [3]
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4]
Safe R
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5]
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Politico [6]
Safe R
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7]
Safe R
June 3, 2020
RCP [8]
Safe R
June 9, 2020
Niskanen [9]
Safe R
June 7, 2020
Results [ ]
Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2020[10]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
255,735
70.9
Democratic
Hank Linderman
94,643
26.3
Libertarian
Robert Lee Perry
7,588
2.1
Populist
Lewis Carter
2,431
0.7
Write-in
2
0.0
Total votes
360,399
100.0
Republican hold
District 3 [ ]
2020 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
Nominee
John Yarmuth
Rhonda Palazzo
Party
Democratic
Republican
Popular vote
230,672
137,425
Percentage
62.7%
37.3%
U.S. Representative before election
John Yarmuth
Democratic
Elected U.S. Representative
John Yarmuth
Democratic
The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of the Louisville metropolitan area . The incumbent is Democrat John Yarmuth , who was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Democratic primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
John Yarmuth , incumbent U.S. Representative[13]
Republican primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
Mike Craven, activist and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018 [14]
Waymen Eddings, businessman[14]
Rhonda Palazzo, realtor and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018 [14]
Primary results [ ]
Republican primary results[12]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Rhonda Palazzo
19,806
42.4
Republican
Mike Craven
19,676
42.1
Republican
Waymen Eddings
7,275
15.5
Total votes
46,757
100.0
General election [ ]
Predictions [ ]
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report [3]
Safe D
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4]
Safe D
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5]
Safe D
July 2, 2020
Politico [6]
Safe D
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7]
Safe D
June 3, 2020
RCP [8]
Safe D
June 9, 2020
Niskanen [9]
Safe D
June 7, 2020
Results [ ]
Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2020[10]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
John Yarmuth (incumbent)
230,672
62.7
Republican
Rhonda Palazzo
137,425
37.3
Total votes
368,097
100.0
Democratic hold
District 4 [ ]
2020 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
Nominee
Thomas Massie
Alexandra Owensby
Party
Republican
Democratic
Popular vote
256,613
125,896
Percentage
67.1%
32.9%
U.S. Representative before election
Thomas Massie
Republican
Elected U.S. Representative
Thomas Massie
Republican
The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River , including the suburbs of Cincinnati and a small part of Louisville . The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie , who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
Thomas Massie , incumbent U.S. Representative[15]
Todd McMurtry, attorney[16]
Declined [ ]
, state representative[17]
Endorsements [ ]
hide Thomas Massie (R)
US Senators
Rand Paul , U.S. Senator from Kentucky[18]
Polling [ ]
show
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[a]
Margin of error
Thomas Massie
Generic Republican
Undecided
WPA Intelligence [C]
July 8–9, 2019
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
50%
8%
43%[b]
Primary results [ ]
Republican primary results[12]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Thomas Massie (incumbent)
68,591
81.0
Republican
Todd McMurtry
16,092
19.0
Total votes
84,683
100.0
Democratic primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
Shannon Fabert, business consultant[19]
Alexandra Owensby, nurse practitioner[19]
Primary results [ ]
Democratic primary results[12]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Alexandra Owensby
41,531
58.4
Democratic
Shannon Fabert
29,557
41.6
Total votes
71,088
100.0
General election [ ]
Predictions [ ]
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report [3]
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4]
Safe R
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5]
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Politico [6]
Safe R
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7]
Safe R
June 3, 2020
RCP [8]
Safe R
June 9, 2020
Niskanen [9]
Safe R
June 7, 2020
Results [ ]
Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2020[10]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Thomas Massie (incumbent)
256,613
67.1
Democratic
Alexandra Owensby
125,896
32.9
Total votes
382,509
100.0
Republican hold
District 5 [ ]
2020 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
Nominee
Hal Rogers
Matthew Best
Party
Republican
Democratic
Popular vote
250,914
47,056
Percentage
84.2%
15.8%
U.S. Representative before election
Hal Rogers
Republican
Elected U.S. Representative
Hal Rogers
Republican
The 5th district, one of the poorest and most rural in the country, is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican Hal Rogers , who was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
Hal Rogers , incumbent U.S. Representative[20]
Geraldo Serrano, farmer and candidate for Kentucky's 5th congressional district in 2018 [20]
Primary results [ ]
Republican primary results[12]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Hal Rogers (incumbent)
76,575
91.1
Republican
Gerardo Serrano
7,436
8.9
Total votes
84,011
100.0
Democratic primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
Declined [ ]
Rocky Adkins , minority leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives and candidate for Governor of Kentucky in 2019 [21]
General election [ ]
Predictions [ ]
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report [3]
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4]
Safe R
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5]
Safe R
July 2, 2020
Politico [6]
Safe R
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7]
Safe R
June 3, 2020
RCP [8]
Safe R
June 9, 2020
Niskanen [9]
Safe R
June 7, 2020
Results [ ]
Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2020[10]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Hal Rogers (incumbent)
250,914
84.2
Democratic
Matthew Best
47,056
15.8
Total votes
297,970
100.0
Republican hold
District 6 [ ]
2020 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
Nominee
Andy Barr
Josh Hicks
Party
Republican
Democratic
Popular vote
216,948
155,011
Percentage
57.3%
41.0%
U.S. Representative before election
Andy Barr
Republican
Elected U.S. Representative
Andy Barr
Republican
The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington , Richmond , and Frankfort . The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr , who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
Andy Barr , incumbent U.S. Representative[22]
Chuck Eddy, retired salesman[23]
Geoff Young, perennial candidate and assistant director[23]
Primary results [ ]
Republican primary results[12]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Andy Barr (incumbent)
62,706
90.7
Republican
Chuck Eddy
3,636
5.3
Republican
Geoff Young
2,765
4.0
Total votes
69,107
100.0
Democratic primary [ ]
Candidates [ ]
Declared [ ]
Josh Hicks, attorney and U.S. Marine veteran[24]
Daniel Kemph, business analyst and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018 [23]
Primary results [ ]
Democratic primary results[12]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Democratic
Josh Hicks
81,305
72.4
Democratic
Daniel Kemph
31,064
27.6
Total votes
112,369
100.0
General election [ ]
Endorsements [ ]
hide Josh Hicks (D)
Charles Booker , state representative and former candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 [25]
VoteVets [26]
Predictions [ ]
Source
Ranking
As of
The Cook Political Report [3]
Likely R
July 2, 2020
Inside Elections [4]
Safe R
June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5]
Likely R
July 2, 2020
Politico [6]
Likely R
April 19, 2020
Daily Kos [7]
Likely R
June 3, 2020
RCP [8]
Lean R
October 24, 2020
Niskanen [9]
Lean R
June 7, 2020
Polling [ ]
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[a]
Margin of error
Andy Barr (R)
Josh Hicks (D)
Frank Harris (L)
Undecided
Bluegrass Voters Coalition (D) [D]
July 13, 2020
700 (LV)
± 5.0%
48%
50%
2%
11%
Results [ ]
Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2020[10]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
Republican
Andy Barr (incumbent)
216,948
57.3
Democratic
Josh Hicks
155,011
41.0
Libertarian
Frank Harris
6,491
1.7
Total votes
378,450
100.0
Republican hold
See also [ ]
Notes [ ]
^ Jump up to: a b c Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ "Would consider another candidate besides Massie" with 36%; "don't know" with 7%
Partisan clients
^ Jump up to: a b By the time of this poll's sampling period, the Club for Growth had endorsed Massie's re-election bid
^ Poll sponsored by Massie
^ Jump up to: a b The Club for Growth is an organization that exclusively endorses Republican candidates
^ This pollster supports candidates it considers politically progressive
References [ ]
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker" . Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 8, 2019 .
^ Jump up to: a b Overstreet, Melinda J. (January 10, 2020). "Candidates seek to unseat Riley, Rowland and Givens; 17 file for nine Glasgow council seats" . Glasgow Daily Times . Retrieved January 26, 2020 .
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019" . The Cook Political Report . Retrieved September 20, 2019 .
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f "2020 Senate Ratings" . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019 .
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f "2020 Senate race ratings" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019 .
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f "2020 Election Forecast" . Politico . November 19, 2019.
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020" . Daily Kos Elections . Retrieved February 28, 2020 .
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f "Battle for White House" . RCP . April 19, 2019.
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections" . Niskanen Center . April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved May 1, 2020 .
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f "November 3, 2020 - Official 2020 General Election Results" (PDF) . Kentucky Secretary of State . November 20, 2020. p. 12–19. Retrieved November 21, 2020 .
^ Jump up to: a b c Swietek, Wes (January 10, 2020). "Minter, Sheldon unopposed in 2020" . Bowling Green Daily News . Retrieved January 26, 2020 .
^ Jump up to: a b c d e f g "2020 Primary Election - Certified Election Results" (PDF) . Commonwealth of Kentucky - State Board of Elections . Retrieved September 5, 2020 .
^ Munson, Emilie (January 6, 2020). "Exclusive: Another Republican joins 5th District race" . Retrieved January 9, 2020 .
^ Jump up to: a b c "KENTUCKY" . Politics 1 . Retrieved January 26, 2020 .
^ "Thomas Massie" . www.facebook.com .
^ Bailey, Phillip M.; Sonka, Joe (January 10, 2020). "Attorney in Covington Catholic case challenges Rep. Thomas Massie in GOP primary" . Louisville Courier Journal . Retrieved January 26, 2020 .
^ Bailey, Phillip M. (July 3, 2019). "National Republicans may be maneuvering to unseat Kentucky's conservative darling, Massie" . The Courier-Journal . Retrieved July 3, 2019 .
^ Bailey, Phillip M. (July 4, 2019). "Rand Paul: Thomas Massie has 'my full support' against GOP primary threat" . The Courier-Journal . Retrieved August 13, 2019 .
^ Jump up to: a b Fair, Julia (January 7, 2020). "This is our best shot at changing things.' NKY Democrat nurse practitioner files to run against Republican Rep. Thomas Massie in 2020" . Cincinnati Enquirer . Retrieved January 26, 2020 .
^ Jump up to: a b c Mills, Jarrod (January 11, 2020). "Several races set as election filing deadline passes" . Times-Tribune . Retrieved January 26, 2020 .
^ Desrochers, Daniel (December 2, 2019). "Rocky Adkins passes on U.S. Senate bid and takes job in Andy Beshear's administration" . Lexington Herald Leader .
^ "Andy Barr" . Facebook . December 16, 2019. Retrieved December 25, 2019 .
^ Jump up to: a b c Greene, Jonathan (January 14, 2020). "ELECTION 2020: Seven running for city commission" . Richmond Register . Retrieved January 26, 2020 .
^ Schreiner, Bruce (August 1, 2019). "Marine veteran enters race for 6th District seat in Kentucky" . Associated Press News . Retrieved August 1, 2019 .
^ Charles Booker [@Booker4KY] (October 21, 2020). "From the hood to the holler, there is a movement growing in KY. Regular folks are rising up to fight back. @joshhicksky is standing for the people of KY's 6th District, and I am proud to stand with him. Let's send a warrior to Washington: t.co/Tu53QsIu4N t.co/weHGxxkofB" (Tweet). Retrieved January 28, 2021 – via Twitter .
^ "Archived copy" . Archived from the original on October 26, 2020. Retrieved October 23, 2020 .CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link )
External links [ ]
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
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