2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 0
Seats won 3 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 585,234 326,018
Percentage 62.17% 34.63%
Swing Increase 0.14% Decrease 3.34%

2020 U.S. House elections in Nebraska.svg

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. Representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Overview[]

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 189,006 59.52% 119,622 37.67% 8,938 2.81% 317,566 100.0% Republican Hold
District 2 171,071 50.77% 155,706 46.21% 10,185 3.02% 336,962 100.0% Republican Hold
District 3 225,157 78.51% 50,690 17.68% 10,923 3.81% 286,770 100.0% Republican Hold
Total 585,234 62.17% 326,018 34.63% 30,046 3.19% 941,298 100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
62.17%
Democratic
34.63%
Other
3.19%
House seats
Republican
100.00%

District 1[]

2020 Nebraska's 1st congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
  Jeff Fortenberry Official Portrait 115th Congress.jpg
Nominee Jeff Fortenberry Kate Bolz
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 189,006 119,622
Percentage 59.5% 37.7%

U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Fortenberry
Republican

The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent is Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Jeff Fortenberry, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]
Declined[]
  • Nicholas Oviatt, part-time consultant[3]

Results[]

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) 84,017 100.0
Total votes 84,017 100.0

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Kate Bolz, state senator[5]
  • Barbara "Babs" Ramsey, security analyst[6]
Endorsements[]
Kate Bolz
Newspapers
  • Lincoln Journal Star[7]
Organizations
  • American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations (AFL-CIO) [8]
  • League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[9]
  • Lincoln Firefighters Association [10]
  • Nebraska Association of Public Employees [11]
  • Sierra Club [12]
Barbara "Babs" Ramsey
Organizations
  • DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare[13]
  • Freethought Equality Fund PAC[14]
  • Nebraska Secular Democrats[15]
  • Progressive Rising[16]
  • Rose Caucus[17]
  • Vote Pro Choice[18]

Results[]

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kate Bolz 43,400 77.6
Democratic Barbara Ramsey 12,497 22.4
Total votes 55,897 100.0

Libertarian primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Dennis B. Grace, U.S. Navy veteran[2][19]

Results[]

Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Dennis B. Grace 1,047 100.0
Total votes 1,047 100.0

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Likely R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[]

Nebraska's 1st congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) 189,006 59.5
Democratic Kate Bolz 119,622 37.7
Libertarian Dennis B. Grace 8,938 2.8
Total votes 317,566 100.0
Republican hold

District 2[]

2020 Nebraska's 2nd congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
  Donald Bacon Official House Photo.jpg
Nominee Don Bacon Kara Eastman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 171,071 155,706
Percentage 50.8% 46.2%

U.S. Representative before election

Don Bacon
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Bacon
Republican

The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, and suburban parts of western Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent is Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Kara Eastman is the Democratic nominee.[28] She started a nonprofit consulting company in 2019, and she was previously the executive director of the Omaha Healthy Kids Alliance.[29] That organization focuses on reducing lead poisoning, and Lee Terry described it as a nonpartisan project.[30] She is a former member of the Board of Governors of Metropolitan Community College.[31]

President Donald Trump endorsed Bacon, and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden endorsed Eastman.[32]

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Paul Anderson, perennial candidate[33]
  • Don Bacon, incumbent U.S. Representative[34]

Results[]

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 68,531 90.6
Republican Paul Anderson 7,106 9.4
Total votes 75,637 100.0

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
Withdrew[]
  • Morgann Freeman, part-time communications consultant and activist[38] (endorsed Ashford)
  • Dustin Sedoris, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[39] (endorsed Eastman)[40]
Declined[]
  • Heath Mello, chief lobbyist for the University of Nebraska system, former state senator, and nominee for mayor of Omaha in 2017[41]
  • Denise Blaya Powell, founder of Women Who Run[42]

Endorsements[]

Ann Ashford
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State officials
  • Burke Harr, former state senator[46]
  • Gwen Howard, former state senator[47]
  • Bob Krist, former state senator and Democratic nominee for Governor of Nebraska in 2018[48]
  • Steve Lathrop, state senator[49]
Individuals
Organizations
  • LEAP Forward Project[51]
Kara Eastman
U.S. Senators
  • Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts[52]
U.S. Representatives
State officials
  • Tanya Cook, former state senator[53]
  • Brenda Council, Omaha city councilwoman and former state senator[53]
  • Megan Hunt, state senator[53]
  • Justin Wayne, state senator[53]
Local officials
  • Mike Boyle, county commissioner and former mayor of Omaha[53]
  • Marian Fey, former member of the Omaha public schools board[53]
  • Ben Gray, Omaha city councilman[53]
  • Jay Irwin, member of the Ralston school board[53]
  • Tim Rouse, former president of the Omaha city council
  • Amanda Ryan, member of the Omaha public school board[53]
  • Marque Snow, president of the Omaha public school board[53]
  • Jim Suttle, former mayor of Omaha[53]
Individuals
Organizations
  • American Progressives in STEM[58]
  • Brand New Congress[59]
  • Congressional Progressive Caucus
  • Courage to Change[60]
  • Democracy for America[61]
  • Justice Democrats[62]
  • National Organization for Women
  • Peace Action[55]
  • Progressive Change Campaign Committee
  • Progressive Rising[16]
  • Sierra Club
  • Warren Democrats
Parties
  • Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska[63]

Results[]

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kara Eastman 45,953 62.1
Democratic Ann Ashford 23,059 31.2
Democratic Gladys Harrison 4,920 6.7
Total votes 73,932 100.0

Libertarian primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

Results[]

Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Tyler Schaeffer 964 100.0
Total votes 964 100.0

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[65] Tossup July 16, 2020
Inside Elections[66] Tilt D (flip) October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Lean R November 2, 2020
Politico[23] Tossup September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Lean R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Tossup June 7, 2020

Polling[]

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Don
Bacon (R)
Kara
Eastman (D)
Tyler
Schaeffer (L)
Other Undecided
UNLV Lee Business School October 30 – November 2, 2020 191 (LV) ± 7% 47% 46%
Change Research October 29 – November 2, 2020 920 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 2% 0%[b] 2%
Emerson College October 29–30, 2020 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 50%[c] 47% 2%
FM3 Research (D)[A] October 1–4, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 47% 6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot September 25–27, 2020 420 (LV) ± 5.3% 45% 43% 3% 1%[d] 8%[e]
Global Strategy Group (D)[B] September 14–16, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 4% 7%[e]
Global Strategy Group (D)[B] July 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 42% 4% 7%[e]
GQR Research (D)[C] June 30 – July 5, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.37% 49% 50%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[D] May 7–10, 2020 448 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 48%
GQR Research (D)[C] September 9–12, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 49%
Hypothetical polling
with Ann Ashford
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Don
Bacon (R)
Ann
Ashford (D)
Undecided
GQR Research (D) September 9–12, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 46%
with Gladys Harrison
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Don
Bacon (R)
Gladys
Harrison (D)
Undecided
GQR Research (D) September 9–12, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 44%

Endorsements[]

Don Bacon (R)
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[67]
Federal officials
  • Brad Ashford, former U.S. Representative from NE-02 (Democrat)[68]
  • Deb Fischer, U.S. Senator from Nebraska[69]
  • Joe Lieberman, former U.S. Senator from Connecticut (1989-2013)[70] (Independent)
  • Jim Moran, former U.S. Representative (VA-08) (1991-2015)[71] (Democrat)
State officials
  • Bob Krist, former state senator (2009-2019) and 2018 Democratic gubernatorial nominee[72] (Democrat)
  • Pete Ricketts, Governor[73]
Local officials
  • Carroll Smith, mayor of Valley[74] (Democrat)
  • Jean Stothert, mayor of Omaha[75]
Organizations
  • National Right to Life Committee[76]
Individuals
  • Barry Rubin, former Nebraska Democratic Party executive director (2003-2006)[77] (Democrat)
Kara Eastman (D)
Former US Executive Branch Officials
  • Barack Obama, former President of the United States (2009-2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[78]
  • Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States and 2020 Democratic nominee for President[79]
Federal officials
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester, U.S. Representative (DE-AL)[53]
  • Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative (FL-21)[53]
  • Judy Chu, U.S. Representative (CA-27)[80]
  • John Delaney, former U.S. Representative (MD_06)[80]
  • Debbie Dingell, U.S. Representative from (MI-12)[80]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York and former 2020 presidential candidate[81]
  • Deb Haaland, U.S. Representative (NM-01)[80]
  • Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California; 2020 vice presidential nominee[82]
  • Pramila Jayapal, U.S. Representative (WA-07)[53]
  • Bob Kerrey, former U.S. Senator from Nebraska (1989-2001) and Governor (1983-1987)[83]
  • Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative (CA-17)[54]
  • Andy Levin, U.S. Representative (MI-09)[80]
  • Ted Lieu, U.S. Representative (CA-33)[80]
  • Mark Pocan, U.S. Representative (WI-02)[53]
  • Katie Porter, U.S. Representative (CA-45)[84]
  • Jamie Raskin, U.S. Representative (MD-08)[53]
  • Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont and former 2016 and 2020 presidential candidate[85]
  • Jan Schakowsky, U.S. Representative (IL-09)[80]
  • Eric Swalwell, U.S. Representative (CA-15)[80]
  • Mark Takano, U.S. Representative (CA-41)[80]
  • Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts and former 2020 presidential candidate[52]
State officials
  • Kate Bolz, state senator and 2020 Democratic nominee in NE-01[86]
  • Tanya Cook, former state senator (2009-2017)[53]
  • Brenda Council, Omaha councilwoman and former state senator (2009-2013)[53]
  • Megan Hunt, state senator[53]
  • John S. McCollister, Nebraska state senator (Republican)[87]
  • Justin Wayne, state senator[53]
Local officials
  • Mike Boyle, county commissioner and former mayor of Omaha (1981-1987)[53]
  • Marian Fey, former member of the Omaha public schools board[53]
  • Ben Gray, Omaha councilman[53]
  • Jay Irwin, member of the Ralston school board[53]
  • Chris Jerram, Omaha City Council president[88]
  • Tim Rouse, former Omaha City Council president
  • Amanda Ryan, member of the Omaha public school board[53]
  • Marque Snow, president of the Omaha public school board[53]
  • Jim Suttle, former mayor of Omaha (2009-2013)[53]
Individuals
Organizations

Results[]

Despite Democratic Presidential Nominee Joe Biden winning the district by 6.5 points, Bacon defeated Eastman by 4.6 points. Eastman underperformed Biden by over 11 points.[103]

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 171,071 50.8
Democratic Kara Eastman 155,706 46.2
Libertarian Tyler Schaeffer 10,185 3.0
Total votes 336,962 100.0
Republican hold

District 3[]

2020 Nebraska's 3rd congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
  Adrian Smith, official 110th Congress photo portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Adrian Smith Mark Elworth Jr.
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 225,157 50,690
Percentage 78.5% 17.7%

U.S. Representative before election

Adrian Smith
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Adrian Smith
Republican

The 3rd district covers most of the rural western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent is Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 76.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Larry Lee Scott Bolinger, contractor and self-defense instructor[2]
  • William Elfgren, grocery worker[2][104]
  • Arron Kowalski, farmer[2]
  • Justin Moran, architectural draftsman, firefighter and welder[2]
  • Adrian Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative[105]

Results[]

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 96,260 82.6
Republican Arron Kowalski 6,424 5.5
Republican Justin Moran 6,374 5.5
Republican William Elfgren 4,063 3.5
Republican Larry Lee Scott Bolinger 3,389 2.9
Total votes 116,510 100.0

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Mark Elworth, Jr., acting chair of the Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska, former Legal Marijuana Now nominee for president in 2020[2][106]

Results[]

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Elworth, Jr. 26,772 100.0
Total votes 26,776 100.0

Libertarian primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]
  • Dustin C. Hobbs, reality television show participant[2][107]

Results[]

Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Dustin C. Hobbs 561 100.0
Total votes 561 100.0

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Safe R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results[]

Nebraska's 3rd congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 225,157 78.5
Democratic Mark Elworth Jr. 50,690 17.7
Libertarian Dustin C. Hobbs 10,923 3.8
Total votes 286,770 100.0
Republican hold

Notes[]

  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Did not vote and "Don't recall" with 0%
  3. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  4. ^ Would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%
  5. ^ a b c Includes "Refused"
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored by The Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates.
  2. ^ a b Poll conducted for the House Majority PAC.
  3. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Eastman's campaign
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the DCCC.

References[]

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  5. ^ Walton, Don. "Bolz will challenge Fortenberry for District 1 U.S. House seat". JournalStar.com. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  6. ^ Walton, Don. "Democratic 1st District House candidate focuses on health care, ag trade". JournalStar.com. Retrieved September 14, 2019.
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  54. ^ a b Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (April 24, 2020). ". @RoKhanna has been an inspiration. He's talked about the corrosive effect of money in politics and has fought for working people his entire career. Today I'm excited to announce he has endorsed me for Congress! t.co/7ofVjvpdNk" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 – via Twitter.
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  83. ^ Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (May 14, 2020). "Nebraska Democrats, I have just been endorsed by former Nebraska Governor and U.S. Senator Bob Kerrey!!! Democrats are coming together! We are a FORCE. Vote blue. ✊ @NebraskaDems @dccc @TheDemocrats t.co/pnzR3u0X7U" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 – via Twitter.
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  85. ^ Bernie Sanders [@BernieSanders] (September 16, 2020). "@karaforcongress is facing the same incumbent Republican she came within just 1.9% of defeating two years ago while running on a strong progressive platform that prioritizes the needs of working people in Omaha and beyond. Let's make sure Kara is elected to Congress this year" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  86. ^ Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (May 16, 2020). "Thank you to Nebraska State Senator @katejbolz for this endorsement and CONGRATULATIONS Kate on your primary win the other night! Like myself, Senator Bolz is running for Congress against a LOYAL Trump supporter. If I were @JeffFortenberry, I'd be scared. :) #DemocraticUnity t.co/KmpXmIhGZE" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 – via Twitter.
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  88. ^ Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (May 19, 2020). "I've been endorsed by the President! Omaha City Council President @ChrisJerram that is! t.co/pWDPi3aRV4" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 – via Twitter.
  89. ^ Jamaal Bowman [@JamaalBowmanNY] (September 25, 2020). ".@karaforcongress is a social worker, small business owner, and the founder of Nebraska's premiere children's environmental health agency. In 2018 Kara came within 1.9% of beating her Republican opponent and is now polling in a dead heat with him. Lets help her flip NE-02!" (Tweet). Retrieved September 25, 2020 – via Twitter.
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  95. ^ Muller, Tiffany (May 21, 2020). "End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Kara Eastman in NE-02". End Citizens United.
  96. ^ Kelly, Charlie; Speed, Jayden (May 28, 2020). "Everytown For Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Kara Eastman for U.S. House". Everytown for Gun Safety. Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund.
  97. ^ Sittenfeld, Tiernan (September 2, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kara Eastman for Election". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  98. ^ Muller, Tiffany (May 21, 2020). "End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Kara Eastman in NE-02". Let America Vote. Let America Vote.
  99. ^ "FEDERAL CANDIDATES ENDORSED BY NOW PAC | Nebraska". NOW PAC.
  100. ^ Kleeb, Jane (May 22, 2020). "Two Democratic Nebraska Women Work to Make History in Congressional Races". Nebraska Democratic Party. The Nebraska Democratic Party stands with state Sen. Kate Bolz and Kara Eastman as they work to make history in the November election.
  101. ^ McGill Johnson, Alexis (May 20, 2020). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Health Care Champions in Competitive Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
  102. ^ "Sierra Club Voter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide. March 19, 2021.
  103. ^ Livesey, Ben (November 4, 2020). "Biden Wins Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District". Retrieved February 15, 2021.
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External links[]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
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