2022 United States Senate election in Georgia

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2022 United States Senate election in Georgia

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Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Raphael Warnock
Democratic



The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia will be held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock was elected in a 2021 special election runoff with 51.0% of the vote and is eligible to seek a full term. He defeated Republican Kelly Loeffler, who was appointed to the U.S. Senate by Governor Brian Kemp following the resignation of Johnny Isakson at the end of 2019. Elected to serve the remainder of Isakson's unexpired six-year term, Warnock's term will expire in 2023.

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Raphael Warnock, incumbent U.S. Senator (2021–present)[1]
Democratic candidates[a]

Endorsements[]

Raphael Warnock
U.S. Senators
  • Jeff Merkley, United States Senator from Oregon (2009–present)[2]
  • Jon Ossoff, United States Senator from Georgia (2021–present)[3]
State officials
  • Demetrius Douglas, former professional football player and Georgia state representative (2013–present)[4]
Organizations

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Gary Black, Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia (2011–present)[10]
  • Josh Clark, former state representative and businessman[11]
  • Kelvin King, U.S. Air Force veteran, businessman, and founder of Osprey Management[12][13]
  • Latham Saddler, former Director of Intelligence Programs on the National Security Council under President Trump and former Navy SEAL officer.[12]
  • Herschel Walker, former running back for the Georgia Bulldogs, former professional football player, co-chair of the President's Council on Sports, Fitness, and Nutrition and CEO of Renaissance Man Food Services[14]
Republican candidates[a]

Publicly expressed interest[]

Potential[]

Declined[]

Endorsements[]

Herschel Walker
Executive branch officials
  • Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[32]
U.S. Senators
  • John Barrasso, U.S. Senator from Wyoming (2007–present)[33]
  • Steve Daines, U.S. Senator from Montana (2015–present)[34]
  • Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2003–present)[34]
  • Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)[34]
  • Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)[34]
  • Mitch McConnell, U.S Senator from Kentucky (1985–present), Senate Minority Leader (2021–present, 2007–2015), and former Senate Majority Leader (2015–2021)[35]
  • Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present)[34][36]
  • John Thune, U.S. Senator from South Dakota (2005–present), Senate Minority Whip (2021-present), and former Senate Majority Whip (2019-2021) [34]
  • Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Senator from Wyoming (2021–present)[37]
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
Individuals
  • Sean Hannity, American talk show host and conservative political commentator[44]
  • Franklin Graham, American evangelical evangelist and missionary[45][46]
Gary Black
Governors
U.S. Senators
  • Cindy Hyde-Smith, U.S. Senator from Mississippi (2018–present)[48]
U.S. Representatives
State Officials
  • Bubba McDonald, Georgia Public Service Commissioner[49]
  • Tricia Pridemore, Georgia Public Service Commissioner[50]

Polling[]

Graphical summary[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Gary
Black
Kelvin
King
Latham
Saddler
Herschel
Walker
Other Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R)[A] October 11–14, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 6% 1% 1% 74% 2%[c] 16%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 2–4, 2021 1,078 (LV) ± 3.0% 6% 2% 3% 76% 13%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[B] August 11–12, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 2% 1% 54% 3%[d] 35%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Doug
Collins
Marjorie
Taylor Greene
Kelly
Loeffler
Herschel
Walker
Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R) March 14–15, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 7% 22% 27% 11%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[e] 33% 24% 33% 11%
Primary runoff polling
Doug Collins vs. Kelly Loeffler
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Doug
Collins
Kelly
Loeffler
Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R) March 14–15, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 36% 10%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[e] 52% 32% 16%
Herschel Walker vs. Doug Collins
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Herschel
Walker
Doug
Collins
Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[e] 50% 36% 14%
Herschel Walker vs. Kelly Loeffler
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Herschel
Walker
Kelly
Loeffler
Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[e] 26% 62% 11%

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[51] Tossup November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[52] Battleground October 8, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[53] Tossup November 3, 2021

Polling[]

Raphael Warnock vs. Gary Black
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Raphael
Warnock (D)
Gary
Black (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 4–5, 2021 622 (V) ± 3.9% 46% 38% 16%
Raphael Warnock vs. Herschel Walker
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Raphael
Warnock (D)
Herschel
Walker (R)
Other Undecided
NRSC (R)[C] December 4–8, 2021 831 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 49% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 753 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 39% 2% 8%
733 (LV) 48% 42% 2% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 4–5, 2021 622 (V) ± 3.9% 48% 46% 6%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) March 7–9, 2021 1,093 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 48% 3% 4%
Hypothetical polling
Raphael Warnock vs. Kelly Loeffler
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Raphael
Warnock (D)
Kelly
Loeffler (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 4–5, 2021 622 (V) ± 3.9% 47% 44% 9%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) March 7–9, 2021 1,093 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 41% 8% 5%
Raphael Warnock vs. Doug Collins
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Raphael
Warnock (D)
Doug
Collins (R)
Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) March 7–9, 2021 1,093 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 45% 5% 5%

See also[]

Notes[]

  1. ^ a b The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ Jared Craig and James Nestor with 1%
  4. ^ Buddy Carter with 3%
  5. ^ a b c d Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by 34N22 Leadership
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee

References[]

  1. ^ Warnock, Raphael [@ReverendWarnock] (January 27, 2021). "Thanks to your support, we made history and flipped Georgia blue. But I'm already up for re-election, and Republicans are making plans right now to turn GA red again. Will you chip in $5 right now to jumpstart our re-election campaign? t.co/ptjYC3owPy" (Tweet). Archived from the original on July 27, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021 – via Twitter.
  2. ^ Merkley, Jeff [@JeffMerkley] (July 23, 2021). "Happy birthday to my friend and colleague @ReverendWarnock! And thank you Georgia for sending him to the U.S. Senate. We must re-elect him in 2022!" (Tweet). Archived from the original on July 26, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
  3. ^ Ossoff, Jon [@ossoff] (June 18, 2021). "Since yesterday we've raised $48,300 to support @ReverendWarnock's re-election. Can we hit $60k by tonight? ✅ Support year-round organizing and voter reg in Georgia. ✅ Keep Rev. Warnock in the U.S. Senate. @brianschatz @ChrisMurphyCT @JasonKander t.co/viOTLtOSTw" (Tweet). Archived from the original on July 18, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
  4. ^ Richards, Doug (June 30, 2021). "UGA football legend mulls U.S. Senate run". WXIA-TV. Archived from the original on November 4, 2021.
  5. ^ a b Bowman, Bridget (May 13, 2021). "Campaign finance-focused PAC makes first 2022 Senate endorsements". Roll Call. Archived from the original on May 17, 2021. Retrieved June 16, 2021.
  6. ^ "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
  7. ^ Courtnee Connon (June 10, 2021). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of U.S. Senate Endorsements in the 2022 Election Cycle". League of Conservation Voters.
  8. ^ Celine Castronuovo (September 14, 2021). "Warnock picks up major abortion rights group's endorsement in reelection bid". The Hill.
  9. ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  10. ^ "Georgia's agriculture commissioner running for US Senate". Associated Press. June 5, 2021. Retrieved June 5, 2021.
  11. ^ "Former Georgia representative Josh Clark announces bid for US Senate". WAGA-TV. November 15, 2021. Retrieved November 15, 2021.
  12. ^ a b c d Bluestein, Greg. "Georgia 2022: AG Chris Carr will run for re-election -- not US Senate". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved May 11, 2021.
  13. ^ Bluestein, Greg (April 12, 2021). "Republican Kelvin King to challenge Warnock in 2022 Senate contest". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on May 1, 2021. Retrieved May 8, 2021.
  14. ^ Bluestein, Greg (August 24, 2021). "Herschel Walker is running for U.S. Senate in Georgia". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved August 24, 2021.
  15. ^ Bluestein, Greg (March 17, 2021). "Drew Ferguson considers 2022 Senate bid against Warnock". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on May 1, 2021. Retrieved May 8, 2021.
  16. ^ Schnell, Mychael (June 16, 2021). "Loeffler meets with McConnell amid speculation of another Senate run". thehill.com. The Hill. Retrieved June 16, 2021.
  17. ^ Bluestein, Greg (October 23, 2019). "Georgia's top judge weighs applying for US Senate seat". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
  18. ^ Boone, Christian (February 12, 2021). "Georgia Supreme Court chief justice stepping down in July". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
  19. ^ Peebles, Will. "Buddy Carter considering a run for Rev. Raphael Warnock's Senate seat". www.savannahnow.com. Savannah Now. Retrieved April 19, 2021.
  20. ^ a b Bryant, Tim (July 7, 2021). "Congressman: "If Herschel's gonna run, I'm with him; if he's not, then I'm running"". WGAU. Archived from the original on July 24, 2021. Retrieved July 26, 2021.
  21. ^ Collins, Doug [@RepDougCollins] (April 26, 2021). "I'm announcing today that I will not be a candidate for any office in the next election cycle. Read more ⬇️ t.co/IruVtnjZl7" (Tweet). Archived from the original on September 24, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
  22. ^ Alex Rogers (April 26, 2021). "Trump ally Doug Collins will not run for Georgia Senate or governor in 2022". CNN.
  23. ^ a b c Bluestein, Greg (February 5, 2021). "'A mess.' Georgia politicians prepare for brutal 2022 battles". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved February 5, 2021.
  24. ^ Bowden, John (March 14, 2021). "Top Georgia republican says he wont run for senate". The Hill. Retrieved March 14, 2021.
  25. ^ Manu Raju; Alex Rogers (April 22, 2021). "With Trump's backing, Walker freezes Senate GOP field in Georgia". CNN.
  26. ^ Hurt, Emma (January 26, 2021). "Gov. Kemp Ready For 2022 Run, Despite Trump's Vow To Campaign Against Him". WABE. Retrieved February 1, 2021.
  27. ^ "David Perdue won't be running for Senate, after all". WRDW-TV. February 23, 2021. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
  28. ^ "David Perdue will not run for Senate seat in Georgia in 2022". Axios. February 23, 2021. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
  29. ^ Arkin, James (February 23, 2021). "Perdue rules out Georgia Senate comeback in 2022". Politico. Retrieved February 23, 2021.
  30. ^ "David Perdue officially announces run for governor in Georgia, setting up primary challenge to Brian Kemp". CNN. December 6, 2021.
  31. ^ "The Jolt: Georgia Speaker David Ralston won't run for U.S. Senate".
  32. ^ Prabhu, Maya T. (September 3, 2021). "Trump endorses Herschel Walker, Burt Jones in Georgia elections". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on September 17, 2021. Retrieved October 3, 2021.
  33. ^ Walker, Herschel [@HerschelWalker] (October 27, 2021). "On the road in the great state of Georgia, but wanted to thank my good friend Senator Barrasso, the Chairman of the Senate Republican Conference, for your endorsement today.