41st New Brunswick general election
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49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick 25 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 41st New Brunswick general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 21, 2024, according to the Legislative Assembly Act of 2017 which states that an election should be held every four years on the third Monday in October. [1]
Background[]
Standings[]
Affiliation | Assembly members | ||
---|---|---|---|
2020 election results | Current | ||
Progressive Conservative | 27 | 26 | |
Liberal | 17 | 16 | |
Green | 3 | 3 | |
People's Alliance | 2 | 2 | |
Total members | 49 | 47 | |
Total seats | 49 | 49 |
Opinion polls[]
- Voting Intentions in New Brunswick since the 2020 election
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | PC | Liberal | Green | PA | NDP | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Narrative Research | February 27, 2022 | [p 1] | 34 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 11 | ±4.2 pp | 545 | telephone | 3 |
Angus Reid | January 10, 2022 | [p 2] | 26 | 37 | 16 | 10 | 8 | ±7.0 pp | 216 | online | 11 |
MQO Research | December 14, 2021 | [p 3] | 29 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 11 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone (rolling) | 7 |
Narrative Research | November 24, 2021 | [p 4] | 28 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 13 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone | 10 |
Stratcom | November 6, 2021 | [p 5] | 20.5 | 39.8 | 17.9 | 12.0 | - | ±2.8 pp | 1,184 | IVR | 19.3 |
Angus Reid | October 3, 2021 | [p 6] | 31 | 31 | 12 | 12 | 13 | ±2.0 pp | 265 | online | 0 |
Narrative Research | August 17, 2021 | [p 7] | 33 | 29 | 22 | 5 | 11 | ±2.0 pp | 604 | telephone | 4 |
Angus Reid | June 7, 2021 | [p 8] | 36 | 31 | 17 | 12 | 4 | ±2.0 pp | 248 | online | 5 |
Narrative Research | May 31, 2021 | [p 9] | 39 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 8 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone (rolling) | 11 |
MQO Research | March 18, 2021 | [p 10] | 38 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 6 | ±4.9 pp | 400 | telephone (rolling) | 7 |
Narrative Research | February 17, 2021 | [p 11] | 35 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone (rolling) | 3 |
Narrative Research | November 22, 2020 | [p 12] | 41 | 28 | 20 | 4 | 6 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | telephone (rolling) | 13 |
Kevin Vickers resigns as Liberal Party leader; MLA for Dieppe Roger Melanson becomes interim leader (September 14, 2020) | |||||||||||
Election 2020 | September 14, 2020 | HTML | 39.3 | 34.4 | 15.2 | 9.2 | 1.7 | N/A | N/A | 4.9 | |
Polling Firm | Last Date of Polling |
Link | Margin of error | Sample size | Polling method | Lead | |||||
PC | Liberal | Green | PA | NDP |
References[]
- ^ Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick. "An Act to Amend the Legislative Assembly Act". Retrieved November 27, 2018.
Opinion poll sources[]
- ^ "Overall satisfaction with the performance of the New Brunswick provincial government has partially rebounded after a decline at the end of 2021". Narrative Research. 2022-03-03. Retrieved 2022-03-04.
- ^ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics". Angus Reid. January 2022.
- ^ "Fall/Winter 2021 Provincial Report New Brunswick" (PDF). MQO Research. December 2021.
- ^ "Overall satisfaction with the performance of the New Brunswick provincial government has declined dramatically, reaching the lowest level in more than two decades". Narrative Research. 2021-11-30. Retrieved 2022-01-21.
- ^ "New Brunswick Polling 2021 Public Service Workers Strike" (PDF). Stratcom. November 9, 2021.
- ^ "Spotlight on the Provinces: Concerns over health care, economy drive increasing dissatisfaction with governments". Angus Reid. October 27, 2021.
- ^ "Overall satisfaction with the performance of the New Brunswick provincial government remains high despite continued downward trend over the last year". Narrative Research. 2021-09-22. Retrieved 2022-01-21.
- ^ "Premiers' Performance: Ford and Kenney's popularity & political fortunes bear brunt of pandemic management" (PDF). Angus Reid. June 9, 2021.
- ^ "Overall satisfaction with the New Brunswick government's performance has declined, although it remains strong and above pre-pandemic levels". Narrative Research. June 3, 2021.
- ^ "Spring 2021 Provincial Report New Brunswick" (PDF). MQO Research. March 2021. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 8, 2021.
- ^ "Overall satisfaction with the performance of the New Brunswick provincial government continues to be high and remains well above pre-pandemic levels". Narrative Research. March 9, 2021.
- ^ "New Brunswick Voter Intentions" (PDF). Narrative Research. December 8, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 30, 2021.
Categories:
- Future elections in Canada
- Elections in New Brunswick
- 2020s elections in Canada
- Canadian election stubs