41st New Brunswick general election

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41st New Brunswick general election

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49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
25 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Blaine Higgs 2019 (cropped).jpg Roger Melanson.jpg
Leader Blaine Higgs Roger Melanson
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal
Leader since October 22, 2016 September 14, 2020
(Interim)
Leader's seat Quispamsis Dieppe
Last election 27 seats, 39.34% 17 seats, 34.35%
Current seats 27 17

  David Coon Cropped.jpg KrisAustin.jpg
Leader David Coon Kris Austin
Party Green People's Alliance
Leader since September 22, 2012 June 5, 2010
Leader's seat Fredericton South Fredericton-Grand Lake
Last election 3 seats, 15.24% 2 seats, 9.19%
Current seats 3 2

Incumbent Premier

Blaine Higgs
Progressive Conservative



The 41st New Brunswick general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 21, 2024, according to the Legislative Assembly Act of 2017 which states that an election should be held every four years on the third Monday in October. [1]

Background[]

Standings[]

Standings in the 60th Legislature of New Brunswick
Affiliation Assembly members
2020 election results Current
Progressive Conservative 27 26
Liberal 17 16
Green 3 3
People's Alliance 2 2
Total members 49 47
Total seats 49 49

Opinion polls[]

Voting Intentions in New Brunswick since the 2020 election
Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling
Link PC Liberal Green PA NDP Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
Narrative Research February 27, 2022 [p 1] 34 31 16 5 11 ±4.2 pp 545 telephone 3
Angus Reid January 10, 2022 [p 2] 26 37 16 10 8 ±7.0 pp 216 online 11
MQO Research December 14, 2021 [p 3] 29 36 16 5 11 ±4.9 pp 400 telephone (rolling) 7
Narrative Research November 24, 2021 [p 4] 28 38 14 5 13 ±3.5 pp 800 telephone 10
Stratcom November 6, 2021 [p 5] 20.5 39.8 17.9 12.0 - ±2.8 pp 1,184 IVR 19.3
Angus Reid October 3, 2021 [p 6] 31 31 12 12 13 ±2.0 pp 265 online 0
Narrative Research August 17, 2021 [p 7] 33 29 22 5 11 ±2.0 pp 604 telephone 4
Angus Reid June 7, 2021 [p 8] 36 31 17 12 4 ±2.0 pp 248 online 5
Narrative Research May 31, 2021 [p 9] 39 28 18 6 8 ±3.5 pp 800 telephone (rolling) 11
MQO Research March 18, 2021 [p 10] 38 31 17 5 6 ±4.9 pp 400 telephone (rolling) 7
Narrative Research February 17, 2021 [p 11] 35 32 20 6 6 ±3.5 pp 800 telephone (rolling) 3
Narrative Research November 22, 2020 [p 12] 41 28 20 4 6 ±3.5 pp 800 telephone (rolling) 13
Kevin Vickers resigns as Liberal Party leader; MLA for Dieppe Roger Melanson becomes interim leader (September 14, 2020)
Election 2020 September 14, 2020 HTML 39.3 34.4 15.2 9.2 1.7 N/A N/A 4.9
Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling
Link Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
PC Liberal Green PA NDP

References[]

  1. ^ Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick. "An Act to Amend the Legislative Assembly Act". Retrieved November 27, 2018.

Opinion poll sources[]

  1. ^ "Overall satisfaction with the performance of the New Brunswick provincial government has partially rebounded after a decline at the end of 2021". Narrative Research. 2022-03-03. Retrieved 2022-03-04.
  2. ^ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics". Angus Reid. January 2022.
  3. ^ "Fall/Winter 2021 Provincial Report New Brunswick" (PDF). MQO Research. December 2021.
  4. ^ "Overall satisfaction with the performance of the New Brunswick provincial government has declined dramatically, reaching the lowest level in more than two decades". Narrative Research. 2021-11-30. Retrieved 2022-01-21.
  5. ^ "New Brunswick Polling 2021 Public Service Workers Strike" (PDF). Stratcom. November 9, 2021.
  6. ^ "Spotlight on the Provinces: Concerns over health care, economy drive increasing dissatisfaction with governments". Angus Reid. October 27, 2021.
  7. ^ "Overall satisfaction with the performance of the New Brunswick provincial government remains high despite continued downward trend over the last year". Narrative Research. 2021-09-22. Retrieved 2022-01-21.
  8. ^ "Premiers' Performance: Ford and Kenney's popularity & political fortunes bear brunt of pandemic management" (PDF). Angus Reid. June 9, 2021.
  9. ^ "Overall satisfaction with the New Brunswick government's performance has declined, although it remains strong and above pre-pandemic levels". Narrative Research. June 3, 2021.
  10. ^ "Spring 2021 Provincial Report New Brunswick" (PDF). MQO Research. March 2021. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 8, 2021.
  11. ^ "Overall satisfaction with the performance of the New Brunswick provincial government continues to be high and remains well above pre-pandemic levels". Narrative Research. March 9, 2021.
  12. ^ "New Brunswick Voter Intentions" (PDF). Narrative Research. December 8, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 30, 2021.
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