43rd British Columbia general election

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43rd British Columbia general election
← 2020 On or before October 19, 2024 (2024-10-19)
All 87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia[a]
44 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
John Horgan 2015.jpg
ShirleyBond.jpg
Sonia Furstenau (cropped).jpg
Leader John Horgan Shirley Bond
(Interim) 		Sonia Furstenau
Party New Democratic Liberal Green
Leader since May 4, 2014 November 23, 2020[b] September 14, 2020
Leader's seat Langford-Juan de Fuca Prince George-Valemount Cowichan Valley
Last election 57 seats, 47.70% 28 seats, 33.77% 2 seats, 15.08%
Current seats 57 28 2
Incumbent Premier

John Horgan
New Democratic



The 43rd British Columbia general election will be held on or before October 19, 2024, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly to serve in the of the Canadian province of British Columbia.

Background[]

Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the third Saturday in October of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[2][3] The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the lieutenant governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as he or she sees fit (in practice, on the advice of the province's premier or following a vote of non-confidence).[2][4]

The Electoral Boundaries Commission is required to complete redistricting following the 2020 general election. The government appointed commissioners in October 2021. Their preliminary report must be completed by October 21, 2022.[5] The final number of provincial electoral districts, and thus seats in the next legislature, will not be known until their final report is release about six months later.[6][7]

Standings[]

Standings in the 42nd Parliament of British Columbia
Affiliation House members
2020 election results Current
New Democratic 57 57
Liberal 28 28
Green 2 2
Total members 87 87
Total seats 87 87

Opinion polls[]

Polling firm Client Dates conducted Sample size NDP Liberal Green Con. Others Polling method Margin of error Lead
Stratcom[p 1] N/A Nov 2–8 2021 803 50% 30% 16% N/A N/A IVR N/A 20%
Angus Reid[p 2] N/A Sep 29 – Oct 3 2021 448 45% 27% 14% 11% 2% Online ±4.0% 18%
Angus Reid[p 3] N/A Jun 2–7 2021 448 50% 24% 18% 7% 2% Online ±4.0% 26%
Insights West[p 4] N/A May 26–30 2021 831 42% 31% 19% 6% 2% Online ±3.4% 11%
Angus Reid[p 5] N/A Nov 24–30 2020 551 48% 26% 14% N/A 12% Online ±1.4% 22%
Nov 23, 2020 Shirley Bond becomes the interim leader of the BC Liberals
Nov 21, 2020 Andrew Wilkinson resigns as leader of the BC Liberals
2020 general election Oct 24, 2020 – 47.7% 33.8% 15.1% 1.9% 1.5% – – 13.9%

Notes[]

  1. ^ A redistribution is underway which may take effect prior to the election. Additional seats may be added as a result of the redistribution.
  2. ^ Bond became interim BC Liberal leader after Andrew Wilkinson resigned following the 2020 election. The party will elect a new permanent leader in 2022.[1]

References[]

  1. ^ "B.C. Liberals to choose next party leader in 2022 | CBC News". CBC. February 26, 2021. Retrieved February 26, 2021.
  2. ^ a b Constitution Act, s. 23.
  3. ^ Shaw, Rob (October 4, 2017). "NDP changes B.C.'s fixed election date from May to October". Vancouver Sun. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  4. ^ Zussman, Richard (May 26, 2017). "Christy Clark gets 1st chance to govern, but how long can it last?". CBC News.
  5. ^ "Electoral Boundaries Commission members appointed". news.gov.bc.ca. Ministry of Attorney General. October 21, 2021. Retrieved December 13, 2021.
  6. ^ "Electoral Boundaries Commission". elections.bc.ca. Elections BC. 2021. Retrieved December 13, 2021.
  7. ^ McElroy, Justin (May 11, 2021). "B.C. to add up to 6 new MLAs next election — but seats could be reduced in the Interior". CBC News. Retrieved December 13, 2021.

Opinion poll sources[]

  1. ^ "Poll shows high favourability rating for Premier John Horgan". Georgia Straight. December 12, 2021. Retrieved November 13, 2021.
  2. ^ "Spotlight on the Provinces: Concerns over health care, economy, drive increasing dissatisfaction with governments" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. October 27, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  3. ^ "Premiers' Performance: Ford and Kenney's popularity & political fortunes bear brunt of pandemic management" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. June 9, 2021. Retrieved July 5, 2021.
  4. ^ "Government of British Columbia Report Card — May 2021" (PDF). June 2021. Retrieved July 5, 2021.
  5. ^ "Provincial Spotlight: As pandemic wears on, governments losing support on economic, COVID-19 management" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. December 10, 2020. Retrieved January 12, 2021.

External links[]

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