31st Alberta general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

31st Alberta general election
← 2019 On or before May 29, 2023 (On or before May 29, 2023)
All 87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta
44 seats needed for a majority
 
Jason Kenney - 2018 (41455191460) (cropped).jpg
Rachel Notley crop.jpg
Leader Jason Kenney Rachel Notley
Party United Conservative New Democratic
Leader since October 28, 2017 October 18, 2014
Leader's seat Calgary-Lougheed Edmonton-Strathcona
Last election 63 seats, 54.88% 24 seats, 32.67%
Current seats 60 23
Seats needed Steady Increase21
 
Barry Morishita.jpg
Paul Hinman - Alberta Election 2012 - Wildrose Candidate.jpg
Leader Paul Hinman
Party Alberta Party Wildrose Independence
Leader since August 31, 2021 July 17, 2020
Leader's seat No seat No seat
Last election 0 seats, 9.08% pre-creation
Current seats 0 0
Seats needed Increase44 Increase44
Incumbent Premier

Jason Kenney
United Conservative



The 31st Alberta general election will be held in Alberta, Canada, to elect the members of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. According to Alberta's Election Act, it must be held on May 29, 2023,[1] but that does not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta to dissolve the legislature before that time, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.

Timeline[]

2019[]

2020[]

2021[]

  • January 4: Six UCP MLAs are demoted by Jason Kenney for travelling internationally during the COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta.[15]
  • January 14: Pat Rehn is removed from the UCP caucus to sit as an independent. Jason Kenney cited a lack of constituency work as the reason for the removal.[16]
  • March 6: John Roggeveen is appointed interim leader of the Alberta Liberal Party.[17]
  • April 7: 17 UCP MLAs sign an open letter criticizing the Alberta government for reimposing more stringent public health restrictions aimed at combatting COVID-19.[18][19]
  • May 13: UCP MLA Todd Loewen resigns as UCP Caucus Chair and releases a letter calling on Jason Kenney to resign.[20] Loewen and Drew Barnes are expelled from the UCP caucus through a caucus-wide vote. Both MLAs had criticized the UCP government's response to COVID-19. Both will sit as independents.[21]
  • July 13: Paul Hinman is elected leader of the WIP.[22]
  • July 14: Pat Rehn, Independent MLA for Lesser Slave Lake rejoins the UCP Caucus.[23][24]
  • August 15: Laila Goodridge resigns as the UCP MLA for Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche to run in the 2021 Canadian federal election.[25]
  • August 31: Barry Morishita is acclaimed as leader of the Alberta Party.[26]
  • November 15: 22 UCP constituency associations announce they have passed special motions calling for a review of Jason Kenney's leadership by March 1, 2022.[27]
  • December 21: MLA Thomas Dang resigns from the NDP caucus after the RCMP search his home.[28]

2022[]

  • April 9: A leadership review vote for Jason Kenney is to be held in Red Deer at a special general meeting of the UCP.[29]

Opinion polling[]

Voting Intentions in Alberta since the 2019 Election

The following is a list of published opinion polls of voter intentions.

Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Margin of error UCP NDP Alberta Liberal IPA Green Wildrose Others Lead
Leger[p 1] Postmedia Dec 2–5, 2021 1,249 Online 2.8% 32% 43% — — — — 10% — 11%
Mainstreet Research[p 2] Western Standard Oct 12–13, 2021 935 IVR 3.2% 29% 45% 6% 2% — 1% 13% — 16%
Commonground[p 3] N/A Sep 21–Oct 6, 2021 1,204 Online N/A 26.9% 49.5% 6.7% 5.2% — — 5.3% 6.4% 22.6%
Innovative Research[p 4] N/A Sep 24–Oct 5, 2021 672 Online N/A 29% 45% 5% 9% — 2% 8% 1% 16%
Angus Reid[p 5] N/A Sep 29–Oct 3, 2021 552 Online 2.0% 31% 43% 7% 2% — 1% 15% 2% 12%
Innovative Research[p 6] N/A Sep 10–12, 2021 209 Online N/A 31% 44% 5% 8% — 4% 7% 1% 13%
Leger[p 7] Postmedia July 22–26, 2021 1,377 Online 3% 34% 45% 6% 4% — — 8% 2% 11%
Angus Reid[p 8] N/A June 2–7, 2021 502 Online 4% 30% 41% 7% 1% — — 20% 2% 11%
Mainstreet Research[p 9] Western Standard May 19–20, 2021 1,010 IVR 3% 31% 38% 6% 3% — 3% 17% — 7%
Janet Brown Opinion Research[p 10] CBC Mar 15–Apr 10, 2021 1,200 Online 2.1% 37% 45% 6% — — — 6% 7% 8%
Leger[p 11] Calgary Herald Mar 5–8, 2021 1,001 Online 3.1% 30% 51% 5% 7% — — — 6% 21%
Commonground[p 12] N/A Mar 1–8, 2021 802 Online N/A 32% 42% 5% 6% — — 4% 9% 9%
Angus Reid[p 13] N/A Feb 26–Mar 3, 2021 603 Online 4% 38% 41% 10% — — — — 11% 3%
Mainstreet Research[p 14] Western Standard Jan 6–7, 2021 1,003 Smart IVR 3.1% 31% 48% 4% 3% — 2% 10% 2% 17%
Research Co.[p 15] N/A Dec 2–4, 2020 600 Online 4% 40% 43% 9% 2% — 2% 2% — 3%
Angus Reid[p 16] N/A Nov 24–30, 2020 553 Online — 43% 39% 10% — — — — 8% 4%
Environics Research[p 17] CUPE Nov 10–23, 2020 1,205 — — 40% 47% 8% — — — — 5% 7%
Angus Reid[p 18] N/A Aug 26–Sept 1, 2020 512 Online 4% 38% 38% 9% — 7% — — 8% Tie
Commonground[p 19] N/A Aug 17–30, 2020 824 Online N/A 37% 30% — 11% — — — 21% 7%
Innovative Research Group[p 20] N/A Jul 14–20, 2020 300 Online — 42% 32% 9% 12% — 3% — 3% 10%
Innovative Research Group[p 21] N/A Jun 19–June 23, 2020 267 Online — 44% 38% 5% 6% — 3% — 3% 6%
Innovative Research Groupp[p 22] N/A May 29–June 1, 2020 276 Online — 42% 28% 11% 14% — 3% — 2% 14%
Janet Brown Opinion Research[p 23] CBC May 25–June 1, 2020 900 Online 3.3% 46% 36% 10% 6% — — — 3% 10%
Angus Reid[p 24] N/A May 19–24, 2020 580 Online 1.4% 42% 36% 5% — 8% — — 8% 6%
Northwest Research Poll[p 25] Western Standard May 14–19, 2020 1,094 IVR 3% 40% 34% 8% 7% — 1% 10% — 6%
Innovative Research Group[p 26] N/A May 1–5, 2020 314 Online — 45% 30% 6% 8% — 7% — 2% 15%
Angus Reid[p 27] N/A Feb 24–28, 2020 555 Online — 40% 36% 8% — 9% — — 7% 4%
Mainstreet Research[p 28] 338Canada Feb 22, 2020 751 IVR 4% 47% 38% 6% 4% — — — 5% 9%
Stratcom[p 29] N/A Nov 21, 2019 1,798 IVR 2.2% 42% 46% — — — — — 12% 4%
Lethbridge College[p 30] N/A Oct 5-10, 2019 953 Telephone 3.17% 58.1% 23.2% 5.8% 7.8% — — — 5.2% 34.9%
2019 general election April 16, 2019 — — — 54.9% 32.7% 9.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% — 1.2% 22.2%

Opinion poll sources[]

  1. ^ "Two-thirds of Albertans feel Kenney deserves a leadership review, poll suggests". Edmonton Journal. December 14, 2021. Retrieved December 14, 2021.
  2. ^ "NDP support holding strong across Alberta". The Western Stranded. October 16, 2021. Retrieved October 16, 2021.
  3. ^ "Viewpoint Alberta: Albertans Continue to Abandon UCP in Fourth Wave of COVID-19". CommonGround. October 25, 2021. Retrieved October 26, 2021.
  4. ^ "Canada This Month: Alberta Politics" (PDF). Innovative Research. October 15, 2021. Retrieved October 15, 2021.
  5. ^ "Provincial Spotlight" (PDF). Angus Reid. October 27, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  6. ^ "Canada This Month" (PDF). Innovative Research. September 16, 2021. Retrieved September 17, 2021.
  7. ^ "Referendum Questions & Municipal Poll" (PDF). Leger. August 2, 2021. Retrieved August 12, 2021.
  8. ^ "Premiers' Performance: Ford and Kenney's popularity & political fortunes bear brunt of pandemic management" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. June 9, 2021. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
  9. ^ "EXCLUSIVE POLL: NDP 35, UCP 28, Wildrose 16". Western Standard. May 21, 2021. Retrieved May 21, 2021.
  10. ^ Anderson, Drew (April 14, 2021). "Alberta NDP would likely form majority if election held today, new poll suggests". CBC. Retrieved April 12, 2021.
  11. ^ Wesley, Jared; Snagovsky, Feodor (March 14, 2021). "Alberta Budget Rebound and Optimism" (PDF). QC 125. Leger. Retrieved March 14, 2021.
  12. ^ "Viewpoint Alberta: Major Shifts in Vote Intentions". commongroundpolitics.ca. March 18, 2021. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  13. ^ "Alberta Politics: NDP holds slight lead in vote intention over UCP". Angus Reid Institute. March 12, 2021. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  14. ^ Naylor, Dave (January 8, 2021). "EXCLUSIVE: New poll shows UCP collapse as NDP & Wildrose surge". The Western Standard. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  15. ^ Canseco, Mario (December 7, 2020). "Opposition NDP Edges Ahead of Governing UCP in Alberta". Research Co. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  16. ^ "Provincial Spotlight: As pandemic wears on, governments losing support on economic, COVID-19 management". Angus Reid Institute. December 10, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  17. ^ "Albertans ready to change government". CUPE Alberta (Press release). November 26, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  18. ^ "Alberta Spotlight: As dissatisfaction with UCP intensifies, voters say they're ready to take another look at the NDP". Angus Reid Institute. September 14, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  19. ^ Snagovsky, Feodor; Wesley, Jared (March 18, 2021). "Support for Political Parties and Leaders in Alberta". commongroundpolitics.ca. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  20. ^ "Alberta Politics in the time of COVID-19: July 2020 Update" (PDF). Innovative Research Group. July 29, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  21. ^ "Canada This Month, National Political Overview" (PDF). Innovative Research Group. June 26, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  22. ^ "Canada This Month, National Political Overview" (PDF). Innovative Research Group. June 4, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  23. ^ DeCillia, Brooks (June 10, 2020). "CBC News poll: Kenney, UCP would handily win election if held now". CBC News. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  24. ^ "Provincial Spotlight: COVID-19 creates comfort zone for incumbent governments coast to coast". Angus Reid Institute. June 8, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  25. ^ Naylor, Dave (May 28, 2020). "POLL: UCP 40, NDP, 34, WIP 10". The Western Standard. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  26. ^ "Canada This Month, Federal Politics" (PDF). Innovative Research Group. May 6, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  27. ^ "Provincial Spotlight: A cross-country breakdown of what issues matter most and government performance ratings". Angus Reid Institute. March 13, 2020. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  28. ^ Fournier, Philippe J. (February 24, 2020). "338Canada: Jason Kenney still holds a commanding lead in Alberta - Macleans.ca". Maclean's. Retrieved January 13, 2021.
  29. ^ Polling Canada [@CanadianPolling] (December 20, 2019). "Alberta Provincial Polling" (Tweet). Retrieved January 13, 2021 – via Twitter.
  30. ^ Ellis, Faron (Fall 2019). "Alberta Politics Provincial Vote Intention: Alberta Public Opinion Study – October 2019". Lethbridge College. Retrieved August 19, 2021.

References[]

  1. ^ Thomson, Graham (December 10, 2021). "Albertans should be taking notice of Bill 81. Here's why". CBC News. Retrieved December 10, 2021.
  2. ^ Leavitt, Kieran; Maimann, Kevin (April 30, 2019). "Jason Kenney sworn in as 18th premier of Alberta, names his UCP cabinet". thestar.com. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
  3. ^ "Derek Fildebrandt resigns as leader of upstart Freedom Conservative Party". Calgary Herald. The Canadian Press. April 30, 2019. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  4. ^ Leavitt, Kieran (May 21, 2019). "United Conservatives lay out agenda as new Speaker named to Alberta legislature". thestar.com. Retrieved April 8, 2021.
  5. ^ "Alberta Party leader Stephen Mandel steps down to pursue his role as Chancellor at Concordia University". Alberta Party (Press release). June 28, 2019. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
  6. ^ Graney, Emma (June 28, 2019). "Alberta Party leader Stephen Mandel steps down". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved April 2, 2021.
  7. ^ "Green Party Leader Steps Down, Interim Leader Appointed". Green Party of Alberta (Press release). September 4, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
  8. ^ "Alberta Green Party leader resigns after just 1 year in charge". CBC News. Calgary. September 7, 2019. Retrieved April 24, 2021.
  9. ^ "Acting Leader Appointed - Welcome Jacquie Fenske". Alberta Party (Press release). February 10, 2020. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
  10. ^ French, Janet (February 10, 2020). "Jacquie Fenske appointed acting leader of Alberta Party". Edmonton Journal. Retrieved April 2, 2021.
  11. ^ "Jordan Wilkie Elected Leader of the Green Party Of Alberta" (Press release). Green Party of Alberta. March 28, 2020. Archived from the original on April 25, 2020. Retrieved April 25, 2020.
  12. ^ Labby, Bryan (June 30, 2020). "Wexit Alberta and Freedom Conservative Party vote to merge as Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta". CBC News. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
  13. ^ Gilligan, Melissa (July 17, 2020). "Paul Hinman named interim leader of Alberta's new Wildrose Independence Party". Global News. Retrieved July 18, 2020.
  14. ^ Rieger, Sarah (November 22, 2020). "Alberta Liberal Leader David Khan steps down". CBC. Retrieved December 1, 2020.
  15. ^ Antoneshyn, Alex (January 4, 2021). "6 Alberta government members demoted amid international travel controversy". CTV News Edmonton. Retrieved January 24, 2021.
  16. ^ Ramsay, Caley (January 14, 2021). "Premier Jason Kenney removes MLA Pat Rehn from UCP caucus". Global News. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  17. ^ Wyld, Adrian (March 6, 2021). "Alberta Liberals appoint John Roggeveen as interim party leader". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved March 7, 2021.
  18. ^ Ritchie, Josh (April 7, 2021). "Seventeen UCP MLAs release statement opposing pandemic restrictions - 660 NEWS". www.660citynews.com. Retrieved April 8, 2021.
  19. ^ Barnes, Drew [@drew__barnes] (April 7, 2021). "A Statement from 15 UCP MLAs to all Albertans" (Tweet). Retrieved April 8, 2021 – via Twitter.
  20. ^ Vanderveen, Randy (May 13, 2021). "Todd Loewen resigns as United Conservative Party Caucus Chair". Grande Prairie Daily Herald-Tribune. Archived from the original on May 22, 2021.
  21. ^ "Drew Barnes & Todd Loewen expelled from UCP Caucus". Western Standard. May 13, 2021. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
  22. ^ Conroy, Jackie (July 14, 2021). "Paul Hinman wins WIP leadership". Western Standard. Archived from the original on July 14, 2021. Retrieved July 31, 2021.
  23. ^ "NEWS RELEASE: United Conservative Caucus welcomes back MLA Rehn" (Press release). July 14, 2021.
  24. ^ Riebe, Natasha (July 14, 2021). "Ousted Alberta MLA Pat Rehn invited back into UCP fold". CBC News. Edmonton. Retrieved July 19, 2021.
  25. ^ Beamish, Laura (August 15, 2021). "Laila Goodridge running as Conservative MP candidate for Fort McMurray-Cold Lake, resigned as UCP MLA". dailyheraldtribune. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  26. ^ "Brooks mayor acclaimed as leader of Alberta Party". CBC News. September 1, 2021. Retrieved November 30, 2021.
  27. ^ "UCP constituency associations say they passed vote triggering early Kenney leadership review". CBC News. November 15, 2021. Retrieved November 18, 2021.
  28. ^ Ramsey, Caley (December 21, 2021). "Alberta NDP MLA Thomas Dang steps down after RCMP search home". Global News. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  29. ^ Bennet, Dean. "Kenney leadership to come under microscope in April as UCP sets one-day confidence vote | Globalnews.ca". Global News. Retrieved December 10, 2021.

Footnotes[]

External links[]

Retrieved from ""