Bay of Quinte (electoral district)

Bay of Quinte
Ontario electoral district
	Bay of Quinte in relation to other electoral districts in Southern Ontario
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Neil Ellis; Liberal
;
District created	2013
First contested	2015
Last contested	2019
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)	109,735
Electors (2021)	94,197
Area (km²)	1,621.34
Pop. density (per km²)	67.7
Census division(s)	Hastings, Prince Edward
Census subdivision(s)	Belleville, Prince Edward, Quinte West

Bay of Quinte (French: Baie de Quinte) is a federal electoral district in central Ontario, Canada, centred on the Bay of Quinte.

Bay of Quinte was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for 19 October 2015.^[3] It was created out of parts of the electoral districts of Prince Edward—Hastings (62%) and Northumberland—Quinte West (38%).^[4]

Geography[]

The riding contains the municipalities of Prince Edward County, Quinte West and that part of Belleville south of Highway 401.

Demographics[]

According to the Canada 2016 Census; 2013 representation^[5]^[6]

Ethnic groups: 89.5% White, 6.6% Aboriginal
Languages: 92.4% English, 2.9% French
Religions (2011): 68.8% Christian (20.9% Catholic, 17.7% United Church, 10.9% Anglican, 2.8% Presbyterian, 2.5% Baptist, 1.7% Pentecostal, 12.2% Other), 29.6% No religion
Median income (2015): $31,144
Average income (2015): $40,294

Members of Parliament[]

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Bay of Quinte Riding created from Northumberland—Quinte West and Prince Edward—Hastings
42nd	2015–2019	Neil Ellis	Liberal
43rd	2019–present	Neil Ellis	Liberal

Election results[]

Graph of election results in Bay of Quinte (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

hide2021 Canadian federal election
The 2021 general election will be held on September 20.
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	New Democratic	Stephanie Bell
	Green	Erica Charlton
	Liberal	Neil Ellis
	People's	Janine LeClerc
	Conservative	Ryan Williams
Total valid votes
Total rejected ballots
Turnout
Eligible voters
Source: Elections Canada^[7]

hide v 2019 Canadian federal election
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	24,099	39.16	-11.58	$96,721.36
	Conservative	Tim Durkin	22,650	36.80	+2.53	$55,922.84
	New Democratic	Stephanie Bell	9,851	16.01	+3.87	none listed
	Green	Danny Celovsky	3,740	6.08	+3.86	$592.37
	People's	Paul Bordonaro	1,207	1.96		none listed
Total valid votes/Expense limit			61,547	99.25
Total rejected ballots			464	0.75	+0.38
Turnout			62,011	65.83	-2.30
Eligible voters			94,197
	Liberal hold		Swing		-7.05
Source: Elections Canada^[8]^[9]

hide v t 2015 Canadian federal election: Bay of Quinte
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Neil Ellis	29,281	50.74	+29.86	$118,473.86
	Conservative	Jodie Jenkins	19,781	34.27	−17.53	$109,092.53
	New Democratic	Terry Cassidy	7,001	12.13	−10.88	$21,205.50
	Green	Rachel Nelems	1,278	2.21	−1.56	–
	Independent	Trueman Tuck	372	0.64	–	$4,425.20
Total valid votes/Expense limit			57,713	99.64		$221,051.99
Total rejected ballots			211	0.36	–
Turnout			57,924	68.13	–
Eligible voters			85,021
	Liberal notional gain from Conservative		Swing		+23.69
Source: Elections Canada^[10]^[11]

2011 federal election redistributed results^[12]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	25,906	51.81
	New Democratic	11,508	23.01
	Liberal	10,441	20.88
	Green	1,886	3.77
	Others	265	0.53

References[]

^ Statistics Canada: 2017
^ Statistics Canada: 2017
^ Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts
^ Final Report – Ontario
^ https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=FED&Code1=35006&Geo2=PR&Code2=35&SearchText=Bay%20of%20Quinte&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=All&TABID=1&type=0
^ https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=FED2013&Code1=35006&Data=Count&SearchText=Bay%20of%20Quinte&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&A1=All&B1=All&Custom=&TABID=1
^ "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved 2 September 2021.
^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved May 5, 2021.
^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Bay of Quinte, 30 September 2015
^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2015-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

Coordinates: 44°04′44″N 77°17′42″W / 44.079°N 77.295°W / 44.079; -77.295

[1] Statistics Canada: 2017

[2] Statistics Canada: 2017

[timeline-3] Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts

[report-4] Final Report – Ontario

[5] ttps://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=FED&Code1=35006&Geo2=PR&Code2=35&SearchText=Bay%20of%20Quinte&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=All&TABID=1&type=0

[6] ttps://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=FED2013&Code1=35006&Data=Count&SearchText=Bay%20of%20Quinte&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&A1=All&B1=All&Custom=&TABID=1

[7] "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved 2 September 2021.

[8] "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 3, 2019.

[9] "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved May 5, 2021.

[10] Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Bay of Quinte, 30 September 2015

[11] Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2015-08-15 at the Wayback Machine

[12] Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

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show v t Federal ridings in Eastern Ontario
Liberal	Bay of Quinte Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Kingston and the Islands
Conservative	Hastings—Lennox and Addington Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry

show v t Historical federal ridings in Ontario
Until 2015	Ajax—Pickering Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale Barrie Bramalea—Gore—Malton Brampton—Springdale Brant Carleton—Mississippi Mills Chatham-Kent—Essex Halton Kitchener—Waterloo Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington Leeds—Grenville Mississauga—Brampton South Mississauga—Erindale Mississauga South Nepean—Carleton Niagara West—Glanbrook Northumberland—Quinte West Oak Ridges—Markham Ottawa—Orléans Peterborough Pickering—Scarborough East Prince Edward—Hastings St. Paul's Scarborough—Rouge River Trinity—Spadina Vaughan Welland Whitby—Oshawa York West
Until 2006	Clarington—Scugog—Uxbridge Grey—Bruce—Owen Sound Middlesex—Kent—Lambton
Until 2004	Algoma—Manitoulin Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Aldershot Barrie—Simcoe—Bradford Bramalea—Gore—Malton—Springdale Brampton Centre Brampton West—Mississauga Bruce—Grey Carleton—Lanark Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey Durham Erie—Lincoln Guelph—Wellington Haldimand—Norfolk—Brant Haliburton—Victoria—Brock Hamilton East Hamilton West Hastings—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington Kenora—Rainy River Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Markham Mississauga Centre Mississauga East Mississauga West Niagara Centre Nipissing Northumberland Oak Ridges Perth—Middlesex Pickering—Ajax—Uxbridge Scarborough East Stoney Creek Stormont—Dundas—Charlotenburgh Thunder Bay—Atikokan Timiskaming—Cochrane Toronto Centre—Rosedale Vaughan—King—Aurora Waterloo—Wellington Whitby—Ajax Windsor—St. Clair York North
Until 2000	Bramalea—Gore—Malton Broadview—Greenwood Carleton—Gloucester Kent—Essex London—Adelaide Stormont—Dundas Victoria—Haliburton Wentworth—Burlington
Until 1997	Algoma Beaches—Woodbine Brampton Cochrane—Superior Don Valley North Elgin—Norfolk Erie Essex—Kent Essex—Windsor Haldimand—Norfolk Halton—Peel Hamilton—Wentworth Kent Kitchener Lambton—Middlesex Lincoln London East London—Middlesex Markham—Whitchurch-Stouffville Nepean Oakville—Milton Ontario Ottawa West Perth—Wellington—Waterloo Rosedale Scarborough West Simcoe Centre Thunder Bay—Nipigon Timiskaming—French River Timmins—Chapleau Waterloo Welland—St. Catharines—Thorold Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Simcoe York—Simcoe
Until 1993	Brampton—Malton Elgin Markham Renfrew Timiskaming Windsor—Lake St. Clair
Until 1988	Beaches Brampton—Georgetown Durham—Northumberland Grey—Simcoe Guelph Halton Lanark—Renfrew—Carleton Mississauga North Nepean—Carleton Ottawa—Carleton Perth Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke Simcoe South Spadina Trinity Welland Wellington—Dufferin—Simcoe Windsor—Walkerville York East York—Peel York—Scarborough
Until 1984	Cochrane Hastings—Frontenac Sarnia
Until 1979	Broadview Bruce Don Valley Eglinton Etobicoke Fort William Frontenac—Lennox and Addington Greenwood Grenville—Carleton Halton—Wentworth Hastings High Park—Humber Valley Huron—Middlesex Kent—Essex Lambton—Kent Leeds Middlesex—London—Lambton Mississauga Norfolk—Haldimand Northumberland—Durham Oshawa—Whitby Parkdale Peel—Dufferin—Simcoe Perth—Wilmot Port Arthur Renfrew North—Nipissing East Sarnia—Lambton Thunder Bay Timmins Toronto—Lakeshore Waterloo—Cambridge Wellington Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Waterloo York—Simcoe York South
Until 1974	Huron Middlesex Ottawa East Peel South Waterloo
Until 1972	Essex Glengarry—Prescott High Park Lakeshore Lanark and Renfrew Perth Renfrew North Sarnia Wellington—Grey
Until 1968	Algoma East Algoma West Brant—Haldimand Brantford Carleton Danforth Dufferin—Simcoe Durham Essex East Essex South Essex West Grenville—Dundas Grey—Bruce Grey North Hamilton South Hastings—Frontenac Hastings South Kent Kingston Lambton West Lanark London Middlesex East Middlesex West Norfolk Northumberland Peel Prince Edward—Lennox Renfrew South Russell Simcoe East Stormont Victoria Waterloo North Waterloo South Wellington—Huron Wellington South Wentworth York—Humber
Until 1953	Brant—Wentworth Frontenac—Addington Glengarry Haldimand Hastings—Peterborough Huron North Huron—Perth Kingston City Peterborough West Prescott Wellington North
Until 1949	Brant Brantford City Muskoka—Ontario Parry Sound
Until 1935	Bruce North Bruce South Elgin West Grey Southeast Huron South Lambton East Norfolk—Elgin City of Ottawa Oxford North Oxford South Perth North Perth South Port Arthur—Thunder Bay Timiskaming North Timiskaming South Toronto East Toronto East Centre Toronto—High Park Toronto Northeast Toronto Northwest Toronto—Scarborough Toronto South Toronto West Centre
Until 1925	Brantford Dufferin Dundas Elgin East Essex North Fort William and Rainy River Frontenac Glengarry and Stormont Grenville Hastings East Hastings West Kingston Lennox and Addington Muskoka Norfolk North Oxford Ontario North Ontario South Peterborough East Port Arthur and Kenora Prince Edward Simcoe South South Oxford Timiskaming Toronto Centre Toronto North Toronto West York East
Until 1917	Brockville Glengarry Grey East Grey South Huron East Huron West Kent East Kent West Lanark North Lanark South Middlesex North Northumberland East Northumberland West Stormont Thunder Bay and Rainy River York Centre
Until 1904	Addington Algoma Bothwell Brant South Bruce East Bruce West Cardwell Centre Toronto Cornwall and Stormont Durham East Durham West East York Grenville South Haldimand and Monck Hamilton Hastings North Kent Leeds North and Grenville North Leeds South Lennox Lincoln and Niagara Middlesex South Muskoka and Parry Sound Norfolk North Norfolk South Ontario West Victoria North Victoria South Wellington Centre Wentworth North and Brant Wentworth South West Toronto York West
Until 1896	Brant North Haldimand Monck Wentworth North
Until 1882	Bruce South Cornwall Essex Huron Centre Huron North Lambton Lincoln Muskoka Niagara Stormont