2020 United States Senate election in Iowa
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 County results Ernst: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Greenfield: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Iowa |
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 |
 Federal government |
 State government |
 Cedar Rapids |
 Des Moines |
The 2020 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primaries were held on June 2.[1]
Most experts and pollsters considered this race and the concurrent presidential race as a tossup due to incumbent President Donald Trump's low approval ratings and Ernst's own popularity dropping in polls. Despite this, Ernst was reelected by a larger-than-expected 6.6 points, while Trump simultaneously won the state with a similarly unexpected margin of victory. Ernst carried an overwhelming majority of the state's counties including many rural ones, while Greenfield carried only 8 counties: Polk, Linn, Scott, Johnson, Black Hawk, Story, Cerro Gordo, and Jefferson. [2]
Republican primary[]
Candidates[]
Nominee[]
Withdrawn[]
Endorsements[]
Joni Ernst
- Organizations
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joni Ernst (incumbent) | 226,589 | 98.64% | |
| Republican | Write-In | 3,132 | 1.36% | |
| Total votes | 229,721 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary[]
On June 2, 2020, Theresa Greenfield won the Democratic primary with 47.71% of the vote, defeating three other major candidates, including Michael T. Franken, a retired U.S. Navy admiral and former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy.[10][11][12][13][14]
Greenfield grew up on a small farm where her family raised crops and hogs.[15] She took courses at Iowa Lakes Community College and Iowa State University before graduating from Minnesota State University, Mankato in 1987 with a bachelor's degree in design and human environment.[16] At 24 years old, Greenfield's husband, an electrician, was killed in a work accident.[17][18] She has credited Social Security, workers' compensation, and family support with helping her through that period, during which she was caring for a one-year-old son and pregnant with a child born five months later.[18][19][20][21]
In 2005, Greenfield took a position at the homebuilding company Rottlund Homes, where she was named president of the Iowa division in 2007.[22] In 2012, Greenfield became president of the Des Moines commercial real estate firm Colby Interests,[23] based in Windsor Heights, Iowa.[21]
Candidates[]
Nominee[]
- Theresa Greenfield, businesswoman, candidate for Iowa's 3rd congressional district in 2018[24]
Eliminated in primary[]
- Michael T. Franken, retired U.S. Navy admiral and former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy[25]
- Kimberly Graham, child welfare attorney[26][27]
- Eddie Mauro, businessman, teacher, candidate for Iowa's 3rd congressional district in 2018[28]
Withdrawn[]
- Cal Woods, journalist and U.S. Navy veteran[29][30][31] (endorsed Michael T. Franken) (remained on ballot)
Declined[]
- Cindy Axne, incumbent U.S. Representative for Iowa's 3rd congressional district (running for reelection, endorsed Greenfield)[32]
- Chet Culver, former Governor of Iowa[33]
- Deirdre DeJear, nominee for Secretary of State of Iowa in 2018[34]
- Abby Finkenauer, incumbent U.S. Representative for Iowa's 1st congressional district (running for reelection, endorsed Greenfield)[35][36]
- Amber Gustafson, candidate for the Iowa Senate in 2018 (endorsed Greenfield)[37]
- Rita Hart, former state senator and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2018 (running in Iowa's 2nd congressional district)[5][38][39]
- Rob Hogg, state senator[5][38]
- Liz Mathis, state senator[40]
- Rob Sand, Iowa State Auditor[5][41]
- J.D. Scholten, nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018 (running in Iowa's 4th congressional district)[42]
- Tom Vilsack, former Governor of Iowa and former U.S. Secretary of Agriculture[43]
- Stacey Walker, Linn County supervisor (endorsed Graham)[44][45]
- Steve Warnstadt, former state senator and intelligence officer in the Iowa Army National Guard[5][38]
Debates[]
| Host
network |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theresa
Greenfield |
Michael
D. Franken |
Kimberly
Graham |
Eddie
Mauro | |||
| Iowa PBS | May 18, 2020 | [46] | Present | Present | Present | Present |
Endorsements[]
Michael Franken
- Federal officials
- Chuck Hagel, former U.S. Secretary of Defense (2013–2015) and U.S. Senator from Nebraska (1997–2009)[47] (Republican)
Kimberly Graham
- Individuals
- Paula Jean Swearengin, Democratic nominee in 2020 West Virginia U.S. Senate race[48]
- Organizations
Theresa Greenfield
- Federal officials
- Barack Obama, former U.S. President[51]
- Sherrod Brown, U.S. Senator from Ohio[52]
- Abby Finkenauer, U.S. Representative (IA-01)[36]
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. Representative (AZ-08) (2007–2012)[53]
- Dave Loebsack, U.S. Representative (IA-02)[54]
- State officials
- Sally Pederson, former Lieutenant Governor (1997–2007)[53]
- Pam Jochum, state senator and former Iowa Senate president (2013–2017)[53]
- Janet Petersen, state senator and Senate Minority Leader[53]
- Zach Wahls, state senator[53]
- Jim Lykam, state senator[53]
- Tony Bisignano, state senator[53]
- Amanda Ragan, state senator[53]
- Joseph Bolkcom, state senator[53]
- Marti Anderson, state representative[53]
- Jo Oldson, state representative[53]
- Sharon Steckman, state representative[53]
- Monica Kurth, state representative[53]
- Mary Mascher, state representative[53]
- Cindy Winckler, state representative[53]
- Bruce Hunter, state representative[53]
- John Forbes, state representative[53]
- Bob Kressig, state representative[53]
- Kristin Sunde, state representative[53]
- Robert Dvorsky, former state senator (1995–2019) and state representative (1987–1995)[53]
- Joe Riding, former state representative (2013–2015)[53]
- Ro Foege, former state representative (1996–2008)[53]
- Individuals
- Jon Bauman, Social Security Works PAC president and former Sha Na Na member (1970–1983)[53]
- Andy McGuire, former Iowa Democratic Party chair[53]
- Christie Vilsack, former Iowa First Lady (1997–2007)[53]
- Unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 61[53]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 431[53]
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 89, 67, 111, 577, 21[53]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 238[53]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Iowa State Conference[53]
- American Federation of Government Employees[53]
- Organizations
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Michael Franken |
Kimberly Graham |
Theresa Greenfield |
Eddie Mauro |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 5–6, 2020 | 849 (V) | – | 12% | 4% | 43% | 4% | 36% |
| Emerson College | October 13–16, 2019 | 317 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 74% |
Results[]
County results
Results by county:
Greenfield—70–80%
Greenfield—60–70%
Greenfield—50–60%
Greenfield—40–50%
Greenfield—<40%
Franken—<40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Theresa Greenfield | 132,001 | 47.71% | |
| Democratic | Michael T. Franken | 68,851 | 24.88% | |
| Democratic | Kimberly Graham | 41,554 | 15.02% | |
| Democratic | Eddie Mauro | 30,400 | 10.99% | |
| Democratic | Cal Woods (withdrawn) | 3,372 | 1.21% | |
| Democratic | Write-In | 514 | 0.19% | |
| Total votes | 276,692 | 100.00% | ||
Other candidates[]
Rick Stewart, the Libertarian nominee
Libertarian Party[]
Nominee[]
- Rick Stewart, Libertarian nominee for the 2018 Iowa Secretary of Agriculture election and independent candidate for the 2014 United States Senate election in Iowa[64]
Independents[]
Declared[]
- Suzanne Herzog, economist and former ER nurse[65]
General election[]
Major media described the campaign as one of the most likely to decide control of the Senate after the 2020 election.[66][67] Polls conducted after the primary showed a close contest between Greenfield and Ernst, with neither candidate leading by more than 4 points.[68][69][70][71]
Through June 2020, Greenfield had raised $11.5 million, compared to $14.6 million for Ernst but by September, Greenfield had pulled ahead, raising $40.0 million compared to $21.6 million for Ernst.[72][73][74] The race was expected to be the most expensive in the state's history,[75] and the second most expensive Senate race in the United States, after the 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina, where Cal Cunningham challenged Thom Tillis.[76]
Debate[]
| Host | Date & Time | Link(s) | Participants | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joni Ernst (R) | Theresa Greenfield (D) | |||
| Iowa Press Debates | September 28, 2020 | [77] | Present | Present |
Predictions[]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[78] | Tossup | October 29, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[79] | Tossup | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[80] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[81] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[82] | Tossup | October 30, 2020 |
| RCP[83] | Tossup | October 23, 2020 |
| DDHQ[84] | Tossup | November 3, 2020 |
| 538[85] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
| Economist[86] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements[]
Joni Ernst (R)
- Organizations
- Maggie's List[8]
- Campaign for Working Families[87]
- Huck PAC[88]
Theresa Greenfield (D)
- Federal officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[89]
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States, 2020 Democratic nominee for President
- Sherrod Brown, U.S. Senator from Ohio[52]
- Abby Finkenauer, U.S. Representative (IA-01)[36]
- Gabby Giffords, former U.S. Representative (AZ-08)[53]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, United States Senator from New York[90]
- Dave Loebsack, U.S. Representative (IA-02)[54]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S Senator from Massachusetts[91]
- State and local officials
- Sally Pederson, former Lieutenant Governor of Iowa[53]
- Pam Jochum, state senator and former Iowa Senate president (2013–2017) and state representative (1993–2009)[53]
- Janet Petersen, state senator and Senate Minority Leader[53]
- Zach Wahls, state senator[53]
- Jim Lykam, state senator[53]
- Tony Bisignano, state senator[53]
- Amanda Ragan, state senator[53]
- Joseph Bolkcom, state senator[53]
- Marti Anderson, state representative[53]
- Jo Oldson, state representative[53]
- Sharon Steckman, state representative[53]
- Monica Kurth, state representative[53]
- Mary Mascher, state representative[53]
- Cindy Winckler, state representative[53]
- Bruce Hunter, state representative[53]
- John Forbes, state representative[53]
- Bob Kressig, state representative[53]
- Kristin Sunde, state representative[53]
- Robert Dvorsky, former state senator[53]
- Joe Riding, former state representative[53]
- Ro Foege, former state representative[53]
- Individuals
- Jon Bauman, Social Security Works PAC president and former Sha Na Na member[53]
- Andy McGuire, former Iowa Democratic Party chair[53]
- Christie Vilsack, former Iowa First Lady (1999–2007)[53]
- Unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 61[53]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 431[53]
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 89, 67, 111, 577, 21[53]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 238[53]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Iowa State Conference[53]
- American Federation of Government Employees[53]
- National Education Association[92]
- United Auto Workers[93]
- Newspapers
- Cedar Rapids Gazette[94]
- Des Moines Register[95]
- Dubuque Telegraph Herald[96]
- Iowa City Press-Citizen[97]
- Quad City Times[98]
- Organizations
- Brady Campaign[55]
- Center for Biological Diversity[99]
- Climate Hawks Vote[100]
- Council for a Livable World[101]
- Democracy for America[102]
- DSCC[56]
- EMILY's List[57]
- End Citizens United[58]
- Everytown for Gun Safety[103]
- Feminist Majority PAC[59]
- Giffords[60]
- J Street PAC[104]
- League of Conservation Voters[61]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[62]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[105]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[106]
- Population Connection[63]
Polling[]
Graphical summary[]
Aggregate polling[]
| Theresa Greenfield vs. Joni Ernst | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Theresa Greenfield | Joni Ernst | Other/Undecided[b] | Margin |
| Real Clear Politics | November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 45.8% | 47.2% | 7.0% | Ernst +1.4 |
| 270 to Win | November 2, 2020 | November 3, 2020 | 46.6% |
47.0% |
6.4% | Ernst +0.4 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Theresa Greenfield (D) |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–2, 2020 | 871 (V) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Change Research | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 48% | 4%[c] |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 50% | 2%[d] |
| Data for Progress | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | 6%[e] |
| Emerson College | October 29–31, 2020 | 604 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48%[f] | 51% | 2%[g] |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[A] | October 30, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 45% | 4%[h] |
| Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | October 26–29, 2020 | 814 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 42% | 11%[i] |
| Quinnipiac University | October 23–27, 2020 | 1,225 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 46% | 1%[j] |
| RABA Research | October 21–24, 2020 | 693 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 51% | – |
| Emerson College | October 19–21, 2020 | 435 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 51%[f] | 46% | 3%[k] |
| RMG Research | October 15–21, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43%[l] | 46% | 10%[m] |
| 41%[n] | 48% | 10%[m] | ||||
| 45%[o] | 45% | 10%[m] | ||||
| Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 18–20, 2020 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 44% | 12%[p] |
| Insider Advantage (R)[A] | October 18–19, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 48% | 8%[q] |
| Monmouth University | October 15–19, 2020 | 501 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | 5%[r] |
| 501 (LV)[s] | 47% | 49% | – | |||
| 501 (LV)[t] | 45% | 51% | – | |||
| Data for Progress (D) | October 8–11, 2020 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 47% | 10%[u] |
| YouGov/CBS | October 6–9, 2020 | 1,022 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 47% | 10%[v] |
| Opinion Insight (R)[B] | October 5–8, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 47%[f] | 45% | 8%[w] |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 3–6, 2020 | 756 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 6%[x] |
| Quinnipiac University | October 1–5, 2020 | 1,205 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 50% | 5%[j] |
| Data for Progress (D) | September 23–28, 2020 | 743 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 42%[l] | 44% | 14%[y] |
| 45%[z] | 46% | 9%[aa] | ||||
| Hart Research Associates (D)[C] | September 24–27, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | – |
| RABA Research | September 23–26, 2020 | 780 (LV) | ± 4% | 39% | 51% | – |
| Monmouth University | September 18–22, 2020 | 402 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 47% | 5%[ab] |
| 402 (LV)[s] | 46% | 49% | 5%[ac] | |||
| 402 (LV)[t] | 47% | 48% | 5%[ac] | |||
| Siena College/NYT Upshot | September 16–22, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.99% | 40% | 42% | 19%[ad] |
| Selzer/Des Moines Register | September 14–17, 2020 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | 12%[ae] |
| Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[D] | August 30 – September 5, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 45% | 5%[af] |
| Opinion Insight (R)[B] | August 30 – September 2, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 49%[f] | 43% | 7%[ag] |
| Public Policy Polling | August 13–14, 2020 | 729 (V) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 48% | 8%[ah] |
| Monmouth University | July 30 – August 3, 2020 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | 6%[ai] |
| 401 (LV)[s] | 48% | 47% | 6%[ai] | |||
| 401 (LV)[t] | 48% | 47% | 5%[aj] | |||
| Data for Progress | July 24 – August 2, 2020 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 45% | 11%[ak] |
| RMG Research | July 27–30, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 40% | 24%[al] |
| Spry Strategies (R)[E] | July 11–16, 2020 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 43% | 45% | 12%[am] |
| GQR Research (D)[F] | June 23–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Selzer/Des Moines Register | June 7–10, 2020 | 674 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| Civiqs/Daily Kos | June 6–8, 2020 | 865 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 48% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[G] | June 3–4, 2020 | 963 (V) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 30 – May 1, 2020 | 1,222 (V) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 42% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[F] | December 13–15, 2019 | 944 (V) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
| Emerson College | October 13–16, 2019 | 888 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 40% | 14% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[H] | April 24–29, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | – |
Hypothetical polling
- with Eddie Mauro
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Eddie Mauro (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RABA Research/Eddie Mauro[H] | May 7–9, 2020 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 42% | – |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[H] | April 24–29, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 58%[l] | 33% | – |
| 49%[an] | 44% | – |
- with Joni Ernst and generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | April 29–30, 2019 | 780 (V) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 44% | – |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[I] | June 30 – July 1, 2017 | 784 (V) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 41% | 12% |
- with Joni Ernst and Generic Opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joni Ernst (R) |
Generic Opponent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. | March 2–5, 2020 | 667 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 41% | 31% | 3%[ao] | 26%[ap] |
- with generic Republican and generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D)[H] | April 24–29, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 41% | – |
Results[]
While Greenfield flipped one county that Ernst had won in 2014, carrying Scott County, Ernst flipped seven counties, winning Clinton, Des Moines, Dubuque, Floyd, Howard, Lee and Worth counties.[107]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joni Ernst (incumbent) | 864,997 | 51.74% | -0.36% | |
| Democratic | Theresa Greenfield | 754,859 | 45.15% | +1.39% | |
| Libertarian | Rick Stewart | 36,961 | 2.21% | +1.48% | |
| Independent | Suzanne Herzog | 13,800 | 0.83% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 1,211 | 0.07% | -0.03% | ||
| Total votes | 1,671,828 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
Results by congressional district[]
| District | Ernst | Greenfield | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 49.48% | 47.42% | Abby Finkenauer |
| Ashley Hinson | |||
| 2nd | 49.17% | 47.65% | Dave Loebsack |
| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | |||
| 3rd | 48.75% | 48.20% | Cindy Axne |
| 4th | 60.22% | 36.66% | Steve King |
| Randy Feenstra |
See also[]
- 2020 Iowa elections
Notes[]
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Center for American Greatness, a pro-Trump organization.
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The American Action Forum, which is a 501 organization which usually supports Republican candidates.
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Human Rights Campaign, which has endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period.
- ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
- ^ This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the End Citizens United, which has only supported Democratic candidates who are against the landmark Citizens United Supreme Court ruling.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Emily's List, an organization that supports Democratic female candidates.
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Eddie Mauro campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Save My Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
- Voter samples
- ^ a b c d e f Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Stewart (L) with 2%; "Don't recall" and Undecided with 1%; Herzog (I) and would not vote with 0%
- ^ Stewart (L) and Undecided with 1%; Herzog (I) and "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ Herzog (I) with 3%; Stewart (L) with 2%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
- ^ a b c d With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Herzog (I) and Stewart (L) with 1%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" and "Undecided/do not remember" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ a b c Standard VI response
- ^ a b c "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
- ^ Results generated with high Republican turnout model
- ^ Herzog (I) and Stewart (L) with 2%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%
- ^ Stewart (L) with 5%; Herzog (I) with 0%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ Herzog (I), "No one" and Stewart (L) with 1%; "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
- ^ a b c With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ^ a b c With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ^ Stewart (L) with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%; "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 6%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 8%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 4%
- ^ Stewart (L) with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ Herzog (I) and Stewart (L) with 1%; Undecided with 12%
- ^ If the only candidates were Ernst and Greenfield
- ^ Undecided with 9%
- ^ Stewart (L) with 1%; Herzog (I), "Other" and "No one" with 0%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ a b Stewart (L) with 1; Herzog (I) with 0%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ Herzog (I) and Stewart (L) with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 14%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%
- ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ Undecided with 8%
- ^ a b Stewart (L) with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%; Undecided with 3%
- ^ Stewart (L) and Undecided with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%
- ^ "No one" with 11%
- ^ Undecided with 24%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 7%
- ^ Response after pollster addresses respondents with talking points about Ernst and Mauro
- ^ Would not vote with 3%
- ^ "Would consider voting for someone else" with 20%; "unsure" with 6%
References[]
- ^ "United States Senate election in Iowa, 2020 (June 2 Democratic primary)". ballotpedia.org. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
- ^ {{cite web| title=United States Senate election in Iowa, 2020 (General Election)|url=https://www.petoskeynews.com/elections/results/race/2020-11-03-senate-IA-17247/
- ^ Cohen, Zach C. (December 5, 2018). "How 2014's Outsiders Became 2020's Insiders". National Journal. Archived from the original on July 9, 2019. Retrieved December 5, 2018.
- ^ Axelrod, Tal (December 8, 2018). "Iowa's Ernst will run for reelection in 2020". TheHill. Retrieved December 30, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 – Online Guide to Iowa Politics". politics1.com. Retrieved December 31, 2018.
- ^ Tope, Mallory (October 31, 2019). "Candidates gear up campaigns for Iowa U.S. Senate race". Iowa State Daily. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- ^ "Primary Election". sos.iowa.gov.
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Her husband, Rob, a lineman at the local power company, was killed in workplace accident years ago…
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And former state Sen. Rita Hart, the 2018 Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor, is a potential candidate, according to multiple Iowa Democrats, but she has not discussed a campaign publicly.
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Further reading[]
- Amber Phillips (October 9, 2020), "The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November", Washingtonpost.com
External links[]
- "League of Women Voters of Iowa". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "Iowa 2019 & 2020 Elections", Followthemoney.org
- Official campaign websites
Categories:
- United States Senate elections in Iowa
- 2020 United States Senate elections
- 2020 Iowa elections