2018 Vermont gubernatorial election
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| Turnout | 55.6% | ||||||||||||||||
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Scott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hallquist: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Vermont |
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 Federal government |
 State government |
 Burlington |
The 2018 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Vermont, concurrently with the election of Vermont's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott, who was first elected in 2016, was re-elected to a second term in office.[1] Hallquist's 40.4% was also the worst performance for a Democratic Party candidate since 2008.
Background[]
Along with New Hampshire, Vermont is one of only two states where governors are elected to two-year terms. Republican Phil Scott was elected in the 2016 election.[1]
Republican primary[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Phil Scott, incumbent governor[1]
Eliminated in primary[]
- Keith Stern, businessman, Republican candidate for U.S. Representative in 2010, Independent candidate for U.S. Representative in 2006, Independent candidate for U.S. Senator in 2004[2][3]
Endorsements[]
Debates and forums[]
- CCTV Channel 17 Republican Primary Forum for Governor 7/25/2018
- WCAX Democratic+Republican forum 7/31/2018
Results[]
Results by county:
Scott—70–80%
Scott—60–70%
Scott—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Phil Scott (incumbent) | 24,042 | 66.67 | |
| Republican | Keith Stern | 11,617 | 32.22 | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 401 | 1.11 | |
| Total votes | 36,060 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican | Blank votes | 700 | ||
| Republican | Overvotes | 20 | ||
Democratic primary[]
Candidates[]
Nominated[]
Eliminated in primary[]
- James Ehlers, executive director of Lake Champlain International and environmentalist[6]
- John S. Rodgers, current State Senator from Essex County, former State Representative, and construction business owner[7] (write-in candidate)
- Brenda Siegel, opioid epidemic and Brattleboro hurricane relief activist and worker, former community organizer for Bernie Sanders, southern Vermont nonprofit executive and founding director[8] (also ran in Progressive primary)
- Ethan Sonneborn, freshman in high school[9] who began his campaign when he was 13 years old.[10] The election was held a few weeks before he entered his freshman year of high school.[11] His campaign was focused on healthcare for all, the environment, economy, and education.[12] Had he won, he would have been the youngest governor in American history.[12] Vermont (as well as Kansas) does not have a minimum age requirement for governor.
Endorsements[]
James Ehlers
- Organizations
- AFL-CIO
- People
- Ben Cohen
Brenda Siegel
- Statewide and local politicians
- Businesses
- Vermont Green Grow Wellness Center
- Organizations
- Emerge Vermont
- SolutionsToWork
- People
- Mark Hughes, executive director of Justice for All, organizer of Poor Peoples Campaign VT[15]
Debates and forums[]
- Brattleboro Community TV Democratic Gubernatorial Candidates Forum 6/6/2018
- CCTV Channel 17 Democratic Primary Forum for Governor hosted by VTDigger 8/2/2018
- WCAX Democratic+Republican forum 7/31/2018
Results[]
Results by county:
Hallquist—60–70%
Hallquist—50–60%
Hallquist—40–50%
Hallquist—30–40%
Siegel—40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Christine Hallquist | 27,622 | 45.07 | |
| Democratic | James Ehlers | 12,668 | 20.67 | |
| Democratic | Brenda Siegel | 12,260 | 20.01 | |
| Democratic | Ethan Sonneborn | 4,696 | 7.66 | |
| Democratic | John S. Rodgers (write-in) | 950 | 1.55 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins (other) | 3,074 | 5.02 | |
| Total votes | 61,279 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic | Blank votes | 7,997 | ||
| Democratic | Overvotes | 68 | ||
With this result, Christine Hallquist became the first openly transgender candidate for governor nominated by a major political party in the United States.[17][18]
Progressive primary[]
Candidates[]
Eliminated in primary[]
Write-in[]
- Brenda Siegel (also ran in Democratic primary)
Endorsements[]
Brenda Siegel
- Statewide and local politicians
- Mike Mrowicki, State Representative
- Tommy Walz, State Representative
- Businesses
- Vermont Green Grow Wellness Center
- Organizations
- Emerge Vermont
- SolutionsToWork
- People
- Mark Hughes, executive director of Justice for All, organizer of Poor Peoples Campaign VT
Debates and forums[]
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive | Brenda Siegel (write-in) | 35 | 8.75 | |
| Progressive | Write-ins (other) | 365 | 91.2 | |
| Total votes | 400 | 100.0 | ||
| Progressive | Blank votes | 199 | ||
Libertarian nomination[]
Candidates[]
Withdrawn[]
- Seth Cournoyer[20] (running for State Senate instead)
Liberty Union nomination[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Emily Peyton, candidate for governor in 2014[21]
Independents[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Trevor Barlow, business and startup executive and founder, coach, as well as community and nonprofit board volunteer[21][22]
- Cris Ericson, activist and perennial candidate
- Charles Laramie, activist, roofing architect, school teacher, United States Navy veteran, and Vermont Air National Guard[23][24]
- Stephen Marx, environmentalist
Write-in[]
Withdrawn[]
- Joseph Barney, auto and agricultural mechanic, member of the Vermont Army National Guard, and school teacher[27]
General election[]
Debates[]
- Complete video of debate, October 17, 2018
Predictions[]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[28] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[29] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[30] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[31] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[33] | Likely R | November 4, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[34] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[35][a] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico[36] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing[37] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Endorsements[]
Christine Hallquist (D)
- US Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[38][39]
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[40]
- US Senators
- Cory Booker, US Senator (D-NJ)[41]
- Elizabeth Warren, US Senator (D-MA)[41]
- Bernie Sanders, US Senator (I-VT)[41]
- Patrick Leahy, US Senator (D-VT)[41]
- US Representatives
- Statewide and local politicians
- Martin O'Malley, former Governor of Maryland[42]
- Claire Ayer, state senator[43]
- Chris Bray, state senator[43]
- Joey Donovan, state representative[43]
- Alice Emmons, state representative[43]
- Helen Head, state representative[43]
- Matt Hill, state representative[43]
- Warren Kitzmiller, state representative[43]
- Gabe Lucke, state representative[43]
- Curt McCormack, state representative[43]
- Dick McCormack, state senator[43]
- Mary Sullivan, state representative[43]
- Individuals
- Misha Collins, actor and former White House intern[44]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, educator and political activist; Democratic nominee for NY-14 in 2018[45]
- Labor unions
- Vermont-NEA[46]
- Organizations
- Human Rights Campaign[47]
- Justice Democrats
- LGBTQ Victory Fund[48]
- LPAC[49]
Phil Scott (R)
- Statewide and local politicians
- Rep. David Ainsworth
- Rep. Bob Bancroft
- Rep. Fred Baser
- Rep. Lynn Batchelor
- Rep. Scott Beck
- Senate Minority Leader Joe Benning[50]
- Sen. Carolyn Branagan
- Rep. Pat Brennan
- Sen. Randy Brock
- Rep. Tom Burditt
- Rep. Bill Canfield
- Sen. Brian Collamore
- Rep. Larry Cupoli
- Rep. Dennis Devereux
- Rep. Lynn Dickinson
- Rep. Anne Donahue
- Gov. Jim Douglas (former)[51]
- Lt gov. Brian Dubie (former)[51]
- Rep. Peter Fagan
- Rep. Marty Feltus
- Sen. Peg Flory
- Rep. Bob Frenier
- Rep. Marianna Gamache
- Rep. Rodney Graham
- Rep. Jim Harrison
- Rep. Bob Helm
- Rep. Mark Higley
- Rep. Bernie Juskiewicz
- Rep. Brian Keefe
- Rep. Rob LaClair
- Rep. Richard Lawrence
- Rep. Paul Lefebvre
- Rep. Patti Lewis
- Rep. Michael Marcotte
- Rep. Marcia Martel
- Rep. Chris Mattos
- Rep. Pattie McCoy
- Rep. Topper McFaun
- Rep. Mary Morrissey
- Rep. Linda Myers
- Rep. Gary Nolan
- Rep. Corey Parent
- Rep. Chuck Pearce
- Rep. Connie Quimby
- Rep. Carl Rosenquist
- Rep. Brian Savage
- Rep. Heidi Scheuermann
- Rep. Butch Shaw
- Rep. Brian Smith
- Rep. Harvey Smith
- Sen. David Soucy
- Rep. Vicki Strong
- Rep. Tom Terenzini
- House Minority Leader Don Turner
- Rep. Warren Van Wyck
- Rep. Gary Viens
- Sen. Richie Westman
- Rep. Janssen Willhoit
- Rep. Kurt Wright
- Organizations
- National Federation of Independent Business[52]
Declined to endorse
- Planned Parenthood Vermont Action Fund[53]
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Phil Scott (R) |
Christine Hallquist (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 885 | ± 3.3% | 49% | 39% | – | 12% |
| Braun Research | October 5–14, 2018 | 495 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 28% | 7%[54] | 22% |
| Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party) | September 23–26, 2018 | 406 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 42% | – | – |
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Phil Scott (incumbent) | 151,261 | 55.19% | +2.28% | |
| Democratic | Christine Hallquist | 110,335 | 40.25% | -3.91% | |
| Independent | Trevor Barlow | 3,266 | 1.19% | N/A | |
| Independent | Charles Laramie | 2,287 | 0.83% | N/A | |
| Marijuana | Cris Ericson | 2,129 | 0.78% | N/A | |
| Earth Rights | Stephen Marx | 1,855 | 0.68% | N/A | |
| Liberty Union | Emily Peyton | 1,839 | 0.66% | -2.17% | |
| Write-in | 1,115 | 0.41% | -0.31% | ||
| Total votes | 274,087 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Despite initial expectations of a potentially close race due to national blue wave, Scott easily won reelection in what became a difficult year for Republicans, winning by 15 percentage points.
References[]
- ^ a b c Hallenbeck, Terri; Heintz, Paul (November 9, 2016). "Republican Phil Scott Elected Governor of Vermont". Seven Days. Retrieved November 27, 2016.
- ^ Bradley, Pat. "Vermont Gubernatorial Candidate Keith Stern Discusses His Campaign". Retrieved 2018-04-09.
- ^ https://vtelectionarchive.sec.state.vt.us/candidates/view/Keith-Stern
- ^ Evans, Brad (February 19, 2018). "Transgender woman to run for governor of Vermont". WPTZ.
- ^ Trotta, Daniel. "In first, transgender woman wins Democratic nomination for Vermont..." reuters.com.
- ^ Hirschfeld, Peter. "Water Quality Advocate James Ehlers To Run For Governor, As Democrat". Retrieved 2017-08-03.
- ^ "YCN Vermont Wrap with Keith Hanson 6/16/18". YCN Now. 2018-06-16. Retrieved 2018-07-18.
- ^ Walters, John (May 8, 2018). "Walters: Anti-Poverty Advocate Launches Bid for Vermont Governor". Seven Days.
- ^ "Thirteen-year-old runs for Governor of Vermont". Burlington Free Press. August 24, 2017. Retrieved August 31, 2017.
- ^ McCullum, April (August 8, 2018). "Meet the 14-year-old running for Vermont governor". Burlington Free Press. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
- ^ Robinson, Adia (August 14, 2018). "14-year-old is running to be Vermont's next governor". ABC News. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
- ^ a b Luz Henning Santiago, Amanda (August 14, 2018). "The website for Vermont's 14-year-old gubernatorial candidate has convinced me he's fit for the job". Mashable. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
- ^ "Letter: Mrowicki supports Siegel". reformer.com.
- ^ "Brenda Siegel for Vermont". www.facebook.com.
- ^ "Mark A. Hughes". www.facebook.com.
- ^ ":: Vermont Election Night Results ::". vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us. Archived from the original on 2017-08-11. Retrieved 2018-08-15.
- ^ "Transgender candidate makes history with win in Vermont governor primary". ABC News. 15 August 2018.
- ^ Bidgood, Jess (August 14, 2018). "Christine Hallquist, a Transgender Woman, Wins Vermont Governor's Primary". The New York Times.
- ^ ":: Vermont Election Night Results ::". vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us. Archived from the original on 2017-08-11. Retrieved 2018-08-15.
- ^ "2018 Vermont Libertarian Party Convention Summary". 2018-05-03.
- ^ a b https://www.sec.state.vt.us/media/914034/2018-general-election-candidate-listing.xlsx
- ^ name=https://www.trevor4vt.com
- ^ https://www.laramieforvtgov.com/about
- ^ "Candidates - Elections - Vermont Secretary of State". www.sec.state.vt.us. Archived from the original on 2016-06-01. Retrieved 2018-08-12.
- ^ Holt, Jared. "White Supremacy Figured Out How To Become YouTube Famous". Right Wing Watch. Retrieved 3 August 2021.
- ^ "YouTube Star Styxhexenhammer - aka Tarl Warwick - Running for Vermont Governor". thegoldwater.com.
- ^ "Barney joins Vermont governor's race as independent". burlingtonfreepress.com.
- ^ "2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2021-04-10.
- ^ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. 17 October 2018. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
- ^ "2018 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. October 9, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News. 10 October 2021.
- ^ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
- ^ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Archived from the original on October 21, 2018. Retrieved 2018-07-18.
- ^ Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter.
- ^ "VT Insights: Hallquist rakes in endorsements from Obama, Biden, Warren and Sanders".
- ^ "Biden endorses Hallquist for governor".
- ^ a b c d e f "Supporters".
- ^ Martin O'Malley. "Proud to support @christineforvt, a leader in green energy and health care for the state of Vermont". Twitter.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "Christine Hallquist - Posts". Facebook. July 23, 2018. Retrieved July 26, 2018.
- ^ Battipaglia, Helena (September 12, 2018). "'Supernatural' actor supports Democratic gubernatorial candidate". www.mynbc5.com. WPTZ.
- ^ Ocasio-Cortez, Alexandria [@Ocasio2018] (August 14, 2018). "Incredible and groundbreaking victory. Congratulations @christineforvt & shout out to Vermont voters for continuing VT's legacy of courageous inclusion & advocacy for all people" (Tweet). Retrieved October 16, 2018 – via Twitter.
- ^ Tinney, Don (August 28, 2018). "Vermont-NEA Recommends Hallquist for Governor". www.vtnea.org. Vermont-NEA Board.
- ^ Peters, Stephen (August 29, 2018). "HRC Endorses Christine Hallquist for Governor of Vermont | Human Rights Campaign". Human Rights Campaign.
- ^ Byrne, Robert (May 22, 2018). "Victory Fund Endorses 24 More LGBTQ Candidates for 2018, Spotlights Five New Historic Races". LGBTQ Victory Fund. LGBTQ Victory Fund.
- ^ Sandberg, Stephanie (July 26, 2018). "LPAC Announces 5 New Endorsements for Local Office as Primaries Approach - LPAC". LPAC. Archived from the original on September 1, 2018. Retrieved September 1, 2018.
- ^ "Republican Leaders Endorse Governor Phil Scott". Phil Scott for Vermont. August 6, 2018.
- ^ a b "Governor Jim Douglas and Lt. Governor Brian Dubie Endorse Governor Phil Scott for Reelection". Phil Scott for Vermont. August 3, 2018.
- ^ "Phil Scott Receives Small-Business Endorsement in the Race for Governor". NFIB. October 9, 2018.
- ^ Landen, Xander (October 7, 2018). "Planned Parenthood declines to endorse in governor's race". VTDigger.
- ^ Trevor Barlow (I), Cris Ericson (I), Charles Laramie (I), and Emily Peyton (LU) with 1%; none/write in/other with 3%
External links[]
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites
Categories:
- 2018 Vermont elections
- Vermont gubernatorial elections
- 2018 United States gubernatorial elections