Opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine Senate election
This article covers opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine Senate election.
Opinion polling in Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia and other pollsters.
Those who win outright are in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.
Polling for senatorial elections[]
Pollsters usually do face-to-face interviews on respondents. They sometimes present respondents with a mock ballot on which the respondent will mark his or her choices for the Senate. The Senate of the Philippines is elected via multiple non-transferable vote on an at-large basis, where a voter has 12 votes, cannot transfer any of the votes to a candidate, and can vote for up to twelve candidates. If the mock ballot has 13 or more preferences, the pollster classifies it as "invalid."
Pollsters, aside from publishing preferences per candidate, also include other data such as averages on how many candidates the respondents included on their preferences.
Calendar[]
- Filing of candidacies: October 1 to 8, 2021
- Deadline in substituting a candidate for it to appear on the ballot: November 15, 2021
- Campaign period for nationally elected positions: February 8 to May 7, 2022
- Campaign period for locally elected positions: March 25 to May 7, 2022
- Election day: May 9, 2022
Survey details[]
| Date/s administered | Pollster | Sample size | Margin of error | Major issues when poll was administered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11–12, 2021[1] | MBC–DZRH | 7,614 | ±1.13% | |
| Dec 6–10, 2021[2] | Publicus Asia | 1,500 | ±2.6% | |
| Dec 1–6, 2021[3] | Pulse Asia | 2,400 | ±2.0 | |
| Oct 20–23, 2021[4][5] | SWS | 1,200 | ±3.0% | |
| Oct 11–18, 2021[6] | Publicus Asia | 1,500 | ±2.6% | Filing of certificates of candidacy |
| Sep 12–16, 2021[7][8] | SWS | 1,200 | ±3.0% | |
| Sep 6–11, 2021[9][10] | Pulse Asia | 2,400 | ±2.0% | |
| Jul 24–31, 2021[11] | MBC–DZRH | 7,500 | ±1.13% | |
| Jul 13–19, 2021[12] | Publicus Asia | 1,500 | ±2.6% | The Philippines recorded its first instance Delta variant of Covid-19. |
| Jun 7–16, 2021[13][14] | Pulse Asia | 2,400 | ±2.0% | 1Sambayan announced its nominees for president and vice-president. |
| Mar 20–29, 2021[15] | Publicus Asia | 1,500 | ±2.6% | |
| Feb 22–Mar 3, 2021[16][17] | Pulse Asia | 2,400 | ±2.0% | Dismissal of the Marcos v. Robredo electoral protest. |
| Nov 23–Dec 2, 2020[18][19] | Pulse Asia | 2,400 | ±2.0% | Typhoon Ulysses, appointment of Debold Sinas as Chief of the Philippine National Police |
Per candidate[]
October 2021–January 2022[]
| Name | Party | Oct 11–18, 2021 Publicus[6] |
Oct 20–23, 2021 SWS[4][5] |
Dec 1–6, 2021 Pulse[3] |
Dec 6–10, 2021 Publicus[2] |
Dec 11–12. 2021 MBC[1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Baguilat | Liberal | 11.07% | 3.0% | 1.5% | — | — | |
| Lutgardo Barbo | PDP–Laban | — | — | 0.8% | — | — | |
| Carl Balita | Aksyon | 9.33% | 2.0% | 2.2% | — | — | |
| Herbert Bautista | NPC | 26.87% | 24.0% | 21.9% | 24.53% | 13.5% | |
| Greco Belgica | PDDS | 12.13% | 2.0% | 1.3% | — | — | |
| Silvestre Bello Jr. | PDP–Laban | — | — | 5.3% | — | 6.1% | |
| Jejomar Binay | UNA | 24.33% | 40.0% | 44.7% | 23.87% | 35.2% | |
| Roy Cabonegro | PLM | — | — | 0.6% | — | — | |
| John Castriciones | PDP–Laban | 3.73% | 1.0% | 0.4% | — | — | |
| Alan Peter Cayetano | Independent | 46.27% | 50.0% | 64.1% | 45.27% | 43.1% | |
| Melchor Chavez | WPP | — | — | 5.0% | — | — | |
| Neri Colmenares | Makabayan | 17.87% | 7.0% | 8.6% | — | 10.2% | |
| David D' Angelo | PLM | — | — | 0.5% | — | — | |
| Noli de Castro | Aksyon | 36.40% | 28.0% | — | — | — | |
| Leila de Lima | Liberal | 13.07% | 11.0% | 12.3% | — | 12.0% | |
| Monsour del Rosario | Reporma | — | 7.0% | 7.6% | — | — | |
| Chel Diokno | KANP | 27.20% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 25.47% | 12.1% | |
| Rodrigo Duterte | PDDS | — | — | 35.8% | 55.53% | 34.0% | |
| JV Ejercito | NPC | 19.60% | 26.0% | 32.1% | — | 25.8% | |
| Guillermo Eleazar | Reporma | — | — | 9.9% | 25.87% | 8.4% | |
| Francis Escudero | NPC | 58.33% | 51.0% | 53.9% | 56.73% | 39.0% | |
| Luke Espiritu | PLM | — | — | 0.4% | — | — | |
| Jinggoy Estrada | PMP | 13.40% | 33.0% | 34.4% | — | 29.7% | |
| Baldomero Falcone | DPP | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Larry Gadon | KBL | 20.00% | — | 9.7% | 23.00% | 17.3% | |
| Win Gatchalian | NPC | 41.47% | 25.0% | 40.1% | 41.60% | 39.6% | |
| Richard J. Gordon | Bagumbayan | 28.80% | 26.0% | 23.2% | 26.67% | 21.3% | |
| Samira Gutoc | Aksyon | 8.87% | 4.0% | 2.6% | — | — | |
| Gregorio Honasan | Independent | 25.67% | 23.0% | 30.5% | 20.13% | 21.8% | |
| Risa Hontiveros | Akbayan | 34.67% | 36.0% | 35.5% | 32.53% | 25.2% | |
| Elmer Labog | Makabayan | — | — | 0.7% | — | — | |
| Alex Lacson | Ang Kapatiran | 11.00% | — | 12.7% | — | 8.6% | |
| Rey Langit | PDP–Laban | 5.93% | 4.0% | 3.9% | — | — | |
| Loren Legarda | NPC | 40.20% | 45.0% | 58.7% | 37.80% | 31.9% | |
| Rodante Marcoleta | PDP–Laban | 13.87% | 5.0% | 7.9% | — | 8.1% | |
| Sonny Matula | Independent | — | — | 1.4% | — | — | |
| Leo Olarte | Bigkis Pinoy | — | — | 1.2% | — | — | |
| Minguita Padilla | Reporma | — | — | 1.3% | — | — | |
| Robin Padilla | PDP–Laban | 22.33% | 29.0% | 35.6% | 25.07% | 29.2% | |
| Salvador Panelo | PDP–Laban | 18.27% | 5.0% | 5.6% | — | 6.4% | |
| Astravel Pimentel-Naik | PDP–Laban | — | — | 14.9% | — | 9.0% | |
| Emmanuel Piñol | NPC | 14.67% | 6.0% | 5.2% | — | — | |
| Harry Roque | PRP | — | — | 18.7% | 24.33% | 17.7% | |
| Nur-Ana Sahidulla | PDDS | 5.13% | — | — | — | — | |
| Joed Serrano | Independent | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | |
| Jopet Sison | Aksyon | — | — | 5.8% | — | — | |
| Gilbert Teodoro | PRP | 26.40% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 23.00% | 9.2% | |
| Antonio Trillanes | Liberal | 15.27% | 21.0% | 27.0% | — | 19.0% | |
| Raffy Tulfo | Independent | 46.33% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 41.67% | 54.3% | |
| Joel Villanueva | Independent | 34.20% | 27.0% | 41.6% | 33.27% | 25.6% | |
| Mark Villar | Nacionalista | 37.07% | 40.0% | 53.1% | 35.27% | 36.8% | |
| Juan Miguel Zubiri | Independent | 39.87% | 44.0% | 49.4% | 37.40% | 42.3% | |
| Don't know | 3.2% | ||||||
| Refused | 0.3% | ||||||
| None | 1.2% | ||||||
| Invalid votes (13 or more names) | |||||||
Before October 2021[]
This list includes all individuals named by at least 10% of respondents in any of the surveys.
| Name | Party | Nov 23–Dec 2, 2020 Pulse[18][19] |
Feb 22–Mar 3, 2021 Pulse[16][17] |
Mar 20–29, 2021 Publicus[15] |
Jun 7–16, 2021 Pulse[13][14] |
Jul 13–19, 2021 Publicus[12] |
Jul 24–31, 2021 MBC[11] |
Sep 6–11, 2021 Pulse[9][10] |
Sep 12–16, 2021 SWS[7][8] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Aquino | Liberal | 19.9% | 19.5% | — | 18.7% | 17.1% | 22.6% | 28.3% | 19.0% | |
| Jejomar Binay | UNA | — | 27.1% | — | 30.5% | — | 26.9% | 29.5% | 16.0% | |
| Alan Peter Cayetano | Nacionalista | 46.0% | 44.4% | 21.4% | 46.0% | 27.3% | 41.7% | 53.6% | 38.0% | |
| Mike Defensor | PRP | 15.2% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 23.4% | 14.8% | 15.3% | — | |
| Leila de Lima | Liberal | 6.0% | 4.8% | — | 7.5% | — | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | |
| Monsour del Rosario | Reporma | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.0% | |
| Chel Diokno | Independent | 8.5% | 6.2% | 14.4% | 5.6% | 16.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | — | |
| Ces Drilon | Independent | — | 8.3% | — | 10.4% | — | 19.7% | — | — | |
| Paolo Duterte | NUP | 22.3% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 16.4 | — | 17.1 | — | — | |
| Sara Duterte | HNP | 50.9% | 47.5% | 30.7% | 47.7% | 27.5% | 26.5% | — | — | |
| JV Ejercito | NPC | 22.8% | 22.7% | — | 19.4% | — | 18.0% | 22.4% | 19.0% | |
| Francis Escudero | NPC | 46.7% | 46.6% | 57.7% | 45.6% | 60.4% | 33.9% | 47.9% | 41.0% | |
| Jinggoy Estrada | PMP | 28.0% | 30.1% | — | 33.3% | — | 25.2% | 29.4% | 29.0% | |
| Win Gatchalian | NPC | 28.1% | 28.1% | 24.0% | 23.4% | 24.2% | 20.7% | 25.4% | 21.0 | |
| Richard J. Gordon | Independent | 26.9% | 26.0% | — | 22.5% | — | 18.9% | 23.9% | 21.0% | |
| Gregorio Honasan | Independent | 22.5% | 18.2% | — | 17.8% | — | 20.4% | 19.8% | 19.0% | |
| Risa Hontiveros | Akbayan | 27.0% | 23.9% | 30.5% | 21.8% | 31.7% | 21.4% | 25.1% | 25.0% | |
| Panfilo Lacson | Reporma | 38.2% | 38.1% | 18.7% | 35.7% | 22.5% | 30.7% | 40.5% | — | |
| Mark Lapid | Aksyon | 20.4% | 13.8% | — | 16.5% | — | 21.8% | 19.0% | — | |
| Loren Legarda | NPC | 45.6% | 46.2% | 22.3% | 38.8% | 29.8% | 28.0% | 47.2% | 41.0% | |
| Teodoro Locsin Jr. | PDP–Laban | — | — | 14.3% | — | 20.6% | — | — | — | |
| Bongbong Marcos | Nacionalista | 41.8% | 40.7% | 27.5% | 39.7% | 29.2% | 28.0% | 40.2% | — | |
| Isko Moreno | Aksyon | 48.4% | 53.0% | 68.9% | 53.7% | 70.0% | 28.8% | 42.3% | — | |
| Karlo Nograles | PDP–Laban | 13.2% | 9.3% | — | 6.3% | — | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | |
| Willie Ong | Aksyon | — | 19.6% | 63.3% | 20.6% | 60.3% | 26.9% | 19.8% | — | |
| Manny Pacquiao | PDP–Laban | 62.1% | 58.9% | 66.3% | 54.0% | 40.5% | 31.5 | 42.2% | — | |
| Francis Pangilinan | Liberal | 27.9% | 26.9% | 21.3% | 22.8% | 22.4% | 19.0% | 26.8% | 28.0% | |
| Willie Revillame | Independent | — | 34.3% | — | 34.8% | — | 34.3% | 36.6% | 25.0% | |
| Martin Romualdez | Lakas | 6.8% | 2.7% | 14.7% | 4.4% | 20.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | — | |
| Harry Roque | PRP | 18.4% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | |
| Mar Roxas | Liberal | 18.5% | 21.6% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 22.4% | 18.8% | 23.0% | — | |
| Vilma Santos | Nacionalista | 21.9% | 22.6% | 22.5% | 15.7% | 28.7% | 15.4% | 21.2% | 18.0% | |
| Lucy Torres-Gomez | PDP–Laban | 8.9% | 6.2% | 38.9% | 11.4% | 42.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | |
| Antonio Trillanes | Magdalo | 18.1% | 12.4% | — | 17.3% | — | 13.5% | 16.3% | 14.0% | |
| Raffy Tulfo | Independent | 54.3% | 48.1% | — | 46.4% | — | 48.4% | 55.2% | 57.0% | |
| Joel Villanueva | CIBAC | 14.3% | 18.4% | 26.7% | 18.0% | 28.7% | 10.6% | 24.8% | 14.0% | |
| Mark Villar | Nacionalista | 25.0% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 24.1% | 17.0% | 36.2% | 41.0% | |
| Juan Miguel Zubiri | Independent | 35.7% | 38.1% | 16.7% | 30.6% | 18.5% | 29.4% | 28.3% | 34.0% | |
| Don't know | 2.6% | 0.9% | — | 1.8% | — | — | 1.0% | — | ||
| Refused | 1.7% | 1.9% | — | 3.3% | — | — | 0.7% | — | ||
| None | 1.5% | 1.2% | — | 1.4% | — | — | 2.1% | 6.0% | ||
| Invalid votes (13 or more names) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Per party[]
- Parties (excluding independents) with the plurality of seats in boldface.
- Parties (excluding independents) with the majority of seats are shaded by the party color.
Seats won[]
- Totals may not add up to 12 due to margin of error.
| Date | Pollster | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11–12, 2021 | MBC–DZRH[1] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Dec 6–12, 2021 | I&AC[20] | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Dec 6–10, 2021 | Publicus Asia[2] | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Dec 1–6, 2021 | Pulse Asia[3] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Nov 23–29, 2021 | RMN–APCORE[21] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Oct 20–23, 2021 | SWS[4] | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Oct 11–18, 2021 | Publicus Asia[6] | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sep 12–16, 2021 | SWS[7][8] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Seats after the election[]
Totals may not add up to 24 due to margin of error.
| Date | Pollster | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11–12, 2021 | MBC–DZRH[1] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Dec 6–12, 2021 | I&AC[20] | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Dec 6–10, 2021 | Publicus Asia[2] | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Dec 1–6, 2021 | Pulse Asia[3] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Nov 23–29, 2021 | RMN–APCORE[21] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Oct 20–23, 2021 | SWS[4] | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Oct 11–18, 2021 | Publicus Asia[6] | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| Sep 12–16 | SWS[7][8] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Jun 30, 2019 | Start of 18th Congress | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Per coalition[]
A per coalition total will be provided once coalition slates have been finalized just prior to the start of campaigning.
References[]
- ^ a b c d "Tulfo leads senate race in DZRH pre-election poll | DZRH NEWS". dzrh.com.ph. Retrieved December 17, 2021.
- ^ a b c d "EXECUTIVE SUMMARY – FINDINGS OF 2021 PAHAYAG QUARTER 4 SURVEY : December 6-10, 2021 – PUBLiCUS Asia, Inc". PUBLiCUS. Retrieved December 13, 2021.
- ^ a b c d "December 2021 Nationwide Survey on the May 2022 Elections – Pulse Asia Research Inc". Retrieved December 22, 2021.
- ^ a b c d "SWS confirms survey item for Stratbase ADR Institute, Inc. on voting preferences for Senators in the 2022 elections". Social Weather Stations. November 16, 2021. Retrieved November 17, 2021.
- ^ a b Sarao, Zacarian (November 17, 2021). "Tulfo, Escudero, Cayetano top picks for Senate in new SWS poll". INQUIRER.net. Retrieved November 17, 2021.
- ^ a b c d "EXECUTIVE SUMMARY – FINDINGS OF 2021 PAHAYAG QUARTER 3 SURVEY : October 11-18, 2021 – PUBLiCUS Asia, Inc". PUBLiCUS. Retrieved October 23, 2021.
- ^ a b c d "SWS confirms survey item for Stratbase ADR Institute, Inc. on voting preferences for Senators in the 2022 elections". Social Weather Stations. October 15, 2021. Retrieved October 16, 2021.
- ^ a b c d De Vera-Ruiz, Ellalyn (October 15, 2021). "Raffy Tulfo tops SWS senatorial survey". Manila Bulletin. Retrieved October 16, 2021.
- ^ a b "Pulse Asia Research's September 2021 Nationwide Survey on the May 2022 Elections". Pulse Asia. Retrieved September 29, 2021.
- ^ a b Aguilar, Krissy (September 29, 2021). "Tulfo, Cayetano top preferred 2022 senatorial bets in Pulse Asia survey". INQUIRER.net. Retrieved September 29, 2021.
- ^ a b "MBC-DZRH pre-election poll bares frontrunners for 2022 national elections | DZRH NEWS". dzrh.com.ph. Retrieved September 29, 2021.
- ^ a b "Willie Revillame and Kris Aquino have to prove their worth – PUBLiCUS Asia, Inc". PUBLiCUS. Retrieved September 30, 2021.
- ^ a b "Pulse Asia Research's June 2021 Nationwide Survey on the May 2022 National Elections". Pulse Asia. Retrieved July 13, 2021.
- ^ a b "Pacquiao, Isko top list of preferred 2022 senatorial bets — Pulse Asia survey". Manila Bulletin. July 13, 2021. Retrieved July 14, 2021.
- ^ a b "Pacquaio remains most trusted, highest approval – PUBLiCUS Asia, Inc". PUBLiCUS. Retrieved September 30, 2021.
- ^ a b "Pulse Asia Research's February 2021 Nationwide Survey on the May 2022 National Elections". Pulse Asia. Retrieved April 24, 2021.
- ^ a b "Pacquiao tops preferred 2022 senatorial bets in latest Pulse Asia survey". ABS-CBN News. April 22, 2021. Retrieved April 23, 2021.
- ^ a b "Pulse Asia Research's November 2020 Nationwide Survey on the May 2022 National Elections". Pulse Asia. Retrieved January 1, 2021.
- ^ a b "Sara Duterte leads Pulse Asia's possible 2022 presidential bets poll". Rappler. December 31, 2020. Retrieved January 22, 2021.
- ^ a b Cite error: The named reference
I&AC :3was invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b "Bongbong Marcos, nanguna sa mga presidential aspirant na nais iboto ng mga Pilipino batay sa RMN-APCORE May 2022 elections survey | RMN News". rmn.ph. Retrieved December 17, 2021.
Categories:
- 2022 Philippine general election
- Opinion polling for future elections
- Opinion polling in the Philippines