2016 United States Senate election in Arizona
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![]() County results McCain: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Kirkpatrick: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2016 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the U.S. Senate to represent the State of Arizona, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, other elections to the U.S. Senate in other states and elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as various state and local elections.
The Democratic primary was held on March 22, 2016, while the Republican primary election took place on August 30, 2016.[1] After serving in the Arizona State Legislature and U.S. House of Representatives for a number of years, Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick sought to unseat incumbent Republican Senator John McCain, who won re-election to his sixth and final term in office.
After hinting in September 2013 that he could retire,[2] McCain subsequently said that the chances he would run again were "pretty good", but his campaign had emphasized that he had not made a decision yet.[3] On April 7, 2015, McCain announced that he would run for re-election.[4] McCain faced strong primary opposition from the Tea Party, but he managed to defeat challenger Kelli Ward in the August 30 primary.[5][6]
McCain won with 53.7% of the vote compared to Kirkpatrick's 40.8%, with 5.5% voting for the Green candidate Gary Swing. Although McCain won reelection by double digits, this was the closest margin of his Senate career. As of 2021, this is the last time a Republican won the election for a U.S. Senate seat in Arizona. Kirkpatrick would later successfully ran again for the U.S. House of Representatives in Arizona's 2nd congressional district in 2018.
On August 25, 2018, Senator McCain died of brain cancer, leading Governor Doug Ducey to appoint former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill the seat. However, this action was taken with the understanding that Kyl would only serve until the end of the year. U.S. Representative Martha McSally, who was selected as Kyl's replacement starting 2019, ran in the 2020 special election to fill out the remainder of the term, but was defeated by Democrat Mark Kelly.
Republican primary[]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/2d/John_McCain_by_Gage_Skidmore_3.jpg/220px-John_McCain_by_Gage_Skidmore_3.jpg)
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e0/Kelli_Ward_%2828731091884%29.jpg/220px-Kelli_Ward_%2828731091884%29.jpg)
John McCain, the 2008 Republican presidential nominee, was re-elected to a fifth term with 59.3% of the vote in 2010. In September 2013 he hinted that he may retire, saying that "[President Obama's] in his last term, I'm probably in mine." When asked if that meant he wouldn't run for re-election, he said "I don't know. I was trying to make a point. I have to decide in about two years so I don't have to make a decision [now]. I don't want to be one of these old guys that should've shoved off."[2] He then said in October 2013 that he was "seriously thinking" about running for re-election.[7] By April 2014 he had held his first fundraiser[8] and acknowledged that "elements on the right" would like to primary him, which he said was "fine with me... you know me: a fight not joined is a fight not enjoyed... I know that I will be very well-prepared." Jennifer Duffy of The Cook Political Report noted that McCain did not fit the profile of a "complacent, long-serving incumbent", saying: "It's not an easy thing to take him on. He is going to be well-prepared, and he has a well-earned reputation for running really tough campaigns. He raises a lot of money and he puts together a good organization."[9]
In September 2014, McCain began having "serious conversations" with state Republicans, local officials and key supporters about running for re-election. He faced a primary challenge in 2010 from former Congressman J. D. Hayworth, who some felt was the weaker opponent. McCain massively outspent and easily defeated him. However, he could face a stronger challenger in 2016.[5] A survey by Public Policy Polling in March 2014 found that McCain was the most unpopular Senator in the country, with 30% of Arizonans approving of him to 54% who disapproved. His unpopularity was bipartisan, with his approvals at 35%–55% with Republicans, 29%–53% with Democrats and 25%–55% with independents.[10] An April 2014 survey by The Polling Company for Citizens United Political Victory Fund found that 64.2% of Republican primary voters favored "a new person" to 29.3% who thought that "Senator McCain deserves to be re-elected to another six-year term." It also found him trailing in match-ups with a generic primary opponent and against specific opponents (see below).[11]
Further compounding matters for McCain was his relationship with the Arizona Republican Party.[5] After his re-election in 2010, McCain adopted more orthodox conservative stances and attitudes and largely opposed actions of the Obama administration. By 2013, however, he had become a key figure in the Senate for negotiating deals on certain issues in an otherwise partisan environment. By early 2014, McCain's apostasies were enough that the Arizona Republican Party formally censured him for having what they saw as a liberal record that had been "disastrous and harmful". The action had no practical effect but showed that McCain's history of being criticized at the state level as insufficiently conservative was still ongoing.[12] Tea Party leaders have said that they are "sick to death" of McCain and will oppose him if he seeks re-election,[5] with one prominent critic of McCain saying that Arizona conservatives were preparing for a "civil war".[6] However, McCain still had a large warchest – $1.7 million as of June 2014 – and would be helped by Arizona state law, which allows independents to vote in the Republican primary.[5]
By early October 2014, McCain was telling reporters that the odds of his running for re-election were "pretty good", saying that whether or not Republicans retake control of the Senate in the 2014 elections would be a factor in his decision-making, "but it certainly wouldn't be the deciding factor."[6] In late October, it was revealed that McCain had scheduled a meeting with supporters two days after the 2014 midterm elections to "discuss my thoughts on my own re-election in 2016."[3] At that meeting, following the Republican takeover of the Senate, he said that he was "seriously considering" and "leaning towards" running for re-election and will make an announcement in early 2015.[13]
In December 2014, Politico reported that McCain and his allies were waging an "aggressive and systematic campaign" to purge the Arizona Republican Party's apparatus of Tea Party and far-right conservatives who hold "obscure, but influential, local party offices" and replace them with McCain loyalists.[14][15] The Super PAC "Arizona Grassroots Action" was created, which raised almost $300,000 and supported McCain-allied candidates with mailers and automated phone calls, bringing attention to what were previously low-profile and uncontested races.[14] Before August 26, when elections for party offices were held, almost all of the 3,925 precinct committeemen (who vote for local party chairmen, who in turn make decisions on how the party will spend state and local funds, which candidates receive endorsements or funding etc.) were opposed to McCain. After the elections, 1,531 (39%) were regarded as supportive of McCain.[14] Most notably, Timothy Schwartz, who authored the resolution which censured McCain, was ousted.[14][16] Schwartz attacked McCain for using his "prominence and money and influence" to "ramrod" his critics and former Maricopa County Republican Party Chairman A.J. LaFaro said that McCain was "vindictive" and engaging in the equivalent of "ethnic cleansing".[14]
Tea Party Congressmen Matt Salmon and David Schweikert had been widely regarded as two of the most serious potential challengers to McCain. The pair, who are close friends, agreed that if one of them decided to run against McCain, the other would not do so, to ensure that the anti-McCain vote wouldn't be split between them.[17] Schweikert has acknowledged that he polled the race in 2014 but was considered the less likely of the two to run – he has much less cash-on-hand than Salmon and has admitted that his wife was "not thrilled" at the idea of him running for the Senate.[17] Salmon has since stated that he will not challenge McCain in the primary.[18]
In early February, McCain said that he was "most likely" running for re-election[19] and Club for Growth President David McIntosh said that the organization would "watch closely" the primary race, particularly if Salmon or Schweikert ran, and would "do research and polling and determine if there's a path to victory [against McCain]."[20] Towards the end of February, Salmon and Schweikert began to distance themselves from the race,[21][22] with State Senator Kelli Ward revealing that she was considering a run.[23]
McCain officially announced on April 7, 2015, that he was running for re-election.[4]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- John McCain, incumbent U.S. Senator[4]
- Clair Van Steenwyk, talk radio host, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012 and candidate for AZ-08 in 2014[24]
- Kelli Ward, former State Senator[25]
Withdrawn[]
- Alex Meluskey, printing company owner and FairTax activist[26][27][28]
- David Pizer, businessman[29][30]
Declined[]
- Jan Brewer, former Governor of Arizona[31]
- Jeff DeWit, State Treasurer of Arizona[32]
- Trent Franks, U.S. Representative[33][34]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative[35]
- Christine Jones, former Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary for Go Daddy and candidate for Governor in 2014[36][37][38] (running for AZ-05)
- Martha McSally, U.S. Representative[39]
- Matt Salmon, U.S. Representative[18]
- David Schweikert, U.S. Representative[5][37][40]
- John Shadegg, former U.S. Representative[33]
- Grant Woods, former Arizona Attorney General[33]
Endorsements[]
- Individuals
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[41]
- John R. Bolton, 25th United States Ambassador to the United Nations[42][43]
- Mark Brnovich, Arizona Attorney General [44]
- George W. Bush, 43rd President of the United States[45]
- Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, 2010 Republican nominee for Senate in California, and 2016 presidential candidate[46]
- Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives and former representative of Georgia's 6th congressional district[47]
- Luis Gonzalez, Former Arizona Diamondbacks out fielder and notable Cuban-American[48]
- Fred Karger, political consultant and 2012 presidential candidate[49]
- Evan McMullin, former chief policy director for the House Republican Conference in the U.S. House of Representatives, former CIA operations officer and 2016 independent candidate for president[50]
- Reince Priebus, Republican National Committee chairman[51]
- Mitt Romney, 2012 Republican Nominee for President [52]
- Paul Ryan, Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, U.S Representative for Wisconsin's 1st congressional district and 2012 GOP Vice Presidential nominee[53]
- Senators
- Senator Jeff Flake (R-AZ) [54]
- Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA) [55]
- Senator David Perdue (R-GA) [56]
- Senator Dan Sullivan (R-AK) [57]
- Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR) [58]
- Senator Cory Gardner (R-CO) [59]
- Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC)[60]
- Governors
- Governor Doug Ducey, current Governor of Arizona[61]
- Former Governor of Arizona Jan Brewer (22nd Governor, State of Arizona) [62]
- Governor Jane D. Hull (20th Governor, State of Arizona) [63]
- Governor John Kasich (69th and current Governor of Ohio)[64]
- Governor Mike Pence of Indiana and 48th Vice President of the United States [65]
- Governor Fife Symington (19th Governor, State of Arizona) [66]
- Mayors
- Mayor John Insalaco, Apache Junction, Arizona[67]
- Mayor Kenneth Weise, Avondale, Arizona[68]
- Mayor Jackie Meck, Buckeye, Arizona[69]
- Mayor Les Peterson, Carefree, Arizona[70]
- Mayor Vincent Francia, Cave Creek, Arizona[71]
- Mayor Charles German, Camp Verde, Arizona[67]
- Mayor Jay Tibshraeny, Chandler, Arizona[72]
- Mayor Diane Joens, Cottonwood, Arizona[73]
- Mayor Terry Nolan, Dewey-Humboldt, Arizona[74]
- Vice Mayor Douglas Treadway, Dewey-Humboldt, Arizona[75]
- Mayor Billy Waters, Duncan, Arizona[76]
- Mayor Lana Mook, El Mirage, Arizona[77]
- Mayor Alvy Johnson, Fredonia, Arizona[78]
- Mayor John Lewis, Gilbert, Arizona[79]
- Mayor Georgia Lord, Goodyear, Arizona[80]
- Vice Mayor Sheri Lauritano, Goodyear, Arizona[81]
- Mayor Bobby Tyler, Holbrook, Arizona[82]
- Mayor Ken Taylor, Huachuca City, Arizona[83]
- Mayor Richard Anderson, [84]
- Mayor Thomas Schoaf, Litchfield Park, Arizona[85]
- Mayor Ed Honea, Marana, Arizona[86]
- Mayor John Giles, Mesa, Arizona[87]
- Former Mayor Scott Smith, Mesa, Arizona[67]
- Mayor John Doyle, Nogales, Arizona[88]
- Mayor Satish Hiremath, Oro Valley, Arizona[89]
- Mayor Michael Collins, Paradise Valley, Arizona[90]
- Mayor R.E. Isakson, Patagonia, Arizona[67]
- Mayor Kenny Evans, Payson, Arizona[91]
- Former Mayor Barbara Brewer, Payson, Arizona[92]
- Mayor Cathy Carlat, Peoria, Arizona[93]
- Mayor Tom Claridge, Pima, Arizona[67]
- Mayor Gregory Smith, Pinetop-Lakeside, Arizona[94]
- Former Mayor Roger Williams, Pinetop-Lakeside, Arizona[95]
- Mayor Harry Oberg, Prescott, Arizona[96]
- Former Mayor Martin Kuykendall, Prescott, Arizona[97]
- Mayor Harvy Skoog, Prescott Valley, Arizona[98]
- Mayor Gail Barney, Queen Creek, Arizona[99]
- Mayor Chris Gibbs, Safford, Arizona[100]
- Mayor Jerry Sanchez, San Luis, Arizona[101]
- Mayor Daryl Seymore, Show Low, Arizona[102]
- Mayor Rick Mueller, Sierra Vista, Arizona[103]
- Former Mayor Bob Stain, Sierra Vista, Arizona[104]
- Mayor Tom Poscharsky, Snowflake, Arizona[105]
- Mayor Ryan Patterson, St. Johns, Arizona[67]
- Mayor Ronnie McDaniel, Star Valley, Arizona[67]
- Former Mayor Hugh Hallman, Tempe, Arizona[67]
- Former Vice Mayor Onnie Shekerjian, Tempe, Arizona[106]
- Mayor Bob Rivera, Thatcher, Arizona[107]
- Former Mayor Greg Bryan, Tusayan, Arizona[108]
- Mayor Graig Sanderson, Tusayan, Arizona[109]
- Mayor Cecilia McCollough, Wellton, Arizona[110]
- Mayor Robert Irvin, Willcox, Arizona[111]
- Mayor John Moore, Williams, Arizona[112]
- Mayor Robin Boyd, Winslow, Arizona[113]
- Mayor Michael LeVault, Youngtown, Arizona[114]
- Mayor Douglas Nicholls, Yuma, Arizona[115]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Robert Corbin, former President of the National Rifle Association and former Arizona Attorney General[121]
- Lori Klein, former State Senator[122]
- Dick Morris, conservative political consultant and commentator[123]
- Paul E. Vallely, retired US Army Major General and senior military analyst for Fox News[124]
- Individuals
- Sylvia Allen, President pro tempore of the Arizona Senate[citation needed]
- Nancy Barto, State Senator
- Dave Farnsworth, State Senator
- John Fillmore, former State Representative
- Mark Finchem, State Representative
- Jim Gilchrist, co-founder and President of the Minuteman Project[125]
- Louie Gohmert, U.S. Representative from Texas[126]
- Gail Griffin, State Senator
- Michael Johns, former White House speechwriter, former Heritage Foundation policy analyst and Tea Party activist[127]
- Anthony Kern, State Representative
- Vince Leach, State Representative
- Mark Levin, conservative radio host[128]
- Richard Mack, former Graham County Sheriff, candidate for TX-21 in 2012 and Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate in 2006
- Thomas Massie, U.S. Representative from Kentucky[126]
- Charles Main, Arlington Former Arlington Elementary School Board President
- Al Melvin, former State Senator and candidate for Governor in 2014
- Tom Morrissey, former Chairman of the Arizona Republican Party and 2014 State Senate candidate
- Jill Norgaard, State Representative
- Ron Paul, 2012 Republican Presidential candidate and former US Representative from Texas[129]
- Russell Pearce, former President of the Arizona Senate
- Warren Petersen, State Representative
- Carl Seel, former State Representative
- Steve Smith, State Senator
- Emilena Turley, Queen Creek Town Council member
- Laura Ingraham, conservative radio host
- Organizations
- Americans for Legal Immigration (ALIPAC)[125]
- Gun Owners of America
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain |
Kelli Ward |
Clair Van Steenwyk |
Alex Meluskey |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 44% | 31% | — | — | — | 25% |
Behavior Research Center | October 24 – November 5, 2015 | 577 | ± 4.7% | 41% | 11% | 2% | 1% | — | 45% |
Behavior Research Center | January 6–17, 2016 | 398 | ± 4.1% | 47% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 1%[130] | 39% |
Public Policy Polling | May 13–15, 2016 | 443 | ± 4.7% | 39% | 26% | 2% | 4% | 3%[131] | 27% |
41% | 41% | — | — | — | 17% | ||||
NMB Research | July 11, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.38% | 47% | 22% | 2% | 6% | — | 23% |
Data Orbital LLC | August 11, 2016 | 500 | ±4.38% | 50% | 29% | — | — | — | 17% |
CNN/ORC | August 18–23, 2016 | 413 | ± 5.0% | 55% | 29% | 4% | — | 1% | 3% |
show
Hypothetical polling |
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Results[]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/09/Arizona_U.S._Senate_Republican_primary%2C_2016.svg/220px-Arizona_U.S._Senate_Republican_primary%2C_2016.svg.png)
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John McCain | 302,532 | 51.7% | |
Republican | Kelli Ward | 235,988 | 39.2% | |
Republican | Alex Meluskey | 31,159 | 5.5% | |
Republican | Clair Van Steenwyk | 21,476 | 3.6% | |
Republican | Sean Webster (Write-In) | 175 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 591,330 | 100.0% |
Democratic primary[]
Candidates[]
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/73/Ann_Kirkpatrick_by_Gage_Skidmore.jpg/220px-Ann_Kirkpatrick_by_Gage_Skidmore.jpg)
Declared[]
- Ann Kirkpatrick, U.S. Representative[133]
Withdrawn[]
- Leonard Clark, teacher, State House candidate in 2002, 2004, and 2008 and Green Party nominee for AZ-03 in 2010[134][135]
- Richard Sherzan, retired administrative law judge and former Iowa State Representative[136][137][138]
Declined[]
- Richard Carmona, former Surgeon General and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[33][37][139]
- Fred DuVal, former Chairman of the Arizona Board of Regents and nominee for Governor in 2014[35]
- Ruben Gallego, U.S. Representative[37]
- Phil Gordon, former Mayor of Phoenix[33]
- Mark Kelly, retired astronaut and husband of Gabrielle Giffords[33][37]
- Janet Napolitano, President of the University of California System, former Secretary of Homeland Security and former Governor of Arizona[33][37]
- Greg Stanton, Mayor of Phoenix[37]
- Nan Walden, businesswoman, attorney and former chief of staff to Senator Bill Bradley[139]
Endorsements[]
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ann Kirkpatrick | 333,586 | 99.8% | |
Democratic | Alex Bello (Write-In) | 508 | 0.2% | |
Total votes | 334,094 | 100.0% |
Green primary[]
Candidates[]
Declared[]
- Gary Swing (write-in)[144]
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Green | Gary Swing (Write-In) | 238 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 238 | 100.0% |
Libertarian primary[]
Candidates[]
- Merissa Hamilton (Write-In)
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Merissa Hamilton (Write-In) | 1,286 | 100.0% | |
Total votes | 1,286 | 100.0% |
General election[]
Debates[]
Date | Location | McCain | Kirkpatrick | Link |
---|---|---|---|---|
October 10, 2016 | Phoenix, Arizona | Participant | Participant | Full debate – C-SPAN |
Predictions[]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[145] | Lean R | November 2, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[146] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg Political Report[147] | Likely R | November 3, 2016 |
Daily Kos[148] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics[149] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
Polling[]
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John McCain (R) |
Ann Kirkpatrick (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 2,609 | ± 4.6% | 50% | 45% | — | 5% |
Insights West | November 4–6, 2016 | 392 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 42% | — | 9% |
Data Orbital | November 4–6, 2016 | 550 | ± 4.1% | 56% | 44% | — | 0% |
SurveyMonkey | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 2,322 | ± 4.6% | 50% | 45% | — | 5% |
SurveyMonkey | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,748 | ± 4.6% | 50% | 45% | — | 5% |
Data Orbital | November 1–2, 2016 | 550 | ± 4.1% | 52% | 41% | 2% | 6% |
SurveyMonkey | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 1,461 | ± 4.6% | 50% | 44% | — | 6% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | October 30–November 1, 2016 | 719 LV | ± 3.7% | 55% | 39% | 5% | 2% |
948 RV | ± 3.2% | 55% | 38% | 5% | 2% | ||
The Times-Picayune/Lucid | October 28–November 1, 2016 | 1,113 | ± 3.0% | 52% | 40% | — | 8% |
CNN/ORC | October 27–November 1, 2016 | 769 LV | ± 3.5% | 54% | 41% | 1% | 3% |
867 RV | 54% | 41% | 3% | 1% | |||
SurveyMonkey | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 1,320 | ± 4.6% | 50% | 44% | — | 6% |
Emerson College | October 29–31, 2016 | 700 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 40% | 6% | 9% |
SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,457 | ± 4.6% | 49% | 46% | — | 5% |
Data Orbital | October 29–30, 2016 | 550 | ± 4.1% | 49% | 39% | 3% | 10% |
CBS News/YouGov | October 26–28, 2016 | 994 | ± 4.3% | 43% | 38% | 8% | 11% |
Monmouth University | October 21–24, 2016 | 401 | ± 4.9% | 50% | 40% | 5% | 4% |
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey | October 8–16, 2016 | 1,028 | ± 0.5% | 48% | 45% | — | 6% |
Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite | October 10–15, 2016 | 660 | ± 4.2% | 52% | 40% | 8% | 0% |
Highground | October 14, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 35% | 8% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 2–4, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.6% | 52% | 36% | 7% | 5% |
Insights West | September 12–14, 2016 | 484 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 35% | 1% | 11% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | September 6–8, 2016 | 649 | ± 3.8% | 57% | 38% | 1% | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | August 26–28, 2016 | 837 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 43% | — | 15% |
CNN/ORC | August 18–23, 2016 | 809 LV | ± 3.5% | 52% | 39% | 2% | 2% |
842 RV | |||||||
Public Policy Polling | June 22–23, 2016 | 691 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 40% | — | 19% |
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner – Democracy Corps | June 11–20, 2016 | 300 | ± 5.7% | 44% | 42% | — | 14% |
Behavior Research Center | June 6–19, 2016 | 448 | ± 4.7% | 40% | 31% | — | 29% |
Public Policy Polling | June 8–9, 2016 | 747 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 43% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | May 13–15, 2016 | 896 | ± 3.3% | 42% | 36% | — | 23% |
Behavior Research Center | April 4–11, 2016 | 564 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 42% | — | 16% |
The Merrill Poll | March 7–11, 2016 | 701 | ± 3.7% | 41% | 40% | 3% | 16% |
Behavior Research Center | January 6–17, 2016 | 590 | ± 4.1% | 38% | 37% | — | 25% |
Strategies 360 | December 4–9, 2015 | 504 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 36% | — | 13% |
Behavior Research Center | October 24–November 5, 2015 | 577 | ± 3.8% | 37% | 31% | — | 32% |
Gravis Marketing | August 13–16, 2015 | 1,433 | ± 2.6% | 48% | 35% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | May 1–3, 2015 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 36% | — | 23% |
show
Hypothetical polling |
---|
Results[]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John McCain (incumbent) | 1,359,267 | 53.7% | −5.3% | |
Democratic | Ann Kirkpatrick | 1,031,245 | 40.7% | +5.9% | |
Green | Gary Swing | 138,634 | 5.5% | +4.0% | |
Write-in | 1,584 | 0.1% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 2,530,730 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
References[]
- ^ "Elections Calendar & Upcoming Events". AZSOS.gov. Retrieved March 18, 2015.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Trujillo, Mario (September 13, 2013). "McCain hints at retirement in 2016". The Hill. Retrieved September 14, 2013.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "McCain to huddle with supporters on 2016 re-election". AZCentral.com. October 20, 2014. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c "John McCain to run for sixth term in 2016". USA Today. April 7, 2015. Retrieved April 7, 2015.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e f "McCain gets ready for race of his life". The Hill. September 25, 2014. Retrieved October 1, 2014.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c "A state GOP 'civil war' over McCain's re-election bid?". AZCentral.com. October 13, 2014. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
- ^ Blake, Aaron (October 22, 2013). "McCain considering seeking reelection in 2016". Washingtonpost.com. Retrieved October 22, 2013.
- ^ Catalina Camia (October 20, 2014). "McCain set to meet with supporters on 2016 Senate race". USA Today. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
- ^ Dan Nowicki (April 19, 2014). "McCain preparing for 2016 GOP primary battle". AZCentral.com. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
- ^ "McCain has worst poll numbers in the country" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. March 5, 2014. Retrieved October 1, 2014.
- ^ "CUPVF Statewide Survey Among 600 AZ GOP Likely Primary Voters for 2016 U.S. Senate – Polling Memo". Citizens United Political Victory Fund. April 14, 2014. Retrieved October 1, 2014.
- ^ Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett. "Arizona GOP censures McCain for 'disastrous' record", The Arizona Republic (January 25, 2014). Retrieved January 26, 2014.
- ^ "McCain is 'leaning towards' a 2016 re-election bid". AZ Central. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 11, 2014.
- ^ Jump up to: a b c d e "McCain's big purge". Politico. December 30, 2014. Retrieved December 31, 2014.
- ^ "McCain's team quietly purging Arizona GOP of tea-party foes before 2016 reelection bid". Hot Air. December 30, 2014. Retrieved December 31, 2014.
- ^ "McCain censure resolution author ousted from GOP post". AZ Central. December 8, 2014. Retrieved December 31, 2014.
- ^ Jump up to: a b "Tea Party lawmakers may take on McCain". The Hill. January 28, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Wong, Scott (September 29, 2015). "Salmon tells McCain: I won't primary you". The Hill. Retrieved September 30, 2015.
- ^ Manu Raju (February 3, 2015). "McCain says he's "most likely" running for reelection next year". Twitter. Retrieved February 4, 2015.
- ^ Alex Roarty (February 3, 2015). "New Club for Growth President Singles Out John McCain for Potential Primary Challenge". National Journal. Retrieved February 4, 2015.
- ^ Dan Nowicki (February 14, 2015). "Salmon distances himself from 'deceitful' PAC". AZ Central. Retrieved May 17, 2015.
- ^ Dan Nowicki (February 21, 2015). "Schweikert: My wife says no to Senate campaign". AZ Central. Retrieved May 17, 2015.
- ^ Zachary Matson (February 10, 2015). "Lake Havasu City's Kelli Ward may challenge John McCain for Senate seat in primary". Hava Sun News. Retrieved May 17, 2015.
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External links[]
- Official campaign websites
- 2016 United States Senate elections
- United States Senate elections in Arizona
- 2016 Arizona elections
- John McCain