2018 Michigan gubernatorial election
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| Turnout | 55.4%  13.8[1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Whitmer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Schuette: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Michigan |
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 |
 Detroit |
 Grand Rapids |
The 2018 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next Governor of Michigan, concurrently with the election of Michigan's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Snyder was term-limited and was unable to seek a third term in office.[2] The filing deadline was April 24, 2018. The Republican, Democratic and Libertarian parties chose their nominees in a partisan primary on August 7, 2018.[3] 2018 was the first year the Libertarian Party held a gubernatorial primary alongside the two other major parties in the state of Michigan.[4] The Working Class Party, U.S. Taxpayers Party, Green Party and Natural Law Party chose their nominees at state party conventions.[5]
Democrat Gretchen Whitmer was elected with 53.3% of the vote.[6]
Republican primary[]
Candidates[]
Nominated[]
- Bill Schuette, Attorney General of Michigan[7][8]
Eliminated in primary[]
- Brian Calley, Lieutenant Governor[9]
- Patrick Colbeck, state senator[10]
- Jim Hines, physician and president of the Christian Medical and Dental Associations[11]
Declined[]
- Jase Bolger, former Speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives[12]
- Larry C. Inman, state representative[13]
- David Agema, former Republican National Committeeman and former state representative (endorsed Patrick Colbeck)[14][15]
- Ruth Johnson, Michigan Secretary of State and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006 (running for state senate)[16]
- Arlan Meekhof, Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate[17]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner and former U.S. Representative (endorsed Bill Schuette)[18][19]
Endorsements[]
Jim Hines
- Organizations
- Right to Life of Michigan[20]
Patrick Colbeck
- U.S. Senators
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator (R-TX)[21]
- State officials
- David Agema, former Republican National Committeeman and former state representative[15]
- Media Personalities
- Sean Hannity[22]
- David Barton, founder of Wallbuilders[23]
- Bob Dutko, Conservative Christian talk radio host[24]
- Thayrone X, Metro Detroit talk radio host[25]
- Individuals
- Bob Lutz, Former General Motors Vice-Chairman and ex-Chrysler President[26]
- Jack Lousma, former NASA astronaut and retired USMC colonel[27]
- Mark Gurley, co-director of the Michigan Oak Initiative and as the Grassroots vice-chair for the MIGOP[28]
- Dawn Dodge, Speakers Bureau Director for the Republican Women's Federation of Michigan[29]
- Wes Nakagiri, Michigan Tea Party Leader, One of the 17 Republican At-Large Delegates sent to the 2016 Republican National Convention
- Organizations
Brian Calley
- U.S. Governors
- Rick Snyder, Governor of Michigan[31]
- U.S. Representatives
- State and local officials
- Bryan Barnett, Rochester Hills Mayor[33]
- Chris Barnett, Orion Township Supervisor[33]
- Robert Cannon, Clinton Township Supervisor[33]
- Donijo DeJonge, Kent County GOP Chair[34]
- Judy Emmons, state senator[35]
- Kurt Heise, Plymouth Township Supervisor[33]
- Patrick Kittle, Independence Township Supervisor[33]
- Terri Lynn Land, former Michigan Secretary of State[36]
- James Lower, state representative[35]
- Ken Massey, Farmington Hills Mayor[33]
- Kevin McDaniel, Auburn Hills Mayor[33]
- Steve Percival, Clarkston Mayor[33]
- Leo Savoie, Bloomfield Township Supervisor[33]
- Dane Slater, Troy Mayor[33]
- Gary Wall, Waterford Township Supervisor[33]
- Michael Webber, state representative[33]
- Individuals
- Dan DeVos, businessman and sports executive[37]
- Chuck Yob, former Republican National Committee member[36]
- Organizations
- Right to Life of Michigan[20]
- Grand Rapids Area Chamber of Commerce[38]
- Detroit Regional Chamber of Commerce[39]
- Home Builders Association of Michigan[40]
- Michigan Vaccine Freedom PAC[30]
- Newspapers
- The Detroit News[41]
- Detroit Free Press[42]
Debates[]
| Host network |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Schuette |
Patrick Colbeck |
Brian Calley |
Jim Hines | |||||
| WOOD-TV | May 9, 2018 | [43] | Invited | Invited | Invited | Invited | ||
| WDIV-TV | June 28, 2018 | Invited | Invited | Invited | Invited | |||
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Calley |
Patrick Colbeck |
Jim Hines |
Bill Schuette |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research | July 30, 2018 | 413 | ± 5.0% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 40% | – | 23% |
| EPIC-MRA | July 21–22, 2018 | 1,045 | ± 3.1% | 24% | 11% | 8% | 42% | – | 15% |
| Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 202 | ± 7.3% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 35% | – | 36% |
| Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 337 | ± 6.3% | 26% | 11% | – | 33% | 1% | 30% |
| JMC Analytics | July 5–12, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 25% | – | 45% |
| Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 45% | – | 21% |
| NMB Research (R-Better Jobs PAC) | June 18–21, 2018 | – | – | 23% | – | – | 45% | – | 29% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) | May 22–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 19% | 6% | 1% | 42% | – | – |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) | April 29 – May 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 20% | 6% | 2% | 42% | – | – |
| Glengariff Group | April 19–21, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 36% | 0%[44] | 34% |
| Denno Research | April 2–3, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 23% | – | 59% |
| Strategic National (R) | March 19–20, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 27% | – | 45% |
| Marketing Resource Group | March 13–17, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 13% | 2% | 2% | 29% | – | 54% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) | February 10–13, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 42% | – | – |
| Strategic National (R) | December 16–17, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 30% | – | 44% |
| Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 14% | <5% | <5% | 38% | – | – |
| Mitchell Research | September 21–24, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 13% | – | – | 52% | – | 36% |
| Marketing Resource Group | September 13–18, 2017 | 216 | ± 4.0% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 33% | – | 48% |
| Target-Insyght | July 25–27, 2017 | 344 | ± 5.4% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 42% | – | 39% |
| Marketing Resource Group | May 8–11, 2017 | 216 | ± 4.0% | 11% | – | 7% | 32% | – | 51% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Calley |
Jim Hines |
Arlan Meekhof |
Candice Miller |
Bill Schuette |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research | May 31, 2017 | 435 | ± 4.7% | 14% | 1% | – | 21% | 18% | 46% |
| Target-Insyght | February 2–4, 2016 | 400 | ± 5% | 11% | – | 3% | 20% | 21% | 45% |
Results[]
Results by county
Map legend
- Schuette—60–70%
- Schuette—50–60%
- Schuette—40–50%
- Schuette—30–40%
- Calley—30–40%
- Calley—40–50%
- Calley—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bill Schuette | 501,959 | 50.7 | |
| Republican | Brian Calley | 249,185 | 25.2 | |
| Republican | Patrick Colbeck | 129,646 | 13.1 | |
| Republican | Jim Hines | 108,735 | 11.0 | |
| Total votes | 989,525 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary[]
Candidates[]
Nominated[]
- Gretchen Whitmer, former Ingham County Prosecuting Attorney and former Minority Leader of the Michigan Senate[46]
Eliminated in primary[]
- Abdul El-Sayed, former executive director of the Detroit Department of Health and Wellness Promotion[47]
- Shri Thanedar, author and entrepreneur[48]
Write-In[]
- Bill C. Cobbs, businessman[49]
Declined[]
- John Austin, former president of the Michigan Board of Education[50]
- Geoffrey Fieger, attorney and nominee for governor in 1998[51][52]
- Mark Hackel, Macomb County Executive[53][54]
- Bart Stupak, former U.S. Representative[55]
- Mark Bernstein, member of University of Michigan Board of Regents[56]
- Mike Duggan, Mayor of Detroit[57][50][52]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative[58]
- Andy Levin, energy consultant and son of Congressman Sander Levin[59] (running for Congress in MI-9)
- Barbara McQuade, former United States Attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan[60]
- Gary Peters, U.S. Senator[61]
- Matt Simoncini, CEO of Lear Corporation[62][63]
Endorsements[]
Abdul El-Sayed
- U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator (I-VT) [64]
- U.S. Representatives
- State legislators
- Abdullah Hammoud, state representative[66]
- Organizations
- Michigan Nurses Association[67]
- The People for Bernie Sanders[68]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[69]
- Millennials for Revolution [70]
- Michigan for Revolution [71]
- Ann Arbor for Revolution [72]
- Grand Rapids United Progressives [72]
- Oakland County for Revolution [73]
- Lansing for Revolution [72]
- Justice Democrats
- Our Revolution
- Democracy for America
- The Nation
- Current Affairs[74]
- Celebrities
- Political candidates
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic nominee for U.S. Representative, NY 14th district[79]
- Kerri Evelyn Harris, Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, Delaware[80]
- Other individuals
Debates[]
| Host network |
Date | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed |
Shri Thanedar |
Gretchen Whitmer | ||||
| WOOD-TV | June 20, 2018 | Invited | Invited | Invited | ||
| WDIV-TV | July 19, 2018 | Invited | Invited | Invited | ||
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Cobbs |
Abdul El-Sayed |
Shri Thanedar |
Gretchen Whitmer |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | July 21–22, 2018 | 1,054 | ± 3.1% | – | 19% | 22% | 49% | – | 10% |
| Change Research (D-El-Sayed) | July 20–21, 2018 | 1,503 | – | – | 27% | 15% | 33% | – | 24% |
| Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 282 | ± 6.4% | – | 12% | 17% | 39% | – | 31% |
| Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 442 | ± 5.5% | – | 22% | 27% | 31% | <1% | 20% |
| Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | – | 17% | 19% | 40% | 2% | 22% |
| Glengariff Group | April 20–22, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 3% | 7% | 30% | 26% | – | 35% |
| Denno Research | April 6–7, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 2% | 2% | 15% | 17% | – | 63% |
| Marketing Resource Group | March 13–17, 2018 | 233 | ± 6.4% | 3% | 10% | 21% | 18% | – | 48% |
| Target-Insyght | March 6–8, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 4% | 6% | 20% | 34% | 3% | 33% |
| EPIC-MRA (D-Thanedar) | February 17–22, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 3% | 8% | 24% | 34% | – | 31% |
| Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 4% | 13% | 2% | 45% | 8% | 28% |
| Marketing Resource Group | September 13–18, 2017 | 255 | ± 4.0% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 27% | – | 58% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Duggan |
Abdul El-Sayed |
Geoffrey Fieger |
Mark Hackel |
Dan Kildee |
Andy Levin |
Shri Thanedar |
Gretchen Whitmer |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – |
| – | – | 28% | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | ||||
| – | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | 42% | – | ||||
| Target-Insyght | February 2–4, 2016 | 400 | ± 5% | 20% | – | – | 9% | 12% | – | – | 16% | 43% |
| Target-Insyght | July 25, 2017 | 377 | ± 5.4% | – | 4% | 35% | – | – | – | 3% | 35% | – |
| Marketing Resource Group | May 8–11, 2017 | 255 | ± 4.0% | – | 9% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 24% | 41% |
Results[]
Results by county
Map legend
- Whitmer—60–70%
- Whitmer—50–60%
- Whitmer—40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gretchen Whitmer | 588,436 | 52.0 | |
| Democratic | Abdul El-Sayed | 342,179 | 30.2 | |
| Democratic | Shri Thanedar | 200,645 | 17.7 | |
| Total votes | 1,131,447 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary[]
The Libertarian Party is one of three parties that have a primary in Michigan.[85]
Candidates[]
Nominated[]
- Bill Gelineau[86]
Eliminated in Primary[]
- John Tatar[86]
Endorsements[]
John Tatar
- Organizations
- Michigan Vaccine Freedom PAC[30]
Debates[]
| Host network |
Date | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Gelineau |
John Tatar | ||||
| WOOD-TV[87] | July 15, 2018 | Invited | Invited | ||
| WJBK-TV[88] | July 22, 2018 | Invited | Invited | ||
Results[]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Bill Gelineau | 4,034 | 57.8 | |
| Libertarian | John Tatar | 2,941 | 42.2 | |
| Total votes | 6,975 | 100.0 | ||
Green Convention[]
The Green Party chose candidates for the 2018 ballot at its state convention on May 5, 2018, at the University of Michigan-Flint.[89]
Candidates[]
Declared & Nominated[]
- Jennifer Kurland, president of the Redford Union School Board[89]
U.S. Taxpayers Party[]
Candidates[]
Declared & Nominated[]
- Todd Schleiger
Natural Law Party[]
Candidates[]
Declared & Nominated[]
- Keith Butkovich[90]
General election[]
Predictions[]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[91] | Lean D (flip) | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[92] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[93] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[94] | Lean D (flip) | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[95] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[96] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[97] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[98][a] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico[99] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing[100] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Endorsements[]
Bill Schuette (R)
- U.S. Executive Branch Officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[101][102]
- Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States[103]
- U.S. Governors
- U.S. Representatives
- Jack Bergman, U.S. Representative (MI-1)[106]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner and former U.S. Representative (MI-10)[19]
- Paul Mitchell, U.S. Representative (MI-10)[107]
- John Moolenaar, U.S. Representative (MI-4)[108]
- Dave Trott, U.S. Representative (MI-11)[109]
- Tim Walberg, U.S. Representative (MI-7)[110]
- Mike Bishop, U.S. Representative (MI-8)[111]
- State Representatives[112]
- Julie Alexander
- Sue Allor
- Tom Barrett
- Lee Chatfield
- Triston Cole
- Laura Cox
- Diana Farrington
- Ben Frederick
- Gary Glenn
- Joseph Graves
- Roger Hauck
- Michele Hoitenga
- Pamela Hornberger
- Gary Howell
- Tim Kelly
- Klint Kesto
- Beau LaFave
- Daniel Lauwers
- Eric Leutheuser
- Peter Lucido
- Steve Marino
- Mike McCready
- Aaron Miller
- Daire Rendon
- Jim Runestad
- Jason Sheppard
- Jim Tedder
- Curt VanderWall
- Scott VanSingel
- Hank Vaupel
- Rob VerHeulen
- Jason Wentworth
- Mary Whiteford
- Jeff Yaroch
- State Senators[112]
- Darwin Booher
- Jack Brandenburg
- Tom Casperson
- Mike Green
- Goeff Hansen
- Kenneth Horn
- Joe Hune
- Rick Jones
- Jim Marleau
- Phil Pavlov
- John Proos
- David B. Robertson
- Jim Stamas
- Organizations
- Michigan Chamber of Commerce[113]
- Michigan Restaurant Association[114]
- Detroit Police Officers Association[115]
- Police Officers Association of Michigan[116]
- Michigan Realtors[117]
- Right to Life of Michigan[20]
- Detroit Fire Fighters Association[118]
- Michigan Farm Bureau[119]
- Small Business Association of Michigan[120]
- Associated Builders and Contractors of Michigan[121]
- National Rifle Association[122]
- National Federation of Independent Business[123]
- The Young Republicans Club of Dearborn High School
- Local officials
- Mike Bouchard, Sheriff of Oakland County and former Michigan State Senator[124]
- L. Brooks Patterson, County Executive of Oakland County, Michigan[125]
- Other individuals
- Pam Bondi, Florida Attorney General[126]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of U.S. President Donald Trump[127]
Gretchen Whitmer (D)[128]
- U.S. Executive Branch Officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[129]
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States and Former U.S Senator, DE [130]
- Hillary Clinton, 67th U.S. Secretary of State, former U.S. Senator (D-NY), former First Lady of the United States, 2016 Democratic Nominee for President[131]
- Eric Holder, 82nd United States Attorney General[132]
- U.S. Senators
- Debbie Stabenow, U.S. Senator (D-MI)[133]
- Gary Peters, U.S. Senator (D-MI)[134]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator (D-NY)[135]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S Senator (I-VT)[136]
- U.S. Representatives
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative (MI-5)[137]
- Debbie Dingell, U.S. Representative (MI-12)[137]
- Sander Levin, U.S. Representative (MI-9)[137]
- Brenda Lawrence, U.S. Representative (MI-14)[137]
- Joe Schwarz, Former Republican U.S. Representative for Michigan's 7th congressional district[138]
- State officials
- Jay Inslee, Governor of Washington[139]
- Jennifer Granholm, former Governor of Michigan[140]
- James Blanchard, former Governor of Michigan[141]
- John D. Cherry, former Lieutenant Governor of Michigan[142]
- Frank Kelley, former Michigan Attorney General
- Warren Evans, Wayne County, MI Executive
- Kym Worthy, Wayne County Prosecutor
- Benny Napoleon, Sheriff of Wayne County, MI
- Curtis Hertel Jr., state senator[143]
- Steve Bieda, state senator
- Morris Hood III, state senator
- Hoon-Yung Hopgood, state senator
- Rebekah Warren, state senator
- Sam Singh, Minority Leader of the Michigan House of Representatives
- Curtis Hertel, state senator
- Tim Snelller, state representative[144]
- Erika Geiss, state representative
- Sherry Gay-Dagnogo, state representative
- Leslie Love, state representative
- Vincent Gregory, state senator
- Patrick Green, state representative
- Pam Farris, state representative
- Ronnie Peterson, state representative
- Jeremy Moss, state representative[145]
- Local officials
- Mike Duggan, Mayor of Detroit[146]
- David Coulter, Mayor of Ferndale
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Teachers
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 25[147]
- Michigan AFL–CIO[148]
- Michigan Building and Construction Trades Council
- Michigan Education Association[149]
- Michigan State Utility Workers Council
- Michigan Pipe Trades Association
- Michigan Joint Council of the Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union
- Michigan Regional Council of Carpenters and Millwrights
- Michigan State Conference of International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers[150]
- Teamsters Local 299
- United Association of Journeymen and Apprentices of the Plumbing, Pipefitting and Sprinkler Fitting Industry of the United States and Canada Local 636 (UA)
- United Automobile Workers[151]
- Organizations
- EMILY's List
- MI List (MI chapter of EMILY's List)
- Individuals
Bill Gelineau (L)[154]
- Notable Individuals
- Mary Buzuma, 2014 Candidate for Governor
- Kenneth Proctor, 2010 Candidate for Governor
- Greg Creswell, 2006 Candidate for Governor
Todd Schleiger (USTP)[155]
- Organizations
- The Modern Whig Party
- The Education Watchdogs
- Protect OutStolen Treasures
Declined to endorse
- Statewide officials
- Rick Snyder, 48th Governor of Michigan[156]
Polling[]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Gretchen Whitmer (D) |
Bill Gelineau (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research | November 5, 2018 | 827 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 48% | – | 5% | 6% |
| Mitchell Research | November 4, 2018 | 701 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 54% | – | 1% | 1% |
| Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 880 | – | 43% | 51% | 2% | 3%[157] | – |
| Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 47% | – | 1% | 9% |
| Glengariff Group | October 25–27, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 50% | 2% | 2%[158] | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 24–26, 2018 | 822 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 52% | – | 3% | 4% |
| Mitchell Research | October 25, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 43% | 48% | – | 4% | 4% |
| Target-Insyght | October 22–24, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 4%[159] | 4% |
| EPIC-MRA | October 18–23, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| Michigan State University | October 13–22, 2018 | 169 | – | 39% | 47% | – | – | – |
| ALG Research (D-Whitmer) | October 15–21, 2018 | 906 | ± 3.3% | 36% | 47% | 4% | 6%[160] | 11% |
| 38% | 48% | – | – | 13% | ||||
| Marketing Resource Group | October 14–18, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 36% | 50% | 2% | 4% | 7% |
| ALG Research (D-Whitmer) | October 8–14, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 36% | 46% | 3% | 2%[161] | 13% |
| Mitchell Research | September 30 – October 7, 2018 | 654 | ± 3.8% | 38% | 46% | – | 6% | 10% |
| Glengariff Group | September 30 – October 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 35% | 47% | – | 5% | 13% |
| ALG Research (D-Whitmer) | September 24–30, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 49% | 2% | 2%[161] | 10% |
| EPIC-MRA | September 21–25, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 45% | 2% | 5% | 11% |
| Ipsos | September 14–24, 2018 | 1,150 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 52% | – | 4% | 6% |
| Target-Insyght | September 10–14, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 41% | 50% | – | – | – |
| Mitchell Research | September 12–13, 2018 | 1,009 | ± 3.0% | 38% | 48% | – | 5% | 9% |
| ALG Research (D-Whitmer) | September 8–13, 2018 | 798 | ± 3.5% | 38% | 45% | 3% | 3%[161] | 11% |
| Strategic National (R) | September 8–9, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 39% | 49% | – | – | 12% |
| Glengariff Group | September 5–7, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 36% | 50% | 2% | 4%[162] | 10% |
| Gravis Marketing | August 14–16, 2018 | 647 | ± 3.9% | 37% | 52% | – | – | 11% |
| Strategic National (R) | August 13–14, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 36% | 45% | – | 2% | 17% |
| Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 36% | 43% | – | 9% | 12% |
| Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 886 | ± 3.9% | 38% | 47% | – | 1% | 14% |
| Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | – | – | 20% |
| NMB Research (R-Better Jobs PAC) | June 18–21, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 39% | 40% | – | – | 20% |
| EPIC-MRA | April 30 – May 3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 43% | – | – | 19% |
| Glengariff Group | January 16–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 33% | 40% | – | – | 25% |
| Michigan State University | September 14, 2017 – January 18, 2018 | 963 | ± 3.2% | 35% | 41% | – | – | 24% |
| EPIC-MRA | December 9–13, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 35% | – | – | 27% |
| Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.6% | 40% | 41% | – | – | 19% |
| EPIC-MRA | August 27 – September 1, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 37% | – | – | 26% |
Hypothetical polling
- with Bill Schuette and Abdul El-Sayed
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Abdul El-Sayed (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 38% | 33% | 12% | 17% |
| Glengariff Group | January 16–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 34% | – | 27% |
- with Bill Schuette and Shri Thanedar
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Shri Thanedar (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 35% | 38% | 12% | 15% |
| Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 37% | 40% | – | 22% |
| NMB Research (R-Better Jobs PAC) | June 18–21, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 40% | – | 19% |
| EPIC-MRA | April 30 – May 3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | ��� | 18% |
- with Brian Calley and Gretchen Whitmer
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Calley (R) |
Gretchen Whitmer (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 33% | 44% | 8% | 16% |
| Michigan State University | September 14, 2017 – January 18, 2018 | 963 | ± 3.2% | 34% | 42% | – | 24% |
- with Brian Calley and Shri Thanedar
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Calley (R) |
Shri Thanedar (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 38% | 36% | 12% | 14% |
- with Bill Schuette and Geoffrey Fieger
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Geoffrey Fieger (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 35% | 23% |
| EPIC-MRA | August 27 – September 1, 2017 | 600 | ± 4% | 43% | 33% | 24% |
- with Bill Schuette and Mike Duggan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Mike Duggan (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.6% | 32% | 47% | 21% |
Fundraising[]
| Campaign finance reports as of August 27, 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
| Gretchen Whitmer (D) | $7,134,218.66 | $5,599,850.57 | $1,534,368.09 |
| Bill Schuette (R) | $6,175,889.09 | $4,741,577.63 | $1,434,311.46 |
| Bill Gelineau (L) | $54,785.88 | $51,267.71 | $3,518.17 |
| Source: Michigan Department of State[163] | |||
Debates[]
Two televised debates between Schuette and Whitmer were scheduled. The first debate was held on Friday, October 12 hosted by Grand Rapids television station WOOD-TV.[164][165] That debate mainly concentrated on issues and there were no surprises or major errors from either candidate.[166] The second debate was hosted by Detroit television station WDIV and was held on Wednesday, October 24.[167] The two again clashed on various issues,[168] but Schuette made a gaffe when he mixed up Whitmer's name with that of former governor Jennifer Granholm.[169][170]
Campaign[]
While Whitmer's Democratic primary opponents publicly endorsed Whitmer in the general election,[171] Republican nominee Schuette left the party split after the acrimonious battle with lieutenant governor Calley, with outgoing governor Rick Snyder refusing to endorse Schuette.[156] Schuette also tried to hide his endorsement by Donald Trump from the primary in the general election.[172][173] His actions as attorney general also came back to haunt him.[174][175] Whitmer held consistent leads in polls over Schuette over the entire year.
Results[]
The election was not as close as expected, with Whitmer receiving 53.8% of the vote to Schuette's 43.8%. Schuette performed best in more sparsely populated areas, while Whitmer was supported by large margins in large and medium cities, such as Detroit, Ann Arbor, and Lansing. Whitmer also performed well in the Detroit suburbs. She carried former Republican stronghold Kent County (location of Grand Rapids), the first Democratic candidate to do so since James Blanchard's landslide 1986 reelection. Democrats swept the statewide races by also holding onto the Senate seat that was up for re-election, and picking up the positions of secretary of state and attorney general. They also captured every state university trustee seat that was up for election as well as the State Board of Education.[176]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gretchen Whitmer | 2,266,193 | 53.31% | +6.45% | |
| Republican | Bill Schuette | 1,859,534 | 43.75% | -7.17% | |
| Libertarian | Bill Gelineau | 56,606 | 1.33% | +0.20% | |
| Constitution | Todd Schleiger | 29,219 | 0.69% | +0.08% | |
| Green | Jennifer Kurland | 28,799 | 0.68% | +0.21% | |
| Natural Law | Keith Butkovich | 10,202 | 0.24% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 32 | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||
| Total votes | 4,250,585 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | |||||
By congressional district[]
Whitmer won 7 of Michigan's 14 congressional districts.[177] The seven districts she won all elected Democrats to Congress, and the seven that Schuette won all elected Republicans, though he won the district that elected Justin Amash by a very narrow margin of 0.4% and the district that elected Fred Upton by an even thinner 0.2%.
| District | Schuette | Whitmer | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 53% | 44% | |
| Jack Bergman | |||
| 2nd | 52% | 43% | Bill Huizenga |
| 3rd | 48.6% | 48.2% | Justin Amash |
| 4th | 55% | 42% | John Moolenaar |
| 5th | 40% | 57% | Dan Kildee |
| 6th | 48.4% | 48.2% | Fred Upton |
| 7th | 51% | 46% | Tim Walberg |
| 8th | 46% | 51% | Mike Bishop |
| Elissa Slotkin | |||
| 9th | 38% | 59% | Sander Levin |
| Andy Levin | |||
| 10th | 56% | 41% | |
| Paul Mitchell | |||
| 11th | 46% | 52% | Dave Trott |
| Haley Stevens | |||
| 12th | 30% | 67% | Debbie Dingell |
| 13th | 16% | 81% | Brenda Jones |
| Rashida Tlaib | |||
| 14th | 18% | 80% | Brenda Lawrence |
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- ^ Stabenow, Debbie. "Garlin Gilchrist II is a tremendous choice! He's a proven problem solver and community leader with a strong background in technology. @Gretchenwhitmer and @garlin are the partners in Lansing we need to get things done for MI families!". Twitter.
- ^ Peters, Gary. "We need leaders in Lansing who will expand access to affordable health care and fight for middle class families. That's why I'm proud to support @gretchenwhitmer for Governor and @garlin for Lieutenant Governor! #MIGOV". Twitter.
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- ^ Gilchrist, Garlin. "Enjoyed the opportunity to sit down and engage with the Genesee County Democratic Party and special guest former Lieutenant Governor, Honorable John Cherry. Thank you for building our people power to #StandTALLforMichigan". Twitter.
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- ^ Whitmer, Gretchen. "Thank you Rep. Sneller for your support!". Twitter.
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- ^ Whitmer, Gretchen. "Elections are won through hard work and determination. I'm so grateful for the support of @mayormikeduggan and everyone who put in the work to help us win. Now let's get to work and make sure we do it again in November!". Twitter.
- ^ Randick, Michael (November 14, 2017). "Iron Workers Local 25 Endorses Gretchen Whitmer for Governor". Praise 102.7.
- ^ Bieber, Ron (April 11, 2018). "Michigan AFL-CIO Endorses Gretchen Whitmer for Governor - Michigan AFL-CIO". Michigan AFL-CIO.
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- ^ a b "Rick Snyder won't endorse Bill Schuette for Michigan governor".
- ^ Todd Schleiger (U.S. Taxpayers), Jennifer Kurkland (G), and Keith Butkovich (Natural Law) with 1%
- ^ Includes Jennifer Kurkland (G), Keith Butkovich (Natural Law), Todd Schleiger (U.S. Taxpayers) with 1%
- ^ Todd Schleiger (U.S. Taxpayers) with 2%, Jennifer Kurland (G) with 1%, Keith Butkovich (Natural Law) with 1%
- ^ Includes Jennifer Kurland (G) with 2%
- ^ a b c Jennifer Kurland (G)
- ^ Includes Jennifer Kurland (G) with 0.8%, Keith Butkovich (NL) with 0.5%, and Todd Schleiger (UST) with 0.5%. https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=822587
- ^ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved September 24, 2018.
- ^ "Schuette, Whitmer to debate in Grand Rapids". September 14, 2018.
- ^ Complete video of debate, October 12, 2018
- ^ "Whitmer and Schuette trade blows in bare-knuckle Grand Rapids debate".
- ^ https://www.clickondetroit.com/michigan-elections/local-4-to-host-bill-schuette-gretchen-whitmer-for-gubernatorial-debate-on-oct-24
- ^ "Governor candidates talk UIA scandal, auto insurance at final debate". October 25, 2018.
- ^ "'Learn my name,' Whitmer says after Schuette confuses her with Jennifer Granholm". October 25, 2018.
- ^ Complete video of debate, October 24, 2018
- ^ "El-Sayed, Thanedar rally support for Whitmer in governor race". August 27, 2018.
- ^ "Bill Schuette no longer touts Trump ties, but president's shadow follows". September 20, 2018.
- ^ DeVito, Lee (September 20, 2018). "Some Republicans are supporting Whitmer over Schuette". Detroit Metro Times. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
- ^ "Schuette's gay rights record in spotlight amid chamber backlash".
- ^ "Bill Schuette's record as attorney general should scare the pants off you".
- ^ "Democrats roll to control of MSU, UM, WSU boards".
- ^ "Twitter".
External links[]
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites
- Bill Gelineau (L) for Governor
- Jennifer Kurland (G) for Governor
- Bill Schuette (R) for Governor
- Gretchen Whitmer (D) for Governor
- Todd Schleiger (UST) for Governor
 Michigan gubernatorial elections | |
|---|---|
| Constitution of 1835 |
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| Constitution of 1850 |
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| Constitution of 1908 | |
| Constitution of 1963 | |
Categories:
- 2018 Michigan elections
- Michigan gubernatorial elections
- 2018 United States gubernatorial elections