2022 Australian federal election

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2022 Australian federal election
← 2019 On or before 21 May 2022 (half-Senate)
On or before 3 September 2022 (House of Representatives)
All 151 seats in the House of Representatives
76 seats are needed for a majority
40 (of the 76) seats in the Senate
Opinion polls
 
Prime Minister of Australia Scott Morrison.jpg
Anthony Albanese in Hobart (December 2020) JOSH AGNEW (crop 2).jpg
Adam Bandt portrait (2020) (cropped).jpg
Leader Scott Morrison Anthony Albanese Adam Bandt
Party Liberal (Coalition) Labor Greens
Leader since 24 August 2018 (2018-08-24) 30 May 2019 (2019-05-30) 4 February 2020 (2020-02-04)
Leader's seat Cook (NSW) Grayndler (NSW) Melbourne (Vic.)
Last election 77 seats, 41.44% 68 seats, 33.34% 1 seat, 10.40%
Current seats 76 seats 68 seats 1 seat
Seats needed Steady Increase8 Increase75
2019 TPP 51.53% 48.47%
 
Craig Kelly MP.jpeg
Bob Katter.jpg
CA
Leader Craig Kelly Bob Katter[a] No federal leader
Party United Australia Katter's Australian Centre Alliance
Leader since 23 August 2021 (2021-08-23) 3 February 2020 (2020-02-03)
Leader's seat Hughes (NSW) Kennedy (Qld.)
Last election 0 seats, 3.43% 1 seat, 0.49% 1 seat, 0.33%
Current seats 1 seat 1 seat 1 seat
Seats needed Increase75 Increase75 Increase75
Incumbent Prime Minister

Scott Morrison
Liberal/National coalition



The 2022 Australian federal election will be held on or before 21 May 2022 to elect members of the 47th Parliament of Australia.

The incumbent Liberal/National Coalition Government, led by Prime Minister Scott Morrison, is seeking to win a fourth consecutive term in office. They will be challenged by the opposition Labor Party, led by the Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese. The Greens, United Australia, One Nation, other minor parties, and several independents will also contest the election.

All 151 seats in the lower house, the House of Representatives, and 40 of the 76 seats in the upper house, the Senate, will be up for election.[b] Election analyst Antony Green has estimated that the election will be held somewhere between 26 February and 21 May 2022.[1]

Background[]

Previous election[]

Main article: 2019 Australian federal election
See also: Results of the 2019 Australian federal election (House of Representatives)
See also: Results of the 2019 Australian federal election (Senate)

At the previous election in May 2019, the Liberal/National Coalition, led by Scott Morrison, formed government winning 77 seats in the House of Representatives, enough for a two-seat majority, whilst Labor claimed 68 seats and remained in opposition. A further six seats were won by other parties and independents; one each to the Greens, Centre Alliance, Katter's Australian Party and the remaining three by independents forming the crossbench. In the Senate, the Coalition made modest gains in most states and increased their share of seats to 35 overall, whilst Labor remained steady on 26, the Greens likewise on 9, One Nation and Centre Alliance down to 2 each, and Jacquie Lambie and Cory Bernardi's minor parties with 1 seat each. This meant the Coalition required four additional votes to pass legislation.

Composition of parliament[]

See also: 46th Parliament of Australia § Membership changes

The 46th Parliament was inaugurated on 2 July 2019. By this time the Labor Party had elected a new leader, replacing the outgoing Bill Shorten with Anthony Albanese. Though there were several resignations and departures from members of the House and Senate, few of these changes altered the numbers on the floors of either chamber. Cory Bernardi's resignation in January 2020 allowed the Coalition to replace him with a Liberal member, increasing their share of seats in the Senate to 36. In the House of Representatives, two Coalition MPs (Llew O'Brien and Darren Chester) departed their respective party-room caucuses, though retained their membership of the Morrison Government. The government's share of seats in the House did drop however, when Craig Kelly, the member for Hughes, left the Liberal Party in August 2021 to become an independent and sit on the crossbench. This left the government with a one-seat majority (76 out of 151), though considering the position of the Speaker (who is obliged not to vote to create a majority where none is present), the government functioned from this point to the election in technical-minority status. There were two by-elections in the life of the parliament, both in 2020 in the seats of Eden-Monaro and Groom, though in both instances the by-elections were won by the incumbent party.

Redistribution[]

See also: Redistribution (Australia) and Divisions of the Australian House of Representatives

The Australian Electoral Commission is required, one year after the first sitting day for a new House of Representatives, to determine the number of members to which each State and Territory is entitled. If the number in any state changes, a redistribution will be required in those states. A redistribution will be postponed if it would begin within one year of the expiration of the House of Representatives.

Demographic statistics for December 2019 released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on 18 June 2020 were used to calculate the determination. The population counts confirmed that the number of seats in the House of Representatives was to return to 150, with Victoria gaining a seat (39) and Western Australia (15) and the Northern Territory (1) losing a seat each.[2][3]

June 2020 determination (set aside)
State Seats Change
New South Wales 47 Steady
Victoria 39 Increase 1
Queensland 30 Steady
Western Australia 15 Decrease 1
South Australia 10 Steady
Tasmania 5 Steady
Australian Capital Territory 3 Steady
Northern Territory 1 Decrease 1
Total 150 Decrease 1

The abolition of the Northern Territory's second seat in the determination was controversial.[4] Labor Party Senators Malarndirri McCarthy and Don Farrell put forward a private senator's bill which would guarantee the Northern Territory a minimum two seats in the House of Representatives, with the bill referred to the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters.[5] In July 2020, election analyst Antony Green proposed to the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters that the "harmonic mean method" be used to calculate the electoral representation entitlements for the territories.[6] Green also blogged on the history of representation and its applications to states and territories in light of the 2020 redistribution[7][8][9] and his advocacy proved persuasive.[5] In October 2020, deputy prime minister Michael McCormack gave an assurance that the government and opposition would combine to overrule the AEC and maintain the Northern Territory's level of representation. The mechanism by which this would be used to achieved was unclear,[10] however, with Senator Mathias Cormann stating that a two seat minimum for the territories would be legislated.[11] Mandating a minimum number of seats for the Northern Territory but not the Australian Capital Territory was seen as potentially inequitable, though the ACT's level of representation was not under threat.[5] A 2003 report had also recommended against adopting mandatory minimum entitlements to seats in the House of Representatives for either of the territories.[12]

Ultimately, the Joint Standing Committee recommended "enacting a harmonic mean for allocating seats between States and Territories, with appropriate public explanation to build understanding for the reform."[5] The Parliament passed the Electoral Amendment (Territory Representation) Act on 9 December 2020, amending the Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918 to utilise the harmonic mean method for determining representative entitlements for territories relative to states.[13][14] Consequently, the Northern Territory will retain two seats in the House of Representatives at the next election,[13] an outcome achieved without legislating any mandatory minimum level of representation.[5]

December 2020 determination
State Seats Change
New South Wales 47 Steady
Victoria 39 Increase 1
Queensland 30 Steady
Western Australia 15 Decrease 1
South Australia 10 Steady
Tasmania 5 Steady
Australian Capital Territory 3 Steady
Northern Territory 2 Steady
Total 151 Steady

In March 2021, the AEC published its proposal for this redistribution, involving the abolition of the Division of Stirling in Western Australia,[15] the creation of the new Division of Hawke in Victoria (named for former Prime Minister Bob Hawke), and the renaming of the existing Division of Corangamite to the Division of Tucker (in honour of Margaret Tucker, "a Yorta Yorta woman, for her significant work to create a more equal and understanding society for Aboriginal people").[16][17] When the AEC published its final determinations in June 2021, the abolition of Stirling[18] and creation of Hawke were confirmed,[19] but Corangamite would not be renamed to Tucker.[20]

Voter registration[]

Enrolment of eligible voters is compulsory. Voters must notify the AEC within 8 weeks of a change of address or after turning 18. The electoral rolls are closed for new enrolments or update of details about a week after the issue of writs for election.[21]

Enrolment is optional for 16- or 17-year-olds, but they cannot vote until they turn 18,[22] and persons who have applied for Australian citizenship may also apply for provisional enrolment which takes effect on the granting of citizenship.[23]

Election date[]

See also: Electoral system of Australia § Election day
Election type Latest Saturday
Representatives only 3 September 2022
Half-senate only 21 May 2022
Representatives + half-senate 21 May 2022
Double dissolution
(requires trigger) 		5 March 2022

Though federal elections must be conducted on a Saturday,[24] the date and type of federal election is determined by the Prime Minister – after a consideration of constitutional requirements, legal requirements, as well as political considerations – who advises the Governor-General to set the process in motion by dissolving the lower or both houses and issuing writs for election. The Constitution of Australia does not require simultaneous elections for the Senate and the House of Representatives, though simultaneous elections are held if an election for the House is called and a Senate half-election is due. When Prime Minister Robert Menzies called the November 1963 election, only the seats in the House of Representatives were vacated as it was too early to hold a half-senate election.[25] Separate House of Representatives and Senate elections were then held until the electoral timetables were brought together again at the May 1974 election.[26] According to the Parliament of Australia's website, the "conventional wisdom now is that separate Senate elections result in poor Senate results for governments and should be avoided if governments wish not to have unfriendly Senates." The most recent House-only election took place in 1972, and the most recent Senate-only election took place in 1970. Simultaneous elections are required in the case of a double dissolution election that is called under section 57 of the Australian Constitution when the Senate twice refuses to pass legislation sent to it by the House of Representatives.[27] This happened most recently in 2016 when then-Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull utilised three double dissolution triggers to call an election for the full Senate as well as for the House of Representatives.[28] However, the existence of a double dissolution trigger does not mandate that the Prime Minister must advise that an election be called.[29]

An election for the House of Representatives can be called at any time before the expiration of the three-year term of the House of Representatives[30] or up to ten days thereafter.[31] The term of the House of Representatives started on the first sitting day of the House following its election, which in the case of the 46th Parliament was 2 July 2019. This meant that the term of the House of Representatives will expire on 1 July 2022 and a House of Representatives election must be called by 11 July 2022. The Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918 (CEA) sets certain requirements. Up to 27 days must be allowed for nominations,[32] and the actual election can be set for a maximum of 31 days after close of nominations.[33] This will result in the latest election date for the House of Representatives to be before 7 September 2022, with the latest Saturday being 3 September 2022.

The election of senators must take place within one year before the terms expire for half-Senate elections,[34] so that the writs for a half-Senate election cannot be issued earlier than 1 July 2021. Since campaigns are for a minimum of 33 days, the earliest possible date for a simultaneous House/half-Senate election is Saturday, 7 August 2021.[35] The latest that a half-Senate election could be held must allow time for the votes to be counted and the writs to be returned before the newly elected senators take office on 1 July 2022. This took 41 days in 2019, and were returned on the last possible date available given the impending commencement of the new senators. Using this approximate time frame, the last possible date for a half-Senate election to take place is Saturday 21 May 2022.

A double dissolution (a deadlock-breaking provision to dissolve both houses of parliament) cannot take place within six months before the date of the expiry of the House of Representatives.[36] That means that any double dissolution of the 46th Parliament will have to be granted by 1 January 2022. Allowing for the same stages indicated above, the last possible date for a double dissolution election would be 5 March 2022.[35] This can only occur if a bill that passes the House of Representatives is rejected by the Senate twice, at least three months apart.

Constitutional and legal provisions[]

The constitutional and legal provisions which impact on the choice of election dates include:[37]

  • Section 12 of the Constitution says: "The Governor of any State may cause writs to be issued for the election of Senators for that State".[38]
  • Section 13 of the Constitution provides that the election of senators shall be held in the period of twelve months before the places become vacant.[34]
  • Section 28 of the Constitution says: "Every House of Representatives shall continue for three years from the first sitting of the House, and no longer, but may be sooner dissolved by the Governor-General."[30] Since the 46th Parliament of Australia opened on 2 July 2019, it will expire on 1 July 2022.
  • Section 32 of the Constitution says: "The writs shall be issued within ten days from the expiry of a House of Representatives or from the proclamation of a dissolution thereof."[31] Ten days after 1 July 2022 is 11 July 2022.
  • Section 156(1) of the CEA says: "The date fixed for the nomination of the candidates shall not be less than 10 days nor more than 27 days after the date of the writ".[32] Twenty-seven days after 11 July 2022 is 7 August 2022.
  • Section 157 of the CEA says: "The date fixed for the polling shall not be less than 23 days nor more than 31 days after the date of nomination".[33] Thirty-one days after 7 August 2022 is 7 September 2022, a Wednesday.
  • Section 158 of the CEA says: "The day fixed for the polling shall be a Saturday".[24] The Saturday before 7 September 2022 is 3 September 2022. This is therefore the latest possible date for the lower house election.

Other considerations[]

Other events such as elections and holidays may also be taken into account and influence on when the election will be called (as of December 2021):[1][39]

  • Long weekend in ACT, South Australia, Tasmania and Victoria (8 March 2022)
  • 2022 South Australian state election (19 March 2022). The South Australian Constitution Act allows the state election to be deferred for three weeks if a federal election is held in March.
  • School holidays of various states and territories throughout April 2022
  • Easter and Anzac Day long weekends throughout April 2022. While elections are unlikely to held during the long weekends, election period and/or early voting period for later election dates may incorporate the long weekends.
  • Federal budget in early May 2022. The budget will have to be brought forward if an election has not been called by March, similar to 2019 when the budget was presented to the House of Representatives in early April. The parliamentary calendar for 2022 released in November 2021 proposes the budget date to be on 29 March 2022.[40]

Candidates[]

Main article: Candidates of the 2022 Australian federal election

Candidates for either house must be formally nominated with the Electoral Commission. The nomination for a party-endorsed candidate must be signed by the Registered Officer of a party registered under the Electoral Act. Fifty signatures of eligible voters are required for an independent candidate. A candidate can nominate for only one electorate, and must pass a number of qualifications.

A deposit of $2,000 will be required for a candidate for the House of Representatives or the Senate, which is refunded if the candidate is elected or gains at least 4% of the first preference vote.[41][42] Between 10 and 27 days must be allowed after the issue of writs before the close of nominations.[32]

Parties[]

See also: List of Australian political parties

The table below lists the parliamentary parties of the 46th Parliament of Australia.

Name Ideology Leading
candidate(s) 		2019 result Current seats
Votes (%) Seats
Coalition[c] Liberal Party Liberal conservatism Scott Morrison 41.44%
77 / 151
76 / 151
National Party Agrarianism Barnaby Joyce
Australian Labor Party (ALP) Social democracy Anthony Albanese 33.34%
68 / 151
68 / 151
Australian Greens Green politics Adam Bandt 10.40%
1 / 151
1 / 151
Katter's Australian Party (KAP) Conservatism Bob Katter[d] 0.49%
1 / 151
1 / 151
Centre Alliance Centrism No leading candidate 0.33%
1 / 151
1 / 151
United Australia Party Right-wing populism Craig Kelly 3.43%
0 / 151
1 / 151
Independents[e] – – –
3 / 151
3 / 151

Retiring and disendorsed members[]

Retiring[]

The following Members of Parliament (MPs) and Senators are not contesting the upcoming election.

Labor[]

  • Sharon Bird MP (Cunningham, NSW) – announced retirement on 19 November 2021[43]
  • Nick Champion MP (Spence, SA) – preselected for the seat of Taylor in the 2022 South Australian election on 13 February 2021.[44]
  • Joel Fitzgibbon MP (Hunter, NSW) – announced retirement on 12 September 2021[45]
  • Chris Hayes MP (Fowler, NSW) – announced retirement on 24 March 2021[46]
  • Julie Owens MP (Parramatta, NSW) – announced retirement on 28 October 2021[47]
  • Warren Snowdon MP (Lingiari, NT) – announced retirement on 10 December 2020[48]

Liberal[]

  • John Alexander MP (Bennelong, NSW) – announced retirement on 12 November 2021[49]
  • Kevin Andrews MP (Menzies, Vic) – lost preselection on 31 January 2021[50]
  • Nicolle Flint MP (Boothby, SA) – announced retirement on 26 February 2021[51]
  • Greg Hunt MP (Flinders, Vic) – announced retirement on 2 December 2021[52]
  • Steve Irons MP (Swan, WA) – announced retirement on 24 September 2021[53]
  • Andrew Laming MP (Bowman, Qld) – announced retirement on 28 March 2021[54] (Disendorsed on 12 April 2021 after refusing to withdraw nomination for preselection)[55][56]
  • Christian Porter MP (Pearce, WA) – announced retirement on 1 December 2021[57]
  • Tony Smith MP (Casey, Vic) – announced retirement on 14 July 2021[58]

Nationals[]

  • George Christensen MP (Dawson, Qld) – announced retirement on 22 April 2021[59]
  • Damian Drum MP (Nicholls, Vic) – announced retirement on 3 December 2021[60][61]
  • Ken O'Dowd MP (Flynn, Qld) – announced retirement in November 2020[62]
  • Senator Sam McMahon (NT) – lost preselection on 26 June 2021[63]

Election pendulum[]

See also: Pre-election pendulum for the next Australian federal election

This Mackerras pendulum includes new notional margin estimates in Victoria and Western Australia due to boundary redistributions.[64] Members in italics have declared they will not contest the election, or have lost their party's preselection.

Government seats (75)
Marginal
Bass Tas Bridget Archer LIB 0.4
Chisholm Vic Gladys Liu LIB 0.5
Wentworth NSW Dave Sharma LIB vs. IND 1.3
Boothby SA Nicolle Flint LIB 1.4
Braddon Tas Gavin Pearce LIB 3.1
Reid NSW Fiona Martin LIB 3.2
Longman Qld Terry Young LNP 3.3
Swan WA Steve Irons LIB 3.3
Higgins Vic Katie Allen LIB 3.7
Leichhardt Qld Warren Entsch LNP 4.2
Robertson NSW Lucy Wicks LIB 4.2
Casey Vic Tony Smith LIB 4.6
Dickson Qld Peter Dutton LNP 4.6
Deakin Vic Michael Sukkar LIB 4.7
Brisbane Qld Trevor Evans LNP 4.9
Lindsay NSW Melissa McIntosh LIB 5.0
Pearce WA Christian Porter LIB 5.2
La Trobe Vic Jason Wood LIB 5.5
Flinders Vic Greg Hunt LIB 5.6
Kooyong Vic Josh Frydenberg LIB vs. GRN 5.6
Hasluck WA Ken Wyatt LIB 5.8
Fairly safe
Ryan Qld Julian Simmonds LNP 6.0
Banks NSW David Coleman LIB 6.3
Cowper NSW Pat Conaghan NAT vs. IND 6.8
Sturt SA James Stevens LIB 6.9
Monash Vic Russell Broadbent LIB 6.9
Bennelong NSW John Alexander LIB 6.9
Menzies Vic Kevin Andrews LIB 7.0
Bonner Qld Ross Vasta LNP 7.4
Goldstein Vic Tim Wilson LIB 7.8
Herbert Qld Phillip Thompson LIB 8.4
Petrie Qld Luke Howarth LNP 8.4
Forde Qld Bert Van Manen LNP 8.6
Flynn Qld Ken O'Dowd LNP 8.7
North Sydney NSW Trent Zimmerman LIB 9.3
Page NSW Kevin Hogan NAT 9.4
Tangney WA Ben Morton LIB 9.5
Safe
Aston Vic Alan Tudge LIB 10.1
Wannon Vic Dan Tehan LIB 10.2
Bowman Qld Andrew Laming LNP 10.2
Farrer NSW Sussan Ley LIB vs. IND 10.9
Canning WA Andrew Hastie LIB 11.6
Moore WA Ian Goodenough LIB 11.6
McPherson Qld Karen Andrews LNP 12.2
Capricornia Qld Michelle Landry LNP 12.4
Fisher Qld Andrew Wallace LNP 12.7
Hume NSW Angus Taylor LIB 13.0
Wide Bay Qld Llew O'Brien LNP 13.1
Mackellar NSW Jason Falinski LIB 13.2
Calare NSW Andrew Gee NAT 13.3
Grey SA Rowan Ramsey LIB 13.3
Fairfax Qld Ted O'Brien LNP 13.4
Durack WA Melissa Price LIB 13.5
Curtin WA Celia Hammond LIB 14.0
Fadden Qld Stuart Robert LNP 14.2
New England NSW Barnaby Joyce NAT vs. IND 14.4
Hinkler Qld Keith Pitt LNP 14.5
Dawson Qld George Christensen LNP 14.6
Forrest WA Nola Marino LIB 14.6
Wright Qld Scott Buchholz LNP 14.6
Lyne NSW David Gillespie NAT 15.2
Moncrieff Qld Angie Bell LNP 15.4
O'Connor WA Rick Wilson LIB 15.4
Berowra NSW Julian Leeser LIB 15.6
Mallee Vic Anne Webster NAT 15.7
Bradfield NSW Paul Fletcher LIB 16.6
Gippsland Vic Darren Chester NAT 16.7
Parkes NSW Mark Coulton NAT 16.9
Groom Qld Garth Hamilton LNP (b/e) 17.2
Mitchell NSW Alex Hawke LIB 18.6
Barker SA Tony Pasin LIB 18.9
Cook NSW Scott Morrison LIB 19.0
Riverina NSW Michael McCormack NAT 19.5
Nicholls Vic Damian Drum NAT 20.0
Maranoa Qld David Littleproud LNP vs PHON 22.5
Opposition seats (69)
Marginal
Macquarie NSW Susan Templeman ALP 0.2
Eden-Monaro NSW Kristy McBain ALP (b/e) 0.4
Lilley Qld Anika Wells ALP 0.6
Cowan WA Anne Aly ALP 0.9
Corangamite Vic Libby Coker ALP 1.0
Blair Qld Shayne Neumann ALP 1.2
Dobell NSW Emma McBride ALP 1.5
Moreton Qld Graham Perrett ALP 1.9
Gilmore NSW Fiona Phillips ALP 2.6
Dunkley Vic Peta Murphy ALP 2.7
Greenway NSW Michelle Rowland ALP 2.8
Griffith Qld Terri Butler ALP 2.9
Hunter NSW Joel Fitzgibbon ALP 3.0
Solomon NT Luke Gosling ALP 3.1
Perth WA Patrick Gorman ALP 3.2
Parramatta NSW Julie Owens ALP 3.5
Richmond NSW Justine Elliot ALP 4.1
Shortland NSW Pat Conroy ALP 4.4
Paterson NSW Meryl Swanson ALP 5.0
Lyons Tas Brian Mitchell ALP 5.2
McEwen Vic Rob Mitchell ALP 5.3
Burt WA Matt Keogh ALP 5.4
Lingiari NT Warren Snowdon ALP 5.5
Werriwa NSW Anne Stanley ALP 5.5
Jagajaga Vic Kate Thwaites ALP 5.9
Fairly safe
Macnamara Vic Josh Burns ALP 6.1
Isaacs Vic Mark Dreyfus ALP 6.4
Oxley Qld Milton Dick ALP 6.4
Rankin Qld Jim Chalmers ALP 6.4
Hindmarsh SA Mark Butler ALP 6.5
McMahon NSW Chris Bowen ALP 6.6
Brand WA Madeleine King ALP 6.7
Fremantle WA Josh Wilson ALP 6.9
Bruce Vic Julian Hill ALP 7.3
Bean ACT David Smith ALP 7.5
Adelaide SA Steve Georganas ALP 8.2
Wills Vic Peter Khalil ALP vs. GRN 8.2
Macarthur NSW Mike Freelander ALP 8.4
Kingsford Smith NSW Matt Thistlethwaite ALP 8.8
Holt Vic Anthony Byrne ALP 8.9
Bendigo Vic Lisa Chesters ALP 8.9
Barton NSW Linda Burney ALP 9.4
Makin SA Tony Zappia ALP 9.7
Safe
Hawke Vic new seat ALP 10.2
Ballarat Vic Catherine King ALP 10.3
Maribyrnong Vic Bill Shorten ALP 10.3
Corio Vic Richard Marles ALP 10.3
Fenner ACT Andrew Leigh ALP 10.6
Whitlam NSW Stephen Jones ALP 10.9
Hotham Vic Clare O'Neil ALP 11.2
Kingston SA Amanda Rishworth ALP 11.9
Franklin Tas Julie Collins ALP 12.2
Chifley NSW Ed Husic ALP 12.4
Lalor Vic Joanne Ryan ALP 12.4
Gellibrand Vic Tim Watts ALP 13.0
Cunningham NSW Sharon Bird ALP 13.4
Watson NSW Tony Burke ALP 13.5
Newcastle NSW Sharon Claydon ALP 13.8
Fowler NSW Chris Hayes ALP 14.0
Spence SA Nick Champion ALP 14.1
Gorton Vic Brendan O'Connor ALP 14.3
Cooper Vic Ged Kearney ALP vs. GRN 14.6
Blaxland NSW Jason Clare ALP 14.7
Grayndler NSW Anthony Albanese ALP vs. GRN 16.3
Canberra ACT Alicia Payne ALP 17.1
Fraser Vic Daniel Mulino ALP 18.1
Sydney NSW Tanya Plibersek ALP 18.7
Calwell Vic Maria Vamvakinou ALP 19.6
Scullin Vic Andrew Giles ALP 21.7
Crossbench seats (7)
Indi Vic Helen Haines IND vs. LIB 1.4
Mayo SA Rebekha Sharkie CA vs. LIB 5.1
Warringah NSW Zali Steggall IND vs. LIB 7.2
Hughes NSW Craig Kelly LIB 9.9
Kennedy Qld Bob Katter KAP vs. LNP 13.3
Melbourne Vic Adam Bandt GRN vs. LIB 21.8
Clark Tas Andrew Wilkie IND vs. ALP 22.1

Opinion polling[]

This section is an excerpt from Opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election § Graphical summary.[]
Two-party-preferred vote.
Primary vote.
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.

See also[]

  • List of political parties in Australia

Notes[]

  1. ^ Robbie Katter is party leader, but is not contesting the federal election or a member of the Commonwealth parliament. Robbie Katter sits as an MP in the Parliament of Queensland for Traeger.
  2. ^ Unless a double dissolution is called, in which case all 76 seats will be up for election.
  3. ^ The Coalition formally comprises the Liberal Party and National Party. Federal parliamentary members of the Liberal National Party of Queensland and Country Liberal Party (Northern Territory) sit in the party room of either the Liberal or National parties, according to the individual members' preference or internal party arrangements.
  4. ^ Robbie Katter is party leader, but is not contesting the federal election.
  5. ^ Andrew Wilkie, Helen Haines, Zali Steggall

References[]

  1. ^ a b Green, Antony (29 June 2021). "When can the Next Federal Election be Held?". Antony Green's Election Blog.
  2. ^ Green, Antony (18 June 2020). "ABS Population Statistics Confirm Changes in House Representation". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 18 June 2020.
  3. ^ "Determination of membership entitlement to the House of Representatives" (Media Release). Australian Electoral Commission. 3 July 2020. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  4. ^ Breen, Jacqueline (3 July 2020). "Calls for Federal Government to save second NT lower house seat axed in redistribution". ABC News. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  5. ^ a b c d e Muller, Damon (2 December 2020). "Electoral Amendment (Territory Representation) Bill 2020". Parliamentary Library of Australia, Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 11 December 2020.
  6. ^ Green, Antony (July 2020). "Fair Representation for the Territories – A Submission to the Joint Standing Committee of Electoral Matters". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 11 December 2020.
  7. ^ Green, Antony (8 June 2020). "2020 Apportionment of Seats: Part 1 – Allocating to the States". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  8. ^ Green, Antony (9 June 2020). "2020 Apportionment of Seats: Part 2 – Allocating to the Territories". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 11 December 2020.
  9. ^ Green, Antony (17 June 2020). "2020 Apportionment of Seats: Part 3 – Changing the Formula for States". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  10. ^ Gooley, Cameron (8 October 2020). "Second Lower House NT seat saved as Labor, Coalition unite to overturn AEC change". ABC News. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  11. ^ Dingwall, Doug (17 October 2020). "Support for ACT, NT to have two-seat guarantee in lower house". The Canberra Times. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  12. ^ Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters (November 2003). Report of the Inquiry into increasing the minimum representation of the Australian Capital Territory and the Northern Territory in the House of Representatives (PDF). Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  13. ^ a b "NT to keep two federal House of Representative seats at next election after legislation passes Parliament". ABC News. 9 December 2020. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  14. ^ "'A shame job': Bill to safeguard two federal members for the NT a step closer to reality". ABC News. 3 December 2020. Retrieved 9 December 2020.
  15. ^ Redistribution Committee for Western Australia (March 2021). "Proposed redistribution of Western Australia into electoral divisions" (PDF). Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  16. ^ Redistribution Committee for Victoria (March 2021). "Proposed redistribution of Victoria into electoral divisions" (PDF). Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  17. ^ "Proposed federal electoral divisions for Victoria released" (Media Release). Australian Electoral Commission. 19 March 2021. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  18. ^ "Announcement of names and boundaries of federal electoral divisions in Western Australia". Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 29 June 2021.
  19. ^ "Announcement of final boundaries – Victorian federal redistribution". Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 29 June 2021.
  20. ^ Harris, Rob (29 June 2021). "Graffiti fears rule out renaming electorate 'Tucker'". The Age. Retrieved 29 June 2021.
  21. ^ "Section 155: Date for close of Rolls". Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  22. ^ "Enrol to vote". Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 23 April 2021.
  23. ^ Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918, s. 99A.
  24. ^ a b "Section 158: Polling to be on a Saturday". Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918. Australasian Legal Information Institute (AustLII). Retrieved 2 April 2021.
  25. ^ Under section 13 of the Australian Constitution, a half-senate election must be held within the year prior to the expiry of those Senators' terms. The Senators elected in the 1958 election began their terms on 1 July 1959 and would serve until 30 June 1965, thus a half-senate election for those positions could not be held prior to 1 July 1964.
  26. ^ "Elections: Constitutional Complexities and Consequences". About Parliament. Parliament of Australia. 21 September 2007. Retrieved 2 April 2021.
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    2. Letter (4 pages, and with 3 pages appended providing a timeline of events) from Attorney-General George Brandis to the Governor-General dated 8 May 2016, with annotations by the Governor-General
    3. Letter (1 page) from the Governor-General to the Prime Minister dated 8 May 2016, accepting the Prime Minister's advice that a double dissolution election be held on 2 July 2016
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