2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

← 2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020 →
All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Democratic Republican Last election 1 3 Seats won 3 1 Seat change 2 2 Popular vote 664,676 612,338 Percentage 50.5% 46.5% Swing 6.05% 7.11%
Democratic   40–50%   50–60% Republican   50–60%

Elections in Iowa
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the State of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The state congressional delegation flipped from a 3–1 Republican majority to a 3–1 Democratic majority. The Democrats last won the majority of seats in the 2010 election.

Overview[]

Party		Candi- dates	Votes		Seats
			No.	%	No.	+/–	%
	Democratic Party	4	664,676	50.48%	3	2	75.00%
	Republican Party	4	612,338	46.51%	1	2	25.00%
	Libertarian Party	4	29,894	2.27%	0		0.00%
	Independent	3	5,100	0.39%	0		0.00%
	Legal Marijuana Now Party	1	2,015	0.15%	0		0.00%
	Green Party	1	1,888	0.14%	0		0.00%
	Write-in		732	0.06%	0		0.00%
Total		17	1,316,643	100.00%	4		100.00%

Popular vote Democratic   50.48% Republican   46.51% Libertarian   2.27% Other   0.74%

House seats Democratic   75.00% Republican   25.00%

By district[]

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa by district:^[1]

District	Democratic		Republican		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	170,342	50.96%	153,442	45.91%	10,459	3.13%	334,243	100%	Democratic gain
District 2	171,446	54.79%	133,287	42.60%	8,180	2.61%	312,913	100%	Democratic hold
District 3	175,642	49.30%	167,933	47.14%	12,666	3.56%	356,241	100%	Democratic gain
District 4	147,246	47.04%	157,676	50.37%	8,123	2.59%	313,045	100%	Republican hold
Total	664,676	50.49%	612,338	46.51%	39,428	3.00%	1,316,442	100%

District 1[]

2018 Iowa's 1st congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Abby Finkenauer Rod Blum Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 170,342 153,442 Percentage 50.96% 45.91%

County results Finkenauer:      50–60% Blum:      40-50%      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Rod Blum Republican Elected U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer Democratic

Republican Rod Blum, who has represented the district since 2015, was reelected to a second term with 54% of the vote in 2016. However, in 2018, Democratic Iowa State Representative Abby Finkenauer went on to flip the district, being one of many swing districts that gave way in surprising margins for Democrats in a wave election.

The 1st district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012.^[2]

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared

• Abby Finkenauer, state representative^[3]
• Thomas Heckroth, former staffer for United States Senator Tom Harkin^[4][5]
• George Ramsey III, former military recruiter^[5]
• Courtney Rowe, engineer and Bernie Sanders delegate at the 2016 state convention^[6]

Declined

• Jeff Danielson, state senator^[7][8]
• Brent Oleson, Linn County Supervisor^[7][9]
• Steve Sodders, former state senator^[10]
• Stacey Walker, Linn County Supervisor^[4][9]

Endorsements[]

Results[]

Democratic primary results^[13]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Abby Finkenauer	29,745	66.80
	Democratic	Thomas Heckroth	8,516	19.12
	Democratic	Courtney Rowe	3,381	7.59
	Democratic	George Ramsey	2,837	6.37
	Democratic	Write-ins	50	0.11
Total votes			44,529	100

Republican primary[]

Incumbent Rod Blum ran for re-election to a third term and was unopposed in the primary.

Results[]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Rod Blum (incumbent)	14,737	98.88
	Republican	Write-ins	167	1.12
Total votes			14,904	100

Other Candidates[]

• Henry Gaff, co-chair of the Iowa Green Party, announced he was running as a Green Party candidate.^[14] Gaff was only 18, meaning he would not have met the U.S. Constitution's required minimum age of 25 to be elected to the House of Representatives.^[14]
• Troy Hageman, activist (Libertarian)

General election[]

Debates[]

• Complete video of debate, October 5, 2018

Predictions[]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[15]	Lean D	October 3, 2018
Inside Elections[16]	Lean D	September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]	Lean D	October 4, 2018
Daily Kos[18]	Lean D	October 5, 2018
Fox News[19]	Lean D	September 28, 2018
CNN[20]	Lean D	October 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[21]	Lean D	September 28, 2018
The New York Times[22]	Lean D	October 5, 2018
Politico[23]	Lean D	October 9, 2018

Polling[]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Rod Blum (R)	Abby Finkenauer (D)	Troy Hageman (L)	Undecided
Emerson College	October 29 – November 1, 2018	353	± 5.5%	41%	53%	–	2%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 28–31, 2018	452	± 4.9%	39%	46%	4%	11%
The Polling Company (R-Blum)	October 12–13, 2018	400	± 4.9%	43%	45%	4%	6%
The Polling Company (R-Blum)	October 3–4, 2018	400	± 4.9%	43%	44%	3%	8%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	September 18–20, 2018	502	± 4.6%	37%	52%	–	11%
Emerson College	September 6–8, 2018	250	± 6.4%	38%	43%	–	12%
DCCC (D)	February 13–14, 2018	—	—	41%	47%	–	—
Public Policy Polling (D)	February 12–13, 2018	742	± 3.6%	42%	43%	–	15%
Public Policy Polling (D-Heckroth)	November 2–3, 2017	737	–	42%	43%	–	16%
Public Policy Polling (D)	October 6–8, 2017	1,093	± 3.0%	40%	42%	–	18%

Results[]

Iowa's 1st congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Abby Finkenauer	170,342	51.0
	Republican	Rod Blum (incumbent)	153,442	45.9
	Libertarian	Troy Hageman	10,285	3.1
	Write-in		174	0.0
Total votes			334,243	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

District 2[]

2018 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Dave Loebsack Christopher Peters Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 171,446 133,287 Percentage 54.79% 42.60%

County results Loebsack:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Peters:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Dave Loebsack Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Dave Loebsack Democratic

Democratic Representative Dave Loebsack, who has represented the district since 2007, was reelected to a sixth term with 54% of the vote in 2016. Loebsack ran for reelection.^[24]

The 2nd district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 56% to 43% margin in 2012.^[2]

Democratic primary[]

Incumbent Dave Loebsack ran for re-election to a seventh term in office and was unopposed in the primary.

Results[]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dave Loebsack (incumbent)	42,378	99.26
	Democratic	Write-ins	314	0.74
Total votes			42,692	100

Republican primary[]

Candidates[]

• Ginny Caligiuri, businesswoman (write-in)^[25][26]

• Christopher Peters, Republican nominee in 2016^[27]

Declined

• Bobby Kaufmann, state representative^[7]

Results[]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Christopher Peters	18,056	85.67
	Republican	Ginny Caligiuri (write-in)	2,839	13.47
	Republican	Other write-ins	181	0.86
Total votes			21,076	100

Independents[]

• Daniel Clark^[28]

General election[]

Predictions[]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[29]	Safe D	October 3, 2018
Inside Elections[16]	Safe D	September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]	Safe D	October 4, 2018
Daily Kos[18]	Safe D	October 5, 2018
Fox News[19]	Likely D	September 28, 2018
CNN[31]	Safe D	October 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[21]	Likely D	September 28, 2018
The New York Times[32]	Safe D	October 5, 2018
Politico[23]	Likely D	October 9, 2018

Polling[]

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dave Loebsack (D)	Christopher Peters (R)	Other	Undecided
Emerson College	October 29 – November 1, 2018	373	± 5.3%	53%	40%	–	5%
Gravis Marketing (R-Peters)	September 8–11, 2018	425	± 4.8%	46%	38%	–	16%
				43%	37%	3%[33]	17%
Emerson College	September 6–8, 2018	250	± 6.4%	45%	21%	–	28%

Results[]

Iowa's 2nd congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Dave Loebsack (incumbent)	171,446	54.8
	Republican	Christopher Peters	133,287	42.6
	Libertarian	Mark Strauss	6,181	2.0
	Independent	Daniel Clark	1,837	0.6
	Write-in		162	0.0
Total votes			312,913	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 3[]

2018 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Cindy Axne David Young Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 175,642 167,933 Percentage 49.30% 47.14%

County results Axne:      50–60% Young:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election David Young Republican Elected U.S. Representative Cindy Axne Democratic

Republican David Young, who had represented the district since 2015, was reelected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. He ran for a third term in 2018, but lost to Democratic candidate Cindy Axne.

The 3rd district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 49% to 45% margin, after voting for Barack Obama with a 51% to 47% margin in 2012.^[2]

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared

• Cindy Axne, businesswoman^[34][35]
• Pete D'Alessandro, political consultant^[36][37][35]
• Eddie Mauro, activist^[38][35]

Did not make ballot

• Theresa Greenfield, real estate executive,^[39] failed to make the primary ballot. After her campaign manager was fired for forging signatures on nominating papers, she attempted to re-collect the 1,790 signatures necessary to make the ballot, but did not get enough signatures.^[40]

Withdrew

• Austin Frerick, former Treasury Department economist^[41][42]
• Paul Knupp, psychiatric rehabilitation practitioner and minister,^[43] withdrew from the Democratic primary to join the Green party^{[citation needed]}
• Heather Ryan, nominee for KY-01 in 2008^[44][45]
• Anna Ryon, attorney with the Office of Consumer Advocate^[46]
• Mike Sherzan, businessman and candidate in 2016^[47][48]

Declined

• John Norris, former chief of staff to Governor Tom Vilsack, former Federal Energy Regulatory Commission member and nominee for IA-04 in 2002 (running for Governor)^[48]

Endorsements[]

Polling[]

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Cindy Axne (D)	Pete D'Alessandro (D)	Eddie Mauro (D)	Undecided
Selzer & Co.	May 13–16, 2018	400	± 4.9%	26%	11%	27%	—

Results[]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Cindy Axne	32,910	57.80
	Democratic	Eddie J. Mauro	15,006	26.35
	Democratic	Pete D'Alessandro	8,874	15.58
	Democratic	Write-ins	150	0.26
Total votes			56,940	100

Republican primary[]

David Young ran for reelection to a third term in office. No other Republican filed to challenge him.

Results[]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	David Young (incumbent)	21,712	98.93
	Republican	Write-ins	234	1.07
Total votes			21,946	100

General election[]

Debates[]

• Complete video of debate, October 11, 2018

Predictions[]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[15]	Tossup	October 3, 2018
Inside Elections[16]	Tossup	September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]	Tossup	October 4, 2018
Daily Kos[18]	Tossup	October 5, 2018
Fox News[19]	Tossup	September 28, 2018
CNN[20]	Tossup	October 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[21]	Tossup	September 28, 2018
The New York Times[22]	Tossup	October 5, 2018
Politico[23]	Tossup	October 9, 2018

Polling[]

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Young (R)	Cindy Axne (D)	Undecided
Emerson College	October 29 – November 1, 2018	380	± 5.3%	45%	46%	3%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 25–27, 2018	504	± 4.6%	41%	43%	11%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	September 27–30, 2018	502	± 4.6%	43%	44%	13%
Emerson College	September 6–8, 2018	260	± 6.4%	47%	31%	15%
DCCC (D)	September 4–5, 2018	575	± 4.1%	43%	46%	11%
ALG Research (D-Axne)	July 8–12, 2018	500	± 4.4%	41%	45%	14%

showHypothetical polling
Poll source Dates administered Sample size Margin of error David Young (R) Democratic candidate Other Undecided PPP/Patriot Majority USA October 6–8, 2017 693 ± 3.7% 44% 43% — —

Results[]

Iowa's 3rd congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Cindy Axne	175,642	49.3
	Republican	David Young (incumbent)	167,933	47.1
	Libertarian	Bryan Holder	7,267	2.0
	Legal Marijuana Now	Mark Elworth Jr.	2,015	0.6
	Green	Paul Knupp	1,888	0.5
	Independent	Joe Grandanette	1,301	0.4
	Write-in		195	0.1
Total votes			356,241	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

District 4[]

2018 Iowa's 4th congressional district election

← 2016 2020 →

Nominee Steve King J. D. Scholten Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 157,676 147,246 Percentage 50.33% 47.00%

County results King:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80% Scholten:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Steve King Republican Elected U.S. Representative Steve King Republican

Republican Representative Steve King, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 5th district from 2003 to 2013, was reelected to a ninth term in congress in 2018.^[56]

The 4th district went for Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election with a 61% to 34% margin, after voting for Mitt Romney with a 53% to 45% margin in 2012.^[2]

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared

• Leann Jacobsen, Spencer City Councilwoman^[57]
• John Paschen, physician^[58]
• J. D. Scholten, paralegal and former professional baseball player^[59]

Withdrew

• Paul Dahl, candidate for Governor of Iowa in 2014^[60]
• Kim Weaver, nominee in 2016^[61]

Declined

• Dirk Deam, Iowa State University political science professor^[62]
• Chris Hall, state representative^[63]

Results[]

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	J. D. Scholten	14,733	51.26
	Democratic	Leann Jacobsen	9,176	31.92
	Democratic	John Paschen	4,806	16.72
	Democratic	Write-ins	29	0.10
Total votes			28,744	100

Republican primary[]

Results[]

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve King (incumbent)	28,053	74.74
	Republican	Cyndi Hanson	9,437	25.14
	Republican	Write-ins	44	0.12
Total votes			37,534	100

General election[]

The election on November 6, 2018, was between Republican Steve King and Democrat J. D. Scholten. King declined to debate Scholten.^[64][65] King won by the slimmest margin of victory in his congressional electoral career.^[66]

Endorsements[]

Predictions[]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[15]	Lean R	October 31, 2018
Inside Elections[16]	Likely R	September 28, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]	Likely R	October 4, 2018
Daily Kos[18]	Safe R	October 5, 2018
Fox News[19]	Lean R	October 31, 2018
CNN[20]	Likely R	October 31, 2018
RealClearPolitics[21]	Safe R	October 31, 2018
The New York Times[22]	Lean R	October 31, 2018
Politico[23]	Likely R	October 31, 2018

Polling[]

Poll source	Dates administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Steve King (R)	J.D. Scholten (D)	Other	Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 31 – November 4, 2018	423	± 5.0%	47%	42%	1%	9%
Emerson College	October 29 – November 1, 2018	356	± 5.5%	51%	42%	–	4%
Change Research (D)	October 27–29, 2018	631	–	45%	44%	–	–
WPA Intelligence (R-King)	October 22–24, 2018	401	± 4.9%	52%	34%	3%	11%
Expedition Strategies (D-Scholten)	September 5–9, 2018	380	± 5.0%	43%	37%	–	–
Emerson College	September 6–8, 2018	240	± 6.5%	41%	31%	–	16%

Results[]

Iowa's 4th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Steve King (incumbent)	157,676	50.3
	Democratic	J. D. Scholten	147,246	47.0
	Libertarian	Charles Aldrich	6,161	2.0
	Independent	Edward Peterson	1,962	0.6
	Write-in		206	0.0
Total votes			313,256	100.0
	Republican hold

References[]

External links[]

• Candidates at Vote Smart
• Candidates at Ballotpedia
• Campaign finance at FEC
• Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics

Official campaign websites for first district candidates

• Rod Blum (R) for Congress
• Abby Finkenauer (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for second district candidates

• Daniel Clark (G) for Congress
• Dave Loebsack (D) for Congress
• Dr. Christopher Peters (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for third district candidates

• David Young (R) for Congress
• Cindy Axne (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates

• Steve King (R) for Congress
• JD Scholten (D) for Congress