2021 Canadian federal election
This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the election progresses, until official results have been published. Initial news reports may be unreliable, and the to this article may not reflect the most current information. (August 2021) |
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338 seats in the House of Commons 170 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Map showing boundaries of the 338 federal ridings to be contested | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2021 Canadian federal election will take place on September 20, 2021, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 44th Canadian Parliament. The writs of election were issued by Governor General Mary May Simon on August 15, 2021, when Prime Minister Justin Trudeau requested the dissolution of Parliament for a snap election.[2]
Background
The 2019 federal election resulted in the Liberals, led by incumbent Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, losing both their parliamentary majority and the popular vote, but nevertheless winning the most seats and remaining in office as a minority government. The Conservatives, who had gained seats and won the popular vote, continued as the Official Opposition. The Bloc Québécois regained official party status and became the third party, replacing the New Democrats in that role, with the latter party losing seats but maintaining official party status as the fourth party. Although the Greens increased their seats in the House of Commons, they ultimately failed to achieve the required number of MPs—twelve—for official party status. No other party won any seats.
In the immediate aftermath of the election, all leaders initially announced that they would continue as the heads of their respective parties into the next session of Parliament.[3][4][5] However, Elizabeth May said that she might not lead the Greens into the 44th election, and she ultimately resigned as Green Party leader on November 4, 2019.[6][7] On November 6, 2019, the members of the Conservative caucus decided to not adopt a measure which would have given them the ability to remove Andrew Scheer as leader. His leadership would still have been reviewed at the party's next convention, which was scheduled for April 2020.[8][9] However, on December 12, Scheer announced his intention to resign as leader.[10] He stayed on until his successor, Erin O'Toole, was chosen and remains as the MP for Regina—Qu'Appelle.[11][12]
On August 15, 2021, after a request from Prime Minister Trudeau, the governor general dissolved parliament and called an election for September 20.[2] The election was called on the same day as the Fall of Kabul. In the first two weeks of the campaign, Trudeau received criticism for not acting fast enough in the face of the 2021 Taliban offensive to evacuate Afghans who supported Canada's military and diplomatic efforts during the War in Afghanistan.[13]
Parties and standings
The table below lists parties represented in the House of Commons after the 2019 federal election, and the standings at dissolution. An expected by-election in Haldimand—Norfolk to fill the vacant seat was rendered moot by the commencement of the general election.
Name | Ideology | Position | Leader | 2019 result | At dissolution | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||
Liberal | Liberalism Social liberalism |
Centre to centre-left | Justin Trudeau | 33.12% |
157 / 338
|
155 / 338
| |
Conservative | Conservatism Economic liberalism Fiscal conservatism |
Centre-right to right-wing | Erin O'Toole | 34.34% |
121 / 338
|
119 / 338
| |
Bloc Québécois | Quebec nationalism | Centre-left | Yves-François Blanchet | 7.63% |
32 / 338
|
32 / 338
| |
New Democratic | Social democracy Democratic socialism |
Centre-left to left-wing | Jagmeet Singh | 15.98% |
24 / 338
|
24 / 338
| |
Green | Green politics | Annamie Paul | 6.55% |
3 / 338
|
2 / 338
| ||
Independents | N/A | 0.40% |
1 / 338
|
5 / 338
| |||
Vacant seats | N/A | – | 0 / 338
|
1 / 338
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Incumbents not running for reelection
The following MPs have announced that they would not be running in the 2021 federal election:
Member of Parliament | Electoral district | Province or territory | Date announced | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Will Amos[14] | Pontiac | Quebec | August 8, 2021 | |
Larry Bagnell[15] | Yukon | Yukon | August 5, 2021 | |
Navdeep Bains[16] | Mississauga—Malton | Ontario | January 12, 2021 | |
Lyne Bessette[17] | Brome—Missisquoi | Quebec | July 16, 2021 | |
Bob Bratina[18] | Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | Ontario | May 17, 2021 | |
Wayne Easter[19] | Malpeque | Prince Edward Island | June 14, 2021 | |
Pat Finnigan[20] | Miramichi—Grand Lake | New Brunswick | June 14, 2021 | |
Paul Lefebvre[21] | Sudbury | Ontario | March 12, 2021 | |
Karen McCrimmon[22] | Kanata—Carleton | Ontario | August 8, 2021 | |
Catherine McKenna[23] | Ottawa Centre | Ontario | June 27, 2021 | |
Geoff Regan[24] | Halifax West | Nova Scotia | March 31, 2021 | |
Gagan Sikand[25] | Mississauga—Streetsville | Ontario | August 15, 2021 | |
Adam Vaughan[26] | Spadina—Fort York | Ontario | August 8, 2021 | |
Kate Young[27] | London West | Ontario | March 18, 2021 | |
Steven Blaney[28] | Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis | Quebec | July 14, 2021 | |
Peter Kent[29][30] | Thornhill | Ontario | November 19, 2020 | |
Tom Lukiwski[31][32] | Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan | Saskatchewan | May 26, 2021 | |
Phil McColeman[33][34] | Brantford—Brant | Ontario | December 30, 2020 | |
Cathy McLeod[35][36] | Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo | British Columbia | February 4, 2021 | |
Bruce Stanton[37] | Simcoe North | Ontario | June 25, 2020 | |
David Sweet[38] | Flamborough—Glanbrook | Ontario | January 4, 2021 | |
David Yurdiga[39] | Fort McMurray—Cold Lake | Alberta | August 14, 2021 | |
Louise Charbonneau[40] | Trois-Rivières | Quebec | January 14, 2021 | |
Simon Marcil[40] | Mirabel | Quebec | January 14, 2021 | |
Scott Duvall[41][42] | Hamilton Mountain | Ontario | March 5, 2021 | |
Jack Harris[43][44] | St. John's East | Newfoundland and Labrador | June 11, 2021 | |
Mumilaaq Qaqqaq[45] | Nunavut | Nunavut | May 20, 2021 | |
Jody Wilson-Raybould[46] | Vancouver Granville | British Columbia | July 8, 2021 |
The following MPs have not been renominated by their parties:
Member of Parliament | Electoral district | Province or territory | Date announced | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Michel Boudrias[47] | Terrebonne | Quebec | August 4, 2021 |
Timeline
2019
- October 21, 2019: In the 43rd Canadian federal election, the incumbent Liberal Party lost its majority but won the most seats in the House of Commons.
- October 23, 2019: The Liberals ruled out any "formal or informal" coalition government with any other party.[58]
- October 29, 2019: Incumbent prime minister Justin Trudeau met with Governor General Julie Payette to officially confirm that he intended to form a government.[59]
- October 30, 2019: Green Party leader Elizabeth May, MP for Saanich—Gulf Islands, announced her interest in running for Speaker of the House of Commons, a position that would necessitate stepping down from her position as party leader.[60]
- November 3, 2019: The Liberals announced that Trudeau would meet with opposition leaders during the week of November 11 to see if any common ground existed.[61]
- November 4, 2019: Elizabeth May resigned as leader of the Green Party effective immediately and ruled out a bid for Speaker. May announced that she will remain an MP and named deputy Green Party leader Jo-Ann Roberts as the party's interim leader until her successor is chosen.[62][7]
- November 6, 2019: The Conservative caucus voted against using a section of federal law that would have given them the authority to remove Andrew Scheer as party leader.[9]
- November 18, 2019: Maxime Bernier announced that he will stay on as leader of the People's Party and that he will run again in the 44th Canadian federal election, or before then, if there is a by-election.[63]
- November 20, 2019: The new Cabinet was sworn in.[58]
- December 5, 2019: The 43rd Parliament was convened. Anthony Rota was elected as the new Speaker of the House and the Throne Speech was read.[64]
- December 12, 2019: Andrew Scheer announces his intention to resign as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada.[10]
2020
- June 6, 2020: Kitchener South—Hespeler MP Marwan Tabbara resigned from the Liberal caucus after being charged with assault, breaking and entering, and criminal harassment.[48][65]
- August 17, 2020: Liberal Finance Minister Bill Morneau resigned from cabinet and as the MP for Toronto Centre, amid controversy relating to the WE scandal. He plans to bid for the Secretary-General of OECD.[49]
- August 18, 2020: Prime Minister Trudeau prorogues Parliament until September 23.[66][67]
- August 23–24, 2020: The Conservative Party held a leadership election to replace Andrew Scheer. The original date of June 27 was postponed due to the coronavirus pandemic.[68] Erin O'Toole was elected as the new Conservative leader.[69]
- September 1, 2020: Liberal Michael Levitt resigned as MP for York Centre to become the President and CEO of the Canadian Friends of Simon Wiesenthal Centre for Holocaust Studies, triggering a by-election in the riding.[50]
- September 23, 2020: Parliament came back into session. Speech from the Throne.
- October 3, 2020: Annamie Paul wins the 2020 Green Party leadership election to replace Elizabeth May.[7][70]
- October 26, 2020: By-elections were held in the ridings of Toronto Centre and York Centre, electing Liberal Marci Ien and Liberal Ya'ara Saks, respectively.[71]
- November 9, 2020: Don Valley East MP Yasmin Ratansi resigned from the Liberal caucus after a CBC News investigation revealed she had violated parliamentary rules on nepotism.[51]
2021
- January 12, 2021: Mississauga—Malton MP Navdeep Bains, the Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry, resigned from the cabinet.[72] A larger cabinet reshuffle took place.[73][74]
- January 20, 2021: Hastings—Lennox and Addington MP Derek Sloan was expelled from the Conservative caucus after accepting a donation from white supremacist Paul Fromm.[52][53] Sloan claimed ignorance of the source as Fromm, who goes by his middle name, donated using only his first given name and initial.
- January 25, 2021: Brampton Centre MP Ramesh Sangha was removed from the Liberal caucus for spreading claims against multiple other Liberal MPs that they were harbouring support for the Khalistan movement.[54][55]
- May 11, 2021: Haldimand—Norfolk MP Diane Finley resigned her seat.[56] Finley had already announced in August 2020 that she would not run in the next election.[75]
- May 15, 2021: Members of Parliament agree election should not be called amid the COVID-19 pandemic.[76]
- June 10, 2021: Fredericton MP Jenica Atwin left the Green caucus and joined the Liberals, citing party infighting over the Israeli–Palestinian conflict.[77]
- August 15, 2021: Parliament is dissolved and writs of election are dropped.[78]
- September 2, 2021: 1st French language leaders' debate, organized by TVA Nouvelles.
- September 8, 2021: 2nd French language leaders' debate, organized by the Leaders' Debate Commission.
- September 9, 2021: English language leaders' debate, organized by the Leaders' Debate Commission.
- September 10–13, 2021: Advance polling.
- September 14, 2021: Last day to apply online for mail-in voting. Last day to vote by Special Ballot at a Returning Office.
- September 20, 2021: Election Day.
Endorsements
Type | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Bloc Québécois | Green | No endorsement | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Media | ||||||||||||
Politicians and public figures | Andrew Weaver Barack Obama |
[79][80] | François Legault | [81] | Cindy Blackstock | [82] | ||||||
Unions and business associations | United Steelworkers | [83] |
Campaign
Campaign slogans
Party | English | French | Translation of French (unofficial) |
---|---|---|---|
Liberal Party of Canada | "Forward. For Everyone."[84] | "Avançons ensemble." | "Let's move forward together." |
Conservative Party of Canada | "Secure the Future"[85] | "Agir pour l'avenir." | "Act for the Future." |
New Democratic Party | "Fighting for You"[86] | "Oser ensemble" | "Dare Together" |
Bloc Québécois | N/A
|
"Québécois" | "Quebecers" |
Green Party of Canada | "Be Daring."[87] | "Faites le saut." | "Take the Leap." |
Policy platforms
Party | Full platform PDF | Ref |
---|---|---|
Liberal Party of Canada | Forward. For Everyone. | [88] |
Conservative Party of Canada | Canada's Recovery Plan | [89] |
New Democratic Party | Ready for Better | [90] |
Bloc Québécois | Québécois | [91] |
Green Party of Canada | Platform 21. Be Daring. | [92] |
Leaders' debates
In June 2020, the Leaders' Debates Commission released its report reviewing the 2019 election debates and making recommendations for future debates.[93][94] The report recommended a permanent and publicly funded commission be tasked with organizing two debates every future election. It also called for the commission, not the government, to set the criteria for participation in future election debates.[93][94] Below are the scheduled debates:
2021 Canadian general election debates | ||||||||||||||||
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Date | Organizers | Location | Language | Moderator | P Participant A Absent (invited) I Invited N Not invited | Source | ||||||||||
Trudeau | O'Toole | Blanchet | Singh | Paul | ||||||||||||
September 2, 2021 | TVA Nouvelles | Montreal | French | Pierre Bruneau | P | P | P | P | N | [95][96] | ||||||
September 8, 2021 | Leaders' Debates Commission | Canadian Museum of History, Gatineau | French | Patrice Roy | P | P | P | P | P | [97][98] | ||||||
September 9, 2021 | English | Shachi Kurl | P | P | P | P | P | [97][98] |
Results
– | – | – | – | – | |||||
Liberal | Conservative | Bloc Québécois | New Democratic | Green |
Party | Party leader | Candidates | Seats | Popular vote | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | Dissol. | 2021 | Change from 2019 |
% seats | Votes | Vote change |
% | pp change | % where running | ||||
Liberal | Justin Trudeau | 338[b] | 157 | 155 | |||||||||
Conservative | Erin O'Toole | 337[c] | 121 | 119 | |||||||||
Bloc Québécois | Yves-François Blanchet | 78 | 32 | 32 | |||||||||
New Democratic | Jagmeet Singh | 338[d] | 24 | 24 | |||||||||
Green | Annamie Paul | 252 | 3 | 2 | |||||||||
Independent or No Affiliation | 91 | 1 | 5 | ||||||||||
People's | Maxime Bernier | 312 | – | – | |||||||||
Michel Leclerc | 59 | – | – | ||||||||||
Marxist–Leninist | Anna Di Carlo | 36 | – | – | |||||||||
Maverick | Jay D. Hill (interim) | 29 | – | – | |||||||||
Rhinoceros | Sébastien CoRhino | 27 | – | – | |||||||||
Communist | Elizabeth Rowley | 26 | – | – | |||||||||
Christian Heritage | Rodney L. Taylor | 25 | – | – | |||||||||
Libertarian | Jacques Boudreau | 13 | – | – | |||||||||
Animal Protection | Liz White | 10 | – | – | |||||||||
Parti pour l'Indépendance du Québec | Michel Blondin | 10 | – | – | |||||||||
Marijuana | Blair T. Longley | 9 | – | – | |||||||||
Randy David Joy | 7 | – | – | ||||||||||
Centrist | A.Q. Rana | 4 | – | – | |||||||||
National Citizens Alliance | Stephen J. Garvey | 4 | – | – | |||||||||
Canada's Fourth Front | Partap Dua | 2 | – | – | |||||||||
Parti Patriote | Carl Brochu | 2 | – | – | |||||||||
Canadian Nationalist | Gus Stefanis | 1 | – | – | |||||||||
Vacant | 1 | ||||||||||||
Total valid votes | – | ||||||||||||
Total rejected ballots | – | ||||||||||||
Total | 2,010 | 338 | 338 | 338 | – | 100.00 | 100.00 | – | 100.00 | ||||
Electorate/turnout | – | ||||||||||||
Source: [103] |
Candidates
Opinion polls
Opinion polling for Canadian federal elections |
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2008 |
Opinion polls |
2011 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
2015 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
2019 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
2021 |
Opinion polls • By constituency |
Notes
- ^ Though parties registered with Elections Canada can field candidates in any riding they wish, the Bloc Québécois has never fielded candidates outside of Quebec (78 seats). Thus they currently cannot gain a majority in parliament.
- ^ Includes Kitchener Centre candidate Raj Saini, who withdrew after the deadline for candidate registration and thus remained on the ballot as a Liberal.[99]
- ^ Includes Beaches—East York candidate Lisa Robinson, who was removed as a candidate after the deadline for candidate registration and thus remained on the ballot as a Conservative.[100] The Conservatives did not run a candidate in Dartmouth—Cole Harbour after their nominee withdrew shortly before the registration deadline.[101]
- ^ Includes Toronto—St. Paul's candidate Sidney Coles and Cumberland—Colchester candidate Daniel Osborne, who both withdrew after the deadline for candidate registration and thus remained on the ballot as New Democrats.[102]
References
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- ^ "Today, I'm announcing that I will not be running in the next federal election". Facebook. December 30, 2020. Archived from the original on August 15, 2021. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
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- ^ "Hamilton Conservative MP Sweet travelled to U.S. over holidays, resigns from ethics committee". CBC News. Hamilton. The Canadian Press. January 4, 2021. Archived from the original on January 4, 2021. Retrieved January 4, 2021.
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- ^ Jump up to: a b Smith, Victoria (January 13, 2021). "Two Bloc members will not stand for re-election in the next election". Canada Live. Archived from the original on January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- ^ Duvall, Scott (March 5, 2021). "Statement on NDP MP Scott Duvall's Political Future". Scott Duvall NDP (Press release). Archived from the original on March 5, 2021. Retrieved March 5, 2021.
- ^ Mann, Ken (March 5, 2021). "Hamilton mountain NDP MP Scott Duvall says he will not seek re-election". Global News. Archived from the original on May 11, 2021. Retrieved May 10, 2021.
- ^ Smyth, Jeff (June 11, 2021). "St. John's East MP Jack Harris Decides Not to Run for Re-Election". VOCM Local News. Archived from the original on June 13, 2021. Retrieved June 11, 2021.
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- ^ Jump up to: a b Burke, Ashley (November 9, 2020). "Liberal MP out of caucus after employing sister for years using public funds". CBC News. Archived from the original on November 10, 2020. Retrieved November 10, 2020.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Tunney, Catharine (January 20, 2021). "Conservatives have voted to expel Derek Sloan from caucus". CBC News. Archived from the original on January 20, 2021. Retrieved January 20, 2021.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Levitz, Stephanie (January 20, 2021). "Conservative MP Derek Sloan ejected from party caucus". CTV News. Archived from the original on January 20, 2021. Retrieved January 20, 2021.
- ^ Jump up to: a b Jones, Ryan Patrick (January 25, 2021). "Brampton MP Ramesh Sangha dropped from Liberal caucus, accused of spreading 'baseless and dangerous' claims". CBC News. Archived from the original on January 25, 2021. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
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External links
- Current elections
- 2021 Canadian federal election
- 2021 elections in Canada
- Future elections in Canada
- September 2021 events in Canada