2016 United States Senate election in Ohio

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2016 United States Senate election in Ohio
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  Rob Portman, official portrait, 112th Congress.jpg Ted Strickland photo.jpg
Nominee Rob Portman Ted Strickland
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 3,118,567 1,996,908
Percentage 58.0% 37.2%
2016 United States Senate election in Ohio results map by county.svg
County results
Portman:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Strickland:      40–50%      50–60%
U.S. senator before election

Rob Portman
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Rob Portman
Republican

Elections in Ohio
Federal government
State government
Ballot measures
Cincinnati
Cleveland
Columbus
Toledo
  • v
  • t

The 2016 United States Senate election in Ohio was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The close of registration for electors in the primary election was December 16, 2015, and the primary election took place on March 15, 2016.[1] Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Rob Portman faced former Democratic Governor Ted Strickland. Green Party nominee Joseph DeMare was also on the ballot along with two other independent candidates and one officially declared write-in candidate. This would be Rob Portman's final term in office before he retires in 2022.[2]

Initially, the seat was viewed by many to be a potential Democratic pickup, but Portman ultimately won reelection to a second term by a landslide, winning 58.03% of the popular vote. His popular vote total of 3,118,567 is the second largest in the state's history, falling 346,084 votes short of George Voinovich's record of 3,464,651 in his 2004 reelection to his second and final term.

Republican primary[]

Republican Senator Rob Portman ran for re-election to a second term in office.[3] He considered running for president in 2016,[4][5][6] but ruled out running for two offices at the same time, even though Ohio law does allow it.[4][7] He ultimately declined to run for president.[3][8] The National Organization for Marriage and other socially conservative groups, unhappy with Portman's public backing for same-sex marriage, pledged to back a primary challenger. Tea Party groups, who heavily backed Portman in 2010, said that they were unlikely to do the same if he runs for re-election.[9][10]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Rob Portman, incumbent senator.[3]
  • Don Elijah Eckhart, independent candidate for OH-15 in 2008[11]

Disqualified[]

  • Melissa Strzala, Tea Party activist (failed to gather enough valid signatures)[12][13]

Declined[]

Endorsements[]

hide
Don Elijah Eckhart
Organizations

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Don Elijah
Eckhart 		Rob
Portman 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 4–6, 2016 638 ± 3.9% 7% 60% 33%

Results[]

Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Portman (Incumbent) 1,336,686 82.16%
Republican Don Elijah Eckhart 290,268 17.84%
Total votes 1,626,954 100.00%

Democratic primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Kelli Prather, occupational therapist and community organizer[12]
  • P.G. Sittenfeld, Cincinnati City Councilman[17][18][19]
  • Ted Strickland, former governor of Ohio and former U.S. Representative[20]

Withdrawn[]

  • Bob Hagan, former member of the Ohio State Board of Education and former state representative[4][21][22]

Declined[]

  • Joyce Beatty, U.S. Representative[17][23]
  • John Boccieri, former U.S. Representative[17][24]
  • Jennifer Brunner, judge on the Ohio Tenth District Court of Appeals, former Ohio Secretary of State and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[17][21][25]
  • Michael B. Coleman, Mayor of Columbus[17][26][27]
  • Richard Cordray, director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, former Ohio Attorney General and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2000[17]
  • Connie Pillich, former state representative and nominee for Ohio State Treasurer in 2014[4][28]
  • Tim Ryan, U.S. Representative[29]
  • Betty Sutton, Administrator of the Saint Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation and former U.S. Representative[17][21]
  • Nina Turner, former state senator and nominee for Ohio Secretary of State in 2014[4][30]
  • Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton[17][31]

Endorsements[]

hide
P.G. Sittenfeld
U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials
  • Heather Zichal, former (2009–2013)[32]
U.S. Governors
  • Dick Celeste, Ohio (former)[33]
U.S. Representatives (former)
  • David S. Mann (former Mayor of Cincinnati and current Cincinnati City Councilman)[34]
  • Thomas C. Sawyer (current State Senator)[35]
Ohio State Representatives (current)
Ohio State Representatives (former)
  • Tracy Maxwell Heard (former House Majority Leader)[36]
Mayors
  • Dan Horrigan, mayor of Akron[35]
  • Mark Mallory, former Mayor of Cincinnati[37]
City Council members
  • Chris Seelbach, Cincinnati City Councilman[34]
  • Yvette Simpson, Cincinnati City Councilwoman[34]
  • Wendell Young, Cincinnati City Councilman[34]
County officials
  • Russ Pry, Summit County Executive[35]
  • Eileen Shapiro, Summit County Council President[35]
Notable individuals
  • Jonathan Banks, actor[38]
  • Mark Hamill, actor[39]
  • , former Chair of the Ohio Democratic Party[40]
Organizations
  • Friends of the Earth[41]
Newspapers
  • Akron Beacon Journal[42]
  • The Plain Dealer[43]

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Kelli
Prather 		P.G.
Sittenfeld 		Ted
Strickland 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 4–6, 2016 508 ± 4.4% 6% 16% 50% 28%
Public Policy Polling January 12–14, 2016 1,138 ± ? 10% 10% 61% 18%
Public Policy Polling June 4–7, 2015 360 ± 5.2% — 13% 65% 22%

Results[]

Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ted Strickland 742,676 65.04%
Democratic P.G. Sittenfeld 254,232 22.26%
Democratic Kelli Prather 144,945 12.69%
Total votes 1,141,853 100.00%

Green primary[]

Candidates[]

Declared[]

  • Joe DeMare, factory worker and environmentalist[44]

Results[]

Green primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Joe DeMare 3,123 100.00%
Total votes 3,123 100.00%

General election[]

Candidates[]

  • Rob Portman (R), incumbent senator
  • Ted Strickland (D), former governor of Ohio and former U.S. Representative
  • Joe DeMare (G), factory worker and environmentalist
  • Scott Rupert (I), truck driver and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[45]
  • Tom Connors (I)
  • James Stahl (Write-in)

Endorsements[]

hide
Rob Portman
Presidents
  • George W. Bush, 43rd President of the United States[46]
U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials
  • Condoleezza Rice, 66th United States Secretary of State[47]
Governors
  • John Kasich, Ohio and 2016 presidential candidate[48][49]
  • Mike Pence, Indiana and 2016 Republican vice presidential nominee[50]
U.S. Senators (current and former)
  • John Cornyn, Texas and Senate Majority Whip[51]
  • Ted Cruz, Texas and 2016 presidential candidate[51]
  • George Voinovich, Ohio (former)[49]
U.S. Representatives (current and former)
Statewide officials
Diplomats
  • John R. Bolton, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations[53]
Individuals
  • Laura Bush, 43rd First Lady of the United States[54]
Labor unions
  • FOP - Fraternal Order of Police[55]
  • IBT - International Brotherhood of Teamsters[55]
  • IUOE - International Union of Operating Engineers[56]
  • UMW - United Mine Workers[57]
Organizations
  • National Federation of Independent Business[58]
  • National Rifle Association[59]
  • Ohio Right to Life[60]
  • United States Chamber of Commerce[61]
Newspapers
hide
Ted Strickland
Presidents
  • Bill Clinton, 42nd President of the United States[84]
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[85]
Vice Presidents
  • Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[85]
U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials
  • Hillary Clinton, 67th United States Secretary of State, 2008 presidential candidate and 2016 presidential nominee[86]
U.S. Senators
  • Sherrod Brown, Ohio[87]
  • Al Franken, Minnesota[88]
  • Chris Murphy, Connecticut[89]
  • Bernie Sanders, Vermont and 2016 presidential candidate[90]
  • Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts[91]
U.S. Representatives
  • Joyce Beatty, Ohio[92][93]
  • Marcia Fudge, Ohio[93]
  • Gabby Giffords, Arizona (former)[39]
  • Tim Ryan, Ohio[93]
Ohio State Senators
  • Edna Brown[94]
  • Joe Schiavoni (Senate Minority Leader)[35]
Ohio State Representatives (current)
  • Kathleen Clyde[35]
  • David J. Leland (former Chair of the Ohio Democratic Party)[36]
  • Martin Sweeney[35]
Ohio State Representatives (former)
Mayors
  • Michael B. Coleman, former Mayor of Columbus[27]
  • Andrew Ginther, Mayor of Columbus[96]
  • Paula Hicks-Hudson, Mayor of Toledo[94]
  • Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton[31]
City Council members
  • P.G. Sittenfeld, Cincinnati City Councilman[97]
Notable individuals
  • Mary Jo Hudson, Columbus School Board Member and LGBT activist [98]
  • James Obergefell, plaintiff in the Obergefell v. Hodges United States Supreme Court case[99]
Labor unions
Organizations
  • Daily Kos[104]
  • Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[105]
  • League of Conservation Voters[106]
  • Ohio Democratic County Chairs Association[107]
  • Ohio Democratic Party[108]
  • People for the American Way[109]
  • Planned Parenthood[110]
Newspapers

Debates[]

Dates Location Portman Strickland Link
October 14, 2016 Youngstown, Ohio Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 17, 2016 Columbus, Ohio Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 20, 2016 Cleveland, Ohio Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions[]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[112] Lean R November 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[113] Safe R November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[114] Likely R November 3, 2016
Daily Kos[115] Safe R November 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[116] Safe R November 7, 2016

Polling[]

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Rob
Portman (R) 		Ted
Strickland (D) 		Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 2,860 ± 4.6% 57% 39% — 4%
SurveyMonkey Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 2,530 ± 4.6% 57% 39% — 4%
Emerson College November 4–5, 2016 900 ± 3.2% 49% 28% 11% 12%
The Columbus Dispatch Oct 27–Nov 5, 2016 1,151 ± 2.9% 58% 37% — 5%
CBS News/YouGov November 2–4, 2016 1,189 ± 4.1% 52% 39% 3% 6%
SurveyMonkey Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 2,004 ± 4.6% 58% 39% — 3%
SurveyMonkey Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 1,728 ± 4.6% 57% 40% — 3%
Quinnipiac University Oct 27–Nov 1, 2016 589 ± 4.0% 56% 38% — 6%
SurveyMonkey Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 1,586 ± 4.6% 57% 39% — 4%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,823 ± 4.6% 55% 40% — 5%
Emerson College October 26–27, 2016 800 ± 3.4% 49% 35% 4% 12%
Suffolk University October 17–19, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 46% 31% 6% 14%
Quinnipiac University October 10–16, 2016 624 ± 3.9% 54% 41% 1% 4%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey October 8–16, 2016 1,307 ± 0.5% 56% 39% — 5%
CNN/ORC October 10–15, 2016 774 LV ± 3.5% 56% 40% — 2%
890 RV 55% 40% — 2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 10–12, 2016 724 LV ± 3.6% 55% 37% 3% 5%
1,007 RV ± 3.1% 54% 36% 3% 6%
Emerson College October 10–12, 2016 600 ± 3.9% 47% 30% 6% 16%
Baldwin Wallace University October 9–11, 2016 1,152 ± 3.0% 48% 36% — 16%
The Times-Picayune/Lucid October 7–10, 2016 1,304 ± 3.0% 51% 37% — 12%
CBS News/YouGov October 5–7, 2016 997 ± 3.9% 49% 38% 2% 10%
Public Policy Polling October 5–6, 2016 782 ± 3.5% 51% 36% — 12%
Monmouth University October 1–4, 2016 405 ± 4.9% 54% 39% 2% 5%
Quinnipiac University Sept 27–Oct 2, 2016 497 ± 4.4% 55% 38% — 7%
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research Sept 27–Oct 2, 2016 800 ± 4.0% 51% 39% 5% 5%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing September 22–23, 2016 850 ± 3.4% 44% 36% — 20%
TargetSmart/William & Mary September 15–22, 2016 652 LV ± 3.4% 47% 32% 4% 17%
821 RV 44% 34% 4% 18%
FOX News September 18–20, 2016 737 LV ± 3.5% 51% 37% 1% 10%
806 RV 50% 37% 1% 10%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps September 10–19, 2016 400 ± 4.0% 51% 34% 4% 11%
Suffolk University September 12–14, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 39% 31% 5% 23%
CNN/ORC September 7–12, 2016 769 LV ± 3.0% 58% 37% — 5%
895 RV 56% 38% — 5%
Bloomberg/Selzer September 9–12, 2016 802 ± 3.5% 53% 36% 3% 7%
Quinnipiac University Aug 29–Sept 7, 2016 775 ± 3.5% 51% 40% 1% 8%
Public Policy Polling August 26–27, 2016 1,134 ± 3.0% 48% 39% — 13%
Emerson College August 25–27, 2016 800 ± 3.4% 40% 25% 10% 25%
Monmouth University August 18–21, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 48% 40% 4% 8%
CBS News/YouGov August 17–19, 2016 997 ± 3.9% 46% 39% 4% 11%
Quinnipiac University July 30–August 7, 2016 812 ± 3.4% 49% 40% 1% 10%
NBC/WSJ/Marist August 3–7, 2016 889 ± 3.3% 48% 43% 1% 8%
Public Policy Polling July 22–24, 2016 1,334 ± 2.7% 43% 38% — 19%
Suffolk University July 18–20, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 37% 33% 6% 23%
CBS News/YouGov July 13–15, 2016 1,104 ± 3.5% 41% 40% 4% 14%
Quinnipiac University June 30–July 11, 2016 955 ± 3.2% 47% 40% 1% 9%
NBC/WSJ/Marist July 5–10, 2016 848 ± 3.4% 44% 44% 2% 10%
Public Policy Polling June 22–23, 2016 708 ± 3.7% 40% 39% — 21%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps June 11–20, 2016 300 ± 5.7% 40% 43% — 17%
Quinnipiac University June 8–19, 2016 971 ± 3.1% 42% 42% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling June 8–9, 2016 781 ± 3.4% 46% 42% — 12%
Quinnipiac University April 27–May 8, 2016 1,042 ± 3.0% 42% 43% 1% 14%
Public Policy Polling April 26–27, 2016 799 ± 3.2% 38% 38% 1% 23%
Hart Research Associates April 5–7, 2016 500 ± 3.2% 47% 45% — 8%
Public Policy Polling March 4–6, 2016 1,248 ± 2.8% 40% 41% — 19%
Quinnipiac University February 16–20, 2016 1,539 ± 2.5% 42% 44% — 14%
Baldwin Wallace University February 11–20, 2016 825 ± 3.4% 44% 40% — 16%
Democracy Corps October 24–28, 2015 400 ± 4.9% 47% 47% — 6%
Quinnipiac University Sept 25–Oct 5, 2015 1,180 ± 2.9% 43% 46% 1% 8%
Harstad Strategic Research September 10–16, 2015 813 ± 3.4% 43% 46% — 11%
Quinnipiac University August 7–18, 2015 1,096 ± 3.0% 41% 44% 1% 10%
Quinnipiac University June 4–15, 2015 1,191 ± 2.8% 40% 46% 1% 13%
Public Policy Polling June 4–7, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 43% 41% — 15%
Quinnipiac University March 17–28, 2015 1,077 ± 3.0% 39% 48% — 13%
Public Policy Polling (D-Ohio Democratic Party) March 2–3, 2015 946 ± 3.2% 45% 45% — 10%

Results[]

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2016[117]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Rob Portman (incumbent) 3,118,567 58.03% +1.18%
Democratic Ted Strickland 1,996,908 37.16% -2.24%
Independent Tom Connors 93,041 1.73% N/A
Green Joseph R. DeMare 88,246 1.64% N/A
Independent Scott Rupert 77,291 1.44% N/A
Independent James Stahl (write-in) 111 0.00% N/A
Total votes 5,374,164 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

By congressional district[]

Portman won 13 of 16 congressional districts, including the 13th, which Hillary Clinton also won in the presidential race.[118]

District Portman Strickland Representative
1st 60% 36% Steve Chabot
2nd 65% 31% Brad Wenstrup
3rd 36% 59% Joyce Beatty
4th 69% 26% Jim Jordan
5th 66% 30% Bob Latta
6th 66% 29% Bill Johnson
7th 66% 29% Bob Gibbs
8th 72% 24% Warren Davidson
9th 43% 51% Marcy Kaptur
10th 60% 36% Mike Turner
11th 22% 73% Marcia Fudge
12th 62% 34% Pat Tiberi
13th 48% 46% Tim Ryan
14th 61% 34% David Joyce
15th 61% 34% Steve Stivers
16th 62% 32% Jim Renacci

Analysis[]

Despite being seen early on as a tight race, Portman began to gain the upper hand as Strickland's campaign was said to be the worst he had ever run.[citation needed] Portman received the endorsements of many labor unions including the Ohio Teamsters and the United Mine Workers Union, both of which usually endorsed Democrats. In the end Portman ended up winning in a landslide, the only region where Strickland outperformed Hillary Clinton was in Appalachia, but his performance there was still disappointing for an area he used to represent in Congress.

References[]

  1. ^ "2016 Ohio Elections Calendar" (PDF). Ohio Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 2, 2016. Retrieved February 20, 2016.
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External links[]

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